* Daily Picks / DailyPicks.tk *

[Shatterhand]

Website:
Daily Picks

The site is still under construction, I will post here when will be completed.

Starting bankroll: 100 units
All my lines and odds are taken from 5Dimes, at the time of releasing my plays to my subscribers.
I do not use the reduced odds for the NBA!

For now, I will try to post all my daily plays for free.
Everything is proofed at cappertek.com, and because I heard some stuff about them being not totally honest (ex. falsifying some "preferred" cappers' records) I am also proofing independently, through a Google Group.

Links to Cappertek and Google Groups, and other info in my next post.
Also I will post some very interesting stuff tomorrow, about the proofed trial I ran over a full month, in January - the results were amazing.

===========================

Main play for today:

* Risk = 2.8 Units
NBA: Boston Celtics at New York Knicks / 7:35 PM
(584) New York Knicks +13 -110
---------------

Extra play for today:

* Risk = 2.8 Units
NBA: Oklahoma City Thunder at Miami Heat / 8:05 PM
(586) Miami Heat +4 -110

 

[Shatterhand]

As yesterday promised, here are some important links:

Proofing for my main plays:
- at Cappertek: http://dailypicks.tk.cappertek.com
- in the Google Group: https://groups.google.com/forum/#!forum/dailypicks-proofing

Proofing for my extra plays:
- in the Google Group: https://groups.google.com/forum/#!forum/dailypicksextra-proofing

=============
Both my yesterday's picks were losers (main pick and extra pick).
Of course, sports betting being a marathon and not a sprint, one day means nothing at all in the bigger picture.
=============

Now here's that very interesting trial which I ran for a full month, in January, and I proofed it both in Cappertek and in a Google Group:

I played each time the opposite of what logically came out each and every day as result of my handicapping method.

In other words, if I would have played the opposite (the logical result) I would have had:

Total Record:
WON 19 - LOST 8 - PUSHED 1
(as it appears now, is WON 8 - LOST 19 - PUSHED 1).

Here are the links to the proofing I have done (I have used the name "One Per Day" Sports):
Cappertek: http://oneperday.cf.cappertek.com
Google Group: https://groups.google.com/forum/#!forum/oneperday

That is exactly 70.37% winners in 28 day - insanely high...
Everything recorded/double proofed.

Of course I am not expecting to have a winning record of very much over 60% at -110 odds in the long run, because that is impossible.
But because of my money management, I can hit well under 50% to be very successful in the long run.

But more about my money management and bankroll goals in my next post.

 

[Shatterhand]

I forgot to post today's plays:

Main play:

* Risk = 2.9 Units
NBA: Chicago Bulls at Charlotte Hornets / 7:05 PM
(506) Charlotte Hornets -7 -110
---------------

Extra play:

* Risk = 2.9 Units
NBA: Phoenix Suns -2.5 -110

 

[Shatterhand]

Yesterday my main play was a push, and the extra play a loser.

I began with the left foot the demo of my work here, but hey, this almost always happens when some new capper is going public. It's the Law of Murphy in full action.

So I'm fully prepared to not have maybe even a single winner in the first 5 picks - both main and extra plays. It would be even more interesting to happen this way, because you would see then how everything will rebound nicely in the long run.
=============

Main play for today:

* Risk = 2.9 Units
NBA: Los Angeles Clippers at Toronto Raptors / 3:05 PM
(530) Toronto Raptors -10.5 -110

No extra play today.
=============

About my bankroll management and bankroll goals (this is valid both for my main and extra plays):

I am using variable units to risk with my picks, which is a progressive MM strategy, but none of the known sports betting or casino "progressions" (like different Labby lines, and such) - it is something I have developed on my own.
My goal is to make in any 90 consecutive days with picks an increase of the starting bankroll with at least 75% (75 units from 100).

To achieve this goal is enough to have just 33.33% winners at around -110 average odds.
Now... to be worst than 1/3 winners in 90 if there is only 1 pick per day, is the same low probablility like being over 70% winners for 90 days. Just think about that... it is close to impossible IMO.

 

[Shatterhand]

Yesterday's main play was a winner.
So far the record is:
WON 1 - LOST 1 - PUSHED 1 / LOST 0.164 U
===============

Main play for today:

* Risk = 2.9 Units
NBA: San Antonio Spurs at Sacramento Kings / 10:05 PM
(541) San Antonio Spurs -1.5 -110
-----------------

Extra play:

* Risk = 3 Units
NBA: Indiana Pacers at New Orleans Pelicans / 8:05 PM
(538) New Orleans Pelicans +2.5 -110

 

[Shatterhand]

I had no time to post here yesterday, but my main play was:
Miami Heat +7.5, in the NBA, an easy winner.

If you can't see my main daily play here, you can always go to the Google Group, where the picks are posted usually before 1:30 PM ET.

So far the record is: WON 2 - LOST 2 - PUSHED 1 / LOST 0.337 U

 

[Shatterhand]

Main play for today:

* Risk = 3 Units

NBA: Phoenix Suns at Utah Jazz / 9:00 PM
(568) Utah Jazz -14.5 -110

-----------------

Extra play:

* Risk = 3.1 Units

NBA: New Orleans Pelicans at Chicago Bulls / 8:05 PM
(562) Chicago Bulls -1.5 -110

 

[Shatterhand]

Main play for today:

* Risk = 3 Units

NBA: Phoenix Suns at Utah Jazz / 9:00 PM
(568) Utah Jazz -14.5 -110

-----------------

Extra play:

* Risk = 3.1 Units

NBA: New Orleans Pelicans at Chicago Bulls / 8:05 PM
(562) Chicago Bulls -1.5 -110

My main play was a winner, the record standing at:
WON 3 - LOST 2 - PUSHED 1 / WON 2.39 U

The extra play was a loser.

 

[Shatterhand]

Main play for today:
(released at 12:24 PM ET)

* Risk = 2.9 Units
NBA: San Antonio Spurs at Portland Trail Blazers / 10:35 PM
(583) San Antonio Spurs +6 -110
-----------------

Extra play:

* Risk = 3.2 Units
NBA: Los Angeles Lakers at Boston Celtics / 8:05 PM
(581) Los Angeles Lakers +8.5 -110

 

[Shatterhand]

Yesterday's main play was a loser, and the extra play was a winner.
===========================

Main play for today:

* Risk = 3 Units
NBA: New York Knicks at Detroit Pistons / 7:05 PM
(505) New York Knicks +8.5 -110
-----------------

Extra play:

* Risk = 3.2 Units
NBA: Golden State Warriors at Phoenix Suns / 9:05 PM
(512) Phoenix Suns +15.5 -110

 

[Shatterhand]

I did not post for a while, here are the records up to date:

The main plays:
WON 5 - LOST 8 - PUSHED 1 / LOST 10.564 U
(see it here: Google Group, and at Cappertek)

The extra plays:
WON 6 - LOST 9 / LOST 10.757 U
(see it here: Google Group)
-------------------

Yeah, it's true that so far the records look like crap, but as I said in an earlier post, even if everything goes incredibly bad in the long run, I need to hit just 1/3 winners from 90 to get to my target increase of the bankroll.

Remains to be seen here, right?
So if you think I'm just blowing hot air, come back in 2 weeks to this thread, ...or heck, better come back in 2 months.
--------------------

The main plays are in break right now, until the NBA will resume again (after the All Star break).

Extra play for today:

* Risk = 3.6 Units
NHL: Vegas Golden Knights at Colorado Avalanche / 9:05 PM
(44) Colorado Avalanche +100

 

[Shatterhand]

Yesterday's extra play was an easy winner (the Colorado Avalanche won by 3-0).

Extra play for today:

* Risk = 4.3 Units
NHL: Toronto Maple Leafs at St. Louis Blues / 8:05 PM
(60) St. Louis Blues -118

=============

No main play today, as there is still All Star break in the NBA, and for now I'm having picks just in the NBA for the main plays.
I will make my next post probably on Thursday (Feb 21), when the NBA will resume it's regular action.

 

[Shatterhand]

Here are the records up to date:

The main plays:
WON 5 - LOST 8 - PUSHED 1 / LOST 10.564 U
(see it here: Google Group, and at Cappertek)

The extra plays:
WON 9 - LOST 9 / LOST 0.063 U
(see it here: Google Group)

============

Main play for today:

* Risk = 3.8 Units
NBA: Sacramento Kings at Golden State Warriors / 10:35 PM
(512) Golden State Warriors -12.5 -110
--------------

Extra play for today:

* Risk = 3.8 Units
NBA: Houston Rockets at Los Angeles Lakers / 10:35 PM
(510) Los Angeles Lakers +3 -110

 

[Shatterhand]

Saturday morning update:

Yesterday was a good day, as both my NBA picks were winners.
The Main play was Chicago +8 (score: 110-109)
The Extra play was Charlotte -5 (score: 123-110)

However the Main plays still have a
WON 6 - LOST 9 - PUSHED 1 / LOST 10.728 U
ugly record.

Surprisingly, the Extra plays are doing better until now:
WON 11 - LOST 9 / WON 6.845 U

Links for the proofing of my picks and records can be found in my previous posts.

 

[Shatterhand]

Picks for today, Sunday:

The main play:

* Risk = 4 Units
NBA: Dallas Mavericks at Utah Jazz / 10:05 PM
(553) Dallas Mavericks +11 -110
------------------

The extra play:

* Risk = 3.8 Units
NBA: Los Angeles Lakers at New Orleans Pelicans / 7:05 PM
(539) Los Angeles Lakers -5.5 -110

 

[Shatterhand]

I've lost both my picks yesterday.
Today 2 early games:

Main Play:

* Risk = 4.2 Units
NBA: Orlando Magic at Toronto Raptors / 3:35 PM
(556) Toronto Raptors -9 -110
--------------------

Extra Play:

* Risk = 3.1 Units
NHL: New York Rangers at Washington Capitals / 12:35 PM
(55) New York Rangers +1 +117