To have all my plays and picks e-mailed to you each morning subscribe to my Substack! It's FREE.
To have up to the minute updates/live plays/etc follow me on Twitter @dacoochiebets
HUNGRY DOGS RUN FASTER PARLAY.
Bulls need to Win. Spurs need to Win.
Knicks suck and are playing for contractual obligation or further incentivization. Rockets suck and are playing for contractual obligation or further incentivization.
Keeping it simple with a rare parlay play suggestion —- feels as if this time of year its about handicapping give a fuck levels for at least 50% of games. So today we are going to back the teams who I think care more —- mostly.
The Cavs seem to be falling apart at the worst time possible. They’ve now slipped to 7th in the East after their 3rd consecutive loss, and are in now seem likely to be involved in the game in tournament. Not having Jarrett Allen in the middle appears to be too much for them to handle ——- seeing them fail to cover the spread in 6 straight games against Eastern Conference opponents.
It’s just hard to trust this Cavaliers team to cover double digits; and while the Magic haven’t been exactly the most consistent team in basketball of late, they do have young players who are giving effort and trying to preserve their spot in the Association. Which is not always the case for basement teams come this time of year in the NBA, and this grit has shone through all season by actually covering 21 times in 38 road games this season.
At the end of the day I do expect the Cavaliers to win this game, they need it desperately if they are to avoid the play in games. But that being said I like the magic to keep it close and battle to the end. That’s been the makeup of this roster all year long, and I’m looking to take advantage one more time.
Pair of teams looking to lose will be playing tonight in Portland in the classic tankapalooze extravaganza. Its games like these where one can hardly blame the old men screaming at the clouds crowd —- both teams will be without their “good” players because they are “injured”.
So what this means is season ticket holders get to go watch two G-League Teams play in a nice arena with expensive concessions —- hell of a regular season product they got here in the NBA. (BUT THIS LEAGUE)
Look it’s not going to be a fun watch, it’s not going to be a nice time, but I’ve faded the Blazers the past two times they’ve played (blow out loses to Houston) —- and what I can tell you is the money smells just as good when the games looks bad.
Over the last 10 games the Trail Blazers are clearly bottom of the league in net offensive and defensive rating, which currently stands at -17.4 —- the Thunder aren’t much better but better is better. I’ll bring the lighting so long as we can hear some thunder
Change the sport but my angle doesn’t change; this time of year it comes down to circumstance as much as anything. The teams are pretty well known, by both us and the bookies — so value is going to be had either in the emotional margins or in recent trends.
And with regards to purpose and circumstance — the Captials are still very much playing for seeding. With them currently being slotted in the wild card spot, but with room to improve up to 2nd or 3rdd with a good stretch of hockey, their will be no lack of effort this evening from the home dogs.
And while the Hurricanes have been stupendous all year long, their past 10 haven’t been up the same level of performance. Beyond that though they are playing the Lightning tomorrow night, in Tampa. With both the Lightning and Hurricanes seemingly likely to collide I’m banking on the Hurricans to look ahead a little bit, both unconsciously and conciously.
The Thunderbirds are facing a Fresno State team that does everything possible to limit the amount of possessions in a game, playing at the eighth-slowest tempo among the 358 Division I teams in possessions per game. Beyond the pace of play Fresno is going to struggle to cover because there’s not likely be a lot of second chances for Fresno State either as Southern Utah is allowing opponent to grab a rebound on 19.5% of missed shots in games away from home, which ranks fifth in the nation.
Beyond that though outside shooting also should keep Southern Utah in this game with Fresno State 241st in the country in 3-point shooting percentage, shooting an identical 32.4% at home and away from home while Southern Utah is 118th in the country in 3-point shooting percentage at 34.4% and shooting 41% from the outside this tournament.
Fresno State has covered just three of their last 12 games, only one of which as a favorite, and with their slow tempo it will prolong their rough against the spread stretch with a north of a touchdown line.
To have up to the minute updates/live plays/etc follow me on Twitter @dacoochiebets
Chicago Bulls @ New York Knicks
San Antonio Spurs @ Houston Rockets
Play —- Spurs/Bulls ML Parlay +116HUNGRY DOGS RUN FASTER PARLAY.
Bulls need to Win. Spurs need to Win.
Knicks suck and are playing for contractual obligation or further incentivization. Rockets suck and are playing for contractual obligation or further incentivization.
Keeping it simple with a rare parlay play suggestion —- feels as if this time of year its about handicapping give a fuck levels for at least 50% of games. So today we are going to back the teams who I think care more —- mostly.
Orlando Magic at Cleveland Cavaliers
Play —— Magic +10The Cavs seem to be falling apart at the worst time possible. They’ve now slipped to 7th in the East after their 3rd consecutive loss, and are in now seem likely to be involved in the game in tournament. Not having Jarrett Allen in the middle appears to be too much for them to handle ——- seeing them fail to cover the spread in 6 straight games against Eastern Conference opponents.
It’s just hard to trust this Cavaliers team to cover double digits; and while the Magic haven’t been exactly the most consistent team in basketball of late, they do have young players who are giving effort and trying to preserve their spot in the Association. Which is not always the case for basement teams come this time of year in the NBA, and this grit has shone through all season by actually covering 21 times in 38 road games this season.
At the end of the day I do expect the Cavaliers to win this game, they need it desperately if they are to avoid the play in games. But that being said I like the magic to keep it close and battle to the end. That’s been the makeup of this roster all year long, and I’m looking to take advantage one more time.
Oklahoma City Thunder at Portland Trail Blazers
Play —- Thunder -1.5Pair of teams looking to lose will be playing tonight in Portland in the classic tankapalooze extravaganza. Its games like these where one can hardly blame the old men screaming at the clouds crowd —- both teams will be without their “good” players because they are “injured”.
So what this means is season ticket holders get to go watch two G-League Teams play in a nice arena with expensive concessions —- hell of a regular season product they got here in the NBA. (BUT THIS LEAGUE)
Look it’s not going to be a fun watch, it’s not going to be a nice time, but I’ve faded the Blazers the past two times they’ve played (blow out loses to Houston) —- and what I can tell you is the money smells just as good when the games looks bad.
Over the last 10 games the Trail Blazers are clearly bottom of the league in net offensive and defensive rating, which currently stands at -17.4 —- the Thunder aren’t much better but better is better. I’ll bring the lighting so long as we can hear some thunder
Carolina Hurricanes at Washington Capitals
Play —- Capitals MLChange the sport but my angle doesn’t change; this time of year it comes down to circumstance as much as anything. The teams are pretty well known, by both us and the bookies — so value is going to be had either in the emotional margins or in recent trends.
And with regards to purpose and circumstance — the Captials are still very much playing for seeding. With them currently being slotted in the wild card spot, but with room to improve up to 2nd or 3rdd with a good stretch of hockey, their will be no lack of effort this evening from the home dogs.
And while the Hurricanes have been stupendous all year long, their past 10 haven’t been up the same level of performance. Beyond that though they are playing the Lightning tomorrow night, in Tampa. With both the Lightning and Hurricanes seemingly likely to collide I’m banking on the Hurricans to look ahead a little bit, both unconsciously and conciously.
Note: I like the Capitals even if Anderson plays; but if he doesn’t I’d expect this live to move closer to +100.
Seattle Kraken @ Los Angeles Kings
Play —- First Period UnderSouthern Utah Thunderbirds @ Fresno St Bulldogs
Play —- Southern Utah +7.5The Thunderbirds are facing a Fresno State team that does everything possible to limit the amount of possessions in a game, playing at the eighth-slowest tempo among the 358 Division I teams in possessions per game. Beyond the pace of play Fresno is going to struggle to cover because there’s not likely be a lot of second chances for Fresno State either as Southern Utah is allowing opponent to grab a rebound on 19.5% of missed shots in games away from home, which ranks fifth in the nation.
Beyond that though outside shooting also should keep Southern Utah in this game with Fresno State 241st in the country in 3-point shooting percentage, shooting an identical 32.4% at home and away from home while Southern Utah is 118th in the country in 3-point shooting percentage at 34.4% and shooting 41% from the outside this tournament.
Fresno State has covered just three of their last 12 games, only one of which as a favorite, and with their slow tempo it will prolong their rough against the spread stretch with a north of a touchdown line.
