Discussion of tonights Canadian football game

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Here is Sherwoods viewpoint:


Ottawa @ EDMONTON
Ottawa +6 -102 over EDMONTON
BEST LINES:Pinnacle +6 -102 Bet365 +6½ -115 Betfair +4½ +115 SportsInteraction +7 -120Posted at 11:45 AM EST.



One of the arguments against the Redblacks here is that the favorite is “due to cover”, which is a rather ludicrous angle. Just like a coin toss, if it lands heads 20 times in a row, the odds of it landing heads on the 21st roll is exactly the same as it was on the first flip of that same coin. Each flip of the coin or in this case a football game, is individual of itself. While it does even out over time, using that angle to select a winner or loser, is ridiculous. Just ask the Tigers’ under bettors about that.


As we start Week 3,instead of paying attention to the elephant in the room, (i.e. the dogs going 8-0 in the first eight games) we’ll pay more attention to the play of the Redblacks. Ottawa is 2-0 with wins over Montreal and British Columbia. All Ottawa did in those two games was hold both teams to 16 points while outgaining Montreal by 181 yards and B.C. by 123 yards. Ottawa has dominated both games in every area including first downs (50-31 combined) and time of possession. The Redblacks have upgraded significantly in every area. They are playing tremendous football on both sides and now they’re playing with a ton of confidence after two convincing wins. They have a QB that is getting protection while hitting his receivers in the numbers, they have outstanding receivers and that strong offense is giving their defense plenty of time between possessions. Ottawa’s defense is also playing outstanding football.


We’re not going to put a lot of weight on Edmonton’s brutal performance against the Argonauts in Week 1. No question about it that the Eskies will be gnawing at the bit to get back on the field. Football teams at every level, especially good ones, almost always respond after a bad loss. However, this is a QB league and the Eskimos are without a proven one. Matt Nichols is not the answer. Nichols was forced into action in Week 1 after Mike Reilly was injured. He was ineffective, as he converted just one of his six pass attempts for eight yards, while also tossing an interception.Now in his third CFL season with a career quarterback rating of 84.5 and having thrown almost as many interceptions (nine) as touchdowns (11), Nichols has always been ineffective. In fact, in his last three CFL starts, Nichols completed 21-of-38 passes for 149 yards with no TD’s and one interception. Now Nichols and the Eskies are being asked to spot a significant margin based on what? We’re calling the upset but we’re thrilled to be taking back these points.


NOTE: Many options to choose from in regards to the line and you can wait til game time if you like to perhaps get a better number. It would appear that the early money today is coming in on the Eskkies but that could change too and we're quite satisfied with taking back +6 -102 at Pinny.
 

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