Cnotes March National Basketball Association News-Trends-Picks !

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Memphis at New Orleans
The Grizzlies head to New Orleans tonight carrying an 11-5-1 ATS record in their last 17 road games. Memphis is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-3). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 12

Game 601-602: Brooklyn at Miami (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 119.916; Miami 133.328
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 13 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 603-604: Detroit at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 114.626; Toronto 121.175
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 6 1/2; 211
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 9 1/2; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+9 1/2); Over

Game 605-606: Sacramento at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 111.383; Philadelphia 104.237
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 7; 221
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 9; 216 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+9); Over

Game 607-608: Denver at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 115.426; Orlando 111.936
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 3 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 1; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Denver (-1); Under

Game 609-610: Charlotte at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 120.370; Washington 122.789
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4 1/2; 197 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+4 1/2); Over

Game 611-612: New York at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 116.585; Boston 116.704
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 196
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4 1/2; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+4 1/2); Under

Game 613-614: Memphis at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 124.605; New Orleans 116.938
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 7 1/2; 183
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3; 191
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-3); Under

Game 615-616: Dallas at Utah (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 119.357; Utah 111.712
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 7 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 5; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-5); Over

Game 617-618: Portland at San Antonio (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 120.273; San Antonio 129.650
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9 1/2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6 1/2; 211
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-6 1/2); Over

Game 619-620: Cleveland at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 119.973; Phoenix 121.868
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 8 1/2; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+8 1/2); Under

Game 621-622: Golden State at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 121.003; LA Clippers 132.927
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 12; 218
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 214
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-7); Over

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 12

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BROOKLYN (32 - 30) at MIAMI (44 - 17) - 3/12/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (25 - 39) at TORONTO (35 - 27) - 3/12/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 38-52 ATS (-19.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 37-24 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 110-78 ATS (+24.2 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
TORONTO is 112-147 ATS (-49.7 Units) in March games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (22 - 42) at PHILADELPHIA (15 - 48) - 3/12/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-51 ATS (-31.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) as a home underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-29 ATS (-18.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-23 ATS (-11.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-29 ATS (-17.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 4-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (27 - 36) at ORLANDO (19 - 46) - 3/12/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 26-36 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
DENVER is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
DENVER is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DENVER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
ORLANDO is 27-36 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 41-56 ATS (-20.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (30 - 34) at WASHINGTON (33 - 30) - 3/12/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 75-105 ATS (-40.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 25-49 ATS (-28.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 43-59 ATS (-21.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 79-63 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 35-26 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 316-381 ATS (-103.1 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-3 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (25 - 40) at BOSTON (22 - 42) - 3/12/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 27-38 ATS (-14.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
BOSTON is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 9-8 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 10-7 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (37 - 26) at NEW ORLEANS (26 - 37) - 3/12/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in road games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 89-67 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 58-43 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
MEMPHIS is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 8-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 6-5 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (38 - 27) at UTAH (22 - 42) - 3/12/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 83-63 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 37-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 6-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (42 - 22) at SAN ANTONIO (47 - 16) - 3/12/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 134-107 ATS (+16.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 109-87 ATS (+13.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 422-358 ATS (+28.2 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 58-39 ATS (+15.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 153-117 ATS (+24.3 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 283-225 ATS (+35.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 143-108 ATS (+24.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-4 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (24 - 40) at PHOENIX (36 - 27) - 3/12/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 16-25 ATS (-11.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (41 - 24) at LA CLIPPERS (45 - 20) - 3/12/2014, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 37-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 152-211 ATS (-80.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 103-141 ATS (-52.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 7-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 12

Hot teams
-- Toronto won six of its last eight games.
-- Washington won eight of its last ten games. Bobcats won three of their last four.
-- New York won last four games, all by 10+ points.
-- Grizzlies won five of their last six games. New Orleans won its last three games, scoring 118.3 ppg.
-- Spurs won last seven games, covered four of last six.
-- Golden State won its last five games (4-1 vs spread). Clippers won last eight games (6-2 vs spread).

Cold Teams
-- Nets lost six of their last seven games. Miami lost three of last four.
-- Nuggets lost 13 of their last 16 games. Orlando lost six of last eight.
-- 76ers lost their last 17 games (4-13 vs spread). Kings lost six of their last eight games.
-- Pistons lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Celtics lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Utah lost six of its last seven games. Mavericks lost last three road games, by 6-5-23 points.
-- Portland lost its last five games, by 5-5-10 points.
-- Phoenix lost six of its last nine games. Cavaliers lost their last four games, all by 9+ points.

Series records
-- Nets beat Miami twice this year, 101-100/104-95ot, after losing 13 in a row to the Heat before that.
-- Nuggets won four of last five games with Orlando.
-- 76ers won four in row, nine of last ten games with Sacramento.
-- Raptors won three of last four games with Detroit.
-- Bobcats lost four of last five visits to Washington.
-- Knicks lost four of last six games with Boston.
-- Pelicans are 2-0 vs Memphis this season, 104-98/95-92.
-- Mavericks won ten of last thirteen games with Utah.
-- Spurs lost four of last five games with Portland.
-- Suns won their last four games with Cleveland.
-- Clippers lost five of last seven games with Golden State.

Totals
-- Last three Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Denver games went over total.
-- Five of last six Sacramento games stayed under.
-- Over is 11-6 in last seventeen Detroit-Toronto games.
-- Five of last seven Washington games went over.
-- Five of last seven New York games went over total.
-- Nine of last ten Memphis games went over total.
-- Six of last eight Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five San Antonio games went over total.
-- Eight of last nine Phoenix-San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Golden State games.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Wednesday, March 12

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
DETROIT vs. TORONTO
Detroit is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 12-5-1 ATS in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit

7:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Charlotte
Washington is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Brooklyn is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games
Miami is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games

7:00 PM
DENVER vs. ORLANDO
Denver is 4-12-2 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Orlando is 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Denver

7:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. PHILADELPHIA
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Sacramento is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
NEW YORK vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 10 of New York's last 13 games on the road
New York is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Boston's last 12 games when playing New York
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York

8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Memphis is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Memphis
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis

9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. UTAH
Dallas is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games when playing Utah
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Utah is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Dallas
Utah is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Dallas

9:30 PM
PORTLAND vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games on the road
Portland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games
San Antonio is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Portland

10:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing at home against Cleveland

10:30 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Golden State is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games at home
LA Clippers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games when playing Golden State

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Wednesday, March 12

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Game of the Day: Nets at Heat
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Brooklyn Nets at Miami Heat (-9.5)

After halting a three-game losing streak last time out, the Miami Heat will look to extend its torrid pace at home when the Brooklyn Nets pay a visit on Wednesday. The Heat have won six straight on home court and only the Indiana Pacers (29-4) are more efficient in their own building than Miami (25-4) this season. After the Heat clinched a playoff spot in a 99-90 effort against Washington Monday, Dwyane Wade told reporters, "We needed this win. We're not used to losing three games in a row."

Brooklyn comes to town with six wins in its last seven games and an NBA-best 22-9 record in 2014. It's been more than six years, however, since the Nets won in Miami - an eight-game span that dates back to February, 2008 - but Brooklyn shouldn't lack confidence against the Heat, joining the Chicago Bulls as one of only two teams to top Miami twice this season. "Guys defensively have been together as one (and) sharing the ball," coach Jason Kidd told the New York Post of Brooklyn's recent success, adding, "It's been fun to watch."

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN

LINE HISTORY: The Heat opened as 9-point faves before being bet up to -9.5.

POWER RANKINGS: Nets (-7.0) - Heat (-14.5) + Home Court (-3.0) = Heat -10.5

INJURY REPORT: Nets - Kevin Garnett (Ques. Back), Andre Kirilenko (Ques - Ankle). Heat - Greg Oden (Prob. Rest)

ABOUT THE NETS (32-30, 33-29-0 ATS, 30-28-4 O/U): Brooklyn is riding high after knocking off the Atlantic Division-leading Toronto Raptors on Monday to pull within three games of the top spot in the division. Paul Pierce drained the go-ahead 3-pointer with 1:14 to play against Toronto and noted a change in atmosphere around the team that the 16-year pro has seen on contending teams in the past. "It's that time of year, against a division rival. It definitely felt different," Pierce said.

ABOUT THE HEAT (44-17 SU, 28-31-2 ATS, 34-27-0 O/U): As Miami has struggled of late, so have the Eastern Conference-leading Indiana Pacers, whose concurrent four-game skid allowed the Heat to pull within a game of the top seed with Monday's win. Wade played in the second half of back-to-back games for just the third time this season against Washington, scoring 13 of his 22 points in the fourth quarter to lift Miami to victory. "I wanted to challenge myself," said Wade, who has routinely rested his knees this season, to the Miami Herald, before reiterating, "I would love to play every night but I'm still going to be smart."

TRENDS:

* Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
* Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Miami.
* Favorite is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings.
* Nets are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

CONSENSUS: 52 percent of wagers are on the Nets.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Wednesday, March 12


Pelicans have been a good bet vs. Grizzlies

The New Orleans Pelicans have been a solid bet when they have been matched up with division rival Memphis.

The Pelicans are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven meetings with the Grizzlies, including covers in the last four games.

New Orleans is currently a 3-point home dog for their meeting with Memphis Wednesday night.

 

[CNOTES]

MARCH RECORD

............................. 10 - 6 - 1 *****

............................. 7 - 6 - DOUBLE PLAYS

............................. 4 - 5 TRIPLE PLAYS



Wednesday, March 12

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Brooklyn - 7:00 PM ET Miami -9 500 *****
Miami -

Denver - 7:00 PM ET Denver -1.5 500 *****
Orlando -

Sacramento - 7:00 PM ET Philadelphia +9.5 500
Philadelphia -

Detroit - 7:00 PM ET Toronto -9 500 *****
Toronto -

Charlotte - 7:00 PM ET Washington -5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Washington -

New York - 7:30 PM ET Boston +4 500
Boston -

Memphis - 8:00 PM ET Memphis -4 500 TRIPLE PLAY
New Orleans -

Dallas - 9:00 PM ET Utah +5 500
Utah -

Portland - 9:30 PM ET San Antonio -7.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
San Antonio -

Cleveland - 10:00 PM ET Phoenix -8 500 *****
Phoenix -

Golden State - 10:30 PM ET Golden State +6.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
L.A. Clippers -

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Thursday

March 13, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bucks are 0-10 ATS (-10.60 ppg) since Mar 13, 2013 with at most one day of rest after a game in which the percentage of their baskets that were assisted was at least ten percentage points higher than their season-to-date average.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Thunder are 0-10 OU (-13.95 ppg) since Mar 26, 2010 after playing at home against the Rockets.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bulls are 0-11 OU (-13.64 ppg) since Nov 10, 2012 at home after Jimmy Butler was not the Bulls’ high scorer in a home loss.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Bulls are 10-0-1 ATS (8.64 ppg) since Mar 27, 2010 with at most one day of rest after a loss at home in which they allowed at least 50% from the field and at least 62% from the foul line.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Thunder are 6-0 OU (16.67 ppg) since Dec 01, 2013 at home after Reggie Jackson scored fewer than 10 points.

-- The Thunder are 0-8 OU (-15.69 ppg) since Feb 24, 2013 at home after Kevin Durant shot better than 50% from the arc at home.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 13

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (44 - 20) at CHICAGO (35 - 29) - 3/13/2014, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
CHICAGO is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 272-210 ATS (+41.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 102-61 ATS (+34.9 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
CHICAGO is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (13 - 51) at ATLANTA (27 - 35) - 3/13/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 65-83 ATS (-26.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 18-39 ATS (-24.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 37-54 ATS (-22.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) second half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (22 - 42) at OKLAHOMA CITY (47 - 17) - 3/13/2014, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 99-124 ATS (-37.4 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 47-66 ATS (-25.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 28-41 ATS (-17.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 86-69 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 75-60 ATS (+9.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or more this season.
LA LAKERS are 91-60 ATS (+25.0 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-6 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 13

Hot teams
-- Rockets won five of their last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Bulls lost three of their last five games.
-- Atlanta lost six of its last seven games. Bucks lost six of their last eight games.
-- Oklahoma City is 4-5 in its last nine games. Lakers lost six of last nine games but beat Thunder Sunday.

Series records
-- Rockets won their last four games with Chicago.
-- Bucks won eight of their last nine games with Atlanta.
-- Lakers lost seven of last nine games with Oklahoma City.

Totals
-- Four of last five Houston-Chicago games went over total.
-- Eight of last ten Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Seven of last nine Laker games went over the total.




NBA

Thursday, March 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Houston's last 17 games on the road
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Chicago's last 24 games at home
Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston

7:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. ATLANTA
Milwaukee is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone OVER in 11 of the LA Lakers last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Thursday, March 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NBA betting's quickest starters and strongest finishers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Looking to shake up your NBA wagers in the home stretch of the season? If you’re thinking of playing first or second half lines, you may want to start with these six teams – three quick starters and three strong finishers.

Best first half teams

San Antonio Spurs

It seems the San Antonio Spurs make a habit of starting strong. Over the last three years they have been in the top two in the NBA in first-half margin, including this year where they currently lead the league with a plus-4.3 point differential.

This number has improved with the return of Kawhi Leonard to the starting lineup. In seven games since the small forward’s return, the Spurs are 7-0 SU (4-3 ATS), a mark that is boosted by the fact they are a plus-6.9 points in the first halves over this stretch. What’s more, this run includes wins over the Miami Heat and Chicago Bulls in which the Spurs have gone into the break with 11 and 28 point leads respectively.

Oklahoma City Thunder

The Oklahoma City Thunder have one of the best benches in the NBA and that’s key to their ability to put teams to the sword in first halves. This is evidenced by the fact they lead the league in second-quarter margin at plus-3.0 points, contributing to an average half time lead of plus-4.2 points.

Oklahoma City’s bench ranks fourth in the league with 31.5 points per contest - a number that would be higher had point guard Reggie Jackson not had to start some 30 games this season in place of All-Star Russell Westbrook.

Now that Westbrook is back, Jackson has returned to anchoring the second unit which has contributed over 35 points per game in the team’s last five, including 37 in Tuesday night’s 106-98 win over the Houston Rockets as 4.5-point favorites.

Minnesota Timberwolves

The Minnesota Timberwolves are certainly frontrunners. They’re just 31-31 despite being one of the NBA’s best first-half teams, going into the intermission with an average lead of 4.2 points on 55.3 points in the game’s opening two quarters.

It seems their lack of depth catches up with them over a full 48 as their offense trails off to just over 50 points while being outscored by an average of 0.6 points. The quick starts would explain why they’re 21-11 SU in games decided by 10 points or more yet only 1-5 SU in games decided by three points or less.


Best second half teams

Indiana Pacers

The Indiana Pacers are far and away the NBA’s best second-half team. Over the season’s first 64 games, Indiana is plus-5.7 points in a game’s second 24 minutes - almost a full basket better than the second-place Los Angeles Clippers. And this stat comes despite recent struggles that have seen the Pacers win just one of their last five (0-5 ATS) while amassing a minus-8.7 second-half point differential.

But help may have arrived in the oversized form of Andrew Bynum. The 7-foot center made his full debut Tuesday night, chipping in with eight points and 10 rebounds in just 15 minutes of play.

Los Angeles Clippers

It’s the offensive structure Doc Rivers, known more as a tough defensive player during his playing days, has brought that has benefitted the Los Angeles Clippers the most this season.

The result is a Clippers team that is averaging almost 108 points per game this season versus less than 101 a year ago. When broken down into halves they are scoring 52.5 points and beating teams by an average of 4.1 in the second while only leading by an average of 2.9 points going into the half.

Portland Trail Blazers

This comes as somewhat of a surprise as the Portland Trail Blazers aren’t considered to be a deep team. But when you look at a move the Blazers made in the offseason it shouldn’t be surprising.

That’s when they hired 26-year-old Dr. Chris Stackpole to replace longtime medical director Jay Jensen as the team’s top doctor. Stackpole is considered something of an up-and-coming star in athletic performance circles and when he was hired he overhauled the team’s entire fitness, conditioning, and rehabilitation setup.

The result is a team that had only lost 40 man-games to injury at the season’s halfway point (sixth lowest in the league) and a positive second-half margin of 3.6 points per game thanks to plenty of gas left in the tank in the final quarters.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday, March 13

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Houston - 7:00 PM ET Houston -3 500 *****
Chicago - Under 193 500

Milwaukee - 7:30 PM ET Milwaukee +8.5 500
Atlanta - Over 209.5 500 *****

L.A. Lakers - 9:30 PM ET Oklahoma City -16.5 500
Oklahoma City - Under 227 500

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, March 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (33 - 31) at ORLANDO (19 - 47) - 3/14/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 79-64 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
WASHINGTON is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 29-43 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 41-57 ATS (-21.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 7-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 5-5 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (47 - 17) at PHILADELPHIA (15 - 49) - 3/14/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) second half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in March games this season.
INDIANA is 64-49 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 185-131 ATS (+40.9 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (32 - 31) at CHARLOTTE (31 - 34) - 3/14/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 36-26 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 47-26 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games in March games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 76-105 ATS (-39.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 18-36 ATS (-21.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 44-59 ATS (-20.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 41-60 ATS (-25.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (38 - 26) at TORONTO (36 - 27) - 3/14/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 89-68 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 44-21 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 106-76 ATS (+22.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 53-30 ATS (+20.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 113-147 ATS (-48.7 Units) in March games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (36 - 28) at BOSTON (22 - 43) - 3/14/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (28 - 36) at MIAMI (44 - 18) - 3/14/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 27-36 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games this season.
DENVER is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) on Friday nights this season.
MIAMI is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (42 - 23) at NEW ORLEANS (26 - 38) - 3/14/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA LAKERS (22 - 43) at SAN ANTONIO (48 - 16) - 3/14/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 99-125 ATS (-38.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 47-67 ATS (-26.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 28-42 ATS (-18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 135-107 ATS (+17.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 110-87 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 423-358 ATS (+29.2 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 59-39 ATS (+16.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 154-117 ATS (+25.3 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 168-131 ATS (+23.9 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 335-276 ATS (+31.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
LA LAKERS are 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 7-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (46 - 20) at UTAH (22 - 43) - 3/14/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 69-103 ATS (-44.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
UTAH is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 38-28 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 30-21 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 8-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (25 - 40) at GOLDEN STATE (41 - 25) - 3/14/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 14

Hot teams
-- Minnesota won five of its last seven games. Charlotte won four of its last five games.
-- Toronto won seven of its last nine games. Grizzlies won six of their last seven.
-- New Orleans won three of its last four games.
-- Clippers won their last nine games (7-2 vs spread).
-- Golden State won five of its last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Orlando lost its last four games, all by 7+ points. Wizards lost last two games, by 9-13 points.
-- 76ers lost their last 18 games (4-14 vs spread). Pacers lost four of their last five games.
-- Suns lost four of their last five games. Boston lost seven of last ten.
-- Nuggets lost eight of last eleven games. Miami lost four of last five.
-- Portland lost five of its last six games.
-- Lakers lost four of their last five games.
-- Jazz won seven of their last eight games.
-- Cavaliers lost four of their last five games.

Series records
-- Bobcats are 5-3 in last eight games with Minnesota.
-- Wizards won four of last five games with Orlando.
-- 76ers are 3-5 in their last eight games with Indiana.
-- Grizzlies won eight of last ten games with Toronto.
-- Suns won five of last eight games with Boston.
-- Miami won last three games with Denver by 3-5-3 points.
-- Pelicans won three of last four games with Portland.
-- Lakers lost nine of last ten games with San Antonio.
-- Clippers won their last eight games with Utah.
-- Warriors won their last six games with Cleveland.

Totals
-- Three of last four Charlotte games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Magic-Wizard games stayed under.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Indiana-Philly games.
-- Eight of last ten Memphis games went over total.
-- Six of last nine Boston games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Denver games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Portland games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last ten Laker games went over total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Clipper games.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Cleveland games.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Friday, March 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Indiana is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 5-13-2 ATS in its last 20 games when playing at home against Indiana

7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Orlando is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CHARLOTTE
Minnesota is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Charlotte is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Minnesota

7:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Memphis's last 21 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Memphis's last 15 games on the road
Toronto is 4-10 ATS in its last 14 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games at home

7:30 PM
DENVER vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games
Denver is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games when playing Denver
Miami is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Denver

7:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. BOSTON
Phoenix is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 8-15 SU in its last 23 games when playing Phoenix
Boston is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Phoenix

8:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. NEW ORLEANS
Portland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Portland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Portland
New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Portland

8:30 PM
LA LAKERS vs. SAN ANTONIO
LA Lakers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 5 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

9:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. UTAH
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
LA Clippers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Utah
Utah is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
Utah is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

10:30 PM
CLEVELAND vs. GOLDEN STATE
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Friday, March 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NBA March Madness Makeover: Who wins an NCAA style tournament?
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

This time of year it’s all “bracket this” and “March Madness that”. The swing in focus to the NCAA tournament has left our NBA writer, Brian Covert, feeling a little left out.

So in the spirit of the season, he’s giving the NBA a “March Madness Makeover”, seeding the top 16 teams in the Association (in his opinion) and breaking down his own bracket, with teams playing a one-game elimination on a neutral court - setting spreads using Covers NBA Power Rankings.

Who says college kids have all the fun?

Michael Jordan Regional

No. 1 San Antonio Spurs
No. 8 Golden State Warriors
No. 12 Dallas Mavericks
No. 16 Washington Wizards

Regional Semi No. 1

No. 1 San Antonio (-6) vs. No. 16 Washington Wizards

The Wizards have a bright future but this is the present and the veteran San Antonio Spurs have too much savvy. Kawhi Leonard neutralizes John Wall and the Spurs use their depth to coast to an easy, controlled win.

Winner: San Antonio Spurs 102-90

Regional Semi No. 2

No. 8 Golden State Warriors (-3) vs. No. 12 Dallas Mavericks

Dirk does all he can to carry the Mavs to victory but youth wins out as the Warriors backcourt of Steph Curry and Klay Thompson is just too much for Jose Calderon and Monta Ellis.

Winner: Golden State Warriors 112-100

Regional Final

No. 1 San Antonio Spurs (-2) vs. No. 8 Golden State Warriors

Aren’t these one-off games made for Steph Curry? The Warriors star just won’t let anyone get near him, pulling up from anywhere and scoring 46. This has Golden State controlling the tempo from the outset and the Spurs are always playing catchup. The No. 1 seed is done.

Regional Winner: Golden State Warriors 118-112



Bill Russell Regional

No. 2 Miami Heat
No. 7 Memphis Grizzlies
No. 11 Toronto Raptors
No. 15 Minnesota Timberwolves

Regional Semi No. 1

No. 2 Miami Heat (-6) vs. No. 15 Minnesota Timberwolves

Kevin Love’s first taste of postseason action is short although the UCLA product and his Minny teammates put up a fight. But this is LeBron’s league and after switching to Love on the defensive end the reigning MVP takes over down the stretch leading his team to a closer-than-expected victory.

Winner: Miami Heat 102-97

Regional Semi No. 2

No. 7 Memphis Grizzlies (pk) vs. No. 11 Toronto Raptors

Intriguing matchups on the perimeter in this one with Kyle Lowry and Mike Conley going toe-to-toe, and DeMar DeRozan giving superstar defender Tony Allen all he can handle. But this game is won down low and the veterans Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol are just too much for the green duo of Jonas Valanciunas and Amir Johnson.

Winner: Memphis Grizzlies 95-90

Regional Final

No. 2 Miami Heat (-5) vs. No. 7 Memphis Grizzlies

The Grizzlies make an attempt to control the pace of this one early and it’s a grinding, back-and-forth affair through the first 24 minutes. But Erik Spoelstra goes small for the majority of the second half, dropping LeBron down on Gasol and Randolph. Memphis just can’t cope with the change in tempo and the Heat win.

Winner: Miami Heat 108-95



Wilt Chamberlain Regional

No. 3 Oklahoma City Thunder
No. 6 Houston Rockets
No. 10 Portland Trail Blazers
No. 14 Brooklyn Nets

Regional Semi No. 1

No. 3 Oklahoma City Thunder (-4) vs. No. 14 Brooklyn Nets

The Brooklyn Nets have done well to get into the tourney after their horrendous start to the season. But that battle and the fact they’re old is just too much to overcome the young and athletic Thunder. The score makes the game seem closer than it was.

Winner: Oklahoma City Thunder 108-98

Regional Semi No. 2

No. 6 Houston Rockets (-3) vs. No. 10 Portland Trail Blazers

Two of the league’s best offensive teams go shot-for-shot in what many say is the best game of the tourney’s opening round. Lillard and Harden start hot but Patrick Beverley eventually gets into the head of the Blazers guards while Nic Batum quiets Harden. LaMarcus Aldridge then takes over, for which the Rockets really have no answer and Dwight’s free-throw shooting eventually lets them down.

Winner: Portland Trail Blazers 130-126

Regional Final

No. 3 Oklahoma City Thunder (-4.5) vs. No. 10 Portland Trail Blazers

Another impressive performance from the Thunder, who make the necessary adjustments on Aldridge while Westbrook’s physicality and athleticism are just too much for Damian Lillard. The addition of Caron Butler proves its worth as the veteran seems to always hit the run-killing 3-pointer every time Portland gets close. And Kevin Durant is Kevin Durant, dropping 38 in a comfortable win.

Regional Winner: Oklahoma City Thunder 116-104



Magic Johnson Regional

No. 4 Los Angeles Clippers
No. 5 Indiana Pacers
No. 9 Chicago Bulls
No. 13 Phoenix Suns

Regional Semi No. 1

No. 4 Los Angeles Clippers (-5) vs. No. 13 Phoenix Suns

The Phoenix Suns’ fairytale season comes to an end but there’s no shame in bowing out to the Clippers. The combo of Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan is too much inside and the Suns just can’t deal with Chris Paul and his ability to control the pace of the game.

Winner: Los Angeles Clippers 116-102

Regional Semi No. 2

No. 5 Indiana Pacers (-4) vs. No. 9 Chicago Bulls

The least anticipated of the first round matchups, with the league’s two best defensive teams hooking up. And it’s the Bulls who use the emotion of their leader Joakim Noah to scratch and crawl their way to victory. In the end, it just comes down to the Bulls' best player, Noah, having more influence than Indiana’s best player, Paul George.

Winner: Chicago Bulls 88-85

Regional Final

No. 4 Los Angeles Clippers (-5) vs. No. 9 Chicago Bulls

Chicago’s fairytale run comes to an end as the Clippers just prove to be a bridge too far. Chris Paul has an answer for every scheme Tom Thibodeau throws at him and the physicality and depth L.A. possesses at the other four positions dominates Chicago. Former Bull Jamal Crawford is the biggest difference maker, dropping 28 off the bench.

Regional Winner: Los Angeles Clippers 109-93



Final Four

No. 4 Los Angeles Clippers (-2) vs. No. 8 Golden State Warriors

The good times keep rolling for the Clippers. No one on the Warriors can handle the L.A.’s Big Two of Griffin and Paul. Couple this with Los Angeles’ ability to throw big bodies at the Golden State’s limited size along with Steph Curry just unable to find his range means the Clips win controlled and comfortably.

Winner: Los Angeles Clippers 115-101

No. 2 Miami Heat (-1) at No. 3 Oklahoma City Thunder

The battle that everyone was hoping for doesn’t disappoint, with LeBron and Durant matching up on both ends of the court, each going for 30-plus. However, there are intriguing matchups all over the floor especially down low where Chris Bosh has his hands full with a younger Serge Ibaka. The game goes into overtime and in the end it’s an old hand, Dwyane Wade, who proves the difference maker with 10 points in OT as the Heat edge the Thunder.

Winner: Miami Heat 125-123 OT



Championship Game

No. 2 Miami Heat (-1) vs. No. 4 Los Angeles Clippers

The Clippers release the shackles of their embarrassing past to grab their first NBA Championship. The backcourt duo of Paul and Darren Collison doesn’t let the Heat get a handle on the point of attack, Bosh and Chris Anderson just can’t keep DeAndre and Blake off the boards and the trio of Matt Barnes, Danny Granger, and Jared Dudley do a more-than-admirable job of limiting LeBron. In the end, a deserved win for Doc Rivers and his crew as they write one of sports feel good stories of the 2000s.

Winner: Los Angeles Clippers 108-99

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Washington at Orlando
The Wizards hit the road to face Orlando tonight and come in with a 7-1-1 ATS record in their last 9 games versus the Magic. Washington is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Wizards favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Washington (-5). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, MARCH 14

Game 801-802: Washington at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 120.693; Orlando 113.551
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 7; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 5; 202
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-5); Under

Game 803-804: Indiana at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 115.161; Philadelphia 102.784
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 12 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 16 1/2; 204
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+16 1/2); Over

Game 805-806: Minnesota at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 118.622; Charlotte 124.758
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 6; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+1 1/2); Under

Game 807-808: Memphis at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 124.605; Toronto 122.066
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 2 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 186 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+1); Over

Game 809-810: Phoenix at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 119.180; Boston 112.337
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 4 1/2;
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-4 1/2); Under

Game 811-812: Denver at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 113.011; Miami 127.474
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 14 1/2; 218
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 10 1/2; 214
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-10 1/2); Over

Game 813-814: Portland at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 122.179; New Orleans 114.066
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 8; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-2); Under

Game 815-816: LA Lakers at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 108.669; San Antonio 130.413
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 21 1/2; 228
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 17; 223
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-17); Over

Game 817-818: LA Clippers at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 127.804; Utah 113.779
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 14; 212
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 9; 205
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-9); Over

Game 819-820: Cleveland at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 117.837; Golden State 122.358
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 4 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 9 1/2; 202
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+9 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Friday, March 14

Washington at Orlando, 7:05 ET
Washington: 13-4 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3
Orlando: 13-24 ATS in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent

Indiana at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Indiana: 31-17 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3
Philadelphia: 8-25 ATS in home games

Minnesota at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Minnesota: 12-1 ATS after allowing 60 points or more in the first half last game
Charlotte: 11-24 ATS off an upset win as an underdog

Memphis at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Memphis: 2-10 ATS after 4 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers
Toronto: 9-1 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more

Phoenix at Boston, 7:35 ET
Phoenix: 11-3 ATS in road games after a non-conference game
Boston: 8-19 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more

Denver at Miami, 7:35 ET
Denver: 1-13 ATS on Friday nights
Miami: 10-1 ATS off a home loss

Portland at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
Portland: 0-8 ATS after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more
New Orleans: 25-14 UNDER as a home underdog

LA Lakers at San Antonio, 8:35 ET
LA Lakers: 10-2 ATS after allowing 120 points or more
San Antonio: 2-11 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread

LA Clippers at Utah, 9:05 ET
LA Clippers: 13-5 ATS in road games after playing 3 games as favorite
Utah: 18-32 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent

Cleveland at Golden State, 10:35 ET
Cleveland: 6-19 ATS after a non-conference game
Golden State: 18-8 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Friday

March 14, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Magic are 11-0 ATS (10.55 ppg) since Feb 13, 2012 at home with at most one day of rest after a game in which their field goal attempt per turnover ratio was at least eight.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Lakers are 14-0 OU (12.93 ppg) since Nov 14, 1995 as a dog after a loss in which they had at least 10 shots blocked.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Wizards are 11-0 ATS (8.32 ppg) since Apr 15, 2013 on the road after John Wall was the Wizards’ high scorer at home.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Pacers are 0-11 OU (-9.36 ppg) since May 16, 2013 after Roy Hibbert scored fewer than 10 points in a home win.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Clippers are 9-0 OU (17.17 ppg) since Dec 14, 2013 on the road after Blake Griffin had a double double.

-- The Celtics are 0-9 OU (-12.78 ppg) since Dec 01, 2012 after Jeff Green increased his scoring by at least 15 points over their past two games.

 

[CNOTES]

Heat, Spurs made heavy chalk

March 14, 2014


Denver Nuggets (28-36) at Miami Heat (44-18)

Sportsbook.ag Line: Miami -10.5, Total: 214

The Nuggets seek their second straight victory on Friday night when they visit the struggling Heat.

Denver has two games left on a five-game road trip and is coming off of a 120-112 victory over the Magic on Wednesday. The club is averaging 114.8 PPG over the past five games, but still has major struggles on the defensive end. Over the past 10 games, the Nuggets have surrendered 111.9 PPG, compared to the 105.7 PPG they have allowed the whole season (28th in NBA).

Fortunately for Denver, if there was ever a good time to face Miami, now is that time as the Heat have lost four of their past five contests. They are coming off of a devastating 96-95 home loss to the Nets as 9-point favorites on Wednesday.

In the only matchup between these teams on the season on Dec. 30, Miami went into Pepsi Center and won 97-94, but failed to cover the 5.5-point spread. The Heat are 3-1 SU in this series over the past three seasons, but the Nuggets are 3-1 ATS during this timeframe.

Since 1996, Denver is 17-5 ATS after allowing 105+ points in five straight games. However, Miami is 11-1 ATS after having lost three of its past four games over the past three seasons. There are no new injuries for either team.

The Nuggets are coming off a 120-112 victory over the Magic in which PF Kenneth Faried (12.1 PPG, 7.8 RPG) had 26 points (11-of-18 FG) and nine rebounds. Faried has been on a tear recently, averaging 22.2 PPG and 10.6 RPG over the past five contests. His ability to run the floor like a guard and rebound at such a high level should give the Heat problems when they play a small-ball lineup.

PG Ty Lawson (18.6 PPG, 9.0 APG) also played extremely well against the Magic, finishing with 17 points and 12 assists in 31 minutes of play. Lawson is averaging 21.2 PPG and 10.8 APG over the past five contests and should have a mismatch against the Heat, as they are weakest at the point guard position. Lawson had 26 points and seven assists in 40 minutes in the loss to Miami in December.

One player who struggled in that first meeting, and must be better on Friday is SF Wilson Chandler (14.3 PPG, 4.9 RPG). Chandler had just 13 points (6-of-17 FG, 1-of-6 threes) and was really off in his 41 minutes of play. But Chandler is coming off of a 21-point, 10-rebound performance against the Magic, and must carry his momentum into a matchup with LeBron James. If he doesn’t play well, then it will be very difficult for Denver to pull off an upset of this magnitude.

The Heat lost a bad home game against the Nets on Wednesday night and must get back on track if they are going to catch up to the Pacers in the Eastern Conference standings.

SF LeBron James (26.9 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 6.5 APG) has struggled over the past five games, averaging just 20.0 PPG in 39.0 MPG. He does, however, continue to contribute elsewhere in the box score as he is averaging 7.2 APG and 6.0 RPG over that span. James had 26 points, 10 assists and six rebounds in the Miami win over Denver on Dec. 30. PF Chris Bosh (16.9 PPG, 6.7 RPG) also played well in that game, finishing with 17 points (8-of-12 FG) and five rebounds in 37 minutes.

SG Dwyane Wade (19.3 PPG, 4.8 APG, 4.7 RPG) has really picked up his game while James has struggled, averaging 21.8 PPG, 5.0 APG and 1.2 SPG over the past five contests. Wade was only able to play 18 minutes in the last game against Denver, but he still managed to score 12 points (6-of-9 FG). The Heat need their three All-Stars to play well collectively if they are going to get themselves out of their recent slump.

L.A. Lakers (22-43) at San Antonio Spurs (48-16)

Sportsbook.ag Line: San Antonio -17, Total: 224

The Lakers finish off a brutal two-game stretch on Friday night when they visit the red-hot Spurs.

Los Angeles has done poorly all season as it struggles to have a consistent rotation and a clean bill of health. The club has won just one game SU over their past five contests (2-3 ATS), with their victory coming in surprising fashion against the Thunder. However, the Lakers faced Oklahoma City again on Thursday night with much different results, as they were pummeled 131-102, while shooting just 39.4% FG.

San Antonio has won its past eight games SU (5-3 ATS) and 11 of their last 12. During the winning streak, the Spurs have played six of the eight games at home, including a 103-90 victory as 8-point favorites against the Trail Blazers on Wednesday night. They held Portland, one of the best offenses in the league, to just 38.6% shooting in the game.

The Lakers have been less than stellar on the road this season at 11-23 SU, but are a profitable 19-14 ATS away from home. Meanwhile, San Antonio is an impressive 24-8 SU at home, but is an underwhelming 13-19 ATS in front of its fans.

The two teams have played just once so far this season, with three meetings to come in the final month, including two in the next week. In the first game, the Spurs traveled to Los Angeles as 7.5-point favorites and won a low-scoring game, 91-85. The past three seasons of this matchup have been dominated by San Antonio, as it holds a 9-2 SU advantage (7-4 ATS) in that timeframe. Bettors have a couple of trends to take a look at in this one, with the Spurs going only 2-11 ATS this season after covering three of their past four games ATS, but they have done well after playing a game as the favorite over the past three seasons with a record of 114-83 ATS (58%). Injuries will not be a concern for San Antonio in this game, but the Lakers have suffered plenty in that department this season and will once again be without SG Kobe Bryant (knee), SG Nick Young (knee) and PG Steve Nash (leg).

While the Lakers are one of the worst teams in the league, they have scored a respectable 102.0 PPG (12th in NBA) this season, including 112.2 PPG over their past five contests. Their defense is horrible though, allowing their opponents to score 107.9 PPG (2nd-worst in NBA), including an unbelievable 129.8 PPG (52.1% FG) in the past five contests. During this five-game stretch, L.A. allowed more than 130 points four times, surrendering a league-high 142 points to the Clippers on March 6.

PF Pau Gasol (17.7 PPG, 9.8 RPG, 1.5 BPG) had only 14 points and six rebounds in his most recent game, but averaged 24.3 PPG and 8.8 RPG in his previous four contests. He has had a solid career (41 games) against the Spurs, averaging 18.0 PPG (49% FG) and 8.7 RPG. SG Jodie Meeks (15.3 PPG, 40% threes) has scored 20.2 PPG (47% FG) over his past five games, including a season-high 42 in the win over the Thunder on Sunday night. He scored 14 points with six rebounds the first time these teams met, but has averaged just 6.6 PPG (43% FG) in 11 career games (4 starts).

PG Jordan Farmar (10.5 PPG, 4.8 APG) has given the Lakers an offensive boost over his past three contests, scoring 16.3 PPG in that time. He has played 17 games while coming off the bench against San Antonio over his career, with averages of only 7.9 PPG (50% FG) and 2.4 APG.

San Antonio has one of the most efficient offenses in the league, making 48.8% of their shots on the season (2nd in NBA), leading to 104.6 PPG (7th in league). Over its past five games, the club has increased its scoring output to 112.2 PPG on 49% FG, while allowing just 97.2 PPG (44% FG); a number close to the 97.9 PPG the Spurs have given up this season (6th in NBA).

PG Tony Parker (17.7 PPG, 6.2 APG) had just nine points on 4-of-13 shooting in the win against Portland on Wednesday night, but was sensational in the game against the Lakers earlier this season when he tallied 24 points, six assists and four rebounds. Over his 39 career games against them, he has averaged 17.8 PPG (49% FG) with 5.8 APG.

PF Tim Duncan (15.2 PPG, 10.0 RPG, 1.9 BPG) is just about a month away from his 38th birthday, but still remains a dominant force, producing three double-doubles over his past four games. He did not play against Los Angeles this season, but has scored 19.3 PPG (46% FG) with 11.2 RPG and 1.9 BPG in 54 career games in this series.

SG Manu Ginobili (12.5 PPG, 4.5 APG) has averaged 19.7 PPG over his past three contests and remains one of the best reserves in the entire league. Ginobili was solid in the win against L.A. this season (20 points, 3 rebounds, 3 assists) and has netted 15.4 PPG (43% FG) to go along with 4.4 RPG and 3.9 APG in his 37 career games (18 starts) against them.

 

[CNOTES]

Friday's Tip Sheet

March 13, 2014


Wizards at Magic – 7:05 PM EST

Washington: 33-31 SU, 34-29-1 ATS
Orlando: 19-47 SU, 27-37-2 ATS

The Wizards are coming off consecutive home losses to division foes Miami and Charlotte, as Washington is trying to solidify its record on the way towards the postseason. In Wednesday’s home defeat to the Bobcats as six-point favorites, the Wizards put up just 85 points on 42% shooting from the floor. Since December 30, the Wizards have covered 13 of 17 games away from the Verizon Center, including road favorite victories over Cleveland, Philadelphia, and Milwaukee, but failed to cover against the Bucks after letting a 28-point lead slip to three in the final three minutes of regulation.

The home-court magic for Orlando has disappeared recently following underdog losses to Houston and Denver after owning early double-digit leads. The Magic has dropped four consecutive games, their longest losing skid since mid-January when they suffered through a 10-game skid. The last time Orlando failed to cover consecutive home contests came back in December following three straight losses to Utah, Sacramento, and New York, while posting a 9-3 ATS record the last 12 games at Amway Arena. The Magic is playing with double-revenge after losing twice at Washington this season, including a 115-106 setback last month.

Pacers at 76ers – 7:05 PM EST

Indiana: 47-17 SU, 33-30-1 ATS
Philadelphia: 15-49 SU, 23-41 ATS

Since the All-Star break, the Eastern Conference-leading Pacers have covered just once in 12 games, while failing to cash in eight straight contests. Indiana did snap a four-game skid in Tuesday’s 94-83 home triumph over Boston as 12-point favorites, but the Pacers enter Friday’s contest at 0-7 ATS in the last seven on the highway. Frank Vogel’s team is listed as a road favorite of at least 9 ½ points for the fifth time this season, as Indiana has put together a 4-0 SU and 1-3 ATS record in this pointspread range.

The 76ers are in the midst of an 18-game losing streak, while each of their 10 defeats since the break have come by double-digits. Philadelphia owns an ugly 1-15 ATS record the last 16 in the home underdog role, with the lone cover coming as 13 ½-point ‘dogs in a 124-112 defeat to Dallas last month. Friday night does mark the return of Evan Turner to Philadelphia after getting dealt from the Sixers to the Pacers last month, as Philly has compiled an 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS mark since that deal. The last time these teams hooked up at Indiana in November, the Sixers grabbed a cover as 15-point ‘dogs in a 106-98 defeat.

Suns at Celtics – 7:35 PM EST

Phoenix: 36-28 SU, 41-22-1 ATS
Boston: 22-43 SU, 32-32-1 ATS

The Suns embark on a three-game East Coast swing, looking to snap a three-game skid. Following back-to-back defeats on the road to the Clippers and Warriors, Phoenix put up a stinker in a 110-100 home setback to Cleveland as eight-point favorites. Eric Bledsoe returned to the Suns’ lineup after missing 33 games with a knee injury, but the former Kentucky standout shot just 5-of-16 from the floor as Phoenix fell to 18-6-1 ATS with him in the lineup. The Suns held off the Celtics in Phoenix last month, 100-94 as 5 ½-point favorites, while Phoenix enters TD Garden with a 4-1 SU/ATS record as a road favorite this season.

Boston was chased early in Wednesday’s 116-92 home defeat to New York, falling to 3-5 SU and 4-4 ATS at TD Garden since February. The Celtics have struggled in the role of a home underdog recently, posting a 3-6 ATS record the last nine in this situation, while dropping seven of the past nine in Beantown against Western Conference foes. Brad Stevens’ defense needs to get fixed quickly, allowing at least 100 points in seven of the previous eight home contests, while cashing the ‘over’ five times.

Clippers at Jazz – 9:05 PM EST

Los Angeles: 46-20 SU, 38-28 ATS
Utah: 22-43 SU, 29-33-3 ATS

The Jazz snapped a five-game losing streak to finish up their six-game road trip at Philadelphia last Saturday. Utah couldn’t capitalize on that brief momentum, losing at home this week to Atlanta and Dallas, while hitting a late three-pointer to pick up a backdoor cover against the Hawks. Tyrone Corbin’s club owns a solid 7-2 ATS record the last nine opportunities against teams coming off consecutive wins, including outright home ‘dog upsets of the Heat and Thunder.

The Clippers are on fire at the moment, winning nine straight games, including Wednesday’s 111-98 rout of the Warriors as 6 ½-point favorites. During this hot streak, Los Angeles has covered seven times, including four straight ATS wins on the road. L.A. has beaten Utah in eight straight meetings since 2012, including a pair of triumphs at Staples Center this season. The Clips have been quite profitable on the highway as a favorite since mid-December, putting together a 9-3 SU/ATS record the last 12 games.

 

[CNOTES]

MARCH RECORD

............................. 12 - 8 - 1 *****

............................. 7 - 7 - DOUBLE PLAYS

............................. 6 - 6 TRIPLE PLAYS


Friday, March 14

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Minnesota - 7:00 PM ET Minnesota -2.5 500 *****
Charlotte - Over 206.5 500

Washington - 7:00 PM ET Washington -5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Orlando - Under 200.5 500

Indiana - 7:00 PM ET Philadelphia +16.5 500
Philadelphia - Under 205 500

Memphis - 7:00 PM ET Memphis -1 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Toronto - Under 186.5 500

Phoenix - 7:30 PM ET Boston +4.5 500
Boston - Under 207 500

Denver - 7:30 PM ET Denver +10.5 500 *****
Miami - Over 215 500

Portland - 8:00 PM ET Portland -2 500 TRIPLE PLAY
New Orleans - Under 201 500

L.A. Lakers - 8:30 PM ET L.A. Lakers +17.5 500
San Antonio - Over 225 500

L.A. Clippers - 9:00 PM ET L.A. Clippers -9 500 *****
Utah - Over 204.5 500

Cleveland - 10:30 PM ET Golden State -9.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Golden State - Under 201 500