Cnotes National Football League Week # 15 Rated Plays - Trends - News Etc. !!

[CNOTES]

B]Brady listed as questionable for Sunday[/B]
December 18, 2015


FOXBOROUGH, Mass. (AP) New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady was listed on the team's injury report Friday with an illness that made him questionable Sunday against the Tennessee Titans.


Brady did not practice with the team, according to the injury report.


Since he took over when Drew Bledsoe was injured in Week 2 of the 2001 season, Brady has played in every game of every season except for 2008, when he was injured in the first quarter of the opener and missed the rest of the season.


Backup Jimmy Garoppolo has appeared in four games this season and has not thrown a pass this year.


The injury report also said linebackers Eric Martin (concussion) and Jonathan Freeny (hand) would miss Sunday's game. Receiver Julian Edelman is doubtful, meaning he is likely to miss his fifth straight game since breaking his foot.

 

[CNOTES]

Manning too sore to practice Friday
December 18, 2015


ENGLEWOOD, Colo. (AP) Peyton Manning's left foot was sore Friday so he didn't practice after running the Denver Broncos' scout team for two days.


Manning's foot has bothered him for months and he's been sidelined since mid-November with a torn plantar fascia that required a cast or boot for 10 days.


He returned to practice Wednesday but after two days of running the scout team, he reported to work saying he was sore.


''So we said, OK, we'll stop for the weekend and go from there,'' coach Gary Kubiak said.


Kubiak had already ruled out the league's only five-time MVP for Sunday's game at Pittsburgh (8-5), when Brock Osweiler will make his fifth consecutive start for Denver (10-3).


The Broncos practiced outside on damp fields Friday after spending two days inside because of a heavy snowstorm and frigid temperatures, but Kubiak said ''that had nothing to do with'' holding Manning out.


Manning was walking around after practice without any limp and Kubiak said Manning would make the trip ''and be a part of everything we're doing and he'll be on the sidelines, I'd assume. Sidelines or press box, one or the other, but I'd assume it would be sidelines.''


This will be the first trip Manning has made since being sidelined. He missed trips to Chicago and San Diego and watched the Patriots-Broncos game from inside the locker room before watching Denver's 15-12 loss to Oakland last weekend from the sideline.


Manning's father, Archie, said in a television interview this week that his son's left foot was bothering him since before the season even started. On Dec. 2, Manning told a few news outlets, including The Associated Press, in an interview at his locker that he'd been ailing for some time but he declined to say exactly when his foot began bothering him.


''I know that his foot has been sore since we left Indianapolis'' on Nov. 8, Kubiak said. ''So, it's something that we've been dealing with and trying to deal with it the right way to get him back to where he feels really good. The progress has been very good. That's all I know.''


In addition to Manning, Kubiak said safeties T.J. Ward (ankle) and Omar Bolden (hamstring) and linebacker Lerentee McCray (hamstring) would miss Sunday's game.


Also, safety Darian Stewart (hamstring) was 50-50 after missing practice all week. He's one of a half-dozen players listed as questionable.


For the second straight week, the Broncos had 22 players listed on their injury report.


''Half the damn team,'' Kubiak said.


He said he expects Ward to return to practice Wednesday.


But Bolden had a setback in his return. ''We thought he would be ready to go,'' Kubiak said. ''He practiced on Wednesday. He came out on Thursday, went about five minutes and said it was bothering him, so we shut him down.''


Notes: DL Malik Jackson returned to practice Friday as a proud first-time papa following the birth of his daughter, Nahla, on Thursday. ''My whole goal is just make her a trust-fund baby. I have the right job to be able to do that,'' said Jackson, a pending free agent who is in line for a big pay raise this offseason.

 

[CNOTES]

NFL

Saturday, December 19

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Saturday Night Football betting preview: Jets at Cowboys
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The Jets are 9-1-1 against the spread in their last 11 games in December.

New York Jets at Dallas Cowboys (+3.5, 41.5)

The New York Jets look for their fourth straight win and try to keep pace in the playoff race when they visit the Dallas Cowboys on Saturday night. The Jets currently hold the final wild-card berth but don't control their own destiny as they need to continue to pile up the victories and have either Pittsburgh or Kansas City lose another game to have a shot at the postseason.

Led by Ryan Fitzpatrick, the Jets' offense is firing on all cylinders. Fitzpatrick enters Saturday's game with 24 touchdown passes, just five shy of Vinny Testaverde's franchise record. His top targets, Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker, are also nearing milestones - Marshall is six receptions away from breaking Al Toon's team single-season mark of 93 and Decker needs 125 yards to reach 1,000 for the season. Dallas' offense is quite the opposite, falling completely apart since Tony Romo fractured his collarbone. Dez Bryant caught just one pass in the Cowboys' 28-7 loss at Green Bay last week and the Cowboys have plummeted to 28th in the league in total offense.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Cowboys as 3-point home dogs but that has moved to +3.5. The total opened at 42 but is down to 41.5.

WEATHER FORECAST: N/A

POWER RANKINGS: Jets (-2.5) - Cowboys (+4) + home field (-3.0) = Jets -3.5

INJURY REPORT:

Jets - WR Jeremy Kerley (Questionable, calf), DB Dion Bailey (Questionable, ankle), DB Marcus Williams (Questionable, knee), RB Zac Stacy (Out for season, ankle), WR Devin Smith (I-R, knee), DE Mike Catapano (I-R, foot), G Willie Colon (I-R, knee), K Nick Folk (I-R, quad), S Antonio Allen (I-R, Achilles), TE Jace Amaro (I-R, shoulder), TE Zach Sudfeld (I-R, knee).

Cowboys - DE Demarcus Lawrence (Questionable, chest), CB Morris Claiborne (Questionable, hamstring), OL Chaz Green (Questionable, hip), LB Mark Nzeocha (Questionable, knee), LB Rolando McClain (Questionable, concussion), QB Tony Romo (Out for season, collarbone), Ryan Russell (I-R, abdominal), RB Lance Dunbar (I-R, knee), DT Terrell McClain (I-R, toe), CB Orlando Scandrick (I-R, knee).

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "With a three TD effort against the Titans, QB Ryan Fitzpatrick set his career high for TD passes and is now ranked in the Top 10 in QB rating for the first time in his career. Dallas enters Saturday?s home game against the Jets riding a 12-26 ATS run at home dating back to the start of the 2011 campaign; just 1-5 SU and ATS at Jerry?s World this year."

ABOUT THE JETS (8-5 SU, 7-5-1 ATS, 7-6 O/U): New York has racked up 10 wins or more 10 times in its history and all 10 times it has reached the playoffs. This season, however, even 11 wins might not be enough for the Jets, who rank 10th in the NFL in points scored (25.0) and points allowed (19.7). New York lost receiver Devin Smith to a torn ACL last week and Jeremy Kerley is questionable with a calf injury, but its depth has been outstanding. Chris Ivory has rushed for 914 yards and his backup, Bilal Powell, has scored touchdowns in each of the past two weeks while amassing 190 yards from scrimmage.

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (4-9 SU, 4-9 ATS, 5-8 O/U): Bryant admitted that his surgically repaired foot was hurting after last week's game but Dallas has no plans of shutting him down for the season. Perhaps that's because the Cowboys, who are 1-5 at home, are still mathematically alive for a playoff berth, but even owner Jerry Jones admitted those chances are "very, very slim." Darren McFadden was the lone bright spot last week, gaining 111 yards on nine carries to leave him 202 yards shy of a 1,000-yard season that would net him a $300,000 bonus.

TRENDS:

* Jets are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games in December.
* Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last five games following a straight up loss.
* Under is 4-1 in Jets last five games in December.

CONSENSUS: Seventy percent of bettors are backing the Jets.

 

[CNOTES]

SNF - Jets at Cowboys
December 19, 2015




After stealing a game on a Monday night in Landover to close out Week 13, the Cowboys held out hope that their season-long nightmare might have a happy ending after all. Last week in Green Bay, the Packers basically snuffed out those aspirations with a 28-7 rout.


While still not mathematically eliminated, Dallas has to win out and hope everyone else in the NFC East loses in the right combination to sneak into the playoffs as a 7-9 team. The Cowboys have won once without injured QB Tony Romo despite the fact he’s played only four games, leaving half of them with collarbone injuries. Brandon Weeden went 0-3 and is now in Houston. Matt Cassel is 1-5 in starts and has shown little improvement, throwing for 114 yards against the Packers and giving his team very little chance to be successful.


Dez Bryant was targeted seven times in Green Bay last Sunday and made a single nine-yard reception while recording multiple drops. Although he claims to be healthy after breaking his foot in Week 1, he’s also had knee issues and has a single 100-yard receiving game out of the eight he’s participated in. Bryant has got six catches for 97 yards over the last three games and has only scored a pair of touchdowns all season. We’ll see if the challenge of going one-on-one with Darrelle Revis sparks him to a vintage effort. The Cowboys need him to help Cassel be successful against a complicated opponent.


The Jets arrive in Dallas on a season-long three-game winning streak and have been installed as 3.5-point favorites on Saturday night. They’ll be playing away from East Rutherford for the first time since a Nov. 22 loss at Houston, having beaten the Dolphins and Titans in addition to a “road” game against the Giants. They’ve covered in all three wins, outscoring their vanquished foes by a combined margin of 91-48. Their success has them in the playoff hunt, threatening to end a postseason drought that dates back to 2010. Their 8-5 record is even with Pittsburgh and Kansas City, in the mix for the final two AFC Wild Card spots.


After Mark Sanchez, Geno Smith and stints kicking around the tires on Michael Vick and Matt Simms, New York has finally found its quarterback. Despite never reaching the playoffs himself in five previous stops, Ryan Fitzpatrick is enjoying a Pro Bowl-caliber season, currently up to a career-best 25 touchdown passes and just 11 interceptions. He’s been exceptional during this current Jets run, tossing for 930 yards and nine TDs without an interception.


Picks have been a problem for Fitzpatrick in the past – he threw 23 in one season in 2011 -- but he’s consistently avoided mistakes while establishing great chemistry with top targets Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker, who have already combined for 20 touchdowns and over 2,000 receiving yards. It’s definitely not a good week for the Cowboys to be down corner Morris Claiborne, who despite his struggles is one of the team’s most dynamic athletes. Defensive coordinator Rod Marinelli has done a nice job keeping the Cowboys in games despite their offensive woes, but he’ll likely be down a pair of key defenders. Claiborne is doubtful with a hamstring injury. LB Rolando McClain (concussion) has already been ruled out. DE DeMarcus Lawrence, Dallas’ sack leader with six, is probable after missing practice time with a chest injury and forms a dangerous duo up front with Greg Hardy.


The Jets will aim to keep the Cowboys pass rush from being overly aggressive with a heavy helping of the Chris Ivory-led run game and a steady diet of screens to Bilal Powell. Powell has a touchdown catch in each of the last two games and 20 receptions for 211 yards over the last four games. Ivory ranks fifth in the NFL with 914 rushing yards after posting a 101-yard day in Sunday’s 30-8 blowout of Tennessee. Dallas has the 18th-ranked defense against the run. New York ranks No. 1, surrendering just 78.9 yards per game. It will be interesting to see how they fare against formidable Cowboys offensive line that has helped spring Darren McFadden to four 100-yard rushing games since he became the starter on Oct. 25, eight games ago. He had runs of 50 and 45 yards against Green Bay that undoubtedly got the attention of the Jets defense in this week’s film study.


Total-wise, this is a weird game to get a grasp on since there are feared playmakers on both sides of the ball set to do battle. New York’s defensive front against the Dallas o-line. Bryant vs. Revis. Ivory vs. terrific Cowboys outside linebacker Sean Lee.


The number opened as high as 43 at a few offshore betting shops and has dropped to 41.5 as of Saturday morning. VegasInsider.com NFL totals expert Chris David believes the opener was high and agrees with the early move.


“The Cowboys have seen the ‘under’ go 8-5 this season and that includes a 4-1 run in their last five games. With Cassel at quarterback, Dallas is a one-dimensional team and they’re averaging 15 PPG in his seven starts this season. Defensively, the Cowboys are ranked ninth in total defense (334 YPG) and they are the third best team in time of possession. Two of the most important factors for winning ‘under’ tickets are a solid defense and a ball control offense, which Dallas certainly has.” explained David.


“The Jets have a little more pop on offense than the Cowboys but they’re definitely not a juggernaut and their offensive numbers are very inconsistent. At home, New York is averaging 27.9 PPG while nearly a touchdown less on the road (21.7 PPG). The Jets have slightly leaned to the ‘over’ (7-6) this season and with this number being so low, I wouldn’t be surprised to see another game go the high side knowing that the Jets have seen 41 or more combined points scored in 10 of their 13 games this season.”


The Jets have played in two primetime games this season and both went ‘under’ the total while Dallas is 3-1 to the ‘under’ in its four contests played under the lights in 2015.

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 19


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


NYJ at DAL 08:25 PM


DAL +3.0 TRIPLE PLAY


U 41.0 TRIPLE PLAY

 

[CNOTES]

SuperContest Picks - Week 15
December 19, 2015


The Westgate Las Vegas SuperContest is the biggest, most prestigious, challenging pro football handicapping contest in the country. The fees are $1,500 per entry, and it’s all a 100% payback. Contestants must pick 5 pro football games against the spread each week for the entire 17-week season. The individual that has the best record after the season will be deemed the winner.


The LVH Casino at Westgate Las Vegas Resort is a hotel, casino, and convention center, which is located in Las Vegas, Nevada. LVH SuperBook vice-president Jay Kornegay is in charge of the SuperContest.


This year's contest has 1,727 entries, which is an all-time record. The winner of this year's top prize will be given a check for $906,675, plus the top 50 finishers will collect cash prizes too.


Each week throughout the season, we'll post the Top 5 Consensus Picks in the SuperContest on Saturday afternoon and list all of the selections for each matchup.


Through 14 weeks of the season, the Top 5 Consensus Picks have gone 38-30-2 (55%) in the SuperContest.




Week 15


1) N.Y. Jets (556)


2) N.Y. Giants (555)


3) Green Bay (551)


4) Arizona (442)


5) Denver (411)






SUPERCONTEST WEEK 15 MATCHUPS & ODDS


Away Team Selections Home Team Selections


Tampa Bay (+2.5) 76 St. Louis (-2.5) 70


N.Y. Jets (-3.5) 556 Dallas (+3.5) 195


Chicago (+5.5) 383 Minnesota (-5.5) 225


Atlanta (+3) 236 Jacksonville (-3) 300


Houston (+2) 252 Indianapolis (-2) 95


Kansas City (-7.5) 210 Baltimore (+7.5) 246


Buffalo (-1) 269 Washington (+1) 287


Tennessee (+14) 104 New England (-14) 240


Arizona (-3.5) 442 Philadelphia (+3.5) 254


Carolina (-4.5) 255 N.Y. Giants (+4.5) 555


Cleveland (+14.5) 103 Seattle (-14.5) 302


Green Bay (-3) 551 Oakland (+3) 160


Miami (+2) 106 San Diego (-2) 213


Denver (+6.5) 411 Pittsburgh (-6.5) 283


Cincinnati (-4.5) 358 San Francisco (+4.5) 116


Detroit (+3) 159 New Orleans (-3) 298

 

[CNOTES]

Gridiron Angles - Week 15
December 19, 2015




NFL PLAY ON ATS TREND:


-- The Seahawks are 13-0 ATS (11.04 ppg) since Oct 18, 2012 after a win with at least 250 passing yards.


NFL PLAY AGAINST TREND:


-- The Dolphins are 0-10 ATS (-10.05 ppg) since Nov 15, 2012 when they are on the road between two home games.


TOP NFL PLAYER ATS TREND:


-- The Chargers are 0-7 ATS (-11.86 ppg) since Oct 19, 2014 after a road game where Philip Rivers threw for at least 250 yards.


NFL CHOICE TRENDS:


-- The 49ers are 0-10 OU (-15.25 ppg) since Dec 04, 2005 as a home dog off a game as a road dog where they gained no more than 18 first downs.


-- The Titans are 11-0 OU (13.50 ppg) since Oct 01, 2006 as a dog after a road loss where they had no more than 15 first downs.


TOP NFL PLAYER OU TREND:


-- The Packers are 0-7 OU (-11.14 ppg) since Oct 04, 2015 after a game where Aaron Rodgers threw for at least two touchdowns.


NFL O/U OVER TREND:


-- The Raiders are 12-0-1 OU (12.50 ppg) since Oct 03, 2010 as a dog after a road game where they covered.


NFL O/U UNDER TREND:


-- The Cardinals are 0-13-1 OU (-8.71 ppg) since Sep 21, 2008 on the road the week after a win in which passing for three times as many yards as they rushed for.


SUPER SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:


-- Since 2010, teams are 27-50-4 ATS with less than eight days rest coming off a game against Seattle. Active against Baltimore.


NFL BIBLE ATS ACTIVE TREND:


-- The Chargers are 9-0 ATS the week following a game in which they had fewer than 50 yards rushing.

NFL BIBLE O/U ACTIVE TREND:


-- The Titans are 10-0 OU as a FG-plus dog when facing a team that just allowed 275 yards or fewer of offense.

 

[CNOTES]

Total Talk - Week 15
December 19, 2015


Even though we had six teams put up 30-plus points last weekend, the ‘under’ produced a 12-4 (75%) mark, which was the most lopsided total results this season. After 14 weeks, the ‘under’ now holds a 104-100-4 record.


Head-to-Head


We only have two divisional games on tap this Sunday but that will change over the final two weeks.


Chicago at Minnesota: These teams met at Soldier Field in Week 8 and the Vikings defeated the Bears 23-20 with a game-winning field goal as time expired. The game went ‘under’ (44) and that’s been the trend in this series. Including that result, the ‘under’ has cashed in four straight and seven of the last 10 meetings. Minnesota has been a great ‘under’ bet (10-2-1) all season and Chicago has slightly leaned to the low side (7-6) but its defense (50 points) hasn’t looked sharp the last two weeks.


Houston at Indianapolis: Low total (41) for this game and I’m surprised it’s not lower considering it looks like a preseason game with a pair of backup quarterbacks going head-to-head. The ‘under’ is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings and that includes a 5-0 run in games at Lucas Oil Stadium. I doubt the winner will score more than 20 points and after watching the Colts allow 96 points the last two weeks on the road, you can’t get much worse and I expect the unit to play better at home.


Holiday Road


The road system returns for the fourth and final time this season as Atlanta pays a visit to Jacksonville.


What’s the angle?


Play the ‘over’ in any game when the visitor is playing their third consecutive road game


The Falcons played lost 23-19 to the Buccaneers in Week 13 and were embarrassed 38-0 at Carolina last Sunday.


The previous situations from this season are listed below:


Week 5: Jacksonville 31 at Tampa Bay 38 (Over 41 ½)


Week 10: Miami 20 at Philadelphia 19 (Under 49 ½)


Week 12: Buffalo 22 at Kansas City 30 (Over 41)


The system has produced a 2-1 record this season and if you followed the Dolphins-Eagles game, you’re well aware that the game was 16-3 after the first quarter and plenty of points were left off the board. Still, a loss is a loss and no system is ever perfect.


Including those results, this system has produced a 39-18-1 (68%) record the past 11 seasons.


Last Chance to Brag


Through 14 weeks of the regular season, bettors have watched the ‘under’ go 36-18-2 (65%) in non-conference games and that includes a 12-4 (75%) run the last four weeks. We only have eight games left and six take place this weekend, five on Sunday.


N.Y. Jets at Dallas: This matchup kicks on Saturday night and I provided my total thoughts in our weekly preview piece.


Atlanta at Jacksonville: Based on the above system, I’m leaning ‘over’ and I also like the high side because the Jaguars have finally found out how to score recently. Jacksonville is the best ‘over’ team in the league (9-4) but you can’t ignore the fact that Atlanta has produced the top ‘under’ record (11-2) this season.

Buffalo at Washington: This total looks a little high to me and I’m actually leaning to Buffalo only because the Redskins haven’t won back-to-back games all season. Knowing that Washington’s defense (17.7 PPG) has been much better at home, maybe the oddsmakers are telling us something with the Bills listed as road favorites. The Redskins are 0-3 versus the AFC East this season, allowing 26 PPG.


Green Bay at Oakland: The Packers have seen the ‘under’ go 9-4 this season yet the total for this week’s game is 48. Despite looking lackluster at times, Green Bay has still scored 28 and 27 the last two weeks and now it’s facing a Raiders defense that is very suspect (271 YPG) against the pass. The Packers secondary is banged up and Oakland’s offense has improved by eight PPG (23-15) this season. Oakland has watched the ‘over’ go 4-1-1 at home but it has struggled offensively (15.6 PPG) in its first three games against the NFC North this season (0-3 record).


Cleveland at Seattle: The Seahawks are on a 4-0-1 ‘over’ run and you can expect plenty of bettors pounding the Seattle-Over combo late Sunday afternoon. It seems too easy but you can’t ignore what the ‘Hawks have done over the last five weeks, averaging 34.6 PPG. The Browns started the season 6-0 to the ‘over’ but have watched the ‘under’ go 5-2 in the last seven. Johnny Manziel is a tough player to handicap and while Seattle might score, you wonder if the Browns can do their part. Keep an eye on the weather as rain and wind could play factors.


Cincinnati at San Francisco: This is the lowest total (40 ½) on the board and with Andy Dalton out for the Bengals, I expect Marvin Lewis to tighten up the play-calling and try to shorten the game and win with his defense. San Francisco is 5-1 to the ‘under’ at home and its defense (15.8 PPG) has played some great football. Barring turnovers, I don’t see either club getting 20 points on the board in this game.


Under the Lights


Including this past Thursday’s unexpected shootout between the Buccaneers and Rams, the ‘under’ has gone 26-17 (60%) in primetime games. Based on the opening numbers, it appears the oddsmakers are expecting another pair of back-and-forth games this weekend.


Arizona at Philadelphia: The Cardinals have seen the ‘under’ cash in three straight and the Carson Palmer-led offense hasn’t looked crisp lately. Arizona has shined under the lights this season, going 4-0 while averaging 30.5 PPG. Chip Kelly’s team has leaned to the ‘under’ (8-5) this season but the ‘over’ has cashed three of the last four. If you delve into Philadelphia’s total numbers, you could argue that only two of them were clear-cut winners. The other 11 games could’ve easily been flip-flopped and if you’re playing this game, get ready for three-plus hours of action.


Detroit at New Orleans: It’s very hard to play the ‘under’ when New Orleans lines up only because it’s a mess defensively (414 YPG, 30.5 PPG). Plus, they have Drew Brees at QB and while he continues to regress, he’s still capable of moving the chains. The Lions looked horrible last week at the Rams and that letdown was expected after the Hail Mary loss to the Packers. Prior to those setbacks, Detroit won three in a row behind good defense and running the football. I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Lions go back to that plan, especially against the worst run defense (136 YPG) in the league.


Fearless Predictions


For the second consecutive week we produced a split ($20) and while the team total loser with the Eagles was tough to stomach, the ‘under’ in the Panthers-Falcons was fortunate to cash. The deficit is $600 with three weeks left in the regular season. As always, Press, Pass or Fade but in the end – Good Luck!


Best Over: Atlanta-Jacksonville 49


Best Under: Denver-Pittsburgh 45


Best Team Total: Under Cincinnati 23 ½


Three-Team Total Teaser (9-Point, +100)
Over 40 Atlanta-Jacksonville
Over 42 Arizona-Philadelphia
Under 50 Cincinnati-San Francisco

 

[CNOTES]

Monday's six-pack


Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)


Most popular picks 2-7 in Week 15 season record: 46-44-2


Jets (-3.5) were most popular pick; they played last night- L.


7) Bengals -4.5 (358)-- Lot of faith in first time starter, QB McCarron- W


6) Bears +5.5 (383)-- Chicago has played lot of close games this year- L


5) Broncos +6.5 (411)-- Will Osweiler lose starting job if Denver loses? - L


4) Cardinals -3.5 (442)-- Lot of trust in dome team; was 37 degrees at kickoff- W.


3) Giants +4.5 (505)-- It is comical how underrated the Panthers are.- L.


2) Packers -3 (551)-- Aaron Rodgers returns to Bay Area; he played at Cal.- W


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Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday........


13) Steelers 34, Broncos 27-- Denver led 27-13 at half, never scored again; in second half, they ran nine drives: 35 plays, 72 yards, zero points. Bad news for Jets, Chiefs as teams scramble for AFC Wild Card position.


12) Panthers 38, Giants 35-- In 2001, Vince McMahon owned XFL, a minor league football operation that was part football, part-WWE. This game resembled that, with Norman/Beckham swatting each other throughout the first quarter as officials refused to police the action and Troy Aikman bitched about it in the FOX TV booth.


Carolina led this game 35-7, blew the lead, won on a last-second FG, but not before both sides were an embarrassment to their employers, with Norman/Beckham swatting each other during/after most every play. Beckham had three personal foul penalties, scored the tying TD, both of which I'm guessing will lead to more commercials.


11) Chiefs 34, Ravens 14-- "More games are lost than won."- George Allen. Chiefs had two defensive TDs, one of their two TD drives was 24 yards, as Jimmy Clausen falls to 0-3 this season with losses by 26-0/35-6/34-14 scores. Chiefs haven't lost since the Royals won the World Series- they still have work to do to make the playoffs.


10) Texans 16, Colts 10-- Houston takes over first place in AFC South behind 5th-string QB Weeden, who was cut by Dallas earlier this season. Texans are 7-7 after 1-4 start, so they'll have positive momentum if they make the playoffs, and a home game in the first round. Colts and Giants are both going to be looking for new coaches soon.


9) Falcons 23, Jaguars 17-- Atlanta ends six-game skid by going 7-14 on 3rd down; Jags were 0-8. Game swung in last 0:10 of first half; down 14-3, Jax had ball on 1-yard line but pass was picked and run back 86 yards, where Falcons kicked FG on last play of half to go up 17-3. 6 or 10-point swing was the difference.


8) Vikings 38, Bears 17-- Minnesota-Green Bay could be playing for first round bye in Week 17; Minnesota was +2 in turnovers here. This week, teams that were +2 or better in turnovers are 6-0 so far. When Vikings average 10.5 ypa, they will win, since that is one of weaker parts of their game.


7) Patriots 33, Titans 16-- Now there are rumors that Bill Polian is going to come to Nashville to run the Titans and bring in Peyton Manning to work with him in the front office. Chicago OC Adam Gase is rumored as a probably head coaching candidate.


6) Redskins 35, Bills 25-- Washington has leg up on winning NFC East; they threw for 10.6 yards/attempt in this game, as rumors persist that Rex Ryan and front office aren't getting along. Buffalo just played five road games in six weeks, which is unkind scheduling; they get Kellen Moore's Dallas Cowboys in Orchard Park next week.


5) Packers 30, Raiders 20-- Green Bay scored two TDs in 0:15 to take an early 14-0 lead on a rainy, dismal day in Oakland. Raiders are 2-5 at home and could be playing their last game ever in the Coliseum against the Chargers next week.


4) Seahawks 30, Browns 13-- Russell Wilson is so valuable because of his mobility; Seattle was 9-12 on third down, ran ball for 182 yards and is a team no one wants to face in mid or late January. As for the Browns, they'll be a curious team to follow in winter/spring months. Not sure they know what they're doing.


3) Chargers 30, Dolphins 14-- Female blackjack dealer in casino here had a great Dan Fouts throwback jersey on today, the light blue one with big gold lightning bolts on each shoulder. Sad day for San Diego, probably their last game ever in Qualcomm, and that doesn't seem fair. San Diego supported the team, deserves to keep it.


2) Bengals 24, 49ers 14-- AJ McCarron is first Alabama QB since 1987 to start/win an NFL game (Rutledge); they scored three TDs in 4:23 near end of first half, on three scoring drives totalling 67 yards, with two 49er turnovers involved. 49ers are 0 for 6 on replay challenges this year, while former coach Harbaugh has his Wolverines in a New Year's Day bowl game. Maybe they should've kept him.


1) Cardinals 40, Eagles 17-- If I was an Eagles fan, I'd seriously question what the hell Chip Kelly is doing; they've gotten worse in Years 2-3 of his regime, but they could create chaos in NFC East by beating Washington Saturday night. Best part of the big Foles-Bradford trade for me is this: Rams get a mid-round draft pick in April. .

 

[CNOTES]

NFL

Monday, December 21

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Monday Night Football Betting Preview: Lions at Saints
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Drew Brees threw a pair of scoring passes last week, on the way to halting a four-game losing streak with a 24-17 victory at Tampa Bay.

Detroit Lions at New Orleans Saints (-2.5, 51)

A pair of teams that harbored playoff aspirations but are now reduced to playing out the string will square off when the New Orleans Saints host the Detroit Lions on Monday night. The Lions expected to be in the hunt for the NFC North title while the Saints hoped to contend for the NFC South, but both teams are mired in the basement of their respective divisions.

New Orleans quarterback Drew Brees threw a pair of scoring passes last week to move past Dan Marino (420) for fourth place on the all-time list, but he said such milestones are not his main focus. “For me, at this stage of my career, it is about winning," Brees said. "It is about finding a way to win another championship. I want to go win another championship." While the Saints halted a four-game losing streak with a 24-17 victory at Tampa Bay last week, Detroit dropped its second in a row following a three-game winning streak with a 21-14 setback at St. Louis. The Lions are 1-5 on the road, including three defeats during their season-opening five-game losing streak.

TV: 8:30 ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: The Saints opened as 3-point home favorites and have been bet down a half-point to sit at -2.5. The total has been bet up one-point, going from 50 to 51.

INJURY REPORT:

Lions - WR L. Moore (probable Monday, ankle), WR C. Johnson (probable Monday, ankle), DT G. Wright (questionable Monday, ankle), TE B. Pettigrew (I-R, knee).

Saints - NT J. Jenkins (questionable Monday, concussion), G J. Evans (questionable Monday, ankle), CB D. Swann (I-R, concussion), RB M. Ingram (I-R, shoulder).

POWER RANKINGS: Lions (+4) - Saints (+2.5) + home field (-3) = Saints -4.5

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Saints utilized a ball control offense in their win at Tampa. Only two Drew Brees passes went for more than 20 yards and the Saints had more than 37 minutes of possession. While for the Lions, in the midst of a dismal overall season, DE Ziggy Ansah has been a bright spot with 13.5 sacks, just ½ a sack off the NFL lead."

ABOUT THE LIONS (4-9, 4-9 ATS, 7-6 O/U): Matthew Stafford has played well over the past five weeks with 11 touchdowns and two interceptions and has put up some huge numbers against the Saints, averaging 362.3 yards passing in the past three meetings (playoffs included). Golden Tate had nine catches and a pair of touchdowns a week ago, but star wideout Calvin Johnson was held to one reception after hauling in four touchdown passes over the previous two weeks. Detroit's running game ranks last in the NFL at 79.3 yards per game, while defensive end Ezekiel Ansah is among the bright spots on the other side of the ball.

ABOUT THE SAINTS (5-8, 6-6-1 ATS, 7-5-1 O/U): New Orleans ranks last in the league in points allowed (30.5) and is 31st in total yards surrendered (414.8), although it permitted a season-low 291 yards in last week's victory. Brees halted a six-game interception streak against the Buccaneers and received some surprising support from fourth-string running back Tim Hightower, who had sat out the previous three seasons but had 85 yards on 28 carries in his first extensive action since 2011. Rookie Willie Snead returned to the lineup after a one-game absence and had seven receptions for 122 yards.

TRENDS:

* Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last five Monday games.
* Saints are 0-6 ATS in their last six games versus a team with a losing record.
* Under is 8-1 in Lions last nine Monday games.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Saints last four home games.

CONSENSUS: A heavy majority of bettors are backing the Saints in this matchup, with 70 percent of wagers on New Orleans. Bettors also think this will be a high scoring affair with 73 percent of wagers on the over.

 

[CNOTES]

Lions (4-9) @ Saints (5-8)-- New Orleans snapped 4-game skid LW; they are 3-3 at home TY, 1-2-1 as home favorites, with wins by 6-10-3 at home- they're 3-8-1 in last 12 games as home faves. Detroit lost two in row; they're 0-9 vs spread this season when allowing more than 16 points. Lions lost five of six road games, with only win at Green Bay, where they hadn't won since '91- they're 2-3 as road underdogs. Saints won four of last five series games, with average total, 57.8; Detroit lost five of last six visits here, with all five losses by 11+ points. NFC North non-divisional underdogs are 10-7 vs spread, 8-3 on road; NFC South favorites are 12-11, 7-6 at home. Since 2012, Detroit is 6-12 vs spread when getting points on the road.

 

[CNOTES]

NFL MONEYLINE


NFL > (331) DETROIT@ (332) NEW ORLEANS | 2015-12-21 20:30:00 - 2015-12-21 20:30:00
Play AGAINST NEW ORLEANS using money line in Home games in December games
The record is 20 Wins and 33 Losses for the since 1992 (-43.95 units)


NFL > (331) DETROIT@ (332) NEW ORLEANS | 2015-12-21 20:30:00 - 2015-12-21 20:30:00
Play AGAINST NEW ORLEANS using money line in Home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season
The record is 17 Wins and 19 Losses for the since 1992 (-37.2 units)


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NFL TOTALS


NFL > (331) DETROIT@ (332) NEW ORLEANS | 2015-12-21 20:30:00 - 2015-12-21 20:30:00
Play UNDER DETROIT on the totalin Road games in games played on turf
The record is 0 Overs and 10 Unders for the last three seasons (+10 units)


NFL > (331) DETROIT@ (332) NEW ORLEANS | 2015-12-21 20:30:00 - 2015-12-21 20:30:00
Play UNDER DETROIT on the totalin Road games against conference opponents
The record is 2 Overs and 15 Unders for the last three seasons (+12.8 units)


NFL > (331) DETROIT@ (332) NEW ORLEANS | 2015-12-21 20:30:00 - 2015-12-21 20:30:00
Play UNDER DETROIT on the totalin All games when playing on Monday night
The record is 1 Overs and 12 Unders for the since 1992 (+10.9 units)


NFL > (331) DETROIT@ (332) NEW ORLEANS | 2015-12-21 20:30:00 - 2015-12-21 20:30:00
Play UNDER DETROIT on the totalin All games in all games where the first half total is 25 or higher
The record is 0 Overs and 8 Unders for the last three seasons (+8 units)

 

[CNOTES]

ONLINE
12/21/2015
10:20 AM


[Ticket #: 238973305] PARLAY (4 TEAMS)


12/21/2015 @ 05:30 PM NFL [331] TOTAL o51.5 1.91


(DETROIT vrs NEW ORLEANS)


12/21/2015 @ 05:30 PM NFL [332] NEW ORLEANS -2.5 1.91


12/21/2015 @ 11:30 AM CFB [212] SOUTH FLORIDA +3 1.91


12/21/2015 @ 11:30 AM CFB [212] TOTAL u68 1.91


(WESTERN KENTUCKY vrs SOUTH FLORIDA)


50.00 614.17

 

[bennyblanco]

No picks this past Sunday CNotes?

 

[CNOTES]

12/21/2015 @ 05:30 PM NFL [331] TOTAL o51.5 1.91 TRIPLE PLAY


(DETROIT vrs NEW ORLEANS)


12/21/2015 @ 05:30 PM NFL [332] NEW ORLEANS -2.5 1.91 TRIPLE PLAY