Apologies about my lack of action on here fellas, RL life got a little crazy the past 10 or so days with my co-workers getting sick. Back to my bullshit BABYYYYYYY.
YTD Record —- 141-137-4 (+13.1Units
Devils vs Predators
New Jersey ML -125 (.5Unit)
New Jersey in Regulation +119 (.5Unit)
Don’t look now, but the New Jersey Devils are red hot again! Because after a little bit of a tough stretch throughout December, Lindy Ruff’s boys have managed to find their way back into the win column a whole bunch over the last ten, putting together a dazzling 8-1-1 record over their past 10 games. And although it is true those performances haven’t exactly been to the level that we saw back in November when the Devils were carrying play at a league-best level, it was always going to be hard to stay on a pace that saw them creating nearly 60% of the expected goals. So while the 5-on-5 numbers have tapered off and the Devils have perhaps enjoyed a little bit of good fortune over their last two, I fully expect them to get the pitchforks ready to skewer a Predators team I’ve been eager to fade all damn year.
And that’s because as I’ve spoken about all year, there just aren’t many offensive weapons in Nashville capable of carrying the play, and that bears itself out in their numbers. The Predators rank 22nd in expected goals with a 49.53 xGF% and average about 10 high-danger chances per game. It’s just an aging core that overperformed last year and has an elite goalie who is capable of stealing games in Saros, and while that’s a recipe for a team I’ll be looking to be on the otherside of as long as I’m on this game. Especially when the powerplay is in the bottom 5 of the league like Nashville’s is, scoring at a 16.2% pace.
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YTD Record —- 141-137-4 (+13.1Units
Devils vs Predators
New Jersey ML -125 (.5Unit)
New Jersey in Regulation +119 (.5Unit)
Don’t look now, but the New Jersey Devils are red hot again! Because after a little bit of a tough stretch throughout December, Lindy Ruff’s boys have managed to find their way back into the win column a whole bunch over the last ten, putting together a dazzling 8-1-1 record over their past 10 games. And although it is true those performances haven’t exactly been to the level that we saw back in November when the Devils were carrying play at a league-best level, it was always going to be hard to stay on a pace that saw them creating nearly 60% of the expected goals. So while the 5-on-5 numbers have tapered off and the Devils have perhaps enjoyed a little bit of good fortune over their last two, I fully expect them to get the pitchforks ready to skewer a Predators team I’ve been eager to fade all damn year.
And that’s because as I’ve spoken about all year, there just aren’t many offensive weapons in Nashville capable of carrying the play, and that bears itself out in their numbers. The Predators rank 22nd in expected goals with a 49.53 xGF% and average about 10 high-danger chances per game. It’s just an aging core that overperformed last year and has an elite goalie who is capable of stealing games in Saros, and while that’s a recipe for a team I’ll be looking to be on the otherside of as long as I’m on this game. Especially when the powerplay is in the bottom 5 of the league like Nashville’s is, scoring at a 16.2% pace.
If you liked this pick, checkout my FREE newsletter for my fullcard!
