I am going to speak for Money and he can follow up if i get anything incorrect but here is what I believe this philosophy is based on.
1. Favorites that if their offenses get rolling will almost always cover and go over.
2. Dogs that if they show up will almost always win SU and the game will be under.
So for your example:
Arizona -2.5 and Over 44.5 for $300
Detroit ML and Under 44.5 for $225
not saying that MM would play this game but if he did that would be the way he played it.
Another thing to consider is how the game is going to get bet in relation to when you lock in your bet, this week is a perfect example:
Normally MM will bet the favorite/over early and bet the ML/Under late but because Seattle will likely be bet heavily by squares he locked in a good ML on that game early, and is likely waiting to get Cincy under that key number (-3) when the public loads up on Seattle late. As always with betting this doesn't always work out but it is a good strategy.
