Cnotes March National Basketball Association News-Trends-Picks !

[CNOTES]

NBA

Monday, March 24

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. CHARLOTTE
Houston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Charlotte is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

7:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. MIAMI
Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Portland
Miami is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games

7:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. ATLANTA
Phoenix is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Phoenix is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games
Atlanta is 4-17-1 ATS in its last 22 games

8:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. MEMPHIS
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Memphis's last 13 games when playing Minnesota

8:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games on the road
New Orleans is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Brooklyn

8:00 PM
DENVER vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Oklahoma City is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Denver

8:00 PM
INDIANA vs. CHICAGO
Indiana is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games
Chicago is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

8:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 8-16-1 ATS in its last 25 games when playing Philadelphia
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

9:00 PM
DETROIT vs. UTAH
Detroit is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
Utah is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Utah is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games

10:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Milwaukee is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
LA Clippers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Monday, March 24

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Game of the Day: Trail Blazers at Heat
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Portland Trail Blazers at Miami Heat (-6, 210)

The Miami Heat and Portland Trail Blazers don't look like teams that are peaking heading into the postseason. Both playoff-bound squads have lost seven of their last 11 games and need a momentum-building victory when they square off Monday in Miami. The Heat remain firmly entrenched as the No. 2 team in the Eastern Conference — three games behind Indiana — while the Trail Blazers have slid to fifth in the West.

Both teams are coming off ugly road losses. The Heat have been lackluster on defense too often of late and allowed New Orleans to shoot 51.2 percent in a 105-95 loss Saturday. "Yes, our locker room is angry. Yes, our locker room is frustrated, as rightly we should be," Miami coach Erik Spoelstra told reporters. "We're not accustomed to this type of play, these type of standards, particularly on the defensive end." The Trail Blazers have won three of their last five following a season-high four-game skid, but they opened their five-game East Coast road trip with a 124-94 clunker at Charlotte.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, NBATV, CSN Northwest (Portland), Sun Sports (Miami)

LINE HISTORY: The early line out of Vegas is Miami -6, with a total of 210.

INJURY WATCH: Portland: PF LaMarcus Aldridge - doubtful (back). Miami: F LeBron James - probable (ankle), G Dwyane Wade - questionable (knee)

POWER RANKINGS: Portland (-9.4) - Miami (-14) + home court (-3) = Miami -6.6

WHY BET THE BLAZERS (45-25, 37-33 ATS): Leading scorer LaMarcus Aldridge (23.4 points, 11.1 rebounds) is expected to miss his sixth straight game with a bruised lower back. Portland had held its own without him until suffering its most lopsided loss of the season against the Bobcats. Without Aldridge, the Trail Blazers will have to rely more on point guard Damian Lillard, who is tied for second in the league with 189 3-pointers, surpassing his own franchise record from a year ago.

WHY BET THE HEAT (47-21, 30-36-2 ATS): LeBron James keeps producing — he has hit double figures in scoring in 560 consecutive games — but he hasn't always had much help. The Heat should be at full strength after a night off, meaning guard Dwyane Wade and center Greg Oden should be in the lineup. Miami is 4-0 when Oden — the injury-prone former Trail Blazer — is in the starting lineup.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Miami.
* Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Miami.
* Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings.
* Road team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Monday, March 24


Thunder guard Russell Westbrook, doubtful Monday

Westbrook is not expected to play Monday against the Nuggets due to a scheduled day of rest.


Heat guard Dwyane Wade, questionable Monday

Wade did not play Saturday due to a knee injury and is questionable to play Monday against the Trail Blazers.


Blazers' forward LaMarcus Aldridge, questionable Mon

Aldridge suffered a back contusion March 12th against the Spurs and has not played since. He is questionable to play Monday against the Heat.


Rockets' center Dwight Howard, questionable Monday

Howard missed the last three games due to a sprained left ankle and is questionable to play Monday against the Bobcats.


76ers open as 21.5-point dogs vs. Spurs

The Philadelphia 76ers have opened as 21.5-point road dogs for their matchup with the San Antonio Spurs Monday.

The Sixers are in the midst of a historically bad losing streak, which currently sits at 24 straight games. Despite the epic losing streak the Sixers have been able to keep games close - at least in terms of these large spreads - and have covered six of their last eight games.

Two more losses and the Sixers will match the NBA record set by the 2010-11 Cleveland Cavaliers of 26 straight.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, March 24

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HOUSTON (47 - 22) at CHARLOTTE (34 - 36) - 3/24/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (41 - 29) at ATLANTA (31 - 37) - 3/24/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in road games this season.
PHOENIX is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 69-83 ATS (-22.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (45 - 25) at MIAMI (47 - 21) - 3/24/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (34 - 34) at MEMPHIS (41 - 28) - 3/24/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 8-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (32 - 38) at OKLAHOMA CITY (51 - 18) - 3/24/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 144-192 ATS (-67.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 88-72 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 77-63 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 50-32 ATS (+14.8 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-5 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (51 - 19) at CHICAGO (39 - 31) - 3/24/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) second half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in March games this season.
INDIANA is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 74-88 ATS (-22.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 32-49 ATS (-21.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 5-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (37 - 31) at NEW ORLEANS (29 - 40) - 3/24/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (15 - 55) at SAN ANTONIO (53 - 16) - 3/24/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-42 ATS (-18.2 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-52 ATS (-31.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-31 ATS (-16.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 43-66 ATS (-29.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 140-107 ATS (+22.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 114-87 ATS (+18.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 425-358 ATS (+31.2 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 64-39 ATS (+21.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 159-117 ATS (+30.3 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 61-39 ATS (+18.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 339-276 ATS (+35.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (25 - 44) at UTAH (23 - 47) - 3/24/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 22-36 ATS (-17.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 39-53 ATS (-19.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 4-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (13 - 57) at LA CLIPPERS (49 - 21) - 3/24/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 68-86 ATS (-26.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 207-264 ATS (-83.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 40-56 ATS (-21.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 26-40 ATS (-18.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 39-30 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 70-105 ATS (-45.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-0 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Monday

March 24, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Thunder are 12-0 ATS (9.54 ppg) since May 03, 2011 at home when facing a team that covered by double digits against them in their previous same-season meeting.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bucks are 14-0 OU (14.32 ppg) since Jan 17, 2009 after a game in which they were whistled for at least 30 personal fouls.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Jazz are 0-10 OU (-14.05 ppg) since Apr 01, 2011 at home in at least the 10th game of the season, after Derrick Favors had a double double at home.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Rockets are 10-0-1 ATS (7.95 ppg) since Mar 22, 2013 off a win in which they never trailed.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Clippers are 8-0 OU (12.69 ppg) since Feb 21, 2013 at home after Chris Paul was the Clippers’ high scorer in a win.

-- The Thunder are 0-6 ATS (-9.58 ppg) since Apr 29, 2013 after Kevin Durant played more than 45 minutes.

 

[CNOTES]

Inside the Paint - Monday

March 24, 2014


The Association picks up the pace Monday with 10 games on tap. Instead of focusing on one particular matchup, here’s my quick handicap for the entire card. Do yourself a favor and follow us on Twitter for the latest injury and line move updates as well.

Houston (47-22 SU, 35-35 ATS) at Charlotte (34-36 SU, 40-28 ATS)

No overnight line on this matchup due to the status of Rockets center Dwight Howard, who has missed three straight games. During his absence, Houston has gone 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS while averaging 123.6 points per game. Even though Charlotte has played better lately (5-2 SU, 6-1 ATS), it’s hard to back a club that has been inconsistent against the Western Conference (13-16). Sticking with that angle, you can’t ignore the fact that Houston is 21-5 versus the East this season.

Phoenix (41-29 SU, 44-24 ATS) at Atlanta (31-37 SU, 30-37 ATS)

After watching the Suns rally past the Timberwolves and the Hawks collapse to the Raptors yesterday, you’d probably lean to Phoenix in this matchup as a short road favorite (-1.5). Fatigue will be a factor and neither the Hawks (6-11 SU, 7-10 ATS) or Suns (7-8 SU, 7-8 ATS) have been great investments on zero days rest this season. These teams just played in the desert on Mar. 2 and Phoenix earned a 129-120 win as an eight-point home favorite, however the game was tighter than the final margin.

Portland (45-25 SU, 37-33 ATS) at Miami (47-21 SU, 30-36 ATS)

Another game with two teams facing the injury bug late in the season and it appears that both are running out of gas. The Trail Blazers are 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS in their last eight, which includes a 30-point (124-94) loss at Charlotte on Saturday. Meanwhile, the two-time defending champions are mired in a 4-7 SU and 3-8 ATS stretch. The ‘over’ has been a good look for both Portland (7-1 L8) and Miami (5-1 L6) recently. On Dec. 28, Miami defeated Portland 108-107 without LeBron James in the lineup.

Indiana (51-19 SU, 35-34 ATS) at Chicago (39-31 SU, 34-36 ATS)

I’m a little surprised Chicago is listed as a short home favorite but it’s hard to justify a play on Indiana, who is 3-14-1 ATS in the second-half of the season. The Pacers knocked off the Bulls 91-79 on Friday at home but followed that win up with an 81-72 road loss to Memphis on Saturday. Indiana has been held under 100 in four straight games, which has led to a 4-0 ‘under’ record. Chicago has also been a funk versus the number, 0-5 ATS in its last five. The team is 3-2 during this drought but one win came against the Kings and two versus the 76ers. I don’t like the side but the low total (179) screams ‘under’ and that’s always a good look in this series.

Minnesota (34-34 SU, 33-35 ATS) at Memphis (41-28 SU, 32-25 ATS)

I strongly advise you to stay away from the Timberwolves for the rest of the season. This team doesn’t play any defense and the only way you’ll win a game is if they shoot lights out, which is very possible. They just beat Dallas (123-122) last week on the road but you need them to score and score in bunches. Yesterday, the Wolves were outscored 34-17 in the fourth quarter to the Suns en route to a 127-120 loss. I can’t see the Wolves scoring tonight on a good defensive club in Memphis, who hasn’t given up 100-plus in eight straight games. One angle you can look at with the Wolves is the 'over' in the first-quarter, especially at home. They lead the league in first-quarter scoring. They're also near the bottom in fourth quarter scoring, hence the late-game collapses.

Brooklyn (37-31 SU, 37-31 ATS) at New Orleans (29-40 SU, 29-36 ATS)

This is probably the toughest game to handicap tonight. The Nets have won four straight and 11 of 13, which includes a 107-104 overtime victory against Dallas last night. Despite no chance of making the playoffs, New Orleans has produced a 6-3 record in its last nine games. The Nets defeated the Pelicans 93-81 on Feb. 9 as 4 ½-point home favorites. Tonight, Brooklyn is favored again on the road and the total has been boosted up to 199 ½, which has me leaning to the ‘over.’ New Orleans is on an 8-1 run to the ‘over’ behind an offense that is 109.2 PPG over this span. Nets have struggled on no rest this season, going 4-10 SU and 7-7 ATS but they have won their last two B2B situations.

Denver (32-28 SU, 32-27 ATS) at Oklahoma City (51-18 SU, 37-32 ATS)

Oklahoma City returns home after a perfect three-game road trip and is facing Denver as a 10 ½-point home favorite. Normally I’d lean to the underdog with the Thunder facing a letdown but it’s hard to back the Nuggets on the road with no rest. On the season, Denver is 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in back-to-back situations. Brian Shaw’s team has shown some fight down the stretch, going 6-1 ATS in their last seven games, which includes outright wins over the Heat and Clippers. The Thunder could be without Russell Westbrook (knee) tonight after the All-Star banged up his knee in Friday’s win at Toronto. OKC is 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS versus Denver this season.

Philadelphia (15-55 SU, 28-42 ATS) at San Antonio (53-16 SU, 37-32 ATS)

If there was a time that you could justify laying 21 ½-points in the NBA, this would probably be the best situation but I’d still tread lightly. Even though the Spurs have won 13 straight (11-2 ATS) and the 76ers have dropped 24 in a row, you could make a small case for the underdog. The letdown factor could be in play since San Antonio will be playing its first home game after a three-game road trip on the West Coast. Also, the 76ers have covered four straight games when they’re listed as underdogs of 15-points or more. Best play here is probably a pass.

Detroit (25-44 SU, 31-38 ATS) at Utah (23-47 SU, 31-36 ATS)

These meaningless games are difficult to handicap the side. Normally I lean to the ‘over’ in these spots because I feel like the teams just roll the ball out and defense is often optional. However, I thought this total (201) would be a tad higher knowing that the Pistons are the best ‘over’ (45-23) team in the league plus they have a 21-7 (75%) ‘over’ record against teams from the West. Utah has won and covered four straight against Detroit, which includes a 110-89 road win this season on Jan. 14. The ‘under’ has gone 3-1 during this span.

Milwaukee (13-57 SU, 31-38 ATS) at L.A. Clippers (49-21 SU, 39-30 ATS)

Bettors are starting at another double-digit home favorite and it’s justified with the Clippers, especially at home (30-5 SU, 18-17 ATS). The Bucks have been a great underdog to back lately as they’ve covered six of their last nine but they got walloped last night at Sacramento, 124-107. Los Angeles rarely has let downs against inferior clubs and it wouldn’t be surprising to see another wire-to-wire loss for Milwaukee. Total players should note that Los Angeles has seen the ‘under’ cash in seven straight and 10 of its 11 games. There have been some close calls during this span but it appears the oddsmakers have taken notice with Monday’s opening total of 208.

 

[CNOTES]

MARCH RECORD

............................. 31 - 18 - 1 *****

............................. 13 - 16 - DOUBLE PLAYS

............................. 13 - 15 TRIPLE PLAYS


Monday, March 24

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Houston - 7:00 PM ET Charlotte +4.5 500 *****

Charlotte - Under 205.5 500

Phoenix - 7:30 PM ET Phoenix -3 500

Atlanta - Under 211 500 *****

Portland - 7:30 PM ET Miami -6 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Miami - Under 207 500

Indiana - 8:00 PM ET Chicago -1.5 500

Chicago - Under 176.5 500 *****

Minnesota - 8:00 PM ET Minnesota +7.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Memphis - Over 198.5 500

Brooklyn - 8:00 PM ET Brooklyn +1 500 *****

New Orleans - Over 199.5 500

Denver - 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -11.5 500

Oklahoma City - Over 216.5 500

Philadelphia - 8:30 PM ET Philadelphia +20.5 500 *****

San Antonio - Under 210 500

Detroit - 9:00 PM ET Detroit -1.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY

Utah - Under 203.5 500

Milwaukee - 10:30 PM ET L.A. Clippers -16.5 500

L.A. Clippers - Over 213 500 *****

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 25

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TORONTO (39 - 30) at CLEVELAND (27 - 44) - 3/25/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 42-26 ATS (+13.4 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games this season.
TORONTO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (45 - 26) at ORLANDO (19 - 52) - 3/25/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 2-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (52 - 18) at DALLAS (42 - 29) - 3/25/2014, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 8-6 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (29 - 41) at LA LAKERS (23 - 46) - 3/25/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 25

Hot teams
-- Oklahoma City won its last four games. Mavericks won six of their last nine games.
-- Knicks won eight of their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Cleveland lost four of its last five games. Raptors lost three of their last five.
-- Orlando lost its last nine games (3-6 vs spread). Portland lost seven of its last ten games.
-- Lakers lost seven of their last nine games.

Series records
-- Raptors won seven of last ten games with Cleveland.
-- Trailblazers won five of last seven games with Orlando.
-- Thunder won seven of last eight games with Dallas.
-- Knicks won three of last four games with the Lakers.

Totals
-- Four of last five Toronto games went over total.
-- Five of last six Portland games went over total.
-- Four of last five Thunder games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven New York games went over.




NBA

Tuesday, March 25

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. ORLANDO
Portland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
Portland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Orlando's last 16 games at home

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CLEVELAND
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. DALLAS
Oklahoma City is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

10:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. LA LAKERS
New York is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New York's last 18 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
LA Lakers are 4-13 SU in their last 17 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Tuesday, March 25

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Thunder at Mavericks
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Dallas Mavericks (+1, 210)

The Dallas Mavericks are locked in a three-way battle for one of the final two playoff spots in the Western Conference and can’t afford to drop many more home games along the way. The Mavericks will get a tough test in their own building when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday. Dallas is halfway through an eight-game homestand but is just 2-2 so far with a pair of overtime losses and a trio of playoff contenders on the way.

The Thunder crushed the Denver Nuggets 117-96 on Monday despite Russell Westbrook sitting out after his latest right knee scare. Westbrook, who had an MRI come back clean over the weekend, is expected to return Tuesday to help Oklahoma City keep pace with the San Antonio Spurs atop the West. The Spurs own a two-game cushion over the Thunder. The Mavericks secured an impressive 109-86 victory at Oklahoma City on March 16 with Westbrook sitting out, snapping seven-game regular-season losing streak in the series.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: The early line out of Vegas has the Mavericks as 1-point home dogs with the total at 210.

INJURY WATCH: Oklahoma City: G Russell Westbrook - probable (knee). Dallas: G Jose Calderon - questionable (nose)

POWER RANKINGS: Oklahoma City (-13.7) - Dallas (-9) + home court (-3) = Oklahoma City -1.7

WHY BET THE THUNDER (52-18, 38-31-1 ATS): Kevin Durant is chasing history with 35 straight games of at least 25 points, the longest streak since Michael Jordan went 40 straight during the 1986-87 campaign. Durant put up 27 against the Nuggets on Monday and got plenty of help from Reggie Jackson, who started in Westbrook’s spot and collected 16 points and 11 assists. Oklahoma City continues to give more minutes to veteran Caron Butler, who was picked up earlier this month after being bought out by the Milwaukee Bucks and scored his most since joining the team with 23 points against Denver.

WHY BET THE MAVERICKS (42-29, 39-32 ATS): Dallas is having trouble putting 48 minutes together. The Mavericks trailed by 22 points in the first half before forcing overtime in a loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves on Wednesday and squandered a double-digit advantage before falling in the extra period to the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday. Dirk Nowitzki suffered through one of his worst games of the season against the Nets, totaling 10 points on 2-of-12 shooting. “It’s tough,” Nowitzki told reporters. “I kind of hesitated too much and I was kind of always waiting on the double team instead of playing my game.”

TRENDS:

* Under is 3-0-1 in the last four meetings.
* Thunder are 12-3-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Dallas.
* Road team is 33-16-2 ATS in the last 51 meetings.
* Underdog is 23-8-1 ATS in the last 32 meetings.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Tuesday, March 25

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Bank Shots: NBA's weekly betting news and notes
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

For the week of March 17-23.

Hottest ATS - Philadelphia 76ers (0-4 SU, 4-0 ATS)

It looks like oddsmakers have finally found the 76ers' tipping point when it comes to margin of loss. Sure, Philadelphia is still dropping games at a potentially historic rate - going into Monday just two losses shy of the NBA record of 26 held by the Cleveland Cavaliers - but it was competitive enough over its last four games to claim the rare winless straight up, unbeaten against the spread week. That stretch may very well continue Monday, with the 76ers installed as 21 1/2-point underdogs to a San Antonio team that may call off the dogs by halftime.

Coldest ATS - Chicago Bulls (2-2 SU, 0-4 ATS)

The 76ers were no doubt aided by a pair of closer-than-expected losses to the Chicago Bulls, who struggled ATS as they try to stay in the hunt for home-court advantage in the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs. The Bulls only managed to defeat the lowly 76ers by eight and 10 points, respectively, while squeezing in 12-point defeats to the Oklahoma City Thunder and Indiana Pacers. Looming home games against Indiana and Portland should prove challenging, with a home-and-home set with the Boston Celtics to follow.


Best Over play - Portland Trail Blazers (2-1 SU, 3-0 O/U)

No LaMarcus Aldridge? No problem for the Trail Blazers, who can still fill the net like few teams in the NBA - and isn't too shabby at letting the opposition do the same. Portland had little trouble extending its streak of over outcomes to four last week, earning a 120-115 overtime victory over the Milwaukee Bucks before cruising past Washington 116-103 and getting thumped 124-94 at Charlotte. Expect the offense to continue as Portland resumes its road trip with games in Miami, Orlando, Atlanta and Chicago before returning home to face Memphis.


Best Under play - Memphis Grizzlies (2-1 SU, 0-3 O/U)

Things haven't changed a bit in Memphis, either, with the Grizzlies still using stifling defense and just enough offense to remain in the Western Conference playoff hunt. Memphis won two of three last week, with each outcome - a 96-86 win over Utah, a 91-86 defeat at Miami and an 82-71 triumph over Indiana - falling below the already low total. The Grizzlies face some challenging offenses this week - hosting Minnesota before hitting the road for games at Utah, Golden State and Portland - so the streak of six straight unders may be in jeopardy.


Surveying the schedule

While much of the focus will continue to be on the respective playoff races and which teams will be giving their star players the night off, there is still plenty of buzz surrounding the 76ers' streak of futility. Philadelphia isn't going to get much of a break in its quest to avoid equaling the Cavaliers' record, tangling with the Spurs before heading to Houston for a date with the Rockets on Thursday. If the 76ers lose both, they'll look to derail the streak Saturday at home against a surprisingly beatable Detroit Pistons team.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Oklahoma City at Dallas
The Thunder head to Dallas tonight where they are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games versus the Mavericks. Oklahoma City is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 25

Game 651-652: Toronto at Cleveland (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 122.950; Cleveland 116.332
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 6 1/2;192
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 4; 196
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-4); Under

Game 653-654: Portland at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 117.003; Orlando 107.890
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 9; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 5; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-5); Under

Game 655-656: Oklahoma City at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 124.246; Dallas 119.050
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 2 1/2; 213
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-2 1/2); Under

Game 657-658: New York at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 117.294; LA Lakers 108.847
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 8 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 6; 217
Dunkel Pick: New York (-6); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, March 25

Toronto at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Toronto: 15-5 ATS off a home win
Cleveland: 9-26 ATS in home games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days

Portland at Orlando, 7:05 ET
Portland: 15-9 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games
Orlando: 1-6 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders

Oklahoma City at Dallas, 8:00 ET
Oklahoma City: 10-3 ATS against Southwest division opponents
Dallas: 15-7 OVER after playing 3 consecutive home games

New York at LA Lakers ET
New York: 1-5 ATS against Pacific division opponents
LA Lakers: 42-70 ATS after playing a game as favorite

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Tuesday, March 25


Spurs win 14th straight; extend 76ers' skid to 25

The San Antonio Spurs upended the Philadelphia 76ers 113-91 Monday night, extending their win streak to 14, while moving the Sixers one loss closer to being historically bad.

The Sixers have now lost 25 straight games and are just one loss away from tying the NBA record of 26 set by the 2010-1 Cleveland Cavaliers. Philadelphia faces Houston on Thursday.

Meanwhile the Spurs are on the longest win streak in the Tim Duncan-Greg Popovich era and the win streak has been kind to bettors. They are 11-3 against the spread during the streak, including covering their last eight games. The Spurs host Denver Tuesday.


Grizzlies extend home win streak to 10

The Memphis Grizzlies extended their home win streak to 10 with their 109-92 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves Monday night.

During the streak, the Grizzlies have surprisingly been a good over play, putting up a 7-3 over/under mark.

Unfortunately for the Grizzlies, they now must embark on a five game road trip as they continue to battle for the Western Conference's last few playoff spots. Their next home game is April 4 when they host the Denver Nuggets.


Favorites take care of business Monday night

Favorites took care of of business Monday night in the Association, putting up a solid 8-2 mark against the spread, hitting at a mark of 80 percent.

Away favorites were even more impressive going a perfect 3-0 ATS last night.


Blazers' PF LaMarcus Aldridge, doubtlful Tuesday

Aldridge is suffering from a back contusion and is doubtful to play Tuesday against the Magic.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Tuesday, March 25

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
This week's best NBA spot bet opportunities
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Letdown spot

San Antonio has come on strong, and the Spurs have been the best team in the NBA since the All-Star break. San Antonio goes into its Monday night home game against Philadelphia on a 15-1 SU and 12-4 ATS run.

The Spurs will also be at home Wednesday night when they host the resurgent Denver Nuggets before traveling to Denver for a game Friday night. San Antonio hasn’t played the Nuggets since the fourth game of the season, so that home-and-home set will have the Spurs focused. San Antonio will be in a letdown spot Saturday night when it returns home to host New Orleans, especially since the Spurs will be playing their third game in four nights.


Lookahead spot

The Toronto Raptors play four games this week, including three on the road. The Raptors play in Cleveland against the Cavaliers Tuesday night, and then play a home-and-home set versus the Celtics, starting in Boston, Wednesday and Friday. Toronto finishes the week in Orlando Sunday.

Toronto is off back-to-back energy-draining games, losing to Oklahoma City in overtime and then coming back from a 14-point, fourth-quarter deficit to beat Atlanta. The Raptors beat Cleveland the last time they played, but they lost their last trip to Boston. That means they may overlook the Cavaliers Tuesday night, especially with back-to-back games against the Celtics on deck.


Schedule spot

Portland has a tough week ahead with five games on the schedule. The Blazers’ week begins in Miami Monday and it concludes at home versus Memphis Sunday. The Blazers have not been in good form, but they have a pair of winnable road games in Orlando Tuesday night and in Atlanta Thursday night.

The trouble spot for Portland comes in Chicago Friday. The Blazers will be playing on a back-to-back road set and it will also be their fourth game in five nights. Chicago will be the much fresher team as the Bulls will go into that game on three days of rest.

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Tuesday

March 25, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Lakers are 0-10-1 ATS (-7.09 ppg) since Feb 07, 2013 as a dog after a win in which their DPS was negative.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Magic are 11-0 OU (13.45 ppg) since Feb 23, 2013 at home after a loss in which their DPA was negative.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Lakers are 13-0 OU (10.31 ppg) since Mar 25, 2013 after Pau Gasol played fewer than 30 minutes at home last game.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Knicks are 10-0 OU (15.25 ppg) since Mar 22, 2013 on the road with at most one day of rest after a game at home in which they scored more than 30% of their points from the three-point line.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Cavaliers are 0-10-1 ATS (-11.09 ppg) since Mar 17, 2010 after Anderson Varejao shot better than 66% from the field the last two games.

-- The Raptors are 8-0 ATS (6.44 ppg) since Dec 09, 2003 as a road favorite off a win in which they trailed by 10+ points.

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday's Tips

March 25, 2014


Raptors at Cavaliers – 7:05 PM EST

Toronto: 39-30 SU, 42-26-1 ATS
Cleveland: 27-44 SU, 34-37 ATS

The Raptors finished in last place of the Atlantic Division last season, but Toronto is one victory away from the 40-win mark with 13 games remaining. Dwane Casey’s club goes for its third win over the Cavaliers this season after beating Cleveland by six and seven points in the two previous meetings. Toronto has split its last eight games, while coming off a home victory on Sunday over Atlanta, 96-86 as 7 ½-point favorites.

The Cavaliers stunned the Knicks as 10-point underdogs on Sunday, 106-100, as Cleveland erased a 15-point halftime deficit. The victory snapped a four-game skid for the Cavs, who have now covered four consecutive contests and six of the last seven. Mike Brown’s team has dropped five straight games at Quicken Loans Arena since the start of March, but the Cavs have cashed in losses to the Heat, Thunder, and Rockets over the last week.

Blazers at Magic – 7:05 PM EST

Portland: 45-26 SU, 38-33 ATS
Orlando: 19-52 SU, 29-40-2 ATS

The Blazers continue to stumble on the road, but managed a cover in last night’s buzzer-beating loss at Miami, 93-91 as 6 ½-point underdogs. Portland has lost six of its past seven games away from the Moda Center, while scoring less than 100 points in five of those defeats. LaMarcus Aldridge continues to sit with a back injury that has kept the All-Star forward sidelined for the last six games, as the Blazers have posted a 3-3 SU and 4-2 ATS record. The last time the Blazers and Magic hooked up in January, Portland cruised to a 110-94 rout as 12 ½-point favorites.

The Magic is stumbling to the finish line, losing nine straight games, including an 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS West Coast road trip. The offense failed to crack the 94-point mark in all four games on their away swing, resulting in four ‘unders.’ Since mid-January, Orlando has put together a solid 11-4 ATS record at Amway Arena, but has lost its last three home games to Denver, Houston, and Washington. Defensively, Jacque Vaughn’s club has given up at least 100 points in eight of the past nine contests, while losing eight straight games to Western Conference foes.

Thunder at Mavericks – 8:05 PM EST

Oklahoma City: 52-18 SU, 38-31-1 ATS
Dallas: 42-29 SU, 39-32 ATS

The Thunder ripped up the tired Nuggets last night, 117-96 as 11-point home favorites to win their fourth straight game. Oklahoma City improved to 4-5 ATS the last nine contests as it looks to avenge an ugly home defeat earlier this month to Dallas when Russell Westbrook sat out to rest his knee. The Mavs blew out the Thunder from start to finish, 109-86 to easily cash as 7 ½-point underdogs, the first win over OKC in 11 tries (since January 2012).

Dallas continues a season-long eight-game homestand after getting tripped up in overtime by Brooklyn, 107-104 on Sunday. Rick Carlisle’s club has finished ‘over’ the total in three straight games, which includes another overtime setback to Minnesota last week. The Mavs have lost consecutive home games just once this season, coming back in early January to the Knicks and Clippers, while going 11-3 SU the last 14 games overall off a defeat.

Knicks at Lakers – 10:35 PM EST

New York: 29-41 SU, 30-40 ATS
Los Angeles: 23-46 SU, 35-33-1 ATS

The Knicks are playing their best basketball of the season, but suffered a rough defeat on Sunday against the banged-up Cavaliers, ending an eight-game hot streak. Now, New York travels to the West Coast to begin a five-game swing which begins with the down-and-out Lakers at Staples Center. In six of the eight wins during their winning streak, the Knicks feasted on the likes of the 76ers twice, Cavs, Jazz, and Celtics to get back in the playoff race. The positive for Mike Woodson’s squad is the current four-game road winning streak, which included three victories by ten points or more.

The Lakers are just counting down the days until the end of the season, but the Purple and Gold is coming off a win over Orlando on Sunday night, 103-94, which snapped a four-game skid. For the first time in 14 games, the Lakers held an opponent to below 100 points, as the ‘over’ is 10-4 in this stretch for Los Angeles. The last time these teams hooked up at Madison Square Garden in late January, the Knicks held off the Lakers, 110-103 to grab the money as 5 ½-point favorites.

 

[CNOTES]

MARCH RECORD

............................. 33 - 22 - 1 *****

............................. 13 - 17 - DOUBLE PLAYS

............................. 14 - 15 TRIPLE PLAYS




Tuesday, March 25

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Toronto - 7:00 PM ET Toronto -4.5 500 *****

Cleveland - Under 194.5 500

Portland - 7:00 PM ET Portland -6 500 TRIPLE PLAY

Orlando - Over 204.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY

Oklahoma City - 8:00 PM ET Dallas +3 500 *****

Dallas - Under 210.5 500

New York - 10:30 PM ET New York -7.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY

L.A. Lakers - Over 217 500 DOUBLE PLAY

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 26

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (37 - 32) at CHARLOTTE (34 - 37) - 3/26/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 40-28 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 49-28 ATS (+18.2 Units) in home games in March games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BROOKLYN is 101-72 ATS (+21.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 47-61 ATS (-20.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 36-54 ATS (-23.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 6-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 9-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (42 - 29) at WASHINGTON (36 - 34) - 3/26/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 46-24 ATS (+19.6 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHOENIX is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games this season.
PHOENIX is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
PHOENIX is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
PHOENIX is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHOENIX is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 133-101 ATS (+21.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 47-72 ATS (-32.2 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 317-382 ATS (-103.2 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (39 - 31) at BOSTON (23 - 47) - 3/26/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games this season.
TORONTO is 66-41 ATS (+20.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
TORONTO is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 81-112 ATS (-42.2 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (28 - 44) at DETROIT (26 - 44) - 3/26/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
DETROIT is 40-53 ATS (-18.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 8-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 7-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (31 - 38) at MINNESOTA (34 - 35) - 3/26/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (48 - 21) at INDIANA (51 - 20) - 3/26/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 12-10 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 13-9 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
12 of 22 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (50 - 21) at NEW ORLEANS (30 - 40) - 3/26/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 8-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (32 - 39) at SAN ANTONIO (54 - 16) - 3/26/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 141-107 ATS (+23.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 115-87 ATS (+19.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 426-358 ATS (+32.2 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 65-39 ATS (+22.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in March games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 284-225 ATS (+36.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 170-131 ATS (+25.9 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 62-39 ATS (+19.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 340-276 ATS (+36.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
DENVER is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (29 - 42) at SACRAMENTO (25 - 45) - 3/26/2014, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (42 - 28) at UTAH (23 - 48) - 3/26/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
MEMPHIS is 92-71 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 61-46 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 48-32 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
UTAH is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 26

Hot teams
-- Nets won seven of their last nine games.
-- Suns won last four games overall, four of last five on road.
-- Cavaliers won three of their last four road games.
-- Clippers won 13 of last 14 games (2-5-1 vs spread in last eight). New Orleans won four of its last five games.
-- Heat won four of last six games, covered twice in last eight.
-- Spurs won their last 14 games, covered last eight.
-- Grizzlies won eight of their last ten games.

Cold Teams
-- Bobcats lost three of their last four games.
-- Wizards lost three of their last four games.
-- Boston lost six of its last seven games. Raptors lost four of last six.
-- Pistons lost five of last six games, but covered last three.
-- Minnesota lost its last three games, allowing 121.7 ppg. Hawks lost last three games, by 6-10-7 points.
-- Pacers lost three of their last four games.
-- Nuggets lost last three road games, by 5-16-21 points.
-- Sacramento lost six of its last nine games. Knicks lost last two games, after winning previous eight.
-- Jazz lost seven of their last eight games.

Series records
-- Nets won eight of last nine games with Charlotte.
-- Wizards won their last three games with Phoenix.
-- Celtics are 17-5 in last 22 games with Toronto (4-4 last eight).
-- Pistons won seven of last eight games with Cleveland.
-- Hawks won nine of their last ten games with Minnesota.
-- Clippers won their last six games with New Orleans.
-- Home side won last six Indiana-Miami games.
-- Spurs won 11 of last 15 games with Denver.
-- Kings are 6-4 in their last ten games with New York.
-- Grizzlies won six of last seven games with Utah.

Totals
-- Last four Brooklyn games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Phoenix games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Toronto games went over total.
-- Four of last five Cleveland games went over.
-- Five of last seven Atlanta games stayed under; Minnesota's last four games went over.
-- Last six Clipper games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Miami games went over total.
-- Five of Spurs' last seven games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last nine Sacramento games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Memphis games stayed under total.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Wednesday, March 26

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. WASHINGTON
Phoenix is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing Washington
Washington is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Phoenix

7:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Charlotte is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

7:30 PM
CLEVELAND vs. DETROIT
Cleveland is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Detroit
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 18 of Detroit's last 25 games at home

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

8:00 PM
MIAMI vs. INDIANA
Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Miami is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami
Indiana is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. NEW ORLEANS
LA Clippers are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
LA Clippers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
New Orleans is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Atlanta's last 18 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

8:30 PM
DENVER vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games
San Antonio is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Denver

10:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. SACRAMENTO
New York is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Sacramento's last 10 games when playing at home against New York
Sacramento is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against New York

10:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. UTAH
Memphis is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Utah
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Utah is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Utah is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Wednesday, March 26

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Game of the Day: Heat at Pacers
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Miami Heat at Indiana Pacers (-2, 189)

The Indiana Pacers and the Miami Heat have not spent a lot of time playing like championship contenders over the last month. The teams are still the class of the Eastern Conference, however, and the Heat will look to knock another game off their deficit when they visit the Pacers on Wednesday. Indiana comes in having lost two straight while Miami managed to pick up a victory on Monday to get its deficit in the East down to two games.

The Heat’s 93-91 home win over the Portland Trail Blazers on Monday was just their fifth in the last 12 games and came only after squandering a 17-point fourth-quarter advantage. The Pacers have been unable to take advantage of Miami’s rough stretch due to its own record of 5-7 in the last 12, and a loss on Wednesday would draw Indiana even with the Heat in the loss column. All but one of those last seven setbacks have come on the road for the Pacers, who are 32-4 in their own building — including a win over Miami.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN, Sun Sports (Miami), FSN Indiana

LINE HISTORY: The early odds out of Las Vegas have Indiana as a suggested 2-point home favorite with a total of 189 points. However, most sportsbooks are waiting on the status of Heat G Dwyane Wade (rest), who is worth as many as three points to the spread.

POWER RANKINGS: Heat (-14.0) - Pacers (-12.5) + Home Court (-3.0) = Pacers -1.5

INJURY REPORT: Heat - Dwyane Wade (Rest - Prob). Pacers - C.J. Waton (Hamstring - Ques.), Andrew Bynum (Knee - Out)

ABOUT THE HEAT (48-21 SU, 30-37-2 ATS, 39-30-0 O/U): Center Chris Bosh understands that Miami is stepping into a rabid atmosphere as it tries to chase down the Pacers for the top spot. “It’s coming down to a photo finish,” Bosh told reporters. “We have a unique opportunity. No matter what’s happened this whole season, we’re within striking distance. It’s here and it’ll be a great playoff atmosphere. I can’t wait.” The Heat are expecting guard Dwyane Wade (Achilles’ tendon) to return to action after sitting out Monday’s contest.

ABOUT THE PACERS (51-20 SU, 35-35-1 ATS, 29-40-2 O/U): Paul George scored 21 points in Monday’s loss to the Chicago Bulls but he shot below 40 percent for the fifth straight game. George is just 21-of-76 during his shooting slump – a porous 27.6 percent – and is shooting just 37.7 percent in March. Getting George back on his game will be a focus down the stretch but there is also a concern that the All-Star forward is wearing down. His 18.9 scoring average in March is easily his lowest of the season.

TRENDS:

* Home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Heat are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Indiana.