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Saturday's Top Action

October 17, 2014


TEXAS A&M AGGIES (5-2) at ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE (5-1)
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Alabama -14, Total: 63.5

In a tough SEC matchup, No. 21 Texas A&M travels to Tuscaloosa to take on No. 7 Alabama Saturday.

The Aggies opened the 2014 campaign in impressive fashion, as they were 5-0 SU (3-2 ATS) through their first five games before running into the meat of their schedule. They have lost their past two contests, both against top-three teams in the nation (No. 1 Mississippi State and No. 3 Ole Miss), by an average of 16.0 PPG while turning the ball over six times. Last week they were favorites at home against the Rebels, but despite an impressive 455 yards of offense, they fell 35-20 due to three giveaways and a meager 1.5 YPC on 35 rushing attempts. Alabama was upset when it traveled to Ole Miss a few weeks ago as a four-point favorite, losing by a score of 23-17 and continuing a poor season ATS. Overall the Tide are 1-4-1 ATS after once again failing to cover last week when they barely earned a 14-13 victory as 8.5-point favorites at Arkansas. They have actually lost the turnover battle this year as they have coughed up the pigskin 11 times compared to forcing eight turnovers, and have been held under 4.0 YPC in each of the past two weeks.

This matchup has not failed to live up to the hype in either of the past two seasons, as the road team has come away with a SU victory each time while Texas A&M is 2-0 ATS. Last year, the Crimson Tide were 49-42 victors as eight-point favorites on the road as the teams combined for 62 first downs and a jaw-dropping 1,164 yards of total offense. Bettors should know that Alabama is a meager 22-41 ATS (35%) in home game when coming off one or more consecutive Unders since 1992, while the Aggies are a woeful 1-11 ATS (8%) in road games after gaining 450+ total yards in three consecutive games over the same timeframe. Neither team has any significant injuries to keep an eye on heading into this game.

The Aggies said goodbye to Johnny Manziel this past offseason, but have kept their high-octane passing attack going with 396 YPG through the air (3rd in FBS) while scoring 43.9 PPG (6th in nation). QB Kenny Hill (2,511 pass yards, 23 TD, 7 INT) is to thank for much of the production, as he has thrown for 300+ yards in five of the seven games while passing for at least 365 yards with a total of 10 TD over the past three weeks. His turnovers have been worrisome since facing tougher competition though, as he has all of his seven picks in the past four weeks, including five over the two defeats. The duo of HBs Trey Williams (301 rush yards, 5 TD) and Tra Carson (273 rush yards, 4 TD) mans the backfield, as Carson has tallied double-digit attempts in each of the past two games while not scoring in the past four games. Hill likes to spread the ball around, as six different receivers have 23+ receptions with WR Josh Reynolds (476 rec yards, 8 TD) leading the team in receiving yards and touchdown grabs while averaging 16.4 yards per catch.

One area to be worried about on this team is the defense, as it has allowed 37.0 PPG over the past three weeks and is giving up 397 YPG of total offense to its opponents. The combo of DBs Deshazor Everett (47 tackles, 1 INT) and Howard Matthews (44 tackles, 2.5 TFL) with DL Myles Garrett (33 tackles, 7.5 sacks) should give the team hope for better performances to come.

Alabama is always one of the more balanced offenses in the nation, and this year is no different as it is gaining 288.7 passing YPG (28th in FBS) and 211.3 rushing YPG (30th in nation) while scoring 33.2 PPG. QB Blake Sims (1,480 pass yards, 10 TD, 3 INT) has thrown for more than 250 yards just once on the season, as he has done well keeping the ball out of the defense's hands and also contributes to the rushing attack (154 rush yards, 3 TD). Joining him in the backfield is the impressive tandem of HBs T.J. Yeldon (452 rush yards, 2 TD) and Derrick Henry (382 rush yards, 2 TD) who have each eclipsed the century mark twice this season. WR Amari Cooper has hauled in 54 of the 122 completions on the team (44%) for 768 yards (14.2 avg). But Cooper has failed to crack 100 yards in either of the past two games after averaging 163.8 YPG over the first four. As usual, the Crimson Tide defense has been stout, allowing a mere 15.3 PPG (6th in nation) to their opponents behind the play of DB Landon Collins (46 tackles, 2 INT) and DL Xzavier Dickson (20 tackles, 5 sacks).

OKLAHOMA STATE COWBOYS (5-1) at TCU HORNED FROGS (4-1)
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: : TCU -10, Total: 62

No. 12 TCU looks to bounce back from a tough loss against Baylor when it hosts No. 15 Oklahoma State on Saturday.

The Cowboys are coming into this game off a surprisingly narrow 27-20 victory against 18-point underdog Kansas. The game was tied with seven minutes to go before Tyreek Hill took a kickoff 99 yards to help OSU prevail. As the Cowboys (3-3 ATS) have gotten deeper into the season, head coach Mike Gundy’s teams have shown the ability to play their best football, as Oklahoma State is 12-3 ATS in the second half of the season since 2012. For the Horned Frogs, they will be looking for redemption after last week's 61-58 loss to Baylor, when they blew a 21-point lead in the fourth quarter. But TCU (5-0 ATS) is clicking on offense this season, and that could play a big role in the game, as the team is 8-1 ATS when scoring at least 28 points in the past two seasons.

Last season, the Cowboys defeated the Horned Frogs, 24-10. It was a struggle for both offenses as each school committed four turnovers and nine penalties. The Cowboys were able to rattle QB Trevone Boykin, who threw for 188 yards and three interceptions. Boykin has reportedly been bothered by a wrist injury, but he is expected to start in this matchup. Oklahoma State is dealing with a couple new injuries with both CB Ashton Lampkin and OL Zachary Crabtree listed as questionable due to ankle injuries.

Despite the struggles in Lawrence last week, the Cowboys won their fifth straight game since a season-opening loss to Florida State. The Oklahoma State offense has been solid all season, ranking 26th in FBS scoring (37.2 PPG) and 40th in passing (265.7 YPG), but have just 155.0 rushing YPG (80th in nation). Junior QB Daxx Garman (1,361 passing yards, 10 TD and 5 INT) has filled in nicely for J.W. Walsh, who suffered a foot injury in Week 2 and remains out indefinitely. However, for Oklahoma State to be able to compete in this game, Garman will have to improve his accuracy (58% completion rate). On the ground, RB Desmond Roland (96 carries, 391 yards and 7 TD) is the workhorse on the offense. He is a big physical runner that can wear out his opponent late in the fourth quarter. RB Tyreek Hill (38 carries, 196 yards, 5.2 YPG) is one of the fastest players in all of the country. While the Cowboys use him as a decoy a lot of the time, the defense always has to know where he is on the field. WR Brandon Sheperd (18 catches, 299 yards and 2 TD) has shown the ability to make the big play, and he has an 87-yard touchdown on the season.

The Cowboys defense has had its moments this season, ranking 62nd in the country in scoring defense (24.7 PPG). LB Ryan Simmons (44 tackles, 3.5 TFL) is the leading tackler on the team, while LB Seth Jacobs (41 tackles, 3 TFL, 2 INT) will also be needed to contain the Horned Frogs. Sophomore DE Emmanuel Ogbah (27 tackles, 9.5 TFL, 5 sacks) can cause a lot of havoc rushing the quarterback. The Horned Frogs were unable to get the victory last week, but showed how well they can play on offense with 58 points and 485 total yards. TCU now ranks third in the country in scoring (45.8 PPG), 12th in passing (325.2 YPG) and 52nd in rushing (184.8 YPG). QB Trevone Boykin (1,463 pass yards, 305 rush yards, 14 total TD) has taken his game to a completely new level, proving to be one of the most dynamic players in the country. There was a report early in the week that he had surgery on his wrist, but head coach Gary Patterson came out and said that wasn’t true, and he was able to practice this week. Running back B.J. Catalon (59 carries, 268 yards and 6 TD) has shown the ability to run the ball, helping the Horned Frogs have so many passing opportunities. Wide receiver Kolby Listenbee (18 catches, 418 yards and 3 TD) is averaging a very impressive 23.2 YPC, and will force the Cowboys defense to keep a safety over top.

The Horned Frogs allow 23.0 PPG (51st in FBS), but had been known as a terrific defense before last week's debacle where they allowed 61 points and 782 total yards. They entered the game giving up only 54 points in the first four games combined. Linebacker Paul Dawson (55 tackles, 7 TFL, 3 sacks, 2 INT) is one of the best playmakers in the country on defense. He does a terrific job against the run, but can also defend well in pass coverage. S Chris Hackett (37 tackles, 2 PD, 2 INT) is the leader of the secondary, who will be key to helping his unit recover from the dismal performance last week.

NOTRE DAME FIGHTING IRISH (6-0) at FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES (6-0)
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: Florida State -12.5

Saturday's marquee matchup takes place in Tallahassee when No. 5 Notre Dame visits defending national champion No. 2 Florida State.

The Irish have started their 2014 campaign with six straight SU wins by an average of 17.3 PPG while going 4-2 ATS. In that time they have done well on defense, forcing teams to turn the ball over multiple times in 5-of-6 contests while having their worst performance to date last week against North Carolina. They went into the weekend as large 16.5-point favorites over the Tar Heels at home and actually trailed by a point (36-35) heading into the final quarter before eventually prevailing in a 50-43 victory. The two teams combined for 1,029 yards of total offense while Notre Dame looked sloppy and turned the ball over on three occasions. Florida State also brings a perfect record into this one but has not been as dominant as most would have thought, going 1-5 ATS. The 'Noles have not really faced a team of top caliber yet, with Clemson being the only spread near single digits (-10), and they did not overwhelm Syracuse last week as expected. As 23.5-point favorites on the road, the Seminoles captured a 38-20 victory from the Orange as they totaled 482 yards of offense while forcing three turnovers. Their defense did not do its job though, allowing 412 yards of offense to their opponent with 256 of those yards coming through the air from a team that ranks in the bottom half of FBS in that category.

These programs have faced each other just once in the past decade when they met in the 2011 Citrus Bowl when FSU came away with an 18-14 win despite rushing for a meager 41 yards on 1.4 YPC. Trends show us that the Fighting Irish are a solid 25-7 ATS (78%) in October road games since 1992 while the Seminoles are 21-8 ATS (75%) after failing to cover the spread in four of their past five games over this same timeframe. As far as injuries go, Notre Dame has no significant ones to speak of, while WR Rashad Greene (foot) and HB Karlos Williams (ankle) have both been upgraded to probable for Florida State.

Notre Dame has been able to conquer opposing defense with a balanced offense that has posted 34.5 PPG while gaining 280.5 YPG through the air (34th in FBS) and 163.8 YPG on the ground (69th in nation). QB Everett Golson (1,683 pass yards, 16 TD, 4 INT) started out the season without a turnover in the first three contests, but since has thrown four picks while seeing his completion percentage drop to 51% in the past two games. Still, his overall season has been impressive, as Golson has thrown for 295+ yards in 3-of-6 games while having multiple passing touchdowns in each contest and contributing to the run game with 209 yards (3.6 YPC) and four scores. HB Tarean Folston (263 rush yards, 2 TD) leads the backfield with 60 attempts (4.4 YPC) while being the workhorse last week with 98 yards on 18 attempts (5.4 YPC) with 2 TD.

HBs Greg Bryant (201 rush yards, 2 TD) and Cam McDaniel (181 rush yards, 2 TD) also contribute plenty to the rushing attack with 43+ attempts each. WR William Fuller (504 rec yards, 7 TD) has 16 more receptions (35) than the next closest receiver while grabbing at least six balls in 4-of-6 games and reaching the century mark in two of the past three contests. Through the first five games of the year, the defense for the program allowed a miniscule 12.0 PPG to its opponents, and despite last week's poor performance, still ranks eighth in the nation in scoring defense (17.2 PPG). The duo of LBs Jaylon Smith (49 tackles, 2 sacks) and Joe Schmidt (48 tackles) hope they can get the Irish back on track this week.

Florida State is once again among the elite in passing this season, whipping the pigskin around for 324 YPG (13th in nation) while scoring 39.0 PPG (20th in FBS). QB Jameis Winston (1,605 pass yards, 11 TD, 5 INT) has not looked quite as composed this season amongst a one-game suspension and now allegations that he accepted money for his autograph, but was able to put all of that aside last week against Syracuse as he had his best performance of the year. He was an efficient 30-for-36 (83.3%) with 317 yards (8.8 YPA) and three touchdowns (0 INTs) in the road victory. HB Karlos Williams (353 rush yards, 5 TD) missed last week due to an ankle injury after having double-digit carries in four of the first five games, but is expected to suit up for this tough battle. If he is not able to play, or is still less than 100 percent, expect freshman HB Dalvin Cook (250 rush yards, 3 TD) to take on the starter’s role after an impressive performance (23 attempts, 122 yards, 1 TD) as the lead back last week when he gained 122 yards on 23 carries (5.3 YPC) with a touchdown.

WR Rashad Greene (683 rec yards, 3 TD) is the team’s leader in receptions (44) while getting six or more catches in four of the six games on the year. He has not been the team’s biggest red-zone threat though, as WR Jesus Wilson (262 rec yards, 4 TD) has the most scores through the air while playing in the slot. The Seminoles defense ranks among the nation's top-50 in yards allowed (358.5 YPG) while giving up 20.7 PPG (30th in FBS) behind the leadership of LBs Reggie Northrup (50 tackles, 1 sack), Terrance Smith (49 tackles, 2 TFL) and DB Jalen Ramsey (45 tackles, 1 INT, 5 TFL).
 

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Total Notes - Week 8

October 17, 2014

Week 7 Recap

Bettors saw their nice share of shootouts in Week 7, especially in the late afternoon games on Saturday. In particular, Baylor outlasted TCU 60-53 and Notre Dame held off North Carolina 50-43 in the midday matchups. According to our numbers, the ‘over’ went 27-25-1 in matchups with FBS schools.

Big Five Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

The ‘under’ went 3-1 in the four head-to-head ACC matchups in Week 7 and one school that continues to help this cause is Louisville. The Cardinals have seen the ‘under’ go 6-1 this season and that number could improve this weekend as they meet N.C. State at home. The total opened at 50 ½ and has already seen ‘under’ money. Miami, Fl. and North Carolina played in non-conference games shootouts last week and both of those outcomes resulted in ‘over’ winners.

The Big Ten watched ‘over’ go 3-2 last Saturday and most of the results were clear-cut. Michigan State (5-1) and Ohio State (4-1) are the best ‘over’ clubs while Northwestern (see below) has been an automatic ‘under’ play in the first-half of the season.

There were some close calls for total bettors in the Big 12 last week and few outcomes could’ve easily went the other way. A late touchdown in the Iowa State-Toledo game helped the ‘over’ cash while a game-winning 55-yard field goal in the West Virginia-Texas Tech matchup prevented overtime and a winning ‘under’ ticket.

Despite having three totals listed at 66 or higher last week, the offensive juggernauts of the Pac-12 didn’t deliver as the ‘under’ produced a 4-0 record. Bettors expecting California and Washington State to light up the scoreboard again were disappointed. The pair combined for 117 in Week 6 but just 24 points last weekend. Stanford (5-0) and Washington (5-1) continue to be golden for ‘under’ bettors.

The ‘under’ went 4-2 in the SEC last weekend and the best bet this season has been playing the ‘under’ in Ole Miss games (5-1). The Rebels stifled Texas A&M 35-20 on the road in Week 7 and the combined 55 points never threatened the closing number of 64. This Saturday, Ole Miss hosts Tennessee and this is the lowest total (46.5) that the Rebels have seen this season.

Streaks to Watch

Under 6-0
San Diego State – Aztecs host Hawaii
Northwestern – Wildcats host Nebraska

Under 5-0
Stanford – Cardinal visit Arizona State

Big 12 Shootouts

As mentioned above, the Big 12 caught some extra attention as Baylor and TCU put up the most points in game between a pair of AP top-10 schools since 1936. The Bears have been known to light up the scoreboard but the Horned Frogs exploding was a bit of a surprise.

We asked VegasInsider.com Totals Expert James Manos to weigh in on the Big 12 and touch on three games for Week 8, two of them including the aforementioned teams.

Baylor at West Virginia (80.5)
“I'm really not surprised to see the number open on the Baylor-West Virginia game where it did. These two teams have played some crazy games the last two seasons (63-70, 73-42) but it's very difficult to post numbers this high and get two-way action. I did make the number slightly higher at 83, and I think you'll see it close nearer to that number than the opener of 78. Baylor averages 87 plays per game on the road and WVU averages 81 plays per game at home so we're expected to see nearly 170 offensive snaps in this contest. With both teams averaging over 6 yards per play this season, that would produce over 1,000 yards of total offense and lead us to a total in the 80's. Some things to note here though, this Baylor defense is better than the two previous editions and the Bears are actually averaging nearly a yard per play less than last season. However, on the flip side, this WVU offense is much better than the last two year's editions and the Mountaineers are averaging nearly a yard per play more than last season. “

Kansas at Texas Tech (58.5)
“I'm surprised at the movement upward in the Kansas game as I see little reason to expect too much of an improvement when changing coaches in the middle of the season. I have the Jayhawks projected for just more than 300+ yards of offense in this game and if this game goes OVER the heavy lifting will have to be done by the Red Raiders. But with Texas Tech off a heart wrenching max effort vs WVU last week how much energy and focus will they have to face the lowly Jayhawks? This number was bet up based solely on the expected pace of the Red Raiders but I worry about their motivation and mental state in an obvious flat spot for them.”

Oklahoma State at TCU (62)
“I think the TCU game from last week was an outlier. That's not the type of game that TCU HC Patterson wants to get involved with but game dynamics and the flow of the game swept up the Horned Frogs and the game became an up-n-down shootout. I wouldn't expect that pace and style to continue this week especially since it didn't result in a win for the Horned Frogs. OSU has played up-tempo but they don't have the dynamic offense of year's past and I would expect the TCU defense to control the pace of this game. With QB Boykin hurting a bit, expect a return to the ground game from TCU, and Patterson has done a very good job of prepping his team for this OSU offense. TCU returns 8 starters to a defense that held OSU to 24 points and 2.7 yards per rush last year.”

James Manos (63%, +1212) continues to cash college winners on VegasInsider.com!

Line Moves

VI Totals Expert James Manos analyzes line moves in the totals market for us and breaks them into four categories. I provide some quick thoughts and you can see from the last few weeks that Manos has a solid pulse on the totals market.

Week 8

1) Correct Sharp Movement – Kansas State-Oklahoma Under
This game opened 61 ½ and dropped to 55 as of Friday evening. The Sooners have watched the ‘over’ go 5-1 in their six games but they haven’t faced a defense like Kansas State, which is ranked second in the Big 12 in both yards (315.8) and points allowed (21 PPG).

2) Incorrect Sharp Movement – Michigan State-Indiana Under
The sharps bet the Spartans ‘under’ last week and they watched Michigan State go ‘over’ once again, now 5-1 this season. Question marks surrounding Indiana’s offense, which lost another quarterback to injury.

3) Public Movement – Baylor-West Virginia Over
See Above

4) Market Manipulation – Georgia Tech-North Carolina Over
This line opened 69, dropped to 67 ½ and spiked back up to 70 ½ all over a two-day span. As of Friday, it’s back to 68 ½ points. North Carolina has the worst defense (43.3 PPG) in the ACC but as most of you know, Georgia Tech takes its time running the football. Two years ago in Chapel Hill, G-Tech defeated UNC 68-50 in a wild shootout.

Listed below are all of the Week 8 total moves by 3.5 or more points based on openers from CRIS as of Friday evening.

Week 8 Moves

Rotation Open Current

Western Michigan at Bowling Green 67.5 71

Georgia at Arkansas 61.5 54.5

Texas A&M at Alabama 58.5 63.5

Clemson at Boston College 51.5 45

Kansas State at Oklahoma 61.5 55

Utah State at Colorado State 51.5 55

Kansas at Texas Tech 54.5 58.5

Nebraska at Northwestern 49.5 54.5

Kentucky at LSU 49.5 53
 

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD:

17- 12 - 1........................*****

12 - 12..............................DOUBLE PLAY

10- 13...............................TRIPLE PLAY

1 - 9........................LIGHTS OUT :-((


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/17/14 1-*3-*0 25.00% -*1150 Detail

10/16/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail

10/14/14 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1100 Detail

10/11/14 16-*30-*1 34.78% -*8500 Detail

10/10/14 1-*5-*0 16.67% -*2250 Detail

10/09/14 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail

10/04/14 27-*22-*2 55.10% +*1400 Detail

10/03/14 3-*3-*0 50.00% -*150 Detail

10/02/14 4-*2-*0 66.67% +*900 Detail

Totals 56-*69-*3 44.80% -*9950
 

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Saturday, October 18

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Syracuse - 12:00 PM ET Syracuse -6 500
Wake Forest -

Kansas State - 12:00 PM ET Kansas State +7 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Oklahoma -

South Florida - 12:00 PM ET Tulsa +2.5 500
Tulsa -

Baylor - 12:00 PM ET Baylor -8 500
West Virginia -

Tulane - 12:00 PM ET Central Florida -18.5 500
Central Florida -

Western Kentucky - 12:00 PM ET Florida Atlantic +3.5 500 LIGHTS OUT
Florida Atlantic -

Texas-San Antonio - 12:00 PM ET Louisiana Tech -12 500 LIGHTS OUT
Louisiana Tech -

Iowa - 12:00 PM ET Iowa +4.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Maryland -

Purdue - 12:00 PM ET Purdue +12 500
Minnesota -

Virginia - 12:30 PM ET Virginia +3.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Duke -

Western Michigan - 2:00 PM ET Western Michigan +3 500
Bowling Green -

Akron - 2:00 PM ET Akron -3 500
Ohio -

Eastern Michigan - 3:00 PM ET Massachusetts -14 500 *****
Massachusetts -

Appalachian State - 3:00 PM ET Troy -7 500 *****
Troy -

UCLA - 3:30 PM ET California +7 500
California -

Michigan State - 3:30 PM ET Indiana +16 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Indiana -

North Carolina State - 3:30 PM ET Louisville -19.5 500 LIGHTS OUT
Louisville -

Clemson - 3:30 PM ET Clemson -4.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Boston College -

Texas A&M - 3:30 PM ET Texas A&M +13.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Alabama -

New Mexico - 3:30 PM ET Air Force -7 500
Air Force -

Ball State - 3:30 PM ET Central Michigan -10.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Central Michigan -

Army - 3:30 PM ET Army -3 500
Kent State -

Alabama-Birmingham - 3:30 PM ET Alabama-Birmingham -1.5 500
Middle Tennessee -

Cincinnati - 3:30 PM ET Southern Methodist +13 500
Southern Methodist -

Kansas - 3:30 PM ET Texas Tech -13 500 *****
Texas Tech -

Rutgers - 3:30 PM ET Rutgers +21 500 *****
Ohio State -

Georgia - 4:00 PM ET Arkansas +3 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Arkansas -

Oklahoma State - 4:00 PM ET Texas Christian -11.5 500 *****
Texas Christian -

San Jose State - 4:00 PM ET San Jose State -3 500
Wyoming -

New Mexico State - 5:00 PM ET Idaho -5.5 500
Idaho -

Miami (Ohio) - 5:00 PM ET Miami (Ohio) +14 500
Northern Illinois -

Colorado - 6:00 PM ET Colorado +20.5 500 *****
Southern California -

Marshall - 6:00 PM ET Florida International +21.5 500 *****
Florida International -
 

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My Evening Rated Games:



Marshall - 6:00 PM ET Florida International +21.5 500 ******
Florida International -

Missouri - 7:00 PM ET Florida -5.5 500
Florida -

Tennessee - 7:00 PM ET Tennessee +16 500 *****
Mississippi -

Georgia Tech - 7:00 PM ET North Carolina -2 500 TRIPLE PLAY
North Carolina -

Southern Mississippi - 7:00 PM ET Southern Mississippi +8 500
North Texas -

Utah State - 7:00 PM ET Colorado State -5 500
Colorado State -

Georgia State - 7:30 PM ET South Alabama -19.5 500 LIGHTS OUT
South Alabama -

Kentucky - 7:30 PM ET Louisiana State -11.5 500
Louisiana State -

Nebraska - 7:30 PM ET Northwestern +6.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Northwestern -

Notre Dame - 8:00 PM ET Florida State -8 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Florida State -

Iowa State - 8:00 PM ET Texas -11.5 500
Texas -

Washington - 8:00 PM ET Washington +21 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Oregon -

Nevada - 10:15 PM ET Nevada +11 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Brigham Young -

Stanford - 10:30 PM ET Arizona State +3.5 500 *****
Arizona State -

Hawaii - 10:30 PM ET Hawaii +8 500 DOUBLE PLAY
San Diego State -
 

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL RECORD: RATED PLAYS

21- 14 - 2........................*****

12 - 16..............................DOUBLE PLAY

12- 18...............................TRIPLE PLAY

2 - 13........................LIGHTS OUT :-((


RATED PLAYS AND OPINONS:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/18/14 16-*30-*1 34.78% -*8500 Detail

10/17/14 1-*3-*0 25.00% -*1150 Detail

10/16/14 2-*2-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail

10/14/14 0-*2-*0 0.00% -*1100 Detail

10/11/14 16-*30-*1 34.78% -*8500 Detail

10/10/14 1-*5-*0 16.67% -*2250 Detail

10/09/14 2-*0-*0 100.00% +*1000 Detail

10/04/14 27-*22-*2 55.10% +*1400 Detail

10/03/14 3-*3-*0 50.00% -*150 Detail

10/02/14 4-*2-*0 66.67% +*900 Detail

Totals 72-*99-*4 42.11% -*18450
 

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SEC first to put 4 teams in top 5

October 19, 2014


The Southeastern Conference has reached a new milestone in The Associated Press college football poll, becoming the first league to place four teams in the top five - all from the western division.

Mississippi State stayed No. 1 after a weekend off. The Atlantic Coast Conference's Florida State held its ground at No. 2 after beating then-No. 5 Notre Dame 31-27.

Mississippi remains No. 3. Alabama jumped three spots to No. 4 after a 59-0 victory against Texas A&M. Auburn moved up a spot to No. 5 during a bye week, taking advantage of losses by previously unbeaten Notre Dame and Baylor.

The Irish dropped two spots to seventh. Baylor fell to No. 12 after losing 41-27 at West Virginia.

Thirty times since 2001 a conference has placed three teams in the top five of the AP Top 25. The SEC had done it 16 times since 2009.
 

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TCU now highest-ranked Big 12 team

October 19, 2014


FORT WORTH, Texas (AP) - TCU coach Gary Patterson quickly dismissed any talk about the Big 12 title chase.

Someone brought up the league standings The No. 10 Horned Frogs, now the conference's highest-ranked team, had just completed their first-ever stretch of playing three consecutive top-15 opponents with a dominating 42-9 victory over Oklahoma State.

''I haven't thought about it. I didn't think about it before, `' Patterson said. ''We've got six games left, and all six are capable of playing very well.''

While TCU (5-1, 2-1 Big 12) is one of four teams with a league loss and behind Kansas State (5-1, 3-0) in the standings, the Frogs are ranked higher than any of them halfway through their third season in the power-five conference. That comes after winning three consecutive Mountain West titles and then going 6-12 in Big 12 games the past two years.

Asked if they were the best team in the conference, dual-threat junior quarterback Trevone Boykin responded, ''I wouldn't say that right now. We still have a lot of football left.''

TCU moved up two spots in the new Associated Press poll Sunday, a day after holding Oklahoma State (5-2, 3-1) out of the end zone and outgaining the Cowboys 676-258 in total yards. The Frogs are just ahead of No. 11 Kansas State and No. 12 Baylor (6-1, 3-1), which dropped eight spots after its loss at West Virginia (5-2, 3-1), which moved into the poll at 22.

Oklahoma slipped from 11th to 16th after its one-point loss to the Wildcats and Oklahoma State dropped completely out from 15th after its five-game winning streak was snapped.

Patterson knew long before the season the difficult stretch they faced once they got into conference play after having two off weeks in September. They wrap up their October stretch at home Saturday against Texas Tech (3-4, 1-3).

TCU started this month with a 37-33 win over Oklahoma in its Big 12 opener before a 61-58 loss at Baylor after blowing a 21-point lead in the final 11 minutes and losing on a last-play field goal.

The Frogs quickly eliminated any notion that the 4 1/2-hour shootout loss had any lingering effects on them. They led Oklahoma State for good after three long touchdowns in a span of four offensive snaps in the first quarter - a 34-yard run and catch-and-run plays of 77 and 84 yards from Boykin to Josh Doctson.

''We definitely had to bounce back and get a confidence boost. That's what we're used to doing,'' cornerback Kevin White said. ''Great teams have to bounce back. You can't let one loss define your season and define your team. We knew one loss wasn't going to define us, and we would just play harder, that's all we could do.''

Following the home game against Texas Tech, which won 56-53 in triple overtime its last trip to Fort Worth two years ago, the Frogs go to West Virginia and then host K-State.

Patterson said his team has already shown him plenty about its character by how it has handled tough stretches.

''Nobody flinched. You can either look around and you can blame people or we can just roll up our sleeves. That's what we've done,'' Patterson said. ''But that's what we've always done at TCU. You can't last 17 years, 14 as a head coach, without outlasting some hard times. Some close games. Some heartbreaks.''
 

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Schedule favors No. 2 FSU down stretch

October 19, 2014


TALLAHASSEE, Fla. (AP) - The road to the College Football Playoffs is open for Florida State after a thrilling victory Saturday night.

The No. 2 Seminoles passed their toughest test by holding on against then-No. 5 Notre Dame with a second-half comeback orchestrated by quarterback Jameis Winston.

The Seminoles (7-0, 4-0 ACC) control their own destiny, and no currently ranked teams remain on the schedule. They are one of only three top-five teams that are still undefeated, and both No. 1 Mississippi State and No. 3 Ole Miss have at least two more games against ranked teams. The Bulldogs and Rebels face each other in the regular-season finale in the Egg Bowl, so one is guaranteed to end the season with a loss.

''You can say whatever you want: This team is dominant,'' FSU coach Jimbo Fisher said. ''This team understands how to win. ... This team has tremendous what I call adversity tolerance. It doesn't flinch. It can deal with anything.''

The Seminoles just aren't last season's title team. Instead of setting offensive records, the scoring offense ranks No. 21 in the country. Instead of a defense that set a school record for interceptions, the pass defense is ranked No. 60 and has given up big games to Notre Dame quarterback Everett Golson, N.C. State's Jacoby Brissett, Clemson freshman Deshaun Watson and Oklahoma State's J.W. Walsh.

The 'Noles have three victories by less than a touchdown.

But Florida State finds ways to win and still has the reigning Heisman Trophy winner in Winston, who completed 15 of 16 passes during the second-half comeback against the Fighting Irish.

''We don't have anything to prove to anybody,'' Winston said. ''We've just got to keep playing and hopefully things will go our way. But one thing we are consistently proving is that we are winners.

''And no matter what type of adversity we may face, we are family here at Florida State and we play hard.''

Louisville (6-2) presents the biggest challenge for Florida State with a total defense that ranks No. 1 in the country and a scoring defense ranked No. 4. But its 59th-ranked scoring offense could be a problem in trying to pull off an upset against FSU. A Thursday night game Oct. 30 doesn't help much considering the Seminoles have an off week to prepare and get healthy.

The rest of the ACC opponents on the FSU schedule - Virginia, Miami and Boston College - are each 4-3. The Seminoles will be heavy favorites in all three.

Rival Florida (3-3) looms in the season finale, but 2014 has been abysmal for the Gators, who have dropped 3 of 4, including a 42-13 home loss to Missouri on Saturday. Coach Will Muschamp may be sitting on the hottest seat in the country.

A loss would put Florida State in a precarious position without anyone left on the schedule to impress the selection committee. The Seminoles won't have to worry about that if they can keep winning.

''That's one thing we can do - we can go four quarters,'' FSU linebacker Terrance Smith said. ''A lot of teams, they fizzle out toward the end, but we know how to fight and play four quarters. Sixty minutes.''
 

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Michigan State figures out balancing act

October 19, 2014


BLOOMINGTON, Ind. (AP) - Michigan State has found the perfect balance this season.

AdvertisemenConnor Cook is shredding Big Ten defenses. A large group of talented receivers keeps making huge plays. The rushing numbers are piling up, and on Saturday, the Spartans shut out high-scoring Indiana for the final 35 1/2 minutes.

The biggest question around the conference might be whether anyone on the Spartans' schedule can stop them from making college football's inaugural playoff.

''We were able to run the football. Possession time was about 40/20,'' coach Mark Dantonio said after the 56-17 blowout. ''Just an outstanding job by our guys.''

Since Dantonio's arrival in 2007, Michigan State (6-1, 3-0 Big Ten) has traditionally relied on defense and ball control to win games. It's worked masterfully.

The Spartans played in two of the conference's first three championship games, won a Rose Bowl and are now on a streak of 13 consecutive wins against Big Ten foes including last year's title game.

This year, the Spartans have opened it up.

Cook has emerged as one of the league's most proficient passers in his second season as the starter. He threw for three more touchdowns Saturday, including a 4-yard shovel pass to R.J. Shelton that broke open the game.

Jeremy Langford rushed for 109 yards and three scores. Nick Hill had 178 yards, including a late 76-yard TD run, and Tony Lippett finished with his fifth 100-yard receiving game of the season. By the time Saturday's rout ended, the Spartans had 332 yards passing and 330 yards rushing and had pushed their average scoring total to 47 points.

The biggest change has been the play of Michigan State's receivers.

Lippett entered the weekend leading the league in yards receiving (111.5) and touchdown receptions (eight), and he didn't disappoint against Indiana. He finished with seven catches and 123 yards, none of his plays more spectacular than the sliding, over-the-shoulder 41-yard grab he made right in front of the Michigan State coaches on third-and-9. Six plays later, Cook threw the TD pass to Shelton that broke open the game.

Those sorts of plays seem to be infectious.

Tight end Josiah Price made Indiana pay for Donovan Clark's gamble by turning a first-down pass into a 67-yard catch-and-run to set up Michigan State's go-ahead score in the second quarter. Aaron Burbridge managed to keep his balance after spinning away from a defender during the second quarter, picking up nine yards on third-and-7 to keep another touchdown drive alive. And somehow Macgarrett Kings Jr. saved Cook by stealing a pass that appeared to be intercepted.

''I thought the receivers played outstanding. They made a lot of 50-50 catches,'' Dantonio said.

Michigan State's defense looks as though it's improving, too.

After holding off late rallies by Nebraska and Purdue, the Spartans forced six three-and-outs, allowed just 11 yards passing and held Indiana to its second-lowest point total of the season.

The timing couldn't be better.

Michigan State hosts rival Michigan next week, then welcomes Ohio State to town for a rematch of last year's classic Big Ten title game before closing the season at Maryland, at home against Rutgers and at Penn State.

And if the Spartans keep playing like this, a second straight trip to the Big Ten title game seems entirely plausible.
 

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College Betting Recap - Week 8

October 19, 2014


Overall Notes

College Football Week 7 Results

Wager Favorites-Underdogs

Straight Up 39-14

Against the Spread 24-28-1

Wager Home-Away

Straight Up 36-17

Against the Spread 24-28-1

Wager Totals (O/U)

Over-Under 24-25-4

The largest underdog to cash
Ball State (+10.5, ML +300) at Central Michigan, 32-29

The largest favorite to cash
Marshall (-21) at Florida International, 45-13 and Oregon (-21) vs Washington, 45-20

Top 25 Notes
-- The upset bug reached up and bit Baylor, as they left burning Morgantown with a 41-27 loss, falling from the ranks of the unbeaten against red hot Clint Trickett and West Virginia. It was even more shocking since the Mountaineers were 4-2 SU and had failed to cover in three straight entering play.

-- The game of the day, and perhaps the season, was down in Tallahassee. Florida State failed to cover yet again, but found a way to come back and top Notre Dame 31-27. FSU might be 7-0, but they're just 1-6 ATS.

-- Top 10 teams ended up 6-2 SU/ATS, with one of the losses coming from the Irish in a battle of Top 5 teams.

-- Ohio State rolled over Rutgers 56-17 for an easy cover. Since their setback to Virginia Tech back on Sept. 6, the Buckeyes are 4-0 SU/ATS, and the 'over' has hit in five straight.

-- And bettors continue to yell, "Hotty Toddy!" Mississippi started extremely slow, but kicked it into high gear and buried Tennessee, 34-3. The Rebels are 7-0 SU and 6-0-1 ATS, while the 'under' has connected in six of their seven games.

Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

-- It was a low-scoring weekend in the ACC, as the 'under' cashed in six of the seven games. Of course, the exception was in Chapel Hill, where North Carolina outlasted Georgia Tech 48-43. UNC has allowed 34 or more points in five straight games, and 27 or more points in each of their seven games. ... Duke continues to roll, stopping Virginia 20-13. The Blue Devils have covered four of the past five overall, and they are 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS at home. The 'under is also 5-1 in their past six. ... Wake Forest is a terrible offensive club. They were dropped 30-7 by Syracuse, and they have a total of just 20 points in the past three weeks. The 'under' is 6-1 for the Deacs this season.

-- The Big 12 had a difficult weekend, as its top ranked teams Baylor and Oklahoma each suffered straight-up losses. ... Texas Christian might be the best team in the Big 12 right now, as they routed Oklahoma State by a 42-9 score. The Cowboys had scored 20 or more points in 58 consecutive games.

-- How about Minnesota? Sure, they did not cover, and barely won, against Purdue, but they moved to 6-1. It was their first non-cover since their only setback Sept. 13 against a good TCU team. ... Nebraska continues to be a friend to bettors, topping Northwestern 38-17. The Huskers have covered five straight. They'll host Rutgers next Saturday. ... Michigan State has had some trouble finishing games lately, but they had no problem putting away Indiana, 56-17. Defense was a hallmark for Sparty last season, but the 'over' is 6-1 through seven games this season.

-- Stanford continues to tumble in the Pac-12. The Cardinals are a great defensive team, but their offense is abysmal. They held the high-flying Arizona State offense to 'just' 26, but scrounged up just 10 points in a loss. The Cardinal are just 1-3 ATS in the past four. Not surprisingly, the 'under' is a perfect 6-0 for Stanford this season. ... Oregon has covered back-to-back games since their loss to Arizona, rolling 45-20 against Washington. The total, well...see the bad beat section below. ... UCLA outlasted California in a tight one. The home team has now cashed in five straight meetings in this series.

-- In the SEC, Alabama embarrassed Texas A&M by a 59-0 count. The Tide rolled up 35 points in the second quarter, their most in a single quarter in program history. It was also Kevin Sumlin's first shutout defeat in seven seasons in College Station. ... Is this the end for Will Muschamp in Gainesville? Missouri manhandled Florida 42-13 in 'The Swamp'. ... Georgia blasted Arkansas 45-32 for their fifth straight win. They have also covered back-to-back games for the first time this season. The 'over' is 6-1 for the 'Dawgs. ... Auburn and Mississippi State were on byes.

Mid-Major Report

-- If you really like to dig deep and follow the Sun Belt, one of the most shocking results of the day was New Mexico State-Idaho. The Vandals covered 29-17, which was whatever. But the total was set at 67.5, and fell three touchdowns short. The 'over' was 6-0 in the past six for the Aggies entering play, and the over was 4-1-1 in six games for the Vandals entering the day. ... South Alabama has won three straight, but Georgia State covered in their matchup. The Panthers are now 4-1 ATS over the past five.

-- In the Mountain West, Hawaii was traveling to the mainland for the third time in less than a month. Perhaps all of the travel has them tired. They're 0-3 SU/ATS in trips in the contiguous 48, and 2-2 SU and 4-0 ATS in four games in the islands. ... San Jose State is showing signs of life lately, winning and covering back-to-back game for the first time this season. ... Wyoming started out 3-1 SU and 2-1 ATS. However, they have dropped three in a row straight-up, and four straight against the spread. The 'under' was 4-0 in the first four for the Cowboys, but the under is 3-0 in their past three.

-- In Conference USA, Florida Atlantic continues to be tough at home. They outscored Western Kentucky 17-0 in the fourth quarter, winning 45-38. The Owls are now 3-0 SU/ATS at home, and 0-4 SU and 2-2 ATS on the road. They head to Marshall next week. ... Speaking of the Herd, they thrashed Florida International 45-13 to stay unbeaten at 7-0, and they have now covered six in a row.

-- In Mid-American action, Northern Illinois failed to cover for the fourth consecutive game. ... Kent State picked up its first win of the season, crushing Army 39-17. The Golden Flashes are 2-1 ATS over the past three after starting out 0-4 ATS. ... Massachusetts was awful last season, and they started out 0-6 SU this year. But they have won back-to-back games, covered four straight and six of the past seven. Don't sleep on the Minutemen. Win or lose, their games have been exciting.

Bad Beats

-- Bad beats were aplenty, especially in the early games if you like MAC totals. Eastern Michigan-UMass (63.5) had 44 total points at halftime, but just six points in the third quarter and none in the fourth. ... Ball State-Central Michigan had 11 points in the final 2:22, turning an 'under' into an 'over' in a hurry.

-- The game between OK State and TCU (62) had 51 total points through the first 42:19, but zero points in the final 17:41.

-- If you had Notre Dame on the moneyline (+290), salutations. They appeared to score the go-ahead touchdown in the waning moments, but a rare offensive pass interference call wiped out the play, forcing them backwards 15 yards. FSU hung on for a 31-27 win. Depending on when you got in on the total, it could have been an 'under', 'push' or 'over'. If you had over 60, the closing number, it was another bitter pill to swallow.

-- Kansas-Texas Tech (57.5) appeared to be headed for an 'over', but seven total points in the fourth quarter put the brakes on that. There was no scoring in the final 13:21 of the game.

-- It wasn't the worst bad beat, but Miami-Ohio did score a touchdown with 2:36 left, picking up a backdoor cover at NIU.
 

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4th Quarter Covers - Week 8

October 19, 2014


Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the eighth college football weekend. Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows, get the details in this weekly column.

Utah (-1½) 29, Oregon State 23: This game featured just five field goals through three quarters with Utah leading 9-6 as a slight road favorite in the late game Thursday night. Oregon State finally broke through for the first touchdown in the game connecting on a 72-yard pass play to give the Beavers their first lead of the night. After holding the Utes to a 3-and-out the Beavers appeared poised to take control of the game moving into Utah territory in an 11-play drive but ultimately the Beavers were forced to punt just outside of field goal range. Pinned deep, a big pass interference penalty helped Utah into better field position and a 53-yard run by Devontae Booker set up the Utes for the go-ahead score with just four minutes to go. The Beavers did enough to force overtime as Trevor Romaine hit a tying field goal as time expired even after a huge 3rd-down sack nearly cost Oregon State that chance. The Utes went first and scored with relative ease and Oregon State answered on a 4th-and-goal pass play. In the second session a reasonable Oregon State field goal was missed and the Utah running game that dominated the night punched in the winning score. The final touchdown also pushed the game ‘over’ on the early week numbers even though the game played out as a very low scoring affair.

Marshall (-21) 45, Florida International 13: With a 32-point final margin this game appeared to be another Marshall blowout win but this was a seven-point game at halftime and Marshall led just 24-7 entering the fourth quarter. The Herd got past the spread early in the fourth and then scored on an interception return touchdown to put the game out of reach. Marshall was much less dominant in the box score than on the scoreboard as Florida International competed well but was on the wrong end of the turnover margin, something they have had great success with most of this season.

Northern Illinois (-13½) 51, Miami, OH 41: The Huskies entered this game off a rare MAC loss and early on the rout appeared to be on as Northern Illinois took a 37-14 lead late in the first half. Miami managed to score in the final minute of the half to take some momentum into the break and the Redhawks did the only scoring in the third quarter to get within nine points. There was little defense in the fourth quarter as both squads alternated touchdowns on relatively quick drives with NIU leading 51-34 and past the spread late in the game but Miami completed its final drive for the spread-winning touchdown with just over two minutes to go.

Duke (-3) 20, Virginia 13: Virginia out-gained Duke by 131 yards but despite nearly 500 yards of offense the Cavaliers managed just 13 points in Durham. After falling behind 10-0 early, Virginia tied the game by halftime and it was 13-13 heading into the fourth quarter. Virginia was just to the edge of field goal range on its first drive of the final quarter before stalling and it was Duke that broke through with a few big plays to complete a scoring drive with less than eight minutes to go. Virginia looked poised to answer, again moving into Duke’s territory on its next possession before failing on 4th down with two penalties being costly on the drive.

North Carolina (-2) 48, Georgia Tech 43: If you like offense this ACC tilt provided one of the more entertaining games of the day. Georgia Tech took the lead early in the second half but the Tar Heels appeared poised to run away with back-to-back touchdowns to lead by nine entering the fourth quarter. There were five touchdowns in the final frame as Georgia Tech scored back-to-back touchdowns to take a 43-42 lead with three minutes to go, missing two-point conversions on both scores, costing those on the Yellow Jackets early in the week at a price as high as -2½ for the road team. By game time the Tar Heels closed as a 2-point favorite and North Carolina delivered a great final drive, converting a touchdown run with 11 seconds on the clock to win the game. Two Georgia Tech penalties in the final three plays certainly helped the cause for North Carolina in a game that could have gone either way.

San Jose State (-3) 27, Wyoming 20: This was a 10-10 game entering the fourth quarter after a 63-yard fumble return touchdown for Wyoming. San Jose State dominated the yardage in the game and went up early in the fourth but Wyoming answered with back-to-back scoring drives, settling for a short field goal to up 20-17 with just four minutes to go. In the final minute San Jose State was able to force overtime with a 50-yard kick. A defensive holding penalty helped the cause as the Spartans scored a touchdown to start overtime, a score that pushed the total ‘over’ as well and Wyoming was not able to convert a first down in its possession as San Jose State escaped with the road favorite cover.

South Florida (-2) 38, Tulsa 30: A trying season for Tulsa took another step backward Saturday as a 27-7 halftime lead quickly evaporated. By the start of the fourth quarter South Florida closed to within nine points and the writing was on the wall with a big momentum shift early in the final frame as South Florida blocked a field goal attempt. The Bulls then pulled away with a pair of quick touchdowns, taking the lead for the first time in the game with six minutes to go on an 85-yard pass play. South Florida added a field goal and then down eight Tulsa had a solid kickoff return to near midfield that was negated with a holding penalty and the final drive for the Hurricanes went quietly in a very depressing defeat for a program that has now lost six in a row.

Louisiana Tech (-11½) 27, Texas San Antonio 20: This under-the-radar Conference USA clash attracted a lot of action with an opening line of -7 climbing all the way up to -13 before buy-back on Saturday. Early on the underdog looked promising with a 10-6 lead at halftime but in the third quarter Louisiana Tech scored three touchdowns in about a five-minute span of game clock aided by turnovers. The host was just past the spread early in the fourth quarter even after a Texas San Antonio field goal but the Roadrunners added a touchdown after getting great field position after a lousy Louisiana Tech punt. Both teams threatened to score again late but Louisiana Tech missed a field goal and Texas San Antonio fell short on downs needing seven.

Middle Tennessee State (-2) 34, UAB 22: The upstart Blazers appeared on their way to another upset with a 22-21 lead entering the fourth quarter but Middle Tennessee State took the lead in the fourth with a 67-yard touchdown run. UAB wound up with interceptions on its next two drives and with about two minutes to go the Blue Raiders hit a big pass play to seal the win.

Florida Atlantic (+3) 45, Western Kentucky 38: The Hilltoppers scored with 12 seconds left in the first half to go up 31-14 but Florida Atlantic stormed back to get within 10 by the start of the fourth quarter. The Owls wound up outscoring Western Kentucky 31-7 in the second half and with two touchdowns in the final 2:18 Florida Atlantic delivered the outright upset by forcing two Western Kentucky punts.

Texas Tech (-11½) 34, Kansas 21: The spread on this game fell from as high as -14½ down to just -11½ by kickoff and the final margin fell in the middle. Kansas scored with three seconds left in the third quarter to close within six but Texas Tech answered quickly in the fourth quarter to go up by 13. Kansas fumbled in Texas Tech territory on its next possession and neither team seriously threatened to score the rest of the game.

Nebraska (-7) 38, Northwestern 17: Northwestern led Nebraska 17-14 at the half and the Cornhuskers were short of the spread entering the fourth quarter up just 21-17. Nebraska passed the spread for the first time with an early fourth quarter touchdown and then added 10 more points in the final frame on short fields after woes in the punting game for the Wildcats, getting a 15-yard penalty to put Nebraska at midfield and then having a short kick returned to its own 19-yard line late in the game to help Nebraska pull away.

San Diego State (-10) 20, Hawaii 10: The late game Saturday night fell right on the closing number but most on the Aztecs won as the spread was as low as -7 earlier in the week. San Diego State led by just seven entering the fourth quarter but a short field goal with six minutes to go pushed San Diego State to the 10-point margin with an overwhelming yardage advantage. Hawaii was immediately intercepted in its final legitimate chance to score and San Diego State eventually handed the ball back to the Warriors on downs rather than kicking another short field goal and risking a block, three points that would have been pretty important for a number of people.
 

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Top 25 Betting Recap - Week 8

October 20, 2014

Week 8 of the 2014 NCAA football betting season is in the books, and today, we're going to be taking a look at each of the Top 25 teams in the rankings and see how they did from an ATS perspective in this go around this past week.

(Results in parentheses represent SU Result-ATS Result)

1) Mississippi State (Bye)

2) Florida State (W-L vs. Notre Dame 31-27)
The Noles never looked the part of the better team against Notre Dame, but the coast should be clear from here.

3) Ole Miss (W-W vs. Tennessee 34-3)
After falling behind 3-0, the Rebs never looked back against UT.

4) Baylor (L-L vs. West Virginia 41-27)
Baylor couldn't survive a second straight bad first three quarters, and it was knocked from the ranks of the unbeatens.

5) Notre Dame (L-W vs. Florida State 31-27)
A suspect offensive pass interference call is what gave the Irish their first loss of the year.

6) Michigan State (W-W vs. Indiana 56-17)
There was a point that MSU was in a dog fight with Indiana, but a 28-0 second half changed all of that.

7) Alabama (W-W vs. Texas A&M 59-0)
Did you really think that Alabama was done? Not after that win, you don't.

8) Auburn (Bye)

9) Oregon (W-W vs. Washington 45-20)
There were no problems for the Quack Attack this week against U-Dub.

10) Georgia (W-W vs. Arkansas 45-32)
Everyone has really forgotten who Todd Gurley is in Athens.

11) Oklahoma (L-L vs. Kansas State 31-30)
The Sooners' kicking woes took them out of title contention once and for all.

12) TCU (W-W vs. Oklahoma State 42-9)
Was TCU that good, or was Okie State that bad? It's a question that begs to be asked for sure.

13) Ohio State (W-W vs. Rutgers 56-17)
JT Barrett has the biggest test of his career next week in Happy Valley.

14) Kansas State (W-W vs. Oklahoma 31-30)
That's two straight trips to Norman in which the Wildcats have pulled off the big upset.

15) Oklahoma State (L-L vs. TCU 42-9)
Don't be stunned if the Cowboys don't win another game this year.

16) East Carolina (Bye)

17) Arizona (Bye)

18) Arizona State (W-W vs. Stanford 26-10)
Mike Bercovici has made the QB competition interesting in Tempe.

19) Nebraska (W-W vs. Northwestern 38-17)
Another 146 yards and four TDs for Ameer Abdullah against NW.

20) Stanford (L-L vs. Arizona State 26-10)
The Cardinal never figured they would be 4-3 through seven games.

21) Texas A&M (L-L vs. Alabama 59-0)
That win over South Carolina in Week 1 feels like forever ago.

22) Clemson (W-L vs. Boston College 17-13)
Cole Stoudt is clearly no Deshaun Watson, and the Tigers might be struggling for it.

23) Utah (W-W vs. Oregon State 29-23)
The Utes survived on the road in Corvallis, and they have a real shot to seize control of the Pac-12 North next week against USC.

24) Marshall (W-W vs. FIU 45-13)
Does anyone care that Rakeem Cato has 19 TDs and 1,912 yards this year?

25) USC (W-W vs. Colorado 56-28)
Four first quarter TDs made this one a no-contest early.
 

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NCAAF opening line report: LSU faces statement game vs. Ole Miss

Mississippi at Louisiana State (+3)

Unbeaten Mississippi is ranked No. 3 in the country heading into Week 9 of the college football season, with a 7-0 SU record. More important for bettors backing the Rebels, though, is that they are ranked No. 2 against the spread, having yet to lose to the oddsmakers, with a 6-0-1 ATS record.

Keeping both those streaks intact won’t come easy in a Southeastern Conference that’s been eating its own all season. Ole Miss hopes to keep its championship hopes alive when it travels to the bayou this week to face Louisiana State (6-2 SU and ATS).

The Rebels rolled Tennessee 34-3 to easily cash as a 16-point home chalk Saturday, while LSU is coming off a 41-3 home trouncing of Kentucky laying 11.5 points.

“Tennessee was a very real overlook spot for the Rebs, and they played a complete game,” said John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu. “I’d say this is the best team in the country, but I still don’t trust their quarterback (Bo Wallace).

“And just when everyone was ready to write off LSU, they come back with a big win. They could make a major statement here.”


Oregon Ducks at California Golden Bears (+18.5)

These Pac-12 rivals square off in a Friday night game, with No. 7 Oregon (6-1 SU, 3-4 ATS) continuing its quest to try to get back into the four-team playoff picture. Since their stunning 31-24 home loss to Arizona, the Ducks rolled over UCLA 42-30 giving 1.5 points on the road, then thumped Washington 45-20 as a 21-point home fave.

After going 4-1 SU and ATS in its first five games, California (4-3 SU, 5-2 ATS) has dropped two in a row, but the Golden Bears gave UCLA all it could handle Saturday before losing 36-34 as a 6.5-point home underdog.

“We’ve seen a massive uptick from the Ducks' offense since their left tackle (Jake Fisher) returned. Marcus Mariota remained relatively clean against a pretty good pass-rushing team Saturday,” Lester said. “Cal is so one-dimensional offensively and bad defensively, I don’t know if they can keep up.


Southern California Trojans at Utah Utes (+1)

No. 19 Utah (5-1 SU and ATS) is just a few minutes away from a perfect record this season, with its only loss coming on a late TD in a 28-27 setback at Washington State. The Utes have been a big surprise, beating Michigan at the Big House – though the Wolverines are awful – and following their lone loss with a 30-28 upset at UCLA and a 29-23 overtime win at Oregon State last Thursday giving 1.5 points.

No. 21 Southern Cal (5-2 SU and ATS) has also won its last two SU and ATS, pummeling visiting Colorado 56-28 on Saturday as a 19.5-point fave.

“We expect to see a lot of groundwork between these two teams,” Lester said. “The Utes have been fantastic for their backers this year, but USC is a very public team, so we had to be wary of those factors when setting the line.”


Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans (-17)

You can’t say much good about Michigan (3-4 SU and ATS), but Michigan State (6-1 SU, 4-3 ATS) is another story. The fifth-ranked Spartans’ lone loss came at Oregon in a game they were in through three quarters before getting flattened late 46-27 as a 14-point road pup in Week 2.

Since then, they’ve won five in a row SU (3-2 ATS), including a 56-17 road beatdown of Indiana on Saturday as an 11.5-point favorite. Michigan is coming off a bye, after fending off Penn State 18-13 as a 2.5-point chalk to end a three-game SU slide.

“I’m not so sure Mark Dantonio doesn’t have one of the top four teams in the nation. The Spartans are impressive, and they finished a game decisively this week (at Indiana),” Lester said. “I don’t have much to say about this one. Michigan is garbage, and in a rivalry situation, this could get ugly.”
 

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NCAAF Line Watch: Bettors should jump on Marshall now

Spread to bet now

Marshall -28 vs. Florida Atlantic


Marshall opened as a 26-point home favorite over Florida Atlantic, and the line quickly moved up to -28. The Thundering Herd are a perfect 7-0 SU on the season, and they need all the style points they can in order for a remote shot at getting into the 4-team playoff discussion.

Florida Atlantic has been awful on the road this season. The Owls are 0-4 SU with three of their losses coming by 48, 41, and 28 point margins. Marshall has a potent offense that is averaging 47.4 points per game on an incredible 7.8 yards per play this year. Knowing they need to win by big margins, laying the 28 points now with Marshall would be a prudent move by bettors.


Spread to wait on

Tennessee +17 (vs. Alabama)


This line came out with Alabama as a 16-point road favorite at Tennessee, and most sports books have already moved this game up to -17/-17.5 after early money came in on the Crimson Tide. This line will likely go higher once the public gets involved.

Alabama comes in off a 59-0 win over Texas A&M while Tennessee enters off a 34-3 blowout loss as 16-point underdogs at Mississippi. Both teams played the Rebels and lost, yet Alabama is laying more points into the Vols despite playing on the road. The value will be on the home dog in this game, especially closer to kick off.


Total to watch

Vanderbilt at Missouri


Vanderbilt and Missouri have two of the worst offenses in the country this season. The Commodores are only averaging 17.6 points per game on just 4.7 yards per play. The Tigers are only averaging 5.1 yards per play despite scoring 30.7 points per game. Those numbers are not in line with each other, and represent Missouri’s fortune of scoring on short drives, defense, and special teams.

Both teams also possess decent enough defenses to stifle the opposing offense. Vanderbilt is allowing 5.7 yards per play versus offenses averaging 6.0 yards per play. Missouri has even better numbers, allowing 4.7 yards per play versus opponents averaging 5.9 yards per play. If this total comes out at 45 or higher, there will be value with the Under.
 

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Long Sheet

Week 9


Tuesday, October 21

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ARKANSAS ST (4 - 2) at LA LAFAYETTE (3 - 3) - 10/21/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Thursday, October 23

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CONNECTICUT (1 - 5) at E CAROLINA (5 - 1) - 10/23/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
CONNECTICUT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI (4 - 3) at VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 3) - 10/23/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, October 24

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TROY (1 - 6) at S ALABAMA (4 - 2) - 10/24/2014, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ALABAMA is 1-1 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 2-0 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S FLORIDA (3 - 4) at CINCINNATI (3 - 3) - 10/24/2014, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BYU (4 - 3) at BOISE ST (5 - 2) - 10/24/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 118-78 ATS (+32.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 118-78 ATS (+32.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 96-64 ATS (+25.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 71-47 ATS (+19.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 74-43 ATS (+26.7 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 66-38 ATS (+24.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 76-49 ATS (+22.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 2-0 against the spread versus BOISE ST over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 1-1 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OREGON (6 - 1) vs. CALIFORNIA (4 - 3) - 10/24/2014, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 53-31 ATS (+18.9 Units) in October games since 1992.
OREGON is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 2-0 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-0 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 25

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S CAROLINA (4 - 3) at AUBURN (5 - 1) - 10/25/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
AUBURN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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N ILLINOIS (5 - 2) at E MICHIGAN (2 - 5) - 10/25/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 85-60 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
E MICHIGAN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MISSISSIPPI ST (6 - 0) at KENTUCKY (5 - 2) - 10/25/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SYRACUSE (3 - 4) at CLEMSON (5 - 2) - 10/25/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 1-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (6 - 1) at ILLINOIS (3 - 4) - 10/25/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 109-142 ATS (-47.2 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 109-142 ATS (-47.2 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 53-79 ATS (-33.9 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 53-79 ATS (-33.9 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ILLINOIS is 53-77 ATS (-31.7 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 69-110 ATS (-52.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 39-60 ATS (-27.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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AKRON (4 - 3) at BALL ST (2 - 5) - 10/25/2014, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-0 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 1-0 straight up against AKRON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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C MICHIGAN (4 - 4) at BUFFALO (3 - 4) - 10/25/2014, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OHIO U (4 - 4) at W MICHIGAN (4 - 3) - 10/25/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON COLLEGE (4 - 3) at WAKE FOREST (2 - 5) - 10/25/2014, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 1-1 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 1-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEMPLE (4 - 2) at UCF (4 - 2) - 10/25/2014, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEMPLE is 1-0 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N CAROLINA (3 - 4) at VIRGINIA (4 - 3) - 10/25/2014, 12:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA TECH (5 - 2) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 3) - 10/25/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MARYLAND (5 - 2) at WISCONSIN (4 - 2) - 10/25/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VANDERBILT (2 - 5) at MISSOURI (5 - 2) - 10/25/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MISSOURI is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 1-1 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
MISSOURI is 1-1 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN JOSE ST (3 - 3) at NAVY (3 - 4) - 10/25/2014, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992.
SAN JOSE ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
SAN JOSE ST is 49-27 ATS (+19.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NAVY is 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NAVY is 1-1 against the spread versus SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-1 straight up against SAN JOSE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UNLV (2 - 5) at UTAH ST (4 - 3) - 10/25/2014, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UNLV is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
UTAH ST is 2-0 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MASSACHUSETTS (2 - 6) at TOLEDO (4 - 3) - 10/25/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TOLEDO is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
TOLEDO is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TOLEDO is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UCLA (5 - 2) at COLORADO (2 - 5) - 10/25/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
UCLA is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
UCLA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
UCLA is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
COLORADO is 98-131 ATS (-46.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
COLORADO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-1 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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RUTGERS (5 - 2) at NEBRASKA (6 - 1) - 10/25/2014, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENT ST (1 - 6) at MIAMI OHIO (1 - 7) - 10/25/2014, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI OHIO is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI OHIO is 1-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UAB (4 - 3) at ARKANSAS (3 - 4) - 10/25/2014, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TEXAS TECH (3 - 4) at TCU (5 - 1) - 10/25/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TCU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
TCU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
TCU is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
TCU is 61-37 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 58-37 ATS (+17.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus TCU over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 2-0 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (3 - 3) at SMU (0 - 6) - 10/25/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 2-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 2-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON ST (4 - 2) at STANFORD (4 - 3) - 10/25/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 105-76 ATS (+21.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OREGON ST is 100-68 ATS (+25.2 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in October games since 1992.
OREGON ST is 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALABAMA (6 - 1) at TENNESSEE (3 - 4) - 10/25/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 43-23 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
TENNESSEE is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA is 2-0 against the spread versus TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against TENNESSEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN (3 - 4) at MICHIGAN ST (6 - 1) - 10/25/2014, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WYOMING (3 - 4) at COLORADO ST (6 - 1) - 10/25/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WYOMING is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO ST is 1-1 straight up against WYOMING over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLE MISS (7 - 0) at LSU (6 - 2) - 10/25/2014, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
OLE MISS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
OLE MISS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
OLE MISS is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
OLE MISS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
LSU is 33-55 ATS (-27.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OLE MISS is 2-0 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 1-1 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (5 - 1) at WASHINGTON ST (2 - 5) - 10/25/2014, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 47-79 ATS (-39.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
ARIZONA is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON ST is 1-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC (5 - 2) at UTAH (5 - 1) - 10/25/2014, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 56-32 ATS (+20.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus USC over the last 3 seasons
USC is 2-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GA SOUTHERN (5 - 2) at GEORGIA ST (1 - 6) - 10/25/2014, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTH TEXAS (2 - 5) at RICE (3 - 3) - 10/25/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 67-41 ATS (+21.9 Units) in home games since 1992.
RICE is 67-41 ATS (+21.9 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
RICE is 56-23 ATS (+30.7 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
RICE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
RICE is 102-73 ATS (+21.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
RICE is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
RICE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
RICE is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
RICE is 29-11 ATS (+16.9 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTH TEXAS is 1-0 against the spread versus RICE over the last 3 seasons
NORTH TEXAS is 1-0 straight up against RICE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LOUISIANA TECH (4 - 3) at SOUTHERN MISS (3 - 4) - 10/25/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
SOUTHERN MISS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTEP (3 - 3) at UTSA (2 - 5) - 10/25/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
UTEP is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
UTEP is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
UTEP is 30-54 ATS (-29.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
UTEP is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTSA is 1-0 against the spread versus UTEP over the last 3 seasons
UTSA is 1-0 straight up against UTEP over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 4) at MARSHALL (7 - 0) - 10/25/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 1-0 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS ST (3 - 3) at LA MONROE (3 - 3) - 10/25/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LA MONROE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA MONROE is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
LA MONROE is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLD DOMINION (3 - 4) at W KENTUCKY (2 - 4) - 10/25/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W KENTUCKY is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
W KENTUCKY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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W VIRGINIA (5 - 2) at OKLAHOMA ST (5 - 2) - 10/25/2014, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 76-48 ATS (+23.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-1 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS (3 - 4) at KANSAS ST (5 - 1) - 10/25/2014, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 110-79 ATS (+23.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OHIO ST (5 - 1) at PENN ST (4 - 2) - 10/25/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 160-115 ATS (+33.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 160-115 ATS (+33.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 134-96 ATS (+28.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 104-72 ATS (+24.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 148-101 ATS (+36.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 122-90 ATS (+23.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OHIO ST is 115-81 ATS (+25.9 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
OHIO ST is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in October games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 79-54 ATS (+19.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
OHIO ST is 64-41 ATS (+18.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
PENN ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARIZONA ST (5 - 1) at WASHINGTON (5 - 2) - 10/25/2014, 10:45 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 1-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEVADA (4 - 3) at HAWAII (2 - 5) - 10/25/2014, 12:00 AM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 2-0 against the spread versus HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 2-0 straight up against HAWAII over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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NCAAF

Week 9


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Trend Report
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Tuesday, October 21

8:00 PM
ARKANSAS STATE vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
Arkansas State is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Arkansas State's last 7 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games


Thursday, October 23

7:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. EAST CAROLINA
Connecticut is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 6 games
East Carolina is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of East Carolina's last 7 games at home

8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Miami is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Virginia Tech is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games at home


Friday, October 24

7:00 PM
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. CINCINNATI
South Florida is 5-17 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of South Florida's last 23 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against South Florida
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
TROY vs. SOUTH ALABAMA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Troy's last 5 games
Troy is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of South Alabama's last 11 games
South Alabama is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

9:00 PM
BYU vs. BOISE STATE
BYU is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of BYU's last 10 games on the road
Boise State is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boise State's last 8 games at home

10:00 PM
OREGON vs. CALIFORNIA
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing California
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oregon's last 7 games when playing California
California is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games at home
California is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games at home


Saturday, October 25

12:00 PM
MARYLAND vs. WISCONSIN
Maryland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Maryland's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin's last 6 games at home
Wisconsin is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

12:00 PM
UAB vs. ARKANSAS
The total has gone OVER in 14 of UAB's last 20 games
UAB is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games
Arkansas is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arkansas's last 8 games

12:00 PM
TEXAS vs. KANSAS STATE
Texas is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Kansas State
Texas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas State
Kansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas State's last 6 games when playing Texas

12:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. SOUTHERN METHODIST
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games on the road
Memphis is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Southern Methodist is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games

12:00 PM
RUTGERS vs. NEBRASKA
Rutgers is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Rutgers's last 7 games on the road
Nebraska is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Nebraska is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home

12:00 PM
NORTH TEXAS vs. RICE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Texas's last 6 games
North Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rice's last 6 games at home
Rice is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home

12:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ILLINOIS
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games
Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Illinois is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

12:30 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. VIRGINIA
North Carolina is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Virginia
North Carolina is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Virginia's last 9 games when playing North Carolina
Virginia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina

1:00 PM
SAN JOSE STATE vs. NAVY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose State's last 6 games
Navy is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Navy is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

1:00 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Eastern Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Northern Illinois's last 10 games when playing Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northern Illinois
Eastern Michigan is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northern Illinois

2:00 PM
GA SOUTHERN vs. GEORGIA STATE
Ga Southern is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games
Ga Southern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia State's last 7 games
Georgia State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

2:00 PM
AKRON vs. BALL STATE
Akron is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ball State
Akron is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ball State
Ball State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Ball State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Akron

2:00 PM
MASSACHUSETTS vs. TOLEDO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Massachusetts's last 5 games on the road
Massachusetts is 2-23 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Toledo is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toledo's last 8 games

2:00 PM
OHIO vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ohio's last 7 games on the road
Ohio is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Western Michigan is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 5 games at home

2:00 PM
UCLA vs. COLORADO
UCLA is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UCLA's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games at home

2:30 PM
KENT STATE vs. MIAMI (OHIO)
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami (Ohio)
Kent State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami (Ohio)
Miami (Ohio) is 8-14-2 ATS in its last 24 games
Miami (Ohio) is 1-23 SU in its last 24 games

3:30 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. OKLAHOMA STATE
West Virginia is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
West Virginia is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Oklahoma State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Oklahoma State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

3:30 PM
OREGON STATE vs. STANFORD
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oregon State's last 7 games
Oregon State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Stanford's last 6 games when playing at home against Oregon State
Stanford is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games

3:30 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. PITTSBURGH
Georgia Tech is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Georgia Tech's last 16 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
BOSTON COLLEGE vs. WAKE FOREST
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
Boston College is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston College
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 5 games when playing Boston College

3:30 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. SOUTHERN MISS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana Tech's last 6 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Southern Miss is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games
Southern Miss is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games

3:30 PM
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. BUFFALO
Central Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo
Central Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games

3:30 PM
MICHIGAN vs. MICHIGAN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing Michigan State
Michigan is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Michigan State
Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Michigan State's last 9 games

3:30 PM
FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. MARSHALL
Florida Atlantic is 4-21 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 5 games
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Marshall is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. KENTUCKY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 7 games when playing Kentucky
Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky
Kentucky is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kentucky's last 7 games when playing Mississippi State

3:30 PM
TEXAS TECH vs. TCU
Texas Tech is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Texas Tech's last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of TCU's last 6 games at home
TCU is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:00 PM
OLD DOMINION vs. WESTERN KENTUCKY
Old Dominion is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Old Dominion is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Western Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Western Kentucky's last 7 games

4:00 PM
UNLV vs. UTAH STATE
UNLV is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UNLV's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Utah State's last 12 games
Utah State is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games

4:00 PM
VANDERBILT vs. MISSOURI
Vanderbilt is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vanderbilt's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Missouri's last 8 games at home
Missouri is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home

5:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
Temple is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Temple is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Central Florida's last 11 games at home
Central Florida is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

6:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. WASHINGTON STATE
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Arizona is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington State's last 9 games at home
Washington State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
SYRACUSE vs. CLEMSON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games on the road
Syracuse is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Clemson's last 5 games

7:00 PM
TEXAS EL PASO vs. UTSA
Texas El Paso is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 5 games on the road
UTSA is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
UTSA is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
Texas State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
Texas State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
WYOMING vs. COLORADO STATE
Wyoming is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado State
Wyoming is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Colorado State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado State's last 5 games
Colorado State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:15 PM
MISSISSIPPI vs. LSU
Mississippi is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Mississippi's last 10 games
LSU is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LSU's last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
ALABAMA vs. TENNESSEE
Alabama is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama's last 7 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 7 games when playing at home against Alabama
Tennessee is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Alabama

7:30 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA vs. AUBURN
South Carolina is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games on the road
South Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn's last 5 games
Auburn is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games

8:00 PM
OHIO STATE vs. PENN STATE
Ohio State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio State's last 5 games
Penn State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ohio State
Penn State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ohio State

10:00 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. UTAH
Southern Cal is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
Southern Cal is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Utah is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games at home

10:45 PM
ARIZONA STATE vs. WASHINGTON
Arizona State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Arizona State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games

11:59 PM
NEVADA vs. HAWAII
Nevada is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nevada's last 6 games on the road
Hawaii is 3-16 SU in its last 19 games
Hawaii is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
 

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Dunkel

Week 9


Arkansas State at UL-Lafayette
The Red Wolves head to UL-Lafayette tonight and come into the contest with a 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 road games. Arkansas State is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wolves favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-2 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 21

Game 101-102: Arkansas State at UL-Lafayette (8:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 85.772; UL-Lafayette 79.357
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 6 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 2 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-2 1/2); Under


SATURDAY, OCTOBER 18

Game 313-314: Marshall at Florida International (6:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 97.914; Florida International 74.149
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 24; 55
Vegas Line: Marshall by 21 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-21 1/2); Under

Game 315-316: Syracuse at Wake Forest (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 80.197; Wake Forest 78.814
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 1 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 5; 43
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+5); Under

Game 317-318: Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 66.710; Northern Illinois 81.505
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 15; 48
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 11; 58
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-11); Under

Game 319-320: Akron at Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 77.685; Ohio 69.060
Dunkel Line: Akron by 8 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Akron by 3; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Akron (-3); Over

Game 321-322: Purdue at Minnesota (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Purdue 85.448; Minnesota 95.255
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 10; 52
Vegas Line: Minnesota by 13; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+13); Over

Game 323-324: Iowa at Maryland (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 89.375; Maryland 99.742
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 10 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Maryland by 4; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (-4); Over

Game 325-326: Baylor at West Virginia (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 106.484; West Virginia 101.896
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 4 1/2; 78
Vegas Line: Baylor by 8 1/2; 80
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+8 1/2); Under

Game 327-328: Virginia at Duke (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 93.621; Duke 92.458
Dunkel Line: Virginia by 1; 53
Vegas Line: Duke by 3; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+3); Over

Game 329-330: Georgia Tech at North Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 93.695; North Carolina 89.222
Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 4 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 2; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-2); Under

Game 331-332: NC State at Louisville (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC State 79.800; Louisville 99.871
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 20; 54
Vegas Line: Louisville by 17; 48
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-17); Over

Game 333-334: Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Eastern Michigan 62.568; Massachusetts 74.936
Dunkel Line: Massachusetts by 12 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: Massachusetts by 16 1/2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+16 1/2); Under

Game 335-336: Western Michigan at Bowling Green (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 75.270; Bowling Green 74.503
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 1; 54
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 3; 70 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+3); Under

Game 337-338: Ball State at Central Michigan (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 68.493; Central Michigan 84.333
Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 16; 63
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 8 1/2; 55
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-8 1/2); Over

Game 339-340: Georgia at Arkansas (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 104.111; Arkansas 102.961
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 1; 49
Vegas Line: Georgia by 4; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (+4); Under

Game 341-342: San Jose State at Wyoming (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 78.393; Wyoming 74.525
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 4; 62
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 1 1/2; 47
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (-1 1/2); Over

Game 343-344: New Mexico at Air Force (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 76.279; Air Force 82.927
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 6 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Air Force by 11 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+11 1/2); Under

Game 345-346: South Florida at Tulsa (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 75.748; Tulsa 71.666
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 4; 48
Vegas Line: South Florida by 1 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-1 1/2); Under

Game 347-348: TX-San Antonio at Louisiana Tech (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 82.217; Louisiana Tech 79.621
Dunkel Line: T X-San Antonio by 2 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 8; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TX-San Antonio (+8); Over

Game 349-350: Southern Mississippi at North Texas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 62.234; North Texas 75.653
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 13 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: North Texas by 10 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-10 1/2); Over

Game 351-352: Cincinnati at SMU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 75.925; SMU 69.848
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 6; 50
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 15; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+15); Under

Game 353-354: Appalachian State at Troy (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Appalachian State 58.818; Troy 68.634
Dunkel Line: Troy by 10; 68
Vegas Line: Troy by 7; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (-7); Over

Game 355-356: Nevada at BYU (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 84.167; BYU 91.058
Dunkel Line: BYU by 7; 47
Vegas Line: BYU by 10; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+10); Under

Game 357-358: Army at Kent State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Army 68.406; Kent State 60.045
Dunkel Line: Army by 8 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Army by 5; 52
Dunkel Pick: Army (-5); Under

Game 359-360: Stanford at Arizona State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 101.466; Arizona State 101.233
Dunkel Line: Even; 52
Vegas Line: Stanford by 4; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (+4); Under

Game 361-362: Washington at Oregon (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 94.175; Oregon 118.093
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 24; 72
Vegas Line: Oregon by 20 1/2; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-20 1/2); Over

Game 363-364: UCLA at California (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 99.210; California 89.148
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 10; 68
Vegas Line: UCLA by 7; 74 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-7); Under

Game 365-366: UAB at Middle Tennessee State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 81.993; Middle Tennessee State 82.137
Dunkel Line: Even; 61
Vegas Line: UAB by 1 1/2; 71
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (+1 1/2); Under

Game 367-368: Rutgers at Ohio State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rutgers 88.932; Ohio State 111.888
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 23; 61
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 19; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-19); Over

Game 369-370: Texas A&M at Alabama (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 103.007; Alabama 107.885
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 5; 58
Vegas Line: Alabama by 12; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+12); Under

Game 371-372: Colorado at USC (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 84.385; USC 100.268
Dunkel Line: USC by 16; 58
Vegas Line: USC by 19 1/2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+19 1/2); Under

Game 373-374: Michigan State at Indiana (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 107.524; Indiana 90.174
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 17 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 14; 58
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-14); Over

Game 375-376: Clemson at Boston College (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Clemson 100.169; Boston College 97.794
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 2 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Clemson by 6 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+6 1/2); Under

Game 377-378: Kansas State at Oklahoma (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 95.062; Oklahoma 111.101
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 16; 64
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 8; 59
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-8); Over

Game 379-380: New Mexico State at Idaho (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 57.940; Idaho 59.341
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 1 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Idaho by 4 1/2; 67 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico State (+4); Under

Game 381-382: Georgia State at South Alabama (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 56.424; South Alabama 77.203
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 21; 53
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 17; 56
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (-17); Under

Game 383-384: Western Kentucky at Florida Atlantic (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 80.689; Florida Atlantic 70.484
Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 10; 58
Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 6; 68
Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-6); Under

Game 385-386: Utah State at Colorado State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 94.757; Colorado State 91.563
Dunkel Line: Utah State by 3; 50
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 5 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+5 1/2); Under

Game 387-388: Tennessee at Mississippi (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 94.972; Mississippi 115.866
Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 21; 52
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 16 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-16 1/2); Over

Game 389-390: Iowa State at Texas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 87.970; Texas 95.723
Dunkel Line: Texas by 8; 55
Vegas Line: Texas by 12 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+12 1/2); Over

Game 391-392: Missouri at Florida (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 91.322; Florida 99.723
Dunkel Line: Florida by 8 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: Florida by 4 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:: Florida (-4 1/2); Under

Game 393-394: Kansas at Texas Tech (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 79.906; Texas Tech 85.432
Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 5 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 14 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+14 1/2); Over

Game 395-396: Oklahoma State at TCU (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 101.597; TCU 105.850
Dunkel Line: TCU by 4 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: TCU by 9; 62
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+9); Under

Game 397-398: Tulane at Central Florida (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 73.328; Central Florida 96.459
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 23; 47
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 19 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-19 1/2); Over

Game 399-400: Nebraska at Northwestern (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 100.976; Northwestern 97.456
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 3 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 7; 52
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+7); Over

Game 401-402: Kentucky at LSU (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 86.004; LSU 103.407
Dunkel Line: LSU by 17 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: LSU by 9; 51
Dunkel Pick: LSU (-9); Over

Game 403-404: Notre Dame at Florida State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Notre Dame 97.221; Florida State 113.514
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 16 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Florida State by 10; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-10); Over

Game 405-406: Hawaii at San Diego State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 76.369; San Diego State 81.416
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 5; 53
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 9 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+9 1/2); Over


OTHER MAJOR GAMES:

Game 411-412: Furman at South Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Furman 54.389; South Carolina 90.423
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 36; 70
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 39; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Furman (+39); N/A
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 9



Tuesday's Game
Underdogs covered last three ULL-Arkansas State games, winning three of last five SU; State's 50-27 win here in 2012 was their first in last six visits to Lafayette, where Ragin' Cajuns are 3-8 as home dogs since '07, but 1-0 under Hudspeth. ULL won its last two games after losing three in row before that- they scored 34 points in each of its last two games. ASU won its last three games, allowing 14-14-10 points; their only two losses are at Tennessee/Miami, BCS-level teams. Redhawks are 8-2 vs spread in last ten games as a road favorite. Sun Belt home teams are 6-12 vs spread on conference play, 1-3 if underdogs.
 

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Tuesday, October 21


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Arkansas State at Louisiana-Lafayette
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Arkansas State Red Wolves at Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (+2, OFF)

The Arkansas State Red Wolves and Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns both put unbeaten Sun Belt Conference records on the line in a Tuesday night showdown at Cajun Field. The Red Wolves trounced host Georgia State 52-10 on Oct. 11 for their third straight victory since a one-sided loss to Miami. They’ll meet their match in the Ragin’ Cajuns, who followed up a narrow win over the Panthers with a 34-10 drubbing of Texas State a week ago in hostile territory.

The key to Louisiana-Lafayette extending its winning streak to three games will be finding a way to suppress the Arkansas State running game. The Red Wolves are ranked in the top 30 nationally at 219.2 yards on the ground per game, led by Junior running back Michael Gordon and his 9.4 yards per carry. The Ragin’ Cajuns are no slouches in the backfield themselves - averaging 192.8 yards per game - and quarterback Terrence Broadway looks like he has turned a corner.

TV:
8 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

LINE HISTORY:
Arkansas State opened -3 but the line has since dropped a half-point.

INJURY REPORT:
Arkansas State: DB Charleston Girley (wrist), DB Chris Humes (biceps), DL Jonah Hill (knee) and OL Daniel Keith (ankle) are out. Louisiana-Lafayette: S Trevence Patt (ankle) and WR Jamal Robinson (foot) are questionable; OL Jeremy Sparks (neck) and DL Marvin Martin (knee) are out.

WEATHER REPORT:
Cajun Field will see clear skies with temperatures in the low-80s and wind out of the northeast at 9 mph.

ABOUT ARKANSAS STATE (4-2, 5-1 ATS, 2-4 O/U):
The Red Wolves could do no wrong against overmatched Georgia State, racking up 384 yards on the ground, another 234 through the air and converting 10-of-13 third-down opportunities. Gordon was the catalyst with 188 rushing yards and a pair of scores, and has 356 yards on just 33 carries in his past two contests. The Arkansas State defense has also excelled during the winning streak, allowing fewer than 13 points per game while holding each of their last two opponents below 75 rushing yards.

ABOUT LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE (3-3, 2-4 ATS, 3-3 O/U):
Broadway struggled mightily in back-to-back losses to Ole Miss and Boise State - barely completing 50 percent of his passes with zero touchdowns and four interceptions - but has rebounded nicely. He went 20-of-26 for 216 yards in the victory over Georgia State and followed that up with a 225-yard, one-touchdown, one-interception performance against Texas State. That game also saw him rush for a season-best 101 yards on 19 rushes; Louisiana-Lafayette improved to 1-2 on the season in games where Broadway exceeds 50 rushing yards.

TRENDS:


* Red Wolves are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games.
* Ragin' Cajuns are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games against teams with winning road records.
* Over is 5-1 in Arkansas State's last six conference games.
* Over is 10-2-1 in Louisiana-Lafayette's last 13 games on turf.

CONSENSUS:
54.17 percent percent of users are backing the Red Wolves -2.
 

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