Fight Hunger Bowl – AT&T Park – San Francisco, CA
Saturday, 12/31/2011 (241) UCLA vs. (242) ILLINOIS
Lean: ILLINOIS on the money line.
Fading any underdog (Bruins) that has a losing record on the season playing on a neutral field/venue. The simple trend has been money in the bank since 1992 cashing at a 32-3 clip. The situation so far this year is 3-1.
Some of the numbers in this situation are amazing. That simply playing against an underdog in this scenario (which speaks volumes to oddsmakers overall skills) can be extremely profitable considering the average money line posted in these games was: 35 situations the favorite was a near pick’em team at -123 with the average final score having an 18-plus point differential in the end.
Play Illinois on the money line at -134
GoDaddy.com Bowl – Ladd-Peebles Stadium – Mobile, AL
Sunday, 01/08/2012 (267) ARKANSAS ST vs. (268) N ILLINOIS
Lean: ARKANSAS ST on the money line.
Backing a team (Arkansas State) in the second half of the season (7-plus games into the schedule) that averages 3.5 to 4.3 yards per carry on the ground following two straight games where they allowed 125 yards rushing or less against a team that allows (Northern Illinois) 3.5 to 4.3 yards per carry on the season has been a matchup that heavily favors the better defense, or one that is in form. The trend favors Arkansas State here, a bias that has cashed at a 34-8 (81%) clip over the last 10 seasons and a scenario that is 2-0 this season.
The average money line posted in these games has the lean team as an underdog with a money line of +107 with the final average score finding the lean team winning by an average of 10 points.
Play Arkansas State either on the money line at -117 or lay the small pointspread in this event.
Saturday, 12/31/2011 (241) UCLA vs. (242) ILLINOIS
Lean: ILLINOIS on the money line.
Fading any underdog (Bruins) that has a losing record on the season playing on a neutral field/venue. The simple trend has been money in the bank since 1992 cashing at a 32-3 clip. The situation so far this year is 3-1.
Some of the numbers in this situation are amazing. That simply playing against an underdog in this scenario (which speaks volumes to oddsmakers overall skills) can be extremely profitable considering the average money line posted in these games was: 35 situations the favorite was a near pick’em team at -123 with the average final score having an 18-plus point differential in the end.
Play Illinois on the money line at -134
GoDaddy.com Bowl – Ladd-Peebles Stadium – Mobile, AL
Sunday, 01/08/2012 (267) ARKANSAS ST vs. (268) N ILLINOIS
Lean: ARKANSAS ST on the money line.
Backing a team (Arkansas State) in the second half of the season (7-plus games into the schedule) that averages 3.5 to 4.3 yards per carry on the ground following two straight games where they allowed 125 yards rushing or less against a team that allows (Northern Illinois) 3.5 to 4.3 yards per carry on the season has been a matchup that heavily favors the better defense, or one that is in form. The trend favors Arkansas State here, a bias that has cashed at a 34-8 (81%) clip over the last 10 seasons and a scenario that is 2-0 this season.
The average money line posted in these games has the lean team as an underdog with a money line of +107 with the final average score finding the lean team winning by an average of 10 points.
Play Arkansas State either on the money line at -117 or lay the small pointspread in this event.
