Cnotes January's NBA POD'S - Trends - Stats - News !

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, January 12

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CLEVELAND (13 - 23) at SACRAMENTO (12 - 22) - 1/12/2014, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
SACRAMENTO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 2-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (20 - 17) at MEMPHIS (16 - 19) - 1/12/2014, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 60-91 ATS (-40.1 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 190 and 194.5 points since 1996.
MEMPHIS is 73-55 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (18 - 18) at SAN ANTONIO (28 - 8) - 1/12/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 122-92 ATS (+20.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 99-74 ATS (+17.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 418-350 ATS (+33.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 165-128 ATS (+24.2 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 34-21 ATS (+10.9 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 51-33 ATS (+14.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, January 12

Hot teams
-- Cavaliers won last two games, by 18-11 points (5-3 last 8 AU). Kings also won their last two games (1-9 HF).
-- Grizzlies covered their last five games (3-2 SU).
-- Minnesota is 5-3 in last eight games, covered last three on road. Spurs won five of last six games (3-1 last four HF).

Cold Teams
-- Hawks lost three of last four on road, covered one of last five.

Series records
-- Cavaliers won three of last four visits to Sacramento.
-- Hawks won six of last seven games with Memphis.
-- Spurs lost three of last four games with Minnesota.

Totals
-- Five of last six Cleveland games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last seven Memphis games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven San Antonio games.




NBA

Sunday, January 12

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Trend Report
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6:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. SACRAMENTO
Cleveland is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Cleveland

6:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Memphis is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta

7:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 9 games
Minnesota is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Antonio's last 13 games
San Antonio is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, January 12

Cleveland at Sacramento, 6:05 ET
Cleveland: 22-10 ATS in road games after playing a game as a road underdog
Sacramento: 0-8 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less

Atlanta at Memphis, 6:05 ET
Atlanta: 4-15 ATS after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games
Memphis: 11-1 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games

Minnesota at San Antonio, 7:05 ET
Minnesota: 17-29 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins
San Antonio: 21-9 ATS off a win against a division rival

 

[CNOTES]

NBA DECEMBER RECORD:

50 - 34..........................*****

16 - 13..........................DOUBLE PLAYS

17 - 8 - 1.......................TRIPLE PLAYS

--------------------------------------

January's Record

*****............. 16 - 10

DOUBLE PLAYS....9 - 6

TRIPLE PLAYS.....6 - 3 - 1


Sunday, January 12

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Cleveland - 6:00 PM ET Cleveland +3.5 500
Sacramento - Under 206.5 500

Atlanta - 6:00 PM ET Atlanta +4.5 500
Memphis - Under 191 500

Minnesota - 7:00 PM ET San Antonio -6.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
San Antonio - Over 212 500

 

[CNOTES]

Inside the Paint - Monday

January 12, 2014


After taking a mini-hiatus Sunday with just three games, the NBA picks up the tempo on Monday with seven games. If you haven’t invested much time handicapping the hardwood lately, you should be aware of some hot and cold teams in the Association.

Let’s start with the bad and that’s probably an understatement for a couple of these clubs.

Cold

Boston wasn’t expected to be competitive this season but it opened with a 4-4 record under rookie head coach Brad Stevens, who refuted reports that the franchise was going to tank. Since the .500 start, the team has gone 8-21, which includes a current skid of 1-11 in their last 12. The Celtics come home Monday after losing all five games on their trip to the West Coast. They did save some face but covering the last three but they’re still 4-8 against the spread in their last 12. On Monday, the Celtics will try to get over the jetlag and step up against Houston, who has gone 11-3 SU and 8-6 ATS versus the Eastern Conference this season.

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New Orleans has dropped five straight games and it’s gone 1-6 ATS in its last seven games. It’s hard to beat up the Hornets because they have been hit with the injury bug lately – Jrue Holiday (ankle), Ryan Anderson (back) and Tyreke Evans (ankle). Evans is ‘questionable’ for Monday’s home game against San Antonio but the other two are ‘out.’ New Orleans didn’t have much depth to begin with and that’s part of the reason why it opened as 5 ½-point home underdog to the Spurs, who have won eight of the last 10 meetings in this series.

The Eastern Conference has been dreadful this season and helping that cause is Orlando, who enters Monday with seven straight losses both SU and ATS. Six of those setbacks were by double digits and the defense gave up 100-plus in each of the last five games. The Magic will try to right the ship when they conclude their five-game road trip at Dallas on Monday. The Mavericks opened as 11 ½-point favorites and the line has already started to rise. Orlando didn’t have veteran guard Aaron Afflalo (foot) in Saturday’s 120-94 blowout loss at Denver and he’s ‘doubtful’ against the Mavs. Make a note that the Magic are 2-14 SU and 5-10-1 ATS versus Western Conference opponents this season. Dallas owns a 9-4 SU and 6-7 ATS mark against the East this season.

Hot

Toronto has been the hottest team at the betting counter recently, covering in eight straight games. The Raptors have gone 6-2 SU during this span and the losses came against superior opponents in the Heat (97-102) and Pacers (79-86) on the road. Bettors might want to tread lightly on Toronto come Monday because it’s laying double digits at home to Milwaukee and it hasn’t been in that situation all season. As a favorite, the Raptors have gone 10-6 SU and 8-8 ATS. The Bucks could be mentioned above in the “Cold” section but they’ve been playing poorly all season, evidenced by their record (7-29 SU, 12-24 ATS). Surprisingly, they’ve won more games (4-15) on the road than at home but that shouldn’t make you back a team that is 0-7 both SU and ATS when catching double digits this season.

Don’t look now but New York has won five of its last six and more importantly it’s produced a 6-0 record against the number during this run and that includes outright wins over contenders San Antonio and Miami. The Knicks will face another test on Monday when Phoenix visits Madison Square Garden. New York opened as a three-point favorite and it could be catching the Suns at the right time. Phoenix has been a great story this season but it’s dropped three of four. However, all four games were decided by five points or less during this span. Surprisingly, the Suns are 5-4 both SU and ATS versus the East this season and that includes two setbacks on their current road trip.

After closing 2013 with seven straight losses, Denver has started the New Year with five straight wins. The Nuggets have gone 4-1 ATS during the winning streak and it appears they found their offensive groove. The team is averaging 119.6 PPG in its last five games, which has helped the ‘over’ go 4-1. Helping the Nuggets’ success has been their homecourt, which they won’t have on Monday when they travel to Utah. No overnight line was posted due to the status of Jazz forward Gordon Hayward, who is ‘questionable’ with a hip injury. These teams have met twice this season and the road team has captured victories in both games. The ‘under’ went 2-0.

 

[CNOTES]

Bank Shots: NBA's weekly betting news and notes


Each week, we look back on the NBA betting scene and give you the best - and worst - basketball bets, as well as some spots to keep an eye on with the upcoming schedule.

For the week of Jan. 5-11

Hottest ATS - Toronto Raptors (2-2 SU, 4-0 ATS)

Sound familiar? The Raptors have been by far the best cover play since the end of the Christmas break, going a perfect 9-0 ATS as they continue to impress since trading Rudy Gay to Sacramento. After looking strong in narrow losses at Miami and Indiana - far and away the two strongest teams in the Eastern Conference - Toronto returned to its winning ways with runaway home victories over the Detroit Pistons and Brooklyn Nets. Expect the good times to continue this week, with home games against Milwaukee and Minnesota and a road game versus Boston on the docket.

Coldest ATS - Philadelphia 76ers (0-4 SU, 0-4 ATS)

After putting together one of the unlikeliest four-game road winning streaks in the NBA this season - rattling off victories against the Lakers, Denver, Sacramento and Portland over a seven-day span - the 76ers crashed back to Earth last week. Despite getting points in all four games, Philadelphia fell victim to its sieve-like defense, losing all four contests by double digits while surrendering an average of 113.3 points per contest. The 76ers will look to bounce back this week, hosting the Charlotte Bobcats and Miami Heat before hitting the road to face the Chicago Bulls.

Best Over play - Detroit Pistons (2-3 SU, 4-1 O/U)

It was a busy week for the Pistons, who were on both ends of some of the more entertaining games of the week. After dropping three straight games to open the stretch - surrendering 112 points to both the Memphis Grizzlies and the Toronto Raptors - The Pistons averaged 112 points in consecutive victories over the Philadelphia 76ers and the Phoenix Suns. Detroit will now enjoy a much-needed rest, with six days between its triumph over the Suns and the opener of back-to-back games against the Utah Jazz and the Washington Wizards.

Best Under play - New York Knicks (4-0 SU, 4-0 O/U)

A team boasting Carmelo Anthony, J.R. Smith and Andrea Bargnani will never be thought of as a defensive juggernaut - making last week's numbers positively boggling. New York played all four of its games under the total, with all but one of those games falling more than 10 points below. New York has struggled on offense all season, and enjoyed only a modest boost in that area last week; the big impact came on defense, where the Knicks held all four opponents below 93 points. New York has a four-game week ahead, with home games against Phoenix and the Clippers and road dates in Charlotte and Indiana.

Surveying the schedule:

The Denver Nuggets have surged back above the .500 mark on the strength of a five-game winning streak that has renewed optimism in Colorado. Denver faces an interesting test over its next five games, with all five opponents having beaten the Nuggets in their previous meeting earlier in the season. That includes a relatively tame three-game schedule this week, with road games against the Utah Jazz and Golden State Warriors preceding a home date with Cleveland.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, January 13

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MILWAUKEE (7 - 29) at TORONTO (18 - 17) - 1/13/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
MILWAUKEE is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (24 - 14) at BOSTON (13 - 25) - 1/13/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 2-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (21 - 15) at NEW YORK (14 - 22) - 1/13/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHOENIX is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 2-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (28 - 8) at NEW ORLEANS (15 - 21) - 1/13/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 122-92 ATS (+20.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 99-74 ATS (+17.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 330-268 ATS (+35.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 144-194 ATS (-69.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (16 - 19) at CHICAGO (17 - 18) - 1/13/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 48-33 ATS (+11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHICAGO is 57-71 ATS (-21.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 180 and 184.5 points over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (10 - 27) at DALLAS (22 - 16) - 1/13/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 51-67 ATS (-22.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 33-48 ATS (-19.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 67-52 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-0 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (19 - 17) at UTAH (12 - 26) - 1/13/2014, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 6-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, January 13

Hot teams
-- Toronto won seven of last nine games (9-0 vs spread).
-- Rockets won three of last four games.
-- Knicks won their last four games, allowing 87.3 ppg (4-8 HF).
-- Chicago won/covered its last five games.
-- Spurs won seven of their last eight games.
-- Mavericks won four of their last five games.
-- Nuggets won last five games, covered last four. Utah won three of its last four home games.

Cold Teams
-- Bucks lost their last five games (0-5 vs spread).
-- Celtics lost last eight games, covered last three.
-- Suns lost three of their last four games (11-5 AU).
-- Wizards lost five of their last seven games (6-2 last eight AU).
-- Pelicans lost last five games, covered one of last seven.
-- Magic lost its last seven games (0-7 vs spread).

Series records
-- Raptors lost ten of their last eleven games with Milwaukee.
-- Celtics lost five of last seven games with Houston.
-- Suns are 3-5 in last five games vs New York, 2-3 in last five here.
-- Bulls won 11 of last 15 games with Washington.
-- Pelicans lost eight of last nine games with San Antonio.
-- Magic lost last three games with Dallas, by 6-15-8 points.
-- Nuggets won three of last four games with Utah.

Totals
-- Five of last six Milwaukee games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Houston road games stayed under total; four of last five Boston games went over
-- Five of last seven Phoenix road games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last nine Washington road games went over total.
-- Six of last eight San Antonio road games went over total.
-- Nine of last ten Orlando road games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Denver games went over the total.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Monday, January 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. TORONTO
Milwaukee is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

7:30 PM
HOUSTON vs. BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games on the road
Boston is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games
Boston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
PHOENIX vs. NEW YORK
Phoenix is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Phoenix is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
New York is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games at home
New York is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio's last 12 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
San Antonio is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
New Orleans is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing San Antonio

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. CHICAGO
Washington is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games on the road
Chicago is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

8:30 PM
ORLANDO vs. DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Orlando is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Orlando
Dallas is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Orlando

9:00 PM
DENVER vs. UTAH
Denver is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games when playing on the road against Utah
Denver is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games when playing at home against Denver
Utah is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Phoenix at New York
The Suns travel to Madison Square Garden tonight coming off a 110-108 loss to Detroit and facing a Knicks team that is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in the previous game. New York is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Knicks favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: New York (-3). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JANUARY 13

Game 701-702: Milwaukee at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 108.836; Toronto 128.490
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 19 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 11 1/2; 184 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-11 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: Houston at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.116; Boston 111.716
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 6 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 705-706: Phoenix at New York (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 117.542; New York 123.432
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 6; 194
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 3; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New York (-3); Under

Game 707-708: San Antonio at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.527; New Orleans 116.896
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 5 1/2; 201
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-5 1/2); Over

Game 709-710: Washington at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 117.319; Chicago 117.252
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 176
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 3 1/2; 181 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+3 1/2); Under

Game 711-712: Orlando at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 107.960; Dallas 122.445
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 14 1/2; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 12; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-12); Over

Game 713-714: Denver at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 120.482; Utah 116.692
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 4; 197
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, January 13

Milwaukee at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Milwaukee: 0-7 ATS as an underdog of 10 or more points
Toronto: 8-1 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7

Houston at Boston, 7:35 ET
Houston: 1-5 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as a road favorite
Boston: 5-1 ATS off 2 or more consecutive road losses

Phoenix at NY Knicks, 7:35 ET
Phoenix: 3-12 ATS in road games after playing 2 consecutive road games
NY Knicks: 15-5 ATS after covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games

San Antonio at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
San Antonio: 41-23 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins
New Orleans: 7-16 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent

Washington at Chicago, 8:05 ET
Washington: 8-0 ATS in road games after playing a home game
Chicago: 17-34 ATS as a home favorite

Orlando at Dallas, 8:35 ET
Orlando: 4-12 ATS when the total is between 190 and 199.5
Dallas: 12-3 ATS after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more

Denver at Utah, 9:05 ET
Denver: 10-3 ATS after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games
Utah: 2-8 ATS after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers

 

[CNOTES]

NBA DECEMBER RECORD:

50 - 34..........................*****

16 - 13..........................DOUBLE PLAYS

17 - 8 - 1.......................TRIPLE PLAYS

--------------------------------------

January's Record

*****............. 16 - 10

DOUBLE PLAYS....9 - 6

TRIPLE PLAYS.....7 - 3 - 1


Monday, January 13

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Milwaukee - 7:00 PM ET Toronto -10.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Toronto - Under 187.5 500

Houston - 7:30 PM ET Boston +6 500 *****
Boston - Over 208 500

Phoenix - 7:30 PM ET Phoenix +4 500 *****
New York - Over 198 500

Washington - 8:00 PM ET Chicago -2.5 500 *****
Chicago - Over 181 500

San Antonio - 8:00 PM ET San Antonio -6.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
New Orleans - Over 197 500

Orlando - 8:30 PM ET Orlando +12.5 500
Dallas - Under 198 500

Denver - 9:00 PM ET Denver -5.5 500 *****
Utah - Under 203.5 500

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Tuesday

January 14, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bobcats are 0-9 ATS (-11.61 ppg) since Apr 26, 2010 at home when facing a team they lost to in their previous same-season match-up as a home dog.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Lakers are 12-0 OU (11.12 ppg) since Nov 14, 1995 as a dog after a loss in which they had at least 10 shots blocked.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Knicks are 10-0 ATS (7.20 ppg) since Nov 20, 2010 after Raymond Felton played more than 40 minutes in a win.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Grizzlies are 0-11 OU (-11.68 ppg) since Nov 19, 2012 with at most a day of rest after Mike Conley was the Grizzlies’ high scorer in a win by more than five.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Thunder are 0-8 OU (-12.69 ppg) since Dec 17, 2012 when they had at least ten more assists in their previous game than in the game before.

-- The Thunder are 9-0 ATS (9.56 ppg) since Mar 30, 2013 on the road after Reggie Jackson scored fewer than 10 points.

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday Tips

January 13, 2014


Knicks at Bobcats - 7:05 PM EST

New York: 15-22 SU, 16-21 ATS
Charlotte: 15-23 SU, 20-16-2 ATS

The Knicks are quietly riding a five-game winning streak, while limiting four of those opponents to 92 points or less during this hot stretch. New York travels to Charlotte with no rest following Tuesday's overtime win against Phoenix, as Mike Woodson's team has covered six of seven games. The Knicks and Bobcats are playing for the third time this season, as the road team has won each meeting, including a 101-91 victory by New York as 3 ½-point favorites in early November.

Charlotte has taken several steps backwards since a modest three-game winning streak in mid-December, dropping nine of its past 11 contests. The Bobcats haven't exactly been pointspread gold of late, going 1-5 ATS the last six games, while playing seven of its previous eight contests on the highway. Charlotte's defense has taken a hit as well, giving up at least 103 points in five of the past six games, resulting in five 'unders.'

Kings at Pacers - 7:05 PM EST

Sacramento: 13-22 SU, 15-19-1 ATS
Indiana: 29-7 SU, 24-12 ATS

The Kings finished off their five-game homestand with three consecutive victories, including back-to-back blowouts over the Magic and Cavaliers. Sacramento put together the biggest rout of the season by dominating Cleveland on Sunday, 124-80 to easily cash as three-point favorites. The Kings are playing only their 14th road game of the season, but have covered three straight on the highway, including a 110-106 triumph at Houston on New Year's Eve as 10-point underdogs.

The Pacers have been off since Friday's whipping of the Wizards, 93-66 as nine-point home favorites. Indiana has limited 12 straight opponents to less than 100 points, while riding a seven-game 'under' streak. Frank Vogel's club has fared extremely well against Western Conference foes, putting together an 8-2 SU/ATS record, including a 4-0 SU/ATS at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.

Thunder at Grizzlies - 8:05 PM EST

Oklahoma City: 28-9 SU, 20-17 ATS
Memphis: 17-19 SU, 16-19-1 ATS

Since losing point guard Russell Westbrook to a knee injury on Christmas, the Thunder owns a 5-4 SU and 4-5 ATS record the last nine games. Oklahoma City is coming off a 101-85 victory over a dreadful Milwaukee squad on Saturday, but the Thunder has dropped consecutive road contests to Utah and Denver. The Grizzlies knocked the Thunder out of the playoffs last season, but OKC picked up a modicum of revenge in the first meeting this season in a 116-100 win at FedEx Forum in December.

Memphis is seeking its first three-game winning streak since mid-November, as the Grizzlies topped the Suns and Hawks at home over the weekend. In Sunday's triumph over Atlanta, the Grizzlies topped the 100-point mark for the fifth straight game, while hitting the 'over' in five consecutive contests. Memphis has covered six straight overall, including four in a row in the underdog role.

Cavaliers at Lakers - 10:35 PM EST

Cleveland: 13-24 SU, 17-20 ATS
Los Angeles: 14-23 SU, 18-18-1 ATS

Following a humbling 44-point loss at Sacramento on Sunday, the Cavaliers look to bounce back with a trip to Los Angeles. Cleveland has won just three road games in 19 tries, with one of those victories coming at the start of this highway swing at Utah on Friday night. In spite of the ugly defeat to the Kings, the Cavs have cashed in seven of the last 10 games, while finishing 'under' the total in six of the previous seven contests overall.

The Lakers are pretty much cooked this season with their myriad of injuries, as Los Angeles has lost each of its last four games by at least 13 points. How bad has it been for Mike D'Antoni's club? The Lakers were listed as double-digit underdogs in each of the last three contests and failed to cash in those defeats to the Mavericks, Rockets, and Clippers. Since the start of December, the Lakers have lost seven of nine home games, while covering just three times in this stretch.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Titans hired Ken Whisenhunt as coach, an excellent move. Everyone had him going to the Lions. Tennessee only interviewed four candidates.

-- 122 current NBA players at one time played in the D-League.

-- Timberwolves are 4-14 vs teams with winning records, 14-5 vs all the other teams in the league.

-- Johnny Manziel signed with Lebron James' agents, so expect to see him in a few commercials coming up......

-- Bronx Bombers designated Vernon Wells for assignment, which means he could be making $20M+ this season.......for playing in AAA.

-- James Franklin has already poached two Vanderbilt recruits, and offered scholarships to six more as he heads off to Penn State. Vandy was going to have a top 25 recruiting class had Franklin stayed. Now? Not so much.


*****

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but......

13) Confidence is essential in being successful at anything; look at golfer Jimmy Walker. He goes winless for seven years on the PGA Tour, total of 197 tournaments, then wins two of his next six. Why?

Because now he believes he can win. He always had the talent, just needed that little nudge that told him he is good enough.

12) Bad news as expected for Colorado basketball: Spencer Dinwiddie is out for the year with a torn ACL. He was their best player- big loss.

11) Duke 69, Virginia 65-- Blue Devils were up 11 with 4:10 left, Virginia went up by a point, but Duke got a great bounce on a 3-ball from the corner and escaped with a win. You get the feeling, though that something is amiss with Duke- very little defensive presence inside.

10) Dunkin’ Donuts is expanding into California; does that mean In ‘n Out Burger or Jack in the Box might come east? Jack/Box has 24-hour breakfast—darned tasty.

9) Vin Scully doesn't have a Hall of Fame vote; how is that possible?

8) Cleveland Browns paid deposed coach Rob Chudzinski $10.5M to go away, that’s million, with an M. Wish someone would pay me to go away.

7) Irony Department: Peyton Manning’s first NFL playoff win was in 2003, 41-10 over…..the Broncos.

6) College/pro teams sometimes use search firms to find a new coach, which is total BS. What the hell is a GM/AD doing if he needs a firm to find a coach for him? These firms get 20-30% of the new coach’s first-year salary, which is a significant amount of money.

Sometimes its payola; the search firm puts the AD/GM in his job, then that exec uses the same firm to fill coaching vacancies, paying back the agency for getting him his job. No way in hell an NFL exec should use a search firm, it says you can’t do the job yourself.

5) Broncos-Patriots Sunday is only second time in last nine years the #1-2 seeds have met in AFC title game, and only fifth time in last nine years NFL-wide (out of 18 games).

4) Lions lost out on hiring Ken Whisenhunt; this is a franchise that in the 47 years of the Super Bowl era, has a playoff record of 1-10. One playoff win in 47 years, plus they once let Matt Millen run their franchise. Oy.

3) ESPN analyst/Duke alum Jay Williams ripped Maryland coach Mark Turgeon on–air Sunday night, as the Terps were getting drubbed by Florida State. He basically said Terps play too tight because Turgeon takes guys out after they make mistakes; does Williams think Coach K is a highly tolerant leader who laughs off his players' miscues?

Unusual for an analyst to go after a coach like that; not sure if its because Maryland is bolting the ACC, but I’m sure it hit some exposed nerves in Maryland, especially coming from a Duke alum.

2) One of the great stories is from former LSU QB Rohan Davey, who also was a backup for the Patriots for a while.

He said that when the Tigers came out of the tunnel to start a Saturday night game in Baton Rouge, “…you could smell the bourbon in the air.”

Nick Saban paraphrased that story in speech to football coaches Monday. If you’ve never seen an SEC game in person, it really is quite an experience- if you love college football or a good party or both, I highly recommend it.

1) Two QBs in AFC title game are making a combined $52M this season; two QBs in NFC title game are making a combined $1,266,000. Yikes.

 

[CNOTES]

See spot. See spot bet: This week's best NBA spot bet opportunities

Letdown spot

Memphis beat Oklahoma City in a playoff series last season, but the Thunder beat the Grizzlies 116-100 earlier this year. The Grizzlies will be looking to avenge that home loss Tuesday night. If Memphis is successful in doing so, then its game the very next night in Milwaukee will be a difficult spot.

That game against the Bucks also precedes a return home where the Grizzlies play a pair of games on their home court. Memphis has come on strong recently, going 7-4 SU and 9-2 ATS over its last 11 games. The Grizzlies’ four losses have come by eight, four, three, and two points.


Lookahead spot

The Los Angeles Clippers have a pair of back-to-back games on the East Coast this week - the first two stops of a seven-game road trip. The Clippers will play in New York against the Knicks Friday night, and then against the Pacers in Indiana Saturday. They beat the Knicks easily earlier this season, so that’s not the game they have their eyes on.

Indiana beat the Clippers in Los Angeles 105-100 back on December 1. The Pacers controlled that game, leading by as many as 14 points while the Clippers only lead was by a single point. Los Angeles will be looking to atone for that home loss to Indiana, so it may lack focus the night before in New York.


Schedule spot

The Miami Heat will be a focused team on Wednesday when they play the Wizards in Washington, D.C. The Heat will be going into that game off four full days of rest, while the Wizards will be playing their fourth game in six nights.

Miami will also be playing off back-to-back road losses at New York (102-92) and at Brooklyn in double overtime (104-95). Miami is starting a four-game road trip with this game, so it will be important for it to start off with a win. Washington lost 103-93 in Miami back on November 3.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Oklahoma City at Memphis
The Grizzlies host an Oklahoma City team that is coming off a win over and is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 games following a victory of more than 10 points. Memphis is the pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Grizzlies favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (+1). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, JANUARY 14

Game 501-502: New York at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 114.955; Charlotte 117.810
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 3; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 1; 188
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-1); Over

Game 503-504: Sacramento at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 118.825; Indiana 126.494
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 7 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 10 1/2; 194
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+10 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Oklahoma City at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 120.492; Memphis 124.887
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 4 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1; 194
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+1); Over

Game 507-508: Cleveland at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 117.644; LA Lakers 108.640
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 9; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 3; 203 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-3); Under




NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, January 14

NY Knicks at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
NY Knicks: 6-0 Under last six games
Charlotte: 14-4 Under at home this year

Sacramento at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Sacramento: 17-7 Over after two or more ATS wins
Indiana: 13-4 ATS at home off win by 15 or more points

Oklahoma City at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Oklahoma City: 2-8 ATS after ATS win as favorite of 10 or more points
Memphis: 6-0 ATS last six games

Cleveland at LA Lakers, 10:35 ET
Cleveland: 1-8 ATS this year after playing a Western Conference opponent
LA Lakers: 9-0 Under off away loss by 10 or more points

 

[CNOTES]

NBA DECEMBER RECORD:

50 - 34..........................*****

16 - 13..........................DOUBLE PLAYS

17 - 8 - 1.......................TRIPLE PLAYS

--------------------------------------

January's Record

*****............. 17 - 13

DOUBLE PLAYS....10 - 7

TRIPLE PLAYS.....7 - 3 - 1


Tuesday, January 14

Game Score Status Pick Amount

New York 0 0th Charlotte -1 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Charlotte 0 Under 187.5 500

Sacramento 0 0th Indiana -10.5 500 *****
Indiana 0 Under 196 500

Oklahoma City - 8:00 PM ET Oklahoma City -1 500 *****
Memphis - Over 196 500

Cleveland - 10:30 PM ET Cleveland -4 500 DOUBLE PLAY
L.A. Lakers - Under 204 500

 

[varkeyboy]

Good luck BRADDAH!

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Wednesday

January 15, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Clippers are 0-11 ATS (-9.82 ppg) since Jan 25, 2007 at home with at least one day of rest after a win in which they blocked at least 10 shots.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

The Wizards are 0-10-1 OU (-13.41 ppg) since Apr 13, 2009 at home with at least one day of rest after a win in which they shot at least 50% from the field.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Bulls are 10-0-1 ATS (10.05 ppg) since Jan 11, 2013 on the road after Joakim Noah had more rebounds than points in a loss.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Bucks are 0-10 ATS (-7.90 ppg) since Feb 11, 2013 with at least one day of rest when they have lost their last three games SU and ATS.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Suns are 11-0 OU (14.00 ppg) since Mar 28, 2013 at home after PJ Tucker scored fewer than 10 points.

-- The Heat are 8-0-1 OU (12.44 ppg) since Nov 24, 2010 on the road after Chris Bosh had a double double in a loss.

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday Tips

January 15, 2014


Heat at Wizards - 7:05 PM EST

Miami: 27-10 SU, 16-21 ATS
Washington: 17-19 SU, 20-16 ATS

The Heat heads back to the court after visiting President Obama on Tuesday to honor the team's championship from last season. Miami is winless on its current six-game road swing after falling at New York and Brooklyn, losing both games as a favorite of five points or more. Erik Spoelstra's club has covered just two of the last seven games away from South Florida, while losing two of the past three visits to the Verizon Center.

The Wizards beat the Bulls from start to finish in Monday's 102-88 road triumph as 2 ½-point underdogs. Washington has performed well on the highway with wins in seven of its last nine away contests, but playing at home has been a different story. Randy Wittman's team is just 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS the previous eight contests at the Verizon Center, including four outright losses in the underdog role.

Raptors at Celtics - 7:35 PM EST

Toronto: 19-17 SU, 22-14 ATS
Boston: 13-26 SU, 19-19-1 ATS

These two division rivals are going in completely opposite directions now, as Toronto is the lone Atlantic Division squad sitting above the .500 mark. The Raptors have won 10 of its past 13 games, while incredibly covering 12 times in this stretch, including 10 straight. Toronto has compiled a 3-1 SU/ATS record in the road favorite role this season, including victories over division foes New York and Philadelphia on the highway. The Raptors last met the Celtics on opening night in a 93-87 home triumph, but Boston covered as eight-point underdogs.

The Celtics have hit the skids since late December, losing nine straight games and 12 of the past 13 overall. Brad Stevens' club has allowed at least 104 points in five of the last six games, but all six losses in this stretch came to Western Conference teams that can all be considered playoff squads. Incredibly, this is just the third time this season the Celtics are listed in the role of a home underdog against an Eastern Conference foe, losing the first two times to the Pacers and Pistons.

Nuggets at Warriors - 10:35 PM EST

Denver: 19-18 SU, 17-20 ATS
Golden State: 25-14 SU, 18-19-2 ATS

The Warriors knocked the Nuggets out of the playoffs last season in six games, while winning at Pepsi Center in a low-scoring affair in late December, 89-81. Golden State has covered seven straight meetings with Denver, including four consecutive victories at Oracle Arena. The Warriors have been off since last Friday's narrow 99-97 triumph over the Celtics following a 6-1 road trip, but Golden State failed to cover as 11 ½-point favorites.

The Nuggets were chased early in Monday's road defeat to undermanned Utah, 118-103, which snapped a five-game winning streak for Brian Shaw's team. Denver is getting back to its run-and-gun ways, cashing the 'over' in six of the last seven games, while topping the 100-point mark each time during this stretch. The road hasn't been kind to Denver of late, as the Nuggets are 1-4 SU/ATS the past five games away from the Pepsi Center, with all four losses coming by double-digits.

Mavericks at Clippers - 10:35 PM EST

Dallas: 23-16 SU, 21-18 ATS
Los Angeles: 26-13 SU, 23-16 ATS

The last time these teams met up in Dallas, Chris Paul separated his right shoulder in a 119-112 comeback victory for the Clippers. Since the All-Star guard has been sidelined, Los Angeles has won and covered three of four games, including three consecutive home victories over the Magic, Celtics, and Lakers. It's not saying much to beat the aforementioned squads, as the last team sitting above the .500 mark the Clippers knocked off at home was the Nuggets on December 21, although L.A. is 9-1 the last 10 games at Staples Center.

The Mavericks have played extremely well on the highway lately, winning five of their past six games away from the American Airlines Center. Dallas is currently riding a three-game hot streak, but two of those victories came against beat-up New Orleans and Orlando. Rick Carlisle's team is playing more of a defensive-minded style lately, cashing the 'under' in eight of the last 10 games, including five straight 'unders' on the highway.