Cnotes NCAA Basketball Picks Thru March Madness & Madness GOY !!

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Monday, March 10


Saint Louis stops UMass to take Atlantic 10 title

Saint Louis had a lot riding on Sunday's outcome against Massachusetts.

And with the game tied, the clock ticking down and the ball in Saint Louis guard Jordair Jett's hands, forward Dwayne Evans had just one thing on his mind.

"We were going to win," he said.

Evans was right.

Jett hit the game-winning layup with 4 seconds left to help the 17th-ranked Billikens snap a three-game losing streak and clinch their second straight Atlantic 10 Conference regular-season title with a gritty 64-62 win over the Minutemen.

Saint Louis (26-5, 13-3 Atlantic 10) already had wrapped up the top seed in this week's A-10 tournament, but needed another victory in a hostile environment to send them into the postseason on a positive note.

NOTES: Massachusetts is one of 10 Division I teams to start the same lineup all season. ... Saint Louis is one of the few teams in the country to start five seniors. ... The Minutemen entered the game averaging a league-high 76.9 points per game, which ranks 43rd nationally. The Billikens, meanwhile, came in leading the conference and were 15th in the country in scoring defense, allowing 60.9 points per game. ... UMass G Chaz Williams, who entered the game tied with Chris Lowe for the most career assists in school history at 678, set the new standard early in the first half. ... These two teams met in the opening round of the 1998 NCAA Tournament, with the Billikens winning 51-46. That was the last time the Minutemen made the Big Dance.


Wichita St. wins MVC tourney, cover eight straight

The Wichita State Shockers improved their record to 34-0 when they won the Missouri Valley Conference tournament final 83-69 against Indiana State Sunday afternoon and in doing so the Shockers also extended their streak of cashing for their backers.

The Shockers - who were 12.5-point faves against Indiana State - have now covered the spread in eight consecutive games and are now 24-6-1 ATS on the season.

Wichita State will now have to wait until Selection Sunday on March 16 when they will most likely be named a No. 1 seed for the NCAA tournament.


Maryland stuns No. 5 Virginia in ACC finale

Maryland coach Mark Turgeon knew his team was close and on the brink of doing something special after playing in close games all season.

After loses earlier in the year to three ranked teams -- Pittsburgh, Duke and Syracuse -- by a combined eight points, Saturday afternoon's matchup with No. 5-ranked Virginia had all of the fixings to satisfy a sold out crowd at Comcast Center.

It did just that.

Playing in its last home game as a member of the Atlantic Coast Conference, Maryland upset the Cavaliers 75-69 in overtime to close out ACC regular-season play.

Maryland, which has been a charter member of the ACC since 1953, will join the Big Ten for the 2014-15 school year.

NOTES: Virginia G Justin Anderson, who was originally committed to Maryland, averaged 12.5 points per game last season in two games against the Terrapins. ... Former Maryland coaches Gary Williams and Lefty Driesell were in attendance for the game. ... The loss ends Virginia's 13-game winning streak. ... The Cavaliers will enter next week's ACC Tournament as the No. 1 seed while Maryland will either be the eight or nine seed. ... This was Virginia's first lost since a 69-65 loss to Duke on January 13.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Dunkel

St. Mary's vs. Gonzaga
The Bulldogs (26-6) play St. Mary's tonight in the West Coast Conference semifinals and catch the Gaels with an 0-7 ATS record in their last 7 games against teams with a winning SU record. Gonzaga is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulldogs favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-6). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, MARCH 10

Game 515-516: Delaware vs. William & Mary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 55.733; William & Mary 49.264
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 6 1/2; 156
Vegas Line: Delaware by 4 1/2; 153
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (-4 1/2); Over

Game 517-518: St. Mary's vs. Gonzaga (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Mary's 58.999; Gonzaga 67.720
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 9; 125
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 6; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-6); Under

Game 519-520: San Francisco vs. BYU (11:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 59.052; BYU 66.651
Dunkel Line: BYU by 7 1/2; 149
Vegas Line: BYU by 4 1/2; 154
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-4 1/2); Under

Game 521-522: Ball State at Ohio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 45.732; Ohio 56.943
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 11
Vegas Line: Ohio by 13 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+13 1/2)

Game 523-524: Kent State at Miami (OH) (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 49.953; Miami (OH) 56.081
Dunkel Line: Miami (OH) by 6
Vegas Line: Miami (OH) by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (-2 1/2)

Game 525-526: Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 46.418; Eastern Michigan 56.312
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 10
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+12 1/2)

Game 527-528: Bowling Green at Northern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 51.790; Northern Illinois 51.599
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 3
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+3)

Game 529-530: Manhattan vs. Iona (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Manhattan 58.155; Iona 60.708
Dunkel Line: Iona by 2 1/2; 160
Vegas Line: Pick; 156
Dunkel Pick: Iona; Over

Game 531-532: Denver vs. North Dakota State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 53.913; North Dakota State 62.212
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 8 1/2; 138
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 5 1/2; 129 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-5 1/2); Over

Game 533-534: South Dakota State vs. IPFW (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Dakota State 56.960; IPFW 55.462
Dunkel Line: South Dakota State by 1 1/2; 136
Vegas Line: South Dakota State by 4; 142 1/2
Dunkel Pick: IPFW (+4); Under

Game 535-536: Western Carolina vs. Wofford (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 50.057; Wofford 50.979
Dunkel Line: Wofford by 1; 144
Vegas Line: Wofford by 3; 131
Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (+3); Over

Game 541-542: MD-Eastern Shore vs. Norfolk State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: MD-Eastern Shore 36.474; Norfolk State 49.889
Dunkel Line: Norfolk State by 13 1/2
Vegas Line: Norfolk State by 11
Dunkel Pick: Norfolk State (-11)

Game 543-544: South Carolina State vs. Savannah State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina State 38.624; Savannah State 43.692
Dunkel Line: Savannah State by 5
Vegas Line: Savannah State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina State (+7 1/2)

 

[CNOTES]

MAC Betting Notes

March 9, 2014


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE

March 10, 12-15 (Opening Round games at campus sites of higher seeds...Remaining games at Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, OH)

PROJECTED FINAL FOUR: TOLEDO, BUFFALO, WESTERN MICHIGAN, AKRON

THE WAY WE SEE IT:

Like the Horizon League, and in hopes of ensuring a better chance to land an at-large bid, the MAC has re-arranged its postseason tournament where the division winners earn byes into the semis and the No. 3-4 seeds start in the quarters. That makes seeding the Final Four an easy task. The question is who wins?

What we know for sure is that it’s been 10 years since a West Division team has cut down the nets in this tourney. And the team from the West with the best chance is TOLEDO, who returns to the party after sitting out on the sidelines with an NCAA imposed suspension for low APR grades. The Rockets are 4-0 ATS the last four games in this event and 3-0 ATS the last three when taking points. UT dominated beatable opponents (18-1 SU versus sub .500 foes) but struggled in conference wars at the pay window (4-13 ATS at press time) this season.

Like Toledo, BUFFALO was one of five teams that returned 4 starters this season and that experience paid off for first-year head coach Bobby Hurley as the Bulls are 12-5 SU and 13-4 ATS in conference play at press time.

WESTERN MICHIGAN was the last team from the West Division to claim the crown in 2004, and they could be in position to do so again this year. A 9-1 SU closing run at press time, along with a 5-0 ATS mark as tourney favorites, makes the Broncos legit. AKRON, the defending champion, has made the finals each of the last 7 years and is 7-1 SUATS the last three years in this tournament. A 13-2 SU mark in its last fifteen MAC tourney games certainly deems the Zips worthy here.

THE SLEEPER: OHIO U

Like Akron, the Bobcats know the route to the title game, having made it there 3 of the last 4 years, while winning the crown two times in that span. Weak on the glass (#200 in the nation), OU makes up for its ability in games against sub .600 opponents, going 33-4 SU at press time under head coach Bill Wucznyski. That should get them out of the first round at to the ‘Q’, where anything can happen.

KEY TOURNAMENT BEST BET: PLAY ON BUFFALO AS A DOG

The Bulls have bagged the cash in 8 of their last 9 MAC meetings when taking points. They are also 5-1 ATS as a dog in this tourney. Hurley was adept as a dog in his playing career and the league has yet to catch up with his playbook. It all points to the points. Take ‘em if you see ‘em.

EXTRA TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES

AKRON: 9-1 ATS vs #2-3 seeds, 8-1 ATS vs opp off DD SU win, 7-1 ATS L8, 5-1 ATS off DD ATS win, 0-3 ATS vs opp off DD SU loss…

BALL STATE: 6-1-1 ATS w/3+ days rest, 6-2-1 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 0-4 ATS with same-season double revenge, 1-4-1 ATS dogs off SU dog win, 3-11-1 ATS L15…

BOWLING GREEN: 4-1 ATS as favs vs opp off SU loss, 0-9 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 2-7 ATS off SUATS loss, 2-7 ATS w/same-season double revenge, 5-17 ATS L22…

BUFFALO: 4-0 ATS vs #2-3 seeds, 5-1 ATS dogs of 5 < pts, 5-2 ATS vs opp w/revenge, 2-6 ATS off DD SU win…

CENTRAL MICHIGAN: 5-1 ATS as favorites, 4-1 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 4-1 ATS vs opp w/revenge, 1-5 AT as dogs < 8 pts, 1-4 ATS vs opp off SU fav loss…

EASTERN MICHIGAN: 4-0 ATS vs #1 seed, 7-1 ATS vs opp off DD SU win, 0-3 ATS w/same-season revenge, 1-8 ATS L9, 1-7 ATS away, 1-6 ATS vs opp off DD SU loss...

KENT STATE: 8-2 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 4-1 ATS off SU fav loss, 4-1 ATS as DD favs, 4-1 ATS w/same-season single revenge, 0-4 ATS as dogs < 6 pts...

MIAMI,OHIO: 4-1 ATS vs #1 seed, 1-5 ATS favs off BB SUATS wins, 2-6 ATS off SU dog win…

NORTHERN ILLINOIS: 3-0 ATS off BB SUATS losses, 5-2 ATS dogs vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 0-2 ATS off SU dog win, 1-3 ATS as DD dogs…

OHIO: 6-1 ATS w/same-season single revenge, 11-2 ATS as dogs > 1 pt, 10-2 ATS off DD ATS win, 4-1 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 1-6 ATS L7, 1-5 ATS as #3 seed…

TOLEDO: 5-1 ATS L6, 6-2 ATS vs opp off BB SU losses, 0-3 ATS vs opp w/revenge off SU dog win, 1-5-2 ATS off SUATS win vs opp off DD SU win...

WESTERN MICHIGAN: 5-1 ATS favs vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 7-2 ATS L9, 0-6 ATS vs opp off DD SU loss, 0-6 ATS dogs vs opp off BB SU wins, 0-4 ATS off SU dog win.

TECH NOTES

-- Favorites with same-season single revenge are 18-7 ATS…

-- Underdogs off a SU favorite loss are 6-1 ATS…

-- Teams with same-season double revenge are 15-31 ATS off a SU win and 1-7 ATS vs opp off SUATS loss…

-- #1 seeds are 9-1 ATS as favorites of 11 > pts…

-- #2 seed dogs are 2-8-1 ATS L11…

-- #3 seeds off a SU favorite loss are 6-0 ATS but 1-9 ATS off BB SUATS wins…*

-- #6 seed dogs are 1-7 ATS L8 games…

-- #8 seed DD dogs are 3-9 ATS…

-- #9 seeds are 5-1 ATS off BB SUATS wins.

 

[CNOTES]

C-USA Betting Notes

March 10, 2014


CONFERENCE USA

March 11-15 -- All games at the Don Haskins Center, El Paso, TX (home court of UTEP)

PROJECTED FINAL FOUR: SOUTHERN MISS, LA TECH, MIDDLE TENNESSEE, UTEP

THE WAY WE SEE IT:

With Memphis out of the way, it’s time a new #1 seed makes a name in this tourney. The Tigers had captured the crown 7 of the last 8 years in the C-USA tourney before bolting for the new American Athletic Conference. A lot of which went hand-in-hand with the fact the top seed in this tourney has made it to the title game 9 of the last 10 years, while cutting down the nets 10 of the last 13 years. That being the case, the dilemma is that no less than four teams were tied atop the conference standings at 12-3 heading to press time. The good news is the top 4 seeds in this tourney receive double byes, with seeds 5-9 getting a single bye.

From an all-important RPI standpoint, SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI sits atop the pack in the C-USA. The Golden Eagles were the runner-up in this tourney last year and won 27 games before losing in the quarterfinals of the NIT last season. Head coach Donnie Tyndall is 52-15 SU with USM at press time, including 46-5 versus .666 or less opponents, and is the team to beat.

LOUISIANA TECH was the preseason favorite to win the conference and did not disappoint after transferring in from the WAC. Like Southern Miss, the Bulldogs dominated sub .666 or less opponents this season (20-2 SU and 10-5 ATS at press time) and should arrive in a nasty mood after having been bounced in the first round of the WAC tourney as a 12.5-point, #1 seed last year.

MIDDLE TENNESSEE, another ‘new kid on the block’ in the conference this year, holds down the 3rd best RPI ranking in the loop. The Blue Raiders won the Sun Belt last season before eventually losing in the first round of the Big Dance. MTSU’s strength is on the glass where they outrebound foes a net +4.3 RPG this season after finishing +5.7 last year.

UTEP plays host to the tourney, owning the #72 RPI rating at press time, so they will need to make some noise in order to get an invite. A 152-38 SU record at the Don Haskins Center, including 10-3-1 ATS when getting points, should serve them well.

THE SLEEPER: TULSA

The Hurricane started slow (0-4 SU) but closed like their namesake with 7 straight wins (8-1 ATS) at press time. We’re now located in South Florida and if there is one thing we’ve learned since residing in this state, it’s that you don’t step in front of a hurricane at full force.

KEY TOURNAMENT BEST BET: PLAY ON SOUTHERN MISS IN GAME ONE

The Eagles have been golden in conference tourney lid-lifters (10-1 SU and 9-2 ATS), which ties directly into their aforementioned dominance against .666 or less opposition.

EXTRA TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES

CHARLOTTE: 4-0 ATS as favs vs opp off BB SU/ATS wins, 1-9 ATS off SU loss, 1-5 ATS L6, 3-8 ATS w/revenge

EAST CAROLINA: 3-0 ATS off DD SU win, 1-6 ATS off SU loss, 1-6 ATS vs opp off SU win

FLORIDA ATLANTIC: 0-4 ATS vs opp w/revenge, 0-3 ATS off SU/ATS win, 1-5 ATS as favs, 1-3 ATS off DD ATS loss

LOUISIANA TECH: 4-0 ATS as dogs < 7 pts, 4-1 ATS off SU dog win, 0-2 ATS off DD ATS win, 1-5 ATS vs opp off DD SU win

MARSHALL: 2-0 ATS as dogs off SU loss, 4-1 ATS vs opp off SUATS loss, 0-2 ATS vs opp off BB SU/ATS wins, 1-4 ATS favs < 7 pts

MIDDLE TENNESSEE: 4-1 ATS as dogs > 3 pts, 1-7-1 ATS L9, 1-6 ATS off BB SUATS wins, 1-4 ATS as favs vs opp off SU loss

NORTH TEXAS: 2-0 ATS off BB SU losses, 4-1 ATS off 3+ SUATS wins, 3-1 ATS as dogs 3 < pts, 1-4 ATS off DD ATS win

OLD DOMINION: 3-0 ATS as dogs of BB SU/ATS wins, 2-0 ATS off BB SU losses, 0-4 ATS vs opp off SU fav loss, 0-2 ATS w/same-season single revenge

RICE: 5-0 ATS off BB SU losses, 4-0-1 ATS vs opp off SU loss, 6-1-1 ATS dogs 5 > pts, 6-1-1 ATS w/3+ days rest

SOUTHERN MISS: 5-1 ATS favs off BB SU wins, 1-6 ATS off SU dog win, 1-6-1 dogs off BB SUATS wins, 2-6 ATS vs opp off BB SU/ATS wins

TEXAS SAN ANTONIO: 1st year in tourney

TULANE: 4-1 ATS off SU win vs opp off SU loss, 3-1 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 3-1 ATS vs #1 seed, 0-5 ATS L5, 1-4 ATS off BB SU/ATS wins

TULSA: 3-0 ATS w/same-season single revenge, 3-1 ATS vs opp off SU loss, 0-3 ATS w/same-season double revenge, 2-6 ATS vs opp off DD SU win

UAB: 5-1 ATS off DD ATS win, 4-0 ATS as dogs off DD SU win, 1-11 ATS L12 games, 1-9 ATS favs 6 < pts…

UTEP: 5-0-1 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 3-0 ATS as DD favs, 8-2 ATS favs vs opp off SU win. 1-3 ATS as dogs vs opp off SU win.

TECH NOTES:

-- Teams off a DD SU win are 13-1-1 ATS vs opp off SU/ATS loss…

-- Teams off BB SU/ATS losses are 11-1 ATS w/same-season single revenge…

-- Favorites w/revenge are 5-1-1 ATS vs opp off SU dog win…

-- Underdogs off BB SU losses are 10-3 ATS vs opp off SU loss…

-- #2 seeds are 0-5-1 ATS w/revenge…

-- #3 seeds are 1-7 ATS off BB SUATS wins…

-- #4 seeds are 1-5 ATS as DD dogs…

-- #7 seeds are 0-4 ATS L4 but 8-2-1 ATS off BB SU/ATS wins…

-- #9 seeds are 8-2 ATS vs opp off SU/ATS win.

 

[CNOTES]

Sleeper Squads

March 10, 2014


It's the best week of the year for college basketball betting fans, as every team in every conference has a shot to play its way into the NCAA tournament. There are always clubs that come out of nowhere to steal bids, and we've got a look at some of the ones that can do some damage and blow up some bubbles in the process.

Rhode Island Rams (14-17, 16-11 ATS) – The Rams have covered their last five games, and they have gone 3-2 SU in those duels. Their only losses both came by three points to UMass and St. Joe's. Not only are the Minutemen up first, but next in line is GW. Both of those teams have already locked up their spot to the dance. With Rhode Island playing so well, the A-10 Tournament could get turned upside down, but this isn't the only team we think could prove to be problematic in Brooklyn.

La Salle Explorers (15-15, 7-19-1 ATS) – We know. That ATS record was atrocious this season for La Salle. However, last season, this team went from the First Four to the Sweet 16, and there are a lot of holdovers from that club. In fact, only Ramon Galloway is gone. Steve Zack is a better big man now, and the rest of the numbers are falling in line too, but the bottom line is that the A-10 has been a horror to try to win games in. Don't discount the possibility that, while Rhode Island is doing damage on one side of the bracket, La Salle might be blowing up the other, especially with as suspect as some of the teams at the top of the A-10 have been playing of late.

Northern Illinois Huskies (14-16, 16-11-1 ATS) - The Huskies served notice to the rest of the MAC when they upset Toledo a few weeks ago. They'll be favored against lowly Bowling Green to start off the MAC Tournament, and then it's off to a game with Buffalo, a very winnable fixture for a team which loves to take the air out of the basketball. The best part about the Huskies? They're 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games entering this tourney. Even if NIU doesn't win it, we know we don't want to fade it on the college basketball betting lines.

Nebraska Cornhuskers (18-11, 19-10 ATS) – Why? Do you have a better idea who is winning the Big Ten Tournament? The Cornhuskers are the fourth seed in this tournament, but they'll be dogs in every game which they play for sure. However, they already have upsets of Wisconsin and Michigan State of late, and they are 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS in their last nine. Why “Nebrasketball” you ask? Why not?!

Alabama Crimson Tide (13-18, 11-14-3 ATS) – Florida is winning the SEC. We know this. There's a reason that the team didn't lose a conference game all season long. But if you look at the rest of the draw Alabama is set to face, and you realize that Trevor Releford is Alabama's answer to the crazy stuff which Marshall Henderson does for Ole Miss, you'll realize that maybe we're not so crazy. LSU seems destined to crash out of this tournament in a hurry, and up next would be Kentucky, who could beat Bama by 30 or lose by 20. The Tide’s covered their last three (including nearly beating Kentucky), and they at least have to think they can make it to the weekend at the Georgia Dome whether anyone else believes in them or not.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Monday, March 10

WM & MARY: 16-6 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams

DELAWARE: 22-45 ATS versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game

ST MARYS-CA: 1-7 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4

GONZAGA: 7-1 ATS when playing their 2nd game in 3 days

SAN FRANCISCO: 21-11 ATS after 2 consecutive conference games

BYU: 3-11 ATS after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games

BALL ST: 3-13 ATS after a game with 9 or less assists

OHIO U: 13-4 ATS in first round tournament games

KENT ST: 15-5 ATS as a road underdog or pick

MIAMI OHIO: 4-13 ATS as a home favorite or pick

C MICHIGAN: 15-30 ATS after 2 consecutive conference games

E MICHIGAN: 32-19 ATS after a conference game

BOWLING GREEN: 17-38 ATS in March games

N ILLINOIS: 11-4 ATS after 2 consecutive conference games

 

[CNOTES]

Monday, March 10

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Maryland - E. Shore - 6:30 PM ET Norfolk State -11 500
Norfolk State -

Ball St. - 7:00 PM ET Ohio -13.5 500 *****
Ohio -

Kent St. - 7:00 PM ET Miami (OH) -1.5 500 *****
Miami (OH) -

Delaware - 7:00 PM ET William & Mary +4.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
William & Mary -

Manhattan - 7:00 PM ET Manhattan -2 500 *****
Iona -

Denver - 7:00 PM ET North Dakota State -6.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
North Dakota State -

Central Michigan - 7:30 PM ET Central Michigan +12 500
Eastern Michigan -

Bowling Green - 8:00 PM ET Northern Illinois -3 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Northern Illinois -

South Carolina State - 9:00 PM ET Savannah State -8 500
Savannah State -

St. Mary's - 9:00 PM ET St. Mary's +7 500 *****
Gonzaga -

Western Carolina - 9:00 PM ET Wofford -2.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Wofford -

South Dakota State - 9:30 PM ET South Dakota State -3 500 TRIPLE PLAY
IUPU - Ft. Wayne -

San Francisco - 11:30 PM ET San Francisco +5.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Brigham Young -

 

[Diesel00]

I played the whole card contes thanks for the money.

 

[indiana]

C/note.........nicely done........solid double and triples...........indy

 

[CNOTES]

Good Luck again Indy.......cheersgif

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Kansas big guy Joel Embiid is out for the next two weekends, meaning the Jayhawks are going to be much weaker defensively.

-- 76ers lost their 17th straight game 123-110 at New York but covered; they're 4-13 vs spread during this epic losing streak.

-- Delaware 75, Wm Mary 74-- Blue Hens scored last seven points, broke the Tribe's heart. Wm & Mary has never played in NCAA tournament.

-- Wofford 56, Western Carolina 53-- Terriers make NCAAs for third time in last five years.

-- Manhattan 71, Iona 68-- Jaspers win first MAAC title in a decade.

-- NFL free agency starts at 4pm today.

*****

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Early Championship Week primer.....

13) Louisville is in midst of 3-year stretch where they’ll play in three leagues (Big East/AAC/ACC). If they win AAC tourney in Memphis this week, they could win ACC tourney next year and win three different conference tournaments in three years. Doubt that has happened before.

12) Weber State is top seed in Big Sky despite a 14-6 record; can’t remember six losses ever getting a top seed, though its probably happened somewhere. Big Sky tournament looks like it is more wide open than most years, when Weber/Montana have dominated things.

11) Four teams tied for first in Conference USA; the tournament host, UTEP, finished 5th, meaning the team that drew the short straw in the three-way tie (Southern Miss) probably has a tough road game in its first quarter-final. Miners have to win a game to play USM.

10) UCLA is 2-3 in its last five games, lost by 18 at Washington State, suspended its two best players for a game and appear to be a ship taking on water. It bears repeating that in his career, Steve Alford hasn’t always been the best March coach, getting upset in a 3-14 game in NCAA tournament, and losing to Harvard last year.

9) Syracuse got Jerami Grant back Sunday and won by 16 at Florida State, so his presence could’ve healed whatever it was (lack of scoring) that ailed them. We’ll learn more this weekend.

8) Virginia had eight days off after its Senior Night win over Syracuse, an emotional game, then they laid an egg at Maryland. Cavaliers need to win a game in ACC tourney—it’s a red flag to go into the tournament off two straight losses.

7) Providence-St John’s will be an interesting first round game in the Big East. Red Storm is playing at home; there’s a chance this could amount to a play-in game. If Friars were to win a game or two in the tournament, watching Bryce Cotton play 40 minutes a game 2-3 days in a row will be intriguing.

6) Kentucky—Young players, big spotlight; they’re 3-4 in last seven games at a place that demands more, whether its realistic or not.

5) Cal-Irvine—Anteaters have never been to NCAAs, but are #1 seed in Big West; this is their time. That brings some pressure with it. UCSB, Long Beach, Hawai’I will be their main challengers in Anaheim.

4) San Diego State-New Mexico are both in NCAAs, so if someone other than those two wins the Mountain West, they’re bursting someone’s bubble. Aztecs rallied back from 16 down to beat New Mexico Saturday; a third game for the MW title late Saturday would be fun.

3) Meanwhile a couple miles away at Orleans Arena, if Utah Valley-New Mexico State hook up in the WAC final, they might need extra security, seeing as the two teams nearly had a riot after their game couple weeks ago. If nothing else, have to see if the Utah Valley coach breaks out that neon green sports jacket again; I’m not sure if Craig Sager would even wear it, that’s how bright it is.

2) Buffalo—Bulls fired Reggie Witherspoon last year because he never made NCAAs; he won a decent amount of games, just not enough in March. Now Bobby Hurley has Buffalo as a high seed in the MAC; can he do what Witherspoon couldn’t and take the Bulls dancing in his first year as coach?

1) Atlantic 13 moved their tournament to Brooklyn; they have lot of good teams, but St Joe’s/Saint Louis have struggled of late, Richmond lost its PG, which leaves fast-paced VCU/UMass as top contenders. This league is going to have several teams in the Field of 68, should be a good tournament at the Barclays’ Center.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 11

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PENNSYLVANIA (8 - 19) at PRINCETON (19 - 8) - 3/11/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENNSYLVANIA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games this season.
PENNSYLVANIA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
PENNSYLVANIA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
PENNSYLVANIA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after a conference game this season.
PENNSYLVANIA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PENNSYLVANIA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
PENNSYLVANIA is 71-46 ATS (+20.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
PRINCETON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
PRINCETON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PRINCETON is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENNSYLVANIA is 3-2 against the spread versus PRINCETON over the last 3 seasons
PRINCETON is 3-2 straight up against PENNSYLVANIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RICE (7 - 22) vs. N TEXAS (15 - 15) - 3/11/2014, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
RICE is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 1-0 against the spread versus N TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
RICE is 1-0 straight up against N TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARSHALL (10 - 21) vs. FLA ATLANTIC (10 - 21) - 3/11/2014, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARSHALL is 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 16-35 ATS (-22.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MARSHALL is 67-94 ATS (-36.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
MARSHALL is 65-93 ATS (-37.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
MARSHALL is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MARSHALL is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
FLA ATLANTIC is 1-0 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TX-SAN ANTONIO (8 - 21) vs. E CAROLINA (16 - 15) - 3/11/2014, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all games this season.
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 7-14 ATS (-8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TX-SAN ANTONIO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
E CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 116-164 ATS (-64.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 108-155 ATS (-62.5 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 70-106 ATS (-46.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
E CAROLINA is 1-0 against the spread versus TX-SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
E CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against TX-SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WI-MILWAUKEE (20 - 13) at WRIGHT ST (20 - 13) - 3/11/2014, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WRIGHT ST is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
WRIGHT ST is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 168-126 ATS (+29.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 162-124 ATS (+25.6 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
WI-MILWAUKEE is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WRIGHT ST is 3-3 against the spread versus WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
WRIGHT ST is 4-2 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N CAROLINA A&T (9 - 22) vs. HOWARD (7 - 24) - 3/11/2014, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA A&T is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOWARD is 1-0 against the spread versus N CAROLINA A&T over the last 3 seasons
HOWARD is 2-2 straight up against N CAROLINA A&T over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BETHUNE-COOKMAN (7 - 24) vs. COPPIN ST (10 - 19) - 3/11/2014, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BETHUNE-COOKMAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
COPPIN ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
COPPIN ST is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
COPPIN ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BETHUNE-COOKMAN is 1-0 against the spread versus COPPIN ST over the last 3 seasons
BETHUNE-COOKMAN is 2-1 straight up against COPPIN ST over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DELAWARE ST (9 - 20) vs. FLORIDA A&M (13 - 17) - 3/11/2014, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA A&M is 1-0 against the spread versus DELAWARE ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA A&M is 2-2 straight up against DELAWARE ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MOUNT ST MARYS (15 - 16) at ROBERT MORRIS (21 - 12) - 3/11/2014, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MOUNT ST MARYS is 1-0 against the spread versus ROBERT MORRIS over the last 3 seasons
ROBERT MORRIS is 4-1 straight up against MOUNT ST MARYS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISS VALLEY ST (9 - 22) vs. PRAIRIE VIEW A&M (8 - 21) - 3/11/2014, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISS VALLEY ST is 5-1 straight up against PRAIRIE VIEW A&M over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GRAMBLING (4 - 23) vs. JACKSON ST (11 - 19) - 3/11/2014, 1:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSON ST is 6-0 straight up against GRAMBLING over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 11

Penn (+8.5) upset Princeton 77-74 at home Jan 11, just its second win in last 10 series games; Quakers were +17 on boards that night, but they've lost last four visits here, by 12-3-10-12 points, are 1-5 on Ivy road, with losses by 9-30-15-7-19 points. Princeton won four in row, seven of last nine games; only two of those seven wins were by more than 11 points. Penn is making an anemic 25.6% of its 3's in conference play.

C-USA tournament (El Paso)
Rice (+1.5) jumped out to 25-8 lead, held off North Texas 75-70 Feb 6 in teams' only meeting this year, but they're 0-7 since, coming within 10 points in only two of seven games. Owls are 21-91 in league games last seven years, 2-5 in this tournament, losing first game last two years by 2-5 points. UNT is 4-7 in its last 11 games, with three of four wins by exactly two points. 11 of last 13 Rice games stayed under total.

Florida Atlantic (+4) won 65-57 at Marshall Feb 1, making 20-29 (69%) inside arc, but Owls lost their last six games overall, are 0-5 in last five conference tourneys- they fired their coach couple weeks ago. Marshall lost seven of its last nine games, going 2-6 on C-USA road. Seven of last nine Marshall games stayed under total; six of last nine FAU games went over. When Marshall coach gets fired (someday) he can thank DeAndre Kane for transferring from marshall to Iowa State.

East Carolina beat Tex-San Antonio 81-71 (-9) at home Feb 8, in teams' first C-USA meeting, outscoring Roadrunners 29-15 on foul line in game that UTSA made closer in garbage time. Home team won last eight ECU games- they're 1-7 on C-USA road, with only win at UAB. Pirates won first tourney game two of last three years, after going 0-5 previous five tourneys. Nine of last ten East Carolina games stayed under total.

Horizon tourney (Dayton)
Home side won both Milwaukee-Wright State games this year; Panthers (+7) lost 73-57 here Jan 21, then beat Wright 68-64 (+2) at home nine days later. Panthers lost last nine visits here, with three of last four by 16+ points. Wright won its last six games, four by 7 or less points; they held last five opponents to 63 or less points- they lost in finals of this event twice in last four years. Milwaukee's last four tourney losses are all by 9+ points- their last tourney title was 2006.

Summit tourney (Sioux Falls, SD)
Home side won both Fort Wayne-North Dakota State games this year; Mastadons (+7) won 82-71 at home Jan 9, then lost 69-58 (+13) Feb 9. Bison won four of last six series games, overall. Fort Wayne beat home team last night, but used three subs 23+ minutes in much tougher game than Bison had with Denver. FW won five in row, 18 of last 23 games; they lost by hoop at Illinois. Bison won last eight games- they won at Notre Dame when Jerian Grant was still playing for Irish.

WCC tourney (Las Vegas)
Gonzaga is 19-3 in last 22 WCC tourney games; they're in final for 14th year in row. Zags beat BYU 84-69 (-8.5) Jan 25, then lost 73-65 (+3) in Provo Feb 20, just second win for Cougars vs Gonzaga in seven WCC meetings. BYU is in first final, in its third year in league; they had much tougher game in semis last night, beating USF in OT, using four starters 34:00+; Haws/Collinsworth played 40+. David Stockton scored 21 last night, unusually good production for the senior guard.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

5:30 PM
RICE vs. NORTH TEXAS
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 6 games
North Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
WISC-MILWAUKEE vs. WRIGHT STATE
Wisc-Milwaukee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Wisc-Milwaukee is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Wright State
Wright State is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Wright State's last 12 games

8:00 PM
MARSHALL vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
No trends available
Florida Atlantic is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida Atlantic's last 9 games

8:00 PM
PENNSYLVANIA vs. PRINCETON
Pennsylvania is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pennsylvania is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Princeton
Princeton is 7-17-1 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Pennsylvania
Princeton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pennsylvania

10:30 PM
TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO vs. EAST CAROLINA
No trends available
East Carolina is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
East Carolina is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 11

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
AAC tournament betting cheat sheet: Cardinals kings of the new conference?
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The inaugural American Athletic Conference tournament tips off Wednesday, and if the departed Big East members have anything to say about it, the first AAC tournament could be a wild ride ripe with betting value.

Here’s a quick breakdown of the teams to watch in the AAC tournament at FedExForum in Memphis this week:

Favorites

Louisville Cardinals - The defending national champs closed out the year with a statement win at SMU and a blowout over UConn at home. Louisville ranks in the Top 20 in both offense (81.8 ppg) and defense (61.8) and has plenty of postseason experience on its roster.

Cincinnati Bearcats - Cincinnati is one of the stingiest teams in the country, allowing only 58.4 points per game. The Bearcats clamped down on AAC competition but sometimes found themselves short on firepower when they need a bucket. Cincinnati gets 30 percent of its offense from Sean Kilpatrick, which is dangerous should the Bearcats talent guard wear down in the tournament.


Live Underdog

Memphis Tigers – Memphis struggled with consistency all season but showed just how good it can be with a strong push at the end of conference play. The Tigers’ talented roster took wins over Louisville and SMU down the stretch and proved it could run with the country’s elite in non-conference games against Oklahoma State, Florida and Gonzaga. The big chink in Memphis’ armor is a less-than-impressive road record.


Best ATS team

SMU Mustangs – The Mustangs (17-10 ATS), transplanted in the AAC from the C-USA, stunned basketball bettors in conference play. Southern Methodist reeled off seven straight covers and went on an 11-1 ATS streak during AAC play before the market caught up to the Pony Express. The Mustangs fell flat on their faces to end conference play with back-to-back loss to Louisville and Memphis that damaged their tournament seeding.


Best Over/Under

Cincinnati Bearcats - Cincinnati’s lock-down defense and lackluster scoring punch is the perfect recipe for Under bettors (7-18 O/U). The Bearcats held 11 of their 17 conference opponents to under 60 points while totaling less than 70 points for in 12 of their AAC clashes. However, the market is adjusting to Cincy’s Under run with the final two games of the schedule playing Over.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Tuesday, March 11

ATS Betting Trends

MARSHALL: 1-10 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record

PRINCETON: 0-8 ATS in home games after a game where they covered the spread

COPPIN ST: 0-8 ATS as a favorite

BETHUNE-COOKMAN: 8-0 ATS after playing a home game

TX-SAN ANTONIO: 1-8 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders

E CAROLINA: 1-8 ATS after 5 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers

Over/Under Betting Trends

RICE: 21-5 UNDER after scoring 50 points or less

PENNSYLVANIA: 11-0 UNDER in road games after a conference game

E CAROLINA: 13-2 UNDER after a conference game

MARSHALL: 8-0 UNDER when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Mt. St. Mary's at Robert Morris
The Mountaineers play on the road in the Northeast Conference final tonight against a Robert Morris team that is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 home games. Mt. St. Mary's is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Robert Morris favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Mt. St. Mary's (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, MARCH 11

Game 565-566: Pennsylvania at Princeton (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pennsylvania 44.025; Princeton 62.363
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Princeton by 14
Dunkel Pick: Princeton (-14)

Game 567-568: Rice vs. North Texas (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 44.824; North Texas 48.515
Dunkel Line: North Texas by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: North Texas by 6
Dunkel Pick: Rice (+6)

Game 569-570: Marshall vs. Florida Atlantic (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 50.022; Florida Atlantic 53.157
Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 3
Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 1
Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (-1)

Game 571-572: TX-San Antonio vs. East Carolina (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 47.513; East Carolina 49.571
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 2
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TX-San Antonio (+5 1/2)

Game 573-574: WI-Milwaukee vs. Wright State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: WI-Milwaukee 55.501; Wright State 57.062
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 1 1/2; 134
Vegas Line: Wright State by 6; 129
Dunkel Pick: WI-Milwaukee (+6); Over

Game 575-576: BYU vs. Gonzaga (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 63.497; Gonzaga 70.582
Dunkel Line: Gonzaga by 7; 141
Vegas Line: Gonzaga by 4; 148
Dunkel Pick: Gonzaga (-4); Under

Game 577-578: IPFW vs. North Dakota State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: IPFW 51.898; North Dakota State 64.982
Dunkel Line: North Dakota State by 13; 141
Vegas Line: North Dakota State by 8; 143 1/2
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota State (-8); Under

Game 581-582: North Carolina A&T vs. Howard (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina A&T 38.860; Howard 35.134
Dunkel Line: North Carolina A&T by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: North Carolina A&T by 1
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina A&T (-1)

Game 583-584: Bethune-Cookman vs. Coppin State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bethune-Cookman 36.598; Coppin State 42.985
Dunkel Line: Coppin State by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Coppin State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Coppin State (-4 1/2)

Game 585-586: Delaware State vs. Florida A&M (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware State 41.317; Florida A&M 45.477
Dunkel Line: Florida A&M by 4
Vegas Line: Florida A&M by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida A&M (-1 1/2)

Game 587-588: Mt. St. Mary's at Robert Morris (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mt. St. Mary's 51.777; Robert Morris 54.323
Dunkel Line: Robert Morris by 2 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Robert Morris by 5 1/2; 144
Dunkel Pick: Mt. St. Mary's (+5 1/2); Under

Game 589-590: Prairie View A&M vs. Mississippi Valley State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Prairie View A&M 33.218; Mississippi Valley State 36.784
Dunkel Line: Mississippi Valley State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Mississippi Valley State by 1
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi Valley State (-1)

Game 591-592: Grambling State vs. Jackson State (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Grambling 31.303; Jackson State 43.740
Dunkel Line: Jackson State by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Jackson State by 10
Dunkel Pick: Jackson State (-10)

 

[CNOTES]

WCC - Gonzaga vs. BYU
March 11, 2014
[FONT=Arial, Helvetica]
As of early this afternoon, most books had Mark Few's team installed as a four-point favorite with a total of 147.5. Gamblers can back BYU (23-10 SU, 13-17 ATS) on the money line for a +165 return (risk $100 to win $165). For first-half wagers, Gonzaga is a two-point 'chalk.'

Advertisement

Gonzaga beat the Gaels in blowout fashion for a third time this year at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas last night. The Bulldogs won by a 70-54 count as 6.5-point favorites, while the 124 combined points stayed 'under' the 133.5-point total.

David Stockton was the catalyst with 21 points, six rebounds and four assists without a turnover. Gary Bell Jr. added 14 points on 6-of-8 shooting from the field, while Sam Dower finished with 12 points, nine rebounds and two blocked shots.

Dave Rose's team had to go deep into the night to dispose of San Francisco. BYU needed overtime to sneak past the Dons in a 79-77 triumph. However, USC took the cash as 5.5-point underdogs. Bettors on the 'over' got an extremely fortunate winner when the 156 combined points slipped 'over' the 155-point tally.

Tyler Haws suffered through a 5-of-19 shooting night from the field, but he made all 14 of his free-throw attempts to take game-high scoring honors with 24 points. Haws, who averages a team-best 23.3 points per game, logged 41 minutes of playing time.

Kyle Collinsworth added 18 points and 12 rebounds in 42 minutes of action. Anson Winder chipped in with 15 points for the Cougars, who got a double-double from freshman center Eric Mika (11 points and 10 boards).

BYU has been an underdog six times, compiling a 3-3 spread record with two outright victories at Stanford and at Saint Mary's. Meanwhile, Gonzaga has been a single-digit favorite on 13 occasions, going 9-4 ATS.

The 'under' is 16-13 overall for BYU, but it has seen the 'over' cash at a 10-5 clip in its last 15 outings. The 'under' is 18-13 overall for Gonzaga.

These teams split a pair of regular-season meetings, with the home team winning and covering the number in each encounter.

In Spokane on Jan. 25, Gonzaga won an 84-69 decision as a nine-point home 'chalk.' The 153 combined points dipped 'under' the 158-point total. Kevin Pangos led the winners by scoring 24 points, grabbing four rebounds and dishing out seven assists without committing a turnover. Hawks had a team-high 23 points in the losing effort.

The rematch in Provo went to BYU by a 73-65 score, with the Cougars getting the money as three-point home favorites. The 138 combined points remained 'under' the 151.5-point mark. Winder scored a game-high 17 points, while Matt Carlino came off the bench to add 15 points, six assists and three steals.

Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN. [/FONT]

 

[CNOTES]

MWC Betting Notes

March 10, 2014


MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCE

March 12-15 -- All games at the Thomas & Mack Center, Las Vegas, NV (home court of UNLV)

PROJECTED FINAL FOUR: NEW MEXICO, SAN DIEGO STATE, UNLV, BOISE STATE

THE WAY WE SEE IT:

Last year the ever-improving Mountain West sent five teams to the Big Dance. As a result, it matched the Big 10, the Big 12 and the Big East as the only conferences to send at least half of its members to the NCAA tournament. NEW MEXICO returns as the two-time defending champion. The Lobos were the preseason pick to win the conference and bring the nation’s #11 ranked team in Defensive Field Goal Percentage into this tourney. A 6-0 SUATS mark the last two seasons makes them the team to beat.

Steve Fisher’s SAN DIEGO STATE squad has been a member of the MWC each of its 15 years of existence and are 9-2 SU in this tournament the last four years. Like New Mexico, the Aztecs play sticky ‘D’ (#12 Defensive Field Goal Percentage). The razor-thin edge separating the two best teams in the league comes down to altitude. The Lobos play in it while the Aztecs are a sea-level team who are just 6-12 SUATS in their last eighteen games at altitude.

UNLV hosts the tourney for the 8th straight year. The up-and-down Rebels will rely on the power play of former UConn transfer Roscoe Smith, their leading scorer and rebounder. Like New Mexico and San Diego State, UNLV plays a salty brand of defense as well (#25 Defensive Field Goal Percentage).

BOISE STATE has gone one-and-out in its first two years in the MWC tourney. Five returning starters from last year’s 21-win unit will be dead serious about making amends. A 12-2 SU mark at press time versus sub .590 opponents overrides the Broncos’ ridiculous 5-12 ATS conference spread record this campaign.

THE SLEEPER: WYOMING

The ‘Mountain’ is down considerably this season as opposed to last, and as a result nary a ‘sleeper’ team stands out. The Cowboys come closest to filling the bill, sporting a nifty 7-1 ATS mark in games versus .650 or greater opponents this season. A 4-1 ATS dog log in this event against #3 or lower seeds means we actually may be calling their name.

KEY TOURNAMENT BEST BET: PLAY ON THE NO. 2 SEED IN THE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME

Like Avis, apparently No. 2 tries harder when it comes to cutting down the nets in this tourney. That’s confirmed by the fact that these seeds are 7-0 SU and 6-0-1 ATS all-time in MWC title tilts.

EXTRA TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES

AIR FORCE: 3-0 ATS off DD ATS win, 3-0 ATS w/revenge off SU win, 5-1 ATS as dogs 12 < pts, 0-4 ATS as favs, 0-3 ATS vs opp w/revenge, 2-14 SU all-time

BOISE ST: 3-1 ATS vs opp of BB SU losses, 5-2 ATS as pick or dogs 4 < pts, 0-5 ATS vs #2 seed, 2-5 ATS vs opp w/revenge

COLORADO ST: 5-1 ATS as #6-7 seed, 4-1 ATS as dogs vs opp off SUATS win, 1-5 ATS dogs < 4 pts, 1-4 ATS vs #1 seed, 1-3 ATS L4 as favs

FRESNO ST: 8-1 ATS off SU loss, 7-2 ATS w/revenge, 3-8 ATS off DD ATS win, 2-9 ATS off SU conference tourney win

NEVADA: 7-1 ATS as favs vs opp off BB SU wins, 0-6-1 ATS vs opp off BB SU losses, 0-5 ATS L5 as dogs, 1-6 ATS off DD ATS win, 1-6-1 ATS vs #3 seed or higher

NEW MEXICO: 5-0 ATS vs opp off SUATS loss, 3-0 ATS vs opp off DD SU loss, 6-1 ATS off DD SU win, 6-1-1 ATS dogs < 7 pts. 1-4 ATS vs #6 or higher seed

SAN DIEGO ST: 6-1 SUATS dogs 4 < pts, 3-1 ATS off DD SU loss, 0-3 ATS vs #3 seed, 1-7 ATS favs > 4 pts. 1-4 ATS off SUATS win vs opp w/revenge

UNLV: 5-0 ATS vs #1 seed, 5-1-1 ATS as pick or dogs, 8-3 ATS 2nd game, 5-2 ATS off DD SU win vs opp w/revenge, 0-4 ATS L4 as favs < 10 pts, 0-3 ATS as DD favs vs opp off BB SU losses

UTAH ST: 6-1 ATS as dogs off SU win, 5-2 ATS vs opp w/revenge off DD SU win, 0-3 ATS as favs < 7 pts, 1-3 ATS off BB SU losses

WYOMING: 4-0 ATS as #7 seed, 3-1 ATS as dogs off ATS loss, 1-5 ATS L6 as favs, 2-5 ATS vs opp off SU loss, 1-4 ATS vs opp off DD SU win

TECH NOTES:

-- Dogs off BB SU losses are 18-8 ATS and 8-2 ATS as DD dogs

-- Teams w/revenge are 43-21-2 ATS and 10-2 ATS off 3+ SUATS losses

-- Favorites off a DD SU loss are 1-5 ATS

-- Teams off BB SUATS wins are 3-7 ATS vs opp off SU loss

-- #1 seeds are 9-22 ATS and 3-12 ATS off SUATS win

-- #2 seeds are 10-1 ATS vs opp off SUATS win

-- #3 seeds are 7-16-1 ATS and 1-9 ATS vs opp off SU loss

-- #4 seeds w/revenge are 5-0-2 ATS

-- #7 seeds are 7-1 ATS as dogs 10 < pts

 

[CNOTES]

MAC Betting Notes

March 9, 2014


MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCE

March 10, 12-15 (Opening Round games at campus sites of higher seeds...Remaining games at Quicken Loans Arena, Cleveland, OH)

PROJECTED FINAL FOUR: TOLEDO, BUFFALO, WESTERN MICHIGAN, AKRON

THE WAY WE SEE IT:

Like the Horizon League, and in hopes of ensuring a better chance to land an at-large bid, the MAC has re-arranged its postseason tournament where the division winners earn byes into the semis and the No. 3-4 seeds start in the quarters. That makes seeding the Final Four an easy task. The question is who wins?

What we know for sure is that it’s been 10 years since a West Division team has cut down the nets in this tourney. And the team from the West with the best chance is TOLEDO, who returns to the party after sitting out on the sidelines with an NCAA imposed suspension for low APR grades. The Rockets are 4-0 ATS the last four games in this event and 3-0 ATS the last three when taking points. UT dominated beatable opponents (18-1 SU versus sub .500 foes) but struggled in conference wars at the pay window (4-13 ATS at press time) this season.

Like Toledo, BUFFALO was one of five teams that returned 4 starters this season and that experience paid off for first-year head coach Bobby Hurley as the Bulls are 12-5 SU and 13-4 ATS in conference play at press time.

WESTERN MICHIGAN was the last team from the West Division to claim the crown in 2004, and they could be in position to do so again this year. A 9-1 SU closing run at press time, along with a 5-0 ATS mark as tourney favorites, makes the Broncos legit. AKRON, the defending champion, has made the finals each of the last 7 years and is 7-1 SUATS the last three years in this tournament. A 13-2 SU mark in its last fifteen MAC tourney games certainly deems the Zips worthy here.

THE SLEEPER: OHIO U

Like Akron, the Bobcats know the route to the title game, having made it there 3 of the last 4 years, while winning the crown two times in that span. Weak on the glass (#200 in the nation), OU makes up for its ability in games against sub .600 opponents, going 33-4 SU at press time under head coach Bill Wucznyski. That should get them out of the first round at to the ‘Q’, where anything can happen.

KEY TOURNAMENT BEST BET: PLAY ON BUFFALO AS A DOG

The Bulls have bagged the cash in 8 of their last 9 MAC meetings when taking points. They are also 5-1 ATS as a dog in this tourney. Hurley was adept as a dog in his playing career and the league has yet to catch up with his playbook. It all points to the points. Take ‘em if you see ‘em.

EXTRA TOURNEY TRENDS & NOTES

AKRON: 9-1 ATS vs #2-3 seeds, 8-1 ATS vs opp off DD SU win, 7-1 ATS L8, 5-1 ATS off DD ATS win, 0-3 ATS vs opp off DD SU loss…

BALL STATE: 6-1-1 ATS w/3+ days rest, 6-2-1 ATS vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 0-4 ATS with same-season double revenge, 1-4-1 ATS dogs off SU dog win, 3-11-1 ATS L15…

BOWLING GREEN: 4-1 ATS as favs vs opp off SU loss, 0-9 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 2-7 ATS off SUATS loss, 2-7 ATS w/same-season double revenge, 5-17 ATS L22…

BUFFALO: 4-0 ATS vs #2-3 seeds, 5-1 ATS dogs of 5 < pts, 5-2 ATS vs opp w/revenge, 2-6 ATS off DD SU win…

CENTRAL MICHIGAN: 5-1 ATS as favorites, 4-1 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 4-1 ATS vs opp w/revenge, 1-5 AT as dogs < 8 pts, 1-4 ATS vs opp off SU fav loss…

EASTERN MICHIGAN: 4-0 ATS vs #1 seed, 7-1 ATS vs opp off DD SU win, 0-3 ATS w/same-season revenge, 1-8 ATS L9, 1-7 ATS away, 1-6 ATS vs opp off DD SU loss...

KENT STATE: 8-2 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 4-1 ATS off SU fav loss, 4-1 ATS as DD favs, 4-1 ATS w/same-season single revenge, 0-4 ATS as dogs < 6 pts...

MIAMI,OHIO: 4-1 ATS vs #1 seed, 1-5 ATS favs off BB SUATS wins, 2-6 ATS off SU dog win…

NORTHERN ILLINOIS: 3-0 ATS off BB SUATS losses, 5-2 ATS dogs vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 0-2 ATS off SU dog win, 1-3 ATS as DD dogs…

OHIO: 6-1 ATS w/same-season single revenge, 11-2 ATS as dogs > 1 pt, 10-2 ATS off DD ATS win, 4-1 ATS vs opp off SU dog win, 1-6 ATS L7, 1-5 ATS as #3 seed…

TOLEDO: 5-1 ATS L6, 6-2 ATS vs opp off BB SU losses, 0-3 ATS vs opp w/revenge off SU dog win, 1-5-2 ATS off SUATS win vs opp off DD SU win...

WESTERN MICHIGAN: 5-1 ATS favs vs opp off BB SUATS wins, 7-2 ATS L9, 0-6 ATS vs opp off DD SU loss, 0-6 ATS dogs vs opp off BB SU wins, 0-4 ATS off SU dog win.

TECH NOTES

-- Favorites with same-season single revenge are 18-7 ATS…

-- Underdogs off a SU favorite loss are 6-1 ATS…

-- Teams with same-season double revenge are 15-31 ATS off a SU win and 1-7 ATS vs opp off SUATS loss…

-- #1 seeds are 9-1 ATS as favorites of 11 > pts…

-- #2 seed dogs are 2-8-1 ATS L11…

-- #3 seeds off a SU favorite loss are 6-0 ATS but 1-9 ATS off BB SUATS wins…*

-- #6 seed dogs are 1-7 ATS L8 games…

-- #8 seed DD dogs are 3-9 ATS…

-- #9 seeds are 5-1 ATS off BB SUATS wins.