Hi folks. I have been reading for for a few months and thought now is a good time to contribute. I have not posted due to lack of typing skills but thought if everyone only read like me then there would be no site so here I am pecking away. I am here only to post my plays that I wager on and to get feedback on those plays as well as communicate with others who are in the same business I am in.
I look to have fun. Not looking to bash or judge.
I do have questions though as how to properly operate your sport wagering business.
I have read mc cunes book along with gordon, wong and miller. I have then concluded a few things from each of them and that is my basis of operation. here it is.
1. nba totals is the best moneymaker.Even though I am not quite sure how to do this.
2. unit ratings or wagering more on one game or another is not worth the risk. Straight flat betting is the best.
3. betting a percentage of bankroll.
4. 55%-58% is a good percentage of winners.
5. you must keep records.
6. you must have 4-6 outs in shopping for price.
7. gimmicks are sucker bets.
7. have an opinion on game before factoring in others thoughts.
8. make your own lines so you wont be influenced by them when you first see them.
9. winning requires taking adv. of incorrect odds and being on the good side of the erratic behavior of probability.(mccune)
10. knowledge, hard work, proper money management, odds shopping and discipline are
required to beat the man consistently.
11. mccune states that the handicapping techniques of most bettors are made up of the following:a.pure objective-numbers game, stats are the info.b.straight subjective-majority of bettors fall here. They know the players, records but are swayed by prejudiceand often look at individuals instead of overall team power and depth.c. system and trends-they look for coincidental past behavior from which they draw conclusionsconcerning the future.This seems to work well after the fact.d. historical-extensive research of the past and the uniqueness of the situation.e. biorhytm system-astrology, stars, playing hunches.
12. I try and use statistics along with recent performance and a few relevant subjective factors.
well hope I havent bored anyone. I am interested in what methods others use.
1. what type of rating system-1-5, 10 units, goy, or straight flat ratings?
2. what sportbooks or casinos and how many?
3. what handicapping technique do you use? a, b, c, d, e from above or some other.
4. where do you gather you data if you use statistical? database and what type, website like statfox or matchup or some other way?
5. what is agood starting bankroll?
6. do any of you play in tournaments and if so what, when and where?
7. whats the best way to keep records and evaluate your plays.
8. what are the best ways of setting your own lines or determining totals? How many people really do this? or does most just use what mccune calls straight subjective along with some trends and historical data?
9. whats the best events to wager on and what type of bet do most use or more immportantly makes money on? Alot of people say the books hate nba totals.But what is a good way to handicap for for nba totals?
10.I have a short list of handicappers on this site I read are there others to watch? lewis, sportsbet, kodiak, co-captain, thetexaskid, ny reb, occarsscam, zapster.
11. why doesnt everyone use only one thread? That way we can follow all ones picks and responses instesd of hundreds of threads. Also the next day post the results beside your previous days picks.
example-
mississippi state + 4 =dollar wager, % bankroll, if a unit then how much is each unit worth? Then post the result beside the pick.
providence -3 = 1% OF BANKROLL= $75.00 (won 78-72)
cleveland\new jersey over 179 = 1% = $75.00 (lost 176)
I look forward to posting my picks and communicating and learning from others on this great site that is a great resource.
thanks,
Heavy T
I look to have fun. Not looking to bash or judge.
I do have questions though as how to properly operate your sport wagering business.
I have read mc cunes book along with gordon, wong and miller. I have then concluded a few things from each of them and that is my basis of operation. here it is.
1. nba totals is the best moneymaker.Even though I am not quite sure how to do this.
2. unit ratings or wagering more on one game or another is not worth the risk. Straight flat betting is the best.
3. betting a percentage of bankroll.
4. 55%-58% is a good percentage of winners.
5. you must keep records.
6. you must have 4-6 outs in shopping for price.
7. gimmicks are sucker bets.
7. have an opinion on game before factoring in others thoughts.
8. make your own lines so you wont be influenced by them when you first see them.
9. winning requires taking adv. of incorrect odds and being on the good side of the erratic behavior of probability.(mccune)
10. knowledge, hard work, proper money management, odds shopping and discipline are
required to beat the man consistently.
11. mccune states that the handicapping techniques of most bettors are made up of the following:a.pure objective-numbers game, stats are the info.b.straight subjective-majority of bettors fall here. They know the players, records but are swayed by prejudiceand often look at individuals instead of overall team power and depth.c. system and trends-they look for coincidental past behavior from which they draw conclusionsconcerning the future.This seems to work well after the fact.d. historical-extensive research of the past and the uniqueness of the situation.e. biorhytm system-astrology, stars, playing hunches.
12. I try and use statistics along with recent performance and a few relevant subjective factors.
well hope I havent bored anyone. I am interested in what methods others use.
1. what type of rating system-1-5, 10 units, goy, or straight flat ratings?
2. what sportbooks or casinos and how many?
3. what handicapping technique do you use? a, b, c, d, e from above or some other.
4. where do you gather you data if you use statistical? database and what type, website like statfox or matchup or some other way?
5. what is agood starting bankroll?
6. do any of you play in tournaments and if so what, when and where?
7. whats the best way to keep records and evaluate your plays.
8. what are the best ways of setting your own lines or determining totals? How many people really do this? or does most just use what mccune calls straight subjective along with some trends and historical data?
9. whats the best events to wager on and what type of bet do most use or more immportantly makes money on? Alot of people say the books hate nba totals.But what is a good way to handicap for for nba totals?
10.I have a short list of handicappers on this site I read are there others to watch? lewis, sportsbet, kodiak, co-captain, thetexaskid, ny reb, occarsscam, zapster.
11. why doesnt everyone use only one thread? That way we can follow all ones picks and responses instesd of hundreds of threads. Also the next day post the results beside your previous days picks.
example-
mississippi state + 4 =dollar wager, % bankroll, if a unit then how much is each unit worth? Then post the result beside the pick.
providence -3 = 1% OF BANKROLL= $75.00 (won 78-72)
cleveland\new jersey over 179 = 1% = $75.00 (lost 176)
I look forward to posting my picks and communicating and learning from others on this great site that is a great resource.
thanks,
Heavy T
