Coochie vs The Bookie

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Blue Jays vs Orioles
Play —- Jays TT Over 5 (-105)

OH CANADA I STAND ON GUARD FOR THEEEEE. Always love a day where the lab lets me back my BlueJays, especially when it’s a team total angle for a Toronto lineup that is BANGING THE BALL.

The Birds from up North are averaging 6.8 runs per game over the past two weeks, which would certainly make this a winner. But wait, the good times don’t stop there!
The Jays are the major league leaders in wOBA and wRC+ over that stretch of time and are hitting .310 as a team.

So you can imagine my glee when I see it’s Bradish whose charged with slowing Vladdy and the boys down. Few pitchers in the league have allowed more hard contact and a higher average exit velocity than Bradish this season. That is going to spell trouble for the Orioles and Bradish against a Blue Jays team that’s finally found their BOOMSTICKS after some early-season struggles.

Toronto has the second-highest exit velocity and leads the league in Hard-Hit rate. So maybe the broomsticks just started working properly….

Take the Jays to score a touchdown against the Orioles this evening.

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Brewers vs Mets
Play —- Over 7.5 (-115)

The Mets have been the 3rd-highest scoring team at home this season, producing 5.37 runs per game, which even puts them ahead of their cross-town rivals Yankees who play in a notoriously hitter-friendly park. So when we get a total set for 7.5, it’s easy to like the Over —— especially when the pitching matchup on both sides leaves MUCH to be desired.

Chris Bassit is the man towing the rubber in hopes of righting the ship a little bit for himself after he put together a rather disastrous start last time out in which he gave up 7-runs to a light-swinging Padres team. The longer balls have been plaguing Bassit in the early part of the season, giving up 1.1 HR/per 9 to go along with 3.3 walks per 9 —— those digits should have the Brewers big sticks of Yelich, Rowdy Tellez, Hunter Renfroe, and Co. jazzed about their chance of putting together some CROOKED numbers in New York this evening.

And charged with slowing down the Mets you ask? Well, that would be one Adrian “don’t call me Doogie” Hosier, and unfortunately for him, his performances of late have are not the kind you want to bring when facing this POTENT Mets line-up. Over his last three starts, he’s been ROCKED in two of them, surrendering 5 runs to the Phillies in what ended up finishing as a rough 10-0 loss, and prior to that outing, he was only one game removed from giving up 8 runs over 4 innings to the Cardinals at the end of May. What this meant was Housier’s once sparkling ERA of 2.83 after 9 starts have now ballooned to almost 4 after 12 starts, THAT'S NOT TRENDING IN THE RIGHT DIRECTION…..
S o take the Over in this matchup of two struggling starting pitchers, as I think we see both teams score their fair share of runs to make this one climb over that Number of 7.5
 
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Back to Back cashes on these PODs --- one more and the streak shall commence. DO NOT LET ME GET HOT PEOPLE. DONT LET IT FUCKIN HAPPEN.

Brewers vs Mets
Play — Under 7.5

When the Brewers have struggled so far this season you’ll most likely see them playing a lot of games that are going over the number. Such is the price one must pay when being so reliant on their pitching —— because when it isn’t there like early in the season we are going to see a lot more fireworks.
That being said the reason we have a total of 7.5 on his game is that the BrewCrew are sending Burnes to the bump today, and I am probably overly confident that he can have lots of success against that very contact-heavy Mets lineup.

That’s because what Burnes does best is make hitters grind the ball into the ground with his pitching repertoire of HEAVY stuff. And the numbers seem to line up with this idea, as over 2 career starts 2 across 15 career innings against the Mets he has only given up 2 runs and no homers.

The Mets counter with David Peterson, who is 3-0 this season, but has a 4.5 walks per nine innings rate and his FIP of 4.12 points to his 3.00 ERA being a bit lucky to this point —- but if he can avoid giving up the long ball, he should find success against this Brewers team who without it, REALLY struggle to score. Because despite being a surprising 3rd in HRs, they are 18th in scoring and 25th in batting average.

So expect another low-scoring affair like the one we watched last night in the BigApple between the Mets and BrewCrew.
 

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