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Cincinnati @ New England -11 44
The Bengal's are 6-3 ATS L/9 and 3-0 ATS L/3 versus the Pats. Six of those nine meetings went 'over' the set 'total'. Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS L/6 but just 2-6 ATS L/8 on the road. New England is 5-0 ATS L/5 and 9-1 ATS L/10 that includes going 4-1 ATS L/5 at home. The Bengal's have gone 'over' in 5 of their L/6 on the road. The Patriots are 1-3-1 L/5 favoring the 'under' at home. Cincinnati is 1-6 ATS L/7 games 4 of the regular season. New England is 7-2 ATS L/9 and 32-16 ATS L/48 in the last 4 weeks of the season. The Pats are 5-1 ATS L/6 as a 10 point favorite or more. Cincinnati is 3-0 ATS L/3 as a road underdog of 10 or more points. The Bengal's are one of the NFL's worst teams against the rush allowing 141.9 YPG....Corey Dillon vs his old team, a team that has won four of last five games, with only loss 24-19 at Steelers. Bengals scored 85 points in last two games, and rallied from 20-3 deficit to win last week; their last double digit loss was Week 6 in Cleveland. Patriots won and covered all five games since loss at Pittsburgh, with four of the five wins by 18+ points- they're 4-1-1 vs spread at home. Cincy allowed 123+ rushing yards in eight of 12 games this year; Ravens got them for 192 last week, with Jamal Lewis out.
Cleveland @ Buffalo -11 38
There have been no recent meetings in this series. The Bills are 5-1 ATS L/6 and 4-1 ATS L/5 at home. The Browns have lost 6 straight SU and are 1-5 ATS L/5 overall. Buffalo has gone 'over' the set 'total' in 5 of their L/6 and in 5 consecutive home games. The Bills are 1-9-1 ATS L/11 after scoring 40 or more points in contest. The Browns are 1-3 ATS L/4 versus AFC East opposition. Buffalo is averaging 39 points per game over their L/3 games while the Browns defense is allowing an average of 50 PPG over their L/2 outings and 6 times this season have allowed 27 or more points....Cleveland lost last six games, allowing 100 points in last two games they've allowed 203.8 rushing yards per game last four weeks; with interim regime in place, they are candidate to tank, especially on road. Buffalo won and covered five of last six games, scoring 38.7 ppg in winning last three (12 TD's/last 37 drives), and they've averaged 7.0/7.3/7.8 yards per pass attempt in those games, after throwing for 7 yards per attempt just once in first nine contests. Bills have 13 takeaways in last three games (plus-8).
NY Giants @ Baltimore -10 33.5
The Ravens are 7-2 ATS L/9 versus the Jets. Six of the L/7 meetings in this series have gone 'over' the set 'total'. The Giants are 3-7-1 ATS L/11 on the road. The Ravens are 4-2 ATS L/6 at home. NY has seen 8 of their L/11 games go 'under' the total and 4 of their L/5 follow suit. Baltimore has gone 'over' 4 of their L/5 games and 5 of their L/6 at home. The Giants have gone 'over' in 7 of their L/9 games where the 'total' has been set at 35 or lower. The Ravens have gone 'under' in 5 of 6 when the 'total' is set at 35.Note: The Ravens have the NFL's weakest passing game averaging just 134.6 YPG....Jim Fassel, ex-Giant coach, is consultant for Ravens, which could give him insight here. Big Blue in freefall, with five losses in row, scoring just 9.3 ppg in last four; in three games with Manning starting, Giants have one TD on 29 drives- they've been outscored 42-6 in first half of those games. Ravens blew 20-3 4th-quarter lead last week; they're 4-2 vs spread at home, with wins by 17-14-14-20 points. Baltimore is 0-3 if they allow 6.0 yards per pass or better; Eli has averaged 4.2/4.3/4.1 in Eli's three starts.
Detroit @ Green Bay -9.5 44
The Packers have won 13 consecutive SU versus Detroit at home and are 10-1-2 ATS over that span. The Pack have won and covered the L/6 consecutive meetings in this series at Lambeau. No definitive 'total' trends were established. Green Bay is just 2-5 ATS L/7 at home and Detroit is 5-2 ATS L/7 away. The Lions have gone 'under' in 4 of their L/5 games. The Packers have gone 'over' in 7 of their L/8 games and 4 of their L/5 at home. Detroit is 12-6 ATS L/18 as a underdog of between 7.5 and 10 points. Green Bay is 34-17 L/51 December games. The Pack own one of the NFL's strongest passing games averaging 269.1 YPG and one of the leagues worst pass defenses allowing 257.7 YPG....Green Bay outrushed Lions 157-33 in first meeting, as they broke open close game in second half of 38-10 win. Pack had six-game win streak snapped last week; they've scored 40 ppg in winning last three home games, after starting year 0-3 in Lambeau. Lions ended five-game loss streak last week; they're 3-3 on road, 4-2 as road dog, with losses by 10-6 (ot)-3 points. Detroit is minus-8 in turnovers last two weeks; they have just four TD's on their last 57 drives. Over is 7-1 in last eight Packer games.
Seattle @ Minnesota -7 52
The Seahawks are 4-2 ATS L/6 versus the Vikings. Five of those 6 meetings went 'over' the set 'total'. Seattle is 1-8 ATS L/9 overall but is 6-3 ATS L/9 away. Minnesota is 6-3 ATS L/9 overall. The Hawks have gone 'over' the set 'total' in 8 of their L/9 overall. The Vikings have gone 'under' in 5 of their L/7 overall and 4 of their L/5 at home. Seattle is 30-17 ATS L/47 December games. Note: The Vikings are one of the NFL's top passing teams averaging 277.7 YPG. The Seahawks have allowed their L/2 opponents to score and average of 40.5 points....Tough spot for Seahawks, traveling on short week, after late loss Monday night, second time this year they lost home game they led by double digits with under 6:00 to play. Seattle is 1-6 if it allows 23+ points; Vikings average 24 at home. Edge for Seattle is porous Minnesota run defense that allowed 160 rushing yards per game over last six weeks. Vikings are 5-0 if they allow 22 or less points. Seattle lost three of last four road games; they allowed 81 points last two weeks (ten TD's on last 24 enemy drives).
Oakland @ Atlanta -7.5 46
The Raiders are 4-2 ATS L/6 versus the Falcons. Five of the L/6 meetings in this series have gone 'over' the set 'total'. The Raiders are 2-7 ATS L/9 overall and 4-12 ATS L/16 on the road. The Falcons are 1-4 ATS L/5 at home. Oakland has gone 'over' the set 'total' in 5 of their L/6 overall and 5 of their L/6 on the road. Atlanta has gone 'under' in 4 of their L/5 games. The Raiders are 1-6 ATS L/7 as a road underdog of between 7.5 to 10 points. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in all games where the total has been set at between 42.5 and 49 points. Note: The Falcons lead the league in rushing with a 162.7 YPG. Oakland has the NFL's worst run game averaging 71.6 YPG....Oakland lost 35-14 in only previous carpet game this year, at the Colts; they have no sacks in three post-bye games, and allowed 18 TD's on last 53 opponent drives. Atlanta was blanked last week; they're 5-1 at home, with three of the five wins by three or less points (1-4 last five tries as home favorite). Over is 4-1 in last five Raider games, as poor tackling defense has yielded 423 yards per game last three weeks. Last four Falcon games stayed under, as Falcons scored just 15.5 ppg in those games, but Atlanta has run ball for 190 yards per game over last five contests.
Chicago @ Jacksonville -7.5 34
These teams spilt the most recent meetings in this series home away both SU/ATS. The last 4 meetings between these teams went 'over' the set 'total'. The Bears are 4-2 ATS overall and 4-2 ATS L/6 on the road. The Jaguars are 7-3 ATS L/10 at home. Chicago has gone 'over' 4 of their L/6 overall but are 4-9 favoring the under L/13 on the road. Jacksonville is 4 of their L/5 and 8 of their L/9 home games. The Bears are 31-17 ATS L/48 non conference games. The Jaguars are 3-0 ATS L/3 where the line has been set a 35. The Bears have the NFL's second worst pass defense averaging 135.5 YPG. ...Chicago has forced 17 turnovers in its five wins (3.4), 8 in their seven losses (1.14); they're 3-3 on road, 4-2 as road dogs. Bear QB Hutchinson gets first road start vs Jaguar squad that lost three games in row and four of last five. Jags have only five TD's on their last 53 drives- in their last two games, on nine drives inside the opponents' 20-yard line, Jags have five FG's and only one TD, which is why they lost two winnable games. Bears have four TD's on their last 52 drives. Under is 5-1 at home with Jags, and unless defense/special teams score points, doubt this game will get over total.
New Orleans @ Dallas -7 48
The Saints are 4-1 ATS L/5 against New Orleans but Dallas is 4-1 ATS L/5 at home in this series. These teams have gone 'under' in 6 of the L/8 overall confrontations. New Orleans has gone 'over' in their L/4 L/5 away. Dallas has gone 'over' in 6 of their L/9 games. The Saints are 8-3 ATS L/11 away games. The Cowboys are 3-6 ATS L/9 overall. Dallas is 5-1 ATS L/6 when they are facing a losing team in the second half of the season and have gone 'under in 11 of 14 when under the same circumstances. The Cowboys are 1-5 ATS against NFC South division opponents. The Saints have the NFL's worst defense allowing 28.7 PPG. ...Dallas defense still shaky (507 allowed Monday, and 14 TD's in last 49 drives), but they're still in contention thanks to wild finish Monday night, while Saints are 2-7 in last nine games, allowing 30 ppg during three-game losing streak. In five games since its bye, NO has allowed 167 rushing yards per game, good news for Dallas team that has 352 rush yards in last two games, behind rookie RB Jones. Over is 4-1 in Saints' road games, with average total of 51.4. Saints are 0-7 if they score less than 27 points, but Dallas has allowed 30+ in three of last four games.
Indianapolis -11 @ Houston 57
The Colts are 5-0 SU and 3-2 ATS L/5 versus the Texans .Three of those confrontations in this series went 'under' the set 'total'. Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS L/5 overall and 4-1 ATS L/5 on the road. Houston is 1-3-1 ATS L/5 games overall and 8-2-1 ATS L/11 home games. The Colts have gone 'over' in 6 of their L/7 games. The Texans have gone 'under' in 5 of their L/7 overall and 'over' in 4 of the L/6 at home. The Colts have gone 'over' in 14 of their L/21 on a grass field. Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS L/5 games after scoring 40 or more points. The Colts are the NFL's highest scoring team averaging 35.9 PPG. ...In first meeting, a 49-14 Colt win four weeks ago, Indy forced four turnovers and scored five TD's on seven drives that started less than 80 yards from Texan end zone- they also sacked Carr five times. Houston lost four of last five games, scoring 14 or less points in the losses; they're 5-2 if they score 20+ points, but improved Colt defense has allowed just one of last four foes to do that. In last two games, Texans allowed five TD's, four on drives of 42 or less yards. Team that led at half lost last three Houston games.
Cincinnati @ New England -11 44
The Bengal's are 6-3 ATS L/9 and 3-0 ATS L/3 versus the Pats. Six of those nine meetings went 'over' the set 'total'. Cincinnati is 5-1 ATS L/6 but just 2-6 ATS L/8 on the road. New England is 5-0 ATS L/5 and 9-1 ATS L/10 that includes going 4-1 ATS L/5 at home. The Bengal's have gone 'over' in 5 of their L/6 on the road. The Patriots are 1-3-1 L/5 favoring the 'under' at home. Cincinnati is 1-6 ATS L/7 games 4 of the regular season. New England is 7-2 ATS L/9 and 32-16 ATS L/48 in the last 4 weeks of the season. The Pats are 5-1 ATS L/6 as a 10 point favorite or more. Cincinnati is 3-0 ATS L/3 as a road underdog of 10 or more points. The Bengal's are one of the NFL's worst teams against the rush allowing 141.9 YPG....Corey Dillon vs his old team, a team that has won four of last five games, with only loss 24-19 at Steelers. Bengals scored 85 points in last two games, and rallied from 20-3 deficit to win last week; their last double digit loss was Week 6 in Cleveland. Patriots won and covered all five games since loss at Pittsburgh, with four of the five wins by 18+ points- they're 4-1-1 vs spread at home. Cincy allowed 123+ rushing yards in eight of 12 games this year; Ravens got them for 192 last week, with Jamal Lewis out.
Cleveland @ Buffalo -11 38
There have been no recent meetings in this series. The Bills are 5-1 ATS L/6 and 4-1 ATS L/5 at home. The Browns have lost 6 straight SU and are 1-5 ATS L/5 overall. Buffalo has gone 'over' the set 'total' in 5 of their L/6 and in 5 consecutive home games. The Bills are 1-9-1 ATS L/11 after scoring 40 or more points in contest. The Browns are 1-3 ATS L/4 versus AFC East opposition. Buffalo is averaging 39 points per game over their L/3 games while the Browns defense is allowing an average of 50 PPG over their L/2 outings and 6 times this season have allowed 27 or more points....Cleveland lost last six games, allowing 100 points in last two games they've allowed 203.8 rushing yards per game last four weeks; with interim regime in place, they are candidate to tank, especially on road. Buffalo won and covered five of last six games, scoring 38.7 ppg in winning last three (12 TD's/last 37 drives), and they've averaged 7.0/7.3/7.8 yards per pass attempt in those games, after throwing for 7 yards per attempt just once in first nine contests. Bills have 13 takeaways in last three games (plus-8).
NY Giants @ Baltimore -10 33.5
The Ravens are 7-2 ATS L/9 versus the Jets. Six of the L/7 meetings in this series have gone 'over' the set 'total'. The Giants are 3-7-1 ATS L/11 on the road. The Ravens are 4-2 ATS L/6 at home. NY has seen 8 of their L/11 games go 'under' the total and 4 of their L/5 follow suit. Baltimore has gone 'over' 4 of their L/5 games and 5 of their L/6 at home. The Giants have gone 'over' in 7 of their L/9 games where the 'total' has been set at 35 or lower. The Ravens have gone 'under' in 5 of 6 when the 'total' is set at 35.Note: The Ravens have the NFL's weakest passing game averaging just 134.6 YPG....Jim Fassel, ex-Giant coach, is consultant for Ravens, which could give him insight here. Big Blue in freefall, with five losses in row, scoring just 9.3 ppg in last four; in three games with Manning starting, Giants have one TD on 29 drives- they've been outscored 42-6 in first half of those games. Ravens blew 20-3 4th-quarter lead last week; they're 4-2 vs spread at home, with wins by 17-14-14-20 points. Baltimore is 0-3 if they allow 6.0 yards per pass or better; Eli has averaged 4.2/4.3/4.1 in Eli's three starts.
Detroit @ Green Bay -9.5 44
The Packers have won 13 consecutive SU versus Detroit at home and are 10-1-2 ATS over that span. The Pack have won and covered the L/6 consecutive meetings in this series at Lambeau. No definitive 'total' trends were established. Green Bay is just 2-5 ATS L/7 at home and Detroit is 5-2 ATS L/7 away. The Lions have gone 'under' in 4 of their L/5 games. The Packers have gone 'over' in 7 of their L/8 games and 4 of their L/5 at home. Detroit is 12-6 ATS L/18 as a underdog of between 7.5 and 10 points. Green Bay is 34-17 L/51 December games. The Pack own one of the NFL's strongest passing games averaging 269.1 YPG and one of the leagues worst pass defenses allowing 257.7 YPG....Green Bay outrushed Lions 157-33 in first meeting, as they broke open close game in second half of 38-10 win. Pack had six-game win streak snapped last week; they've scored 40 ppg in winning last three home games, after starting year 0-3 in Lambeau. Lions ended five-game loss streak last week; they're 3-3 on road, 4-2 as road dog, with losses by 10-6 (ot)-3 points. Detroit is minus-8 in turnovers last two weeks; they have just four TD's on their last 57 drives. Over is 7-1 in last eight Packer games.
Seattle @ Minnesota -7 52
The Seahawks are 4-2 ATS L/6 versus the Vikings. Five of those 6 meetings went 'over' the set 'total'. Seattle is 1-8 ATS L/9 overall but is 6-3 ATS L/9 away. Minnesota is 6-3 ATS L/9 overall. The Hawks have gone 'over' the set 'total' in 8 of their L/9 overall. The Vikings have gone 'under' in 5 of their L/7 overall and 4 of their L/5 at home. Seattle is 30-17 ATS L/47 December games. Note: The Vikings are one of the NFL's top passing teams averaging 277.7 YPG. The Seahawks have allowed their L/2 opponents to score and average of 40.5 points....Tough spot for Seahawks, traveling on short week, after late loss Monday night, second time this year they lost home game they led by double digits with under 6:00 to play. Seattle is 1-6 if it allows 23+ points; Vikings average 24 at home. Edge for Seattle is porous Minnesota run defense that allowed 160 rushing yards per game over last six weeks. Vikings are 5-0 if they allow 22 or less points. Seattle lost three of last four road games; they allowed 81 points last two weeks (ten TD's on last 24 enemy drives).
Oakland @ Atlanta -7.5 46
The Raiders are 4-2 ATS L/6 versus the Falcons. Five of the L/6 meetings in this series have gone 'over' the set 'total'. The Raiders are 2-7 ATS L/9 overall and 4-12 ATS L/16 on the road. The Falcons are 1-4 ATS L/5 at home. Oakland has gone 'over' the set 'total' in 5 of their L/6 overall and 5 of their L/6 on the road. Atlanta has gone 'under' in 4 of their L/5 games. The Raiders are 1-6 ATS L/7 as a road underdog of between 7.5 to 10 points. The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in all games where the total has been set at between 42.5 and 49 points. Note: The Falcons lead the league in rushing with a 162.7 YPG. Oakland has the NFL's worst run game averaging 71.6 YPG....Oakland lost 35-14 in only previous carpet game this year, at the Colts; they have no sacks in three post-bye games, and allowed 18 TD's on last 53 opponent drives. Atlanta was blanked last week; they're 5-1 at home, with three of the five wins by three or less points (1-4 last five tries as home favorite). Over is 4-1 in last five Raider games, as poor tackling defense has yielded 423 yards per game last three weeks. Last four Falcon games stayed under, as Falcons scored just 15.5 ppg in those games, but Atlanta has run ball for 190 yards per game over last five contests.
Chicago @ Jacksonville -7.5 34
These teams spilt the most recent meetings in this series home away both SU/ATS. The last 4 meetings between these teams went 'over' the set 'total'. The Bears are 4-2 ATS overall and 4-2 ATS L/6 on the road. The Jaguars are 7-3 ATS L/10 at home. Chicago has gone 'over' 4 of their L/6 overall but are 4-9 favoring the under L/13 on the road. Jacksonville is 4 of their L/5 and 8 of their L/9 home games. The Bears are 31-17 ATS L/48 non conference games. The Jaguars are 3-0 ATS L/3 where the line has been set a 35. The Bears have the NFL's second worst pass defense averaging 135.5 YPG. ...Chicago has forced 17 turnovers in its five wins (3.4), 8 in their seven losses (1.14); they're 3-3 on road, 4-2 as road dogs. Bear QB Hutchinson gets first road start vs Jaguar squad that lost three games in row and four of last five. Jags have only five TD's on their last 53 drives- in their last two games, on nine drives inside the opponents' 20-yard line, Jags have five FG's and only one TD, which is why they lost two winnable games. Bears have four TD's on their last 52 drives. Under is 5-1 at home with Jags, and unless defense/special teams score points, doubt this game will get over total.
New Orleans @ Dallas -7 48
The Saints are 4-1 ATS L/5 against New Orleans but Dallas is 4-1 ATS L/5 at home in this series. These teams have gone 'under' in 6 of the L/8 overall confrontations. New Orleans has gone 'over' in their L/4 L/5 away. Dallas has gone 'over' in 6 of their L/9 games. The Saints are 8-3 ATS L/11 away games. The Cowboys are 3-6 ATS L/9 overall. Dallas is 5-1 ATS L/6 when they are facing a losing team in the second half of the season and have gone 'under in 11 of 14 when under the same circumstances. The Cowboys are 1-5 ATS against NFC South division opponents. The Saints have the NFL's worst defense allowing 28.7 PPG. ...Dallas defense still shaky (507 allowed Monday, and 14 TD's in last 49 drives), but they're still in contention thanks to wild finish Monday night, while Saints are 2-7 in last nine games, allowing 30 ppg during three-game losing streak. In five games since its bye, NO has allowed 167 rushing yards per game, good news for Dallas team that has 352 rush yards in last two games, behind rookie RB Jones. Over is 4-1 in Saints' road games, with average total of 51.4. Saints are 0-7 if they score less than 27 points, but Dallas has allowed 30+ in three of last four games.
Indianapolis -11 @ Houston 57
The Colts are 5-0 SU and 3-2 ATS L/5 versus the Texans .Three of those confrontations in this series went 'under' the set 'total'. Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS L/5 overall and 4-1 ATS L/5 on the road. Houston is 1-3-1 ATS L/5 games overall and 8-2-1 ATS L/11 home games. The Colts have gone 'over' in 6 of their L/7 games. The Texans have gone 'under' in 5 of their L/7 overall and 'over' in 4 of the L/6 at home. The Colts have gone 'over' in 14 of their L/21 on a grass field. Indianapolis is 5-0 ATS L/5 games after scoring 40 or more points. The Colts are the NFL's highest scoring team averaging 35.9 PPG. ...In first meeting, a 49-14 Colt win four weeks ago, Indy forced four turnovers and scored five TD's on seven drives that started less than 80 yards from Texan end zone- they also sacked Carr five times. Houston lost four of last five games, scoring 14 or less points in the losses; they're 5-2 if they score 20+ points, but improved Colt defense has allowed just one of last four foes to do that. In last two games, Texans allowed five TD's, four on drives of 42 or less yards. Team that led at half lost last three Houston games.
