Cnotes MLB April's Picks-Trends-Stats-News !!

[CNOTES]

MLB
Dunkel


Wednesday, April 27




St. Louis @ Arizona


Game 911-912
April 27, 2016 @ 8:40 pm


Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Wnwrght) 13.911
Arizona
(Corbin) 15.455
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-120); Under


Miami @ LA Dodgers


Game 913-914
April 27, 2016 @ 10:10 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Cosart) 15.432
LA Dodgers
(Kazmir) 14.402
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-165
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+145); Over


Chicago White Sox @ Toronto


Game 915-916
April 27, 2016 @ 7:07 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Quntana) 17.830
Toronto
(Estrada) 14.792
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-140
8
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+120); Over


Oakland @ Detroit


Game 917-918
April 27, 2016 @ 7:11 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Gray) 13.932
Detroit
(Verlnder) 15.606
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-115); Under


Baltimore @ Tampa Bay


Game 919-920
April 27, 2016 @ 7:10 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Tllman) 14.979
Tampa Bay
(Moore) 17.911
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 3
6 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-130
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-130); Under


NY Yankees @ Texas


Game 921-922
April 27, 2016 @ 8:05 pm


Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Sabthia) 16.563
Texas
(Perez) 12.998
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-115
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-105); Over


San Diego @ San Francisco


Game 901-902
April 27, 2016 @ 3:45 pm


Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Cashner) 13.060
San Francisco
(Smrdzja) 14.565
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-175
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-175); Under


Cleveland @ Minnesota


Game 923-924
April 27, 2016 @ 8:10 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Tomlin) 16.036
Minnesota
(Berrios) 17.459
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-105); Over


Philadelphia @ Washington


Game 903-904
April 27, 2016 @ 7:05 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Hellcksn) 13.882
Washington
(Gonzlez) 15.399
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-205
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-205); Under


Kansas City @ LA Angels


Game 925-926
April 27, 2016 @ 10:05 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Young) 16.603
LA Angels
(Trpeano) 14.446
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-105); Over


Cincinnati @ NY Mets


Game 905-906
April 27, 2016 @ 7:10 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Moscot) 15.207
NY Mets
(Harvey) 14.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-220
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+185); Over


Houston @ Seattle


Game 927-928
April 27, 2016 @ 10:10 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(McHugh) 17.420
Seattle
(Iwakuma) 13.447
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 4
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-135
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+115); Over


Milwaukee @ Chicago Cubs


Game 907-908
April 27, 2016 @ 8:05 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Jngmnn) 15.559
Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 14.249
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-350
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+275); N/A


Atlanta @ Boston


Game 929-930
April 27, 2016 @ 7:10 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Norris) 12.432
Boston
(Wright) 17.979
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 5 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-195
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-195); Under


Pittsburgh @ Colorado


Game 909-910
April 27, 2016 @ 8:40 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Niese) 16.044
Colorado
(Gray) 13.697
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-120
11
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-120); Under

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Long Sheet


Wednesday, April 27


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SAN DIEGO (7 - 14) at SAN FRANCISCO (11 - 11) - 3:45 PM
ANDREW CASHNER (R) vs. JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 81-102 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 19-34 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 81-102 (-25.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 59-77 (-21.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 217-108 (+43.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 82-44 (+29.8 Units) against the money line in home games after shutting out their opponent since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 531-353 (+82.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997.
SAMARDZIJA is 27-43 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 2-9 (-10.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 26-42 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAMARDZIJA is 11-19 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SAN DIEGO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)


ANDREW CASHNER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CASHNER is 2-3 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 4.86 and a WHIP of 1.403.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.1 units)


JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 2-1 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.185.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.2 units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PHILADELPHIA (10 - 10) at WASHINGTON (14 - 5) - 7:05 PM
JEREMY HELLICKSON (R) vs. GIO GONZALEZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-21 (+12.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 36-43 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 59-58 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 72-66 (-10.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 2-2 (+1.1 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)


JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
HELLICKSON is 0-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 8.77 and a WHIP of 1.874.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-3. (-3.4 units)


GIO GONZALEZ vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
GONZALEZ is 8-5 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.168.
His team's record is 9-8 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-8. (-0.8 units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CINCINNATI (9 - 12) at NY METS (12 - 7) - 7:10 PM
JON MOSCOT (R) vs. MATT HARVEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 72-111 (-35.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 31-58 (-21.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 72-111 (-35.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 93-136 (-37.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 55-81 (-23.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 35-65 (-22.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 42-25 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 68-41 (+18.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against CINCINNATI this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)


JON MOSCOT vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.


MATT HARVEY vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
HARVEY is 2-0 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.237.
His team's record is 3-1 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.1 units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (8 - 12) at CHICAGO CUBS (15 - 5) - 8:05 PM
TAYLOR JUNGMANN (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 13-29 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 54-83 (-24.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 116-75 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 59-33 (+20.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 116-75 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 73-42 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ARRIETA is 31-9 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 31-9 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 20-4 (+14.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 800-762 (-162.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1107-1212 (-198.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 713-790 (-183.3 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 736-718 (-150.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)


TAYLOR JUNGMANN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
JUNGMANN is 0-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 2.038.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)


JAKE ARRIETA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ARRIETA is 4-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of 0.872.
His team's record is 5-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.6 units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PITTSBURGH (12 - 9) at COLORADO (9 - 11) - 8:40 PM
JON NIESE (L) vs. JON GRAY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 110-74 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 110-74 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 140-98 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 87-57 (+20.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 69-39 (+22.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
NIESE is 47-40 (+20.3 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
NIESE is 47-38 (+22.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
NIESE is 22-11 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997. (Team's Record)
COLORADO is 43-77 (-26.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 (+2.3 Units) against COLORADO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)


JON NIESE vs. COLORADO since 1997
NIESE is 3-3 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 5.34 and a WHIP of 1.509.
His team's record is 4-5 (-0.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-6. (-3.5 units)


JON GRAY vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
GRAY is 0-1 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 8.00 and a WHIP of 2.111.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ST LOUIS (11 - 9) at ARIZONA (11 - 11) - 9:40 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. PAT CORBIN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 52-43 (+14.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 113-73 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 113-73 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 78-48 (+21.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
WAINWRIGHT is 26-9 (+16.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 76-96 (-27.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 221-218 (-55.6 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
ARIZONA is 13-28 (-18.6 Units) against the money line in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 76-96 (-27.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 59-105 (-35.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)


ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. ARIZONA since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 6-3 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 2.15 and a WHIP of 1.142.
His team's record is 6-3 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-8. (-8.1 units)


PAT CORBIN vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
CORBIN is 0-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MIAMI (8 - 11) at LA DODGERS (12 - 9) - 10:10 PM
JUSTIN NICOLINO (L) vs. SCOTT KAZMIR (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-0 (+3.6 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.0 Units)


JUSTIN NICOLINO vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
NICOLINO is 0-1 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 11.25 and a WHIP of 1.750.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)


SCOTT KAZMIR vs. MIAMI since 1997
KAZMIR is 2-1 when starting against MIAMI with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.958.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.3 units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CHI WHITE SOX (15 - 6) at TORONTO (10 - 12) - 7:05 PM
JOSE QUINTANA (L) vs. MARCO ESTRADA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 23-6 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 15-6 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 15-6 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 113-107 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 12-4 (+8.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 390-385 (+43.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CHI WHITE SOX are 118-94 (+37.2 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1997.
TORONTO is 115-129 (-46.6 Units) against the money line in home games in April games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 2-0 (+2.8 Units) against TORONTO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)


JOSE QUINTANA vs. TORONTO since 1997
QUINTANA is 4-2 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 1.88 and a WHIP of 1.021.
His team's record is 4-3 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-1. (+4.9 units)


MARCO ESTRADA vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
ESTRADA is 0-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OAKLAND (11 - 10) at DETROIT (9 - 10) - 7:10 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 79-104 (-27.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 25-12 (+14.9 Units) against the money line in road games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 7-1 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 7-1 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 8-2 (+8.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 37-53 (-17.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 86-86 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 208-221 (-56.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
DETROIT is 86-86 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 46-50 (-18.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 29-40 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 3-10 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 3-10 (-8.8 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 1-1 (+0.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)


SONNY GRAY vs. DETROIT since 1997
GRAY is 1-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 2.33 and a WHIP of 1.037.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-0.9 units)


JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
VERLANDER is 13-6 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.18 and a WHIP of 1.055.
His team's record is 13-8 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-13. (-5.8 units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BALTIMORE (11 - 8) at TAMPA BAY (10 - 10) - 7:10 PM
CHRIS TILLMAN (R) vs. MATT MOORE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 36-56 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 21-38 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 198-323 (-103.1 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
TAMPA BAY is 599-685 (+11.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 192-159 (+36.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 93-70 (+26.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
TILLMAN is 44-28 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 10-3 (+9.5 Units) against the money line in road games in April games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TILLMAN is 66-47 (+25.2 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
TAMPA BAY is 84-90 (-30.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 9-18 (-15.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Wednesday over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 85-91 (-30.3 Units) against the money line in games played in a dome over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 93-102 (-32.3 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf over the last 3 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 113-127 (-30.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-2 (+0.2 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.0 Units)


CHRIS TILLMAN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
TILLMAN is 6-9 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 4.19 and a WHIP of 1.193.
His team's record is 11-10 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-13. (-6.9 units)


MATT MOORE vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
MOORE is 4-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.58 and a WHIP of 1.450.
His team's record is 4-5 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)


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NY YANKEES (8 - 11) at TEXAS (11 - 10) - 8:05 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. MARTIN PEREZ (L)
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 101-87 (+33.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 96-82 (+30.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 75-56 (+33.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 38-35 (+12.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 54-46 (+19.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-1 (+0.1 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)


C.C. SABATHIA vs. TEXAS since 1997
SABATHIA is 12-4 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 5.10 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 15-7 (+4.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 17-5. (+11.7 units)


MARTIN PEREZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PEREZ is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 72.00 and a WHIP of 7.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CLEVELAND (9 - 9) at MINNESOTA (7 - 14) - 8:10 PM
JOSH TOMLIN (R) vs. JOSE BERRIOS (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-0 (+2.5 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.2 Units)


JOSH TOMLIN vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
TOMLIN is 2-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 5.88 and a WHIP of 1.282.
His team's record is 2-5 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.6 units)


JOSE BERRIOS vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
No recent starts.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


KANSAS CITY (12 - 8) at LA ANGELS (10 - 11) - 10:05 PM
CHRIS YOUNG (R) vs. NICK TROPEANO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 118-80 (+30.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 38-26 (+16.4 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 104-82 (+26.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 114-74 (+31.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 83-59 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 81-52 (+24.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 48-29 (+16.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
YOUNG is 32-21 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
YOUNG is 62-52 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997. (Team's Record)
YOUNG is 31-20 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
YOUNG is 19-10 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
LA ANGELS is 2-0 (+2.2 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)


CHRIS YOUNG vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
YOUNG is 4-3 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 5.51 and a WHIP of 1.551.
His team's record is 4-6 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-5. (-0.6 units)


NICK TROPEANO vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
No recent starts.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HOUSTON (6 - 15) at SEATTLE (11 - 9) - 10:10 PM
COLLIN MCHUGH (R) vs. HISASHI IWAKUMA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 6-15 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 2-9 (-9.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 6-15 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
HOUSTON is 16-28 (-15.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 6-15 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 3-13 (-12.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 6-12 (-9.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 19-32 (-17.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MCHUGH is 18-7 (+12.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SEATTLE is 87-95 (-19.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 39-50 (-26.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 82-94 (-24.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 27-37 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 27-31 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 34-51 (-24.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 16-21 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
IWAKUMA is 3-8 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
IWAKUMA is 0-5 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)


Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 2-0 (+2.4 Units) against HOUSTON this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.1 Units)


COLLIN MCHUGH vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MCHUGH is 5-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 5.48 and a WHIP of 1.175.
His team's record is 5-3 (+2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+4.0 units)


HISASHI IWAKUMA vs. HOUSTON since 1997
IWAKUMA is 4-4 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.77 and a WHIP of 1.257.
His team's record is 4-6 (-5.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.5 units)


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ATLANTA (4 - 16) at BOSTON (11 - 9) - 7:10 PM
BUD NORRIS (R) vs. STEVEN WRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 28-60 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 26-57 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 1-14 (-12.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 8-32 (-18.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 160-185 (-33.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 66-83 (-25.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 81-92 (-32.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 139-164 (-38.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 58-67 (-23.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 70-91 (-25.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.0 Units)


BUD NORRIS vs. BOSTON since 1997
NORRIS is 2-3 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.07 and a WHIP of 1.318.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.8 units)


STEVEN WRIGHT vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday's Diamond Notes
April 27, 2016


Hottest team: Mets (5-0 last five)
Following a 2-5 start, many people thought last season’s run to the World Series by New York could have been a fluke. However, the Mets have rebounded lately to win eight of their last nine games, while capturing five consecutive victories. New York rallied past Cincinnati on Tuesday, 4-3, as the Mets have allowed three runs or less in all five games during this hot streak. The Mets go for the sweep tonight with Matt Harvey on the mound before the Giants invade Citi Field this weekend.


Coldest team: Braves (0-7 last seven)
Atlanta began the season at 0-9 before winning four straight games. However, the Braves haven’t won since April 19 against the Dodgers as Atlanta is riding a fresh seven-game skid. During this time, the Braves were swept at home by the Mets and Red Sox, while scoring three runs or less six times during this span. It doesn’t get any easier for Atlanta, as the Braves travel to Fenway Park for two more games with the Red Sox followed by a pair of three-game road sets against the Cubs and Mets.


Hottest pitcher: Jake Arrieta, Cubs (4-0, 0.87 ERA)
Arrieta hasn’t skipped a beat since capturing the Cy Young award last season as the Cubs’ right-hander is coming off his second career no-hitter. Last Thursday, Arrieta didn’t allow a hit in a 16-0 rout of the Reds, while not giving up an earned run for the third time in four starts. Arrieta enters tonight’s contest against the Brewers as a heavy -340 favorite, but tossed a complete-game shutout as a -325 favorite against Milwaukee last September.


Coldest pitcher: Colin McHugh, Astros (1-3, 7.56 ERA)
It’s been a disastrous start for the Houston right-hander as McHugh has allowed four earned runs in three of his first four outings. McHugh was racked in a pair of home losses to the Tigers and Red Sox by giving up 10 hits in each of those defeats, while yielding nine earned runs in 9.1 innings of work. Last season, McHugh won two of three meetings with the Mariners, but was knocked around in an 8-1 home loss by giving up eight earned runs in three innings of work.


Biggest UNDER run: Rays (2-0 last two)
Although this streak isn’t currently very long, Tampa Bay continues to cash plenty of ‘unders’ at Tropicana Field. Tampa Bay is coming off a pair of ‘unders’ against Baltimore to improve to 9-2 to the ‘under’ at home this season. The Rays won each game behind strong pitching performances from Chris Archer and Jake Odorizzi (2-0 and 3-1), while Tampa Bay hasn’t scored more than three runs at home in six of its last seven contests at the Trop.


Biggest OVER run: Cardinals (4-0 last four)
St. Louis needed to travel out west to find its offense, as the Cardinals have scored 34 runs in the last four games. The Cards put up 19 runs in a pair of victories at San Diego, followed by 15 runs the past two nights against the Diamondbacks. Eleven times this season the Cardinals have plated at least seven runs, while doing so seven times away from Busch Stadium. However, St. Louis is facing a left-handed starting pitcher for only the fourth time this season when the Cards see Arizona southpaw Patrick Corbin tonight. The Redbirds have cashed the ‘over’ in two of three opportunities when squaring off with a left-handed hurler.

Matchup to watch: Athletics vs. Tigers
Oakland and Detroit have split the first two games of this series at Comerica Park with each team winning each matchup by four runs apiece. The pitching matchup evens out tonight with Justin Verlander and Sonny Gray taking the mound for the third game of this four-game set. Oakland has thrived on the highway with an 8-3 record, while Gray is coming off a road underdog victory at Toronto in his last outing. Verlander is winless in two home starts against the Pirates and Indians, but pitched well in a 2-1 defeat to Cleveland last Friday by striking out 10 in seven innings in spite of allowing a pair of solo home runs.


Betcha you didn’t know: The Pirates have owned the Rockies at Coors Field over the years by winning seven straight meetings in Denver. Andrew McCutchen went deep three times in Tuesday’s 9-4 rout of the Rockies, as the Pirates have scored at least five runs in each of the past seven wins at Colorado. The Pirates face Colorado’s Jonathan Gray tonight, as Pittsburgh beat him twice last season, including scoring five runs on the right-hander in less than five innings of a 9-3 rout last September.


Biggest public favorite: Nationals (-210) vs. Phillies


Biggest public underdog: Royals (+105) at Angels

Biggest line move: Diamondbacks (+100 to -120) vs. Cardinals

 

[CNOTES]

Arrieta calls PED whispers "flattering"
April 26, 2016


CHICAGO (AP) Jake Arrieta says it is ''flattering'' that ''some of the best players in the game'' are spreading rumors that Arrieta is using performance-enhancing drugs.


The National League Cy Young Award winner and Chicago Cubs ace didn't name names Tuesday but said his teammates have heard rumors from other players that the right-hander has used PEDs to fuel his emergence with the Cubs. As manager Joe Maddon says, ''we've all become suspicious'' in baseball.


''I think it's funny because I've always been in good shape,'' Arrieta said. ''I just (stunk) early in my career.''


Arrieta went from hyped prospect to disappointing big leaguer while with the Orioles but has transformed into one of the game's best pitchers since a trade to Chicago in 2013. He has two no-hitters in his last 11 regular season starts, including last week against Cincinnati.


The 30-year-old Arrieta credited his career turnaround to a comprehensive workout program and eating well. Maddon added ''command and confidence'' to the mix.


''I threw 96, 98 (mph) when I was younger. And I still feel like I'll be able to do that for a long time,'' Arrieta said. ''If people call into question my work ethic, that's fine, because I know what I'm doing behind the scenes.


''It is somewhat flattering, especially when some of those comments are coming from some of the best players in the game.''


Arrieta is a strong supporter of the drug-testing policy adopted in conjunction with the players' union. Last week, Toronto first baseman Chris Colabello was suspended 80 games for a positive steroids test.


''It's apparent that guys are still trying to take things, and I think it's unfortunate,'' Arrieta said.


''I think guys will continue to do so unless the penalties are stiffer,'' he added. ''I personally don't think guys should (get) multiple chances when they fail a steroid test.''


Arrieta's numbers - 15-0 with an 0.53 ERA in his past 16 starts - are staggering. Especially since he was carrying a 7.23 ERA when Baltimore traded him to Chicago in a July 2013 deal that involved journeyman Scott Feldman.


''I eat plants and I eat lean protein. That's my gig, that's what I do,'' Arrieta said. ''I watch what I eat and I train properly. My mom is (6-foot-1) and my dad is 6-4, so I'm going to be big, regardless.


''I could be 30 pounds heavier if I played football. But I play baseball and I do Pilates. I strength train with heavy weights occasionally and this is the result.''


The Cubs have won Arrieta's last 17 starts, tying a franchise record. He'll face the Brewers on Wednesday night trying improve on a 24-game stretch in which he's 20-1 with an 0.86 ERA, 33 walks and 173 strikeouts.


''There's food and supplements that you can take legally that will better your body and help you stay healthy,'' Arrieta said. ''Shortcuts are something that's always been around all sports, but as a union, we're trying to do the best we can to weed those guys out of the game.''

 

[CNOTES]

Yankees, Rangers hook up
April 27, 2016




NEW YORK YANKEES (8-11) at TEXAS RANGERS (11-10)


First pitch: Wednesday, 8:00 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: New York +120, Texas -130, Total: 9.5


The Yankees and the Rangers meet in the rubber game of the three-game series at Globe Life Park in Arlington.


The Yankees (8-11) won the series opener, 3-1, on Monday night, but the Rangers (11-10) evened the series on Tuesday with a 10-1 thrashing. You can expect a lot of runs in the rubber game of the series, as Yankees LHP CC Sabathia (1-1, 5.28 ERA, 10 SO, 8 BB in 15 1/3 innings) will take on Rangers LHP Martin Perez (0-2, 4.50 ERA, 11 SO, 13 BB in 24 IP) in a battle of lefty hurlers. Neither starter has looked sharp to start the season.


In Texas’ victory on Tuesday, LF Ian Desmond (.211, 3 HR, 8 RBI, .309 OBP) hit a 433-foot solo shot and 2B Rougned Odor (.234, 3 HR, 14 RBI, .272 OBP) added a 416-foot blast in the ninth inning. RF Nomar Mazara (.365, 2 HR, 6 RBI, .426 OBP) and 1B Mitch Moreland (.239, 2 HR, 7 RBI, .301 OBP) each chipped in with a pair of hits, and SS Elvis Andrus (.343, 0 HR, 12 RBI, .370 OBP) went 3-for-4 to up his average to .343.


Texas has the second-most runs in the American League (92) and the Bronx Bombers are tied with Tampa Bay for the least (70). If the game is tight in the later innings, though, the Yanks have the advantage. New York’s bullpen (3.30 ERA) has been much more reliable than Texas’ (5.04 ERA). The Rangers have played very well at home (7-4) this season.


Where is the Yankees’ offense? Joe Girardi’s club is 11th in the AL in average (.238) and second-to-last (.191) with men in scoring position. It also has the second-fewest hits (152) in the AL and is dead last in doubles (20). No Yankees starter is batting .300, with 2B Starlin Castro (.278, 3 HR, 11 RBI, .325 OBP) and LF Brett Gardner (.271, 2 HR, 4 RBI, .403 OBP) leading the way. RF Carlos Beltran (.264, 4 HR, 9 RBI, .289 OBP) leads the club in homers with just four.


1B Mark Teixeira (.254, 3 HR, 10 RBI, .375 OBP), CF Jacoby Ellsbury (.253, 1 HR, 8 RBI, .282 OBP), 3B Chase Headley (.157, 0 HR, 2 RBI, .290 OBP) and DH Alex Rodriguez (.145, 2 HR, 6 RBI, .242 OBP) have really been struggling. The only Yankee with more than four career at-bats against Perez is backup 2B Dustin Ackley (.067, 0 HR in 15 AB). He’s 3-for-10 lifetime with a homer against the 25-year-old. For his career, Sabathia is 12-4 against the Rangers with a 5.10 ERA.


Mazara just continues to rake in his rookie campaign. Andrus has been terrific as well, and veteran Adrian Beltre (.300, 3 HR, 12 RBI, .345 OBP, 7 2B) just continues to produce at age 37. DH Prince Fielder (.192, 2 HR, 15 RBI, .258 OBP) had an RBI single on Tuesday night, but the six-time All-Star is still looking to find his rhythm at the plate. Jeff Banister’s club is hitting .245 against left-handed starters, and it’s seen its fair share of Sabathia, who’s been in the majors since 2001.


Andrus (10-for-22 with 4 RBI) has loved facing the former Cy Young Award winner, though Fielder (5-for-19 with 1 HR and 4 RBI) and Beltre (8-for-34 with 1 HR, 3 2B and 5 RBI) haven’t had a ton of success against him. In Perez’s lone career start against the Yankees (on July 28, 2015), he surrendered eight earned runs in just an inning of work.

 

[CNOTES]

LEADING OFF: Arrieta in 1st start after no-no, Braves slump
April 27, 2016


A look at what's happening all around the majors today:


ARRIETA ENCORE


Cubs ace Jake Arrieta makes his first start since throwing a no-hitter when he faces the Brewers at Wrigley Field. The reigning NL Cy Young Award winner pitched his second career no-no last Thursday at Cincinnati.


Johnny Vander Meer in 1938 became the only pitcher to throw two straight no-hitters, doing it for the Reds.


The Cubs have won the last 17 times Arrieta has started, matching a team record.


POWER OUTAGE


The Braves' home-run drought has reached a whopping 15 games going into their matchup with the Red Sox at Fenway Park. It's the worst homer slump for the franchise since a 16-gamer for the Boston Braves in 1946.


Atlanta has hit just three home runs in 20 games this year.


NO PENALTY


Tigers outfielder Tyler Collins will be able to stay on the field. He won't be suspended by Major League Baseball for directing an obscene gesture at booing home fans after losing a ball in the lights Monday night.


HARD TIME FOR HARVEY


Mets star Matt Harvey (1-3) has a 5.24 ERA after four starts going into this outing against Cincinnati. Batters are hitting .200 (11 for 55) against him through four innings this season, .353 (6 for 17) in the fifth and .714 (10 for 14) in the sixth.


GETTING CLOSER


The Rangers might say what the next step is for ace Yu Darvish, fresh off throwing another live batting practice session.


Darvish last pitched in a major league game in August 2014 and had Tommy John surgery in March 2015. The 29-year-old righty was 39-25 with a 3.27 ERA in his first three seasons with Texas and was an All-Star each year.


CHECK HIM


The Reds will see how second baseman Brandon Phillips is feeling as he recovers from a pair of injuries. He didn't play vs. the Mets on Tuesday night, a day after a most painful at-bat - he fouled a ball off his shin and left foot, struggled to get back into the batter's box and then was hit on the left ring finger by a pitch.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB MONEYLINE


MLB > (927) HOUSTON@ (928) SEATTLE | 2016-04-27 22:10:00 - 2016-04-27 22:10:00
Play AGAINST HOUSTON using money line in All games in night games
The record is 3 Wins and 13 Losses for the this season (-12.85 units)


MLB > (927) HOUSTON@ (928) SEATTLE | 2016-04-27 22:10:00 - 2016-04-27 22:10:00
Play AGAINST SEATTLE using money line in Home games after a win
The record is 12 Wins and 26 Losses for the last two seasons (-22.35 units)

MLB > (921) NY YANKEES@ (922) TEXAS | 2016-04-27 20:05:00 - 2016-04-27 20:05:00
Play ON TEXAS using money line in All games in night games
The record is 75 Wins and 56 Losses for the last two seasons (+33.22 units)


-------------------


MLB RUNLINE


MLB > (915) CHI WHITE SOX@ (916) TORONTO | 2016-04-27 19:05:00 - 2016-04-27 19:05:00
Play ON TORONTO in Home games when playing on Wednesday
The record is 22 Wins and 7 Losses for the last three seasons (+20 units)


------------------


MLB TOTALS


MLB > (905) CINCINNATI@ (906) NY METS | 2016-04-27 19:10:00 - 2016-04-27 19:10:00
Play OVER NY METS on the totalin All games after 3 or more consecutive wins
The record is 28 Overs and 11 Unders for the last two seasons (+16.65 units)


MLB > (915) CHI WHITE SOX@ (916) TORONTO | 2016-04-27 19:05:00 - 2016-04-27 19:05:00
Play UNDER CHI WHITE SOX on the totalin All games when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 1 Overs and 10 Unders for the this season (+9.2 units)

MLB > (909) PITTSBURGH@ (910) COLORADO | 2016-04-27 20:40:00 - 2016-04-27 20:40:00
Play OVER PITTSBURGH on the totalin All games when playing with a day off
The record is 17 Overs and 5 Unders for the last two seasons (+12.35 units)


------------------


TOP POWER LINES


Users of our matchup reports are familiar with our Power Line ratings, calculated using both teams' ratings and home field advantage. The Top Power Lines tool offers a way to view and compare current Power Lines in one simple report, as well as the Power Line Edge, where the Power Line differs significantly from the current line.


MLB > (901) SAN DIEGO @ (902) SAN FRANCISCO | 2016-04-27 15:45:00 - 2016-04-27 15:45:00
Line: SAN DIEGO BTB PowerLine: SAN DIEGO-157
Edge On: SAN DIEGO (18)


MLB > (903) PHILADELPHIA @ (904) WASHINGTON | 2016-04-27 19:05:00 - 2016-04-27 19:05:00
Line: WASHINGTON-195 BTB PowerLine: WASHINGTON-229
Edge On: WASHINGTON (34)


MLB > (915) CHI WHITE SOX @ (916) TORONTO | 2016-04-27 19:05:00 - 2016-04-27 19:05:00
Line: CHI WHITE SOX BTB PowerLine: CHI WHITE SOX-128
Edge On: CHI WHITE SOX (12)


MLB > (929) ATLANTA @ (930) BOSTON | 2016-04-27 19:10:00 - 2016-04-27 19:10:00
Line: BOSTON-200 BTB PowerLine: BOSTON-318
Edge On: BOSTON (118)


MLB > (905) CINCINNATI @ (906) NY METS | 2016-04-27 19:10:00 - 2016-04-27 19:10:00
Line: NY METS-230 BTB PowerLine: NY METS-284
Edge On: NY METS (54)


MLB > (917) OAKLAND @ (918) DETROIT | 2016-04-27 19:10:00 - 2016-04-27 19:10:00
Line: OAKLAND BTB PowerLine: OAKLAND146
Edge On: OAKLAND (37)


MLB > (919) BALTIMORE @ (920) TAMPA BAY | 2016-04-27 19:10:00 - 2016-04-27 19:10:00
Line: BALTIMORE BTB PowerLine: BALTIMORE-102
Edge On: BALTIMORE (12)

MLB > (907) MILWAUKEE @ (908) CHICAGO CUBS | 2016-04-27 20:05:00 - 2016-04-27 20:05:00
Line: CHICAGO CUBS-360 BTB PowerLine: CHICAGO CUBS-387
Edge On: CHICAGO CUBS (27)


MLB > (921) NY YANKEES @ (922) TEXAS | 2016-04-27 20:05:00 - 2016-04-27 20:05:00
Line: TEXAS-126 BTB PowerLine: TEXAS-133
Edge On: TEXAS (7)


MLB > (909) PITTSBURGH @ (910) COLORADO | 2016-04-27 20:40:00 - 2016-04-27 20:40:00
Line: PITTSBURGH BTB PowerLine: PITTSBURGH126
Edge On: PITTSBURGH (23)


MLB > (911) ST LOUIS @ (912) ARIZONA | 2016-04-27 21:40:00 - 2016-04-27 21:40:00
Line: ST LOUIS BTB PowerLine: ST LOUIS122
Edge On: ST LOUIS (33)


MLB > (925) KANSAS CITY @ (926) LA ANGELS | 2016-04-27 22:05:00 - 2016-04-27 22:05:00
Line: KANSAS CITY BTB PowerLine: KANSAS CITY114
Edge On: KANSAS CITY (37)


MLB > (927) HOUSTON @ (928) SEATTLE | 2016-04-27 22:10:00 - 2016-04-27 22:10:00
Line: HOUSTON BTB PowerLine: HOUSTON-110
Edge On: HOUSTON (11)

MLB > (913) MIAMI @ (914) LA DODGERS | 2016-04-27 22:10:00 - 2016-04-27 22:10:00
Line: LA DODGERS-162 BTB PowerLine: LA DODGERS-165
Edge On: LA DODGERS (3)

 

[CNOTES]

4/26 - Results: 5 - 4 - 1 + 3.19
Overall : 104 - 120 + 1.63


WEDNESDAY, APRIL 27


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


SD at SF 03:45 PM

SF -190


U 7.5

 

[CNOTES]

Evening Action:




PHI at WAS 07:05 PM


PHI +185


O 7.0


CHW at TOR 07:07 PM


TOR -125




OAK at DET 07:10 PM


DET +100




ATL at BOS 07:10 PM


ATL +182




BAL at TB 07:10 PM


BAL +107




CIN at NYM 07:10 PM


CIN +195




MIL at CHC 08:05 PM


MIL +300




NYY at TEX 08:05 PM


TEX -117




CLE at MIN 08:10 PM


O 8.0




PIT at COL 08:40 PM


PIT +109


O 10.5




STL at ARI 09:40 PM


STL +103


O 9.0




KC at LAA 10:05 PM


LAA -119


O 7.5




HOU at SEA 10:10 PM


SEA -129


U 7.5




MIA at LA 10:10 PM


MIA +154


U 7.5

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack


-- Warriors 114, Rockets 81-- Not exactly a prideful effort by Houston.


-- Hornets 90, Heat 88-- Charlotte won three games in row after being down 2-0.


-- Blazers 108, Clippers 98-- Hard to win when your floor general breaks his hand.


-- Nashville 2, Anaheim 1-- Was first-ever Game 7 for the Predators.


-- White Sox 4, Blue Jays 0-- Surprising Pale Hose are 16-6, best record in AL.


-- Marlins 2, Dodgers 0-- Mattingly beat his old team the last three nights.


**********


Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud.......


13) NFL Draft is tonight; since 1967, USC (68) has had the most first round draft picks, followed by Miami (58), Ohio State (56), Florida (46).


12) I enjoyed the mock draft on NFL Network this week, despite occasional screaming/yelling whenever Michael Irvin got involved. It was a little bit like a fantasy draft but without the laboring over picks, since mock drafts don't have any accountability, the way real teams or even fantasy teams have.


11) Giants' pitcher Jeff Samardzija was a pretty good WR in college; he scored 27 TDs and averaged 14.5 yards/catch.


10) RIP Ozzie Silna, former owner of the Spirits of St Louis of the old ABA, who reaped a bonanza from the NBA when he agreed to fold the Spirits before the NBA-ABA merger in 1976. One of the greatest business deals of all-time, Silna was paid millions and millions of dollars to do absolutely nothing.


9) Houston Astros are 7-15 and in trouble; its not just that they're losing lot of games, they're playing sloppily and their pitching has regressed.


8) Oakland and Detroit brought up their ace pitching prospects to make starts on Friday. A's will have Sean Manaea starting against Houston, Tigers gave Michael Fullmer the call to start against the Twins in Minnesota.


7) A's signed 36-year old lefty Rich Hill as a starter this year; Hill is 3-0, 1.42 in his first three road starts, but is 0-2, 9.00 in two starts at the normally pitcher-friendly Oakland Coliseum.


6) Detroit Tigers are paying Texas $6M a year for the next five years, part of the deal that sent Prince Fielder packing from the Motor City. As Billy Beane said to David Justice in Moneyball, "They're paying you to play against them."


5) San Diego Padres are 0-5 when James Sheidls starts on the mound; they've scored a total of six runs in his five starts. Padres are also the only team that hasn't scored a first inning run on the road this season (10 games).


4) Eric Byrnes is the only player (Oakland, 2003) who has hit for the cycle at AT&T Park in San Francisco. Pablo Sandoval is the last Giant to hit for the cycle-- would like to see a clip of the triple he hit.


3) Georgia Tech still owes former basketball coach Paul Hewitt $2.7M; he has not been the coach there since 2011. Quite a deal his agent made for him.


2) Columbia graduate transfer Grant Mullins chose Cal over Michigan; young Mullins is a 6-3 guard who shot 44.1% on the arc last year.


1) Cool thing about the NFL Draft is that no one knows what will happen when these college kids become pros this summer. Flash back to 1998, just as many people liked Ryan Leaf as Peyton Manning. How did that turn out?

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 28

National League games
Phillies @ Nationals
Nola is 1-2, 5.68 in his last three starts (under 3-1 in '16 starts).

Roark is 2-0, 0.00 (14 IP) in his last two home starts (last three starts went under).

Philly won five of its last six games; over is 7-3-1 in their last 11. Washington won eight of its last ten home games; under is 6-2-2 in its last ten games overall.

Brewers @ Cubs
Jungmann is 0-3, 11.25 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his '16 starts.

Arrieta is 4-0, 0.87 in four starts this month (over 4-0).

Milwaukee lost seven of its last ten games; over is 5-2-1 in its last eight. Cubs won six of last eight games; over is 4-1-1 in Chicago's last six games overall.

Pirates @ Rockies
Nicasio is 2-2, 4.50 in four starts this month (over 2-2).

Chatwood is 2-2, 3.86 in four starts this month (under 4-0).

Pirates are 8-3 in their last 11 games; nine of their last 11 road games went over. Colorado lost seven of its last eight games; six of its last eight home tilts went over. .

Cardinals @ Diamondbacks
Wacha is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three starts (over 3-1 in his '16 starts).

de la Rosa is 1-2, 7.07 in three starts this month (under 2-1) .

Cardinals won seven of their last nine road games (over 8-1). Arizona is just 4-9 at home- six of their last seven games went over the total

Marlins @ Dodgers
Fernandez is 1-1, 3.18 in his last three starts (over 2-2 in '16 starts).

Maeda is 3-0, 0.36 in his first four MLB starts (under 3-0-1).

Dodgers lost four of last five home games; under is 6-2-1 in their home games. Miami won its last four games- four of their last six games went over

American League games
White Sox @ Orioles
Danks is 0-3, 7.27 in three starts this month (under 2-1).

Wilson allowed three runs in five IP (70 PT) in winning his first '16 start.

Orioles lost four of last six games but are 7-1 at home- eight of their last nine games stayed under the total. Chicago won eight of its last nine games; under is 8-3 in its last 11 road games.

A's @ Tigers
Bassitt is 0-1, 4.81 in four starts this month (over 2-2).

Sanchez is 0-2, 14.73 in his last two starts (over 3-0-1 in '16 starts).

Oakland lost four of its last five games (over 4-1). Detroit lost six of its last nine home games (over 7-2).

Interleague
Braves @ Red Sox
Chacin is 0-1, 4.76 in three starts this month (over 2-1).

Buchholz is 0-2, 6.33 in four starts this month (over 3-1).

Red Sox won their last six games; five of their last eight games stayed under the total. Atlanta lost its last eight games; over is 6-2 in its road games.

Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
Phil-Wsh-- Nola 1-3; Roark 2-2
Mil-Chi-- Jungmann 1-3; Arrieta 4-0
Pitt-Colo-- Nicasio 2-2; Chatwood 2-2
StL-Az-- Wacha 3-1; de la Rosa 1-2
Mia-LA-- Fernandez 2-2; Maeda 3-1

Chi-Balt-- Danks 0-3; Wilson 1-0
A's-Det-- Bassitt 2-2; Sanchez 2-2

Atl-Bos-- Chacin 1-2; Buchholz 0-4

Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
Phil-Wsh-- Nola 3-4; Roark 1-4
Mil-Chi-- Jungmann 1-3; Arrieta 4-0
Pitt-Colo-- Nicasio 1-4; Chatwood 1-4
StL-Az-- Wacha 2-4; de la Rosa 1-3
Mia-LA-- Fernandez 2-4; Maeda 0-4

Chi-Balt-- Danks 1-3; Wilson 0-1
A's-Det-- Bassitt 1-4; Sanchez 2-4

Atl-Bos-- Chacin 1-3; Buchholz 1-4

Umpires
Phil-Wsh-- Three of last four TBarrett games stayed under.
Mil-Chi-- Home teams won five of last six Marquez games
Pitt-Colo-- Last three Davidson games stayed under the total.
StL-Az-- Six of last seven Randazzo games stayed under.
Mia-LA-- Favorites won seven of last nine Miller games

A's-Det-- Seven of last ten Muchlinski games stayed under

Atl-Bos-- Visiting team won six of last seven Fletcher games

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Thursday, April 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. DETROIT
Oakland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

2:20 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CHI CUBS
Milwaukee is 0-4-1 SU in their last 5 games ,when playing Chi Cubs
Milwaukee is 1-6-1 SU in their last 8 games ,when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs6-1-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Chi Cubs15-5-1 SU in their last 21 games

3:10 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. COLORADO
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Colorado's last 8 games at home
Colorado is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home

4:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games
Washington is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games

7:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Chi White Sox's last 20 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chi White Sox's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Baltimore's last 9 games
Baltimore is 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing Chi White Sox

7:10 PM
ATLANTA vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Atlanta's last 13 games
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games

9:40 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. ARIZONA
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis

10:10 PM
MIAMI vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Miami is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing at home against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, April 28


Milwaukee @ Chicago Cubs

Game 951-952
April 28, 2016 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Jngmnn) 15.312
Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 16.748
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1 1/2
5 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-260
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-260); N/A

Pittsburgh @ Colorado

Game 953-954
April 28, 2016 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Nicasio) 15.420
Colorado
16.812
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-110
11
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-110); Over

Philadelphia @ Washington

Game 955-956
April 28, 2016 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Nola) 15.604
Washington
(Roark) 14.732
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-165
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+145); Over

St. Louis @ Arizona

Game 957-958
April 28, 2016 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Wacha) 13.773
Arizona
(De La Rosa) 17.283
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+105); Under

Miami @ LA Dodgers

Game 959-960
April 28, 2016 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Frnandez) 13.317
LA Dodgers
(Maeda) 15.790
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 2 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-130
6
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
(-130); Over

Oakland @ Detroit

Game 961-962
April 28, 2016 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Bassitt) 12.621
Detroit
(Sanchez) 16.540
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 4
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-135); Under

Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore

Game 963-964
April 28, 2016 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Danks) 15.557
Baltimore
(Wilson) 14.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 1
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-135
9
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+115); Under

Atlanta @ Boston

Game 965-966
April 28, 2016 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Chacin) 15.338
Boston
(Buchholz) 14.477
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-210
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+180); Over

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 28

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MILWAUKEE (8 - 12) at CHICAGO CUBS (15 - 5) - 2:20 PM
TAYLOR JUNGMANN (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 13-29 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 54-83 (-24.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 116-75 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 59-33 (+20.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 116-75 (+22.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ARRIETA is 31-9 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 31-9 (+18.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 800-762 (-162.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 163-200 (-57.9 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 786-820 (-151.0 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 1107-1212 (-198.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 713-790 (-183.3 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 736-718 (-150.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 1-0 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

TAYLOR JUNGMANN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
JUNGMANN is 0-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 4.32 and a WHIP of 2.038.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
ARRIETA is 4-3 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of 0.872.
His team's record is 5-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-6. (-5.6 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (13 - 9) at COLORADO (9 - 12) - 3:10 PM
JUAN NICASIO (R) vs. TYLER CHATWOOD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 34-28 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 111-74 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 111-74 (+23.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 88-57 (+21.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 70-39 (+23.2 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
CHATWOOD is 0-8 (-9.1 Units) against the money line at home with a money line of -100 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-0 (+3.3 Units) against COLORADO this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.1 Units)

JUAN NICASIO vs. COLORADO since 1997
NICASIO is 0-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.500.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

TYLER CHATWOOD vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (11 - 10) at WASHINGTON (14 - 6) - 4:05 PM
AARON NOLA (R) vs. TANNER ROARK (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-43 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 97-85 (-14.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 96-84 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 72-67 (-12.6 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 (+3.0 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

AARON NOLA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
NOLA is 0-1 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 7.80 and a WHIP of 1.733.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.2 units)

TANNER ROARK vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
ROARK is 1-4 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 7.18 and a WHIP of 1.443.
His team's record is 1-4 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-3. (-1.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (12 - 9) at ARIZONA (11 - 12) - 9:40 PM
MICHAEL WACHA (R) vs. RUBBY DE LA ROSA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 52-44 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
DE LA ROSA is 13-6 (+9.1 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 114-73 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 114-73 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 79-48 (+22.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 87-52 (+22.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 10-24 (-13.3 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 76-97 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 13-29 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in home games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 76-97 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 51-67 (-34.4 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more since 1997.
ARIZONA is 59-106 (-36.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 2-1 (+1.1 Units) against ARIZONA this season
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.0 Units)

MICHAEL WACHA vs. ARIZONA since 1997
WACHA is 0-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.59 and a WHIP of 1.532.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.3 units)

RUBBY DE LA ROSA vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
DE LA ROSA is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.91 and a WHIP of 1.636.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (9 - 11) at LA DODGERS (12 - 10) - 10:10 PM
JOSE FERNANDEZ (R) vs. KENTA MAEDA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
FERNANDEZ is 32-17 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 106-83 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 106-83 (-15.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 77-64 (-19.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-0 (+5.1 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.1 Units)

JOSE FERNANDEZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
FERNANDEZ is 2-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.368.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-0. (+3.3 units)

KENTA MAEDA vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (11 - 11) at DETROIT (10 - 10) - 1:10 PM
CHRIS BASSITT (R) vs. ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 79-105 (-28.3 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 76-98 (-24.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 42-61 (-19.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 25-13 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in road games in April games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 37-53 (-17.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 172-161 (-48.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 since 1997.
DETROIT is 87-86 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 208-221 (-56.8 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
DETROIT is 87-86 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 30-40 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against OAKLAND this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

CHRIS BASSITT vs. DETROIT since 1997
BASSITT is 1-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.286.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SANCHEZ is 1-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.204.
His team's record is 2-6 (-5.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.0 units)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHI WHITE SOX (16 - 6) at BALTIMORE (12 - 8) - 7:05 PM
JOHN DANKS (L) vs. TYLER WILSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 193-159 (+37.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 56-33 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 41-21 (+15.7 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 55-32 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 41-23 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 104-85 (+20.7 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-6 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 10-3 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 16-6 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in April games this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 62-52 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
CHI WHITE SOX are 13-4 (+10.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 11-4 (+8.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHI WHITE SOX are 13-6 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

JOHN DANKS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
DANKS is 6-5 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.91 and a WHIP of 1.190.
His team's record is 7-6 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-6. (-0.2 units)

TYLER WILSON vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
WILSON is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (4 - 17) at BOSTON (12 - 9) - 7:10 PM
JHOULYS CHACIN (R) vs. CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 28-61 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 8-25 (-18.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 26-58 (-23.1 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 1-15 (-13.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
ATLANTA is 8-33 (-19.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 161-185 (-32.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 66-83 (-25.6 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 82-92 (-31.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 140-164 (-37.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 59-67 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 71-91 (-24.8 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 19-31 (-18.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 7-15 (-12.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 7-19 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 3-11 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 6-13 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 11-24 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 5-16 (-13.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 5-14 (-13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-0 (+3.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JHOULYS CHACIN vs. BOSTON since 1997
CHACIN is 1-1 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 5.90 and a WHIP of 1.874.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 1-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.900.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Short Sheet

Thursday, April 28

Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs, 2:20 PM ET
Milwaukee: 54-83 SU against right-handed starters
Chicago: 59-33 SU against division opponents

Pittsburgh at Colorado, 3:10 PM ET
Pittsburgh: 38-13 SU after a win by 2 runs or less
Colorado: 13-29 SU after allowing 8 runs or more

Philadelphia at Washington, 4:05 PM ET
Philadelphia: 18-14 SU after having won 3 of their last 4
Washington: 22-35 SU after batting .240 or worse over a 15 game span

St Louis at Arizona, 9:40 PM ET
St Louis: 79-48 SU in night games
Arizona: 16-36 SU after 2 or more consecutive overs

Miami at LA Dodgers, 10:10 PM ET
Miami: 19-9 SU after a game without an extra base hit
Los Angeles: 18-22 SU after 3 straight games where they committed no errors

Oakland at Detroit, 1:10 PM ET
Oakland: 39-58 SU when the money line is +125 to -125
Detroit: 24-8 SU after scoring 9 runs or more

Chicago at Baltimore, 7:05 PM ET
Chicago: 9-3 SU on the road when the total is 7 to 8.5
Baltimore: 2-7 SU after 2 or more consecutive road games

Atlanta at Boston, 7:10 PM ET
Atlanta: 27-17 SU with an on base percentage of .285 or worse over last 5 games
Boston: 16-32 SU after 3 straight games without giving up a stolen base

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Thursday, April 28


Pirates have won the last 8 meetings with Rockies in Denver, and 13-3 in last 16 meetings overall. -110 T: 11

 

[CNOTES]

Cards, Diamondbacks clash
April 28, 2016


Sportsbook.ag Line: St. Louis -111, Arizona +101, Total: 9.0


Michael Wacha and the Cardinals look to take three of four from Rubby De La Rosa and the Diamondbacks in the series finale at Chase Field.


After dropping the series opener, 12-7, on Monday, the Cardinals (12-9) have taken two straight from the Diamondbacks (11-12) by a combined score of 19-6 and have a chance to take the series on Thursday night.


On the hill for St. Louis will be RHP Michael Wacha (2-0, 2.82 ERA, 15 SO, 7 BB, 0 HR in 22 1/3 IP), who’s been impressive in his first four starts.


He’ll be opposed by RHP Rubby De La Rosa (2-3, 5.94 ERA, 18 SO, 6 BB, 3 HR in 16 2/3 IP), who has labored in six appearances (three starts).


De La Rosa has his work cut out for him, as the Cardinals lead the major leagues in runs scored (137).


We might see some long balls in this one, as Arizona leads the majors in homers (34) and the Cards are tied for second (33) with Colorado. Arizona has the second-most hits in the National League (224), and St. Louis is right behind them (211, T-3rd in NL).


What separates these two clubs is their pitching. Mike Matheny’s team owns a respectable 3.86 ERA, compared to Arizona’s dreadful 4.92 mark. The Cardinals have gone an incredible 14-2 against the Diamondbacks over the past three seasons, including an 8-2 record at Chase Field. Arizona is just 4-9 in Phoenix this season.


Rookie SS Aledmys Diaz (.468, 4 HR, 13 RBI, .500 OBP, 8 2B, 1 3B) just continues to defy expectations. The 25-year-old has been the majors’ best hitter in the month of April, which is especially amazing considering he’s been batting in the eight hole in the lineup. Seven-time All-Star Yadier Molina (.333, 0 HR, 10 RBI, .419 OBP, 6 2B, 1 3B) is on fire, and RF Stephen Piscotty (.305, 4 HR, 15 RBI, .380 OBP, 5 2B) has been locked in of late.


RF Jeremy Hazelbaker (.310, 5 HR, 13 RBI, .344 OBP), now a bench player, is tied for the club lead in homers with 1B Brandon Moss (.241, 5 HR, 14 RBI, .344 OBP). The Cards haven’t seen much of De La Rosa, as no player on St. Louis’ roster has more than six career at-bats against him.


Moss is 2-for-5 with a homer against him, and 3B Matt Carpenter (.253, 3 HR, 16 RBI, .411 OBP) is 3-for-5 with a pair of doubles against the righty. In three career starts against Arizona, Wacha is 0-0 with a 4.59 ERA.


After two consecutive down years, 2B Jean Segura (.350, 4 HR, 15 RBI, .375 OBP, 3 SB)—in his first season with Arizona—has reverted back to his All-Star form.


The Diamondbacks have gotten plenty of production from the catcher’s spot, as C Welington Castillo (.250, 6 HR, 12 RBI, .351 OBP) is tied with 1B Paul Goldschmidt (.250, 6 HR, 16 RBI, .431 OBP) for the club lead in homers. In his second big-league season, LF Yasmany Tomas (.288, 5 HR, 12 RBI, 7 2B) looks far more comfortable—and dangerous—at the plate.


Chip Hale’s squad hasn’t seen much of Wacha, as only Castillo (2-for-8 with 1 HR and 3 RBI) has faced him more then five times. In two career starts against the Cards, De La Rosa is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA. He faced them once last season, on August 27, and surrendered five earned runs in five innings.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday's Diamond Notes
April 28, 2016


Hottest team: White Sox (6-0 last six)
The biggest surprise in the American League this season resides on the South Side of Chicago. The White Sox finished off an impressive three-game road sweep of the Blue Jays, capped off by a 4-0 shutout on Wednesday. After allowing five runs in the series opening victory, Chicago’s pitching staff clamped down on the loaded (but struggling) Toronto offense to give up a combined one run in the past two wins. Since getting shut out at home by the Angels on April 18, the Sox have won eight of their last nine games as they travel to Baltimore to begin a four-game set.


Coldest team: Rockies (0-5 last five)
This category can be reserved for the Braves this season after they lost to the Red Sox on Thursday to fall to 4-17. However, we’ll focus on the Rockies, who try to avoid a four-game home sweep to the red-hot Pirates this afternoon. Colorado won the first game of its homestand against Los Angeles on April 22, but the Rockies have proceeded to lost five consecutive contests, while allowing 36 runs in the past four defeats. The Rockies own a 4-8 record at Coors Field, as Colorado has dropped eight consecutive home matchups with Pittsburgh.


Hottest pitcher: Kenta Maeda, Dodgers (3-0, 0.36 ERA)
The Cubs were rained out last night as Jake Arrieta’s start was moved to this afternoon against the Brewers. Arrieta owns a 4-0 record with a miniscule ERA of 0.87 after registering a no-hitter in his past outing at Cincinnati. But there is one starting pitcher in the National League that owns an ERA lower than Arrieta’s and he pitches for the Dodgers. It’s not Clayton Kershaw, instead it’s Japanese standout Kenta Maeda. The right-hander has allowed one earned run in four starts, while the Dodgers are 3-1 in his four outings. Maeda is making his first start against a team outside the NL West, as each of his last three outings have finished ‘under’ the total.


Coldest pitcher: Clay Buchholz, Red Sox (0-2, 6.33 ERA)
Boston goes its fourth straight win over Atlanta as Buchholz tries to turn around his recent bad luck. The Red Sox right-hander is winless in four starts this season, while giving up five earned runs in three separate outings. The Astros knocked around Buchholz in his last outing on Saturday, but the righty allowed a grand slam to blow the doors open in an 8-3 loss. Buchholz had success against the Braves last season in his lone start at Turner Field by scattering six hits and allowing two unearned runs in seven innings of a 5-2 victory last June.


Biggest UNDER run: Orioles (4-0 last four)
The only team not to register an OVER at home this season is Baltimore, who has finished UNDER the total in all seven games at Camden Yards. The Orioles hit the UNDER in five of six games on their recent road trip, including all three contests at Tampa Bay. The offense hasn’t produced many runs lately, scoring a total of five runs in the last four games, while all three runs in Wednesday’s 3-1 victory over the Rays came on a three-run homer off the bat of right fielder Joey Rickard.


Biggest OVER run: Pirates (13-3 last 16)
Pittsburgh’s offense has exploded since a miserable 1-6 run in mid-April. The Pirates have won eight of their last 11 games, while plating at least six runs in six of the past seven contests. In three victories at Coors Field, the Pirates have reached home plate 24 times, while surviving on Wednesday night in spite of blowing a 7-1 lead in a 9-8 triumph. The Pirates have eclipsed the OVER in nine of the last 11 games away from PNC Park with one of those UNDERS coming on a 12 total in Monday’s 6-1 victory at Colorado.


Matchup to watch: Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks
These two teams finish off this wild series at Chase Field after St. Louis rallied for an 11-4 victory on Wednesday. The Cardinals fell behind 3-1, but pitcher Adam Wainwright cleared the bases with a three-run triple to start the comeback and St. Louis never looked back as they scored nine runs in a three-inning span. All three games in this series have flown OVER the total, as the D-backs look to improve on their 4-9 home record. Rubby De La Rosa takes the mound for Arizona in the finale, coming off a solid performance in his last start, a 7-1 victory over the Pirates in which he allowed three hits and one earned run in six innings of work.


Betcha didn’t know: It took the Phillies 21 games to reach 11 victories, while the 76ers won just 10 games all season in 82 tries. Philadelphia goes for the three-game sweep of Washington this afternoon, as the Phillies last swept a road series last August at San Diego. Since starting the season 0-4 on the road, the Phillies have won six of their last seven games away from Citizens Bank Park, including four victories as an underdog of +140 or higher.


Biggest public favorite: Red Sox (-200) vs. Braves


Biggest public underdog: White Sox (+120) at Orioles


Biggest line move: Tigers (-130 to -140) vs. Athletics

 

[CNOTES]

Overachieving NL Pitchers
April 28, 2016


Starting pitching is the biggest component of MLB handicapping and as the first month of the season winds down there are some surprising pitchers off to great starts. Here are a few National League starters with great results through the first few weeks that may be worth fading as their valuation grows.


Jason Hammel - Chicago Cubs: With Jake Arrieta’s continued dominance and veterans Jon Lester and John Lackey behind him the Cubs rotation looks formidable. There are some questions on the backend but so far this season, Jason Hammel has delivered great results for the Cubs with a 3-0 record and a 0.75 ERA that is among the best marks in baseball. The 33-year old has bounced around through four organizations while never winning more than 10 games in a season and it looks unlikely that 2016 will be his breakthrough season.


Hammel has been fortunate in the early going stranding over 92 percent of base runners and his xFIP is more than 4 times higher than his ERA. Hammel has walked nine batters in 24 innings of work and he won’t get to face a Reds lineup that he has 12 scoreless innings against all season. On a loaded Cubs team, Hammel can continue to provide useful innings but with Chicago’s great record, Hammel is likely to face favorite valuation that he won’t deserve.


Gio Gonzalez - Washington Nationals: In his first season with the Nationals in 2012, Gonzalez won 21 games with a 2.89 ERA to finish 3rd in the Cy Young voting. He has just 33 wins in the three-plus seasons since producing rather average results that have worsened slightly each season. Gonzalez was never suspended, but he was linked to the Biogenesis documents and now on the wrong side of 30 it seems unlikely that Gonzalez will ever reemerge as a frontline starter.


Washington and Gonzalez have had a great April, but they have faced an incredibly weak schedule and the four starts for Gonzalez have come against the Braves, Phillies, and Twins with three of those four starts at home. Gonzalez has 25 strikeouts in just over 25 innings of work, but he has benefitted from a .243 BABIP at this point in the season and it feels like an unsustainable pace for the left-hander who will face much tougher lineups in the coming weeks.


Jimmy Nelson - Milwaukee Brewers: The Brewers aren’t expected to hold up well in the loaded NL Central, but Nelson has been a bright spot in the 8-12 start through 20 games. Nelson won 11 games last season in making 30 starts for a struggling team and in five outings in 2016 he owns solid numbers with a 3.16 ERA with 25 strikeouts. He is walking more than four batters per nine innings and he owns a FIP of 5.35, more than two runs higher than his ERA at this point in the season. Nelson has allowed at least two runs in every start as he has rarely been dominant and he has already allowed six home runs.


Nelson is just 26 and he may continue to be the best option in the Milwaukee rotation, but he will likely earn the highest line valuation of the Milwaukee starters as well. With a manageable schedule in the month of May, he may continue to be viable for a few more weeks but don’t expect to see Nelson among the NL pitching leaders by season’s end.


Ross Stripling - Los Angeles Dodgers: With the many early season injuries on the Los Angeles pitching staff, Stripling has had a chance to join the rotation this and he has made the most of it. The 26-year old right-hander didn’t enter the season as even one of the top 10 prospects for the club and he has never even pitched at the AAA level after mediocre results moving up from A to AA in the middle of last season. Stripling might never have even made the big leagues if not for all the holes in the rotation and he incredibly got 22 outs in his major league debut without allowing a hit. He was pulled from the game and no-hitter was lost by the bullpen and predictably the results have been less impressive in this three starts since.


Since his great debut start, Stripling has allowed 19 hits in 15 innings and he has allowed more than four walks per nine innings. He doesn’t get a great deal of ground balls as it is surprising that he has only allowed one home run but making three of his four starts at Dodger Stadium and AT&T Park helps the cause. Hyun-Jin Ryu and Michael Bolsinger are poised to return to the club in the coming weeks with Brandon McCarthy a possibility to be back mid-summer as well as Stripling isn’t likely to keep this position much longer regardless of the results.

 

[CNOTES]

Overachieving AL Pitchers
April 27, 2016


Starting pitching is the biggest component of MLB handicapping and as the first month of the season winds down there are some surprising pitchers off to great starts. Here are a few American League starters with great results through the first few weeks that may be worth fading as their valuation grows.


Mat Latos - Chicago White Sox: Latos looked like one of the NL’s better young pitchers a few years ago with the Padres before having a few moderately successful seasons in Cincinnati. After bouncing around last season with few positive outings, Latos was signed for a very cheap one-year deal by the White Sox last winter. That deal has already paid off with Latos 4-0 with a 0.74 ERA for the surprising White Sox who lead the AL Central.


Three of his four starts have come against three of the five worst scoring teams in the AL at this point and Latos is sporting a FIP nearly three runs higher than his ERA. He has benefitted from an unbelievable .167 BABIP in allowing just 13 hits in over 24 innings of work while producing just 13 strikeouts. With matchups with the Orioles, Red Sox and Rangers in the next few weeks, Latos and the rest of the White Sox pitching staff could see lesser results ahead.


Ian Kennedy - Kansas City Royals: The 2015 World Series champions didn’t make much of an off-season splash with the signing of Kennedy being one of the biggest moves. Kennedy has good numbers through four starts with a 2.77 ERA and 23 strikeouts, but he faced struggling Minnesota and Houston offenses in his first two outings. The numbers have deteriorated a bit in his last two starts and he has already walked nine batters in 26 innings of work. Kennedy has been fortunate to allow only 20 hits this season while standing runners on base at an extremely high rate.


After posting marginal numbers pitching for San Diego the past two seasons, Kennedy isn’t likely to find better results this season moving back to the AL. In the early going, Kansas City’s great bullpen hasn’t been as effective as the past two seasons as the prices on Kennedy may be a bit too high in certain matchups ahead.


Jordan Zimmermann - Detroit Tigers: Zimmermann didn’t endear himself to Tigers fans over the winter as the Wisconsin native made a celebratory tweet after the improbable Packers win over the Lions, but given his first month results all may be forgiven. Zimmermann is 4-0 with a miniscule 0.35 ERA in his move to the AL after several successful but often injury plagued seasons with Washington. Zimmermann only has 16 strikeouts in 26 innings and he has allowed 22 hits despite allowing just one earned run in four starts.


Zimmermann’s past results command respect on the betting line, but his tiny ERA may push those prices even higher even with the Tigers looking like an erratic group in the first month of the season. Zimmermann should have a good season, but he isn’t likely to stay on the Cy Young radar for much longer and fading him while his numbers are among the best in the league will present the best value.


Cole Hamels – Texas Rangers: Hamels is 3-0 this season with the Rangers with a solid 2.52 ERA and a pretty strong strikeout rate. This was after fairly mixed results joining the Rangers last August for the playoff push. Quality starting pitchers don’t sign with the Rangers as the ballpark has been known to take a toll which is why the Rangers were willing to give up so much to get Hamels last summer with his contract going through 2018. So far this season it looks like a shrewd move as Hamels has handled being the staff ace until Yu Darvish can return even though the 2015 AL West champions have had inconsistent results so far this season.


Hamels owns a FIP of 5.14 through four starts, or more than twice his ERA, as he has lacked the precise control he has enjoyed much of his career, already walking 11 so far this season. Hamels has allowed four home runs and 20 hits despite surrendering only seven runs in 25 innings of work as he has been pretty fortunate in the early going. Hamels is capable of having a solid season even in Arlington, but he will look like a risk as a heavy favorite in a ballpark where scoring is commonplace especially with a couple of teams that can handle left-handers in the division.