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MLB betting cheat sheet: AL West up for grabs


Jul 27, 2015


Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for the weekend major-league schedule:


AL West Up For Grabs


The Angels hold a slim one game lead on the Astros at the top of the AL West, and the two teams will play Game 1 of a three game series at Minutemaid Park on Tuesday.


Recent meetings between these two teams have seen a trend of low scoring games, with the total going under at a rate of 7-2-1 in the last 10.


The Astros have won nine of their last 10 in Houston, and their home record of 34-18 is tied with Kansas City for the best in the American League.


Cubs Killing Bettors In July


I've been saying it for months now, "The Cubs are the most overrated team in baseball".


Bettors learned that the hard way this weekend, as they were swept at home by the cellar dwelling Phillies. The average price to back the Cubs in those games was higher than -200. They've been listed as the favorite in 17 of their 22 games this month, winning only eight of those.


Something to think about before backing the Cubbies as a favorite.


Home Sweet Home


The Twins aren't getting a lot of love from bookmakers despite owning the fifth-best record in the American League.


Only two teams have a better home record than Minnesota, and the Twins will play their next six games at Target Field. The Colorado Rockies are the only team in the major leagues with a higher home batting average, and the Twins rank fourth in runs scored at home.


Pitching Notes


* Zack Greinke's scoreless innings streak ended at 45 2/3 innings with a loss to the Mets in a pitcher's duel at Citi Field. The right-hander still pitched a great game, allowing a pair of runs on just four hits over seven innings. He's still the only pitcher in the major leagues with an ERA below 2.00.


* Andrew Heaney is still perfect in his rookie season with the Los Angeles Angels. The 24-year-old southpaw moved to 5-0 with a win over Texas on Sunday. He's limited the opposition to two runs or less, going at least six innings in all six of his starts so far.


Hitting Notes


* Mike Trout went deep twice against Texas on Sunday, taking over the major league lead with 31 home runs so far this season. He's hitting an incredible .361 with a 11 home runs and 21 RBIs in the month of July. He might be set to cool off a little in Houston, where he's just 8-for-43 over the last two seasons.


* Mike Napoli has been struggling to stay above the Mendoza Line all year long, but the veteran has shown signs of life here lately. He's 10 for his last 25 with a home run and five RBIs. The Red Sox will be at home all week, and he should have a good chance to stay hot against the struggling Chicago White Sox.


Totals Streak


When you think of Safeco Field, you think of a notorious pitcher's park where runs are hard to come by. That certainly hasn't been the case lately, and on Sunday the Blue Jays and the Mariners combined to hit five home runs in a 6-5 extra-innings win for Seattle. That puts the over trend at Safeco at 12-2-2 over the last 16.


Weather Notes


* There is a 58 percent possibility of thunderstorms in Baltimore when the Orioles host the Atlanta Braves Monday.


* Pitchers could be aided by wind in Texas as forecasts are calling for find to blow in from right field at around 11 miles per hour when the Rangers host the Yankees Tuesday.


Injury Notes


* Freddie Freeman came of the DL this weekend, and he got the start on Sunday going 1-for-3 in a win over the Braves. He came of the bench on Saturday going 0-for-1.


* Jean Segura was scratched from Sunday's game with a sore throat, and he's listed as day to day.
 

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MLB

Monday, July 27

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Game of the Day: Royals at Indians
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Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians (-111, 7.5)

While the Cleveland Indians set up to sell at Friday’s trade deadline following a disappointing weekend, the Kansas City Royals got a jump on the market. The Royals will welcome Johnny Cueto to the bench when they visit the Indians for the start of a three-game series on Monday.

Kansas City’s starters own a 4.26 ERA and the team was in the market for another starter to take some of the pressure off the shut-down bullpen after Jason Vargas went down for the season with an elbow injury. Enter Cueto, who was acquired from the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday in a deal aimed at getting the team back to the World Series. “I'm excited about my next chapter,” Cueto told reporters. “I know (the Royals) play baseball very good. I'm excited because I know it's going to be good for my career and good for the team.” Cleveland was teetering on the brink of wild card contention before heading into a four-game home series against the Chicago White Sox and had any hopes dashed while being outscored 26-5 in a four-game sweep.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, FSN Kansas City, STO (Cleveland)

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Indians -115 but that has been adjusted to -111. The total opened 7.5.

INJURY REPORT: Royals - LF Alex Gordon (Early September, groin). Indians - 1B Nick Swisher (15-day DL, knee).

WEATHER WATCH: Temperatures in the high-70s under clear skies. Wind will blow in from leftfield at 10 miles per hour.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Royals RH Edinson Volquez (9-5, 3.15 ERA) vs. Indians RH Cody Anderson (2-1, 1.91)

Volquez, who was a teammate of Cueto’s in Cincinnati from 2008-11, is pitching a lot like an ace of late and turned in his fourth straight start allowing two or fewer earned runs in a win over Pittsburgh on Wednesday. The Dominican Republic native struck out eight and allowed one run on eight hits over 7 2/3 innings against the Pirates. Volquez could not harness his arsenal against Cleveland on May 7 and issued six walks in three innings before being bailed out by his offense in a no decision.

Anderson fell back down to earth in a big way at Milwaukee on Wednesday, when he was lit up for four runs on 10 hits in 2 2/3 innings. The rookie from California had surrendered a total of three runs in 30 1/3 innings through his first four major-league starts. Anderson is making his first start against the Royals and has allowed one run and nine hits in 14 1/3 innings at home.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Cleveland.
* Over is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings.
* Royals are 12-3 in Volquezs last 15 starts.
* Indians are 2-14 in their last 16 Monday games.

CONSENSUS: Seventy-one percent of users are backing the visiting Royals.
 

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MLB


Monday, July 27




Tigers red-hot when Sanchez takes the mound


The Detroit Tigers' season is hanging in the balance, so it is a good thing Anibal Sanchez is on the mound Monday night against the Tampa Bay Rays, having won his last eight starts.


The Tigers' right-hander is pitching to a 3.16 ERA with 46 strikeouts to just 18 walks.


Sanchez and the Tigers are currently +107 road dogs, going up against Rays right-hander Nathan Karns, who is 5-5 with a 3.47 ERA in 19 starts this season.




Rockies' CarGo officially hot


DENVER -- Right fielder Carlos Gonzalez had another big game for the Colorado Rockies. When asked about him after they pounded the Reds 17-7, manager Walt Weiss deadpanned, "I think CarGo's officially hot."


Gonzalez went 3-for-4 with two home runs, four runs scored and six RBIs. The four runs tied a career-high set April 11, 2012, against San Francisco. He tied his career-high with six RBIs for the sixth time, the last on June 5, 2013, at Cincinnati.


Gonzalez had not had a multi-homer game all season but had one Friday and finished with two in the series with the Reds. Gonzalez has 18 homers for the season and eight this month when he has gone 26-for-69 (.377) with six doubles, 19 RBIs and 15 runs scored.


Gonzalez has at least one hit in 11 of his past 12 games, going 21-for-48 (.438) in that stretch with seven homers and 17 RBIs.


"It looks like he's dictating the at-bat now," Weiss said. "It looks like he's slowing down, he's recognizing pitches. When he gets the barrel on the ball, a lot of things happen, a lot of damage."
 

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Diamond Trends - Monday


July 27, 2015




SU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Indians are 0-10 SU since Sep 01, 2014 as a favorite when off a game in which they did not hit a home run and in the first game of a series.


PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Yankees are 12-0 in his career when Ivan Nova starts as a favorite between -115 and -200 coming off a win where he worked 6-7 innings.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Brewers are 0-9 OU since May 01, 2015 on the road as a dog when off a game in which they struck out at least ten times.


CHOICE TREND:


-- The Diamondbacks are 0-14 SU since Apr 19, 2013 as a dog after a win in which they left 18+ men on base and it is the first game of a series.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Cubs are 11-0 SU since Jul 22, 2011 at home after a 5+ run loss and in the first game of a series.
 

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Rangers struggling mightily to produce wins at home


The Texas Rangers haven't exactly enjoyed home cooking lately, as the club has dropped 10 out of its last 11 games at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington.


That's a trend that won't instill any confidence in Rangers backers ahead of Monday's matchup with the New York Yankees in the Lone Star State.


Pinnacle Sports is currently dealing Jeff Banister's club as slight +101 moneyline pups for the tilt.
 

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Giants dominant versus Brewers recently


The San Francisco Giants have posted a record of 6-0 in their last six meetings with the Milwaukee Brewers and the two will renew acquaintances at AT&T Park Monday evening.


The Giants swept a three-game set with the Brew Crew in May, outscoring them 17-8 in those three games. They finished up their head-to-heads in 2014 with a three game sweep in San Fran and outscored them 31-8 in those three games.


Christopher Heston is scheduled to start for the Giants (-164) while Kyle Lohse is slated to start for the Brewers (+151).
 

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B]MLB
[/B]
Monday, July 27




Lynn has been on fire for Under bettors


St. Louis Cardinals right-hander Lance Lynn has been a favorite for Under bettors this season, and for good reason.


In Lynn's 10 starts, the Under is a sizzling 9-1. The 28-year-old is scheduled to get the ball for Monday's matchup with the Cincinnati Reds. Raisel Iglesias is slated to counter for Cincy.


The total of 7.5 has held firm since opening at Pinnacle Sports.
 

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Team Pitcher Open Line Movements Current Runline Scores


8:05 PM EDT


901 COLORADO ROCKIES (L) De La Rosa, J 7.5u25 7.5u25 / 7o20 / 7o30 7o25 +1.5(-165)
902 CHICAGO CUBS (R) Hendricks, K -165 -152 / -153 / -151 -153 -1.5(+145)


TV: ROOT-Rocky Mountain, DTV: 683 | CLEAR, WIND RIGHT TO LEFT 5-10. GAME TEMP 76, RH 57% HEAT INDEX 78


8:15 PM EDT


903 CINCINNATI REDS (R) Iglesias, R 7.5u15 7.5u25 / 7.5u20 / 7.5u25 7o25 +1.5(-155)
904 ST LOUIS CARDINALS (R) Lynn, L -185 -163 / -160 / -163 -164 -1.5(+135)

STL-LF-Matt Holliday-Doubtful | TV: FS-Midwest, FS-Ohio, DTV: 660, 671 | MOSTLY FAIR, WIND IN FROM RIGHT CENTER 4-9. GAME TEMP 90, RH 63% HEAT INDEX 102


10:15 PM EDT


905 MILWAUKEE BREWERS (R) Lohse, K 7.5u20 7o15 / 7 / 7o15 7 +1.5(-145)
906 SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS (R) Heston, C -160 -170 / -174 / -175 -176 -1.5(+125)

TV: FS-Wisconsin, DTV: 669 | CLEAR, WIND OUT TO RIGHT CENTER 12-22, GUSTY. GAME TEMP 73, RH 59% HEAT INDEX 75


7:10 PM EDT


907 DETROIT TIGERS (R) Sanchez, A 7.5u25 7o15 / 7u10 / 7u15 7u30 +1.5(-210)
908 TAMPA BAY RAYS (R) Karns, N -120 -117 / -116 / -117 -116 -1.5(+180)

DET-1B-Miguel Cabrera-OUT | TV: FS-Detroit, SunSports, DTV: 653, 663 | Dome


7:10 PM EDT


909 CHICAGO WHITE SOX (L) Danks, J 9u15 9u15 / 9 / 9o15 9o20 +1.5(-135)
910 BOSTON RED SOX (R) Kelly, J -135 -171 / -174 / -171 -173 -1.5(+115)

TV: CSN-Chicago, NESN, DTV: 628, 665 | MOSTLY CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE SHOWER/STORMS. WIND OUT TO CENTER 5-10. GAME TEMP 83, RH 60% HEAT INDEX 877


7:10 PM EDT


911 KANSAS CITY ROYALS (R) Volquez, E 7.5o15 7.5u20 / 7.5u18 / 7.5u20 7.5o15 +1.5(-210)
912 CLEVELAND INDIANS (R) Anderson, C -120 -109 / -107 / -109 -108 -1.5(+180)

TV: FS-Kansas City, SportsTime Ohio, DTV: 662, 672 | MOSTLY FAIR, WIND IN FROM RIGHT CENTER 5-10. GAME TEMP 83, RH 56% HEAT INDEX 86


8:05 PM EDT


913 NEW YORK YANKEES (R) Nova, I -120 -113 / -108 / -110 -111 -1.5(+140)
914 TEXAS RANGERS (L) Harrison, M 9o15 9.5u25 / 9.5u20 / 9.5u15 9.5 +1.5(-160)

TV: ESPN, FS-Southwest, YES, DTV: 206, 631, 676 | MOSTLY FAIR, WIND IN FROM RIGHT CENTER 7-12. GAME TEMP 97, RH 38% HEAT INDEX 104


7:05 PM EDT


915 ATLANTA BRAVES (L) Wood, A 7.5o15 7.5o15 7.5o20 +1.5(-145)
916 BALTIMORE ORIOLES (R) Gausman, K -160 -161 / -162 / -161 -160 -1.5(+125)

TV: MASN, SportSouth, DTV: 640, 649 | MOSTLY CLOUDY, 40% CHANCE
10:10 PM EDT


917 ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (L) Ray, R 7.5u25 7o20 / 7o15 / 7 7o15 +1.5(-210)
918 SEATTLE MARINERS (L) Montgomery, M -140 -115 / -117 / -115 -114 -1.5(+180)


TV: FS-Arizona, ROOT-Northwest, DTV: 686, 687 | MOSTLY CLOUDY, WIND OUT TO CENTER 5-10. GAME TEMP 68, RH 63%
 

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WNBA JUNE/ JULY RECORD:


*****...............................8 - 10 - 2
DOUBLE PLAY....................24 - 25
TRIPLE PLAY......................11 - 8
SLAM DUNK.......................16 - 12


MLB RECORD FOR JUNE/JULY:


*****.............................68 - 86 - 1 .....................,........- 13.81
double play......................120 - 133 - 2 ..........................- 28.72
triple play........................50 - 46 - 1 ...............................- 0.42
grand slam......................74 - 79 - 2...............................- 43.06
double grand slam.............0 - 1.......................................- 8.00


CFL JUNE/JULY RECORD:


SINGLE PLAY.................................1 - 1
DOUBLE PLAY................................5 - 7
TRIPLE PLAY..................................3 - 1
BLOW OUT.....................................3 - 2
 

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MLB Consensus Picks




SIDES (ATS)


Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds


8:15 PM Cincinnati +141 277 23.45% St. Louis -154 904 76.55% View View


10:15 PM Milwaukee +156 297 24.67% San Francisco -169 907 75.33% View View


8:05 PM Colorado +133 432 38.78% Chi. Cubs -145 682 61.22% View View


10:10 PM Arizona +109 428 39.16% Seattle -118 665 60.84% View View


7:05 PM Atlanta +141 446 40.07% Baltimore -153 667 59.93% View View


7:10 PM Detroit +110 554 50.59% Tampa Bay -119 541 49.41% View View


7:10 PM Chi. White Sox +154 572 50.66% Boston -167 557 49.34% View View


8:05 PM NY Yankees -111 738 63.13% Texas +103 431 36.87% View View


7:10 PM Kansas City -102 839 70.09% Cleveland -106 358 29.91% View View




TOTALS (OVER/UNDER)


Time Away Total Over Pct Home Total Under Pct Detail Odds


8:15 PM Cincinnati 7.5 290 46.33% St. Louis 7.5 336 53.67% View View


7:10 PM Kansas City 7.5 294 48.28% Cleveland 7.5 315 51.72% View View


7:10 PM Chi. White Sox 9 334 49.78% Boston 9 337 50.22% View View


10:10 PM Arizona 7 318 50.88% Seattle 7 307 49.12% View View


7:10 PM Detroit 7 367 55.35% Tampa Bay 7 296 44.65% View View


10:15 PM Milwaukee 7 361 58.13% San Francisco 7 260 41.87% View View


8:05 PM NY Yankees 9.5 390 59.27% Texas 9.5 268 40.73% View View


7:05 PM Atlanta 7.5 393 59.82% Baltimore 7.5 264 40.18% View View


8:05 PM Colorado 7 308 67.99% Chi. Cubs 7 145 32.01% View View
 

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MONDAY, JULY 27


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Atlanta - 7:05 PM ET Baltimore -153 500 *****
Baltimore - Under 7.5 500


Chi. White Sox - 7:10 PM ET Chi. White Sox +151 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Boston - Under 9 500


Kansas City - 7:10 PM ET Kansas City -102 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Cleveland - Over 7.5 500


Detroit - 7:10 PM ET Detroit +109 500 *****
Tampa Bay - Under 7 500


NY Yankees - 8:05 PM ET NY Yankees -111 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Texas - Over 9.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY


Colorado - 8:05 PM ET Colorado +133 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Chi. Cubs - Over 7 500


Cincinnati - 8:15 PM ET St. Louis -154 500
St. Louis - Under 7.5 500 GRAND SLAM


Arizona - 10:10 PM ET Arizona +116 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Seattle - Over 7 500


Milwaukee - 10:15 PM ET San Francisco -169 500 GRAND SLAM
San Francisco - Under 7 500
 

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