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Sunday, May 1



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Sunday's NBA playoffs betting preview and odds
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The Raptors have not won a playoff series since 2001 and never a 7-game series. They're 5.5-point faves for Game 7 vs. the Pacers.


Sunday is chalk full of great NBA action with a pair of Game 7's in the East sandwiching the second West semi final. We break down all the action so you can cap the games like a pro.


Charlotte Hornets at Miami Heat (-6.5, 191)


Series tied 3-3



The Charlotte Hornets had a chance to close out the series at home but ran into a vintage performance from Dwyane Wade in Game 6. Now it’s the Miami Heat with a chance to clinch the best-of-7 series in front of their home fans, and they host the Hornets in the decisive Game 7 on Sunday.


Wade scored 10 of his team-high 23 points in the fourth quarter of Friday’s 97-90 triumph, including a pair of rare 3-pointers that helped seal the win. “I trust my teammates and I love them, but if we were going to lose, I was going out shooting it,” Wade told reporters. “At this point in my career, I play for these moments. ... It’s what makes you feel alive.” Kemba Walker tried to carry his team in the same manner and finished with 37 points on 14-of-30 shooting in the losing effort for the Hornets. “It’s always tough to lose, obviously,” Walker told reporters. “We made so many mistakes. We just have to be better. Of course I wish it had gone our way, but they just made great plays down the stretch, and they deserved to win.”


TV: 1 p.m. ET, ABC


LINE HISTORY: The Heat opened as 7-point home favorites for their winner-take-all Game 7 versus the Hornets. The line has been bet down to -6.5. The total has yet to move off the opening number of 191. Check out the complete line history here.


ABOUT THE HORNETS (51-37, 45-42-1 ATS, 42-44-1 O/U): Walker scored 14 of the team’s 20 points in the fourth quarter on Friday and could use a more consistent effort from the other perimeter players on the team. Small forward Marvin Williams and guards Courtney Lee, Nicolas Batum and Jeremy Lin have shined at times in the series but combined to go 4-of-22 from the floor in Game 6, and Batum missed the second half with ankle and foot injuries that already forced him out of two games in the series. “I tried everything,” Batum told the Charlotte Observer. “I tried hard, but I can’t push side to side. I was hurting the team much more than I was helping the team. So I told coach, ‘if you need me in the second half, call me.’ But it’s tough.”


ABOUT THE HEAT (51-37, 46-41-1 ATS, 36-51-1 O/U): Wade is getting more of a boost from his teammates, and Loul Deng continued a strong series with 21 points on 9-of-14 shooting in Game 6. The veteran forward is averaging 19.7 points in the series (up from 12.3 in the regular season) while shooting 51.4 percent from 3-point range (up from 34.4). “The best thing about (Game 7) is we’re at home,” Deng told reporters. “We gave ourselves another chance to fight. We have to come out with a lot of energy. It’s going to be a great game. I’m glad we’re home.”


TRENDS:


* Heat are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.
* Hornets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a SU loss.
* Under is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Over is 5-1 in Hornets last six road games.





Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors (-8.5, 209.5)



The Portland Trail Blazers benefited from some injury luck in the first round against the Los Angeles Clippers and are hoping for some more when they visit the top-seeded Golden State Warriors in Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals on Sunday. Warriors MVP guard Stephen Curry (knee) will miss Game 1 and could miss several games in the series.


Curry was diagnosed with a grade 1 strain of his right MCL after falling awkwardly in Game 4 of the first round against the Houston Rockets on Apr. 24 and was given a timetable of two weeks before being evaluated again. “Feeling better but just got a ways to go," Curry told reporters on Friday. "I always have an optimistic view, no matter what it is. I hope to get back sooner. I haven't talked to the doctors, athletic training staff, all the experts. That two-week timeline was, as (Golden State general manager) Bob (Myers) says, an educated guess." The Trail Blazers certainly wouldn’t mind if he missed the whole series and just got done wrapping up a first-round win over a Clippers squad that was without stars Chris Paul and Blake Griffin for the final two games. “We thought (Los Angeles) was tough without (Paul) and Blake, but (the Warriors are) a championship team,” Portland guard Damian Lillard told reporters. “Even without Steph, they’re still a championship team. We’ve got to keep our mind right, compete and play together. … We’ve just got to keep improving on the things we’ve done well and be locked in defensively.”


TV: 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC


LINE HISTORY: The Warriors opened Game 1 as 7.5-point home favorites and even without Steph Curry bettors have felt that wasn't enough with the line already moving to -8.5. The total has been bet down a point and a half from 211 to 209.5. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (48-40, 47-41 ATS, 46-42 O/U):
Portland lost the first two games in the first round before winning four straight and were immediately turning the page to Golden State after clinching the series on Friday. “They pose a lot of problems,” Trail Blazers guard C.J. McCollum told reporters of the Warriors. “Historically speaking, they had a really good year breaking the record for wins, losing (two games) at home I believe this year, so you know it’s going to be a tough environment. Offensively, even without Steph, they do a great job of moving the ball.” McCollum was a key to the first-round win, averaging 12.5 points in Games 1 and 2 before exploding for 23.3 over the final four contests.

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (77-10, 49-36-2 ATS, 46-40-1 O/U):
Golden State dominated the Houston Rockets in the final six quarters of the first-round series after watching Curry go down just before the half in Game 4, outscoring them 179-119 over the final 1 1/2 games. “(We’re) doing a few things different with Steph out,” Warriors forward Andre Iguodala told reporters. “We don’t have that explosive, MVP-type player. But we did a really good job of getting into that mode, making a couple extra passes per possession. The ball had to move quicker. Klay (Thompson) has to move a little bit more than normal. Get the ball in the post a little bit more.” Golden State has two more All-Stars in Thompson and Draymond Green to go along with a solid supporting cast that will hold the fort until Curry returns.


TRENDS:


* Favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games.
* Over is 6-0 in the last six meetings.
* Under is 6-0 in Trail Blazers last six games following a ATS loss.






Indiana Pacers at Toronto Raptors (-5.5, 190.5)


Series tied 3-3



All the pressure is on the second-seeded Toronto Raptors when they host the Indiana Pacers on Sunday in the finale of the best-of-7 Eastern Conference first-round series. Toronto hasn't won a postseason series since 2001 - the longest drought in the NBA - and is being severely tested by a seventh-seed team that won 11 fewer regular-season games.


Indiana remained alive with a solid 101-83 victory in Game 6 to even the series and Raptors All-Star shooting guard DeMar DeRozan doesn't need to be reminded what a Game 7 home loss will mean. "The season would be a failure if we don't get out of the first round and give ourselves a chance to play in the second round," DeRozan told reporters. "We understand that." DeRozan scored just eight points on Friday for the second time in three games and the shaky performances from him and point guard Kyle Lowry - the first player to shoot below 40 percent in each of the first six games of the postseason - have the Pacers on the brink of pulling off the improbable series victory. "I believe we can play with this team," Indiana coach Frank Vogel said after Game 6. "We have great respect for them, but I really believe we're hitting our stride at the right time and playing our best basketball of the season when it matters."


TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT, Sportsnet (Toronto)


LINE HISTORY: The Raptors opened as 6.5-point home favorites for this winner-take-all Game 7, but bettors are siding with history and the Pacers as the number has moved down to -5.5. The total opened at 190.5 and has yet to move that number. Check out the complete line history here.


ABOUT THE PACERS (48-40, 45-41-1 ATS, 38-50 O/U): All five Indiana starters scored 12 or more points in Game 6 as the team gave All-Star forward Paul George some much-needed support. George has been carrying the team by averaging 27.5 points, 6.8 rebounds, 4.8 assists and 1.8 steals in the series and he had 21 points, 11 rebounds and six assists in Friday's victory. "We just had a fight in us," George told reporters. "As a group, collectively, we knew that this could be the end of our season. We just did a great job of battling."

ABOUT THE RAPTORS (59-29, 47-41 ATS, 43-44-1 O/U):
DeRozan is averaging 15.8 points and shooting 32.1 percent from the field, while Lowry is faring even worse at 14.3 points and 31 percent. Forward Patrick Patterson, who is shooting 31 percent over the past four games after starting off the series by making 9-of-11 shots, said the Raptors need to take a long at themselves in the mirror. "Do we want to be the team that won 56 games? Do we want to be the team that got two All-Stars to the All-Star Game, set new records, went on long winning streaks and played great defense in the first half of the season?" Patterson rhetorically asked reporters. "Or do we want to be the team that has come into Indiana the past two times and got blown out of the water? We have to decide what we want to be."


TRENDS:


* Pacers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a ATS win.
* Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss.
* Under is 6-1 in Raptors last seven overall.
* Under is 7-1 in Pacers last eight overall.
 

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NBA
Dunkel


Sunday, May 1




Charlotte @ Miami



Game 727-728
May 1, 2016 @ 1:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
120.340
Miami
124.999
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 4 1/2
187
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 6 1/2
191
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+6 1/2); Under


Indiana @ Toronto



Game 725-726
May 1, 2016 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
123.258
Toronto
122.334
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 1
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 6
189
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+6); Over


Portland @ Golden State



Game 505-506
May 1, 2016 @ 3:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Portland
123.689
Golden State
136.246
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 12 1/2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 8 1/2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-8 1/2); Under







NBA
Long Sheet


Sunday, May 1



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PORTLAND (48 - 40) at GOLDEN STATE (77 - 10) - 5/1/2016, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 48-36 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 45-35 ATS (+6.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 58-40 ATS (+14.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 55-38 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 63-43 ATS (+15.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 71-100 ATS (-39.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 8-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
9 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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INDIANA (48 - 40) at TORONTO (59 - 29) - 5/1/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
INDIANA is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
INDIANA is 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 12-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 11-6 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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CHARLOTTE (51 - 37) at MIAMI (51 - 37) - 5/1/2016, 1:05 PM

Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 25-16 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 13-9 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 15-7 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
12 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up


Sunday, May 1


Indiana-Toronto (3-3)

Raptors are 9-4 in last 13 games against Indiana, they shot 40% from floor in three series wins, under 40% in three losses. Toronto is 12-4 vs spread in last 16 series games- seven of last nine series games stayed under total. Lowry/DeRozan were combined 7-27 in Game 6; they've won/covered four of last five games vs Indiana that were played here. Indiana blew a 13-point 4th-quarter lead in last game here.


Charlotte-Miami (3-3)
Charlotte lost chance to clinch series at home in Game 6, now return to South Beach, where they're 2-3 in last five visits, 1-2 in this series. Heat scored 97+ points in its three series wins, 88 or less in its three losses. Last four series games stayed under the total. After having great balance in Game 5 upset win, Walker took 30 shots in Game 6 and Hornets had only two starters score more than 7 points, while bench was combined -36 in 59:00 played.


Portland-Golden State (0-0)
Remember, no Steph Curry here. Warriors won six of last seven against Portland, covered eight of last ten Trailblazers are 0-4 vs spread last four times they came to Oakland. Portland got here ebcause Paul/Griffin got hurt for the Clippers, now Curry is out; Blazers are 7-3 in last 10 games, with six of last eight staying under the total. Golden State won seven of last nine games, covered six of last seven- under is 6-2 in their last eight.


Playoff tally: Favorites vs spread: 25-17, Over: 13-29
Second round: Favorites: 1-0, over: 1-0









NBA


Sunday, May 1



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Trend Report
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1:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. MIAMI
Charlotte is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Miami's last 11 games when playing at home against Charlotte


3:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Portland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Portland
 

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Hornets at Heat
April 30, 2016



CHARLOTE HORNETS (51-37) at MIAMI HEAT (51-37)
Eastern Conference – Round 1
Sportsbook.ag Line: Miami -6.5, Total: 191

The Heat host the Hornets in a win or go home Game 7 at American Airlines Arena on Sunday.

Charlotte had a chance to closeout this series at home, but the team was unable to put away a desperate Miami team. The Heat were two-point underdogs in the game, but they ended up winning 97-90. One of the big differences in the game was that Miami outrebounded Charlotte 52-43. The Heat also shot 45.8% from the floor and held the Hornets to just 42.1%.

Miami will be confident coming into this one, as the team is 9-2 SU and 6-5 ATS when hosting Charlotte over the past three seasons. The Heat are also 15-7 ATS after having lost two of their past three games this season.

Charlotte, however, is 9-1 ATS in road games revenging a SU loss as a favorite versus an opponent over the past two seasons.

SF Nicolas Batum (Ankle) is listed as questionable for the Hornets, who are without C Spencer Hawes (MCL) and SF Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (Shoulder) for the rest of the season. The Heat remain without PF Chris Bosh (Blood Clot) indefinitely.

The Hornets are going to be kicking themselves after having a chance to win this series on Friday night. Now they’ll need to turn around and find a way to beat the Heat in Miami once again on Sunday.

One guy that will be ready for this one is PG Kemba Walker (25.0 PPG, 3.7 APG, 1.3 SPG in playoffs). Walker had 37 points and five assists in Game 6 and was truly outstanding for his team. He was hitting all of his jumpers and blew by Miami’s defenders to finish at the rim whenever he wanted. He’ll need to be aggressive as a scorer once again in Game 7.

C Al Jefferson (14.8 PPG, 6.8 RPG in playoffs) could be the guy that steps up and helps Walker in this one. He played well in Game 6, finishing the game with 18 points and nine boards in 30 minutes of action. The Heat have more athletic bigs than Jefferson, but he is a lot stronger than them and knows how to use his body around the basket. He’ll need to come away with a solid performance on both ends of the floor.

The Heat desperately needed a victory on Friday and SG Dwyane Wade (20.2 PPG, 5.7 APG, 5.3 RPG, 1.2 BPG in playoffs) delivered it for the team with a huge performance. Wade had 23 points, six boards, four assists, three blocks and two steals in Game 6. He was finishing around the rim, but he was also knocking down jumpers and that was something that he did not do this season. Miami will need Wade to come through once again on Sunday.

C Hassan Whiteside (13.7 PPG, 11.3 RPG, 3.2 BPG in playoffs) will also be big for this Heat team in Game 7. He had 12 points, seven boards and four blocks in Game 6 but he did foul out of that one. He’ll need to stay on the floor in this one, as he is important on both ends of the court for Miami.
 

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NBA Playoffs - Game 7 Facts
April 30, 2016



Game 7 Quick Facts


-- The NBA has had 121 Game 7’s in playoff history


-- The home team is 97-24 (80%) in those games


-- The 2015 postseason featured two Game 7's. The home team went 2-0 with the Los Angeles Clippers and Houston Rockets capturing victories.


-- The 2014 postseason featured five Game 7's. The home team went 4-1 in those games and the lone visitor to win was Brooklyn, who defeated Toronto 104-103 in overtime.


-- The 'over' has cashed in six of the last eight Game 7's in the NBA Playoffs.


Charlotte Game 7 History (0-1)


2001 Eastern Conference Semifinals
Charlotte 95 at Milwaukee 104


Miami Game 7 History (5-3)


1997 Eastern Conference Semifinals
Miami 101 vs. New York 90


2000 Eastern Conference Semifinals
Miami 82 vs. New York 83


2004 Eastern Conference First Round
Miami 85 New Orleans 77


2005 Eastern Conference Finals
Miami 82 vs. Detroit 88


2009 Eastern Conference First Round
Miami 78 at Atlanta 91


2012 Eastern Conference Finals
Miami 101 vs. Boston 88


2013 Eastern Conference Finals
Miami 99 vs. Indiana 76


2013 NBA Finals
Miami 95 vs. San Antonio 88


Indiana Game 7 History (3-4)
1994 Eastern Conference Finals
Indiana 90 at New York 94


1995 Eastern Conference Semifinals
Indiana 97 at New York 95


1995 Eastern Conference Finals
Indiana 81 at Orlando 105


1998 Eastern Conference Finals
Indiana 83 at Chicago 88


2005 Eastern Conference First Round
Indiana 97 at Boston 70


2013 Eastern Conference Finals
Indiana 76 at Miami 99


2014 Eastern Conference First Round
Indiana 92 vs. Atlanta 80


Toronto Game 7 History (0-2)
2001 Eastern Conference Semifinals
Toronto 87 at Philadelphia 88


2014 Eastern Conference First Round
Toronto 103 vs. Brooklyn 104 (OT)


ALL-TIME GAME 7 ROAD WINNERS


Year Road Team Home Team Round


2014 Brooklyn 104 Toronto 103 First round


2013 Chicago 99 Brooklyn 93 First round


2012 L.A. Clippers 82 Memphis 72 First round


2009 Orlando 101 Boston 82 Conference semifinals


2007 San Antonio 91 New Orleans 82 Conference semifinals


2007 Utah 103 Houston 99 First round


2006 *Dallas 119 San Antonio 111 Conference semifinals


2005 Detroit 88 Miami 82 Conference finals


2005 Indiana 97 Boston 70 First round


2002 *L.A. Lakers 112 Sacramento 106 Conference finals


2000 New York 83 Miami 82 Conference semifinals


1995 Indiana 97 New York 95 Conference semifinals


1995 Houston 115 Phoenix 114 Conference semifinals


1982 Philadelphia 120 Boston 106 Conference finals


1981 Kansas City 95 Phoenix 88 Conference semifinals


1981 Houston 105 San Antonio 100 Conference semifinals


1978 Washington 105 Seattle 99 NBA Finals


1976 Phoenix 94 Golden State 86 Conference finals


1974 Boston 102 Milwaukee 87 NBA Finals


1973 New York 94 Boston 78 Conference finals


1971 Baltimore 93 New York 91 Conference finals


1969 Boston 108 L.A. Lakers 106 NBA Finals


1968 Boston 100 Philadelphia 96 Division finals


1948 Philadelphia 85 St Louis 46 Semifinals




(*) Asterisk denotes overtime
 

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Dubs prepare for Round 2 without Steph
April 30, 2016



OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) Stephen Curry's knee injury did little to slow down the Golden State Warriors in their first-round series.


Surviving without the reigning league MVP figures to be a little bit harder in the second round against Portland.


Golden State opens the best-of-seven series against the Trail Blazers on Sunday with Curry on the sideline and the knowledge that Portland is able to handle a full-strength Warriors squad after handing them their most lopsided loss of the season.


''It wasn't a fluke,'' coach Steve Kerr said Saturday. ''That's what happens if you play Portland and you throw the ball away. They've got explosive players all over the floor and 3-point shooting everywhere.''


Kerr didn't show his players film of that 137-105 loss on Feb. 19 when Golden State committed 13 turnovers in the third quarter on the way to its most lopsided loss of the season.


Guard Klay Thompson said the players remembered that loss in the first game back from the All-Star break well and didn't need a reminder on film.


''We kind of let our guard down a little bit and just kind of overlooked them a bit,'' Thompson said. ''That's a team you can't overlook. It bit us and we learned our lesson.''


The Blazers sure won't overlook the Warriors, even with Curry not available at the start of the series. Golden State outscored Houston by 60 points in the six quarters after Curry sprained the MCL in his right knee at the end of the first half in Game 4 in Houston.


With a shooter like Thompson, playmakers like Draymond Green and Shaun Livingston and the depth that helped them win 73 games, the Warriors are far more than just Curry.


''That's a championship team,'' Blazers guard Damian Lillard said. ''Even without Steph, they're still a championship team. We've got to keep our mind right, compete and play together. We can't be worried about who's not out there because we just watched them beat Houston by 25 twice without Steph.''


Here are some other things to watch this series:


DYNAMIC BACKCOURT:
The Warriors have the game's most potent backcourt with Curry and Thompson but the Blazers are close with Lillard and NBA Most Improved player CJ McCollum. The two combined for 45.9 points per game and are both capable as long-ranger shooters and creators with the ball.


''They have two guys who can make plays all over the floor and shoot 3s,'' Kerr said. ''Houston had one. So when you have two it changes everything, because now you're plugging two leaks and it takes all five guys to be in tune with one another.''

STEPH'S STATUS:
Curry could return at some point this series. Kerr said he'd be ''shocked'' if Curry could play Game 2 on Tuesday but said he's supposed to get back on the practice floor within the next few days.


''If he can progress throughout the week, fortunately for us Game 3 isn't until Saturday, Kerr said. ''Maybe we'll get a chance to see him on the court for a couple of days and see what he looks like.''

STYLE OF PLAY:
Both teams were content to play at a fast pace in the regular season, with the winning team in all four games scoring at least 128 points. But with Curry's absence and the intensity of the playoffs, the pace might slow down a bit to start this series.


''We were able to score but to beat them, we had to basically outscore them,'' Lillard said. ''Against a team like that, if you don't get stops and you let them get rolling, if we weren't making shots the way we were, we probably would have lost by 30. We can't let them be as comfortable as they were that night. They're going to make shots, we can't get discouraged by that, but every possession matters when you play a team like that.''


QUICK TURNAROUND: The Blazers don't have much time to prepare for Game 1. They finished their first-round series against the Los Angeles Clippers late Friday night, traveled to Oakland on Saturday and will take the court for an afternoon game on Sunday.


''It's going to be pretty simple basketball, pretty simple preparation,'' Portland coach Terry Stotts said. ''As the series goes along, both teams will make adjustments. They've had some time to think about us. It's going to be a challenge.''
 

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Pair of Game 7's to decide on Sunday
April 30, 2016



MIAMI (AP) The mere mention of Game 7 got Dwyane Wade's undivided attention.


He knows there's nothing better.


There were two ultimate games in the entirety of the 2015 NBA Playoffs, and there will be two on Sunday alone as the first round of this postseason draws to a close. Charlotte goes to Miami in the afternoon and then Indiana plays at Toronto in the evening, the winners of those games to quickly move on to an Eastern Conference semifinal matchup against one another on Tuesday.


''You have to love what Game 7 is,'' said Wade, the Miami guard who led his team to a season-saving Game 6 road win over Charlotte on Friday. ''At this point in my career, I play for these moments. I don't play for regular season basketball, which is all fine. But the playoffs, like our coach says, it's what makes you feel alive.


''Whether it's winning, whether it's losing, in between, it just makes you feel alive. And Game 7 is the best feeling to be a part of. ''


Which means it can also be the worst feeling - as Toronto knows all too well from its last Game 7, two years ago.


Toronto has been in two Game 7's, one at home (against Brooklyn in 2014), one on the road (against Philadelphia in 2001's second round), and lost both by a single point. The Raptors haven't been out of the first round since that 2001 season, and the pressure they'll face Sunday against a Pacers team that has held leads of 17 points in each of the last three games will be enormous.


''In this situation, pressure's on both teams,'' Indiana forward Paul George said. ''It's the final game. It's win or go home. There's pressure on both teams to come out with a win. But yeah, it's added pressure on them, being at home and their troubles getting out of the first round. It comes down to who wants it. And we feel good about it.''


If Toronto wins, the Raptors will have home-court over either Miami or Charlotte in the next round. If the Raptors lose, the Miami-Charlotte winner would play host to the Pacers in Game 1 of the East semis - and yes, just in case, Indiana's travel party arrived for its charter flight to Toronto on Saturday packed for a weeklong trip.


A look at Sunday's Game 7's:


---


Hornets at Heat, series tied 3-3, 1 p.m., ABC


The teams were both 48-34 in the regular season. Miami won two at home to open this series, then Charlotte answered with two wins at home. The Hornets then stole one on the road, so the Heat rebutted by stealing one on the road. Oh, and for good measure, the teams are now 5-5 against one another this season.


The season started with a Miami win over Charlotte at home, and the Heat know the Hornets will do anything to avoid their season ending the same way.


''Do or die,'' Charlotte's Kemba Walker said after scoring 37 points in Game 6. ''Both teams want to advance. It's going to be a battle just like this whole series. There's a reason we're going to Game 7 - and it's because both teams have been scratching and clawing.''


There are injury concerns on both sides.


Charlotte's Nic Batum was hobbling again in Game 6, that long-problematic left foot again troubling him, and Spencer Hawes is out with a knee injury. Miami rookie guard Josh Richardson had an MRI on Saturday on his left shoulder, which he hurt in the final seconds Friday colliding with Charlotte's Cody Zeller. But the Heat expect Richardson to be able to try and play Sunday.


''Two very competitive teams,'' Heat coach Erik Spoelstra said. ''You know what? It's a privilege to be in a Game 7. It's a privilege to be in a competitive series like this with an opponent that's challenging you. It's something to really embrace and cherish.''


---


Pacers at Raptors, series tied 3-3. 8 p.m., TNT


George sure seems like he loves playing in Toronto. He scored 41 points there in the All-Star Game in February, when there was no defense.


He's scored 33, 28 and 39 there in this series, with defense. Or attempts at it, anyway.


Toronto's Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan, meanwhile, have not exactly played like All-Star guards. They're averaging a combined 30.1 points, almost 15 points below their regular season average, and are shooting a combined 30.2 percent from the field.


''It's like our Super Bowl, win or go home,'' Lowry said. ''It's one game. Survive or don't survive. That's the mentality that we've got to have. Gotta win. Gotta win.''


If that continues Sunday, the Raptors' postseason struggles are likely to continue - and they know it.


''We'll respond like we're supposed to. It's as simple as that,'' DeRozan said. ''We've got an opportunity. We can't make it seem like it's a funeral.''
 

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Capsule preview of the Warriors-Trail Blazers series
April 30, 2016



A look at the Western Conference semifinal series between the Golden State Warriors and Portland Trail Blazers that begins Sunday (with regular-season and playoff records):


No. 1 GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (73-9, 4-1) vs. No. 5 PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (44-38, 4-2)


Season series: Warriors, 3-1. Portland handed Golden State its largest loss of the season with a 137-105 rout in the first game after the All-Star break, but otherwise the Warriors had too much firepower. Golden State averaged 130.7 points in its victories and hit 18 3-pointers in all three - though the Blazers made 19 when the teams combined for an NBA-record 37 in the Warriors' 128-112 victory on March 11. Stephen Curry averaged 32.5 points and Klay Thompson was 19 of 32 from 3-point range (59 percent) while adding 29.3 per game. Damian Lillard had a career-best 51 points in the Blazers' victory and 40 in another game.

Story line:
The Warriors continue their quest for a second straight championship and perhaps the best season in NBA history without Curry, who is expected to miss at least the first three games with a sprained right knee. So at least at the start, Lillard and the Blazers dodge another All-Star point guard after Chris Paul missed the final two games of Portland's first-round victory over the Clippers with a broken right hand.


Key Matchup I: Shaun Livingston - and eventually Curry? - vs. Lillard. Lillard is an Oakland, California native who thrived this season against his hometown team, averaging 36.5 points. So it would be tough to ask Curry to have to face him at less than 100 percent, and there won't be pressure to rush him back if Livingston continues his fine play that produced three 16-point performances in the first round.


X-Factor: Harrison Barnes. The forward is in a postseason shooting slump (29 percent from the field, 20 percent from 3-point range) that even the high-powered Warriors might need him to escape if Curry remains out long.

Prediction: Warriors in 5.
 

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NBA MONEYLINE


NBA > (725) INDIANA@ (726) TORONTO | 2016-05-01 20:05:00 - 2016-05-01 20:05:00
Play ON TORONTO using money line in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 19 Wins and 4 Losses for the this season (+14.55 units)

NBA > (727) CHARLOTTE@ (728) MIAMI | 2016-05-01 13:05:00 - 2016-05-01 13:05:00
Play ON MIAMI using money line in All games on Sunday games
The record is 19 Wins and 7 Losses for the last two seasons (+18.1 units)

NBA > (505) PORTLAND@ (506) GOLDEN STATE | 2016-05-01 15:35:00 - 2016-05-01 15:35:00
Play ON GOLDEN STATE using money line in All games after a win by 10 points or more
The record is 60 Wins and 11 Losses for the last two seasons (+36.1 units)

NBA > (725) INDIANA@ (726) TORONTO | 2016-05-01 20:05:00 - 2016-05-01 20:05:00
Play ON TORONTO using money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 29 Wins and 15 Losses for the this season (+14 units)


-----------------


NBA TOTALS


NBA > (725) INDIANA@ (726) TORONTO | 2016-05-01 20:05:00 - 2016-05-01 20:05:00
Play UNDER INDIANA on the totalin All games in a road game where where the first half total is 93 to 95.5
The record is 4 Overs and 20 Unders for the last three seasons (+15.6 units)


NBA > (727) CHARLOTTE@ (728) MIAMI | 2016-05-01 13:05:00 - 2016-05-01 13:05:00
Play UNDER MIAMI on the totalin Home games when tied in a playoff series
The record is 4 Overs and 21 Unders for the since 1992 (+16.6 units)


NBA > (725) INDIANA@ (726) TORONTO | 2016-05-01 20:05:00 - 2016-05-01 20:05:00
Play OVER TORONTO on the totalin All games after a loss by 10 points or more
The record is 23 Overs and 7 Unders for the last three seasons (+15.3 units)
-----------------


TOP POWER LINES
Users of our matchup reports are familiar with our Power Line ratings, calculated using both teams' ratings and home field advantage. The Top Power Lines tool offers a way to view and compare current Power Lines in one simple report, as well as the Power Line Edge, where the Power Line differs significantly from the current line.


NBA > (727) CHARLOTTE @ (728) MIAMI | 2016-05-01 13:05:00 - 2016-05-01 13:05:00
Line: CHARLOTTE BTB PowerLine: CHARLOTTE-5
Edge On: CHARLOTTE (1.5)


NBA > (505) PORTLAND @ (506) GOLDEN STATE | 2016-05-01 15:35:00 - 2016-05-01 15:35:00
Line: GOLDEN STATE-9 BTB PowerLine: GOLDEN STATE-15
Edge On: GOLDEN STATE (6)


NBA > (725) INDIANA @ (726) TORONTO | 2016-05-01 20:05:00 - 2016-05-01 20:05:00
Line: INDIANA BTB PowerLine: INDIANA-1
Edge On: INDIANA (4.5)
 

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NBA


Monday, May 2



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday's NBA playoffs betting preview and odds
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


The San Antonio Spurs annihilated Oklahoma City in the series opener and attempt to take a 2-0 lead in the Western Conference semifinals when they host the Thunder on Monday.


Monday's NBA Playoffs action is shaping up to be fantastic with the opener between the Hawks and Cavs and Game 2 between the Thunder and Spurs. We break down all the action so you can cap the games like a pro.


Atlanta Hawks at Cleveland Cavaliers (-7.5, 200.5)


Series tied 0-0



The Atlanta Hawks were no match for Cleveland during last season's Eastern Conference finals and attempt to put up a better fight this time around when they meet the Cavaliers in the conference semifinals. The quest begins Monday in Cleveland and the Hawks certainly haven't forgotten that they were swept last season and suffered a 30-point shellacking in the final game of the series.


Forward LeBron James operated at will in the conference finals by averaging 30.3 points, 11 rebounds and 9.3 assists. James continued his dominance of the Hawks this season with averages of 27.3 points, 11 rebounds and 7.8 assists in three games - all won by Cleveland - but isn't expecting another cakewalk. "Nothing is easy in the postseason," James told reporters. "There's too much work, both on the floor and mentally that you have to do to prepare for a playoff series understanding how the competition is going to be at its highest level. Easy should never even come into play when you're talking about playoff basketball or basketball in general at this level." The Cavaliers swept the Detroit Pistons in the opening round while Atlanta ousted the Boston Celtics in a six-game series.


TV: 7 p.m. ET, TNT


LINE HISTORY: The Cavaliers opened as eight-point favorites in the opening game of their second round playoff series - the line dropped to -7.5 as bettors put their initial support behind the Hawks. The total opened at 200 and went up as high as 201.5 before settling down at 200.5 on Sunday evening. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE HAWKS (52-36, 45-42-1 ATS, 39-49 O/U):
Small forward Kent Bazemore will be under the microscope after averaging 14 points and seven rebounds in the series against Boston as he will draw the defensive assignment of slowing down James. Bazemore hasn't been shy about criticizing James in the past and is one of the Atlanta players who has a chip on his shoulders due to last season's playoff beat down. "You got to amp yourself up and you can't go in humble, I guess," Bazemore told reporters. "You got to make yourself angry and do whatever you got to do to accept that challenge, because he is a freight train and brings it and comes with everything he has, so you have to do the same to hang in there."


ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (61-25, 39-44-3 ATS, 43-43 O/U): Point guard Kyrie Irving was superb during the sweep of the Pistons and topped 30 points twice while averaging 27.5 for the series. Irving knocked down the big shots as he continues to show that someday he will be the team's undisputed closer instead of sharing the role with James. "At the end of the day we have two of the best closers in the game playing on one team," Irving told reporters. "You have a 6-8 monster who can penetrate and get anywhere he wants on the floor, and then myself having that confidence in those situations. Regardless of who the play is drawn up for, that's up to (coach Tyronn Lue)."


TRENDS:


* Hawks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Cavaliers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Conference Semifinals games.
* Under is 6-0 in Hawks last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
* Over is 8-2 in Cavaliers last 10 vs. NBA Southeast.
* Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland.






Oklahoma City Thunder at San Antonio Spurs (-7.5, 202.5)


Spurs lead series 1-0

The San Antonio Spurs annihilated Oklahoma City in the series opener and attempt to take a 2-0 lead in the Western Conference semifinals when they host the Thunder on Monday. San Antonio held a 23-point lead after the opening quarter of Game 1 and All-Star power forward LaMarcus Aldridge had a huge game with 38 points as the Spurs blitzed the Thunder from the outset.


San Antonio led 73-40 at halftime while establishing supremacy over the Thunder but shooting guard Danny Green isn't expecting things to be so easy in Game 2. "We know that they're going to come out super-aggressive next game, they're gonna make adjustments, and we're not gonna shoot as well as we did," Green told reporters. "It’s one game. It’s not a momentum thing. Each game is different. Every game is its own playoff series. So it's not like it's going to carry over to next game." Oklahoma City stars Kevin Durant (16 points on 6-of-15 shooting) and Russell Westbrook (14 points, 5-of-19) both had woeful games as Spurs' two-time NBA Defensive Player of the Year Kawhi Leonard took turns defending each player. "Me personally, I never look at the guy in front of me," Westbrook told reporters. "I look at the help to see what's the next move. Not a big problem, just got to find ways to read the help a little bit better and make better decisions."


TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, TNT


LINE HISTORY: The Spurs opened as seven-point favorites and the books were forced to bump them up to -7.5. The total opened at 202.5 and has yet to move. Check out the complete line history here.


ABOUT THE THUNDER (59-29, 40-47-1 ATS, 43-45 O/U): Durant has scored less than 20 points in two of Oklahoma City's six playoff games and wasn't the least bit interested to share his feelings after the horrendous loss. "I'm not telling you," Durant said in a response to a question about his emotions. "Because it's over with. Move on. We just move past it and figure out what we have to do better. No crazy emotions. It's not like we were upset and screaming at each other in the locker room after the game. That's not going to make things better." Westbrook's 14 points and 26.3 field-goal percentage were his lowest figures in six games this postseason.

ABOUT THE SPURS (72-15, 48-39 ATS, 37-48-2 O/U):
Aldridge was a force by going 18-of-23 from the field and even knocked down a 3-point basket for the first time this season. "It was just one of those nights," Aldridge told reporters. "I can't take credit for it. I was just trying to play confident and ended up making some plays that I probably won't make the next game. It was enough for me." Leonard also shot superbly by making 10-of-13 from the field - the Spurs shot 60.7 percent as a team - and scored 20 of his 25 points in the first half.


TRENDS:


* Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Spurs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Conference Semifinals games.
* Over is 7-1 in Thunder last 8 road games.
* Thunder are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
 

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NBA
Dunkel


Monday, May 2




Atlanta @ Cleveland



Game 503-504
May 2, 2016 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
117.547
Cleveland
127.693
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 10
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 7 1/2
200 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-7 1/2); Over


Oklahoma City @ San Antonio



Game 509-510
May 2, 2016 @ 9:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
122.726
San Antonio
132.345
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 9 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 7 1/2
202 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-7 1/2); Over









NBA
Long Sheet


Monday, May 2



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ATLANTA (52 - 36) at CLEVELAND (61 - 25) - 5/2/2016, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in road games in all playoff games since 1996.
ATLANTA is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in the second round of the playoffs since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against Southeast division opponents this season.
ATLANTA is 100-82 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 33-43 ATS (-14.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 8-6 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-6 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (59 - 29) at SAN ANTONIO (72 - 15) - 5/2/2016, 9:35 PM

Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 38-47 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 33-49 ATS (-20.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 48-39 ATS (+5.1 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 47-34 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 142-106 ATS (+25.4 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 487-402 ATS (+44.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 77-49 ATS (+23.1 Units) in home games in all playoff games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 198-151 ATS (+31.9 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 285-230 ATS (+32.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 271-223 ATS (+25.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 172-124 ATS (+35.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 71-54 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 129-97 ATS (+22.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 154-114 ATS (+28.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History

OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-7 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-9 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
10 of 18 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------








NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up


Monday, May 2


Atlanta-Cleveland (0-0)



Cavaliers haven't played in eight days, Atlanta in four days. Cleveland won its last seven games (6-1 vs spread) vs Hawks, covered three of last four played here. Four of last five series games went over. Atlanta lost four of last five road games, with win coming Thursday in Game 6 over the Celtics. Cleveland swept the Pistons 4-0; they're 3-2 vs spread last five home games, with three of those five going over the total.


Oklahoma City-San Antonio (SA 1-0)


In Game 1, Leonard/Aldridge combined to make 28-36 from floor in easy win that Spurs led 73-40 at half. San Antonio won seven of its last ten games with Oklahoma City, winning last four played here, by 4-8-39-32 points. Four of last six series games stayed under the total. Spurs won last seven games overall, covering five of their last six. Westbrook missed 14 of 19 shots Saturday; Thunder was 6-23 on arc in an ugly loss.


Playoff tally: Favorites vs spread: 26-18, Over: 13-31
Second round: Favorites: 2-0, over: 2-0








NBA


Monday, May 2



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


7:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. CLEVELAND
Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta


9:30 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. SAN ANTONIO
Oklahoma City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
Oklahoma City is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
San Antonio is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
 

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Monday's Tip Sheet
May 1, 2016



**Atlanta at Cleveland**


-- When these clubs met in the Eastern Conference finals last season, Cleveland dealt out broom treatment with a clean 4-0 series sweep. Even with Kevin Love sidelined with a shoulder injury, the Cavaliers won the first two games in Atlanta. J.R. Smith’s 28-point explosion on 8-of-12 shooting from 3-point land was the catalyst in Game 1. Kyrie Irving injured his knee in the series opener, but his absence didn’t prevent the Cavs from winning Game 2 by a 94-82 count behind LeBron James’s 30 points. Atlanta came out strong in Game 3 and was leading in the second quarter when Al Horford was ejected for a Flagrant 2 foul that was complete garbage. Matthew Dellavedova, who put Kyle Korver out for the series by injuring him during a loose-ball scramble in Game 2, cut Horford’s legs out from under him. While falling to the ground, Horford had to brace his fall and he was coming down on Dellavedova by no fault of his own. Horford gave him a love-tap of a forearm as he landed, but it was nowhere near an act deserving of an ejection, especially in the playoffs. (Trust me, folks. If Horford wanted to give Dellavedova a forearm as if he meant business, Dellavedova would’ve been out for the game as well.) Anyway, without Korver and Horford, Cleveland won 114-111 in overtime. James scored a game-high 37 points, while Jeff Teague had a team-best 30 points in the losing effort. With Irving returning for Game 4, the Cavs easily closed out the series in a 118-88 blowout.


-- Cleveland (61-25 SU, 39-44-3 ATS) won all three regular-season meetings against Atlanta this year. The Cavs beat the Hawks 109-97 as 5.5-point home favorites. Then on April 1, Tyron Lue’s squad won a 110-108 decision at Atlanta in overtime as a 2.5-point road ‘chalk.’ On April 11, Cleveland won 109-94 as a 6.5-point home favorite.


-- Cleveland advanced to the East semifinals by sweeping Detroit in four games, but the Pistons went 2-2 ATS. They covered as 11-point underdogs in a 106-101 loss in Game 1. Detroit led by five early in the third quarter of Game 2, but Cleveland went on a big run and eventually collected a 107-90 triumph as a 10.5-point home favorite. In Game 3 at The Palace of Auburn Hills, the Cavs won by a 101-91 count as five-point road favorites.


-- In Game 4 at Detroit, Cleveland captured a 100-98 win as a 6.5-point road ‘chalk.’ Reggie Jackson’s 3-point attempt to win the game at the buzzer was off the mark. Jackson pleaded for a foul call on the play to no avail. Irving sparked the winners with 31 points, including a huge trey with 42 seconds remaining. James tallied 22 points, 11 rebounds, six assists and two steals. Smith added 15 points, while Love contributed 11 points and 13 rebounds.


-- Irving averaged 27.5 points per game in the first-round series against Detroit. James averaged 22.8 points, 9.0 rebounds and 6.8 assists and 1.8 steals per game, while Love averaged 18.8 points and 12.0 rebounds per contest.


-- Cleveland owns a 35-8 SU record and a 21-22 ATS mark at home this year.


-- Atlanta (52-36 SU, 45-42-1 ATS) eliminated Boston in Game 6 to advance to the Eastern Conference semifinals in back-to-back seasons for the first time since 2010-2011. The Hawks coasted to a 104-92 victory as three-point road ‘chalk’ Thursday night at TD Garden Arena. The 196 combined points dipped ‘under’ the 198-point total.


-- Mike Budenholzer’s club put the Game 6 on ice in the third quarter, outscoring the Celtics 39-26 after leading by eight at halftime. Atlanta cashed tickets for first-quarter (-0.5, -115) and first-half (-1.5) wagers. The Hawks led by 28 points at one point before Boston trimmed the deficit late in the fourth quarter to create a misleading final score. Paul Millsap led six Atlanta players in double figures with 17 points, eight rebounds and four blocked shots. Kent Bazemore added 15 points, four rebounds, three assists and a pair of blocked shots, while Horford snapped out of his scoring slump to produce 15 points, three blocked shots and two steals. Horford hadn’t scored in double figures in the three previous games.


-- Korver capped an excellent first-round series in Game 6 by contributing 14 points, nine rebounds, two blocked shots, one steal and three assists compared to just one turnover. Dennis Schroder had 12 points, eight assists and three boards in the series finale, while Teague finished with 11 points and five assists.


-- For Monday’s Game 1, the Westgate SuperBook opened Cleveland as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 201. The number for the side hasn’t moved, while the total was at 200.5 points Sunday night. The Cavs are -350 on the money line, leaving the Hawks as the +290 underdogs (risk $100 to win $290). The Cavs are four-point ‘chalk’ for first-half plays.


-- VegasInsider.com's Chris David likes the Cavs in Game 1. He said, "Even though I believe this series will be more competitive than last year’s playoff encounter, I’m still buying Cleveland in Game 1 at home based on the rest. The Cavaliers will have had eight days off heading into the opener and they’ve thrived in this spot, going 5-1 with at least three days of rest this season. More importantly, they’ve covered four of those wins while outscoring opponents by 13 points per game (101-88)."


-- Atlanta owns a 22-22 SU record and a 21-22-1 ATS mark in its 44 road assignments this year.


-- The ‘under’ went 5-1 in Atlanta’s series against Boston. The combined scores were (in order) 203, 161, 214, 199 (despite OT), 193 and 196.


-- The ‘under’ is 49-39 overall for the Hawks, 24-20 in their road assignments. They have watched the ‘under’ cash at a 9-2 clip in their last 11 outings.


-- Totals have been an overall wash (43-43) for the Cavs this year. The ‘over’ is 23-20 in their home games.


-- The ‘over’ is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings between these teams.


-- VI's David also has a play on Cleveland's team total. He said, "The total for Game 1 is hovering between 200 and 201 at most betting shops. The Cavaliers match up real well with the Hawks and it showed in the box scores. They averaged 109 PPG in the three regular season meetings plus they posted 105.8 PPG in the four-game playoff sweep last season. In the first round against Detroit, the Cavs weren’t held under 100 in any of the games and I believe the Pistons scheme and players are much better defensively. Cleveland’s team total is 104 and I believe they surpass that number on Monday."


-- Tip-off for Game 1 is scheduled for Monday night at 7:05 p.m. Eastern on TNT.

**Oklahoma City at San Antonio**



-- Game 1 was a quick and easy one for the Spurs, who coasted to a 124-92 win as 6.5-point home favorites. The 216 combined points soared ‘over’ the 199.5-point total. San Antonio went ahead 43-20 by the end of the first quarter and led by 33 at intermission. LaMarcus Aldridge led the way with 38 points, six rebounds and two blocked shots. Aldridge made 18-of-23 shots from the field. Kawhi Leonard added 25 points, five rebounds and five assists compared to merely one turnover. He hit 10-of-13 attempts from the field. Danny Green buried 5-of-6 launches from downtown and finished with 18 points.


-- In the blowout defeat, Serge Ibaka scored a team-best 19 points for OKC. Kevin Durant had 16 points, eight rebounds and six assists, while Russell Westbrook produced 14 points and nine assists. Westbrook struggled from the field by hitting only 5-of-19 attempts.


-- For Game 2, the Westgate opened San Antonio (72-15 SU, 48-39 ATS) as a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 202.5 points. Those numbers hadn’t budged by Sunday night. The Spurs were -350 on the money line, leaving the Thunder available for gamblers for a +290 payout (risk $100 to win $290). Gregg Popovich’s team is a four-point ‘chalk’ for first-half wagers.


-- San Antonio went 43-1 SU and 26-18 ATS at home this year.


-- Oklahoma City (59-29 SU, 40-47-1 ATS) is 25-19 SU but just 19-25 ATS on the road. Billy Donovan’s team owns a 4-7 spread record with just one outright victory in 11 games as a road underdog this season.


-- After losing Game 2 at home to Dallas in its first-round series, Oklahoma City won three in a row to close out the Mavericks. The Thunder beat the Mavs by margins of 38, 29, 11 and 14. They won a 118-104 decision in Game 5 thanks to 36 points, 12 rebounds and nine assists from Westbrook. Durant added 33 points.


-- Through six postseason games, Durant is averaging 24.3 PPG but he’s struggling mightily from the field. The 27-year-old who played one season at the University of Texas is making only 37.2 percent of his shots, including an abysmal 25.6 percent from 3-point land. Westbrook is averaging 24.0 points, 10.8 assists and 6.3 rebounds per game.


-- VI's David likes the Spurs in Game 2. David said, "Oklahoma City was exposed in Game 1 to the masses and I expect to see more of the same as this series progresses. Saturday’s defensive effort was the 10th time this season that the Thunder allowed 120 or more points and it’s even more amazing that they won three of those games. OKC is an offensive juggernaut and I wouldn’t advise betting on a team that needs to hit a high percentage to win. San Antonio has gone 21-10 as a favorite of eight or less points this season and 19-12 ATS, which means they usually cover when they win and I’ll take those percentages in Game 2 on Monday."


-- The ‘under’ is 45-43 overall for the Thunder, but the ‘over’ is 26-18 in its road assignments. They have watched the ‘over’ cash in each of their last five games.


-- The ‘under’ is 48-37-2 overall for the Spurs, 23-20-1 in their home outings. They have seen the ‘under’ go 6-2 in their last eight contests.


-- These teams split their four regular-season meetings with each club holding serve at home. The home team has compiled an 18-8-1 spread record in the last 27 encounters between these teams.


-- TNT will have the telecast at 9:35 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**



-- Golden State captured a 118-106 win over Portland in Sunday’s series opener of the West semifinals at Oracle Arena. The Warriors raced out to a 20-point lead at the end of the first quarter and enjoyed a 65-51 advantage at halftime. They easily covered first-quarter (-3.5) and first-half (-6) bets. All five starters scored in double figures led by Klay Thompson’s game-high 37 points. Thompson hit 7-of-14 shots from 3-point range, grabbed five rebounds, dished out five assists and made two steals. Draymond Green produced a triple-double with 23 points, 13 rebounds, 11 assists and three blocked shots. Andrew Bogut and Harrison Barnes both scored 10 points and grabbed 12 rebounds.


-- Trailing by 14 at intermission, Portland was a two-point underdog (+16 adjusted) for second-half wagers. The Trail Blazers covered those bets thanks to a 33-25 advantage over the Warriors in the fourth quarter. Damian Lillard finished with 30 points, but he got most of those in the second half and struggled from the field by making only 8-of-26 attempts. Golden State did an outstanding job of defending the Blazers’ backcourt, forcing C.J. McCollum to go 5-of-17 from the field in a 12-point effort. Terry Stotts has to feel great about the way his bench played, though. This group was an amazing 16-of-22 from the field. Allen Crabbe had 15 points, six rebounds and three assists without a turnover. Ed Davis fouled out after playing only 19 minutes, but he still contributed 11 points, seven boards and three assists without a turnover.


-- The 224 combined points went ‘over’ the 210-point total for the Warriors and Trail Blazers. The ‘over’ also hit for second-half bets (105, 221 adjusted).


-- Miami routed Charlotte 106-73 as a six-point home favorite in Sunday’s Game 7 in South Florida. Goran Dragic was the catalyst with 25 points, six rebounds and four assists. Luol Deng added 15 points, eight boards and four assists.
 

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2nd Round Series Odds
May 1, 2016





Home Team listed first - Best of 7 Games (2-2-1-1-1)
(Opening Odds in parentheses)



Eastern Conference - Second Round


Cleveland vs. Atlanta
Cavaliers (-650)
Hawks (+475)


Toronto vs. Miami
Raptors (OFF)
Heat (OFF)


Western Conference - Second Round


Golden State vs. Portland (Warriors lead 1-0)
Warriors (-1300) OFF
Trail Blazers (+800) OFF


San Antonio vs. Oklahoma City (Spurs lead 1-0)
Spurs (-270) -950
Thunder (+225) +635


Exact Game Props - Prior to Series (4/30/16)

Cavaliers vs. Hawks
5 Games Cavs Win 3/2
7 Games Cavs Win 3/1
6 Games Cavs Win 7/2
4 Games Cavs Win 4/1
6 Games Hawks Win 10/1
7 Games Hawks Win 12/1
5 Games Hawks Win 30/1
4 Games Hawks Win 60/1


Raptors vs. Heat
OFF


Thunder vs. Spurs
5 Games Spurs Win 2/1
7 Games Spurs Win 3/1
6 Games Spurs Win 16/5
4 Games Spurs Win 5/1
6 Games Thunder Win 8/1
7 Games Thunder Win 10/1
5 Games Thunder Win 20/1
4 Games Thunder Win 40/1


Warriors vs. Trail Blazers
5 Games Warriors Win 3/2
6 Games Warriors Win 17/5
4 Games Warriors Win 19/5
7 Games Warriors Win 4/1
6 Games Blazers Win 9/1
7 Games Blazers Win 12/1
5 Games Blazers Win 40/1
4 Games Blazers Win 75/1


Odds Subject to Change
 

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NBA MONEYLINE


NBA > (509) OKLAHOMA CITY@ (510) SAN ANTONIO | 2016-05-02 21:35:00 - 2016-05-02 21:35:00
Play ON SAN ANTONIO using money line in Home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 20 Wins and 1 Losses for the this season (+18.35 units)

NBA > (509) OKLAHOMA CITY@ (510) SAN ANTONIO | 2016-05-02 21:35:00 - 2016-05-02 21:35:00
Play ON SAN ANTONIO using money line in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 19 Wins and 1 Losses for the this season (+17.35 units)

NBA > (509) OKLAHOMA CITY@ (510) SAN ANTONIO | 2016-05-02 21:35:00 - 2016-05-02 21:35:00
Play ON SAN ANTONIO using money line in Home games after 3 or more consecutive wins
The record is 23 Wins and 2 Losses for the last two seasons (+19.85 units)

NBA > (503) ATLANTA@ (504) CLEVELAND | 2016-05-02 19:05:00 - 2016-05-02 19:05:00
Play AGAINST ATLANTA using money line in Road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 15 Wins and 30 Losses for the last three seasons (-28.05 units)


NBA > (503) ATLANTA@ (504) CLEVELAND | 2016-05-02 19:05:00 - 2016-05-02 19:05:00
Play ON CLEVELAND using money line in All games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season
The record is 39 Wins and 14 Losses for the last two seasons (+22.4 units)


---------------------


NBA TOTALS


NBA > (503) ATLANTA@ (504) CLEVELAND | 2016-05-02 19:05:00 - 2016-05-02 19:05:00
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the totalin All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 8 Overs and 31 Unders for the this season (+22.2 units)


NBA > (509) OKLAHOMA CITY@ (510) SAN ANTONIO | 2016-05-02 21:35:00 - 2016-05-02 21:35:00
Play UNDER SAN ANTONIO on the totalin All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 40 Overs and 85 Unders for the last two seasons (+41 units)


NBA > (509) OKLAHOMA CITY@ (510) SAN ANTONIO | 2016-05-02 21:35:00 - 2016-05-02 21:35:00
Play UNDER SAN ANTONIO on the totalin All games after 3 or more consecutive wins
The record is 33 Overs and 75 Unders for the last three seasons (+38.7 units)
-----------------


TOP POWER LINES


Users of our matchup reports are familiar with our Power Line ratings, calculated using both teams' ratings and home field advantage. The Top Power Lines tool offers a way to view and compare current Power Lines in one simple report, as well as the Power Line Edge, where the Power Line differs significantly from the current line.


NBA > (503) ATLANTA @ (504) CLEVELAND | 2016-05-02 19:05:00 - 2016-05-02 19:05:00
Line: ATLANTA BTB PowerLine: ATLANTA-4
Edge On: ATLANTA (3.5)


NBA > (509) OKLAHOMA CITY @ (510) SAN ANTONIO | 2016-05-02 21:35:00 - 2016-05-02 21:35:00
Line: OKLAHOMA CITY BTB PowerLine: OKLAHOMA CITY-5
Edge On: OKLAHOMA CITY (2.5)
 

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April's Nba Record: 44 - 44
5/1 Results: 1 - 5
Overall: 45 - 49



MONDAY, MAY 2

GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


ATL at CLE 07:00 PM

ATL +7.5


U 200.0





OKC at SA 09:30 PM


SA -7.5


O 200.5
 

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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack


-- Orioles' SS JJ Hardy broke his foot, is out 4-6 weeks.


-- Milwaukee's Wily Peralta allowed 13 hits with no strikeouts Sunday, the first MLB pitcher to do that since Doug Fister six years ago.


-- Cubs/White Sox have combined to outscore opponents 107-39 in innings 7-9 so far this season.


-- Since 2006, Justin Verlander has 159 wins, 13 more than any other pitcher. He also got engaged to Kate Upton, so its good to be him.


-- Dallas wouldn't give the Seahawks a 2nd and 3rd round draft pick, which is why they didn't trade up to draft QB Paxton Lynch.


-- If the Indiana Pacers fire coach Frank Vogel, it is further proof that the NBA is a traveling insane asylum. Vogel is 250-181 as an NBA coach, 31-30 in playoff games. Larry Bird should fire himself for not getting Vogel a good enough team to coach.


**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Early season trends for AFC teams......



Ravens-- Baltimore is 13-6 vs spread as a favorite in home openers. Over is 5-2 in its last seven home openers. Home side won their last five games with Buffalo.


Bills-- Buffalo covered nine of its last 11 season openers; they're 9-5 vs spread in last 14 road openers. Bills covered seven of last nine home openers.


Bengals-- Cincinnati lost its last nine games against the Jets in Swamp Stadium; last win at the Jets was in 1981. Six of Bengals' last seven road openers went over total.


Browns-- Cleveland came back to the NFL in 1999; they've been 1-0 once since then, going 2-8-1 vs spread in last 11 openers. Over is 11-4 in their last 15 road openers.


Broncos-- Denver is 18-8-1 vs spread in last 27 home openers. Super Bowl champs are 7-3-3 vs spread in season openers the next year. Is Mark Sanchez the Denver QB?


Texans-- Houston won six of last seven season openers, five of last six at home, six of last seven on road. Under is 7-4 in their last eleven home openers.


Colts--Indy is 1-5 vs spread as a favorite in home openers; under is 4-1 in its last five season openers. Colts are 3-10-1 vs spread as an underdog in road openers.


Jaguars--Jax is 2-7 in its last nine home openers, losing last four by average score of 30-9. Under is 8-3-1 n their last 12 home openers. 8-4 in last 12 road openers.


Chiefs-- KC is 5-11 in its last 16 home openers, 2-9-1 vs spread when favored in its home opener. Under is 19-4-2 in their last 25 home openers, 7-4 in road openers.


Dolphins-- Miami is 3-9 in last 12 road openers, 1-6-1 vs spread when an underdog in road openers. Dolphins won five of their last six games with Seattle.


Patriots--NE won 11 of last 12 season openers; they're 3-4 in road openers if spead was 3 or less points. Patriots were favored in their last twelve road openers.


Jets-- Jets won last five home openers, three by 5 or less points; they've won seven of last eight season openers. Jets are 14-5 vs spread in last 19 road openers. .


Raiders-- Oakland lost 12 of last 13 season openers, but is 6-1-1 vs spread as a dog in road openers. Over is 11-5-1 in their last 17 road openers


Steelers-- Pitt lost its last five road openers (0-4-1 vs spread); seven of their last nine road openers stayed under. Steelers lost season opener four of last five years.


Chargers-- San Diego covered its last four season openers; they're 8-5 vs spread as an underdog in road openers. Bolts lost 33-3/10-3 against Kansas City LY.


Titans-- Tennessee covered seven of last nine road openers (6-3 SU); under is 15-4 in its last 19 road openers. Four of of their last five season openers stayed under.
 

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NBA


Tuesday, May 3



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Tuesday's NBA playoffs betting preview and odds
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


The Toronto Raptors and the Miami Heat both had more trouble in the first round than they intended and ended up battling through seven games to reach the Eastern Conference semifinals.


Tuesday's NBA Playoffs action features the opening game of the Heat vs. Raptors series and the second game between the Blazers and Warriors. We break down all the action so you can cap the games like a pro.

Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors (-4.5, 191)


Series tied 0-0



The Toronto Raptors and the Miami Heat both had more trouble in the first round than they intended and ended up battling through seven games to reach the Eastern Conference semifinals. Neither team will have had much time to prepare when the Raptors host the Heat in Game 1 on Tuesday.


Miami looked unstoppable in its first two games against the Charlotte Hornets in the first round before struggling through the next four only to find its form again in a 106-73 shellacking at home in Game 7 on Sunday. “Every team faces tough times; we know those times are going to come,” Heat point guard Goran Dragic told reporters. “We have so many veteran guys; they just help you find a way when you’re going through tough times. We just had to grow as a team.” The Raptors don’t need to grow as a team as much as they need to rediscover who they were during a regular season that saw them push the Cleveland Cavaliers into the final week before settling for the No. 2 seed. Toronto nearly squandered all of a 16-point, fourth-quarter lead in Game 7 against Indiana before pulling out an 89-84 triumph and is still waiting for the shots to fall for All-Star guards DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry.


TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY:
The Raptors opened as five-point favorites but the line was adjusted to -4.5 by Monday morning. The total hit the board at 191.5 and was bumped down slightly to 191. Check out the complete line history here.


ABOUT THE HEAT (52-37, 47-41-1 ATS, 36-52-1 O/U): Miami star Dwyane Wade kept his team alive with a brilliant fourth quarter in Game 6 but everyone stepped up in Game 7 with the season on the line. Dragic scored 25 points in the clincher while Hassan Whiteside, who feels that the strength the team formed in the series will help them the rest of the way in the playoffs, capped a strong series with 10 points, 12 rebounds and five blocked shots. “I really think it gave us better focus going into the second round,” Whiteside told reporters. “I remember how guys felt after we lost Game 5. Guys were down and I told them, ‘Hey, we’re going to go and steal one in Charlotte.’”

ABOUT THE RAPTORS (60-29, 47-42 ATS, 43-45-1 O/U):
Toronto scrapped past the seventh-seeded Pacers despite terrible shooting slumps from Lowry (31.6 percent from the field in the series) and DeRozan (31.9), who both hit key shots down the stretch in Game 7. “My teammates count on me,” Lowry told reporters. “My teammates love me and they support me, no matter what I do. No matter what happens, they’re always going to be there, and they’re never going to doubt me.” DeRozan, who was 10-for-32 from the floor in Game 7 but knocked down the free throws at the end that sealed the win and finished 9-of-9 from the line, should be glad to see Miami, against which he averaged 29.3 points on 48.8 percent shooting in four regular season games.

TRENDS:



* Heat are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.
* Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
* Under is 6-0 in Heat last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
* Under is 7-1 in Raptors last 8 overall.
* Heat are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings.






Portland Trail Blazers at Golden State Warriors (-10, 213.5)


Warriors lead series 1-0



The Golden State Warriors had no problem scoring without MVP Stephen Curry in Game 1 of the Western Conference semifinals and put the focus on defense for most of the afternoon. The Portland Trail Blazers had no answers for the Warriors’ big bodies in the lane and on the perimeter and will try to make some changes before visiting Golden State for Game 2 on Tuesday.


The Warriors frustrated Portland guards Damian Lillard and C.J. McCollum with a series of bigger defenders and funneled the action into the paint, where Andrew Bogut and Draymond Green were waiting. "I just told the guys that we got to come out with a defensive mindset and that's pretty much it," Green said in a postgame interview. "I think we can pretty much just stay solid and get good stuff on the offensive end, but against this team, we just got to come out with a defensive mindset when Steph's not out there." The Trail Blazers fell behind by 20 points in the first quarter and never managed to work their way back into the game before falling 118-106. “Certainly wasn’t the start we wanted,” Portland head coach Terry Stotts told reporters. “It was disappointing to get off to such a poor start. Our offense, we had trouble scoring. Their defense got into us. It was just — we struggled at both ends, and probably more so on the offensive end, which fed into their defense.”


TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT


LINE HISTORY: The spread for this one opened up at -9.5 in favor of the Warriors and was bet up to -10 by late Sunday night. The total began at 213.5 and, up until this point, hasn't moved. Check out the complete line history here.

ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (48-41, 47-42 ATS, 47-42 O/U):
Portland got a break in the first round when Los Angeles Clippers stars Chris Paul and Blake Griffin went down in Game 4 and was hoping to get a jump on the Warriors before a possible return from Curry (knee) later in the series. “We got beat pretty soundly in Game 1 against the Clippers and we made some adjustments, we played a little bit better and got better as the series went along, and we need to do the same thing,” Stotts said. “So we’ll watch the video, see what we can come up with for Game 2. But there’s no question that we have to play better and learn from Game 1 like we did with the Clippers.” Lillard finished with 30 points but struggled to 8-of-26 from the field while McCollum managed 12 points on 5-of-17 shooting.

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (78-10, 50-36-2, 47-40-1 O/U):
Klay Thompson buried seven 3-pointers en route to a game-high 37 points and Green took care of almost everything else while piling up 23 points, 13 rebounds, 11 assists, three blocks and a steal in 37 minutes. “I just want to play as myself and to my strengths,” Thompson told reporters. “I don’t have the handle and creativity that (Curry) does, so I’ve got to get it differently. I’ve got to use my teammates. These guys set great screens and I got in a great rhythm.” Thompson is 21-of-36 from 3-point range in the last three games – becoming the first player in NBA history with at least seven 3-pointers in three straight playoff games - and spent plenty of time chasing Lillard around on Sunday in a solid defensive performance.


TRENDS:


* Trail Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Conference Semifinals games.
* Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
* Over is 7-0 in Trail Blazers last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Over is 7-0 in Warriors last 7 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Over is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings.
 

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Long Sheet


Tuesday, May 3



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MIAMI (52 - 37) at TORONTO (60 - 29) - 5/3/2016, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 173-215 ATS (-63.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.


Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-5 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-5 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PORTLAND (48 - 41) at GOLDEN STATE (78 - 10) - 5/3/2016, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 46-35 ATS (+7.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 59-40 ATS (+15.0 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 73-59 ATS (+8.1 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 60-46 ATS (+9.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 64-43 ATS (+16.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 9-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 9-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
10 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------








NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up


Tuesday, May 3



Miami lost four of last five games with Toronto, losing last three games in Canada by 8ot-20-10 points- under is 3-1 in last four games played in Toronto. Home side won seven of last nine series games. Heat lost three of last four road games; their last five games stayed under total, as have seven of last eight Raptor games. Toronto won last three home games by 5-3-11 points. Both teams won Game 7's Sunday- this game could ba a little sluggish, so soon after those win-or-go home games. .


Portland-Golden State (GS 1-0)
In 10 quarters since Curry hurt his knee, Warriors are +72; they've won seven of last eight against Portland, covered nine of last 11. Trailblazers are 0-5 vs spread last five times they came to Oakland. Blazers are 7-4 in last 11 games, with six of last nine staying under the total. Golden State won eight of last ten games, covered seven of last eight- under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Warriors raced out to 37-17 first quarter lead, then coasted from there to win Game 1 by 12.


Playoff tally: Favorites vs spread: 26-18, Over: 13-31
Second round: Favorites: 3-1, over: 2-2









NBA


Tuesday, May 3



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. TORONTO
Miami is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
Toronto is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Miami


10:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. GOLDEN STATE
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Portland is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing at home against Portland
 

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Dunkel


Tuesday, May 3




Miami @ Toronto



Game 507-508
May 3, 2016 @ 8:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Miami
116.917
Toronto
124.899
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 8
188
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 4 1/2
191 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-4 1/2); Under


Portland @ Golden State



Game 511-512
May 3, 2016 @ 10:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Portland
123.154
Golden State
136.580
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 13 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 10
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-10); Over
 

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Short Sheet


Tuesday, May 3



Miami at Toronto, 8:05 ET
Miami: 9-21 ATS after covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games
Toronto: 7-0 ATS after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 against the spread

Portland at Golden State, 10:35 ET

Portland: 5-13 ATS after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games
Golden State: 12-3 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more
 

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Tuesday's Top Action
May 3, 2016


MIAMI HEAT (52-37) at TORONTO RAPTORS (60-29)

Eastern Conference – Round 2

Sportsbook.ag Line: Toronto -4.5, Total: 191.5

The Raptors will be looking to take a 1-0 series lead when they host the Heat in Game 1 on Tuesday.


Both the Heat and the Raptors are coming into this series after winning at home in their respective Game 7s. Miami dismantled Charlotte, winning 106-73 as a 6.5-point favorite. The Heat shot 48.3% from the field in that game and they also held the Hornets to a miserable 32.1% shooting. They’ll be hoping some of that momentum carries over into this Game 1 on Tuesday.


The Raptors, meanwhile, are coming off of an 89-84 victory as six-point favorites against the Pacers. Toronto shot just 38.2% from the field in that game and nearly choked it away as well. That does not matter for the team, though. They had not won a playoff series since 2001, so any victory was going to be extremely satisfying. One thing worth noting is that these teams met four times during the regular season and the Raptors went 3-1 both SU and ATS in those contests. Toronto is also going to be confident coming into this one, as the team is 7-0 ATS after failing to cover in four of its past five games this season.


PF Chris Bosh (Blood Clot) remains out indefinitely for the Heat, but nobody else is expected to miss this game for either team.


The Heat are coming off of a blowout victory over the Hornets and they’ll now be hoping to steal Game 1 in Toronto on Tuesday. SG Dwyane Wade (19.0 PPG, 5.4 RPG, 5.0 APG, 1.0 BPG in playoffs) is going to need to be on his game in this series. He’ll have a tough matchup with DeMar DeRozan and he can’t afford to be outplayed drastically. It’s important that Wade maintains confidence in his jumper, as he’ll need to knock down a few in this series.


PG Goran Dragic (14.1 PPG, 4.1 APG in playoffs) will also need to be on top of his game on Tuesday. Dragic was outstanding in Game 7, finishing with 25 points, six boards, four assists and a block in 32 minutes of action. It was his best game of the postseason and he’ll now need to stay aggressive in a matchup with his former teammate, Kyle Lowry.


One last guy that will be counted on heavily is C Hassan Whiteside (13.1 PPG, 11.4 RPG, 3.4 BPG in playoffs). Whiteside had five blocks in Game 7 and Miami will need him to continue to own the paint defensively moving forward. His matchup with Jonas Valanciunas will be an exciting one and Whiteside will need to use his athleticism to his advantage.


The x-factor in this game just might be PF Luol Deng (19.0 PPG, 6.6 RPG in playoffs), though. Deng is shooting 51.3% from the outside in the playoffs and has been incredible defensively. If he can continue to play solid two-way basketball then the Heat are going to be tough to beat moving forward.


The Raptors barely escaped the first round, but that was something that the team needed to do. Toronto had failed to win a playoff series since 2001 and now has a giant weight lifted off of its shoulders. One guy that will need to step it up in the second round is PG Kyle Lowry (13.9 PPG, 7.6 APG, 1.3 SPG in playoffs). Lowry has really struggled in the playoffs, shooting just 31.6% from the floor and 16.3% from the outside. That poor shooting from the outside wouldn’t be a major issue, but he is taking 6.1 threes per game. Lowry needs to either start making them or stop taking them as often.


SG DeMar DeRozan (17.9 PPG, 1.6 SPG in playoffs) should be feeling very confident for Toronto coming into this Game 1. DeRozan came up big in Game 7 last round, finishing with 30 points, five boards, three steals and two blocks in 40 minutes of action. He’ll need to use his quickness to really give Dwyane Wade issues on both ends of the floor. It’s also important that his jumper starts to fall, though. Like Lowry, DeRozan has struggled from the floor and is shooting just 31.9% from the field in the playoffs. That number must go up and it must do so soon.


C Jonas Valanciunas (13.6 PPG, 11.9 RPG, 1.4 BPG in playoffs) is going to also be extremely important for the Raptors in Game 1 and this entire series. Valanciunas is a monster around the rim, but he’s going to need to find a way to stay effective on both ends of the floor against the insanely athletic Hassan Whiteside.


PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (48-41) at GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS (78-10)

Western Conference – Round 2

Sportsbook.ag Line: Golden State -10.0, Total: 213

The Warriors will be looking to take a 2-0 series lead when they host the Blazers in Game 2 on Tuesday.


Golden State has looked dominant throughout the postseason and the team hasn’t even been playing at full strength. The Warriors hosted the Blazers in Game 1 of this series and won 118-106 as 9.5-point favorites. Golden State has now won-and-covered in seven of its past eight games and five of those contests were in the postseason. The Warriors have also shot 45.0% or better from the field in nine of their past 13 games. They are going to be unbeatable if they continue to shoot the ball this well moving forward.


One thing that does favor the Blazers is the fact that they are 17-8 ATS after allowing 110 points or more this season. The Warriors, however, are 35-16 ATS after two straight wins by 10 or more over the past two seasons. They are also 14-4 ATS in home games after covering in six or seven of their past eight games over the past three seasons.


The Blazers are a far inferior team in comparison to the Warriors, so they’ll need some outstanding performances from PG Damian Lillard (23.1 PPG, 5.1 APG, 1.4 SPG in playoffs) and SG C.J. McCollum (18.6 PPG in playoffs) in order to steal a win in Game 2 of this series.


Lillard had 30 points in Game 1 on Sunday, but he was just 8-for-26 from the field and he’ll need to be a lot more efficient moving forward. The Warriors are currently playing without Stephen Curry, so Lillard should have more energy in this series. He doesn’t have to deal with chasing Curry around the floor and that should be big for Portland. Lillard must take some better shots in Tuesday’s game.


McCollum is also going to need to be a lot better and that’s the case on both ends of the floor. He did not play well defensively against Klay Thompson on Sunday and also went just 5-for-17 from the floor and 0-for-4 from the outside offensively. McCollum can’t shoot that poorly in this series, as he’s going to be relied on to step up and support Lillard. He’d be wise to get some good looks from inside the paint on Tuesday.


The Warriors are playing without Curry and the team still looks like it is an unstoppable force. The main reason for that has been the play of both SG Klay Thompson (25.7 PPG, 1.5 SPG in playoffs) and PF Draymond Green (14.8 PPG, 10.2 RPG, 7.3 APG, 1.7 BPG, 1.3 SPG in playoffs).


Thompson has had no problem taking over as this team’s top scorer in Curry’s absence. He had 37 points on 14-for-28 shooting in Game 1 and he’ll need to continue to let it fly until Curry is back. Thompson has a major height advantage over McCollum and that’s going to allow him to keep getting good looks at the rim in this series. Green, meanwhile, has been doing it all for the Warriors. He had 23 points, 13 boards and 11 assists in Game 1 and Golden State just needs him to continue to play his heart out in this series.


PG Shaun Livingston (13.0 PPG, 5.0 APG, 1.0 SPG in playoffs) is another guy worth mentioning. He had 12 points and six assists in Game 1 and has been doing a great job of running this offense. His size is a major problem for the Blazers’ guards, as he is a very good scorer in the post. Livingston must continue to take his patented turnaround jumpers to keep the defense honest moving forward.
 

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