Cnotes March National Basketball Association News-Trends-Picks !

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 29

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DETROIT (26 - 46) at PHILADELPHIA (15 - 57) - 3/29/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 32-40 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) after scoring 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-42 ATS (-20.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 210 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-24 ATS (-18.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (31 - 40) at WASHINGTON (37 - 35) - 3/29/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 30-39 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 65-92 ATS (-36.2 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996.
ATLANTA is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) second half of the season this season.
ATLANTA is 154-196 ATS (-61.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
ATLANTA is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 318-383 ATS (-103.3 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (51 - 22) at HOUSTON (49 - 22) - 3/29/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 300-355 ATS (-90.5 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 154-211 ATS (-78.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 105-144 ATS (-53.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
HOUSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
HOUSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 40-32 ATS (+4.8 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 87-117 ATS (-41.7 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 8-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (25 - 47) at DALLAS (43 - 30) - 3/29/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 87-67 ATS (+13.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 7-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (32 - 40) at SAN ANTONIO (56 - 16) - 3/29/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 155-205 ATS (-70.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 142-108 ATS (+23.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 116-88 ATS (+19.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 426-359 ATS (+31.1 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 66-40 ATS (+22.0 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in March games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 170-132 ATS (+24.8 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 45-28 ATS (+14.2 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 341-277 ATS (+36.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 89-63 ATS (+19.7 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 7-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 10-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (49 - 22) at MILWAUKEE (14 - 58) - 3/29/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 70-86 ATS (-24.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 30-48 ATS (-22.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 41-56 ATS (-20.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 29

Hot teams
-- Clippers won 14 of their last 16 games. Houston won its last five games, covering four of the five games.
-- Mavericks won seven of their last eleven games.
-- San Antonio won last 16 games, covered nine of last ten. Pelicans won last five games (4-0-1 vs spread).

Cold Teams
-- 76ers lost their last 26 games (6-4 vs spread last ten). Pistons lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Hawks lost their last five games (0-5 vs spread). Washington lost four of its last six games.
-- Sacramento lost five of its last seven games.
-- Milwaukee lost eight of last nine games, but covered four of last five. Heat lost three of their last four road games.

Series records
-- 76ers lost six of last seven games with Detroit.
-- Clippers won eight of last nine games with Houston.
-- Wizards won three of last four games with Atlanta.
-- Dallas won 16 of its last 18 games with Sacramento.
-- Heat won last seven games with Milwaukee (6-1 vs spread).
-- Spurs won ten of last eleven games with New Orleans.

Totals
-- Four of last five Detroit games stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Clipper games.
-- Seven of last nine Atlanta games stayed under.
-- 12 of last 14 Sacramento games went over total.
-- Four of last five Miami games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last eight New Orleans games went over.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Saturday, March 29

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Trend Report
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7:30 PM
DETROIT vs. PHILADELPHIA
Detroit is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. HOUSTON
LA Clippers are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Clippers last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games at home
Washington is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games

8:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. SAN ANTONIO
New Orleans is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing New Orleans
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

8:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Sacramento's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Sacramento's last 16 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing Sacramento
Dallas is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Sacramento

8:30 PM
MIAMI vs. MILWAUKEE
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Milwaukee's last 23 games when playing at home against Miami

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday, March 29

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Detroit - 7:30 PM ET Detroit -5.5 500 *****
Philadelphia - Under 210 500

L.A. Clippers - 8:00 PM ET Houston -2.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Houston - Over 217 500

Atlanta - 8:00 PM ET Washington -5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Washington - Under 198 500

Sacramento - 8:30 PM ET Dallas -10 500
Dallas - Under 207 500

Miami - 8:30 PM ET Milwaukee +9 500 *****
Milwaukee - Under 198.5 500

New Orleans - 8:30 PM ET San Antonio -13.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
San Antonio - Under 202 500

 

[CNOTES]

Fact or Fiction

March 29, 2014


We're officially in the stretch run here of the 2013-14 NBA season, and there are teams jockeying for position in both conferences. To sort through what's fact and what's fiction of what we have seen in the last week in the Association, we're going to go over six pressing topics and make our decisions as to whether they're the truth or just some made up unreality.

FACT

20+ Point spreads are justified against the 76ers: That's right. The Sixers were 20-point dogs against the Spurs last week, and yes, they didn't cover that spread. They've lost 26 games in a row going into the weekend, though there is a chance to stop that streak against the lowly Pistons at home on Saturday. Unfortunately, we probably aren't going to see that 20+ number again this year, but if we did, it would surely be justified. Philly is being outscored by over 16 points per game on the season in games it has lost.

Indiana has to get Andrew Bynum back healthy for the playoffs to beat the Heat: Indiana did win two out of three games in this series in the regular season, but the Heat probably should have ended up winning the last of those games last week. Remember that Chris Bosh only played 26 minutes due to foul trouble and shot just 3-of-11 from the field. Bynum didn't play for the Pacers, and perhaps if he was out there, that would have been a real difference maker. We still just don't see how the Pacers are going to be able to beat this Miami team four times in seven games if Bynum doesn't play.

The decision to put JR Smith back in the starting lineup was a good one for the Knicks: Not that it really matters to Mike Woodson, who knows he is going to be ushered out the door at the end of the season regardless. Still, New York has a good chance to get into the playoffs, especially if Smith keeps shooting the ball as well as he has been. He put up 29 against the Kings earlier this week, and we have to think that he is going to stay in the starting lineup as a result, especially with Iman Shumpert struggling so badly.

FICTION

San Antonio is the best team in the NBA: It's easy to say that a team on a 15-game winning streak and perhaps the only team that will win much more than 60 games this year is the best team in the league, but we just don't see it. The Spurs are deep, and they do have the veteran talent to do damage, but let's be realistic here – They would be dogs to both Miami and Indiana in the NBA Finals in all likelihood, and the road to get there is going to be littered with a bunch of excellent teams, too. The Spurs might be hot, but they’re going to come up short once again.

The Bobcats are destined to keep covering games: With eight covers in their last 10 games, the Bobcats are certainly hot. However, we take a close look at who they have beaten of late and scratch our heads. Save for the Nets and the Blazers, there really isn't a good team on this list. Then again, the next four are all against teams that aren't going to make the playoffs in the lousy East. Still, we think once Charlotte runs into some of the best teams in the league again come playoff time, we're going to see a lot of results like the one we saw against Houston earlier this week when the Rockets won by 11 on Tobacco Road.

The Pelicans are doormats in the West: Heck no, they aren't! Anthony Davis has five straight double-doubles to his credit, and the team has won and covered four straight against the Clippers, Nets, Heat, and Hawks. New Orleans isn't a playoff team by any stretch of the imagination, but in the East, we have a feeling that this would be the fourth or fifth best team in the conference. Keep a really close eye on this club down the stretch. New Orleans has San Antonio, Portland, Phoenix, Houston twice, and Oklahoma City twice still left on the docket. Don't be shocked if it beats some of those teams in relishing its spoiler role, ultimately causing chaos when it comes to playoff positioning in the West.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 30

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UTAH (23 - 50) at OKLAHOMA CITY (53 - 19) - 3/30/2014, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 89-73 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 78-64 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-35 ATS (+9.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-3 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (52 - 21) at CLEVELAND (29 - 45) - 3/30/2014, 3:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in March games this season.
INDIANA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-5 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 10-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (41 - 31) at ORLANDO (21 - 52) - 3/30/2014, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points this season.
TORONTO is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games this season.
TORONTO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
TORONTO is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
ORLANDO is 31-40 ATS (-13.0 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 45-59 ATS (-19.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (36 - 35) at BROOKLYN (38 - 33) - 3/30/2014, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MINNESOTA is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (40 - 32) at BOSTON (23 - 49) - 3/30/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 75-89 ATS (-22.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 33-50 ATS (-22.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in home games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 81-113 ATS (-43.3 Units) in home games after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 7-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (43 - 29) at PORTLAND (47 - 27) - 3/30/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 92-73 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 48-34 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 53-35 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (30 - 43) at GOLDEN STATE (45 - 27) - 3/30/2014, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (44 - 29) at LA LAKERS (24 - 48) - 3/30/2014, 9:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 7-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 30

Hot teams
-- Oklahoma City won five of its last six games.
-- Cavaliers won three of their last four games.
-- Brooklyn won eight of its last eleven games. Minnesota won its last two games, by 24-36 points.
-- Raptors won three of their last four games. Orlando won its last two games, after losing previous nine.
-- Warriors won four of last five games, covered two of last seven.
-- Grizzlies won five of their last seven games. Portland won seven of its last nine home games.
--- Suns won their last six games (5-1 vs spread).

Cold Teams
-- Jazz lost 14 of their last 16 games.
-- Pacers lost three of their last four games.
-- Boston lost eight of last nine games, covered four of last six. Bulls covered once in their last seven games.
-- New York lost three of its last four games.
-- Lakers lost six of their last eight games.

Series records
-- Thunder won nine of last twelve games with Utah (8-3-1 spread).
-- Pacers won their last eight games with Cleveland.
-- Timberwolves won seven of last nine games with Brooklyn.
-- Raptors won their last six games with Orlando.
-- Bulls won eight of their last eleven games with Boston.
-- Knicks lost seven of last nine games with Golden State.
-- Grizzlies won their last five games with Portland.
-- Lakers lost seven of last nine games with Phoenix.

Totals
-- Eight of last ten Jazz-hunder games stayed under.
-- Last seven Indiana games stayed under the total.
-- Last six Brooklyn games, five of last six Minnesota games went over.
-- Six of last eight Toronto games went over total; five of last six Magic games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Chicago games stayed under total.
-- Seven of its last ten New York games went over total.
-- Seven of last nine Memphis games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Phoenix games stayed under total.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Sunday, March 30

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Trend Report
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3:00 PM
INDIANA vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games on the road
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home

3:00 PM
UTAH vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
Utah is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Utah is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

6:00 PM
TORONTO vs. ORLANDO
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games
Orlando is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto
Orlando is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toronto

6:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. BROOKLYN
Minnesota is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn is 4-14-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Minnesota
Brooklyn is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Minnesota

7:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. BOSTON
Chicago is 16-7 SU in its last 23 games
Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Boston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Chicago
Boston is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Chicago

9:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. GOLDEN STATE
New York is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New York's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Golden State's last 17 games at home
Golden State is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home

9:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 9 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 9 games when playing Memphis
Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis

9:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. LA LAKERS
Phoenix is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Lakers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games
LA Lakers are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, March 30

Utah at Oklahoma City, 3:05 ET
Utah: 18-28 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog
Oklahoma City: 31-17 ATS revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite

Indiana at Cleveland, 3:05 ET
Indiana: 29-14 ATS off a road loss
Cleveland: 53-82 ATS in home games off a road loss by 10 points or more

Toronto at Orlando, 6:05 ET
Toronto: 24-12 ATS in road games
Orlando: 5-19 ATS after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread

Minnesota at Brooklyn, 6:05 ET
Minnesota: 2-10 ATS after scoring 120 points or more
Brooklyn: 10-2 ATS in home games second half of the season

Chicago at Boston, 7:05 ET
Chicago: 26-13 ATS off a home loss
Boston: 81-113 ATS in home games after allowing 105 points or more

Memphis at Portland, 9:05 ET
Memphis: 32-19 ATS after playing a game as an underdog
Portland: 1-10 ATS in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games

New York at Golden State, 9:05 ET
New York: n/a
Golden State: n/a

Phoenix at LA Lakers, 9:35 ET
Phoenix: n/a
LA Lakers: n/a

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Toronto at Orlando
The Raptors head to Orlando today to face a Magic team that is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 home games. Orlando is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+5). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, MARCH 30

Game 701-702: Utah at Oklahoma City (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 108.872; Oklahoma City 121.624
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 13; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 15; 201
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+15); Over

Game 703-704: Indiana at Cleveland (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 121.651; Cleveland 114.712
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 7; 179
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5 1/2; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-5 1/2); Under

Game 705-706: Toronto at Orlando (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 119.982; Orlando 117.510
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 2 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 5; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+5); Under

Game 707-708: Minnesota at Brooklyn (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 120.453; Brooklyn 122.622
Dunkel Line & Total: Brooklyn by 2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Brooklyn by 4; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+4); Over

Game 709-710: Chicago at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 120.083; Boston 111.239
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 9; 177
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 4 1/2; 183 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-4 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Memphis at Portland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 120.435; Portland 123.878
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 3 1/2; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 1 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-1 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: New York at Golden State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 118.487; Golden State 122.515
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 4; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 6 1/2; 199
Dunkel Pick: New York (+6 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Phoenix at LA Lakers (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 122.079; LA Lakers 111.385
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 10 1/2; 232
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 8 1/2; 228
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-8 1/2); Over

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday, March 30

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Utah - 3:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -15 500
Oklahoma City - Under 203.5 500

Indiana - 3:00 PM ET Cleveland +5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Cleveland - Under 183.5 500

Minnesota - 6:00 PM ET Minnesota +4 500 *****
Brooklyn - Over 211 500

Toronto - 6:00 PM ET Toronto -4.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Orlando - Over 194 500

Chicago - 7:00 PM ET Chicago -4.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Boston - Under 182.5 500

New York - 9:00 PM ET Golden State -7 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Golden State - Under 201.5 500

Memphis - 9:00 PM ET Memphis +1.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Portland - Over 189.5 500

Phoenix - 9:30 PM ET L.A. Lakers +8.5 500
L.A. Lakers - Over 227 500

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Umpire Dale Scott's stats the last five years; check out the consistency of the percentage of strikes in his games behind the plate......

Year H/A +/-. $ O/U PT/g % strikes

2008 20-14 299 13-20 289.9 .621
2010 19-16 -230 19-15 297.9 .626
2011 17-18 -484 18-16 302.2 .622
2012 22-9 1368 15-16 291.0 .624
2013 16-17 -348 12-20 307.0 .621

*****

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Happy Opening Day, everyone.......

13) With due respect to Australians and ESPN, today is Opening Day, not last night, not last week. Opening Day is always exciting, a time everyone is optimistic, even the bad teams. Optimism might not last until Tax Day in a few places but as of this morning, there are 26 teams in first place.

12) Is Frank Sinatra really buried with a bottle of Jack Daniels?

11) Marquette/South Florida need to get together on this coaching search thing; USF got turned down by Dave Rice, who might get fired by UNLV in a year and pulled the plug on Steve Masiello after they found out his resume wasn't 100% truthful. Internet keeps listing guys Marquette wants to hire as its new coach, but since none of them have been hired, what gives?

Steve Wojciehowski is the latest name Marquette has floated as its new coach; if another Coach K assistant gets a bigtime job despite having zero head coaching experience, they're going to force me to do a research project, but we'll wait until he gets hired to do that.

10) Richard Sherman and DeSean Jackson once played on the same Little League team. Don't know how that team made out, but I'm guessing their dugout wasn't very quiet.

9) MLB Network was tremendous in March, exhibition games every day and all night, really a good station. Probably won't watch it much rest of the season though, since I have the Extra Innings package, which is even better.

8) Kansas freshman Andrew Wiggins is declaring for NBA Draft today; he scored four points in his last game, a loss to Stanford. He averaged 17.1 ppg and 5.9 rebounds, a solid season but rarely did you watch Kansas and see this player dominating a game. Maybe the NBA style will be more his thing.

For me, a kid like this going to college was a joke; he should've been allowed to go to the NBA right from high school, like baseball players can.

7) QB Stephen Rivers (Philip's brother) is transferring from LSU; word has it probably to Vanderbilt; he'll be eligible to play this fall, but no one knows how good he is, since he never played at LSU. Jordan Rodgers was Vandy's QB couple years ago, so they're used to having a QB with a famous brother. If only either one of them was as half as good as their brother.

6) John Gasaway of ESPN Insider reports that this Final Four's average seed is 4.5, making it the fourth wackiest since 1985. Wackier: 2011 (6.5), 2000 (5.5), 2006 (5.0). Anyone who had UConn in the Final Four is a genius or is somehow related to someone on their team.

UConn was down 3 with 0:45 to play in their first tournament game against St Joe's; wonder what their odds of making the Final Four were then?

5) Carl Crawford makes $21M a year but doesn't start on my fantasy team in a 16-team keeper league, and my team is mediocre at best in our league. If I cut him, I'm not sure how many teams he would start for, and the guy makes $21M a year!!!! Is his contract the worst one ever?

4) Wisconsin-Arizona game Saturday night was a great game; neither team led by more than three points, in the final 18:00 of the game. How many times does that happen?

3) So Ray Rice gets indicted for knocking his girlfriend out cold in a casino this winter; the day after he gets indicted, the happy couple gets married. If this world isn't going crazy, then maybe I am.

2) Greedy bastard update: prices of unleaded gas at Mobil gas stations:
-- corner of Fuller/Central: $3.79
-- gutless Sunoco station across street: $3.77-- they're always two cents a gallon cheaper than the Mobil station, like that matters.
-- corner of Wolf/Sand Creek, $3.85
-- Western Ave by UAlbany: $3.71
-- route 9, just south of Siena College, $3.73.

Why are the stations by my house more expensive????

1) Dodger bullpen gagged away a 1-0 lead (and my fantasy win for Ryu) Sunday night, lost 3-1 in San Diego. Padres' magic number is 162, and thats part of why Opening Day is so great. Padre fans can be dreamers today.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, March 31

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (38 - 35) at CHARLOTTE (35 - 38) - 3/31/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 41-29 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 50-28 ATS (+19.2 Units) in home games in March games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 53-38 ATS (+11.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-4 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (57 - 16) at INDIANA (52 - 22) - 3/31/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) after allowing 85 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 50-36 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 140-97 ATS (+33.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.
INDIANA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 143-108 ATS (+24.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 117-88 ATS (+20.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in March games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
INDIANA is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) in March games this season.
INDIANA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (42 - 31) at MIAMI (50 - 22) - 3/31/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (14 - 59) at DETROIT (26 - 47) - 3/31/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 70-87 ATS (-25.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 32-41 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 40-55 ATS (-20.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 6-5 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-5 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (16 - 57) at ATLANTA (31 - 41) - 3/31/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (23 - 50) at CHICAGO (41 - 32) - 3/31/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
BOSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
CHICAGO is 34-50 ATS (-21.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 8-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-3 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (25 - 48) at NEW ORLEANS (32 - 41) - 3/31/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-5 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 6-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (52 - 22) at MINNESOTA (36 - 36) - 3/31/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 6-5 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 8-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (31 - 43) at UTAH (23 - 51) - 3/31/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 32-42 ATS (-14.2 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 111-81 ATS (+21.9 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
UTAH is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
NEW YORK is 67-49 ATS (+13.1 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 31-39 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
UTAH is 15-27 ATS (-14.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
UTAH is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 4-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (43 - 30) at DENVER (32 - 41) - 3/31/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 92-74 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 61-47 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 48-35 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 31

Hot teams
-- Spurs won last 17 games, covered 10 of last 11.
-- Raptors won four of their last five games. Miami won three of last four games, covered last three.
-- Bulls won three of last four games, but covered once in their last five home games.
-- Clippers won 15 of their last 17 games. Timberwolves won four of last five home games.
-- New Orleans won five of its last six games.
-- Knicks won 10 of their last 13 games.

Cold Teams
-- Charlotte lost four of its last six games. Wizards lost four of their last seven games (2-5 vs spread).
-- Pacers lost four of their last five games.
-- Atlanta lost its last six games (1-5 vs spread). 76ers lost 26 of last 27 games, covered five of last seven.
-- Bucks lost nine of last ten games, covered four of last six. Detroit lost eight of its last nine.
-- Celtics lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Kings lost six of last eight games (6-2-1 vs spread in last nine).
-- Grizzlies lost three of last four road games (0-4 vs spread). Denver lost four of its last five games.
-- Jazz lost 15 of their last 17 games.

Series records
-- Wizards won four of last six visits to Charlotte.
-- Pacers won by 11 in San Antonio Dec 7, ending 9-game series skid.
-- 76ers lost four of their last five games with Atlanta.
-- Pistons won five of last seven games with Milwaukee.
-- Heat won last 14 games with Toronto (6-2 vs spread in last eight).
-- Bulls won nine of last 12 games against Boston.
-- Clippers won their last eight games with Minnesota.
-- Kings won three of last four games with New Orleans.
-- Grizzlies lost last three visits to Denver, by 5-7-3 points.
-- Knicks won their last five games with Utah.

Totals
-- Last four Washington games stayed under the total; four of last five Charlotte games went over
-- Five of last six San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Seven of last ten Philly games stayed under total.
-- Over is 48-25 in Detroit games, 25-13 at home.
-- Five of last six Miami games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Boston games went over total.
-- Seven of last nine Clipper games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last nine King-Pelican games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Memphis-Denver games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Utah games went over the total.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Monday, March 31

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. INDIANA
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
Indiana is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CHARLOTTE
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Charlotte is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Philadelphia's last 19 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

7:30 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Milwaukee is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:30 PM
TORONTO vs. MIAMI
Toronto is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami
Toronto is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
Miami is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Toronto

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Boston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Boston
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Boston

8:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. NEW ORLEANS
Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Sacramento's last 12 games
New Orleans is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 9 games

8:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. MINNESOTA
LA Clippers are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games on the road
LA Clippers are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games on the road
Minnesota is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

9:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. DENVER
Memphis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games on the road
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games at home

9:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. UTAH
New York is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Utah is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Monday, March 31

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Spurs at Pacers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Antonio Spurs at Indiana Pacers (+4.5, 190)

Monday's game between the San Antonio Spurs and host Indiana Pacers may be a matchup between conference leaders, but make no mistake: the teams are headed in vastly different directions. San Antonio comes into this one on a franchise record-tying 17-game winning streak and will look to wrap up the second unbeaten complete month in franchise history. The Spurs will look to extend their run against a Pacers team that has lost four of its last five games.

San Antonio's incredible hot streak has allowed it to build a three-game lead over the Oklahoma City Thunder in the race for the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference, and with just nine games remaining for both teams it would take a major collapse for the Spurs to not finish on top. But Gregg Popovich only needs to look to the other sideline for proof it can happen. The Pacers lead Miami by one game, and will face the Heat in a pivotal showdown April 11.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBA TV, FSN Southwest (San Antonio), FSN Indiana

LINE HISTORY: The Spurs opened as 3.5-point road faves but have been bet to -4.5. The total opened 190.5 and is currently 190.

INJURY REPORT: Spurs: G Danny Green (Questionable, Foot), F Matt Bonner (Early April, Calf). Pacers: G C.J. Watson (Early April, Hamstring), C Andrew Bynum (Out indefinitely, Knee)

WHY BET THE SPURS (57-16 SU, 40-33 ATS, 41-31-1 O/U): It's one thing for San Antonio to own the league's best record; it's another altogether for the Spurs to be so productive despite ranking 20th in the NBA in payroll. At approximately $63 million, the Spurs - through Saturday - have spent roughly $1.11 million per victory, well ahead of the runner-up Houston Rockets ($1.18 million per win). Head coach Gregg Popovich told the San Antonio News-Express: "(General manager R.C. Buford) and his group work very hard at trying to be as frugal as we can possibly yet put a product on the floor that everybody will be proud of."

WHY BET THE PACERS (52-22 SU, 35-38-1 ATS, 29-43-2 O/U): Indiana is fourth on the payroll-dollars-per-victory chart at $1.29 million, but could use some extra cash to buy an offense. Indiana shot just over 37 percent in Sunday's 90-76 loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers, and has surpassed the 80-point mark just once in the previous five games - an 84-83 win over Miami that makes up Indiana's slim lead over the Heat. "We're losing games at an alarming rate to teams that are inferior to us," power forward David West said. "We can't figure out a way to perform better. We're kind of looking for answers right now."

TRENDS:

* Over is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Indiana.
* Spurs are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games.
* Pacers are 0-5 ATS in their last five vs. Western Conference.
* Over is 9-1 in Spurs last 10 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

CONSENSUS: 58 percent of wagers are on the Spurs.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

San Antonio at Indiana
The Spurs head to Indiana tonight with the Pacers coming off a 90-76 loss yesterday to Cleveland and carrying an 0-7 ATS record in their last 7 games following a SU defeat of more than 10 points. San Antonio is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-4). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, MARCH 31

Game 731-732: Washington at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 117.066; Charlotte 117.899
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 1; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 3; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1); Over

Game 733-734: San Antonio at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 130.217; Indiana 117.243
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 13; 186
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-4); Under

Game 735-736: Toronto at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 121.216; Miami 122.224
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+6); Under

Game 737-738: Milwaukee at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 110.018; Detroit 112.745
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 6 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+6 1/2); Over

Game 739-740: Philadelphia at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 107.309; Atlanta 115.033
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 7 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 13; 208
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+13); Over

Game 741-742: Boston at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 110.858; Chicago 122.416
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 11 1/2; 177
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 10; 182 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-10); Under

Game 743-744: Sacramento at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 115.693; New Orleans 117.325
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 1 1/2;
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 4 1/2; 200
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+4 1/2); Under

Game 745-746: LA Clippers at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 125.729; Minnesota 118.623
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 7; 225
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2; 217
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-2); Over

Game 747-748: New York at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 117.594; Utah 112.044
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 5 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3; 196
Dunkel Pick: New York (-3); Under

Game 749-750: Memphis at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 122.669; Denver 117.238
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 5 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-3 1/2); Over

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, March 31

Washington at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Washington: 23-14 ATS in road games
Charlotte: 5-16 ATS in home games vs. division opponents

San Antonio at Indiana, 7:05 ET
San Antonio: 19-10 ATS as a road favorite
Indiana: 6-22 ATS second half of the season

Toronto at Miami, 7:35 ET
Toronto: n/a
Miami: n/a

Milwaukee at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Milwaukee: 22-13 OVER in road games
Detroit: 21-12 OVER as a favorite

Philadelphia at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Philadelphia: n/a
Atlanta: n/a

Boston at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Boston: 14-5 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent
Chicago: 7-18 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points

Sacramento at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
Sacramento: n/a
New Orleans: n/a

LA Clippers at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
LA Clippers: n/a
Minnesota: n/a

New York at Utah, 9:05 ET
New York: 7-15 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as an underdog
Utah: 15-6 ATS after allowing 105 points or more

Memphis at Dever, 9:05 ET
Memphis: 61-47 ATS as a favorite
Denver: 1-9 ATS in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games

 

[CNOTES]

Spurs, Pacers clash

March 31, 2014


SAN ANTONIO SPURS (57-16) at INDIANA PACERS (52-22)
Sportsbook.ag Line & Total: San Antonio -4.5 & 188.5

The top teams in their respective conferences clash on Monday night when the smoking-hot Spurs, winners of 17 straight, visit the scuffling Pacers.

San Antonio is 13-4 ATS during its amazing SU win streak that began on Feb. 26. The team is averaging a blistering 111.7 PPG on 49.4% FG and 43.8% threes, and has held opponents to 95.7 PPG on 42.6% FG and 32.5% threes during the 17-game run. Indiana has retained its one-game lead for the top spot in the East over Miami despite a 2-5 SU mark (1-6 ATS) in its past seven contests.

Dating back to the same Feb. 26 timeframe, the Pacers are a pathetic 2-16 ATS (9-9 SU) and have failed to reach 100 points in 14 of its past 16 games. Over the past five contests, they have not tallied as much as 85 points, with an atrocious scoring average of 77.2 PPG on 36.6% FG.

But they had no trouble scoring in San Antonio on Dec. 7, coasting to a 111-100 win thanks to 54% FG, 47% threes and 93% FT in that victory with seven players registering at least a dozen points. But that was a rare result in this series, as the Spurs had prevailed in 11 straight meetings (7-4 ATS) before that defeat this season. S

an Antonio enters Monday with a six-game road win streak (SU and ATS), making the club an astounding 28-8 SU (23-13 ATS) away from home this season. Indiana has won four straight home games SU, but covered in only one of those contests, making the team 33-4 SU (20-16-1 ATS) at Bankers Life Fieldhouse this season. The Pacers suffered an embarrassing 90-76 loss at Cleveland on Sunday, and are a subpar 7-12 ATS with zero days' rest this season.

Both teams have positive betting trends for Monday, as the Spurs are 28-14 ATS (67%) versus poor foul drawing teams (attempting 24 or fewer free throws per game this season), outscoring these clubs by a hefty +11.4 PPG margin. But Indiana benefits from the fact that cold teams (ATS losses in 12+ games in a 15-game stretch) facing opponents on a 4-1 ATS run are a hefty 39-13 ATS (75%) since 1996.

Both clubs are dealing with a couple of injuries, as San Antonio will be without PF Matt Bonner (calf) and possibly SG Danny Green (foot). The Pacers continue to miss the services of two reserves -- C Andrew Bynum (knee) and PG C.J. Watson (hamstring).

San Antonio has the NBA's best record because it doesn't have a glaring weakness. On offense, the club scores 105.6 PPG (6th in NBA) on 48.9% FG (2nd in league) and an NBA-best 40.1% threes. These high shooting percentages are a result of a league-high 25.5 APG. The Spurs are also an excellent defensive team, limiting opponents to 97.4 PPG (4th in league) on 44.2% FG (7th in NBA) and 35.3% threes (9th in league). The only disadvantage they have in this matchup is on the glass, where they have a pedestrian +1.1 RPG margin (13th in league), while Indiana ranks second in the NBA with a hefty +3.9 RPG margin.

The Spurs' 17-game win streak has been all the more impressive considering PG Tony Parker (17.0 PPG, 6.0 APG) hasn't been himself lately. Hampered by an Achilles injury, he has tallied a paltry 5.3 PPG on 29% FG in 26.2 MPG over his past three contests. Parker had only two assists in 26 minutes in that December home loss to Indiana, posting a minus-18 rating.

PF Tim Duncan (15.3 PPG, 9.9 RPG, 3.1 APG, 1.9 BPG) also had a minus-18 rating in that Dec. 7 loss, scoring a mere 10 points on 3-of-10 shooting. But lately, Duncan has been outstanding, averaging 20.0 PPG (63% FG), 8.5 RPG, 4.3 APG and 2.0 BPG in just 26.9 MPG over his past four contests.

SF Kawhi Leonard (12.4 PPG, 6.2 RPG) has also stepped up his game recently, averaging 15.0 PPG (49% FG, 44% threes) and 6.3 RPG over his past seven contests. He scored a team-high 18 points in the earlier loss to the Pacers, but he didn't do much on the defensive end with only three rebounds and a game-worst minus-25 rating.

Indiana continues to struggle on the offensive end of the court, averaging only 97.0 PPG (23rd in NBA) on 44.8% FG (18th in league) and 35.0% threes (23rd in NBA). The team is not very efficient either, as its 1.37 Ast/TO ratio (20.0 APG, 14.6 TOPG) ranks fifth-worst in the league. But the reason the Pacers have the best record in their conference is rebounding and an outstanding defense. They lead the league in scoring defense (91.7 PPG) and shooting defense (41.7% FG), while placing third in three-point defense (34.1% threes).

For Indiana to get back on track offensively, SF Paul George (21.7 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 3.5 APG, 1.9 SPG) has to shoot much better. In the past seven games, he has made a pathetic 31% FG with more turnovers (24) than assists (23). But George was clearly the best player on the court when these teams first met back in December, pouring in a game-high 28 points (9-of-14 FG, 4-of-4 threes) with six assists, four rebounds and a +25 rating. PF David West (13.8 PPG, 6.7 RPG) also came up big in many facets against San Antonio with 20 points (9-of-12 FG), eight boards, four assists, three steals, two blocks and a game-high rating of +33.

Two other frontcourt players loomed large on Dec. 7 as well, as C Roy Hibbert (11.1 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 2.4 BPG) and PF Luis Scola (7.3 PPG, 4.8 RPG) each contributed a double-double of 12 points and 10 boards. Hibbert has been a non-factor during his team's current 1-4 skid though, averaging only 8.4 PPG (33% FG) and 3.2 RPG in these five games. SG Lance Stephenson (14.1 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 4.6 APG), who had 15 points, four assists and a +24 rating against the Spurs, continues to carry this offense. Over the past 10 games, he has scored 14.9 PPG (47% FG) with 7.9 RPG.

 

[CNOTES]

Monday's Tips

March 31, 2014


Wizards at Bobcats – 7:05 PM EST

Washington: 38-35 SU, 37-35-1 ATS
Charlotte: 35-38 SU, 41-29-3 ATS

Two teams in the Southeast Division that have made massive strides this season meet up in Charlotte on Monday playing for seeding in the Eastern Conference. Since a four-game winning streak in mid-March, the Bobcats have won just two of its last six games, while blowing a 16-point lead in Friday’s overtime setback at Orlando. The road team has won each of the first two meetings between the Wizards and Bobcats, as Charlotte topped Washington at the Verizon Center, 98-85 on March 12 as 5 ½-point underdogs.

Washington is going through a roller-coaster ride of late, splitting their last 10 games, but the Wizards are coming off consecutive home victories over the Pacers and Hawks. Randy Wittman’s club is riding a four-game ‘under’ streak, while limiting each of its last three opponents to 99 points or less. Since a 6-0 ATS run in the role of a road underdog, the Wizards have failed to cover each of their last three when receiving points on the highway.

Spurs at Pacers – 7:05 PM EST

San Antonio: 57-16 SU, 40-33 ATS
Indiana: 52-22 SU, 35-38-1 ATS

The Spurs are running away from the rest of the Western Conference by putting together a 17-game winning streak, as San Antonio travels to Indiana. During this hot streak, the Spurs have covered 13 times, including in Saturday’s home blowout of the Pelicans as 14-point favorites. Gregg Popovich’s squad is playing with revenge after falling at home to the Pacers in December, 111-100 as four-point favorites, snapping an 11-game winning streak against Indiana dating back to 2008.

The Pacers’ offense has fallen flat of late, scoring 84 points in each of the last five games, including a 90-76 clunker in Sunday’s loss at Cleveland. Frank Vogel’s team has hit the ‘under’ in eight straight contests, while not hitting the 100-point plateau once during this stretch. Indiana has been pointspread poison since the end of February, going 2-16 ATS the last 18 games, including a 1-6 ATS mark at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

Raptors at Heat – 7:35 PM EST

Toronto: 42-31 SU, 43-28-2 ATS
Miami: 50-22 SU, 33-37-2 ATS

The Heat returns home after consecutive blowouts at Detroit and Milwaukee, limiting each team to 78 points or less. Miami is just one game behind Indiana for the top seed in the Eastern Conference, as the Heat play the next five contests at the American Airlines Arena. Erik Spoelstra’s club goes for the season sweep of the Raptors tonight, while Toronto hasn’t busted the 100-point mark in any of the three losses to Miami.

The Raptors held off the Magic on Sunday night, 98-93 to push as five-point road favorites, as Toronto threw away a 19-point halftime lead. Dwane Casey’s team is riding a three-game winning streak, but the Raptors have won just one road game since the start of February against a team currently sitting above .500 (Washington on February 18). The Raptors look to win successive away contests for the first time since late December, while posting a 1-5 ATS record the last six times off a road victory.

Clippers at Wolves – 8:05 PM EST

Los Angeles: 52-22 SU, 41-32-1 ATS
Minnesota: 36-36 SU, 35-37 ATS

The Clippers are pretty much locked into the third seed in the Western Conference behind the Spurs and Thunder. Los Angeles continues a five-game road swing after knocking off Dallas and Houston the last two contests, as the Clips look to beat the Wolves for the fourth time this season. Blake Griffin is listed as doubtful tonight after suffering a back injury in Saturday’s win over the Rockets, but the Clips still managed to score 118 points at Houston.

The Wolves fell apart late in last night’s 114-99 defeat at Brooklyn as four-point underdogs, the fourth loss in the last five away from the Target Center. Now, Rick Adelman’s club returns home where it has won four of five, but those victories came against the Lakers, Hawks, Kings, and Bucks. Minnesota’s atrocious defense of late has resulted in a 6-1 run to the ‘over’ the last seven games, but the past five home meetings with Los Angeles have finished ‘under’ the total.