Cnotes NBA December Trends/News/ Stats/ All You Need To Know !

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, December 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (6 - 17) at CLEVELAND (13 - 9) - 12/15/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 5-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (7 - 14) at PHILADELPHIA (2 - 21) - 12/15/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (8 - 16) at INDIANA (7 - 17) - 12/15/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 142-103 ATS (+28.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (10 - 16) at TORONTO (18 - 6) - 12/15/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 62-48 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 9-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (15 - 8) at ATLANTA (16 - 7) - 12/15/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-1 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (12 - 12) at PHOENIX (12 - 13) - 12/15/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 214-267 ATS (-79.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 64-41 ATS (+18.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 34-19 ATS (+13.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 38-19 ATS (+17.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (17 - 7) at PORTLAND (18 - 6) - 12/15/2014, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-5 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-5 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (5 - 19) at LA CLIPPERS (16 - 7) - 12/15/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 44-62 ATS (-24.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 214-266 ATS (-78.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Cavaliers 97, Hornets 88-- Cleveland led 21-0 in this mismatch.

-- Pacers 110, Lakers 91-- Indiana had lost 8 in row; they were up 33 at half.

-- "They don't know how to lead and organize and set a culture for doing what you have to do to play winning NFL football." Bernie Kosar, on the Browns

-- Nick Foles isn't cleared to play yet; Mark Sanchez starts again this week for the Eagles at Washington.

-- Chris Bosh is out a few weeks, Josh McRoberts might be done for the year; not the best of times for the 11-13 Miami Heat.

-- Aaron Kromer shouldn't have said what he said, but he was right.

**********


Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but..........

13) Cowboys’ RB DeMarco Murray broke his left hand, probably won't play this week; he was on pace to carry ball 401 times this season, which means he was headed to Jamal Anderson-type burnout. 401 carries is too many; he could use a rest.

12) Will Muschamp has been hired as Auburn’s defensive coordinator, but he won’t be working the Tigers’ bowl game; why? He’s more valuable recruiting right now than coaching in a meaningless bowl.

Signing Day is in early February which means that recruiting season overlaps with bowl preparations. Bruce Feldman wrote an excellent book about this a few years ago; if you like college football, Meat Market is well worth your time.

11) Miami Hurricanes haven’t won a bowl game since 2006, which seems odd.

10) San Diego State is playing Navy in the Poinsettia Bowl; Aztecs won their last eight games against service academies and they play Air Force (best of the academy teams) every year.

9) Bryce Harper signed a 2-year deal with Washington for $7.5, couple days after he stiffed the team's fans by not showing up at FanFest, where obviously enough, fans can come and meet players and buy tickets and stuff. Cruddy move by Harper; shouldn’t stiff the fans.

8) Speaking of the Nationals, why are they so eager to unload Jordan Zimmerman? Good young pitchers are hard to find these days.

7) Miami Dolphins were outscored 48-3 in second half of their last two games, news that makes Jim Harbaugh’s agent smile. Price for Harbaugh goes up every week.

6) Odd stat of the day; Green Bay Packers were outscored in second half in seven of their last eight games- they’re also 1-4 on artificial turf this season.

5) Daniel Snyder bought the Redskins in 1999; since then, he’s employed eight head coaches and 16 starting QBs. In 16 years. Yikes. Snyder must be some kind of financial wizard; he had enough money to buy an NFL team when he was 34, and I’m pretty sure he made his own money rather than inheriting it.

4) Not to be outdone, Cleveland Browns have had 21 starting QBs since ’99, but they were an expansion team in ’99, and they figure to be settling in now on Johnny Manziel as their starter the next few years. At least they hope they are.

3) Burt Reynolds is selling off some of his stuff to pay bills; the Trans Am he drove in Smokey and the Bandit brought back $450K last week.

2) Lakers are 8-17 this season, but 7-8 since Nick Young returned to the lineup. Young is a loose cannon, but a loose cannon that can make shots and he’s helped take some heat off of Kobe Bryant down the stretch in games.

1) After watching a few episodes of Storage Wars, I’m guessing it can be annoying to live with an auctioneer; how would you ever get the last word in?

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (5 - 18) at WASHINGTON (17 - 6) - 12/16/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 328-397 ATS (-108.7 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (11 - 13) at BROOKLYN (10 - 12) - 12/16/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-6 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-5 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (17 - 8) at NEW YORK (5 - 21) - 12/16/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 108-85 ATS (+14.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 65-42 ATS (+18.8 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 136-103 ATS (+22.7 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 141-107 ATS (+23.3 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
DALLAS is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 21-33 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (6 - 18) at NEW ORLEANS (11 - 12) - 12/16/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (21 - 2) at MEMPHIS (19 - 4) - 12/16/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (11 - 13) at SACRAMENTO (11 - 13) - 12/16/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, December 16

Hot Teams
-- Wizards won eight of last nine games (3-7 last ten HF).
-- Nets won last two games by 18-27 points (3-3-1 HF).
-- Dallas won four of last five road games (3-3 HF, 0-3 last three).
-- Pelicans won three of last four at home, covered seven of last nine games overall (5-3 HF).
-- Warriors won last 16 games, covered five of last six. Memphis won nine of its last eleven games.
-- Thunder won last six games, covered last four.

Cold Teams
-- Minnesota lost eight of last nine games (1-6 last seven AU).
-- Miami lost six of its last eight games (4-6 AU).
-- Knicks lost 11 of last 12 games, covered five of last seven.
-- Jazz lost 11 of their last 12 games (1-4 last five AU).
-- Kings are 2-7 since Cousins got sick; they changed coaches Sunday.

Series Records
-- T'wolves lost five of last six visits to Washington, losing last two by 13-4 points.
-- Nets lost five of last six games with Miami.
-- Knicks lost nine of last thirteen games with Dallas.
-- Pelicans won three of last four games with Utah.
-- Warriors won last two games with Memphis, after losing previous 11.
-- Thunder won its last eleven games with Sacramento.

Totals
-- Five of last six Minnesota road games went over.
-- Seven of last nine Miami road games stayed under.
-- Last four Dallas road games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine Utah home games went over.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Memphis home games.
-- Eight of last ten Thunder games stayed under.

Back-to-Backs
-- None

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Tuesday, December 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. WASHINGTON
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
MIAMI vs. BROOKLYN
Miami is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Miami is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Brooklyn is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

8:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. MEMPHIS
Golden State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Memphis
Golden State is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games when playing Memphis
Memphis is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games

8:00 PM
UTAH vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 8 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Utah
New Orleans is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. NEW YORK
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
New York is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas

10:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. SACRAMENTO
Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Sacramento is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Tuesday, December 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Warriors at Grizzlies
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies (-2.5, OFF)

The Golden State Warriors survived a back-to-back on the road with their winning streak intact and are staring at their toughest test of the last month. The Warriors will attempt to push their franchise-record winning streak to 17 games when they visit the team closest to them in the Western Conference in the Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday. The Grizzlies are winners of four in a row but needed overtimes to knock off lowly Charlotte and Philadelphia in the last two.

Golden State was forced into overtime in its last game as well but Stephen Curry scored eight of his 34 points in the extra period and the Warriors pulled off a 128-122 victory to run their record road winning streak to 10 in a row. Memphis appears to be in the best position to knock off Golden State, which is playing the finale of a three-game road trip and will again be without center Andrew Bogut (knee) and forward David Lee (hamstring). The Grizzlies recovered from an 18-point deficit in the fourth quarter and forced overtime on Mike Conley’s 3-pointer in Saturday’s 120-115 win at Philadelphia.

INJURY REPORT: Warriors - F David Lee (Out, hamstring), C Andrew Bogut (Out, knee), F Harrison Barnes (Questionable, nasal fracture).

POWER RANKINGS: Warriors (-13.5) + Grizzlies (-12.8) + home court (-3.0) = Grizzlies -2.3

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (21-2): Golden State had to fight hard to earn a win over Dallas on Saturday and was down eight in the fourth quarter against New Orleans before rallying behind Curry. “This is kind of what I expected — not the crazy pyrotechnics from Steph (Curry), although that doesn’t ever surprise me — but it’s natural to have a letdown,” Warriors coach Steve Kerr told reporters. “We didn’t (defend or take care of the ball), but thankfully, we’ve got really, really talented players, and we’ve got an incredibly strong competitive desire to win.” Curry has gone for 20 or more points in four straight games and handed out at least five assists in every game this season.

ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (19-4): Memphis trailed 95-77 with 7:39 left in the fourth quarter at Philadelphia before Conley took over, nailing a pair of 3-pointers to keep it close before tying it up at the buzzer and draining another triple to help seal it in overtime. The result was a career-high 36 points for Conley, who is averaging 23.8 points over the last four games while going 36-of-57 from the floor. The Grizzlies are leaning hard on their point guard, and Conley matched a season high with 42 minutes in each of the last two games.

TRENDS:

* Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Grizzlies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on two days rest.
* Under is 6-2 in Warriors last eight overall.
* Warriors are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings.

CONSENSUS: Accord to Consensus, 55 percent of bettors are backing the Warriors.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, December 16

Minnesota at Washington, 7:05 ET
Minnesota: 3-13 ATS as an underdog of 10+ points
Washington: 40-25 ATS off a non-conference game

Miami at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Miami: 5-1 Under off a home loss
Brooklyn: 19-5 ATS off a road win by 20+ points

Dallas at New York, 8:05 ET
Dallas: 14-4 ATS away off BB ATS losses
New York: 8-18 ATS at home off a loss

Utah at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
Utah: 7-2 Under off a non-conference game
New Orleans: 22-9 ATS off 3+ games allowing 100+ points

Golden State at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Golden State: 10-1 ATS after scoring 105+ points
Memphis: 16-8 Under after playing 5+ games as a favorite

Oklahoma City at Sacramento, 10:35 ET
Oklahoma City: 12-4 ATS off an Under
Sacramento: 26-11 Over in December

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Tuesday, December 16


Thunder put three streaks on the line Tuesday

The Oklahoma City Thunder are putting three hot streaks on the line Tuesday evening. The Thunder have covered the spread in six-straight games, they have a four-game straight up winning streak and they have won 11 in-a-row against Tuesday's opponent - the Sacramento Kings.

The last time the Thunder dropped a game to the Kings SU was back on Feb. 9, 2012. The Kings won 106-101 and covered as 6.5-point underdogs. Since that game, the Thunder have gone 6-4-1 ATS versus the Kings.

The Thunder have opened as 7.5-point favorites at the Kings.


Chris Bosh, Miami - Out indefinitely

Bosh is dealing with a calf strain and does not have a timetable for return.


Jabari Parker, Milwaukee - day-to-day

Parker left Monday's game against the Suns with a left knee injury and is questionable to return.


Kings open as home dogs in first game without Malone

The Sacramento Kings begin life after the firing of head coach Mike Malone as 7.5-point home underdogs against the Oklahoma City Thunder as lines have hit the board at various sports books Tuesday.

The Kings fired Malone Monday after 24 games. Tyrone Corbin has been named the interim head coach.

The total has opened at 203.4

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday's Tip Sheet


December 16, 2014


Wolves at Wizards – 7:05 PM EST


It’s hard to be competitive in this league when three of your top players are sidelined for an extended period of time. That’s the case for Minnesota, who continue to play without Ricky Rubio, Kevin Martin, and Nikola Pekovic, as the Wolves have lost eight of their past nine games to fall to a Western Conference-worst 5-18. It’s easy to make money off Minnesota on the road, just fade them. The Wolves are 1-7 SU and 1-6-1 ATS in the past eight away contests, with six of those losses by double-digits.


Washington continues to fight it out with Atlanta for the top spot in the Southeast Division, as the Wizards have won eight of their last nine contests. The Wizards escaped past the Jazz on Sunday night, 93-84, but failed to cover as 11-point favorites, as Randy Wittman’s team is now 1-4 ATS the last five games. Since outlasting the Celtics in two overtimes last week, the Wizards have allowed 96 points or less in their last three wins, cashing the ‘under’ each time.


Heat at Nets – 7:35 PM EST


The injury bug has nailed the Heat at the worst possible time, as Chris Bosh is sidelined indefinitely with a calf injury, while Josh McRoberts is likely done for the season following knee surgery. To boot, Dwyane Wade is questionable for tonight’s action with an illness, as the Heat are coming off an ugly 93-75 home loss to the Bulls on Sunday night. Miami has dropped six of its previous eight games, while scoring 87 points or fewer in six of the past nine trips to the court, resulting in a 6-3 ‘under’ run.


The Nets will look to take advantage of Miami’s struggles and limited roster as Brooklyn tries to avenge a 95-83 home loss to the Heat last month as eight-point favorites. Brooklyn sits two games below .500 entering tonight’s action with a tough road swing at Toronto and Cleveland coming up. However, the Nets can get right back in the playoff race with games against the Pistons, Nuggets, Celtics, Pacers, and Kings coming up before the New Year. The 114 points up in Saturday’s blowout of Charlotte snapped a 14-game streak of scoring 100 points or less in regulation.


Warriors at Grizzlies – 8:05 PM EST


Golden State continues to dominate, whether it be in the Bay Area or on the highway. Steve Kerr’s squad is riding a 16-game winning streak as the Warriors improved to 21-2 with Sunday’s 128-122 overtime triumph at New Orleans, but the Pelicans barely covered as 6 ½-point underdogs. During this hot streak, the Warriors have covered 11 of 16 times, including an impressive 7-3 ATS road record. Golden State split four meetings with Memphis last season, while dropping four of the past five visits to FedEx Forum.


The Grizzlies look for their fifth straight victory tonight, although the last two weren’t easy to come by against struggling squads. Memphis rallied past Charlotte on Friday in two overtimes, then needed to erase a six-point deficit in the final minute the next night against the lowly 76ers in a 120-115 triumph. The Grizzlies failed to cover in each of those wins as double-digit favorites, as Memphis is in the midst of a rough gauntlet with a trip to San Antonio tomorrow night, followed by games against the Bulls and Cavaliers. The Spurs are the only team to leave Memphis with a victory this season, as the Grizzlies own an 11-1 SU and 6-6 ATS mark at home.


Jazz at Pelicans – 8:05 PM EST


Utah continues a five-game road trip tonight in the Big Easy, as the Jazz have lost seven of their past eight on the highway. Quin Snyder’s team dropped the opener of this swing at Washington, 93-84, as Utah held the Wizards to 37 first half points, but a 30-16 third quarter run by the Wizards put the game out of reach. The Jazz has scored 93 points or less in five straight road games, while Utah is 0-5 ATS in its previous games off a cover, coming off an ATS win at Washington as 11-point ‘dogs.


Anthony Davis is a game-time decision for the Pelicans tonight after missing Sunday’s loss to the Warriors with a chest injury suffered in Friday’s win over the Cavaliers. New Orleans has covered each of its past five games, while riding a four-game ‘over’ streak. In eight home contests, the Pelicans have cashed five times, while New Orleans goes for its second win over Utah this season after blowing out the Jazz last month, 106-94 in Salt Lake City.


Mavericks at Knicks – 8:05 PM EST


Dallas is looking to avoid just its second two-game losing streak of the season, coming off Saturday’s home loss to streaking Golden State, 105-98. This season, the Mavs are 6-1 SU and 4-3 ATS off a defeat and hope to get swingman Chandler Parsons back in the lineup after missing Saturday’s game with a back injury. Dallas held off New York in its past matchup in overtime last month, 109-102 as the Knicks covered as 14-point underdogs with Carmelo Anthony sidelined due to injury.


Anthony’s Knicks are past hitting the skids, as New York has dropped 11 of its previous 12 games with the lone victory in this stretch coming last Friday night at Boston. The Knicks have lost five straight games at Madison Square Garden, but Derek Fisher’s team has managed three straight covers as home ‘dogs in losses to the Raptors, Blazers, and Cavaliers. The struggles to figure out the triangle offense is resulting in plenty of ‘unders,’ especially at home by cashing the ‘under’ in six of the last seven at MSG.


Thunder at Kings – 10:35 PM EST


That was fast. Oklahoma City and Sacramento each own identical 11-13 records even though the Thunder began the season at 3-12 and the Kings put together a respectable 9-5 start. Obviously the return of Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant to the OKC lineup will make any team more competitive, as the Thunder has won six straight games, while covering each of the past four contests. Since Westbrook has come back to the lineup, the Thunder has eclipsed the 103-point mark in seven of the previous eight games, as OKC hit that mark just once in the first 16 contests of the season.


The Kings begin the Tyrone Corbin era tonight, as the former Jazz head coach takes over for Michael Malone, who was fired after putting together a 39-67 record. DeMarcus Cousins will miss his 10th straight game tonight with a viral infection, as Sacramento has lost seven of the past nine contests. The Kings were limited to 35% shooting in Saturday’s 95-90 home loss to the unrested Pistons, while Sacramento has covered just once in its past seven games at Sleep Train Arena. Sacramento will look to snap a long skid against Oklahoma City, losing each of the past 11 meetings with the Thunder since 2012.

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Tuesday


December 16, 2014




ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Jazz are 11-0 ATS (11.05 ppg) when seeking sameseason revenge for a loss as a home dog in which they had no rest.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Warriors are 0-11-1 OU (-12.75 ppg) since Mar 08, 2008 on the road with at most one day of rest after playing on the road when their DPS was at least plus 15 points in their previous game


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Wizards are 8-0-1 OU (16.33 ppg) since Jan 15, 2014 after Marcin Gortat scored fewer than 10 points in a win.


NBA BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:


-- The Jazz are 13-0 ATS (6.23 ppg) on the road with at most one day of rest after a loss as a dog when their opponent is off an overtime game.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Nets are 0-8 OU (-14.50 ppg) since May 02, 2006 at home off a win in which they never trailed on the road.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Florida beat Washington after a shootout that took 20 rounds, five more rounds than any other shootout, ever.

-- Former Nebraska coach Bo Pelini is new football coach at Youngstown State.

-- Memphis 105, Golden State 98-- Warriors' 16-game winning streak ends.

-- Milwaukee rookie Jabari Parker tore his ACL, is out for the year.

-- Wichita State 53, Alabama 52-- Tide scored one point in last 5:50.

-- OF Michael Morse signed a 2-year deal with the surprisingly active Marlins.

**********


Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

13) Vanak Ranadive, new owner of the Sacramento Kings turns out to be a nitwit, a guy other NBA owners see as “…..a know-it-all” who compared coaching the Kings to coaching his 12-year old daughter’s team.

This is a guy who admits he never touched a basketball, not even once until he was in his 40’s, but he knows more than professional coaches. Oy. How do people like this get rich in the first place?

12) Kings fired coach Michael Malone with an 11-13 record, which for the Kings ain’t bad; they were 9-6 before DeMarcus Cousins got sick, are 2-7 since he’s been ill, but the problem is stylistic. Kings management wants the team to play faster, Malone is a defensive guy. So despite big man Cousins being Sacramento’s best player, they’re going to start playing faster; whether they win more remains to be seen.

11) Mr Ranadive suggested that the Kings play 4-on-5 on defense and have a guy basket-hang on the other end; this is professional basketball, the highest level of a great sport and this educated fool doesn’t know enough to let his people do their jobs.

10) Which reminds me, the LA Kiss of the Arena League were on a reality show this past season; one of their nitwit owners ordered the coach to onside kick after every TD the Kiss scored. The coach has won Arenaball titles, he’s a good coach but he had to do what the owner told him to do, so they onside-kicked every time in one game. Lets just say it didn’t go very well. There is a reason some things are the way they’ve been for a long time; its because the alternatives do not work.

9) Back in 2009, the Rams were truly awful; they were getting hammered in a home game against Minnesota, when Donnie Avery scored a TD to cut the Vikings’ lead to two or three TDs- the game wasn’t close, but Avery dances and carries on like he just won the lottery.

This stuff annoys me to no end and Avery is hardly the only offender; it happens every Sunday. Celebrating a TD like a jackass should be illegal after Halloween, if your team is behind and has a losing record. Pretend you care that your team sucks, instead of being full of yourself and being a damn fool.

8) Christmas music is uplifting, especially in malls this time of year, but if you haven’t seen Michigan State hoop coach Tom Izzo playing Jingle Bells on an accordion, get yourself to YouTube right now and find it—it is tremendous.

7) Amazing Stat of the Day—New Orleans Saints have had a great offense, but they haven’t scored a first quarter TD in their last ten road games. Ten. That’s well over a year and it is hard to fathom.

6) Deion Sanders’ old house is on the market for $12M; it has two bowling alleys in it. It would be so awesome to have a house with bowling alleys in it. Not sure if the $12M includes bowling shoes or if you have to rent those.

5) No matter what the NFC South winner’s record winds up as, and it looks like it’ll be under .500, they will not be able to draft higher than 21st, those are the rules, just like the Super Bowl champ always picks last in the first round.

4) Portland center Robin Lopez, the more durable of the Lopez brothers, broke his hand and will miss his first games in almost three years this week. Portland has a really good team, one of many strong teams out west who probably wish they were in the east.

3) Astros signed SS Jed Lowie to a 3-year, $23M contract; this was a guy they threw at multiple times LY, almost starting a fracas in one game with Oakland. Guess it was former manager Bo Porter who didn’t like Lowrie, since he is gone now and the Astros just made Lowrie very wealthy.

2) Still don’t think an under-.500 NFL team should make the playoffs; they should defer to a better team in another division with a winning record. Who would object to this?

1) Jeb Bush might be the greatest guy in the world, I know nothing about him except he was once governor of Florida, but I don’t want anyone else in that family (or the Clinton family) being President. Enough already.

I’d vote for Reggie Bush, Kurt Busch, former NFL center Blair Bush, August Busch, anyone but someone from that family. Go do something else. We need different, better leaders, not the same ol’ thing over and over.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 17

Hot Teams
-- Cleveland won nine of last eleven games (0-4 vs spread in last four). Hawks won ten of last eleven games (4-3 AU).
-- Mavericks won eight of last eleven games (4-3 AF).
-- Toronto won six of last eight games (1-4 last five HF).
-- Memphis won its last five games (2-1 AU).
-- Portland won seven of last nine games (7-4 HF). Bucks won last two games, covered eight of last 11 (7-4 AU).
-- Clippers won ten of last twelve games (3-1 last four HF).
-- Rockets won six of last seven games (2-2 AU).

Cold Teams
-- Charlotte lost 13 of last 15 games (4-8-1 H). Suns lost their last six games, covering once.
-- Celtics lost three of last four games (3-3 HF). Orlando lost three of last four games, covered seven of last nine (11-4 AU).
-- Pistons lost 14 of their last 16 games (2-3-1 HU).
-- Miami lost six of its last nine games (3-4-1 HF). Jazz lost 12 of last 13 games, covered three of last four
-- Nets lost four of their last six games (5-5 AU).
-- Spurs lost three of last five games (4-6 HF).
-- Pacers lost eight of last nine games (9-3 AU).
-- Nuggets lost six of last seven games (3-2-1 HF).

Series Records
-- Suns won five of last six games with Charlotte.
-- Hawks won four of last five games with Cleveland.
-- Celtics won 11 of last 12 games with Orlando.
-- Mavericks won ten of last eleven games with Detroit.
-- Jazz lost four of last five visits to Miami (all losses by 10+).
-- Nets beat Toronto in seven games in playoffs LY after being down 3-2; they won Game 7 by a point in Toronto.
-- Spurs won ten of last twelve games with Memphis.
-- Portland swept Bucks LY, by 9-5 points, after losing previous four series games.
-- Clippers lost three of last four games with Indiana.
-- Rockets won three of last four games with Denver.

Totals
-- Seven of last ten Charlotte games went over total.
-- Five of last six Atlanta road games went over total.
-- Seven of last eight Orlando road games stayed under.
-- Nine of last twelve Dallas games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Miami games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Brooklyn road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Memphis games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Milwaukee games went over the total; six of last eight Portland games stayed under.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in last twelve Indiana games.
-- Seven of last eight Denver games stayed under total.

Back-to-Backs
-- Dallas is 1-4 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Utah is 1-4 vs spread if it played night before. Miami is 3-3-1.
-- Nets covered three of four if they played night before.

East vs West
SU: West 83-41 ATS: West 69-55
East teams HF vs West: 15-20
East teams HU vs West: 16-19
West teams HF vs East: 23-22
West teams HU vs East: 7-2

 

[CNOTES]

NBA


Wednesday, December 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Phoenix is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Phoenix

7:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Cleveland's last 11 games when playing Atlanta
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta

7:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. BOSTON
Orlando is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Orlando
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando

7:30 PM
UTAH vs. MIAMI
Utah is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Miami
Utah is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games
Miami is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games

7:30 PM
DALLAS vs. DETROIT
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Dallas is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

8:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. TORONTO
Brooklyn is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Brooklyn is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Toronto is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games

8:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. SAN ANTONIO
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Memphis
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis

10:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. PORTLAND
Milwaukee is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Milwaukee's last 17 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Portland's last 17 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Portland is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

10:30 PM
INDIANA vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
Indiana is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
LA Clippers are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Indiana
LA Clippers are 10-2 SU in their last 12 games

10:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. DENVER
Houston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Denver
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Houston

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (17 - 7) at CLEVELAND (14 - 9) - 12/17/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (12 - 14) at CHARLOTTE (6 - 18) - 12/17/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (6 - 19) at MIAMI (12 - 13) - 12/17/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (18 - 8) at DETROIT (5 - 20) - 12/17/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 109-85 ATS (+15.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 137-103 ATS (+23.7 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 280-229 ATS (+28.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-33 ATS (-22.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
DETROIT is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) first half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-1 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ORLANDO (10 - 17) at BOSTON (8 - 14) - 12/17/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 81-117 ATS (-47.7 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (10 - 13) at TORONTO (19 - 6) - 12/17/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 63-48 ATS (+10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 107-78 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games vs. division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 7-6 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 9-6 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (20 - 4) at SAN ANTONIO (17 - 8) - 12/17/2014, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 9-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 11-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (13 - 12) at PORTLAND (19 - 6) - 12/17/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 37-61 ATS (-30.1 Units) against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 215-267 ATS (-78.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 2-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (18 - 5) at DENVER (10 - 14) - 12/17/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 6-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (8 - 17) at LA CLIPPERS (17 - 7) - 12/17/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Atlanta at Cleveland
The Hawks head to Cleveland tonight to face a Cavaliers team that is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 Wednesday games. Cleveland is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 17

Game 701-702: Atlanta at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 120.833; Cleveland 128.926
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 8; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 5 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-5 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: Phoenix at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 115.266; Charlotte 114.163
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 207
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 705-706: Utah at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 112.024; Miami 115.175
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 3; 191
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 707-708: Dallas at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 122.663; Detroit 112.670
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 10; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 6 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-6 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: Orlando at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 116.407; Boston 116.894
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 4; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+4); Over

Game 711-712: Brooklyn at Toronto (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 114.918; Toronto 128.767
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 14; 192
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 9; 198
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-9); Under

Game 713-714: Memphis at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 120.696; San Antonio 127.976
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 715-716: Milwaukee at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 114.266; Portland 126.259
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 12; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 9 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-9 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: Houston at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 122.522; Denver 121.837
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 1; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 3 1/2; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+3 1/2); Over

Game 719-720: Indiana at LA Clippers (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 114.868; LA Clippers 128.288
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 13 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 11; 202
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-11); Under

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet


December 17, 2014


Hawks at Cavaliers – 7:05 PM EST


Atlanta begins a rough three-game road trip that continues through Houston and Dallas this weekend. The first stop though is in Cleveland, as the Hawks looking to avenge a 127-94 rout at the hands of the Cavs last month, as Atlanta yielded 71 first half points. Mike Budenholtzer’s club is on fire with 10 wins in their past 11 games, with the only loss coming at the buzzer this past weekend at Orlando. Since getting trounced at Cleveland, the Hawks have won four of their previous five contests away from Philips Arena to sit one game behind Washington in the Southeast Division.


The Cavaliers jumped out to a 21-0 advantage over the Hornets on Monday night, but ultimately failed to cover as 10 ½-point favorites in a 97-88 win. Cleveland snapped a two-game skid following road losses at Oklahoma City and New Orleans, as David Blatt’s team has won six consecutive games at Quicken Loans Arena. In the past three home victories, the Cavs have failed to cover, while posting a 2-6 ATS record over in the last eight contests.


Grizzlies at Spurs – 8:35 PM EST


Memphis just can’t figure out San Antonio, dropping nine consecutive meetings with the defending champions, as the Grizzlies head to the Lone Star State with no rest following Tuesday’s victory over Golden State. The Grizzlies own an impressive 4-0 ATS record in the underdog role this season, which includes outright victories at Phoenix and Portland. In spite of low totals, Memphis has taken advantage by going ‘over’ in five of the past seven games, which includes two overtime contests.


The Spurs own a 6-1 record this season off a loss, coming off Monday’s 108-95 setback at Portland. However, Tony Parker, Tim Duncan, and Manu Ginobili all sat out for San Antonio, who has alternated wins and losses in each of its past six games. Gregg Popovich’s club has sailed ‘over’ the total in six of the last seven contests, while San Antonio will be listed as a single-digit home favorite for the first time since November 8 against New Orleans, a span of seven games.


Bucks at Blazers – 10:05 PM EST

Milwaukee has plenty of strides from a 15-win season last year by posting a 13-12 record through 25 games. However, the Bucks were dealt a serious blow in Monday’s buzzer-beating win at Phoenix as top pick Jabari Parker tore his ACL and is out for the rest of the season. Jason Kidd’s team continues a four-game West Coast swing tonight, as the Bucks own a solid 9-5 ATS on the highway this season, but Milwaukee have allowed at least 100 points in six of the past eight games.


Portland knocked off a short-handed San Antonio team on Monday night, 108-95 as 8 ½-point home favorites to pick up its 19th victory of the season. The Blazers have won 10 of their last 11 contests at the Moda Center since getting tripped up by the Warriors in early November, but Terry Stotts’ team has stumbled to a 3-6-1 ATS record in the past 10 games overall. Milwaukee has actually played well at Portland the last three visits, covering all three times, including as 12 ½-point underdogs last season in a 120-115 overtime setback.


Rockets at Nuggets – 10:35 PM EST


These two teams are meeting for the second time in less than a week, as Houston erased an early 14-point deficit to cruise past Denver, 108-96 as 6 ½-point favorites. Dwight Howard returned from an 11-game absence to score 26 points and pull down 13 rebounds, as the home team has now won each of the past six matchups in the series. In 23 games this season, the Rockets have held 17 opponents to below 100 points in regulation, while Kevin McHale’s club has put together a terrific 9-2 SU and 6-5 ATS record on the highway.


Denver’s 7-1 stretch to close out November seems like a distant memory, as the Nuggets have reverted back to their early-season ways with a current 1-6 run. The most recent setback came in Sunday’s 99-91 home defeat to the Spurs as five-point underdogs, while scoring 91 points or less in four of the past six games. The Nuggets have won four straight home meetings with the Rockets, including a 123-116 underdog win last April, but Howard sat out due to injury for Houston.


Pacers at Clippers – 10:35 PM EST


Indiana heads out to the West Coast for the second time this month, as the Pacers look to build off Monday’s 110-91 blowout of the Lakers as five-point favorites. The Pacers jumped out to a 26-4 lead and never looked back, as Indiana gets a crack at the other L.A. team tonight, going for revenge. The last time these teams saw each other last Wednesday night in Indianapolis, the Clippers barely cashed as 6 ½-point favorites in a 103-96 victory. Since David West returned to the Indiana lineup, the Pacers have stumbled to a 2-8 SU and 4-6 ATS record.


The Clippers bounced back from a high-scoring loss at Milwaukee to drub Detroit on Monday night, 113-91 for their fifth straight home victory. Since starting the season at 0-7 ATS, Doc Rivers’ club is 11-6 ATS the past 17 games, including a 5-2 ATS mark at Staples Center in this span. Los Angeles has taken care of its business against the Eastern Conference with a 7-3 SU and 6-4 ATS record, including five victories by double-digits.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some NFL trends to ponder, with Week 16 upon us........

-- Jacksonville covered six of its last 23 home games.

-- Bears are 2-10 in last 12 games as a divisional underdog.

-- Giants covered six of last 19 road games.

-- Redskins covered two of their last ten home games.

-- Houston covered five of last sixteen home games.

-- 49ers covered once in their last eight home games.

**********


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Our Bottom 5, top 8 in the NFL

32) Redskins—Jay Gruden was an Arena League head coach for a long time but the media involvement aspect of being an NFL head coach seems to be hampering his program. Memo to coach Gruden: This isn’t the AFL; millions of people read what you say. Try not to bash your QB every single day.

31) Bears—Jay Cutler has the worst body language of any QB I’ve ever seen; he is this generation’s Jeff George. Problem #2 is, he makes $100M+ and everyone knows it’s a bum contract. Problem #1 is the offensive coordinator said so publicly. Now he is sitting behind Jimmy Clausen this week. Jimmy freakin' Clausen.

30) Raiders—Would they really move to San Antonio? In the early 90’s, there used to be a World League team called the San Antonio Riders; I think Nebraska coach Mike Riley coached that team. It would be bizarre if the Raiders moved to Texas.

29) Jaguars—Tom Coughlin will get in the Hall of Fame someday; his best work was getting the Jags into the playoffs in their second year of existence. Seems like a long time ago now, for both parties.

28) Titans—Doing a good job of playing the Washington Generals-type role and losing every game down the stretch so they get the #1 pick in the draft, which is the best way for them to get better, long-term.

8) Cardinals— Ten weeks ago, Ryan Lindley wasn’t in the NFL; now he’s starting QB for the NFC’s #1 seed. No pressure there.

7) Steelers—Win two more home games and they win the AFC North; problem is, they’ve lost to the sub-.500 Bucs/Saints at home.

6) Cowboys—They should let Murray sit this week, to rest his hand and to lessen his workload, seeing as he is on pace for 401 carries this season. Tony Romo has been a warrior this year, for sure.

5) Colts—Offense gave up three TDs in last two games; am little concerned about them going forward. Interesting game with Dallas this week.

4) Broncos—I get the feeling this could be it for Peyton Manning; not really sure why, but could see him bowing out and eventually becoming part of an ownership group of an NFL team.

3) Seahawks—Playing really good defense, but unless they beat Arizona this week, they’ll have to go on road the first week of the playoffs, which is always dicey.

2) Packers—They’re #1 on this list when playing at home, much lower when on road, not in top 10 on artificial turf. Seattle’s field has artificial turf; they don’t want to go there in January.

1) Patriots—Did you see the Alex Sandler movie where Rex Ryan plays a guy who is a huge Patriot fan, with a Belichick bobblehead on his desk and a Brady poster on the wall? If you didn’t know who Ryan was, you’d never know he wasn’t an actor. He could be very, very good on TV, if he chooses that route.

 

[CNOTES]

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

Lookahead spot

The Toronto Raptors aren’t home for the holidays this season, kicking off a six-game road trip that extends into the New Year in Chicago Monday. The Raptors play the Bulls, then have some time off for Christmas before picking back up in L.A. on December 27. But before Toronto escapes the cold Canadian winter for stops in Los Angeles, Denver, Portland, Golden State and Phoenix, it hosts the New York Knicks at the Air Canada Centre this Sunday.

It’s a tough spot for the Dinos, who not only look ahead to Monday’s date in the Windy City, but will undoubtedly have plenty of players trying to organize their holiday plays before this home game. Toronto plays in Detroit Friday then has a day off before Sunday’s contest against the Knicks – not a lot of time to fit in family and basketball.

Letdown spot

You’ve done it. You’ve made the grade and been rewarded with a nice year-end bonus and a bowl game. The UTEP Miners are enjoying this warm fuzzy feeling for the first time since 2010, snapping a five-year bowl drought with a spot in the New Mexico Bowl against Utah State on Dec. 20 – the opening weekend of college football’s bowl season.

The Miners are 10-point underdogs – one of three double-digit bowl dogs – and for good reason. Texas El Paso, which scrapes in bowl season on a 7-5 SU record (9-3 ATS), is 1-5 SU away from home and went 3-3 ATS on the road, compared to a perfect 6-0 ATS mark at home. The Miners punched their ticket to the postseason with a thrilling 3-point victory over Middle Tennessee in the season finale and may be just happy to finally be bowling come Saturday.

Schedule spot

The St. Mary’s Gaels are putting some miles on their frequent flyer card this month. The Gaels just returned from Omaha, Nebraska with an OT win over Creighton and host Northern Arizona in Moraga Tuesday before jumping on other plane, crossing the country for a showdown with the St. John’s Red Storm in New York City Friday.

St. Mary’s is scheduled to play the Johnnies at Carnesecca Arena for a 7 p.m. ET start – 4 p.m. back home in California. The Gaels have played outside of the Golden State just once this season – at Creighton – and only went as far East as Minnesota last season, losing to the Golden Gophers in the NIT. It's been a very long time since St. Mary's made a trip this far away from home. The Red Storm are one of the hottest teams in college hoops and will have a heavy home-court edge Friday.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (5 - 22) at CHICAGO (15 - 9) - 12/18/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (12 - 12) at HOUSTON (19 - 5) - 12/18/2014, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 6-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (13 - 13) at SACRAMENTO (11 - 14) - 12/18/2014, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 2-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (12 - 13) at GOLDEN STATE (21 - 3) - 12/18/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) first half of the season this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 309-254 ATS (+29.6 Units) in all games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 108-78 ATS (+22.2 Units) first half of the season since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 126-86 ATS (+31.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 18

Hot Teams
-- Bulls won six of their last nine home games (3-5 HF).
-- Rockets won ten of their last twelve games (5-4 HF).
-- Bucks covered nine of their last twelve games (8-4 AU).
-- Oklahoma City won last seven games, covered last five (2-8-1 AF). Warriors won 16 of their last 17 games (5-3 HF).

Cold Teams
-- Knicks lost 12 of last 13 games (4-3 last seven AU).
-- Pelicans lost five of last six road games (4-6 AU).
-- Sacramento lost nine of its last eleven games (3-4 HF).

Series Records
-- Knicks lost ten of last thirteen games with Chicago.
-- Rockets won seven of last nine games with New Orleans.
-- Kings won four of last six games with Milwaukee.
-- Thunder won eight of last eleven games with Golden State.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Chicago home games went over.
-- 11 of 12 Houston home games stayed under. Last five Pelican games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee road games went over.
-- Nine of last eleven Oklahoma City games stayed under.

Back-to-Backs
-- Rockets are 5-1 if they played the night before.
-- Milwaukee is 4-4 if it played the night before.

East vs West
SU: West 86-43 ATS: West 72-57
East teams HF vs West: 15-21
East teams HU vs West: 16-21
West teams HF vs East: 23-24
West teams HU vs East: 7-2




NBA

Thursday, December 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. CHICAGO
New York is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Chicago
New York is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Chicago is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home

8:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. HOUSTON
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Houston's last 25 games
Houston is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans

10:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. SACRAMENTO
Milwaukee is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games when playing Sacramento
Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
Sacramento is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home

10:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Thursday, December 18

New York at Chicago, 8:05 ET
New York: N/A
Chicago: N/A

New Orleans at Houston, 8:35 ET
New Orleans: N/A
Houston: N/A

Milwaukee at Sacramento, 10:05 ET
Milwaukee: N/A
Sacramento: N/A

Oklahoma City at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Oklahoma City: 13-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders
Golden State: 14-27 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games