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Wednesday's Tip Sheet
April 6, 2016


Cavaliers at Pacers – 7:05 PM EST


Cleveland (56-22 SU, 36-39-3 ATS) is creeping closer towards wrapping up the top seed in the Eastern Conference after dominating Milwaukee last night, 109-80 to pick up their fourth straight win and cover. The Cavaliers jumped out to a 24-point halftime lead and never looked back, while evening their mark at 3-3 SU/ATS against division foes on the road this season. Cleveland goes for the season sweep of Indiana after capturing the first three meetings, but the Pacers have covered in two of three losses.


Indiana (41-36 SU, 37-39-1 ATS) received some help on Tuesday when both Detroit and Chicago lost on the road, as the Pacers moved all alone into seventh place in the Eastern Conference playoff race. As of now, the Pacers would avoid the Cavaliers in the opening round of the postseason, as Frank Vogel’s team has one game in hand on the Pistons. The Pacers return home after sweeping a pair of road contests at New York and Philadelphia, but Indiana is coming off an eight-game stretch against teams currently outside of the playoffs. Indiana has been unimpressive against the number recently at 3-7 ATS, including home losses to Oklahoma City, Toronto, and Chicago in this span.


Pistons at Magic – 7:05 PM EST


Four games remain for Detroit (41-37 SU, 39-37-2 ATS), who is seeking its first playoff appearance since 2009. The Pistons were flattened by the Heat on Tuesday, 107-89 as 4 ½-point underdogs, suffering their first loss to Miami this season in three matchups. Stan Van Gundy’s offense continues to struggle by scoring less than 95 points or less in five straight games, resulting in five consecutive ‘unders.’ Detroit owns a 5-0 SU/ATS record in the last five matchups with Orlando since 2014, including a pair of double-digit victories at the Palace of Auburn Hills this season.


Even though they won’t be headed to the playoffs, Orlando (33-44 SU, 43-33-1 ATS) is playing well down the stretch by winning four of its last five games. The Magic cruised past the Grizzlies on Sunday, 119-107 to pick up their fifth consecutive home cover. Scott Skiles’ club is scoring plenty of points of late by posting at least 110 points in each of their past five contests, while eclipsing the ‘over’ in four of the last five home games.


Hornets at Knicks – 7:35 PM EST


Charlotte (44-33 SU, 39-37-1 ATS) suffered a tough loss at Toronto last night, hurting its hopes to win the Southeast division after both Atlanta and Miami won at home. The Hornets lost their second straight game to a top-two team in the East after falling at Cleveland on Sunday, as Steve Clifford’s squad fell behind by 14 points at halftime and fell short in a 96-90 defeat at Toronto as five-point underdogs. Nicolas Batum missed Tuesday’s loss with a strained left knee and is questionable for tonight, as the Hornets dropped to 5-4 SU/ATS without the swingman in the lineup.


New York (31-47 SU, 42-36 ATS) has made strides since last year’s disastrous 17-65 campaign, but the Knicks are going to fall short of the playoffs for the fourth straight season. The Knicks have covered three consecutive games, coming off Sunday’s 92-87 home defeat to the Pacers as seven-point underdogs, even though both Carmelo Anthony and Kristaps Porzingis sat out. Anthony is expected back tonight while Porzingis is out with a shoulder injury, as the Knicks seek the season split with the Hornets after losing two of the first three meetings.


Rockets at Mavericks – 9:35 PM EST


A Texas-sized battle takes place at the American Airlines Center as these two division rivals hook up for an important game for seeding in the Western Conference playoffs. Houston (38-39 SU, 34-43 ATS) is currently on the outside looking in one season after playing for the Western Conference title. The Rockets sit one half-game behind the Jazz following Utah’s loss to San Antonio on Tuesday, as Houston has lost five straight games off a victory coming off Sunday’s home underdog triumph against Oklahoma City.


The Mavericks (39-38 SU, 42-34-1 ATS) have surged back into the top eight of the West following four consecutive victories, capped off by Sunday’s 88-78 win at Minnesota as 2 ½-point favorites. Dallas has slowed down the pace during this stretch with starting point guard Deron Williams sidelined as the Mavs have scored 98 points or fewer in all four wins. However, Rick Carlisle’s club has stepped up on the defensive side by allowing 89 points or less in each game during this hot streak, resulting in a 4-0 mark to the ‘under.’ The Mavs have dropped two of three matchups with the Rockets this season, including a 100-96 home setback in December.


Thunder at Blazers – 10:05 PM EST


Oklahoma City (54-24 SU, 34-43-1 ATS) locked up the third seed in the Western Conference playoffs after routing Denver on Tuesday, 124-102 as nine-point favorites. The Thunder have struggled with no rest by compiling a 6-8 SU/ATS record on the second of a back-to-back, including a 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS mark in the last six road games with no rest. Billy Donovan’s team has won two of the first three meetings with the Blazers, including a 128-94 blowout as 7 ½-point home favorites on March 14.


If the playoffs started today (big if), the Blazers (42-37 SU, 44-35 ATS) would face the Thunder in the 3/6 matchup in the opening round. Portland returns home after rallying past Sacramento last night, 115-107 as four-point favorites to pull off the season sweep of the Kings. The Blazers haven’t performed well with no rest, winning just five times in 18 tries in this situation, including a 2-4 SU/ATS record at home. The ‘under’ has hit in six of the last eight games for Portland, even though the Blazers have scored at least 105 points seven times in this stretch.
 

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NBA ATS


NBA > (511) HOUSTON@ (512) DALLAS | 2016-04-06 21:35:00 - 2016-04-06 21:35:00
Play ON HOUSTON against the spread in All games when playing with 2 days rest
The record is 17 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+12.6 units)


--------------------


NBA MONEYLINE


NBA > (507) NEW ORLEANS@ (508) BOSTON | 2016-04-06 19:35:00 - 2016-04-06 19:35:00
Play AGAINST BOSTON using money line in Home games against Southwest division opponents
The record is 21 Wins and 36 Losses for the since 1992 (-41.1 units)


NBA > (513) OKLAHOMA CITY@ (514) PORTLAND | 2016-04-06 22:05:00 - 2016-04-06 22:05:00
Play ON PORTLAND using money line in Home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 33 Wins and 11 Losses for the last two seasons (+22.2 units)


NBA > (507) NEW ORLEANS@ (508) BOSTON | 2016-04-06 19:35:00 - 2016-04-06 19:35:00
Play AGAINST NEW ORLEANS using money line in All games after 3 or more consecutive unders
The record is 6 Wins and 18 Losses for the last three seasons (-20.7 units)


NBA > (507) NEW ORLEANS@ (508) BOSTON | 2016-04-06 19:35:00 - 2016-04-06 19:35:00
Play AGAINST NEW ORLEANS using money line in All games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 10 Wins and 28 Losses for the this season (-21.2 units)


NBA > (513) OKLAHOMA CITY@ (514) PORTLAND | 2016-04-06 22:05:00 - 2016-04-06 22:05:00
Play ON PORTLAND using money line in Home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 18 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+14.2 units)


NBA > (503) CLEVELAND@ (504) INDIANA | 2016-04-06 19:05:00 - 2016-04-06 19:05:00
Play ON CLEVELAND using money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season
The record is 34 Wins and 12 Losses for the last two seasons (+20.15 units)

NBA > (505) DETROIT@ (506) ORLANDO | 2016-04-06 19:05:00 - 2016-04-06 19:05:00
Play AGAINST ORLANDO using money line in All games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 16 Wins and 30 Losses for the this season (-21.3 units)


NBA > (511) HOUSTON@ (512) DALLAS | 2016-04-06 21:35:00 - 2016-04-06 21:35:00
Play ON DALLAS using money line in All games when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 79 Wins and 24 Losses for the last three seasons (+39.25 units)

NBA > (511) HOUSTON@ (512) DALLAS | 2016-04-06 21:35:00 - 2016-04-06 21:35:00
Play ON DALLAS using money line in All games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season
The record is 217 Wins and 67 Losses for the since 1992 (+85.75 units)


NBA > (501) BROOKLYN@ (502) WASHINGTON | 2016-04-06 19:05:00 - 2016-04-06 19:05:00
Play ON WASHINGTON using money line in All games in April games
The record is 19 Wins and 7 Losses for the last three seasons (+15.4 units)

NBA > (503) CLEVELAND@ (504) INDIANA | 2016-04-06 19:05:00 - 2016-04-06 19:05:00
Play AGAINST INDIANA using money line in Home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 24 Wins and 25 Losses for the last three seasons (-30.95 units)
---------------------


NBA FIRST HALF


NBA > (503) CLEVELAND@ (504) INDIANA | 2016-04-06 19:05:00 - 2016-04-06 19:05:00
Play ON CLEVELAND ?>in the first halfin All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 48 Wins and 22 Losses for the last two seasons (+23.8 units)

NBA > (503) CLEVELAND@ (504) INDIANA | 2016-04-06 19:05:00 - 2016-04-06 19:05:00
Play ON CLEVELAND ?>in the first halfin Road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 23 Wins and 7 Losses for the last two seasons (+15.3 units)


NBA > (515) LA CLIPPERS@ (516) LA LAKERS | 2016-04-06 22:35:00 - 2016-04-06 22:35:00
Play AGAINST LA LAKERS ?>in the first halfin Home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game
The record is 8 Wins and 22 Losses for the this season (-16.2 units)


NBA > (515) LA CLIPPERS@ (516) LA LAKERS | 2016-04-06 22:35:00 - 2016-04-06 22:35:00
Play AGAINST LA LAKERS ?>in the first halfin Home games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 8 Wins and 22 Losses for the this season (-16.2 units)


NBA > (513) OKLAHOMA CITY@ (514) PORTLAND | 2016-04-06 22:05:00 - 2016-04-06 22:05:00
Play ON PORTLAND ?>in the first halfin Home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 19 Wins and 5 Losses for the last two seasons (+13.5 units)


NBA > (509) CHARLOTTE@ (510) NEW YORK | 2016-04-06 19:35:00 - 2016-04-06 19:35:00
Play ON CHARLOTTE ?>in the first halfin Road games against Atlantic division opponents
The record is 13 Wins and 2 Losses for the last two seasons (+10.8 units)


NBA > (501) BROOKLYN@ (502) WASHINGTON | 2016-04-06 19:05:00 - 2016-04-06 19:05:00
Play ON WASHINGTON ?>in the first halfin Home games second half of the season
The record is 23 Wins and 8 Losses for the last two seasons (+14.2 units)


------------------


NBA TOTALS


NBA > (507) NEW ORLEANS@ (508) BOSTON | 2016-04-06 19:35:00 - 2016-04-06 19:35:00
Play UNDER NEW ORLEANS on the totalin Road games revenging a home loss vs opponent
The record is 8 Overs and 31 Unders for the last three seasons (+22.2 units)

NBA > (509) CHARLOTTE@ (510) NEW YORK | 2016-04-06 19:35:00 - 2016-04-06 19:35:00
Play UNDER NEW YORK on the totalin All games versus the 1rst half line in home games
The record is 10 Overs and 28 Unders for the this season (+17 units)

NBA > (509) CHARLOTTE@ (510) NEW YORK | 2016-04-06 19:35:00 - 2016-04-06 19:35:00
Play UNDER NEW YORK on the totalin All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 7 Overs and 22 Unders for the this season (+14.3 units)

NBA > (509) CHARLOTTE@ (510) NEW YORK | 2016-04-06 19:35:00 - 2016-04-06 19:35:00
Play UNDER NEW YORK on the totalin All games second half of the season
The record is 7 Overs and 21 Unders for the this season (+13.3 units)


NBA > (501) BROOKLYN@ (502) WASHINGTON | 2016-04-06 19:05:00 - 2016-04-06 19:05:00
Play UNDER BROOKLYN on the totalin Road games after 3 or more consecutive losses
The record is 51 Overs and 105 Unders for the since 1992 (+48.9 units)

NBA > (501) BROOKLYN@ (502) WASHINGTON | 2016-04-06 19:05:00 - 2016-04-06 19:05:00
Play OVER WASHINGTON on the totalin All games when playing with 2 days rest
The record is 20 Overs and 6 Unders for the last two seasons (+13.4 units)

NBA > (515) LA CLIPPERS@ (516) LA LAKERS | 2016-04-06 22:35:00 - 2016-04-06 22:35:00
Play UNDER LA LAKERS on the totalin Home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 8 Overs and 21 Unders for the this season (+12.2 units)
 

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4/5 Results: 6 - 7


Overall 22 - 23



WEDNESDAY, APRIL 6


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS




BK at WAS 07:00 PM


BK +12.5


O 209.0


DET at ORL 07:00 PM


ORL -3.0


U 208.5


CLE at IND 07:00 PM


CLE +3.5


U 195.5


CHA at NY 07:30 PM

NY +4.5


U 197.0


NO at BOS 07:30 PM


NO +14.5


U 207.5


HOU at DAL 09:30 PM


HOU -1.5


U 206.0


OKC at POR 10:00 PM


POR -3.0


O 218.0


LAC at LAL 10:30 PM


LAC -9.0


O 203.5
 

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Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack


Odds to win the college football national title this coming year.......


6-1-- Alabama-- What else is new? When in doubt.......


7-1-- Oklahoma/Clemson-- Tigers are breaking in a new QB.


10-1-- Ohio State/Michigan-- Year 2 of the Harbaugh era in Ann Arbor.


12-1-- Baylor-- Hopefully their players will be healthier this season.


15-1-- Notre Dame/Florida State/Tenessee/LSU


25-1-- Michigan State-Ole Miss-Stanford


**********


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud......


13) Dodgers 7, Padres 0-- San Diego is first team ever to get shut out in its first three games of a season- they've been outscored 25-0 and if I was a Padre fan, it would tough for me not to think the season was over already.


If ever a team needed a series at Coors Field, it is the Padres- they play the Rockies in Denver starting Friday.


12) Dodgers are first team since the 1963 Cardinals to open a season with three straight shutouts- the '43 Cardinals started season with 26 consecutive scoreless innings. Alex Wood gets the nod or LA against the Giants tonight.


11) Colorado's rookie SS Trevor Story has four HRs in his first three games; he is the first player EVER whose first four big league hits were all home runs and he hasn't played at Coors Field yet.


10) Victor Martinez didn't start either game in Miami because they don't the DH in NL parks, but he pinch-hit in both games and homered both times, once rghty and once lefty. Pretty impressive.


9) Since John Hart took over the Atlanta Braves after the 2014 season, they've made 28 trades involving 89 players.


8) I still don't understand why pitchers bat 8th; it is nonsensical, but if Reds are going to bat their pitchers 8th, then they have to bat Joey Votto leadoff, right? He needs to get as many at-bats as possible on a bad team.


7) Yesterday was first time since May 9, 2014 that Miami Marlins, had both Jose Fernandez and Giancarlo Stanton in the same lineup on the same day.


6) Back when the Milwaukee Brewers played at outdoor County Stadium, when the Brewers hit a homer, mascot Bernie Brewer slid down a slide into a huge fake beer mug- it was very cool. Since the Brewers moved into a domed stadium, Bernie slides down a slide onto a ramp-- no fake beer mug.


Why? The damn ballpark is named Miller Park, as in Miller beer!!!!!


5) Arizona Diamondbacks loaded the bases 13 times in three games against the Rockies this week, thats an ominous nimber for a team with very shaky pitching.


4) Aubrey Dawkins transfers from Central Florida to Michigan, where he will play for his dad, former Stanford coach Johnny Dawkins, who is now at UCF.


3) Trump Hotel in Las Vegas doesn't have a casino in it.


2) Former Florida QB Will Grier transfers from the Gators to West Virginia, where he will be eligible to play starting in 2017.


1) Philadelphia 76ers finally put GM Sam Hinkie out of his misery, firing him and letting him say he "resigned", which he did in a 13-page, 7,000 word document that hopefully will guarantee he never gets another job in pro basketball.


This overeducated nitwit screwed up the Sixers so badly- he spent a first round pick on Joel Embiid, who played 23.1 mpg in his entire 28-game college career, his only season ended early by a sore back. He has yet to play one minute in the NBA.


Why did this tick me off? Because I never played college basketball, so I root for guys who rose thru the ranks and got great jobs. Hinkie has set back the cause of people like this ten or twenty years.
 

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NBA

Thursday, April 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games
Phoenix is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
Houston is 3-5-1 SU in its last 9 games ,
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games at home

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. ATLANTA
Toronto is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. MIAMI
Chicago is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Miami is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Chicago
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago

10:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SACRAMENTO
Minnesota is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

10:30 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. GOLDEN STATE
San Antonio is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 10 games
Golden State is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
 

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NBA
Dunkel


Thursday, April 7




Phoenix @ Houston


Game 701-702
April 7, 2016 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
109.703
Houston
124.194
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 14 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-11 1/2); Over


Toronto @ Atlanta


Game 703-704
April 7, 2016 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
117.323
Atlanta
126.885
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 9 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 6
200
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-6); Over


Chicago @ Miami


Game 705-706
April 7, 2016 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
118.097
Miami
120.676
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 2 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 5
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+5); Under


Minnesota @ Sacramento


Game 707-708
April 7, 2016 @ 10:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
116.845
Sacramento
118.942
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 4 1/2
221 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+4 1/2); Under


San Antonio @ Golden State


Game 709-710
April 7, 2016 @ 10:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
120.517
Golden State
130.428
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 10
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 7
210
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-7); Under








NBA
Long Sheet


Thursday, April 7


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PHOENIX (20 - 58) at HOUSTON (38 - 40) - 4/7/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 33-45 ATS (-16.5 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games this season.
PHOENIX is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
PHOENIX is 19-29 ATS (-12.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHOENIX is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHOENIX is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 87-61 ATS (+19.9 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
HOUSTON is 34-44 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 17-28 ATS (-13.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
HOUSTON is 96-130 ATS (-47.0 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 7-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------


TORONTO (52 - 25) at ATLANTA (46 - 32) - 4/7/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 95-77 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 52-33 ATS (+15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 8-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 8-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CHICAGO (39 - 39) at MIAMI (45 - 32) - 4/7/2016, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MINNESOTA (26 - 52) at SACRAMENTO (31 - 47) - 4/7/2016, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 70-87 ATS (-25.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 341-401 ATS (-100.1 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 36-52 ATS (-21.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 187-235 ATS (-71.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 43-58 ATS (-20.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 67-86 ATS (-27.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 31-47 ATS (-20.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 40-57 ATS (-22.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 26-42 ATS (-20.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 39-54 ATS (-20.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 41-55 ATS (-19.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 5-5 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SAN ANTONIO (65 - 12) at GOLDEN STATE (69 - 9) - 4/7/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 98-76 ATS (+14.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 91-69 ATS (+15.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 52-37 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 66-45 ATS (+16.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 43-34 ATS (+5.6 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 66-49 ATS (+12.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


------------------


NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up


Thursday, April 7


Hot teams
-- Toronto won three of its last four games (10-6AU). Hawks won five of their last seven games (5-8 last 13HF).
-- Miami won six of its last nine games (5-3 last 8HF).
-- Spurs won eight of their last ten games (0-3AU).


Cold teams
-- Chicago lost six of its last nine games (5-1 last 6AU).
-- Suns lost their last seven games (6-4 last 10AU). Houston lost six of its last nine games.
-- Minnesota lost three of its last four games (5-2 last 7AU). Sacramento is 4-5 in its last nine games (6-4 last 10HF).
-- Warriors lost two of last three home games (1-5 last 6HF).


Series records
-- Raptors won their last four games with Atlanta.
-- Miami won four of last five games with Chicago.
-- Rockets won seven of last eight games with Phoenix.
-- Minnesota won its last three games with Sacramento.
-- Spurs won eight of last ten games with Golden State.


Totals
-- Four of last five Toronto-Atlanta games stayed under.
-- Six of last eight Chicago-Miami games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Phoenix games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Sacramento games went over total.
-- Eight of last ten San Antonio-Golden State games stayed under.


Back/backs
-- Houston is 2-9 in its last 11 games if they played the night before.
 

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NBA ATS


NBA > (705) CHICAGO@ (706) MIAMI | 2016-04-07 20:05:00 - 2016-04-07 20:05:00
Play AGAINST CHICAGO against the spread in All games against Southeast division opponents
The record is 9 Wins and 26 Losses for the last two seasons (-19.6 units)


--------------------


NBA MONEYLINE


NBA > (701) PHOENIX@ (702) HOUSTON | 2016-04-07 20:05:00 - 2016-04-07 20:05:00
Play AGAINST PHOENIX using money line in All games after 3 or more consecutive losses
The record is 10 Wins and 26 Losses for the last two seasons (-25.15 units)


NBA > (701) PHOENIX@ (702) HOUSTON | 2016-04-07 20:05:00 - 2016-04-07 20:05:00
Play AGAINST PHOENIX using money line in All games in all games
The record is 20 Wins and 48 Losses for the this season (-32.7 units)

NBA > (707) MINNESOTA@ (708) SACRAMENTO | 2016-04-07 22:05:00 - 2016-04-07 22:05:00
Play AGAINST MINNESOTA using money line in All games after scoring 105 points or more
The record is 26 Wins and 57 Losses for the last three seasons (-43.15 units)


NBA > (705) CHICAGO@ (706) MIAMI | 2016-04-07 20:05:00 - 2016-04-07 20:05:00
Play ON CHICAGO using money line in All games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 48 Wins and 22 Losses for the last two seasons (+26.6 units)


NBA > (703) TORONTO@ (704) ATLANTA | 2016-04-07 20:05:00 - 2016-04-07 20:05:00
Play ON TORONTO using money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 25 Wins and 11 Losses for the this season (+15.4 units)


NBA > (707) MINNESOTA@ (708) SACRAMENTO | 2016-04-07 22:05:00 - 2016-04-07 22:05:00
Play AGAINST SACRAMENTO using money line in Home games after scoring 105 points or more
The record is 8 Wins and 15 Losses for the this season (-17.05 units)


NBA > (709) SAN ANTONIO@ (710) GOLDEN STATE | 2016-04-07 22:35:00 - 2016-04-07 22:35:00
Play ON SAN ANTONIO using money line in All games in all games
The record is 47 Wins and 12 Losses for the this season (+24.15 units)


NBA > (709) SAN ANTONIO@ (710) GOLDEN STATE | 2016-04-07 22:35:00 - 2016-04-07 22:35:00
Play ON GOLDEN STATE using money line in All games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 24 Wins and 3 Losses for the last two seasons (+18.15 units)


NBA > (703) TORONTO@ (704) ATLANTA | 2016-04-07 20:05:00 - 2016-04-07 20:05:00
Play ON TORONTO using money line in All games against Southeast division opponents
The record is 14 Wins and 3 Losses for the this season (+10.5 units)


-------------------


NBA FIRST HALF


NBA > (709) SAN ANTONIO@ (710) GOLDEN STATE | 2016-04-07 22:35:00 - 2016-04-07 22:35:00
Play ON SAN ANTONIO ?>in the first halfin All games versus the 1rst half line in road games
The record is 27 Wins and 10 Losses for the this season (+16 units)

NBA > (701) PHOENIX@ (702) HOUSTON | 2016-04-07 20:05:00 - 2016-04-07 20:05:00
Play AGAINST PHOENIX ?>in the first halfin All games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 14 Wins and 33 Losses for the this season (-22.3 units)


NBA > (701) PHOENIX@ (702) HOUSTON | 2016-04-07 20:05:00 - 2016-04-07 20:05:00
Play AGAINST PHOENIX ?>in the first halfin All games versus the first half line in all games
The record is 26 Wins and 51 Losses for the this season (-30.1 units)


-------------------


NBA TOTALS


NBA > (703) TORONTO@ (704) ATLANTA | 2016-04-07 20:05:00 - 2016-04-07 20:05:00
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the totalin All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game
The record is 13 Overs and 40 Unders for the this season (+25.7 units)

NBA > (709) SAN ANTONIO@ (710) GOLDEN STATE | 2016-04-07 22:35:00 - 2016-04-07 22:35:00
Play UNDER SAN ANTONIO on the totalin Road games after 3 or more consecutive wins
The record is 12 Overs and 44 Unders for the last three seasons (+30.8 units)


NBA > (709) SAN ANTONIO@ (710) GOLDEN STATE | 2016-04-07 22:35:00 - 2016-04-07 22:35:00
Play UNDER SAN ANTONIO on the totalin Road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 14 Overs and 45 Unders for the last two seasons (+29.6 units)


NBA > (703) TORONTO@ (704) ATLANTA | 2016-04-07 20:05:00 - 2016-04-07 20:05:00
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the totalin All games versus the first half line in all games
The record is 23 Overs and 54 Unders for the this season (+28.7 units)

NBA > (701) PHOENIX@ (702) HOUSTON | 2016-04-07 20:05:00 - 2016-04-07 20:05:00
Play UNDER PHOENIX on the totalin All games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 13 Overs and 34 Unders for the this season (+19.7 units)

NBA > (701) PHOENIX@ (702) HOUSTON | 2016-04-07 20:05:00 - 2016-04-07 20:05:00
Play UNDER PHOENIX on the totalin All games versus the first half line in all games
The record is 26 Overs and 51 Unders for the this season (+22.4 units)

NBA > (709) SAN ANTONIO@ (710) GOLDEN STATE | 2016-04-07 22:35:00 - 2016-04-07 22:35:00
Play UNDER SAN ANTONIO on the totalin All games when the total is greater than or equal to 210
The record is 6 Overs and 22 Unders for the last three seasons (+15.4 units)
 

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4/6 Results: 1 - 5


Oveall 23 - 28



THURSDAY, APRIL 7


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS




PHO at HOU 08:00 PM


HOU -11.5


O 213.5


TOR at ATL 08:00 PM


ATL -6.5


U 200.0



MIN at SAC 10:00 PM


SAC -4.5


U 221.5


SA at GS 10:30 PM


SA +7.0


U 209.0
 

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Inside the Paint - Thursday


Betting on the last month of the Association is often a crapshoot and it can certainly be frustrating, especially if you’re placing wagers early. If you play the NBA on a regular basis, you already know this and seeing starters rest down the stretch has become routine. Going forward, you should “play with care” until Saturday Apr. 16 when the playoffs begin.


That’s when the All-Stars will be in action, something we didn’t see on the hardwood last night and that could be the case again Thursday when Golden State (69-9 straight up, 40-35-3 against the spread) and San Antonio (65-12 SU, 42-34-1 ATS) square off from Oracle Arena.


The Spurs have been known to rest starters more than any other team and they’ve benefited with plenty of championships, but it’s also hurt the game. Tony Mejia wrote a great piece on Gregg Popovich’s style and what we could expect over the last week and half of the season.


While the status of key players is up in the air for San Antonio, we do know that the Warriors will clinch the top spot in the West with a victory. No major sportsbooks sent an overnight number on this game but the three major offshore outfits opened Golden State as a six-point home favorite while the total is 210. This number has jumped as high as 7 ½ as of Friday morning.


Dating back to last season, the home team has won and covered the last four meetings in this series. Golden State earned a 120-90 win on Jan. 25 as a five-point favorite earlier this season while San Antonio avenged that loss on Mar. 19 with an 87-79 victory.


For our purposes, both the Spurs and Warriors have been great fades lately at the betting counter. San Antonio is 8-2 SU but 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games while Golden State is 7-3 SU and 3-7 ATS.


The Warriors have gone 37-2 SU at Oracle Arena but the two losses have come in the last six days and the most recent setback on Tuesday, a 124-117 overtime loss to Minnesota as 14 ½-point home favorites was embarrassing. Including those non-covers, Golden State is 1-5 ATS in its last six games in the Bay Area.


The Spurs survived a scare on Tuesday by barely beating Utah 88-86 as a 3 ½-point road favorite and those close calls have been the norm lately for Pop’s squad. The club is 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS in its last six as a visitor. Also, total players should note that San Antonio is on a 9-1 ‘under’ run in its last 10 road games. Only one opponents busted 100-plus during this run as Oklahoma City notched a 111-92 against the “B-Squad” of the Spurs.


The Thunder closed as a 12 ½-point favorite in that game and knowing that the Spurs might rest Thursday, placing an early wager on Golden State 6 to 7 points might be a good investment.


TNT will provide national coverage of this game at 10:35 p.m. ET.


Along with this game, bettors have four more contests to follow on Thursday and below is my quick handicap.


Phoenix (20-58 SU, 33-45 ATS) at Houston (38-40 SU, 34-44 ATS)


After last night’s 88-86 loss at Dallas, the Rockets are now one-game behind Utah for the eighth seed in the Western Conference and two back of the Mavericks for the seventh spot. Fortunately for the Rockets, they close the season with four winnable games and three of them are at home.


Starting tonight, the Suns visit as 11 ½-point road underdogs and Houston has owned this series. The Rockets have won seven of their last eight meetings against the Suns, which includes a pair of wins this season, both coming on the road. Houston has gone 6-2 ATS during this span while the ‘over’ has posted a 6-2 mark.


Playing the fatigue factor could scare you away though since Houston has gone 6-11 SU and 5-12 ATS on zero days rest this season, which includes an ugly 2-4 mark at home, both of those victories coming by a combined 10 points.


Toronto (52-25 SU, 41-35-1 ATS) at Atlanta (46-32 SU, 39-37-2 ATS)


Tough game to handicap here because Toronto has dominated Atlanta, winning and covering all three meetings this season and seven of the last eight encounters. The pair just met on Mar. 30 and Toronto captured a 105-97 victory as a one-point home favorite and the game wasn’t as close as the final score as the Raptors led by as many 24 points.


For this game, I have to question the desire for the Raptors. The club is all but locked into the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference and their final five games are completely meaningless, which makes me believe we’ll see a few players rested in these games.


On the other side of the court, Atlanta has a shot to win the No. 3 seed but could easily fall into the sixth spot. The Hawks haven’t been in great form lately, going 2-2 in their last four games and they’re 0-4 versus the number during this span.


Atlanta opened as a five-point favorite and that number is slowly creeping up, which tells me that early money is buying the rest factor for the Raptors.


Chicago (39-39 SU, 33-45 ATS) at Miami (45-32 SU, 40-36-1 ATS)


Similar to the Hawks, the Heat have already clinched a spot in the playoffs and they can also be as high as the third seed or as low as the sixth. Miami opened as a 5 ½-point home favorite over Chicago on Thursday and you could argue that number should be higher. The Heat have all three of their meetings against the Bulls this season and the last two wins have been blowouts (129-112, 118-96). The Heat could be without big man Hassan Whiteside (thigh) for tonight’s game.


Chicago has an outside shot to make the playoffs but it needs to win out and have either Indiana or Detroit falter down the stretch as well, something neither team did on Wednesday. If the Bulls do win this game, they face Cleveland next and the Cavaliers could be resting players since they’re just about to clinch the No. 1 seed. Chicago closes with New Orleans and Philadelphia, so a 4-0 finish is very possible but it starts with a win over the Heat. The Bulls were mired in a rough road stretch for quite some time but they have won three of their last four as visitors.


Total bettors could be scratching their heads on this game. The number opened 205 ½ at one offshore outfit and the Bulls enter this game on an 8-0 run to the ‘under’ and Miami comes into Thursday’s matchup with a 5-1 mark to the low side over its last six.


TNT will provide coverage of this game at 8:00 p.m. ET.


Minnesota (26-52 SU, 36-41-1 ATS) at Sacramento (31-47 SU, 36-40-2 ATS)


The “roll the ball out” game for Thursday takes place at Sleep Train Area as the Timberwolves and Kings do battle. This game actually has some meaning for Minnesota, who will be looking to sweep the four-game regular season series against Sacramento.


Despite losing three straight and failing to cover in five consecutive games against the Wolves, the Kings are listed as healthy 4 ½-point home favorites. I’m not surprised to see Sacramento favored but the number is inflated in my opinion and it looks like the books are begging for Minnesota money.


The baited line makes sense since the betting public just saw Minnesota upset Golden State 124-117 in overtime on Tuesday as a 14 ½-point road underdog and more often than not, the masses bet what they remember last. What the public might not know is that the Kings are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games while the Wolves were 0-5 ATS prior to their upset over the Warriors.


It’s easy to fall in love with the Wolves and their young core of budding stars but this offense is very inconsistent. Prior to the effort versus Golden State, the club was held to 79, 85 and 78 points. The high total (223 ½) makes you believe we’ll see a shootout and it should be noted that Minnesota has been a solid ‘over’ bet (24-12-3, 67%) on the road this season.
 

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Spurs coach faces Warriors dilemma


Gregg Popovich has the NBA by the throat this week.


He can either let his Spurs breathe and stretch their legs out in games against the Warriors, or he can choke out all the fun of what remains of the regular season by sitting out his main guys. The decision is entirely his.


Selfishly, we all want to see the Western Conference’s top heavyweights battle late Thursday and on Sunday evening, but there’s no way Popovich will allow that to happen. He’s already showed his hand against Golden State, pulling off an 87-79 win on March 19 in a dominant defensive performance where he threw caution to the wind and put his theories on how to contain Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson on full display. The victory allowed San Antonio to know beyond a shadow of a doubt that it can defeat the Warriors if the teams were to meet in a series, something they haven’t done since the 2013 West semifinals, a series won 4-2 by the Spurs.


Perfect run at home worth fighting for

What we can hope for is one more clash where both teams put it all out there. From San Antonio’s standpoint, they do have something to play for on April 10 since that will be their 40th home game of the season. The Spurs have opened 39-0 at the AT&T Center, setting a single-season record, which means that wins over the Warriors and on April 12 over Oklahoma City would complete the first perfect season at home in NBA history. Of course, Popovich has already been asked about this and intimated that it means as much to him as a “cup of coffee.”


Seriously? There’s no question that the Spurs way is basically beyond reproach given the volume of success that the franchise has attained. Team goals have always been placed over individual ones, and the pursuit of a championship trumps all. While that makes sense, a perfect record at home is a team honor. In fact, it can be viewed as a reward for perhaps the best fan base in the NBA, a loyal group that has supported the Spurs religiously with a devotion few other teams enjoy. If you’ve ever been to San Antonio, that’s crystal clear. Billboards and signs remind you whose town it is at all times. Since the NFL never did make it down to the Alamodome, it’s a one-team city. The fact the team has been so remarkably effective is gravy. They would support it even if the product was mediocre.


Of course, the product is far from that, which is why Popovich shouldn’t overlook the historical aspect of what his team is on the verge of accomplishing. Because of the start the Warriors surged out to, San Antonio’s success has been largely overshadowed. The Spurs have already set a franchise-record for victories after opening 64-12. Considering all the resting Pop has done of starters, not to mention getting new franchise pillar LaMarcus Aldridge up to speed, that’s remarkable. Because the Warriors are still on the chase of the all-time wins record, San Antonio’s success has basically been ignored. Now the Spurs stand in theiway -- twice -- as Golden State needs a perfect 4-0 run to finish an NBA-record 73-9.


It’s a strange dynamic that Popovich and Warriors head coach Steve Kerr are such good friends, with the latter having played in San Antonio, winning titles in 1999 and 2003. Although Popovich has divulged that no team has kept him up trying to find ways to stop them the way Golden State has, you can take the veteran coach at his word that he wishes them no ill will. In that sense, 73 victories mean nothing to him. There’s no motivation to prevent Kerr’s Warriors from reaching that milestone. It means nothing to him.


Golden State’s own pursuit of a perfect record at home ended at the hands of Boston on Saturday night and was compounded by a second loss on Tuesday against Minnesota, so it no longer matters that the Spurs are likely to rest everyone of consequence in Oakland. Why give the Warriors any motivation, especially at home, where they already crushed the Spurs 120-90 on Jan. 25? Popovich is notorious for spoiling nationally televised games with his maintenance plans, having just done it against Oklahoma City on March 26. The Spurs lost that game 111-92 and haven’t faltered since, which means they’ve lost just three times since the All-Star break when at full strength, winning 19 times. This week’s contests should feature more rest for regulars since the Spurs will play at Utah, Golden State and Denver, places that each have unique pitfalls. The Warriors and Nuggets game come on a back-to-back, so there’s no chance San Antonio doesn’t field a depleted roster.


That brings us to April 10. The Warriors will come to town, still chasing history. The Spurs will play their 40th home game, still chasing history. Hopefully, Popovich doesn’t put on his Grinch cap, preventing one last legitimate preview of a likely Western Conference finals that is sure to be epic.
 

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Armadillo: Friday's six-pack


Odds to win the Heisman Trophy next December.......


5-1-- Deshaun Watson, Clemson-- Seems like he has been at Clemson forever.


6-1-- Leonard Fournette, LSU-- If only LSU had a passing threat.


6-1-- Christian McCaffery, Stanford-- Media can't wait to vote for him.


10-1-- Baker Mayfield, Oklahoma-- Still can't believe Texas Tech let him walk.


12-1-- Dalvin Cook, Florida State-- Opened at 10-1.


12-1-- Seth Russell, Baylor-- Just hope he is healthy after LY's neck injury


**********


Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here......


13) If you see me in a sportsbook this week and you bet on an NHL game, do not sit next to me to watch it; twice in the last three nights, a guy sitting next to me lost his NHL bet when his team gave up the tying goal in the last 90 seconds, then lost in either OT or a shootout. No bueno.


12) Angels 4, Rangers 3-- This is why big league managers make big money and it is why they get fired. Game is tied 3-3, bottom 9th. Angels have men on 2nd and 3rd, two out and Trout is up, with Pujols up next. Do you pitch to Trout?


Texas walked Trout, Pujols crushed a ball off the wall in left-center and the Angels won. This is second time I can remember a team walking Trout to load the bases and faced Pujols with the game on the line. Both time Pujols delivered- pitch to Trout!!!


11) Giants 12, Dodgers 6-- LA led 4-0 in 5th inning, and it looked like they might go the whole season without giving up a run. Then the damn broke and Giants scored three in the 5th and four more in the 6th. Joe Panik, scored three, knocked in three.


10) Since 1985, the first round leader of The Masters has won the tournament only two times, in '08 and last year.


9) Ernie Els is one of the best golfers ever, but golf is hard. Els got a 9 on the first hole Thursday- he six-putted the hole. Not his finest moment. Els shot +8, an 81.


8) Wednesday at the Par-3 tournament, 80-year old Gary Player got a hole-in-one, fourth time he has done that at the Par-3 tournament.


7) Of the last ten NFL teams who traded the #1 pick in the draft, six had new GMs, who are more prone to want to stockpile picks to develop their team's depth.


6) North Dakota State QB Carson Wentz will be a first round pick; his QB coach with the Bison was Randy Hedberg, who played in the NFL with the '77 Buccaneers, who lost their first 12 games before finally winning the franchise's first-ever game against the Saints in the Superdome- they had been 0-26 up until then.


5) NFL schedule for 2016 gets released April 21 at 8:00, always an interesting thing to see, then analyze. As the old Vikings coach Bud Grant said, "It is not who you play, it is when you play them."


4) Orioles' Hall of Famer Brooks Robinson was in the TV booth for the NHL game in Washington last night, the Penguins-Nationals game. No idea why, just saw him up there on the big screen. I met Mr Robinson once a long time ago, just after he stopped playing, a very nice man, a real polite gentleman.


Bunch of us were watching an NFL game on TV and Brooks was there; I remember the Broncos were playing. Something weird happened in the game and he laughed, "I don't know how anyone can bet on those games." Amen.


3) Arizona Diamondbacks have worn four different jerseys in their first four games, the Padres three jerseys in their first three games; not sure what this accomplishes, but it doesn't help the team win. Arizona having eight sets of uniforms is just strange.


2) Suns 124, Rockets 115-- Gag job by Houston, losing at home to the putrid Suns. Rockets GM Daryl Morey is another one of these over-educated nitwits who doesn't think people matter, just numbers.


Accumulating talented players is not the same as building a cohesive team, it just isn't. Morey fired Kevin McHale after 11 games this year; he fired his D-League coach after the guy had two winning seasons in his only two years there. Karma is a bitch and losing to a horrendous team like Phoenix last night was payback for Morey.


1) Today would've been Catfish Hunter's 70th birthday; my favorite ballplayer as a kid, Hunter threw a perfect game in 1968, led the A's to three straight world titles from 1972-74, just a great clutch pitcher. He made my childhood a happier one.


Catfish knocked in three of the A's four runs in his perfect game against the Twins (Rich Reese struck out for the last out). He was also the losing pitcher in the 1967 All-Star Game, giving up a homer to Tony Perez in the 15th inning-- he was in his fifth inning on the mound. Today, his agent would've sued MLB for abusing his arm.


Catfish got revenge against Perez five years later, when Oakland beat the Reds in the 1972 World Series. Happy birthday, sir.
 

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Friday's Tip Sheet
April 8, 2016



Wizards at Pistons – 7:35 PM EST


The clock is running out on Washington (38-40 SU, 40-38 ATS) for a shot to make the playoffs, as the Wizards sit 3 ½ games behind the Pistons with four games remaining. Washington kept it slim postseason hopes alive with a 121-103 victory over Brooklyn on Wednesday, but point guard John Wall sat out to rest an ailing knee. Wall is questionable for tonight’s contest as the Wizards have seen plenty of success against the Pistons this season by winning each of the first three matchups, including a 124-81 home blowout in their previous meeting last month.


Detroit (42-37 SU, 40-37-2 ATS) is closing in on a playoff berth after rallying past Orlando on Wednesday, 108-104 as three-point underdogs. The Pistons busted the 100-point mark for the first time in six games, while snapping a five-game streak to the ‘under.’ Stan Van Gundy’s team has won six of their last nine home contests, but scored 95 points or less in each of the last three games at the Palace of Auburn Hills. In all three meetings with the Wizards this season, the Pistons’ offense has struggled to score by posting 95, 86, and 81 points, as all three games finished ‘under’ the total.


Pacers at Raptors – 7:35 PM EST


Even though this is the final regular season meeting between Indiana and Toronto, these two teams may hook up in the opening round of the playoffs. The Raptors (52-26 SU, 42-36 ATS) will likely finish with the second seed in the East, while the Pacers sit in the seventh position heading into tonight’s action. Toronto plays with no rest after falling at Atlanta on Thursday, 95-87 as 6 ½-point underdogs, but the Raptors own a solid 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS record since the All-Star break off a loss. The Raptors have won two of the first three matchups with the Pacers this season, including a road overtime triumph last month, 101-94.


Indiana (42-36 SU, 38-39-1 ATS) barely missed the playoffs last season after making the Eastern Conference Finals in 2014, as the Pacers are on the doorstep of returning to the postseason. The Pacers caught a break on Wednesday when the Cavaliers decided to rest LeBron James as Indiana cruised to a 123-109 victory to extend their winning streak to three. Frank Vogel’s squad has compiled a 5-8 ATS record in its last 13 games, while losing four of their last five road games to teams currently above the .500 mark.


Grizzlies at Mavericks – 8:35 PM EST


Things can change quickly in the NBA, as Dallas (40-38 SU, 43-34-1 ATS) looked to be the lone man out of the Western Conference playoff race. The Mavericks were blown out at Sacramento by 22 points on March 27, but that is the last time that Rick Carlisle’s team lost, as Dallas has run off five straight victories to pull into seventh place in the West. The style has a lot to do with Dallas’ recent success, slowing things down and playing grind-it-out games as the Mavericks have held all five opponents to 89 points or less, while not topping the 100-point mark once during this hot streak.


Memphis (42-36 SU, 41-36-1 ATS) clinched a playoff berth on Thursday after Houston was tripped up at home by Phoenix. The Grizzlies aren’t playing their best basketball of the season, but ended a six-game losing streak in Tuesday’s 108-92 victory over the Bulls as 3 ½-point home underdogs. Since upsetting Cleveland as 14 ½-point underdogs on March 7, Dave Joerger’s club has slumped to a 1-7 SU and 4-4 ATS record on the highway, as three of those ATS wins came as double-digit underdogs. After capturing the first matchup with Dallas in November, the Grizzlies have lost each of the last two meetings with the Mavericks, including a home overtime defeat in February.


Spurs at Nuggets – 9:05 PM EST


San Antonio (65-13 SU, 43-35 ATS) didn’t mail it in on national television at Golden State last night, but Gregg Popovich is resting all of his key players tonight. The Spurs fell to the Warriors, 112-101 as six-point underdogs to drop to 0-4 ATS the last four games, while slipping to 1-4 ATS in the past five road contests. Among those sitting out for San Antonio tonight include Tony Parker, Tim Duncan, Kawhi Leonard, LaMarcus Aldridge, and Manu Ginobili.


The Nuggets (32-47 SU, 40-37-2 ATS) will try to avoid the season sweep against the Spurs after losing each of the first three matchups. Denver managed a cover as 13 ½-point underdogs at San Antonio in November, but the Spurs cashed each of the last two meetings, including a 91-80 victory at the Pepsi Center right after Thanksgiving. The Nuggets have slumped down the stretch by losing five of their past six games, while losing three straight home contests since a five-game winning streak at the Pepsi Center last month.


Clippers at Jazz – 9:05 PM EST


Los Angeles (50-28 SU, 37-38-3 ATS) is locked into the fourth position in the Western Conference, coming off a sweep of the Lakers on a home-and-home set earlier this week. The Clippers will likely rest Chris Paul and DeAndre Jordan tonight as Los Angeles has won seven of its past eight games with the only loss coming at Oklahoma City with all their starters sitting out in a 119-117 defeat. Los Angeles hasn’t faced Utah since December 26, as the Clippers held off the Jazz in Salt Lake City, 109-104 as two-point road favorites.


The Jazz (39-39 SU, 40-38 ATS) are in must-win mode over the next week, holding onto a 1 ½-game advantage over the Rockets for the final playoff spot in the West. Utah has struggled against the Western Conference elite this season, posting a 1-13 record against the top four teams, coming off a heartbreaking 88-86 setback to the Spurs on Tuesday, 88-86 as 3 ½-point home underdogs. Quin Snyder’s team owns an impressive 7-2 ATS record in the last nine games with one of those defeats coming in an overtime loss to the Warriors. Since mid-March, the Jazz are riding an 11-2 mark to the ‘under’ the last 13 games, including a 5-1 ‘under’ ledger in the past six home contests.
 

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NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, April 8

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BROOKLYN (21 - 57) at CHARLOTTE (45 - 33) - 4/8/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-5 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 6-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (31 - 48) at PHILADELPHIA (10 - 68) - 4/8/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-41 ATS (-13.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-49 ATS (-28.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-5 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 9-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (46 - 32) at ORLANDO (33 - 45) - 4/8/2016, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (38 - 40) at DETROIT (42 - 37) - 4/8/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-5 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (42 - 36) at TORONTO (52 - 26) - 4/8/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 9-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (32 - 46) at BOSTON (46 - 32) - 4/8/2016, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-5 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (16 - 62) at NEW ORLEANS (29 - 49) - 4/8/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 42-57 ATS (-20.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 35-43 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) on Friday nights this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (42 - 36) at DALLAS (40 - 38) - 4/8/2016, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 118-87 ATS (+22.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 150-113 ATS (+25.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-5 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (65 - 13) at DENVER (32 - 47) - 4/8/2016, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 10-0 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (50 - 28) at UTAH (39 - 39) - 4/8/2016, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 8-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, April 8

Hot teams
-- Charlotte won six of its last nine games (0-3 last 3HF).
-- Miami won seven of its last ten games (6-3 last 9AF). Magic is 4-2 in its last six games (5-1 last six HU).
-- Detroit won seven of its last ten games (11-6-1 last 18HF).
-- Toronto won three of last four home games (4-2 last 6HF). Pacers won their last three games, all as favorites (1-2 last 3A).
-- Celtics won seven of their last nine games (5-4 last 9HF).
-- Dallas won its last five games (0-4 last 4HF).
-- Spurs won six of their last eight games (2-4 last 6AF)- they figure to rest some guys tonight.
-- Clippers won seven of their last eight games (2-3 last 5A). Utah won six of its last nine games (3-1 last 4H).

Cold teams
-- Nets lost their last six games (0-6 vs spread).
-- Knicks lost five of their last six games (3-4AF). 76ers lost nine of last ten games, but covered five of their last seven.
-- Wizards lost five of their last eight games (3-0 last 3AU).
-- Bucks lost seven of their last nine games (5-2 last 7AU).
-- Lakers lost seven of their last eight games (0-3 last 3AU). Pelicans lost six of their last nine games (3-7 last 10HF).
-- Memphis lost six of its last seven games (4-3 last 7AU).
-- Denver lost five of its last six games (5-3 last 8HU).

Series records
-- Nets lost four of last five games with Charlotte.
-- 76ers lost their last four games with New York.
-- Heat won nine of last ten games with Orlando.
-- Wizards won their last four games with Detroit.
-- Raptors won six of last seven games with Indiana.
-- Celtics won three of last four games with Milwaukee.
-- Pelicans are 5-2 in last seven games with Lakers, but lost last two.
-- Dallas lost four of last five visits to Memphis.
-- Spurs won last ten games with Denver (7-3 vs spread).
-- Clippers won nine of last ten games with Utah.

Totals
-- Four of last six Brooklyn games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven New York games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Miami games stayed under the total; four of last five Orlando games went over.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Washington-Detroit games.
-- Six of last nine Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee-Boston games went over total.
-- Four of last five Laker-Pelican games stayed under.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Memphis-Dallas games.
-- Three of last four Denver games went over total.
-- Seven of last nine Clipper games stayed under the total.

Back/backs
-- Miami is 8-6 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Toronto covered five of its last six games if they played night before.
-- Spurs covered two of last eight games if they played night before.
 

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Friday, April 8

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games on the road
Miami is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Miami
Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

7:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. CHARLOTTE
Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn

7:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
New York is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing at home against New York

7:30 PM
INDIANA vs. TORONTO
Indiana is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Indiana
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

7:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. DETROIT
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Washington is 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

7:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. BOSTON
Milwaukee is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Boston
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games

8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. NEW ORLEANS
LA Lakers are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 18 of New Orleans's last 22 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games

8:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. DALLAS
Memphis is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Memphis is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dallas's last 15 games at home

9:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. UTAH
LA Clippers are 3-13-2 ATS in their last 18 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of the LA Clippers last 9 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Utah's last 13 games
Utah is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

9:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. DENVER
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Denver
Denver is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Antonio
Denver is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Antonio
 

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NBA ATS


NBA > (519) LA CLIPPERS@ (520) UTAH | 2016-04-08 21:05:00 - 2016-04-08 21:05:00
Play ON UTAH against the spread in All games revenging a home loss vs opponent
The record is 28 Wins and 7 Losses for the last two seasons (+20.3 units)

NBA > (517) SAN ANTONIO@ (518) DENVER | 2016-04-08 21:05:00 - 2016-04-08 21:05:00
Play AGAINST DENVER against the spread in Home games after a loss by 10 points or more
The record is 5 Wins and 20 Losses for the last two seasons (-17 units)


NBA > (519) LA CLIPPERS@ (520) UTAH | 2016-04-08 21:05:00 - 2016-04-08 21:05:00
Play ON UTAH against the spread in All games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 57 Wins and 28 Losses for the last two seasons (+26.2 units)


--------------------


NBA MONEYLINE


NBA > (509) INDIANA@ (510) TORONTO | 2016-04-08 19:35:00 - 2016-04-08 19:35:00
Play ON TORONTO using money line in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 16 Wins and 3 Losses for the this season (+13.8 units)


NBA > (517) SAN ANTONIO@ (518) DENVER | 2016-04-08 21:05:00 - 2016-04-08 21:05:00
Play AGAINST DENVER using money line in Home games after a loss by 10 points or more
The record is 6 Wins and 20 Losses for the last two seasons (-20.8 units)


NBA > (513) LA LAKERS@ (514) NEW ORLEANS | 2016-04-08 20:05:00 - 2016-04-08 20:05:00
Play AGAINST NEW ORLEANS using money line in All games after 3 or more consecutive unders
The record is 6 Wins and 18 Losses for the last three seasons (-20.7 units)


NBA > (509) INDIANA@ (510) TORONTO | 2016-04-08 19:35:00 - 2016-04-08 19:35:00
Play AGAINST INDIANA using money line in All games revenging a home loss vs opponent
The record is 7 Wins and 23 Losses for the last two seasons (-20.55 units)

NBA > (505) MIAMI@ (506) ORLANDO | 2016-04-08 19:05:00 - 2016-04-08 19:05:00
Play ON MIAMI using money line in Road games after 3 or more consecutive unders
The record is 12 Wins and 5 Losses for the last two seasons (+16.25 units)

NBA > (513) LA LAKERS@ (514) NEW ORLEANS | 2016-04-08 20:05:00 - 2016-04-08 20:05:00
Play AGAINST NEW ORLEANS using money line in All games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 10 Wins and 28 Losses for the this season (-21.2 units)


NBA > (505) MIAMI@ (506) ORLANDO | 2016-04-08 19:05:00 - 2016-04-08 19:05:00
Play AGAINST ORLANDO using money line in All games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 16 Wins and 31 Losses for the this season (-22.85 units)

NBA > (515) MEMPHIS@ (516) DALLAS | 2016-04-08 20:35:00 - 2016-04-08 20:35:00
Play AGAINST DALLAS using money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season
The record is 14 Wins and 32 Losses for the last two seasons (-23.8 units)


NBA > (507) WASHINGTON@ (508) DETROIT | 2016-04-08 19:35:00 - 2016-04-08 19:35:00
Play ON WASHINGTON using money line in All games in April games
The record is 20 Wins and 7 Losses for the last three seasons (+16.4 units)


NBA > (519) LA CLIPPERS@ (520) UTAH | 2016-04-08 21:05:00 - 2016-04-08 21:05:00
Play ON UTAH using money line in All games revenging a home loss vs opponent
The record is 21 Wins and 16 Losses for the last two seasons (+20.65 units)


------------------


NBA FIRST HALF


NBA > (517) SAN ANTONIO@ (518) DENVER | 2016-04-08 21:05:00 - 2016-04-08 21:05:00
Play ON SAN ANTONIO ?>in the first halfin All games versus the 1rst half line in road games
The record is 27 Wins and 11 Losses for the this season (+14.9 units)

NBA > (505) MIAMI@ (506) ORLANDO | 2016-04-08 19:05:00 - 2016-04-08 19:05:00
Play ON ORLANDO ?>in the first halfin Home games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 17 Wins and 5 Losses for the this season (+11.5 units)


NBA > (515) MEMPHIS@ (516) DALLAS | 2016-04-08 20:35:00 - 2016-04-08 20:35:00
Play ON MEMPHIS ?>in the first halfin All games after scoring 105 points or more
The record is 17 Wins and 5 Losses for the this season (+11.5 units)

NBA > (513) LA LAKERS@ (514) NEW ORLEANS | 2016-04-08 20:05:00 - 2016-04-08 20:05:00
Play AGAINST LA LAKERS ?>in the first halfin All games after a loss by 10 points or more
The record is 13 Wins and 28 Losses for the this season (-17.8 units)


-------------------


NBA TOTALS


NBA > (519) LA CLIPPERS@ (520) UTAH | 2016-04-08 21:05:00 - 2016-04-08 21:05:00
Play UNDER UTAH on the totalin All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 13 Overs and 47 Unders for the last two seasons (+32.7 units)


NBA > (519) LA CLIPPERS@ (520) UTAH | 2016-04-08 21:05:00 - 2016-04-08 21:05:00
Play UNDER UTAH on the totalin All games second half of the season
The record is 16 Overs and 49 Unders for the last two seasons (+31.4 units)


NBA > (515) MEMPHIS@ (516) DALLAS | 2016-04-08 20:35:00 - 2016-04-08 20:35:00
Play UNDER DALLAS on the totalin All games off an upset win as an underdog
The record is 1 Overs and 12 Unders for the this season (+10.9 units)

NBA > (517) SAN ANTONIO@ (518) DENVER | 2016-04-08 21:05:00 - 2016-04-08 21:05:00
Play UNDER SAN ANTONIO on the totalin Road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 26 Overs and 67 Unders for the last three seasons (+38.4 units)


NBA > (513) LA LAKERS@ (514) NEW ORLEANS | 2016-04-08 20:05:00 - 2016-04-08 20:05:00
Play OVER NEW ORLEANS on the totalin Home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 14 Overs and 2 Unders for the this season (+11.8 units)


NBA > (513) LA LAKERS@ (514) NEW ORLEANS | 2016-04-08 20:05:00 - 2016-04-08 20:05:00
Play OVER NEW ORLEANS on the totalin All games in home games
The record is 28 Overs and 10 Unders for the this season (+17 units)


NBA > (517) SAN ANTONIO@ (518) DENVER | 2016-04-08 21:05:00 - 2016-04-08 21:05:00
Play OVER DENVER on the totalin Home games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 17 Overs and 4 Unders for the this season (+12.6 units)

NBA > (513) LA LAKERS@ (514) NEW ORLEANS | 2016-04-08 20:05:00 - 2016-04-08 20:05:00
Play UNDER NEW ORLEANS on the totalin All games revenging a home loss vs opponent
The record is 13 Overs and 38 Unders for the last three seasons (+23.7 units)

NBA > (503) NEW YORK@ (504) PHILADELPHIA | 2016-04-08 19:05:00 - 2016-04-08 19:05:00
Play OVER PHILADELPHIA on the totalin All games in April games
The record is 10 Overs and 0 Unders for the last two seasons (+10 units)
 

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4 / 7 Results 2 - 1


Overall 25 - 29





FRIDAY, APRIL 8


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS




BK at CHA 07:00 PM


BK +14.0


O 208.5


NY at PHI 07:00 PM


PHI +1.5


U 204.0


MIA at ORL 07:00 PM


ORL +1.0


U 208.0


WAS at DET 07:30 PM


WAS +6.0


O 205.5


MIL at BOS 07:30 PM


BOS -10.5


U 204.0



IND at TOR 07:30 PM


IND -5.5


O 195.5


LAL at NO 08:00 PM


LAL +3.0


O 203.0


MEM at DAL 08:30 PM


DAL -6.5


U 192.5


LAC at UTA 09:00 PM


LAC +13.5


U 184.0


SA at DEN 09:00 PM


DEN -2.5


U 198.0
 

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Spurs coach faces Warriors dilemma


Gregg Popovich has the NBA by the throat this week.


He can either let his Spurs breathe and stretch their legs out in games against the Warriors, or he can choke out all the fun of what remains of the regular season by sitting out his main guys. The decision is entirely his.


Selfishly, we all want to see the Western Conference’s top heavyweights battle late Thursday and on Sunday evening, but there’s no way Popovich will allow that to happen. He’s already showed his hand against Golden State, pulling off an 87-79 win on March 19 in a dominant defensive performance where he threw caution to the wind and put his theories on how to contain Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson on full display. The victory allowed San Antonio to know beyond a shadow of a doubt that it can defeat the Warriors if the teams were to meet in a series, something they haven’t done since the 2013 West semifinals, a series won 4-2 by the Spurs.


Perfect run at home worth fighting for
What we can hope for is one more clash where both teams put it all out there. From San Antonio’s standpoint, they do have something to play for on April 10 since that will be their 40th home game of the season. The Spurs have opened 39-0 at the AT&T Center, setting a single-season record, which means that wins over the Warriors and on April 12 over Oklahoma City would complete the first perfect season at home in NBA history. Of course, Popovich has already been asked about this and intimated that it means as much to him as a “cup of coffee.”


Seriously? There’s no question that the Spurs way is basically beyond reproach given the volume of success that the franchise has attained. Team goals have always been placed over individual ones, and the pursuit of a championship trumps all. While that makes sense, a perfect record at home is a team honor. In fact, it can be viewed as a reward for perhaps the best fan base in the NBA, a loyal group that has supported the Spurs religiously with a devotion few other teams enjoy. If you’ve ever been to San Antonio, that’s crystal clear. Billboards and signs remind you whose town it is at all times. Since the NFL never did make it down to the Alamodome, it’s a one-team city. The fact the team has been so remarkably effective is gravy. They would support it even if the product was mediocre.


Of course, the product is far from that, which is why Popovich shouldn’t overlook the historical aspect of what his team is on the verge of accomplishing. Because of the start the Warriors surged out to, San Antonio’s success has been largely overshadowed. The Spurs have already set a franchise-record for victories after opening 64-12. Considering all the resting Pop has done of starters, not to mention getting new franchise pillar LaMarcus Aldridge up to speed, that’s remarkable. Because the Warriors are still on the chase of the all-time wins record, San Antonio’s success has basically been ignored. Now the Spurs stand in theiway -- twice -- as Golden State needs a perfect 4-0 run to finish an NBA-record 73-9.


It’s a strange dynamic that Popovich and Warriors head coach Steve Kerr are such good friends, with the latter having played in San Antonio, winning titles in 1999 and 2003. Although Popovich has divulged that no team has kept him up trying to find ways to stop them the way Golden State has, you can take the veteran coach at his word that he wishes them no ill will. In that sense, 73 victories mean nothing to him. There’s no motivation to prevent Kerr’s Warriors from reaching that milestone. It means nothing to him.


Golden State’s own pursuit of a perfect record at home ended at the hands of Boston on Saturday night and was compounded by a second loss on Tuesday against Minnesota, so it no longer matters that the Spurs are likely to rest everyone of consequence in Oakland. Why give the Warriors any motivation, especially at home, where they already crushed the Spurs 120-90 on Jan. 25? Popovich is notorious for spoiling nationally televised games with his maintenance plans, having just done it against Oklahoma City on March 26. The Spurs lost that game 111-92 and haven’t faltered since, which means they’ve lost just three times since the All-Star break when at full strength, winning 19 times. This week’s contests should feature more rest for regulars since the Spurs will play at Utah, Golden State and Denver, places that each have unique pitfalls. The Warriors and Nuggets game come on a back-to-back, so there’s no chance San Antonio doesn’t field a depleted roster.


That brings us to April 10. The Warriors will come to town, still chasing history. The Spurs will play their 40th home game, still chasing history. Hopefully, Popovich doesn’t put on his Grinch cap, preventing one last legitimate preview of a likely Western Conference finals that is sure to be epic.


Perfect run at home worth fighting for


What we can hope for is one more clash where both teams put it all out there. From San Antonio’s standpoint, they do have something to play for on April 10 since that will be their 40th home game of the season. The Spurs have opened 39-0 at the AT&T Center, setting a single-season record, which means that wins over the Warriors and on April 12 over Oklahoma City would complete the first perfect season at home in NBA history. Of course, Popovich has already been asked about this and intimated that it means as much to him as a “cup of coffee.”


Seriously? There’s no question that the Spurs way is basically beyond reproach given the volume of success that the franchise has attained. Team goals have always been placed over individual ones, and the pursuit of a championship trumps all. While that makes sense, a perfect record at home is a team honor. In fact, it can be viewed as a reward for perhaps the best fan base in the NBA, a loyal group that has supported the Spurs religiously with a devotion few other teams enjoy. If you’ve ever been to San Antonio, that’s crystal clear. Billboards and signs remind you whose town it is at all times. Since the NFL never did make it down to the Alamodome, it’s a one-team city. The fact the team has been so remarkably effective is gravy. They would support it even if the product was mediocre.


Of course, the product is far from that, which is why Popovich shouldn’t overlook the historical aspect of what his team is on the verge of accomplishing. Because of the start the Warriors surged out to, San Antonio’s success has been largely overshadowed. The Spurs have already set a franchise-record for victories after opening 64-12. Considering all the resting Pop has done of starters, not to mention getting new franchise pillar LaMarcus Aldridge up to speed, that’s remarkable. Because the Warriors are still on the chase of the all-time wins record, San Antonio’s success has basically been ignored. Now the Spurs stand in theiway -- twice -- as Golden State needs a perfect 4-0 run to finish an NBA-record 73-9.


It’s a strange dynamic that Popovich and Warriors head coach Steve Kerr are such good friends, with the latter having played in San Antonio, winning titles in 1999 and 2003. Although Popovich has divulged that no team has kept him up trying to find ways to stop them the way Golden State has, you can take the veteran coach at his word that he wishes them no ill will. In that sense, 73 victories mean nothing to him. There’s no motivation to prevent Kerr’s Warriors from reaching that milestone. It means nothing to him.


Golden State’s own pursuit of a perfect record at home ended at the hands of Boston on Saturday night and was compounded by a second loss on Tuesday against Minnesota, so it no longer matters that the Spurs are likely to rest everyone of consequence in Oakland. Why give the Warriors any motivation, especially at home, where they already crushed the Spurs 120-90 on Jan. 25? Popovich is notorious for spoiling nationally televised games with his maintenance plans, having just done it against Oklahoma City on March 26. The Spurs lost that game 111-92 and haven’t faltered since, which means they’ve lost just three times since the All-Star break when at full strength, winning 19 times. This week’s contests should feature more rest for regulars since the Spurs will play at Utah, Golden State and Denver, places that each have unique pitfalls. The Warriors and Nuggets game come on a back-to-back, so there’s no chance San Antonio doesn’t field a depleted roster.


That brings us to April 10. The Warriors will come to town, still chasing history. The Spurs will play their 40th home game, still chasing history. Hopefully, Popovich doesn’t put on his Grinch cap, preventing one last legitimate preview of a likely Western Conference finals that is sure to be epic.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 9

Hot teams
-- New Orleans won its last three home games (3-0 last 3HF).
-- Celtics won eight of their last ten games (1-6 last 7AU). Hawks won six of their last eight games (5-3 last 8HF).
-- Warriors won eight of their last ten games (4-2 last 6AF).
-- Cavaliers won four of their last five games (2-5 last 7AF).
-- Minnesota won three of last four road games (5-2 last 7AU). Portland won six of its last seven games (2-4 last 6HF).

Cold teams
-- Suns lost seven of last eight games, but covered five of last seven.
-- Memphis lost seven of its last eight games (8-2 last 10HU).
-- Chicago lost three of its last four games (2-4 last 6HU).
-- Thunder lost three of last four road games (6-3 last 9AF). Sacramento lost three of last four games overall (3-6 last 9HU).

Series records
-- Pelicans won three of last four games with Phoenix.
-- Hawks won five of last seven games with Boston.
-- Warriors won/covered last five games with Memphis.
-- Cavaliers won four of last six games with Chicago.
-- Trailblazers won their last four games with Minnesota.
-- Thunder won eight of last ten games with Sacramento.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Phoenix games stayed under the total
-- Seven of last nine Boston games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Memphis-Golden State games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Cleveland-Chicago games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Minnesota games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last ten thunder-Sacramento games stayed under.

Back/backs
-- Pelicans are 8-5 in last 13 games if they played night before.
-- Boston is 11-7 if it played the night before.
 

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Saturday, April 9

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
Phoenix is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
New Orleans is 6-15-1 SU in its last 22 games ,
New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix

7:30 PM
BOSTON vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Boston's last 13 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 12 games at home
Atlanta is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

8:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State

8:30 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CHICAGO
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
Chicago is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Cleveland

10:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. SACRAMENTO
Oklahoma City is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Sacramento is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

10:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. PORTLAND
Minnesota is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing Portland
Minnesota is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Portland's last 9 games
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
 

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