MLB
Thursday, October 8
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ALDS Doubleheader Betting Preview: Rangers-Blue Jays, Astros-Royals
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The Jays host the Rangers and the Royals host the Astros as both ALDS's get undwerway Thursday.
Texas Rangers at Toronto Blue Jays (-230, 8.0)
The Toronto Blue Jays play their first postseason game in 22 years when they host the Texas Rangers on Thursday in the opening game of the American League Division Series. Joe Carter's walk-off homer against Philadelphia won the 1993 World Series for the Blue Jays and the franchise hasn't been part of the postseason since that memorable moment.
Texas wasn't forecasted to be playing in October but the club stunningly won the AL West after winning just 67 games in 2014. Rangers third baseman Adrian Beltre swung a hot bat over the past two-plus months - .328 with 10 homers and 56 RBIs - and has five career postseason homers. Toronto has an explosive offense but leading AL MVP candidate Josh Donaldson has struggled on the postseason stage with no homers and no RBIs in 43 career at-bats. Ace pitcher David Price starts Game 1 and he has experienced his own postseason issues by going 0-5 with a 4.98 ERA in five starts.
TV: 3:37 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1, Sportsnet
LINE HISTORY: The line opened with the Blue Jays as -230 home favorites and has held steady there. The total also hasn't moved off its opening number of 8.0.
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "It's awful tempting to bet against the Blue Jays given the outlandish price in Game 1. Gallardo has owned Toronto this season, and the Rangers have won seven of his last nine road starts. Price on the other hand owns a 5.04 ERA while going 3-7 lifetime against the Rangers."
PITCHING MATCHUP: Rangers RH Yovani Gallardo (13-11, 3.42 ERA) vs. Blue Jays LH David Price (18-5, 2.45)
Gallardo defeated Toronto twice this season and didn't allow a run in 13 2/3 innings - the only victories the Rangers had against the Blue Jays in six meetings. He was 2-2 with a hefty 4.85 ERA in six September starts but his success versus the Blue Jays made him the easy Game 1 call for manager Jeff Banister. "I just go up there and pitch my game," Gallardo said in a press conference. "They know the way I pitch. It seems like I have faced those guys throughout my career. It's not easy."
Price was 9-1 with a 2.30 ERA in 11 starts for the Blue Jays after being acquired from Detroit. He will have 11 days off between starts so the possibility of early inning command issues does exist. Price won each of his final five regular-season starts but is just 3-4 with a 5.15 ERA in 11 career regular-season outings against the Rangers and is 0-3 with a 4.66 ERA in three postseason starts against Texas - the playoff outings coming when he pitched for the Tampa Bay Rays.
TRENDS:
* Rangers are 7-0 in Gallardo's last seven starts versus the AL East.
* Blue Jays are 5-0 in Price's last five starts.
* Under is 8-0-1 in Gallardo's last nine starts during Game 1 of a series.
* Under is 5-1 in Price's last six home starts.
Houston Astros at Kansas City Royals (-137, 7.5)
The Kansas City Royals begin defense of their American League pennant while the visiting Houston Astros attempt to be this year's surprise postseason force when the AL Division Series opens on Thursday. Kansas City took the wild-card route to the World Series a year ago and now Houston is looking to duplicate the feat after dispatching the New York Yankees in Tuesday's wild-card contest.
The Astros lost an average of 104 games over a four-year span before turning things around this season behind a young group. "I think this team is prepared, I think they’re ready," said closer Luke Gregerson, one of the team's veterans. "I know they’re young, but they showed this ain’t no fluke. This team can play some baseball. We can pitch, we can hit and we’ve got the opportunity to win." The Royals were expected back in the postseason mix and didn't disappoint and how look to get back to the World Series. "We've been looking forward to this since the end of spring training," manager Ned Yost said. "That's the big change from last year. Last year, we hoped we would be in position to make the playoffs. This year, we knew we were going."
TV: 7:37 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1
LINE HISTORY: The Royals open as -137 home favorites and the total opened at 7.5.
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Royals finished with the best record in the majors after closing the season on a five game winning streak. But they didn't look as good in the second half as they did in the first, and their bullpen has lost it's air of invincibility without closer Greg Holland." Covers Expert Jesse Schule.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Collin McHugh (19-7, 3.89 ERA) vs. Royals RH Yordano Ventura (13-8, 4.08)
McHugh finished the season strong by winning his last six decisions and has proven to be a quality complement to ace Dallas Keuchel. He won his lone career start against the Royals, firing seven innings of five-hit shutout ball during the 2014 season and was craving the opportunity to start the opener. “To be able to have that chance on Thursday is a real blessing," McHugh told reporters. "It’s going to take some preparation the next couple of days, but I like our chances.”
Ventura has won 27 games over the past two seasons and was tabbed to pitch the opener over struggling Johnny Cueto. "Ventura has been excellent in his last six, seven starts," Yost told reporters. "And we wanted to keep everybody on five days' rest. We thought that would work out best for us." Ventura is 2-1 with a 3.78 ERA in three career starts against Houston and posted a victory on July 26 when he allowed one run and six hits over seven innings.
TRENDS:
* Astros are 6-1 in McHughs last seven starts.
* Royals are 6-1 in Ventura's last seven home starts.
* Over is 4-0-1 in McHugh's last five road starts versus a team with a winning record.
* Under is 13-2-1 in Ventura's last 16 starts versus the American League West.
Thursday, October 8
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ALDS Doubleheader Betting Preview: Rangers-Blue Jays, Astros-Royals
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The Jays host the Rangers and the Royals host the Astros as both ALDS's get undwerway Thursday.
Texas Rangers at Toronto Blue Jays (-230, 8.0)
The Toronto Blue Jays play their first postseason game in 22 years when they host the Texas Rangers on Thursday in the opening game of the American League Division Series. Joe Carter's walk-off homer against Philadelphia won the 1993 World Series for the Blue Jays and the franchise hasn't been part of the postseason since that memorable moment.
Texas wasn't forecasted to be playing in October but the club stunningly won the AL West after winning just 67 games in 2014. Rangers third baseman Adrian Beltre swung a hot bat over the past two-plus months - .328 with 10 homers and 56 RBIs - and has five career postseason homers. Toronto has an explosive offense but leading AL MVP candidate Josh Donaldson has struggled on the postseason stage with no homers and no RBIs in 43 career at-bats. Ace pitcher David Price starts Game 1 and he has experienced his own postseason issues by going 0-5 with a 4.98 ERA in five starts.
TV: 3:37 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1, Sportsnet
LINE HISTORY: The line opened with the Blue Jays as -230 home favorites and has held steady there. The total also hasn't moved off its opening number of 8.0.
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "It's awful tempting to bet against the Blue Jays given the outlandish price in Game 1. Gallardo has owned Toronto this season, and the Rangers have won seven of his last nine road starts. Price on the other hand owns a 5.04 ERA while going 3-7 lifetime against the Rangers."
PITCHING MATCHUP: Rangers RH Yovani Gallardo (13-11, 3.42 ERA) vs. Blue Jays LH David Price (18-5, 2.45)
Gallardo defeated Toronto twice this season and didn't allow a run in 13 2/3 innings - the only victories the Rangers had against the Blue Jays in six meetings. He was 2-2 with a hefty 4.85 ERA in six September starts but his success versus the Blue Jays made him the easy Game 1 call for manager Jeff Banister. "I just go up there and pitch my game," Gallardo said in a press conference. "They know the way I pitch. It seems like I have faced those guys throughout my career. It's not easy."
Price was 9-1 with a 2.30 ERA in 11 starts for the Blue Jays after being acquired from Detroit. He will have 11 days off between starts so the possibility of early inning command issues does exist. Price won each of his final five regular-season starts but is just 3-4 with a 5.15 ERA in 11 career regular-season outings against the Rangers and is 0-3 with a 4.66 ERA in three postseason starts against Texas - the playoff outings coming when he pitched for the Tampa Bay Rays.
TRENDS:
* Rangers are 7-0 in Gallardo's last seven starts versus the AL East.
* Blue Jays are 5-0 in Price's last five starts.
* Under is 8-0-1 in Gallardo's last nine starts during Game 1 of a series.
* Under is 5-1 in Price's last six home starts.
Houston Astros at Kansas City Royals (-137, 7.5)
The Kansas City Royals begin defense of their American League pennant while the visiting Houston Astros attempt to be this year's surprise postseason force when the AL Division Series opens on Thursday. Kansas City took the wild-card route to the World Series a year ago and now Houston is looking to duplicate the feat after dispatching the New York Yankees in Tuesday's wild-card contest.
The Astros lost an average of 104 games over a four-year span before turning things around this season behind a young group. "I think this team is prepared, I think they’re ready," said closer Luke Gregerson, one of the team's veterans. "I know they’re young, but they showed this ain’t no fluke. This team can play some baseball. We can pitch, we can hit and we’ve got the opportunity to win." The Royals were expected back in the postseason mix and didn't disappoint and how look to get back to the World Series. "We've been looking forward to this since the end of spring training," manager Ned Yost said. "That's the big change from last year. Last year, we hoped we would be in position to make the playoffs. This year, we knew we were going."
TV: 7:37 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1
LINE HISTORY: The Royals open as -137 home favorites and the total opened at 7.5.
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Royals finished with the best record in the majors after closing the season on a five game winning streak. But they didn't look as good in the second half as they did in the first, and their bullpen has lost it's air of invincibility without closer Greg Holland." Covers Expert Jesse Schule.
PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Collin McHugh (19-7, 3.89 ERA) vs. Royals RH Yordano Ventura (13-8, 4.08)
McHugh finished the season strong by winning his last six decisions and has proven to be a quality complement to ace Dallas Keuchel. He won his lone career start against the Royals, firing seven innings of five-hit shutout ball during the 2014 season and was craving the opportunity to start the opener. “To be able to have that chance on Thursday is a real blessing," McHugh told reporters. "It’s going to take some preparation the next couple of days, but I like our chances.”
Ventura has won 27 games over the past two seasons and was tabbed to pitch the opener over struggling Johnny Cueto. "Ventura has been excellent in his last six, seven starts," Yost told reporters. "And we wanted to keep everybody on five days' rest. We thought that would work out best for us." Ventura is 2-1 with a 3.78 ERA in three career starts against Houston and posted a victory on July 26 when he allowed one run and six hits over seven innings.
TRENDS:
* Astros are 6-1 in McHughs last seven starts.
* Royals are 6-1 in Ventura's last seven home starts.
* Over is 4-0-1 in McHugh's last five road starts versus a team with a winning record.
* Under is 13-2-1 in Ventura's last 16 starts versus the American League West.