Cnotes NBA December Trends/News/ Stats/ All You Need To Know !

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, December 8

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BOSTON (7 - 11) at WASHINGTON (13 - 6) - 12/8/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 327-395 ATS (-107.5 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (13 - 6) at INDIANA (7 - 13) - 12/8/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 60-93 ATS (-42.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
INDIANA is 34-15 ATS (+17.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 12-9 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 12-10 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
12 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (11 - 7) at BROOKLYN (8 - 10) - 12/8/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 5-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (9 - 11) at TORONTO (15 - 5) - 12/8/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (17 - 2) at MINNESOTA (4 - 15) - 12/8/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 60-46 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 44-31 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 25-37 ATS (-15.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (5 - 15) at SACRAMENTO (10 - 10) - 12/8/2014, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-1 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (12 - 9) at LA CLIPPERS (14 - 5) - 12/8/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 63-38 ATS (+21.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Monday, December 8


Home teams a hot-bet ATS on hardwood Sunday

Home teams posted a record of 6-1 against the spread in Sunday's NBA schedule, cashing in at a mark of 85.71 percent on the day.

The only visitor to cover the spread was the New Orleans Pelicans, who posted a 104-87 victory over the Los Angeles Lakers as 2.5-point visiting favorites.

Still a sub-.500 venture on the season, the home team is just 137-158-5 (46.44 percent) season-to-date.


Pistons skid hits 12 games, but manage to cover

The Detroit Pistons dropped their 12th consecutive game losing 96-94 to Oklahoma City Sunday night, but did manage to cover the spread for the first time in six games.

The Pistons used a fourth quarter run to make the game close and cover as 10-point home dogs. Despite the cover the Pistons are still the NBA's worst bet at 6-15 ATS.


Nets' Lopez out at least a week with lower back strain

The Brooklyn Nets announced that center Brook Lopez underwent an MRI that revealed a lower back strain. He’s out at least a week, at which time he will be re-evaluated. It’s been a rough few years for Lopez, health-wise.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Dallas at Memphis
The Mavericks head to Memphis tonight to face a Grizzlies team that is coming off a 103-87 win over Miami and is 11-5-1 ATS in its last 17 games following a SU victory of more than 10 points. Memphis is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

TUESDAY, DECEMBER 9

Game 701-702: Toronto at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 121.759; Cleveland 130.254
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 9 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 5 1/2; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-5 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Portland at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 119.961; Detroit 115.196
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 5; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 7 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+7 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Dallas at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 122.019; Memphis 128.399
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 6 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-3 1/2); Under

Game 707-708: New York at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 113.682; New Orleans 118.337
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 4 1/2; 192
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 7 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (+7 1/2); Under

Game 709-710: Milwaukee at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.795; Oklahoma City 120.651
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-10); Under

Game 711-712: San Antonio at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.294; Utah 114.682
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 11 1/2; 214
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 713-714: Miami at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 110.791; Phoenix 126.115
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 15 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 5; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-5); Over

Game 715-716: Sacramento at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 116.666; LA Lakers 114.952
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 1 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 3; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+3); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 9

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TORONTO (16 - 5) at CLEVELAND (12 - 7) - 12/9/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (16 - 4) at DETROIT (3 - 18) - 12/9/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) first half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
DETROIT is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (16 - 6) at MEMPHIS (16 - 4) - 12/9/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 66-42 ATS (+19.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 108-82 ATS (+17.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 94-67 ATS (+20.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
DALLAS is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 65-41 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 136-102 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
DALLAS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 280-228 ATS (+29.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (4 - 18) at NEW ORLEANS (9 - 10) - 12/9/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (11 - 11) at OKLAHOMA CITY (7 - 13) - 12/9/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 37-60 ATS (-29.0 Units) against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 213-266 ATS (-79.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 63-43 ATS (+15.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 124-86 ATS (+29.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) first half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (15 - 5) at UTAH (5 - 16) - 12/9/2014, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (9 - 11) at PHOENIX (12 - 10) - 12/9/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 64-38 ATS (+22.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-0 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (11 - 10) at LA LAKERS (5 - 16) - 12/9/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 36-55 ATS (-24.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 7-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 6-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, December 9

Hot Teams
-- Cleveland won its last seven games (5-2 vs spread). Raptors won five of last seven on road (0-1 U).
-- Portland won 13 of its last 14 games (0-3-1 last four AF).
-- Grizzlies won six of last eight games (4-6 HF). Mavericks won six of their last seven games (4-1 U).
-- Thunder won four of last five games (2-2 HF).
-- Spurs won ten of their last eleven games (3-4 AF).

Cold Teams
-- Pistons last their last 12 games (1-5 vs spread last six).
-- Knicks lost last eight games, covered last three (5-4-1 AU). Pelicans lost five of last seven games (4-3 HF).
-- Bucks lost four of last five games (8-4 AU).
-- Miami lost last four games, all by 10+ points (2-5 AU). Suns lost four of last six games (4-3 HF).
-- Utah lost last nine games, covered one of last six.
-- Kings lost five of their last seven games (6-2 AU). Lakers lost seven of their last nine games (0-1 F).

Series Records
-- Raptors won four of last five games with Cleveland.
-- Pistons lost nine of last eleven games with Portland.
-- Grizzlies won eight of last 12 games with Phoenix.
-- Knicks won nine of last eleven games with New Orleans.
-- Bucks lost four of last five games with Oklahoma City.
-- Spurs won 16 of their last 18 games with Utah.
-- Suns lost their last eight games with Miami.
-- Lakers won five of last six games with Sacramento.

Totals
-- Four of last five Toronto games went over total.
-- Last six Trailblazer-Piston games went over total.
-- Nine of last eleven Dallas games went over total.
-- Six of last eight Pelican games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last twelve Milwaukee games went over; six of Thunder's last seven games stayed under.
-- 12 of last 16 Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Miami road games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Laker games stayed under total.

Back-to-Backs
-- Toronto is 3-1 vs spread if it played night before. Cavs are 3-2.
-- Jazz are 0-4 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Suns are 1-3 vs spread if they played the night before.
-- Sacramento is 2-3 vs spread if it played night before.

East vs West
SU: West 70-30 ATS: West 57-43
East teams HF vs West: 12-19
East teams HU vs West: 13-15
West teams HF vs East: 17-16
West teams HU vs East: 6-2

 

[CNOTES]

NBA


Tuesday, December 9

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games when playing Toronto
Cleveland is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Toronto

7:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 3-15 ATS in its last 18 games at home
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New York's last 15 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games when playing New York
New Orleans is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing New York

8:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Milwaukee is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. MEMPHIS
Dallas is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas
Memphis is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Dallas

9:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio's last 12 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah is 6-13-2 ATS in its last 21 games at home
Utah is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:00 PM
MIAMI vs. PHOENIX
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing at home against Miami

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Tuesday, December 9


Suns' PG Isaiah Thomas, questionable Tuesday

Thomas has missed the last seven games due to an ankle injury and is questionable to return Tuesday against the Heat.


Celtics lose, but cover fifth straight game

The Boston Celtics may have dropped a tough 133-132 double overtime decision to the Washington Wizards, but easily covered the spread for the fifth straight game.

The Celtics entered the game as 8.5-point underdogs after upsetting the Wizards as 9-point dogs in Boston the night before 101-93.

Boston is now 10-9 against the spread on the season, while Washington falls to 9-11 ATS.


Warriors a solid bet during 13 game win streak

The Golden State Warriors extended their winning streak to 13 games with a 102-86 thumping of Minnesota and bettors have been cashing tickets with regularity during the run.

Golden State have gone 9-4 against the spread during the win streak, making the Warriors the best bet ATS in the Association this season at 14-6.

The Warriors are back at it Wednesday in a big Western Conference showdown with the Houston Rockets (11-9 ATS).

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

-- Cavaliers 105, Raptors 101-- Toronto had won 39 games in a row when they led after three quarters.

-- Trailblazers 98, Pistons 86-- Detroit is now an unhealthy 3-19.

-- Braves signed free agent 2B Alberto Callaspo, who isn't any good but it seems like the A's lose a player every day.

-- Pirates re-signed Francisco Liriano for three years, $39M. Good move.

-- Villanova 73, Illinois 59-- Game in NYC was 50-all at one point.

-- Louisville 94, Indiana 74-- Cardinals pulled away once Indiana stopped hitting 3's.

Late Night Update-- Jon Lester gets $155M from the Cubs, for six years.

**********


Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......

13) I’m guessing Tuesday was a good day to be a White Sox season ticket salesman, with team adding Samardzija/Robertson. Pale Hose are making a run at the playoffs this coming season.

12) Guy in Las Vegas hit a $15 12-team parlay this week that paid him just under $45,000; his last game was Atlanta +12.5. Imagine sitting there with him when the Falcons were down 31-7 at the half?

Had to be kind of exciting in those last few minutes. Would’ve sucked to go 11 for 12 and wind up with bupkus. (Hope he hedged the bet, at least)

11) Cam Newton was in a car accident Tuesday afternoon near Panthers’ stadium; he has a couple breaks in his lower back, is in the hospital and not expected to play Sunday against Tampa Bay. Derek Anderson is the Panthers' backup QB.

10) Not only was it a dismal December day Tuesday, with freezing rain/sleet/icy roads, but I looked at mlbdepthcharts.com and saw they had Ike Davis batting 5th in the A’s prospective lineup for next season. Bleeping fifth. Oy.

9) One of unspoken benefits of the college football playoff: no one talks about the Heisman Trophy anymore; thank the Lord. Before this year, they’d start talking about it in September. Team stuff is always more interesting than individual stuff.

8) There is an NBA ref named Ben Taylor who is only 29 years old; he worked the intense Phoenix-Clipper game Monday night. 29 seems young to be an NBA ref.

7) I don’t give a rat’s ass about the royal family; they could be very nice people for all I know, but what have they done? What do they do? They’re rich/famous for no reason, like reality TV stars. Please go away.

6) UNLV hired a high school coach as its new football coach; Tony Sanchez from Bishop Gorman in Vegas. Keep in mind that Art Briles, Gus Malzahn and Hugh Freeze were all high school coaches at one time, and they’re doing pretty well now. Sanchez needs to recruit some of his Gorman players to make UNLV relevant on the gridiron, one of whom is Cordell Broadus, Snoop Dawg’s son.

5) Tennessee replaced UAB with Bowling Green on next year’s football schedule; UAB dropped football, rifle and bowling last week, for $$$ reasons.

4) Which begs the question, how much does it cost to fund a freakin’ bowling team? Does the bowling coach fly to the northeast to recruit a kid out of a duckpin league in Boston? Does he take a private jet to fly cross country to Vegas to find a kid in Rock ‘n Bowl at Red Rock Casino? Seriously, dropping bowling just seems un-American.

3) NFL record for most receiving yards in a game is Flipper Anderson’s 336, set on a Sunday night in 1989 against the Saints; was looking at some highlights from that season and it turns out when Anderson caught the winning TD in overtime in a playoff game against the Giants later in that ’89 season, the ref was Bob McElwee, who ten years later was also the ref when the Rams won Super Bowl XXXIV, the greatest sporting event ever played.

Good man, Bob McElwee.

2) Green Bay Packers are 9-0 on grass, 1-3 on artificial turf, the one win by a FG in Minnesota. Packers play on a short week in Buffalo this week. On turf. Hmmmm

1) RIP actor Ken Weatherwax, 59, who as a child played Puggsley Addams on the Addams Family, one of my favorite shows as a kid. 59 is too young to die, for sure. He’s probably in heaven today blowing up toy trains with Uncle Fester. RIP, sir.

 

[CNOTES]

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best spot bet opportunities

Lookahead spot

Northern Iowa has jumped out to an 8-0 (3-3 ATS) start to the season, earning the No. 24 spot in the national polls this week. The Panthers put that ranking to the test this coming weekend with a road game against another mid-major power - the VCU Rams – and face rival Iowa on a neutral court the weekend before Christmas.

However, lurking Wednesday is a climb up the Rocky Mountains to play the Denver Pioneers. Northern Iowa, which has failed to cover in its last two games as a heavy favorite, not only runs the risk of a looking past the Pioneers but could hit the wall in the thin air of Magness Arena. Denver runs an active Princeton offense with plenty of movement and cuts and is a tough out in its own gym, covering the spread in 11 of its last 13 home games against teams with winning records.

Letdown spot

The Oklahoma City Thunder have the band back together. Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant have returned from early-season injuries, drastically shifting the dynamic of a team that depended on defense to make up for its fallen stars in the first two months of the schedule. The Thunder can make a big statement regarding their place in the NBA title picture against LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers Thursday.

Oklahoma City will watch the intensity meter go from peak to plop immediately following that showdown with the Cavs. The Thunder will hop on a plane and head to frozen Minnesota that night with the Timberwolves playing hosts Friday. Oklahoma City has been a bad bet on the road – even without this type of letdown spot - bringing a 2-8-1 ATS mark to Minnesota.

Schedule spot

The defending Stanley Cup champs were just starting to sort things out with three wins in their last five games before heading East on an extended road trip, dropping the puck in Buffalo Tuesday. Los Angeles leaves the sun and surf of California for the Canadian cold, with stops in Ottawa, Montreal and Toronto – a string of three road games in four days.

The Kings are a crappy 3-4-2-2 outside of the Staples Center and take on the Sens (Thursday), Habs (Friday), and Leafs (Sunday), who boast a combined 25-13-1-3 record on home ice. Los Angeles has given up just 25 total goals in 16 home games, but has watched 31 pucks find the back of the net in just 11 road outings. And the Kings’ power play is among the lowest in the league away from home, with an 11.8 PP percentage. Those three Canadian foes all have home power play success rates of 21.5 or higher.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 10

Hot Teams
-- Clippers won their last eight games (5-1 AF).
-- Wizards won five of last six games (4-1 AF).
-- Celtics won three of last four games, covered last five (4-2 AU).
-- Atlanta won last seven games, covering six. 76ers won two of last three games, covered seven of last eight.
-- Spurs won 10 of last 12 games (3-5 HF).
-- Portland won 14 of last 15 games (2-5-1 vs spread in last eight).
-- New Orleans won three of last five games (2-6 AU).
-- Warriors won their last thirteen games (5-3 HF). Houston won seven of last eight games (4-2 U).

Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost their last five games (0-3 HU).
-- Orlando lost last three home games, but is 3-2 in last five overall.
-- Hornets lost ten of their last eleven games (2-5 F).
-- Knicks lost last nine games, covered three of last four (5-5-1 AU).
-- Chicago lost last three home games (1-5 HF). Nets lost nine of their last thirteen games (4-4 AU).
-- Minnesota lost last six games, covering once.
-- Dallas lost two of last three games, after winning previous five (1-3 last four HF).
-- Nuggets lost last four games (3-1 last four F). Miami lost four of last five games (3-5 AU).

Series Records
-- Indiana won last three games with Clippers by 3-5-14 points.
-- Wizards won their last six games with Orlando.
-- Celtics won seven of last ten games with Charlotte.
-- 76ers lost five of last six games with Atlanta.
-- Knicks won three of last four games with San Antonio.
-- Nets lost four of last five games with Chicago.
-- Portland won last four games with Minnesota, three by 11+.
-- Mavericks won their last eight games with New Orleans.
-- Heat won three of last four games with Denver.
-- Rockets won three of last four visits to Oakland.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Indiana games went over total.
-- Five of last six Orlando games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Charlotte games went over.
-- Four of last five Atlanta road games went over.
-- Four of last five New York games went over.
-- Eight of last eleven Brooklyn games stayed under; five of last six Bull games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Portland games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six New Orleans road games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Denver games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Golden State games stayed under.

Back-to-Backs
-- Knicks are 3-1-1 vs spread if they played night before; Spurs are 3-3.
-- Blazers covered two of three if they played night before.
-- Pelicans are 5-0 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Dallas is 1-3 vs spread if it played the night before.
-- Miami is 3-2-1 vs spread if it played night before.

East vs West
SU: West 73-31 ATS: West 60-44
East teams HF vs West: 12-19
East teams HU vs West: 13-16
West teams HF vs East: 19-17
West teams HU vs East: 6-2

 

[CNOTES]

NBA


Wednesday, December 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the LA Clippers last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
Indiana is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers

7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. CHARLOTTE
Boston is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Boston is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Boston
Charlotte is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Boston

7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
Orlando is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Philadelphia's last 16 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Atlanta's last 16 games when playing Philadelphia

8:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. DALLAS
New Orleans is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Dallas
New Orleans is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Dallas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. CHICAGO
Brooklyn is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games at home

8:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Portland's last 17 games when playing Minnesota
Portland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Portland
Minnesota is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games

8:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. SAN ANTONIO
New York is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing New York

10:30 PM
MIAMI vs. DENVER
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games at home

10:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Houston's last 17 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Houston

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Wednesday, December 10

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Rockets at Warriors
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors (OFF, OFF)

The Golden State Warriors have won a franchise-record 13 straight games but are just beginning the rough part of their schedule. The Warriors will try to make it 14 in a row when they face the team closest to them in the Western Conference in the visiting Houston Rockets. Both Golden State and the Rockets have made their way to the top of the standings by improving on the defensive end, and Wednesday’s game pits two of the top three defenses in the league.

The Warriors are limiting opponents to an NBA-best 40.9 percent from the field and overcame their own shooting woes to post a 102-86 victory in Minnesota on Monday by holding the Timberwolves to 36 percent. Houston is leaning on its defense as its roster battles a series of injuries, and Dwight Howard is expected to miss his 10th straight game with a knee injury. Patrick Beverley returned from a six-game absence on Saturday and keyed a defensive effort that held the Phoenix Suns to 36.6 percent in a 100-95 win.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, ROOT (Houston), CSN Bay Area (Golden State)

INJURY REPORT: Rockets - G James Harden (Questionable, back), G Francisco Garcia (Questionable, leg), C Dwight Howard (Doubtful, knee). Warriors - C Andrew Bogut (Questionable, knee), F David Lee (Mid December, hamstring).

POWER RANKINGS: Rockets (-10) + Warriors (-13) + home court (-3.0) = Warriors -6

ABOUT THE ROCKETS (16-4 SU, 11-9 ATS, 5-15 O/U): Houston brought Beverley off the bench in his return on Saturday and the defensive standout pestered the Suns backcourt while knocking down five 3-pointers to help make up for an off shooting night from James Harden. “Patrick brings something we don't have and that's a point guard who plays excellent defense, knocks down shots and is a great team player,” Harden told reporters. “It's great to have him back. He brought the energy.” Donatas Motiejunas is getting starting minutes with Terrence Jones on the shelf and is surging with averages of 16 points and eight rebounds in the last four games.

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (18-2 SU, 14-6 ATS, 8-12 O/U): Golden State’s only win against a top-level team during its winning streak came in a 112-102 victory at Chicago on Saturday and the team will finally get a chance against some contenders again with a road trip that includes Dallas and Memphis coming up after the date with the Rockets. The Warriors did knock off a few contenders during a five-game winning streak that started the season, including a 98-87 win at Houston on Nov. 8. Golden State committed 26 turnovers in that meeting but Stephen Curry collected 34 points and 10 rebounds while Andrew Bogut grabbed 18 boards.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.
* Warriors are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 vs. Western Conference.
* Under is 6-0 in Rockets last six vs. NBA Pacific.

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday's Tip Sheet


December 10, 2014


Clippers (-7, 198 ½) at Pacers – 7:05 PM EST


The Western Conference is stacked at the top, as the Clippers are wrestling with a handful of teams to make a case for the best squad. Los Angeles (15-5) is riding an eight-game winning streak, while coming off a perfect 4-0 homestand capped off by an overtime victory over Phoenix. The Clips have scored at least 100 points during each win in this hot stretch, resulting in a 6-2 mark to the ‘over.’ Los Angeles begins a three-game road swing, as Doc Rivers’ club put together a spectacular 6-1 record on its previous extended away trip last month.


The Pacers (7-14) have struggled since the return of David West to the lineup, dropping five of six games, including Monday’s 108-92 home setback to the Hawks. Indiana is winless in three tries as a home underdog this season, while failing to cover in each of those losses to Memphis, Washington, and Phoenix. Since limiting opponents to less than 100 points in nine of the first 12 games, Frank Vogel’s team has given up triple-digits in seven of the past nine contests.


Nets at Bulls – 8:05 PM EST


Both these teams are dealing with injuries to key players heading into tonight’s matchup at the United Center. Brooklyn (8-11) will be without shooting guard Joe Johnson for a second straight game, who is sidelined with the flu, while center Brook Lopez is out at least a week with a back injury. The Nets were run out by the Cavaliers on Monday as eight-point underdogs, 110-88, the eighth straight game Brooklyn has been held to 99 points or less. After starting the season at 1-4 on the road, the Nets have quietly won three of the past four away from the Barclays Center.


Chicago (12-8) is back on the court for the first time since Saturday’s home loss to red-hot Golden State, 112-102 as 2 ½-point underdogs to fall to 1-6 ATS at home. Joakim Noah will sit out tonight for the Bulls with an ankle injury, as Chicago owns a 3-6 record in the last nine games without the former University of Florida standout since April 2013. The Bulls took two of three meetings from the Nets last season, while dominating Brooklyn to wrap up their annual Circus Road Trip on November 30 in a 102-84 rout as 2 ½-point away favorites.


Pelicans at Mavericks (-6 ½, 210) – 8:05 PM EST

A Southwest division battle tonight at the American Airlines Center between a pair of teams playing with no rest. New Orleans (10-10) climbed back to the .500 mark after knocking off New York last night, 104-93 as six-point favorites to win for the first time in six tries this season on the front end of a back-to-back. Playing with no rest has benefited the Pelicans, posting a 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS record in this situation, which includes three road victories against the Kings, Lakers, and Jazz.


The Mavericks (16-7) return home following a 114-105 setback at Memphis on Tuesday, as the Grizzlies put away Dallas thanks to a 36-17 third quarter spurt. Dallas hoisted up 40 three-point attempts in the loss, as Dirk Nowitzki misfired on all six of his tries from downtown, while the former MVP shot 4-of-17 from the floor for 11 points. The Mavs have won five of six times this season off a loss, while finishing ‘over’ the total in six consecutive games. Dallas has owned New Orleans recently, winning eight straight meetings, including a 109-104 triumph in the Big Easy on November 1.


Heat at Nuggets – 10:35 PM EST


Miami (10-11) travels to the Pepsi Center tonight seeking consecutive wins for the first time since before Thanksgiving. The Heat rallied past the Suns last night, 103-97 as 4 ½-point underdogs, as Chris Bosh poured in 34 points to snap a four-game skid. Miami has performed well with no rest, going 4-2 in this situation, including outright road underdog wins at Dallas and Brooklyn. In the last two visits to Denver, the Heat have come out with low-scoring victories, but the Nuggets have covered seven of the past eight meetings in this series.


Denver (9-12) returns home from a winless three-game road swing at Washington, Atlanta, and Toronto. The Nuggets managed a cover in an overtime loss to the Raptors on Monday following consecutive double-digits defeats to the Wizards and Hawks. Brian Shaw’s team had won three straight home games before blowing a late 14-point lead to the Blazers in a two-point defeat prior to this disastrous road trip.


Rockets at Warriors – 10:35 PM EST


Two of the hottest teams in the Western Conference meet up at Oracle Arena, as Golden State looks for its 14th consecutive victory tonight. The Warriors (18-2) return to the Bay Area after a pair of road wins at Chicago and Minnesota, while Steve Kerr’s squad goes back on the road for three key Western Conference contests starting Saturday at Dallas. During this 13-game winning streak, the Warriors have covered nine times, while winning seven of eight home contests this season.


The Rockets (16-4) continue to play without All-Star center Dwight Howard, who has missed the last nine games with a knee injury. Houston has managed seven wins in this stretch, but have more injury concerns as top scorer James Harden is questionable tonight with back spasms. The Rockets have won four straight games, while being off since Saturday’s home underdog victory over Phoenix. Kevin McHale’s club plays with revenge tonight after falling to the Warriors, 98-87 at the Toyota Center last month as 3 ½-point underdogs.

 

[CNOTES]

Bogut could miss time with tendinitis


December 9, 2014


OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) - Dwight Howard might not be the only franchise center who sits out when the Houston Rockets and the Golden State Warriors meet Wednesday night.


Warriors center Andrew Bogut is questionable to play because of right knee tendinitis. He left Monday night's 102-86 win in Minnesota - the Warriors' 13th in a row - early in the first quarter with the injury.


Bogut and coach Steve Kerr said after the game that they didn't think the tendinitis was anything serious. But any time Bogut is banged up is cause for concern.


The 7-footer from Australia is the anchor of Golden State's smothering defense, and his seasons have been often derailed by injuries, including last spring when a fractured rib kept him from playing in the first-round playoff loss to the Los Angeles Clippers. Bogut has played in every game this season, averaging 7.1 points, 9.3 rebounds, three assists and 2.2 blocks.


The Warriors, who are an NBA-best 18-2, also said power forward David Lee remains out with a strained left hamstring. Lee has appeared in just one game this season.


Houston has been hampered by injuries for a few weeks now.


The Rockets said Tuesday that Howard (strained right knee) is doubtful to play against the Warriors, and James Harden (back spasms) and Francisco Garcia (strained left hamstring) are questionable. Isaiah Canaan (sprained left ankle), Terrence Jones (nerve inflammation in left leg) and Kostas Papanikolaou (strained right knee) remain out.


Houston (16-4) enters the game winners of four straight and seven of eight.

 

[CNOTES]

Harden ailing as Rockets' injuries mount


December 9, 2014


HOUSTON (AP) - Add James Harden to the long list of Houston Rockets dealing with injuries.


Harden is struggling with back spasms and is listed as questionable for Houston's game at NBA-leading Golden State on Wednesday night.


Harden's back problem began in Saturday night's game.


''Still a little tight,'' he said Tuesday. ''Getting better every single day though.''


All-Star center Dwight Howard is improving and practiced with the team on Tuesday, but is doubtful to play against the Warriors. He has missed the last nine games with a strained right knee.


''Dwight went through the majority of what we did which was the first time he's done that since he's been out,'' coach Kevin McHale said. ''So I guess (Wednesday) we'll see how he feels.''


McHale said that Howard has been running and doing work away from the team, but that his return to practice was an encouraging step. Howard is averaging 18.8 points, 11.3 rebounds and 2.3 blocks per game. Rookie Tarik Black has filled in for him nicely and has helped the Rockets go 7-2 in his absence, including winning their last four. He's averaged more than six points and seven rebounds a game since Howard has been out.


''We're interchanging pieces right now which is kind of weird, but we're getting it done,'' Black said.


The Rockets have dealt with numerous injuries this season, and starting forward Terrence Jones (left leg nerve inflammation), backup point guard Isaiah Canaan (left ankle sprain) and forward Kostas Papanikolaou (right knee strain) are all out indefinitely. Francisco Garcia is questionable for Wednesday's game with a right calf strain.


The Warriors have won 13 in a row and beat the Rockets 98-87 in the first meeting this season. Houston's recent surge has the team leading the Southwest Division entering Tuesday's games.


Harden talked about what the Rockets need to do on Wednesday night.


''We've just going to have to go in there and play our game and do what we've been doing,'' Harden said. ''We had an opportunity to beat them here but just couldn't get our offense going in the fourth quarter. Now I think our offense is a little bit better so it's going to be a great opportunity for us.''

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (15 - 5) at INDIANA (7 - 14) - 12/10/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 213-266 ATS (-79.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
INDIANA is 34-16 ATS (+16.4 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
INDIANA is 142-101 ATS (+30.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (14 - 6) at ORLANDO (9 - 14) - 12/10/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (7 - 12) at CHARLOTTE (5 - 15) - 12/10/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (2 - 18) at ATLANTA (14 - 6) - 12/10/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 4-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (4 - 19) at SAN ANTONIO (15 - 6) - 12/10/2014, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-1 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (8 - 11) at CHICAGO (12 - 8) - 12/10/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 9-6 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 10-5 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (17 - 4) at MINNESOTA (4 - 16) - 12/10/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 25-38 ATS (-16.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 7-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 8-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (10 - 10) at DALLAS (16 - 7) - 12/10/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 31-57 ATS (-31.7 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 163-217 ATS (-75.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.
DALLAS is 108-83 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 220-171 ATS (+31.9 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 8-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (10 - 11) at DENVER (9 - 12) - 12/10/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (16 - 4) at GOLDEN STATE (18 - 2) - 12/10/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-3 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Wednesday, December 10


Nets' F Joe Johnson, out Wednesday

Johnson did not play Monday due to a stomach virus and will miss Wednesday's game against the Bulls.


Rockets' G James Harden, questionable Wednesday

Harden has an issue with his back and his status is unclear for Wednesday's game against the Warriors.


Knicks' F Carmelo Anthony, questionable Wednesday

Anthony is questionable to play Wednesday against the Spurs due to a knee injury.


Pistons a terrible bet during 13-game losing streak

The Detroit Pistons dropped their 13 consecutive game Tuesday night, falling 98-86 to the Portland Trail Blazers and if people have been backing the Pistons during this slide, it has not gone well for them.

The Pistons are just 4-9 against the spread during the losing streak, landing them all the way to dead last in the Association when it comes to covering the spread, now sitting at 6-16 ATS for the season.


Thunder get first cover since Durant's return

The Oklahoma City Thunder covered the spread for the first time since Kevin Durant's return by downing the Milwaukee Bucks 114-101 Tuesday night.

The Thunder, who closed as 10-point home favorites, had gone 0-3 against the spread since Durant made his season debut.

Oklahoma City will try to make it two covers in a row Thursday night when they host LeBron James and the Cleveland Cavaliers.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

New Orleans at Dallas
The Pelicans head to Dallas tonight where they are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games versus the Mavericks. Dallas is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mavericks favored by 17 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 10

Game 501-502: LA Clippers at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 127.665; Indiana 119.059
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-6 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Washington at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 120.610; Orlando 119.248
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+4 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Boston at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.411; Charlotte 119.055
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 4 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 2 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-2 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Philadelphia at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 113.389; Atlanta 123.691
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 10 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 13 1/2; 202
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+13 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: New York at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 111.047; San Antonio 127.679
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 16 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 10 1/2; 193 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-10 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Brooklyn at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 112.187; Chicago 121.692
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 9 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 11 1/2; 194 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+11 1/2); Over

Game 513-514: Portland at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 121.884; Minnesota 112.974
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 9; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 11; 206
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+11); Under

Game 515-516: New Orleans at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 112.972; Dallas 130.588
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 17 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 6 1/2; 210
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-6 1/2); Under

Game 517-518: Miami at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 120.409; Denver 120.558
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 5 1/2; 205
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+5 1/2); Over

Game 519-520: Houston at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 114.909; Golden State 131.490
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 16 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 10 1/2; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-10 1/2); Over

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Wednesday, December 10

LA Clippers at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Los Angeles: 21-38 ATS after allowing 120 points or more
Indiana: 59-38 ATS in home games against Pacific division opponents

Washington at Orlando, 7:05 ET
Washington: 36-19 ATS in road games
Orlando: 9-21 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread

Boston at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Boston: 26-13 ATS against Southeast division opponents
Charlotte: 6-18 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more

Philadelphia at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Philadelphia: 33-49 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog
Atlanta: 17-7 ATS after a win by 10 points or more

New York at San Antonio, 8:35 ET
New York: n/a
San Antonio: n/a

Brooklyn at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Brooklyn: 10-1 ATS in road games after allowing 110 points or more
Chicago: 27-49 ATS as a home favorite

Portland at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Portland: 97-63 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 2 days
Minnesota: 14-27 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

New Orleans at Dallas, 8:05 ET
New Orleans: 2-11 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more
Dallas: 40-21 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

Miami at Denver, 10:35 ET
Miami: 8-0 UNDER in road games after playing a game as an underdog
Denver: 15-5 UNDER in December games

Houston at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Houston: 8-19 ATS in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games
Golden State: 13-5 ATS as a favorite

 

[CNOTES]

Inside the Paint - Thursday


December 10, 2014


Despite starting the season 5-7 straight up and 4-8 against the spread, oddsmakers at Sportsbook.ag never removed Cleveland as the top betting choice (3/1) to win this year’s NBA Finals.


Unlike the NFL where the so-called pundits flip-flop every Monday morning, those following the Association understand that the season is a marathon and it takes time to develop chemistry.


Some may forget that when LeBron James joined Miami in the 2010-11 season, the Heat started the season with a pedestrian 9-8 record. They quietly closed with a 49-16 (.753) record and reached the NBA Finals.
Is it déjà vu for LeBron in Cleveland?


Since the sluggish start, the Lebron and the Cavaliers have ripped off eight straight wins. During this run, they’ve helped bettors with a 5-3 record versus the number.


At 13-7, it might be hard for Cleveland to eclipse its regular season Win Total of 58 ½ set by the oddsmakers but you just never know, especially when you play in the Eastern Conference.


It should be noted all of the Cavaliers' wins during their current eight-game winning streak were against opponents in the East.


Overall, Cleveland is 11-3 versus the East and just 2-4 both SU and ATS against the Western Conference.


The Cavaliers have a chance to improve on that record against the West when it visits Oklahoma City (8-13 SU, 11-10-1 ATS). The Thunder have started out slow due to key injuries but they’re finally healthy and appear to be in solid form heading into the final three quarters of the season.


Since the league’s reigning Most Valuable Player Kevin Durant made his season debut on Dec. 2, the Thunder have gone 3-1. However, be aware that the three victories were against the 76ers, Pistons and Bucks, which tells you that this matchup is a big test for Oklahoma City as well. Durant is averaging just under 30 minutes in the four games but should see extended time for this game.


Oddsmakers opened Oklahoma City as a 2 ½-point home favorite over Cleveland.


Despite not having LeBron on its roster, Cleveland has gone 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in its last four encounters against Oklahoma City, which includes a 114-104 road victory last season as 15-point underdogs.


Oklahoma City has gone 5-5 SU and 8-2 ATS this season while Cleveland has gone 6-3 SU and 4-5 ATS on the road.


The Cavaliers have been underdogs twice this season and they’ve produced outright wins at Chicago (114-108) on Oct. 31 and at Toronto (105-91) on Dec. 5.


Total bettors should note that Oklahoma City (15-6) and Cleveland (11-7-2) have both leaned to the ‘under’ this season.


The numbers on the Thunder are a tad misleading since their offense was limited early in the season but the Cavaliers are looking solid defensively. During their current winning streak, they’re holding opponents to 91.6 points per game.


Offensively, Cleveland has picked it up as well. In the same eight games, the Cavaliers are averaging 106.3 PPG.


The total on Thursday’s matchup opened 201 and was spiked up to 203.


TNT will provided coverage of this game at 8:05 p.m. ET.


Houston (16-4 SU, 11-9 ATS) at Sacramento (11-11 SU, 13-8-1 ATS)


The TNT double-header concludes on the West Coast at 10:35 p.m. ET as the Kings and Rockets clash from Sleep Train Arena in Northern California. Oddsmakers didn’t post an overnight line on this matchup due to key injuries for both squads.


James Harden (back) is ‘questionable’ and Dwight Howard (knee) is ‘doubtful’ for Houston while the Kings are likely to see DeMarcus Cousins (illness) sit out again.


Houston could be fatigued for this game after playing at Golden State last night. This will be the sixth game this season that the Rockets will be playing on zero days rest. In the first five situations, Houston has produced a solid 4-1 record both SU and ATS. Another factor that could have you backing the Rockets on Thursday is their 8-1 record (6-5 ATS) on the road.


Sacramento has been steady at home (6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS) but not having Cousins hurts the team. He’s missed seven games due to viral meningitis and the Kings are 2-5 during this span, three of the losses coming at home.


The Rockets ran past the Kings 102-89 on Nov. 26 as 4 ½-point home favorites. Last season, the pair split the four head-to-head meetings and both teams captured a road victory.


Total Trend


Those of you reading my NFL Total Talk columns know that I like to inform you of seasonal trends that could help your handicapping. With that being said, the national TNT games have created a trend that’s worth noting.


Tuesday, Oct. 28
Dallas 100 San Antonio 101 (Under 203)
Houston 108 L.A. Lakers 90 (Under 207)


Thursday, Oct. 30
New York 95 Cleveland 90 (Under 204)
Oklahoma City 90 L.A. Clippers 93 (Under 205.5)


Thursday, Nov. 6
San Antonio 81 Houston 98 (Under 179)
Dallas 87 Portland 108 (Under 209.5)


Thursday, Nov. 13
Chicago 100 Toronto 93 (Under 196.5)
Brooklyn 99 Golden State 107 (Under 210.5)


Thursday, Nov. 20
L.A. Clippers 110 at Miami 93 (Over 197.5)
Chicago 88 at Sacramento 103 (Under 195.5)


Thursday, Nov. 27
No Games (Thanksgiving)


Thursday, Dec. 4
Cleveland 90 at New York 87 (Under 198)
New Orleans 85 at Golden State (Under 206.5)


Based on the above, you can see that the ‘under’ has gone 11-1 in the first 12 games played on TNT this season. Personally, I’m a believer that all things will eventually balance out but I would still handicap the games based on matchups and keep this trend in your back pocket.