Coppa Italia - (10-Jan-2007)

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Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
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Parma at ROMA
Day two of Coppa Italia pegs Parma at Roma with the following variables. The useless Coppa Italia has a tendency to produce unexpected results, especially when one is confronted with a typical mismatch such as this. On paper, Roma should dominate, if they care to. Is there a chance that they might come out flat and underestimate Parma? Maybe. Why this will not happen is simply a result
of too many factors stacked in Roma's favour:
1) Offensively dominant at home
2) Defensive core is league's best
3) Next serie A opponent is Messina, therefore no look ahead.
4) Last encounter saw Roma with a dominant 4-0 win.
5) Parma's play has improved of late, but yet, continue to demonstrate poor effort in road games (anemic offense and swiss cheese defense.)

Don't see Parma scoring, but see Roma scoring. The first half should provide an indicator. If they score early, the flood gates should open.

The play: ROMA -1.5 -123 (3.5 units)

Chievo at SAMPDORIA
Never been a fan of either of these two teams, especially of Chievo. Sampdoria plays much more aggresively at home than they do on the road. The result here should not be much different than week 11, with Samp winning 3-0. Staying away from the sides, but will take a stab at the total.

The play: SAMPDORIA OVER 2 and 2.5 -127 (3.5 units)


MA says: Was tempted to drop a heavier load on Roma but have refrained from doing so, primarily because Coppa Italia is junk and highly unpredictable. The Samp game should be highly entertaining and high scoring, where I do
see both teams scoring.

Thread carefully, and best of Luck.

MA
 

Twisted - but gifted - Serie A analyst
Joined
Sep 26, 2006
Messages
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Tokens
the mad actuarian said:
Parma at ROMA
Day two of Coppa Italia pegs Parma at Roma with the following variables. The useless Coppa Italia has a tendency to produce unexpected results, especially when one is confronted with a typical mismatch such as this. On paper, Roma should dominate, if they care to. Is there a chance that they might come out flat and underestimate Parma? Maybe. Why this will not happen is simply a result
of too many factors stacked in Roma's favour:
1) Offensively dominant at home
2) Defensive core is league's best
3) Next serie A opponent is Messina, therefore no look ahead.
4) Last encounter saw Roma with a dominant 4-0 win.
5) Parma's play has improved of late, but yet, continue to demonstrate poor effort in road games (anemic offense and swiss cheese defense.)

Don't see Parma scoring, but see Roma scoring. The first half should provide an indicator. If they score early, the flood gates should open.

The play: ROMA -1.5 -123 (3.5 units)
ROMA 2 Parma 1
(Though break..again! - Parma scoring useless goal at the 87th mark)



Chievo at SAMPDORIA
Never been a fan of either of these two teams, especially of Chievo. Sampdoria plays much more aggresively at home than they do on the road. The result here should not be much different than week 11, with Samp winning 3-0. Staying away from the sides, but will take a stab at the total.

The play: SAMPDORIA OVER 2 and 2.5 -127 (3.5 units)
SAMPDORIA 1 Chievo 0
(Two red cards to Samp and this play was toast)



MA says: Was tempted to drop a heavier load on Roma but have refrained from doing so, primarily because Coppa Italia is junk and highly unpredictable. The Samp game should be highly entertaining and high scoring, where I do
see both teams scoring.

Thread carefully, and best of Luck.

MA

W0-L2 (-8.75 units)
 

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