Colorado State vs Boise State 11/17/2012

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Boise State is a heavy favorite winning 96% of simulations over Colorado State. Joe Southwick is averaging 245 passing yards and 2.5 TDs per simulation and D.J. Harper is projected for 89 rushing yards and a 81% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 4% of simulations where Colorado State wins, Conner Smith averages 1.1 TD passes vs 0.61 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.38 TDs to 1.14 interceptions. Chris Nwoke averages 58 rushing yards and 0.44 rushing TDs when Colorado State wins and 45 yards and 0.15 TDs in losses. Boise State has a 47% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 98% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BST -28
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