Colorado State vs New Mexico 10/16/2021

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Colorado State is a solid favorite with a 64% chance to beat New Mexico. David Bailey is projected for 67 rushing yards and a 51% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 36% of simulations where New Mexico wins, Terry Wilson averages 1.37 TD passes vs 0.53 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.67 TDs to 0.69 interceptions. Aaron Dumas averages 64 rushing yards and 0.74 rushing TDs when New Mexico wins and 57 yards and 0.37 TDs in losses. Colorado State has a 32% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 73% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is NMEX +9.5 --- Over/Under line is 44.5
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