Yes you are right guys. I should keep record but I'm not because I started posting in the middle of the season. And I didn't want to confuse you.
I'm using 2% of my balance for each bet. Since the beginning of the season it's about +70 and since posting here about +21.
And the season down was about -15. It was in May.
So it's up
I'm using 2% of my balance for each bet. Since the beginning of the season it's about +70 and since posting here about +21.
And the season down was about -15. It was in May.
So it's up
Buzzie, Delta, Oksooner thanks for your comments.
Delta, glad to hear that u r following this thread and earned a few units.
Oksooner, ofcourse I'm posting both wins and loses as it should be.
But I want to warn you, all the data processed by computer(I'm only deciding whether it's value or not) and at this time of the season or the following days-weeks team performances can change because of play offs as you know. Please be aware of that.
And Delta I'm using a rating system. I'm not only calculating the percentages but also scores. Score prediction is not useful for MLB(there is a pitcher variable) but it works fine for other sports, especially for NBA. I can give you a few tips but you need to be good at math and statistics. If you are not it's very difficult to explain.
Thank you again and good luck with your bets.
BTW, sorry for my poor English. I hope it's clear enough.
Delta, glad to hear that u r following this thread and earned a few units.
Oksooner, ofcourse I'm posting both wins and loses as it should be.
But I want to warn you, all the data processed by computer(I'm only deciding whether it's value or not) and at this time of the season or the following days-weeks team performances can change because of play offs as you know. Please be aware of that.
And Delta I'm using a rating system. I'm not only calculating the percentages but also scores. Score prediction is not useful for MLB(there is a pitcher variable) but it works fine for other sports, especially for NBA. I can give you a few tips but you need to be good at math and statistics. If you are not it's very difficult to explain.
Thank you again and good luck with your bets.
BTW, sorry for my poor English. I hope it's clear enough.
if he risks 1 unit a game, then he's up
thats like ducking the question.....with the juice on many games it doesn't mean he is up!!!
I'm just to lazy and busy to actually go through it, but Units is very important for me when deciding wheather to play or fade picks
Doesn't that sound FAIR mate....
crazy I understand your concern. But I'm not a pro handicapper and I'm not offering guaranteed winners, +xx unit at the and of the season or anything like this.
What I'm trying to say is, you can make profit with this picks with a good money management. As you can see the success rate is about 63% and the minimum odds is 1.57 ( -175 in US) and the average is around 1.75-1.8 (-125, -135 in US).
As long as the success rate about 60% and I'm sure it'll be at the end of the season you can make profit.
Everyone has his own money management system and it depends on it.
For your insistence here is my history(1 unit for each bet)
18
Florida 57.53%
@ 1.91 +0.91
White Sox 61.41%
@1.77 -1
Angels 63.68%
@1.91 +0.91
19
Florida 58.32%
@1.89 -1
Angels 63.68%
@1.77 + 0.77
Texas 58.71%
@1.74 -1
NY Yankees 59.48%
@1.77 +0.77
20
Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals
59.87% – 40.13%
Colorado Rockies @ 1.73 +0.73
Florida Marlins @ Houston Astros
57.53% – 42.47%
Florida Marlins @ 1.83 -1
LA Angels @ Cleveland Indians
64.06% – 35.94%
LA Angels @ 1.65 -1
San Francisco Giants @ Cincinnati Reds
58.71% – 41.29%
San Francisco Giants @ 1.74 -1
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres
65.17% – 34.83%
St. Louis Cardinals @ 1.63 +0.63
Chicago Cubs @ LA Dodgers
40.52% - 59.48%
LA Dodgers @ 1.77 +0.77
21
Chicago Cubs @ LA Dodgers
39.74% – 60.26%
LA Dodgers @ 1.69 +0.69
Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals
55.96% – 44.04%
Minnesota Twins @ 1.91 +0.91
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres
65.54% – 34.46%
St. Louis Cardinals @ 1.77 -1
22
LA Angels @ Toronto Blue Jays
55.57% - 44.43%
LA Angels @ 1.81 +0.81
Chicago Cubs @ LA Dodgers
39.74% - 60.26%
LA Dodgers @ 1.91 +0.91
Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals
55.96% - 44.04%
Minnesota Twins @ 1.91 +0.91
23
Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington Nationals
53.98% - 46.02%
Milwaukee Brewers @ 1.89 -1
Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals
55.96% - 44.04%
Minnesota Twins @ 1.91 +0.91
SF Giants @ Colorado Rockies
44.83% - 55.17%
Colorado Rockies @ 1.89 +0.89
24
Detroit Tigers @ LA Angels
43.64% - 56.36%
LA Angels @ 1.8 -1
25
Arizona Diamondbacks @ SF Giants
42.07% - 57.93%
SF Giants @ 1.83 +0.83
26
Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox
39.74% - 60.26%
Boston Red Sox @ 1.69 +0.69
Detroit Tigers @ LA Angels
43.25% - 56.75%
LA Angels @ 1.83 +0.83
Houston Astros @ St. Louis Cardinals
39.74% - 60.26%
St. Louis Cardinals @ 1.71 +0.71
27
Arizona Diamodbacks @ SF Giants
42.07% - 57.93%
SF Giants @ 1.74 -1
Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox
39.74% - 60.26%
Boston Red Sox @ 1.8 -1
28
LA Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds
65.17% - 34.83%
LA Dodgers @ 1.56 -1
San Diego Padres @ Florida Marlins
38.59% - 61.41%
Florida Marlins @ 1.69 -1
29
Houston Astros @ Arizona Diamondbacks
44.43% - 55.57%
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 1.8 +0.8
Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Mariners
41.29% - 58.71%
Seattle Mariners @ 1.77 +0.77
LA Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds
64.80% - 35.20%
LA Dodgers @ 1.57 +0.57
30
LA Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds
65.54% - 34.46%
LA Dodgers @ 1.57 +0.57
San Diego Padres @ Florida Marlins
40.13% - 59.87%
Florida Marlins @ 1.69 +0.69
31
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
47.21% - 52.79%
Minnesota Twins @ 1.91 +0.91
Kansas City Royals @ Oakland Athletics
40.13% - 59.87%
Oakland Athletics @ 1.75 +0.75
1
Atlanta Braves @ Florida Marlins
53.59% - 46.41%
Atlanta Braves @ 1.91 +0.91
Kansas City Royals @ Oakland Athletics
39.74% - 60.26%
Oakland Athletics @ 1.69 -1
LA Angels @ Seattle Mariners
57.93% - 42.07%
LA Angels @ 1.74 -1
It is +5.55 if you bet 1 unit for each.
What I'm trying to say is, you can make profit with this picks with a good money management. As you can see the success rate is about 63% and the minimum odds is 1.57 ( -175 in US) and the average is around 1.75-1.8 (-125, -135 in US).
As long as the success rate about 60% and I'm sure it'll be at the end of the season you can make profit.
Everyone has his own money management system and it depends on it.
For your insistence here is my history(1 unit for each bet)
18
Florida 57.53%
@ 1.91 +0.91
White Sox 61.41%
@1.77 -1
Angels 63.68%
@1.91 +0.91
19
Florida 58.32%
@1.89 -1
Angels 63.68%
@1.77 + 0.77
Texas 58.71%
@1.74 -1
NY Yankees 59.48%
@1.77 +0.77
20
Colorado Rockies @ Washington Nationals
59.87% – 40.13%
Colorado Rockies @ 1.73 +0.73
Florida Marlins @ Houston Astros
57.53% – 42.47%
Florida Marlins @ 1.83 -1
LA Angels @ Cleveland Indians
64.06% – 35.94%
LA Angels @ 1.65 -1
San Francisco Giants @ Cincinnati Reds
58.71% – 41.29%
San Francisco Giants @ 1.74 -1
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres
65.17% – 34.83%
St. Louis Cardinals @ 1.63 +0.63
Chicago Cubs @ LA Dodgers
40.52% - 59.48%
LA Dodgers @ 1.77 +0.77
21
Chicago Cubs @ LA Dodgers
39.74% – 60.26%
LA Dodgers @ 1.69 +0.69
Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals
55.96% – 44.04%
Minnesota Twins @ 1.91 +0.91
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Diego Padres
65.54% – 34.46%
St. Louis Cardinals @ 1.77 -1
22
LA Angels @ Toronto Blue Jays
55.57% - 44.43%
LA Angels @ 1.81 +0.81
Chicago Cubs @ LA Dodgers
39.74% - 60.26%
LA Dodgers @ 1.91 +0.91
Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals
55.96% - 44.04%
Minnesota Twins @ 1.91 +0.91
23
Milwaukee Brewers @ Washington Nationals
53.98% - 46.02%
Milwaukee Brewers @ 1.89 -1
Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals
55.96% - 44.04%
Minnesota Twins @ 1.91 +0.91
SF Giants @ Colorado Rockies
44.83% - 55.17%
Colorado Rockies @ 1.89 +0.89
24
Detroit Tigers @ LA Angels
43.64% - 56.36%
LA Angels @ 1.8 -1
25
Arizona Diamondbacks @ SF Giants
42.07% - 57.93%
SF Giants @ 1.83 +0.83
26
Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox
39.74% - 60.26%
Boston Red Sox @ 1.69 +0.69
Detroit Tigers @ LA Angels
43.25% - 56.75%
LA Angels @ 1.83 +0.83
Houston Astros @ St. Louis Cardinals
39.74% - 60.26%
St. Louis Cardinals @ 1.71 +0.71
27
Arizona Diamodbacks @ SF Giants
42.07% - 57.93%
SF Giants @ 1.74 -1
Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox
39.74% - 60.26%
Boston Red Sox @ 1.8 -1
28
LA Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds
65.17% - 34.83%
LA Dodgers @ 1.56 -1
San Diego Padres @ Florida Marlins
38.59% - 61.41%
Florida Marlins @ 1.69 -1
29
Houston Astros @ Arizona Diamondbacks
44.43% - 55.57%
Arizona Diamondbacks @ 1.8 +0.8
Kansas City Royals @ Seattle Mariners
41.29% - 58.71%
Seattle Mariners @ 1.77 +0.77
LA Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds
64.80% - 35.20%
LA Dodgers @ 1.57 +0.57
30
LA Dodgers @ Cincinnati Reds
65.54% - 34.46%
LA Dodgers @ 1.57 +0.57
San Diego Padres @ Florida Marlins
40.13% - 59.87%
Florida Marlins @ 1.69 +0.69
31
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
47.21% - 52.79%
Minnesota Twins @ 1.91 +0.91
Kansas City Royals @ Oakland Athletics
40.13% - 59.87%
Oakland Athletics @ 1.75 +0.75
1
Atlanta Braves @ Florida Marlins
53.59% - 46.41%
Atlanta Braves @ 1.91 +0.91
Kansas City Royals @ Oakland Athletics
39.74% - 60.26%
Oakland Athletics @ 1.69 -1
LA Angels @ Seattle Mariners
57.93% - 42.07%
LA Angels @ 1.74 -1
It is +5.55 if you bet 1 unit for each.
thanks....I wasn't trying to be confrontational, sorry if it seemed that way. Units is important to me b/c its a better indication compared to win-loss. The type of line you use is also a little different so I was just trying to gage how I can use your thread with my daily wagering. Either way I went back and tallied all your plays myself, and you are up over 7 units. I used closing lines..
good job keep this up, and since I now know a little more on how you will do I will look into your threads daily.
Good Job.....keep them coming!!
good job keep this up, and since I now know a little more on how you will do I will look into your threads daily.
Good Job.....keep them coming!!
26-16 overall
Too many picks for today.
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies
41.68% - 58.32%
Colorado Rockies @ 1.91
Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox
57.93% - 42.07%
Boston Red Sox @ 1.85
Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays
42.86% - 57.14%
Tampa Bay Rays @ 1.89
Florida Marlins @ Washington Nationals
55.17% - 44.83%
Florida Marlins @ 1.82
LA Angels @ Kansas City Royals
64.43% - 35.57%
LA Angels @ 1.65
Philadelphia Philies @ Houston Astros
62.17% - 37.83%
Philadelphia Philies @ 1.79
SF Giants @ Milwaukee Brewers
54.38% - 45.62%
SF Giants @ 1.9
Texas Rangers @ Baltimore Orioles
57.14% - 42.86%
Texas Rangers @ 1.79
Good luck...
Too many picks for today.
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies
41.68% - 58.32%
Colorado Rockies @ 1.91
Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox
57.93% - 42.07%
Boston Red Sox @ 1.85
Detroit Tigers @ Tampa Bay Rays
42.86% - 57.14%
Tampa Bay Rays @ 1.89
Florida Marlins @ Washington Nationals
55.17% - 44.83%
Florida Marlins @ 1.82
LA Angels @ Kansas City Royals
64.43% - 35.57%
LA Angels @ 1.65
Philadelphia Philies @ Houston Astros
62.17% - 37.83%
Philadelphia Philies @ 1.79
SF Giants @ Milwaukee Brewers
54.38% - 45.62%
SF Giants @ 1.9
Texas Rangers @ Baltimore Orioles
57.14% - 42.86%
Texas Rangers @ 1.79
Good luck...
5-3 yesterday
31-19 overall
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies
41.68% - 58.32%
Colorado Rockies @ 1.74
LA Angels @ Kansas City Royals
64.06% - 35.94%
LA Angels @ 1.91
Philadelphia Philies @ Houston Astros
61.03% - 38.97%
Philadelphia Philies @ 1.91
St Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
58.32% - 41.68%
St Louis Cardinals @ 1.82
Texas Rangers @ Baltimore Orioles
57.53% - 42.47%
Texas Rangers @ 1.74
Good luck...
31-19 overall
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies
41.68% - 58.32%
Colorado Rockies @ 1.74
LA Angels @ Kansas City Royals
64.06% - 35.94%
LA Angels @ 1.91
Philadelphia Philies @ Houston Astros
61.03% - 38.97%
Philadelphia Philies @ 1.91
St Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates
58.32% - 41.68%
St Louis Cardinals @ 1.82
Texas Rangers @ Baltimore Orioles
57.53% - 42.47%
Texas Rangers @ 1.74
Good luck...
