Connecticut vs South Florida 12/4/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Connecticut winning 48% of simulations, and South Florida 52% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Connecticut commits fewer turnovers in 50% of simulations and they go on to win 59% when they take care of the ball. South Florida wins 70% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jordan Todman is averaging 135 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (34% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. Moise Plancher is averaging 64 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SFLA -2

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