Colorado vs Colorado State 9/1/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Colorado winning 52% of simulations, and Colorado State 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Colorado commits fewer turnovers in 48% of simulations and they go on to win 60% when they take care of the ball. Colorado State wins 60% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Connor Wood is averaging 270 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. Chris Nwoke is averaging 148 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (40% chance) then he helps his team win 62%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is COLST +4.5 --- Over/Under line is 49

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