Cnotes National Basketball League Apri's Picks/Trends/News Thru the Playoffs !!

[CNOTES]

NBA

Wednesday, April 13

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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chicago's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

8:00 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home
Minnesota is 6-12 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against New Orleans

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
Atlanta is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Washington is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home
Washington is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Atlanta

8:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Sacramento

8:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. CHARLOTTE
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Orlando's last 11 games on the road
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Charlotte is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Orlando

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. BROOKLYN
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
Toronto15-7-1 SU in its last 23 games
Brooklyn is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Brooklyn's last 17 games at home

8:00 PM
INDIANA vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. DALLAS
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
San Antonio18-6-1 SU in its last 25 games
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games

8:00 PM
DETROIT vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing at home against Detroit

8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. BOSTON
Miami is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Miami
Boston is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

10:30 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of the LA Clippers last 21 games when playing Phoenix
LA Clippers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games when playing Phoenix
Phoenix is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Phoenix's last 15 games

10:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Memphis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis

10:30 PM
DENVER vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 10 games on the road
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Portland's last 10 games when playing at home against Denver
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

10:30 PM
UTAH vs. LA LAKERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Utah is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Utah
LA Lakers are 19-6 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against Utah

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, April 13

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SACRAMENTO (33 - 48) at HOUSTON (40 - 41) - 4/13/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 69-87 ATS (-26.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 27-43 ATS (-20.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 41-55 ATS (-19.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 43-56 ATS (-18.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 36-45 ATS (-13.5 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 19-29 ATS (-12.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1996.
HOUSTON is 97-131 ATS (-47.1 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
HOUSTON is 18-28 ATS (-12.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (66 - 15) at DALLAS (42 - 39) - 4/13/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 10-8 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 13-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (30 - 51) at MINNESOTA (28 - 53) - 4/13/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 36-44 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 56-42 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 72-88 ATS (-24.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games this season.
MINNESOTA is 37-62 ATS (-31.2 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more this season.
MINNESOTA is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 189-236 ATS (-70.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 7-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (55 - 26) at BROOKLYN (21 - 60) - 4/13/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 10-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-8 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
10 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (48 - 33) at WASHINGTON (40 - 41) - 4/13/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 9-7 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 10-7 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
13 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (44 - 37) at MILWAUKEE (33 - 48) - 4/13/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 8-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (43 - 38) at CLEVELAND (57 - 24) - 4/13/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-5 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (10 - 71) at CHICAGO (41 - 40) - 4/13/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-43 ATS (-14.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 65-41 ATS (+19.9 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points since 1996.
CHICAGO is 34-46 ATS (-16.6 Units) in all games this season.
CHICAGO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 34-48 ATS (-18.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 21-31 ATS (-13.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 9-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (48 - 33) at BOSTON (47 - 34) - 4/13/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-4 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (35 - 46) at CHARLOTTE (47 - 34) - 4/13/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 45-35 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-5 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 6-5 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (40 - 41) at LA LAKERS (16 - 65) - 4/13/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 86-72 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
LA LAKERS are 35-45 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games this season.
LA LAKERS are 34-42 ATS (-12.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
LA LAKERS are 167-209 ATS (-62.9 Units) in home games second half of the season since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) against Northwest division opponents this season.
LA LAKERS are 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
LA LAKERS are 145-189 ATS (-62.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 58-85 ATS (-35.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (42 - 39) at GOLDEN STATE (72 - 9) - 4/13/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 43-35 ATS (+4.5 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 92-70 ATS (+15.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 51-38 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 32-23 ATS (+6.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MEMPHIS is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 9-7 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 11-5 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
12 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (33 - 48) at PORTLAND (43 - 38) - 4/13/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 33-24 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 6-5 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 10-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (53 - 28) at PHOENIX (22 - 59) - 4/13/2016, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 9-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday's NBA Essentials
April 13, 2016


The final night of the NBA's regular season can be a dark, scary place for bettors. Who's in? Who's out? What's on the line? Are they just rolling basketballs out there. Consider the content below your handy survival guide.

Miami at Boston, 8:05 p.m. ET, ESPN: The Heat are looking to wrap up the Southeast Division and the Eastern Conference’s No. 3 seed and will do so with a victory. A loss really complicates matters, since different combinations exist that could have them finishing anywhere from 4-6. The Celtics are hoping to finish at No. 4 so they can open a playoff series at home, but they could finish fifth or sixth with a loss. As a result, this is the one game we have tonight where both teams won’t rest anyone healthy enough to play. On that note, Justise Winslow missed Tuesday’s win over Detroit with an ankle sprain but expressed his intention to play here if possible. No game tonight should pack the intensity this one brings to the table, giving us an early postseason feel. Boston has won both meetings between these teams, winning by double-digits on Nov. 30 and Feb. 27.


Sacramento at Houston, 8:05 p.m. ET: The Rockets can thank Utah’s collapse for the opportunity to make the playoffs with a .500 record by holding serve as a double-digit favorite here. They can thank the Kings resting DeMarcus Cousins, Rajon Rondo, Darren Collison, Marco Belinelli and Omri Casspi to lighten the load, although the same group that takes the floor tonight won in Phoenix as a 6-point underdog on Monday. Seth Curry finished with 20 points and 15 assists and will be the focal point of tonight’s Sacramento attack, which makes Patrick Beverley a critical x-factor for Houston. Rudy Gay, Ben McLemore and centers Willy Cauley-Stein and Kosta Koufos will carry the Jazz’s hopes with them, since a Rockets win will eliminate them before their game at Staples Center ever tips.


San Antonio at Dallas, 8:05 p.m. ET: Gregg Popovich is sure to sit all of his key rotation players after many worked into OT to defeat OKC on Tuesday, so expect a heavy dose of Patty Mills, Kevin Martin Kyle Anderson and Boban Marjanovic. It will be interesting to see if David West is forced to play, but Pop will definitely field a short-handed group. He will get Boris Diaw back from a groin injury that has cost him the last five games, so this one will be for him to get some conditioning work in. Considering the Mavericks can avoid a full-strength San Antonio team by holding serve at home, it’s likely that anyone who can play, will. The Mavericks will be the No. 5 seed with a Portland loss, and No. 6 otherwise with a victory.


New Orleans at Minnesota, 8:05 p.m. ET: The Pelicans will again be without F/C Alexis Ajinca, which means they’ll end their injury-ravaged season with just eight players. James Ennis scored a career-high 29 points in Monday’s 121-116 loss to Chicago and are down to just two big men, Omer Asik and Kendrick Perkins. The Timberwolves had a season-high three-game winning streak snapped at home in Houston, but should have everybody in play tonight.


Toronto at Brooklyn, 8:05 p.m. ET: The Raptors outscored the 76ers 67-37 in the second half of Tuesday’s 122-98 comeback win, but played 11 guys and won’t come anywhere near that number in Brooklyn. Having wrapped up the No. 2 seed over a week ago and unable to move up since the Cavs clinched the top spot in the East on Monday, Dwane Casey will be looking to get through these 48 minutes and is already preparing for a first-round series against Indiana this weekend. The Nets have dropped nine consecutive games and haven’t won since March 24. They’ve surrendered 120.6 points over the past four games, all of which have gone over the posted total.

Atlanta at Washington, 8:05 p.m. ET: John Wall and Bradley Beal are likely to close the season in suits, leaving the Wizards short-handed as they attempt to avoid a losing season by winning a third straight. They’re also looking to split the season series with the Hawks, which would in turn do the Heat a solid if they’re unable to take care of business in Boston. Despite coming from the school of Popovich, Mike Budenholzer should have everybody available as Atlanta looks to claim a second consecutive Southeast Division title if it gets help from the Celtics. The Hawks will be shooting for their 109th win over a two-year stretch, the most prosperous run in franchise history.


Indiana at Milwaukee, 8:05 p.m. ET: After rallying to handle a Carmelo Anthony-less Knicks squad that hung 36 points in the first quarter, the Pacers benefited from Miami’s win in Auburn Hills, wrapping up the No. 7 and officially avoiding a first-round date with Cleveland. It remains to be seen who Frank Vogel turns to, but you can count on Paul George, Monta Ellis and George Hill sitting this one out. Ty Lawson has been effective of late, so this may be an opportunity for him to continue carving out playing time. The Bucks are 1-2 this season against the Pacers, winning in Indianapolis on Dec. 31. Giannis Antetokounmpo has slowed down of late after a monster run, but is still averaging 21.0 points 9.2 rebounds and 7.5 assists in April.

Detroit at Cleveland, 8:05 p.m. ET: These teams will turn around and face each other in an extremely meaningful playoff contest this weekend, so count on both teams going through the motions and displaying nothing of significance while playing very few regulars. Reggie Jackson missed Tuesday’s loss to Miami and will again sit with an ab strain, so look for Spencer Dinwiddie and Jordan McRae to play major roles. If you ever wanted to see Aron Baynes featured, defended by Sasha Kaun no less, this is your lucky day. The Pistons have won two of the three meetings between the teams so far.

Philadelphia at Chicago, 8:05 p.m. ET: The season comes to a merciful end for both of these teams. The 10-win 76ers are the NBA’s biggest travesty. The Bulls are its biggest underachivers. A win would allow Chicago to finish 42-40 in Fred Hoiberg’s first season, but considering this will be the worst mark since Vinny Del Negro went 41-41 in consecutive seasons before being let go in 2010, that’s not saying much. Jimmy Butler is choosing to play out the string because he feels he’s missed enough time as it is, having been absent for 15 games this season. Pau Gasol, Derrick Rose, Taj Gibson and E’Twuan Moore have all been ruled out. Philadelphia is headed for the second-worst finish in NBA history and will sport a 3-38 road record with another loss here. The ‘over’ has prevailed in the last three Sixers games.

Orlando at Charlotte, 8:05 p.m. ET: Nikola Vucevic sat out the Magic’s home finale with a bruised right leg and may sit this one out too. Fellow starters Victor Oladipo and Aaron Gordon have been out, stuck in concussion protocol, so the Magic are likely to be shorthanded as they face former assistant Steve Clifford as they aim to split the season series between these Southeast Division rivals. The Hornets lose the majority of tiebreakers so they’re looking at opening the postseason on the road as either the No. 5 or No. 6 seed. Nicolas Batum left Monday’s upset in Boston with a sprained ankle and likely won’t play here. F/C Cody Zeller is also probably out with a chest injury. The ‘over’ has hit in the last four Charlotte games.


Memphis at Golden State, 10:35 p.m. ET, ESPN: Every one of the Warriors wants to be a part of history, so odds are good that Steve Kerr will find a way to get everybody into this potentially historic game as they look for their record-setting 73rd win. The Grizzlies nearly defeated Memphis on Saturday night, squandering a substantial late lead and ultimately falling in OT. We’ll see how seriously the Grizzlies take this rematch when Tony Allen’s availability is determined. He sat out last night’s loss at the L.A. Clippers with a sore hamstring, so if he’s out there defending on the perimeter, you can bet the Griz are embracing being the potential gate-keepers of history. Barring a win and a Dallas loss, Memphis will be the No. 7 seed, opening the playoffs in San Antonio.


Utah at L.A. Lakers, 10:35 p.m. ET, ESPN2: Kobe Bryant’s farewell game is going to be riveting for that reason alone, but will only carry postseason implications if the Rockets failed to defeat depleted Sacramento. The Jazz will undoubtedly be watching pre-game, so they may be a dejected bunch with nothing to play for come tip-off. They’ll definitely be without center Rudy Gobert, who left Monday’s crippling home loss to Dallas with a badly sprained ankle and didn’t travel to L.A. Derrick Favors is playing through a knee injury, but came off the bench against the Mavs and is obviously not 100 percent. If Utah is eliminated, don’t expect to see him suit up. Bryant, who will likely get in 20-plus shots in this one for old time’s sake, will be out there as long as he wants to be, according to head coach Byron Scott. Bryant scored 35 points, his second-largest output of the season, in just 27 minutes in Sunday’s 130-110 loss in Houston. He’ll want to put on one last show at Staples and will probably play over 35 minutes for the first time since early December. Monty McCutchen, David Guthrie and ex-guard turned ref Haywoode Workman will officiate his final game.


Denver at Portland, 10:35 p.m. ET: The Trail Blazers would lose a tie-breaker to the Mavericks if the teams finish with identical records, so they need a home win here to wrap up the No. 5 seed. The Nuggets are unlikely to play Kenneth Faried, who has sat out the past two games. Denver has lost two of its last eight games and is 1-2 against Portland this season.


L.A. Clippers at Phoenix, 10:35 p.m. ET: Following last night's dominant win over Memphis, Doc Rivers announced that Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, DeAndre Jordan, J.J. Redick, Paul Pierce and Jamal Crawford will all sit here. The Suns could fall into their third victory in four tries to end the season, which would help avoid a 60th loss.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA ATS


NBA > (723) MEMPHIS@ (724) GOLDEN STATE | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Play ON MEMPHIS against the spread in All games after allowing 105 points or more
The record is 19 Wins and 5 Losses for the this season (+13.5 units)


NBA > (705) NEW ORLEANS@ (706) MINNESOTA | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play AGAINST MINNESOTA against the spread in Home games when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 9 Wins and 28 Losses for the last two seasons (-21.8 units)


NBA > (723) MEMPHIS@ (724) GOLDEN STATE | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Play ON MEMPHIS against the spread in Road games after allowing 105 points or more
The record is 11 Wins and 1 Losses for the this season (+9.9 units)

NBA > (715) PHILADELPHIA@ (716) CHICAGO | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play AGAINST CHICAGO against the spread in All games after a non-conference game
The record is 8 Wins and 21 Losses for the this season (-15.1 units)


NBA > (709) ATLANTA@ (710) WASHINGTON | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play ON WASHINGTON against the spread in All games in April games
The record is 23 Wins and 7 Losses for the last three seasons (+15.3 units)

NBA > (721) UTAH@ (722) LA LAKERS | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Play ON UTAH against the spread in All games off a upset loss as a favorite
The record is 10 Wins and 1 Losses for the this season (+8.9 units)


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NBA MONEYLINE


NBA > (705) NEW ORLEANS@ (706) MINNESOTA | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play AGAINST MINNESOTA using money line in Home games after allowing 105 points or more
The record is 10 Wins and 33 Losses for the last two seasons (-29 units)


NBA > (705) NEW ORLEANS@ (706) MINNESOTA | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play AGAINST MINNESOTA using money line in Home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 13 Wins and 37 Losses for the last two seasons (-31.05 units)

NBA > (727) LA CLIPPERS@ (728) PHOENIX | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Play AGAINST PHOENIX using money line in All games in home games
The record is 13 Wins and 24 Losses for the this season (-25.5 units)


NBA > (725) DENVER@ (726) PORTLAND | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Play ON PORTLAND using money line in Home games off a upset loss as a favorite
The record is 19 Wins and 3 Losses for the last three seasons (+16.7 units)


NBA > (701) SACRAMENTO@ (702) HOUSTON | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play AGAINST SACRAMENTO using money line in Road games against Southwest division opponents
The record is 16 Wins and 87 Losses for the since 1992 (-63.35 units)


NBA > (721) UTAH@ (722) LA LAKERS | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Play ON UTAH using money line in All games off a upset loss as a favorite
The record is 10 Wins and 1 Losses for the this season (+10.1 units)


NBA > (703) SAN ANTONIO@ (704) DALLAS | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play ON SAN ANTONIO using money line in All games when playing on back-to-back days
The record is 24 Wins and 8 Losses for the last two seasons (+17.45 units)

NBA > (717) MIAMI@ (718) BOSTON | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play ON MIAMI using money line in Road games against Atlantic division opponents
The record is 13 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+14.1 units)


NBA > (715) PHILADELPHIA@ (716) CHICAGO | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play AGAINST PHILADELPHIA using money line in All games second half of the season
The record is 3 Wins and 24 Losses for the this season (-20.95 units)


NBA > (721) UTAH@ (722) LA LAKERS | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Play AGAINST LA LAKERS using money line in Home games against Northwest division opponents
The record is 2 Wins and 13 Losses for the last two seasons (-13.25 units)


NBA > (725) DENVER@ (726) PORTLAND | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Play AGAINST DENVER using money line in All games after scoring 85 points or less
The record is 5 Wins and 18 Losses for the last three seasons (-18 units)

NBA > (709) ATLANTA@ (710) WASHINGTON | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play ON WASHINGTON using money line in All games in April games
The record is 22 Wins and 8 Losses for the last three seasons (+18.2 units)


------------------


NBA FIRST HALF


NBA > (703) SAN ANTONIO@ (704) DALLAS | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play ON SAN ANTONIO ?>in the first halfin All games versus the 1rst half line in road games
The record is 28 Wins and 11 Losses for the this season (+15.9 units)


NBA > (727) LA CLIPPERS@ (728) PHOENIX | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Play AGAINST PHOENIX ?>in the first halfin All games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 15 Wins and 34 Losses for the this season (-22.4 units)


NBA > (721) UTAH@ (722) LA LAKERS | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Play AGAINST LA LAKERS ?>in the first halfin Home games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 8 Wins and 23 Losses for the this season (-17.3 units)


NBA > (727) LA CLIPPERS@ (728) PHOENIX | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Play AGAINST PHOENIX ?>in the first halfin All games versus the first half line in all games
The record is 28 Wins and 52 Losses for the this season (-29.2 units)


NBA > (721) UTAH@ (722) LA LAKERS | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Play AGAINST LA LAKERS ?>in the first halfin All games after a loss by 10 points or more
The record is 13 Wins and 30 Losses for the this season (-20 units)

NBA > (701) SACRAMENTO@ (702) HOUSTON | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play AGAINST HOUSTON ?>in the first halfin Home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game
The record is 7 Wins and 20 Losses for the this season (-15 units)

NBA > (713) DETROIT@ (714) CLEVELAND | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play ON CLEVELAND ?>in the first halfin All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 49 Wins and 24 Losses for the last two seasons (+22.6 units)


NBA > (725) DENVER@ (726) PORTLAND | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Play ON PORTLAND ?>in the first halfin Home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 20 Wins and 6 Losses for the last two seasons (+13.4 units)

NBA > (717) MIAMI@ (718) BOSTON | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play ON MIAMI ?>in the first halfin Road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 21 Wins and 8 Losses for the this season (+12.2 units)


NBA > (713) DETROIT@ (714) CLEVELAND | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play ON CLEVELAND ?>in the first halfin All games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season
The record is 34 Wins and 15 Losses for the last two seasons (+17.5 units)

NBA > (701) SACRAMENTO@ (702) HOUSTON | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play AGAINST HOUSTON ?>in the first halfin All games versus the first half line in all games
The record is 30 Wins and 50 Losses for the this season (-25 units)


-------------------


NBA TOTALS


NBA > (721) UTAH@ (722) LA LAKERS | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Play UNDER UTAH on the totalin Road games when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 7 Overs and 32 Unders for the last two seasons (+24.3 units)

NBA > (709) ATLANTA@ (710) WASHINGTON | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the totalin All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game
The record is 14 Overs and 42 Unders for the this season (+26.6 units)


NBA > (709) ATLANTA@ (710) WASHINGTON | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the totalin All games versus the first half line in all games
The record is 24 Overs and 56 Unders for the this season (+29.6 units)


NBA > (705) NEW ORLEANS@ (706) MINNESOTA | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play UNDER NEW ORLEANS on the totalin Road games revenging a home loss vs opponent
The record is 8 Overs and 32 Unders for the last three seasons (+23.2 units)


NBA > (715) PHILADELPHIA@ (716) CHICAGO | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play OVER CHICAGO on the totalin All games against Atlantic division opponents
The record is 26 Overs and 7 Unders for the last two seasons (+18.3 units)


NBA > (727) LA CLIPPERS@ (728) PHOENIX | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Play UNDER PHOENIX on the totalin All games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 14 Overs and 35 Unders for the this season (+19.6 units)


NBA > (703) SAN ANTONIO@ (704) DALLAS | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play UNDER SAN ANTONIO on the totalin Road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 27 Overs and 67 Unders for the last three seasons (+37.3 units)


NBA > (727) LA CLIPPERS@ (728) PHOENIX | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Play UNDER PHOENIX on the totalin All games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 10 Overs and 28 Unders for the this season (+17 units)

NBA > (705) NEW ORLEANS@ (706) MINNESOTA | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Play OVER MINNESOTA on the totalin All games against Southwest division opponents
The record is 26 Overs and 8 Unders for the last two seasons (+17.2 units)


--------------------


TOP POWER LINES


Users of our matchup reports are familiar with our Power Line ratings, calculated using both teams' ratings and home field advantage. The Top Power Lines tool offers a way to view and compare current Power Lines in one simple report, as well as the Power Line Edge, where the Power Line differs significantly from the current line.


NBA > (701) SACRAMENTO @ (702) HOUSTON | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Line: SACRAMENTO BTB PowerLine: SACRAMENTO-7
Edge On: SACRAMENTO (8)


NBA > (715) PHILADELPHIA @ (716) CHICAGO | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Line: PHILADELPHIA BTB PowerLine: PHILADELPHIA-8
Edge On: PHILADELPHIA (3)


NBA > (719) ORLANDO @ (720) CHARLOTTE | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Line: ORLANDO BTB PowerLine: ORLANDO-7
Edge On: ORLANDO (2)


NBA > (717) MIAMI @ (718) BOSTON | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Line: MIAMI BTB PowerLine: MIAMI1
Edge On: MIAMI (6)


NBA > (711) INDIANA @ (712) MILWAUKEE | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Line: INDIANA BTB PowerLine: INDIANA5
Edge On: INDIANA (10)


NBA > (707) TORONTO @ (708) BROOKLYN | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Line: TORONTO BTB PowerLine: TORONTO14
Edge On: TORONTO (9)


NBA > (713) DETROIT @ (714) CLEVELAND | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Line: CLEVELAND-1.5 BTB PowerLine: CLEVELAND-9
Edge On: CLEVELAND (7.5)


NBA > (703) SAN ANTONIO @ (704) DALLAS | 2016-04-13 20:05:00 - 2016-04-13 20:05:00
Line: SAN ANTONIO BTB PowerLine: SAN ANTONIO0
Edge On: SAN ANTONIO (4.5)


NBA > (725) DENVER @ (726) PORTLAND | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Line: DENVER BTB PowerLine: DENVER-8
Edge On: DENVER (1.5)


NBA > (721) UTAH @ (722) LA LAKERS | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Line: UTAH BTB PowerLine: UTAH15
Edge On: UTAH (9.5)


NBA > (723) MEMPHIS @ (724) GOLDEN STATE | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Line: MEMPHIS BTB PowerLine: MEMPHIS-15
Edge On: MEMPHIS (4)


NBA > (727) LA CLIPPERS @ (728) PHOENIX | 2016-04-13 22:35:00 - 2016-04-13 22:35:00
Line: LA CLIPPERS BTB PowerLine: LA CLIPPERS10
Edge On: LA CLIPPERS (15)

 

[CNOTES]

4/12 Results: 5 - 1
Overall 47 - 46




WEDNESDAY, APRIL 13


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS




ATL at WAS 08:00 PM


WAS +7.0


U 209.5


IND at MIL 08:00 PM


IND +4.5


O 201.5


TOR at BK 08:00 PM


TOR -5.0


U 207.0


MIA at BOS 08:00 PM


BOS -4.5


U 204.5


SA at DAL 08:00 PM


DAL -4.5


U 187.5


NO at MIN 08:00 PM


MIN -9.5


O 213.0


SAC at HOU 08:00 PM


SAC +16.0


O 221.0


ORL at CHA 08:00 PM


ORL +8.0


U 210.0


DET at CLE 08:00 PM

CLE -3.5


U 195.5


PHI at CHI 08:00 PM


PHI +9.5


O 209.0


LAC at PHO 10:30 PM


LAC +5.5


O 205.5


DEN at POR 10:30 PM


DEN +10.5


O 216.5


UTA at LAL 10:30 PM


LAL +4.5


U 194.5


MEM at GS 10:30 PM


MEM +17.5


U 213.0

 

[CNOTES]

Record season for NBA in stands, screens
April 14, 2016


NEW YORK (AP) The NBA had a record-setting season in the stands and on the screens.


The league said Thursday it broke its attendance mark for the second straight season, drawing nearly 22 million fans in 2015-16.


The average attendance of 17,864 also was a record, including the 723 sellouts and 94 percent average arena capacity.


NBA TV had its most viewers this season as part of a year of growth for NBA Digital.


The network averaged 345,000 total viewers during the regular season, a 19 percent increase over 2014-15. It drew a record number of viewers for its April 10 tripleheader, highlighted by Golden State's victory over San Antonio in the nightcap.


That game drew an average of 2.6 million viewers, the most for a game on NBA TV.


NBA Digital also says NBA League Pass, NBA.com and the NBA App had increases in views, visits and downloads. It says the 9.1 billion video views on the website and app was a 160 percent increase over last season.

 

[CNOTES]

1st Round Cheat Sheet
April 14, 2016




SU - Straight Up, ATS - Against the Spread


No. 1 Cleveland (57-25 SU, 37-43-2 ATS vs. No. 8 Detroit (44-38 SU, 42-37-3 ATS)


2015-16 Regular Season (Pistons 3-1)
Nov 17 Cavaliers at Pistons (+4.5) 104-99 Over (195.5)
Jan 29 Cavaliers (-4) at Pistons 114-106 Over (207.5)
Feb 22 Cavaliers vs. Pistons (+9) 96-88 Under (207.5)
Apr 13 Cavaliers vs. Pistons (+4) 112-110 Over (194)


Home Records (SU/ATS)
Cleveland: 33-8-0, 20-21
Detroit: 26-15, 24-15-2


Away Records (SU/ATS)
Cleveland: 24-17, 17-22-2
Detroit: 18-23, 18-22


Current Form (Record Since All-Star Break)
Cleveland: 19-11 SU, 14-16 ATS, 15-14 O/U
Detroit: 17-11 SU, 15-12-1 ATS, 13-14-1 O/U


No. 2 Toronto (56-26 SU, 44-37-1 ATS) vs. No. 7 Indiana (45-37 SU, 42-40 ATS)


2015-16 Regular Season Raptors (3-1)
Oct 28 Raptors (-5.5) vs. Pacers 106-99 Over (199.5)
Dec 14 Raptors at Pacers (-4.5) 106-90 Under (200)
Mar 17 Raptors (+2) at Pacers 101-94 Under (203.5)
Apr 8 Raptors (-5) vs. Pacers 111-98 Over (193.5)


Home Records (SU/ATS)
Toronto: 32-9, 23-18
Indiana: 26-15, 21-20


Away Records (SU/ATS)
Toronto: 24-17, 21-19-1
Indiana: 19-22, 21-20


Current Form (Record Since All-Star Break)
Toronto: 21-9 SU, 16-14 ATS, 16-14 O/U
Indiana: 17-12 SU, 15-14 ATS, 11-18 O/U


No. 3 Miami (48-34 SU, 43-38-1 ATS) vs. No. 6 Charlotte (48-34 SU, 42-38-2 ATS)


2015-16 Regular Season (2-2)
Oct 28 Heat (-6.5) vs. Hornets 104-94 Over (194)
Dec 9 Heat at Hornets (+1) 99-81 Under (192)
Feb 5 Heat (+4) at Hornets 98-95 Under (194.5)
Mar 17 Heat vs. Hornets (+4.5) 109-106 Over (208)


Home Records (SU/ATS)
Miami: 28-13, 20-20-1
Charlotte: 30-11, 21-18-2


Away Records (SU/ATS)
Miami: 20-21, 20-21
Charlotte: 18-23, 21-20


Current Form (Record Since All-Star Break)
Miami: 19-10 SU, 17-12 ATS, 16-13 O/U
Charlotte: 21-8 SU, 16-13 ATS, 16-13 O/U


No. 4 Atlanta (48-34 SU, 41-39-2 ATS) vs. No. 5 Boston (48-34 SU, 41-39-2 ATS)


2015-16 Regular Season Hawks (3-1)
Nov 13 Hawks at Boston Celtics (+1.5) 106-93 Under (206.5)
Nov 24 Hawks (-2.5) vs. Boston Celtics 121-97 Over (204.5)
Dec 18 Hawks (+3.5) at Boston Celtics Won 109-101 Over (206.5)
Apr 9 Hawks (-5) vs. Boston Celtics Won 118-107 Over (207.5)


Home Records (SU/ATS)
Atlanta: 27-14, 21-19-1
Boston: 28-13, 22-17-2


Away Records (SU/ATS)
Atlanta: 21-20, 20-20-1
Boston: 20-21, 19-22

Current Form (Record Since All-Star Break)
Boston: 16-11 SU, 11-16 ATS, 12-15 O/U
Atlanta: 17-10 SU, 15-12 ATS, 11-15-1 O/U


No. 1 Golden State (73-9 SU, 43-36-3 ATS) vs. No. 8 Houston (41-41 SU, 37-45 ATS)


2015-16 Regular Season (Warriors 3-0)
Oct 30 Warriors (-1) at Rockets 112-92 Under (216.5)
Dec 31 Warriors (-3.5) at Rockets 114-110 Over (211)
Feb 9 Warriors (-14) vs. Rockets 123-110 Over (229.5)


Home Records (SU/ATS)
Golden State: 39-2, 20-19-2
Houston: 23-18, 17-24


Away Records (SU/ATS)
Golden State: 34-7, 23-17-1
Houston: 18-23, 20-21

Current Form (Record Since All-Star Break)
Golden State: 25-5 SU, 14-15-1 ATS, 15-14-1 O/U
Houston: 14-13 SU, 14-13 ATS, 15-12 O/U


No. 2 San Antonio (67-15 SU, 43-38-1 ATS) vs. No. 7 Memphis (42-40 SU, 41-39-2 ATS)


2015-16 Regular Season (Spurs 4-0)
Nov 21 Spurs (-8) vs. Grizzlies 92-82 Under (190)
Dec 3 Spurs (-3) at Grizzlies 103-83 Over (183)
Mar 25 Spurs (-13) vs. Grizzlies 110-104 Over (190.5)
Mar 28 Spurs (-5.5) at Grizzlies 101-87 Under (193)


Home Records (SU/ATS)
San Antonio: 40-1, 22-18-1
Memphis: 26-15, 22-18-1


Away Records (SU/ATS)
San Antonio: 27-14, 21-20
Memphis: 16-25, 19-21-1


Current Form (Record Since All-Star Break)
San Antonio: 22-7 SU, 10-19 ATS, 10-19 O/U
Memphis: 11-18 SU, 16-13 ATS, 16-13 O/U


No. 3 Oklahoma City (55-27 SU, 37-43-2 ATS) vs. No. 6 Dallas (42-40 SU, 44-37-1 ATS)


2015-16 Regular Season (Thunder 4-0)
Nov 22 Thunder (-3.5) vs. Mavericks 117-114 Over (208.5)
Jan 13 Thunder (-12.5) vs. Mavericks 108-89 Under (207)
Jan 22 Thunder (-6.5) at Mavericks 109-106 Over (208)
Feb 24 Thunder (-5.5) at Mavericks Won 116-103 Over (215)

Home Records (SU/ATS)
Oklahoma City: 32-9, 21-20
Dallas: 23-18, 22-18-1


Away Records (SU/ATS)
Oklahoma City: 23-18, 16-23-2
Dallas: 19-22, 22-19

Current Form (Record Since All-Star Break)
Oklahoma City: 15-14 SU, 15-12-2 ATS, 15-14 O/U
Dallas: 13-14 SU, 14-12-1 ATS, 14-13 O/U


No. 4 L.A. Clippers (53-29 SU, 40-38-4 ATS) vs. No. 5 Portland (44-38 SU, 44-38 ATS)


2015-16 Regular Season (Clippers 3-1)
Nov 20 Clippers at Trail Blazers (-4.5) 91-102 Under (210)
Nov 30 Clippers (-7) vs. Trail Blazers 102-87 Under (206)
Jan 6 Clippers (-3.5) at Trail Blazers 109-98 Over (205.5)
Mar 24 Clippers (-5.5) vs. Trail Blazers 96-94 Under (216)


Home Records (SU/ATS)
L.A. Clippers: 29-12, 20-20-1
Portland: 28-13, 21-20


Away Records (SU/ATS)
L.A. Clippers: 24-17, 20-18-3
Portland: 16-25, 23-18


Current Form (Record Since All-Star Break)
L.A. Clippers: 18-12 SU, 14-15 ATS, 10-19 O/U
Portland: 17-11 SU, 14-14 ATS, 15-13 O/U

 

[CNOTES]

1st Round Betting Angles
April 14, 2016




Opening Round Betting Strategies

With help from our trusted well-oiled database, let’s examine four time-tested proven theories that have lined our pocket during the opening round of playoffs since 1991.


Here’s what the machine has to say.

No. 8 Seeds Are Behind The 8-Ball

For the most part, No. 8 seeds in the NBA playoffs are teams that likely scratched and clawed their way into the post-season. Not good enough to be seriously considered threats against top-seeded opponents but just barely better than the dregs of the league.

Rest assured, their life expectancy is not long at all, as they’ve lost over 70% of time (54-133 straight up) in games against No. 1 seeds since 1996. In fact, only the 1996 New York Knicks, the 2007 Golden State Warriors and the 2012 Philadelphia 76ers were good enough to pull the rug on top seeded foes and advance to the second round of the playoffs.

And you can virtually write them off in games against No. 1 seeds that are off back-to-back SU and ATS wins. These guys scratch like an roaming 8-ball in the side pocket, going 4-25 SU and 9-20 against the spread, including 0-16 SU and 2-14 ATS whenever the 8-ballers are off a spread loss of 4 or more points in their last game.

Upset Losers Are Winners

No, it’s not an oxymoron. Instead, it’s a powerful handicapping edge. It occurs whenever a team was upset as a favorite in an opening round game and is at home in the game immediately thereafter.

That’s confirmed by the fact that they are 90-24 SU and 68-42-4, a rock solid number. And if they are squaring off against a No. 6 or lower seed they improve to 48-6 SU and 38-16-2 ATS – including 15-2-2 ATS when favored by less than 8 points..

Don’t be afraid of these chalkbusters. That’s because they don’t lose their composure. Instead they almost always dig down deep and respond with aplomb in games after being embarrassed.

Double-Digit Dogma

Surprisingly, in the right role, double-digit underdogs do well in opening round contests, especially when playing off a playoff loss. These overweight puppies are 32-17-2 ATS in this role.

And if these same guys are involved in a game with the Over/Under total set at 193 or higher they zoom to 26-7 ATS, including 19-3 ATS when facing a non-division foe.

Granted, these dogs are not exactly pedigree puppies but the fact of the matter is they tend to come up big against disinterested favorites not capable of chopping heavy lumber.

And Down Goes Frazier

The psyche of teams that are not playing well comes immediately to the surface during the opening round of the NBA playoffs. That’s evidenced by the fact that teams riding a three game-exact loss skein are wobbly and oftentimes one punch away from being counted out.

With glass-like jaws, these swirling teams are just 46-63 SU and 44-61-4 ATS away from home this round, including 7-11 SU and 6-12 ATS in lid-lifters.

Worst of all, road dogs of more than six points on a three game exact losing skid are 3-27 SU and 8-22 ATS on their way to the canvas.

Trending

Defending champions (the Golden State Warriors in this case) are 74-33 SU and 59-44-4 ATS in opening round games the next season, including 16-8 SU and 15-8-1 ATS in Game One of Round One. They are, however, just 5-9 ATS as double-digit chalk in this round.

Enjoy the opening round of the 2016 NBA playoffs.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack


Tubby Smith is the new Memphis State coach; here is his resume:


1991-95-- Tulsa 79-40, 52-20 in conference, two Sweet 16's


1995-97-- Georgia 45-19, 19-13 in SEC. Made NCAAs both years.


1997-2007-- Kentucky 263-83, 120-40 in SEC. Won national title in his first year, missed Sweet 16 in three of his last four in Lexington.


2007-12-- Minnesota 124-81, 46-62 in Big 14. Made NCAAs three of six years.


2013-16-- Texas Tech-- 46-50, 18-36 in Big X. Made NCAAs once in three years.


2016--present-- Memphis-- Has to deal with a spoiled, entitled fanbase.


**********


Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here.........


13) Here is one example of how the coaching carousel works and how it can be very strange:
-- Georgia Tech fired Brian Gregory after the season.
-- Memphis was so disgusted by Josh Pastner's 167-73 record that they helped him leave for Georgia Tech, even supplementing his salary at Tech for two years.
-- Memphis then hired Tubby Smith away from Texas Tech, paying Tech his buyout of $1M (that becomes important fairly soon).
-- UNLV fired Dave Rice January 10, but buitchered theor coaching search so badly that they still don't have a coach- they had finally hired Chris Beard last week (in his one year at Little Rock, he won 30+ games and an NCAA tourney game, but Beard is now at Texas Tech, where he previously spent a lomg time as an assistant.
-- Rumors as I type this are that Marvin Menzies will be UNLV's next coach; he has a 198-111 record in nine years at New Mexico State in the WAC, a once-proud league that is now one of the worst leagues in America (#27 out of 31).


So UNLV might not be going thru any of this mess had Georgia Tech not fired its coach, thats how weird some of this stuff gets.


12) Two years ago, Chris Beard made $70,000 as the coach at Angelo State in Texas; he made $236K this year at Little Rock, was going to make $1.15M or so at UNLV this fall, now he'll make over $2M a year a Texas Tech, which ain't an easy job, seeing as most of other schools in Big X all have heavyweight, Hall-of-Fame type coaches.


Beard lasted less than a week at UNLV; he has been quite a vagabond in his coaching career, but Texas seems like home for him. Texas Tech is a harder job than UNLV is though, tougher league. At UNLV, they care a lot about basketball; at Texas Tech, it is something to do between football season and spring football.


11) Barry Anderson lives in Chicago; he is quitting his job after 12 years-- who is this guy? For the last 12 years, Mr Anderson has worn the Benny the Bull costume at Chicago Bull games. Now a new Benny has to be trained; not as easy as it looks.


10) Brooklyn Nets fired their trainer, who had been with the club for 16 years and their VP of Communications, who had been there for 23 years. It can be a cruel world sometimes-- apparently the Nets want a fresh start from top to bottom.


9) East Tennessee State coach Steve Forbes called Penny Hardaway "the best high school player I've ever seen", high praise from a veteran coach. Hardaway is now a high school coach in the Memphis area, and tried for the Memphis State job.


8) NBA will put advertisements on its players' jerseys starting in 2017-18.


7) Stephen Curry scored 30.1 ppg in 34.2 minutes per game, the fewest minutes an NBA scoring champion has averaged in one season.


6) Kike Hernandez is now 10-16 with three homers off Madison Bumgarner.


5) Indianapolis Colts requested not to have a bye week after their Week 4 London trip- they don't want their bye so early in the season- their wish was granted.


4) Mark Trumbo hit two homers in one inning (7th) last night, as Baltimore scofed nine times in 7th in an 11-5 win over the Rangers in Arlington.


3) Braves/Twins both came from behind to get their first wins of the season Friday.


2) Added an old movie scene to my list of all-time favorites last night.


In the 2002 movie The Rookie, based on a Texas high school teacher who reaches the major leagues as a relief pitcher, the scene where he is throwing in the bullpen and his wife and two kids yell down from the walkway to get his attwntion is just a great scene- imagine what a thrill it must have been for that guy. Just an excellent scene.


1) Movie trivia; First batter that Jim Morris faced in the majors was Texas SS Royce Clayton; nine years later, Clayton was an actor who played Miguel Tejada in the very fine baseball movie, Moneyball.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel


Saturday, April 16




Indiana @ Toronto


Game 501-502
April 16, 2016 @ 12:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
117.604
Toronto
126.288
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 8 1/2
190
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 6 1/2
195
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-6 1/2); Under


Houston @ Golden State


Game 503-504
April 16, 2016 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Houston
116.352
Golden State
133.390
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 17
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 13
226
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-13); Under


Boston @ Atlanta


Game 505-506
April 16, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Boston
118.464
Atlanta
121.893
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 3 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 5
204
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+5); Over


Dallas @ Oklahoma City


Game 507-508
April 16, 2016 @ 9:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
120.849
Oklahoma City
127.737
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 7
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 12
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+12); Over






NBA
Long Sheet


Saturday, April 16


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


INDIANA (45 - 37) at TORONTO (56 - 26) - 4/16/2016, 12:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
INDIANA is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 10-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 8-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOUSTON (41 - 41) at GOLDEN STATE (73 - 9) - 4/16/2016, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 37-45 ATS (-12.5 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 44-35 ATS (+5.5 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 93-70 ATS (+16.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 52-38 ATS (+10.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) against Southwest division opponents this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 55-40 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 33-23 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 48-35 ATS (+9.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 9-6 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 12-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOSTON (48 - 34) at ATLANTA (48 - 34) - 4/16/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 97-79 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 72-58 ATS (+8.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 130-97 ATS (+23.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
ATLANTA is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
BOSTON is 90-75 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 54-36 ATS (+14.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 54-40 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-5 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-4 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DALLAS (42 - 40) at OKLAHOMA CITY (55 - 27) - 4/16/2016, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 37-50 ATS (-18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 346-278 ATS (+40.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 462-383 ATS (+40.7 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) against Northwest division opponents this season.
DALLAS is 182-143 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-44 ATS (-13.4 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 22-31 ATS (-12.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-5 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------








NBA


Saturday, April 16


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


12:30 PM
INDIANA vs. TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Indiana's last 23 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games at home


3:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games
Golden State is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games


7:00 PM
BOSTON vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston


9:30 PM
DALLAS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Dallas is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet


Saturday, April 16


Indiana at Toronto, 12:35 ET
Indiana: 20-10 ATS after playing a game as an underdog
Toronto: 4-13 ATS after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread


Houston at Golden State, 3:35 ET
Houston: 6-18 ATS after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6
Golden State: 23-10 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more


Boston at Atlanta, 7:05 ET
Boston: 51-34 ATS after playing a game as favorite
Atlanta: 39-21 UNDER in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders


Dallas at Oklahoma City, 9:35 ET
Dallas: 13-4 ATS against Northwest division opponents
Oklahoma City: 6-14 ATS after game where they made 85% of free throws or better

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up


Saturday, April 16


Indiana-Toronto (0-0)
Raptors won seven of last eight games with Indiana; Toronto has covered nine of last ten series games- six of last eight went over total. Pacers won six of last eight overall, three of last four on the road; they missed playoffs LY but are 5-2 in last seven first round series. Toronto lost its last five first round series; last time they won a first round series was 2001. Raptors won seven of last nine games overall, covering five of last seven.

Houston-Golden State (0-0)
Defending NBA champ Warriors had 73-9 regular season, now pressure is on; Golden State won nine of last 10 games (6-4 vs the spread) against Houston, covering last five played here. Rockets won last three games, also covered three of last four tries as an underdog. Warriors won title LY, are in playoffs for 4th year in a row, after making it once in 18 years. Houaton is 2-8 in first round series the last 19 years, but they did make Western finals LY.


Boston-Atlanta (0-0)
Celtics are in playoffs for 8th time in last nine years; they lost last two first round series, with last win in 2012. Boston lost last three games with the Hawks, with all three going over total- Celtics are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits here. Atlanta lost four of its last five games; four of its last six games stayed under total. Celtics won five of their last seven games, but covered only one of last six road games. Hawks are 3-2 vs spread in last five at home.


Dallas-Oklahoma City (0-0)
Billy Donovan's first NBA playoff game as a coach; Thunder won last four games with Dallas, but Mavericks are 6-4 vs spread last 10 vs OKC. Seven of last nine series games went over. Dallas won seven of last nine games, covered four of last five as a dog- 7 of last 9 Dallas games stayed under total. Mavericks are 2-6 in last eight first round series, but won NBA title in 2011- they haven't won playoff series since. Oklahoma City missed playoffs LY but won last four first round playoff series.

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday's NBA playoffs betting preview and odds


Russell Westbrook and the Thunder open their playoffs hosting the Mavericks Saturday night.


The NBA playoffs tip off Saturday, beginning in Toronto and ending in Oklahoma City. Meanwhile, Golden State continues their historic season with a postseason mactchup against Houston.

Indiana Pacers at Toronto Raptors (-6.5, 194)


The Toronto Raptors felt they were ready to take a step forward in last season's playoffs but were instead swept in four games by the Washington Wizards. Second-seeded Toronto again attempts to climb upward when it opens the playoffs on Saturday against the seventh-seeded Indiana Pacers after winning a club-record 56 regular-season games.


That horrid showing a season ago lingers over a franchise that hasn't won a playoff series since 2001. "That experience is huge, and I keep talking about that to you guys, that everybody talks about 'Oh you got swept, you got whupped last year in the playoffs,'" coach Dwane Casey told reporters. "Yeah we did, but the experience factor was huge. I always say you've got to go through something to get to where you want to go, and last year was our something." Toronto closed the regular season with five wins in six games and Indiana also was stellar down the stretch by winning six of its last seven. Pacers All-Star small forward Paul George struggled in four games against Toronto this season by shooting just 30.8 percent from the field while averaging 16.3 points, well below his season mark of 23.1.


TV: 12:30 p.m. ET, ESPN, Sportsnet One (Toronto)



ABOUT THE PACERS (45-37, 41-40-1 ATS, 37-45 O/U): Indiana needs to find some complimentary scoring if George again gets bottled up by the Raptors. Shooting guard Monta Ellis is no longer a bona fide scorer despite ranking second on the team in scoring (13.8) and the best frontcourt option is backup rookie power forward Myles Turner (10.3), who has cooled down recently after a strong six-week stretch that ended in late February. "There is such a thing as the rookie wall and I think he hit that," point guard George Hill told reporters. “Everybody hits that wall. That wall don't move. He just has to keep continuing to work on his craft, keep getting up shots, and it will take care of itself."


ABOUT THE RAPTORS (56-26, 45-37 ATS, 42-39-1 O/U): Toronto will be relying on the All-Star backcourt combo of shooting guard DeMar DeRozan (23.5) and point guard Kyle Lowry (21.2 points, 6.4 assists) to lead the way out of the opening round. The two standouts mesh well together and may receive a boost from small forward DeMarre Carroll, who recently returned after missing more than three months due to right knee surgery. Carroll is a solid defender when at his best but it remains to be seen how well he will fit in offensively after the long absence.


TRENDS:


* Pacers are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 games playing on two days rest.
* Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.
* Under is 7-1 in Pacers last eight games following a ATS win.
* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Toronto.






Houston Rockets at Golden State Warriors (-13, 225)


The Golden State Warriors just finished up the best regular season in NBA history and try to quickly turn the page to the playoffs and defending their NBA Championship. The Warriors will begin their quest for two in a row in Game 1 on Saturday by hosting the Houston Rockets, who barely scraped their way into the postseason after making it all the way to the Western Conference finals last season.


Golden State picked up win No. 73 in the season finale on Wednesday to break the record set by the 1995-96 Chicago Bulls and end a final month that featured some uneven play as the pressure mounted. The Warriors repeatedly suggested during the chase for 73 wins that a second championship remained the biggest goal, and the team will enter the playoffs healthy despite pushing hard over the final two weeks. The Rockets pushed to the finish line as well in order to outlast the Utah Jazz for the final playoff spot on the last day of the season and close out a tumultuous regular season. “A lot of people wrote us off and thought we weren’t going to make the playoffs and here we are,” Houston star James Harden told reporters. “So, we’re going to take it one game at a time and we’re facing guys we played in the Western Conference finals, and obviously they’re playing well and we are too."


TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC


ABOUT THE ROCKETS (41-41, 37-45 ATS, 47-35 O/U): Houston fired coach Kevin McHale less than a month into the season, dealt with trade rumors and reported disgruntlement from center Dwight Howard and battled inconsistency throughout the campaign before posting wins in three straight to close out the season and overcome a two-game deficit for the No. 8 spot. “With any situation any human being is in, when their back is against the wall, you’ll never know how strong you are until you have to be strong,” point guard Patrick Beverley told ESPN.com. “That’s the position we were in and it made us play some of the best basketball we’ve played all season.” The Rockets won their final three games by a total of 79 points, though the wins came against non-playoff teams in the Los Angeles Lakers, Minnesota Timberwolves and Sacramento Kings.


ABOUT THE WARRIORS (73-9, 45-35-2 ATS, 45-36-1 O/U): Golden State was led all season by reigning MVP Stephen Curry, who capped his historic campaign by burying 10 3-pointers on Wednesday to bring his total to 402. The star point guard, who is the only player in history to ever connect on 300 3-pointers in a season, averaged 30.1 points and prompted his coach Steve Kerr to gush to reporters: “He just had one of the most amazing seasons anyone has had in the history of the league.” Curry and his star teammates are the overwhelming favorites to repeat as champions and won all three regular-season meetings with the Rockets after knocking them off in five games in the Western Conference finals last spring.


TRENDS:


* Rockets are 8-1 ATS in their last nine Conference Quarterfinals games.
* Warriors are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
* Under is 5-1 in Rockets last six road games.
* Over is 4-0 in Warriors last four home games.






Boston Celtics at Atlanta Hawks (-5.5, 204)


The mad scramble for the No. 3 seed in the Eastern Conference ended with the Miami Heat, Atlanta Hawks, Boston Celtics and Charlotte Hornets all finishing with identical records, leaving tiebreakers to decide the seeds. The fourth-seeded Hawks will have homecourt advantage when they host Game 1 against the fifth-seeded Celtics on Saturday.


The Heat took the third seed based on divisional tiebreakers giving them the Southeast and Atlanta landed the No. 4 spot thanks to its head-to-head records against Boston and Charlotte, setting up a series with no clear favorite. The Celtics caused the tiebreaker scenario on the final day of the regular season by overcoming a 24-point deficit to defeat Miami and bring that momentum into Game 1. “We're just going to play as hard as we can,” guard Avery Bradley told reporters. “We have to be that hard-nosed, grind team that plays hard every single possession.” The Hawks dropped their final two regular-season games and four of the last seven but logged a key 118-107 home victory over Boston in that span and finished with a 27-14 home record.


TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN, CSN New England (Boston), FSN Southeast (Atlanta)



ABOUT THE CELTICS (48-34, 42-39-1 ATS, 39-43 O/U): Boston was pushing hard for homecourt advantage and is just 20-21 on the road but did not seem to be fretting about its trip to Atlanta after the win on Wednesday. “What more could you ask for than a chance? Play here, play there, play anywhere – let’s go compete,” Celtics coach Brad Stevens told reporters. All-Star guard Isaiah Thomas will need to quickly turn around a shooting slump that caused him to go 16-of-47 from the field over the final three games, beginning with a 6-of-19 effort in the loss at Atlanta on Apr. 9.

ABOUT THE HAWKS (48-34, 42-39-1 ATS, 38-44 O/U): Atlanta was the top-seeded team in the Eastern Conference at this time last spring but took a little longer to get started in 2015-16. The Hawks began to look like a contender again in the second half and ended up leading the league in defensive field goal percentage (43.2) while using a 14-3 stretch from Feb. 26 to March 28 to vault themselves into contention for homecourt advantage in the first round. “It’s time,” Hawks coach Mike Budenholzer told reporters. “Eighty-two games are done. This season starts now. It’s time to keep our heads up and start preparing and getting ready (for the playoffs).”


TRENDS:


* Celtics are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.
* Home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Under is 8-1 in Celtics last nine games following a ATS win.
* Under is 4-1 in Hawks last five games overall.





Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder (-11.5, 206.5)


The Oklahoma City Thunder flew under the radar as the third-best team in the Western Conference this season but are ready to make some noise in the postseason. The host Thunder start their quest to out-do Golden State and San Antonio in the West when they open the postseason against the sixth-seeded Dallas Mavericks on Saturday.


Oklahoma City is expected to roll through the Mavericks after winning all four regular-season meetings. This could be the Thunder's last chance to make a deep title run as All-Star small forward Kevin Durant is slated to become a free agent and there are clear indications that he's very much open to leaving Oklahoma City. Durant and All-Star point guard Russell Westbrook have carried the offense but Dallas played solid defense down the stretch by allowing fewer than 100 points in each of its last nine games, winning seven of them. "We stepped up to the occasion, especially shorthanded, so we've just got to continue to get healthy," Mavericks shooting guard Wesley Matthews told reporters. "Everybody is getting back together, and now we've just got that one focus of winning one game at a time."


TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN, FSN Oklahoma



ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (42-40, 45-36-1 ATS, 39-42-1 O/U): Dallas is in the postseason for the 15th time in 16 seasons and will be hoping that 37-year-old power forward Dirk Nowitzki can once again step up under the playoff pressure. Nowitzki has a career scoring average of 25.3 in 140 postseason games but his average this season was below 20 points for the third time in four seasons as he finished at 18.3. The top three point guards are all ailing - J.J. Barea (groin) had a recent hot streak prior to his injury and is expected to play, starter Deron Williams (sports hernia) will attempt to play through the ailment and reserve Devin Harris (thumb) is probable.


ABOUT THE THUNDER (55-27, 37-44-1 ATS, 39-43 O/U): Westbrook figures to test the Dallas point guards in Game 1 to get a feel for their fitness level and assess how much damage he can inflict. He recorded 18 triple-doubles in the regular season, which ties for third all-time with former Los Angeles Lakers great Magic Johnson (1981-82) and trails only two marks put up by legendary Wilt Chamberlain (31 and 24) during the 1960s. Durant and Westbrook will look for scoring help from their teammates and the best bet to step up is backup center Enes Kanter, who recorded a career-best 25 double-doubles despite averaging just 21 minutes.


TRENDS:


* Mavericks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
* Thunder are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games versus a team with a winning SU record.
* Over is 5-1 in Mavericks last six games following a SU loss.
* Over is 5-1 in Thunder last six Conference Quarterfinals games.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA


Saturday, April 16




Here's the top 5 NBA teams ATS heading into the playoffs


1. Warriors 45-35-2
2. Mavs 45-36-1
3. Raps 45-37
4. Spurs 44-38
5. Blazers 44-38



And the worst 5 NBA teams ATS heading into playoffs


1. Rockets 37-45
2. Thunder 37-44-1
3. Cavs 37-42-3
4. Pacers41-40-1
5. Clips 40-39-3

 

[barnstorm]

Just to credit or note the source, this is from a Marc Lawrence article. And thanks! Just what I was looking for. Hope we can also find something similar for the next rounds.

1st Round Betting Angles
April 14, 2016




Opening Round Betting Strategies

With help from our trusted well-oiled database, let’s examine four time-tested proven theories that have lined our pocket during the opening round of playoffs since 1991.


Here’s what the machine has to say.

No. 8 Seeds Are Behind The 8-Ball

For the most part, No. 8 seeds in the NBA playoffs are teams that likely scratched and clawed their way into the post-season. Not good enough to be seriously considered threats against top-seeded opponents but just barely better than the dregs of the league.

Rest assured, their life expectancy is not long at all, as they’ve lost over 70% of time (54-133 straight up) in games against No. 1 seeds since 1996. In fact, only the 1996 New York Knicks, the 2007 Golden State Warriors and the 2012 Philadelphia 76ers were good enough to pull the rug on top seeded foes and advance to the second round of the playoffs.

And you can virtually write them off in games against No. 1 seeds that are off back-to-back SU and ATS wins. These guys scratch like an roaming 8-ball in the side pocket, going 4-25 SU and 9-20 against the spread, including 0-16 SU and 2-14 ATS whenever the 8-ballers are off a spread loss of 4 or more points in their last game.

Upset Losers Are Winners

No, it’s not an oxymoron. Instead, it’s a powerful handicapping edge. It occurs whenever a team was upset as a favorite in an opening round game and is at home in the game immediately thereafter.

That’s confirmed by the fact that they are 90-24 SU and 68-42-4, a rock solid number. And if they are squaring off against a No. 6 or lower seed they improve to 48-6 SU and 38-16-2 ATS – including 15-2-2 ATS when favored by less than 8 points..

Don’t be afraid of these chalkbusters. That’s because they don’t lose their composure. Instead they almost always dig down deep and respond with aplomb in games after being embarrassed.

Double-Digit Dogma

Surprisingly, in the right role, double-digit underdogs do well in opening round contests, especially when playing off a playoff loss. These overweight puppies are 32-17-2 ATS in this role.

And if these same guys are involved in a game with the Over/Under total set at 193 or higher they zoom to 26-7 ATS, including 19-3 ATS when facing a non-division foe.

Granted, these dogs are not exactly pedigree puppies but the fact of the matter is they tend to come up big against disinterested favorites not capable of chopping heavy lumber.

And Down Goes Frazier

The psyche of teams that are not playing well comes immediately to the surface during the opening round of the NBA playoffs. That’s evidenced by the fact that teams riding a three game-exact loss skein are wobbly and oftentimes one punch away from being counted out.

With glass-like jaws, these swirling teams are just 46-63 SU and 44-61-4 ATS away from home this round, including 7-11 SU and 6-12 ATS in lid-lifters.

Worst of all, road dogs of more than six points on a three game exact losing skid are 3-27 SU and 8-22 ATS on their way to the canvas.

Trending

Defending champions (the Golden State Warriors in this case) are 74-33 SU and 59-44-4 ATS in opening round games the next season, including 16-8 SU and 15-8-1 ATS in Game One of Round One. They are, however, just 5-9 ATS as double-digit chalk in this round.

Enjoy the opening round of the 2016 NBA playoffs.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA ATS


NBA > (509) DETROIT@ (510) CLEVELAND | 2016-04-17 15:05:00 - 2016-04-17 15:05:00
Play ON DETROIT against the spread in All games after a division game
The record is 23 Wins and 7 Losses for the last two seasons (+15.3 units)

NBA > (513) MEMPHIS@ (514) SAN ANTONIO | 2016-04-17 20:05:00 - 2016-04-17 20:05:00
Play ON MEMPHIS against the spread in All games after allowing 105 points or more
The record is 19 Wins and 6 Losses for the this season (+12.4 units)


NBA > (505) BOSTON@ (506) ATLANTA | 2016-04-16 19:05:00 - 2016-04-16 19:05:00
Play ON BOSTON against the spread in Road games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 45 Wins and 20 Losses for the last three seasons (+23 units)


-----------------

NBA MONEYLINE


NBA > (513) MEMPHIS@ (514) SAN ANTONIO | 2016-04-17 20:05:00 - 2016-04-17 20:05:00
Play ON SAN ANTONIO using money line in Home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 20 Wins and 1 Losses for the this season (+18.35 units)


NBA > (501) INDIANA@ (502) TORONTO | 2016-04-16 12:35:00 - 2016-04-16 12:35:00
Play ON TORONTO using money line in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season
The record is 12 Wins and 1 Losses for the this season (+11.95 units)


NBA > (513) MEMPHIS@ (514) SAN ANTONIO | 2016-04-17 20:05:00 - 2016-04-17 20:05:00
Play ON SAN ANTONIO using money line in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 18 Wins and 1 Losses for the this season (+16.35 units)


NBA > (511) CHARLOTTE@ (512) MIAMI | 2016-04-17 17:35:00 - 2016-04-17 17:35:00
Play ON MIAMI using money line in All games on Sunday games
The record is 28 Wins and 10 Losses for the last three seasons (+23.45 units)


NBA > (511) CHARLOTTE@ (512) MIAMI | 2016-04-17 17:35:00 - 2016-04-17 17:35:00
Play ON MIAMI using money line in All games in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points
The record is 66 Wins and 11 Losses for the since 1992 (+43.7 units)


NBA > (505) BOSTON@ (506) ATLANTA | 2016-04-16 19:05:00 - 2016-04-16 19:05:00
Play ON BOSTON using money line in Road games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 24 Wins and 18 Losses for the last two seasons (+26.1 units)


NBA > (507) DALLAS@ (508) OKLAHOMA CITY | 2016-04-16 21:35:00 - 2016-04-16 21:35:00
Play AGAINST OKLAHOMA CITY using money line in All games in April games
The record is 7 Wins and 16 Losses for the last three seasons (-20.8 units)


NBA > (503) HOUSTON@ (504) GOLDEN STATE | 2016-04-16 15:35:00 - 2016-04-16 15:35:00
Play ON GOLDEN STATE using money line in All games after a win by 10 points or more
The record is 57 Wins and 11 Losses for the last two seasons (+33.1 units)

NBA > (507) DALLAS@ (508) OKLAHOMA CITY | 2016-04-16 21:35:00 - 2016-04-16 21:35:00
Play AGAINST DALLAS using money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season
The record is 15 Wins and 34 Losses for the last two seasons (-25.9 units)


------------------


NBA FIRST HALF


NBA > (509) DETROIT@ (510) CLEVELAND | 2016-04-17 15:05:00 - 2016-04-17 15:05:00
Play ON CLEVELAND ?>in the first halfin All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 49 Wins and 25 Losses for the last two seasons (+21.5 units)


-------------


NBA TOTALS


NBA > (505) BOSTON@ (506) ATLANTA | 2016-04-16 19:05:00 - 2016-04-16 19:05:00
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the totalin All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game
The record is 15 Overs and 42 Unders for the this season (+25.5 units)


NBA > (505) BOSTON@ (506) ATLANTA | 2016-04-16 19:05:00 - 2016-04-16 19:05:00
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the totalin All games versus the first half line in all games
The record is 25 Overs and 56 Unders for the this season (+28.5 units)


NBA > (515) PORTLAND@ (516) LA CLIPPERS | 2016-04-17 22:35:00 - 2016-04-17 22:35:00
Play UNDER LA CLIPPERS on the totalin Home games second half of the season
The record is 2 Overs and 14 Unders for the this season (+11.8 units)


NBA > (509) DETROIT@ (510) CLEVELAND | 2016-04-17 15:05:00 - 2016-04-17 15:05:00
Play UNDER CLEVELAND on the totalin Home games on Sunday games
The record is 27 Overs and 72 Unders for the since 1992 (+42.3 units)


NBA > (515) PORTLAND@ (516) LA CLIPPERS | 2016-04-17 22:35:00 - 2016-04-17 22:35:00
Play UNDER LA CLIPPERS on the totalin Home games after scoring 105 points or more
The record is 4 Overs and 17 Unders for the this season (+12.6 units)


NBA > (505) BOSTON@ (506) ATLANTA | 2016-04-16 19:05:00 - 2016-04-16 19:05:00
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the totalin Home games in all playoff games
The record is 12 Overs and 38 Unders for the since 1992 (+24.8 units)


NBA > (501) INDIANA@ (502) TORONTO | 2016-04-16 12:35:00 - 2016-04-16 12:35:00
Play UNDER INDIANA on the totalin All games after 3 or more consecutive wins
The record is 12 Overs and 35 Unders for the last three seasons (+21.8 units)


NBA > (513) MEMPHIS@ (514) SAN ANTONIO | 2016-04-17 20:05:00 - 2016-04-17 20:05:00
Play UNDER SAN ANTONIO on the totalin All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 65 Overs and 124 Unders for the last three seasons (+52.5 units)

NBA > (509) DETROIT@ (510) CLEVELAND | 2016-04-17 15:05:00 - 2016-04-17 15:05:00
Play UNDER CLEVELAND on the totalin All games on Sunday games
The record is 66 Overs and 129 Unders for the since 1992 (+56.4 units)

 

[CNOTES]

NBA PLAYOFFS BEST BETS:


SATURDAY, APRIL 16


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


IND at TOR 12:30 PM


TOR -6.5


U 194.0




HOU at GS 03:30 PM


HOU +12.5


U 225.0

 

[indiana]

C/note........BOL with all your action during the playoffs...........indy

 

[CNOTES]

Evening Selections:


BOS at ATL 07:00 PM


BOS +5.5


O 206.0




DAL at OKC 09:30 PM


OKC -11.5


O 205.5

 

[CNOTES]

Thanks Indy....................Never thought all the games were going under.................Thankyou)(&