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Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 18

Hot teams
-- Columbus won last seven games, with five of last six in OT/SO. Washington won three of its last four road games.
-- Maple Leafs won last six games, scoring 25 goals.
-- Penguins won four of their last five home games.
-- Anaheim won seven of its last eight games. Montreal won last three games, scoring 13 goals.
-- Blues won last five games, scoring 24 goals.
-- San Jose won seven of its last eight games.

Cold teams
-- Carolina lost last six games, outscored 18-6.
-- Avalanche lost five of their last six games.
-- Florida is 2-10 this season in game following a win. Flyers lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Los Angeles lost five of its last six games.
-- Edmonton lost five in row, 16 of last 17 games.

Series records
-- Blue Jackets won three of last four games with Washington.
-- Hurricanes won six of last eight games with Toronto.
-- Penguins won four of last five games with Colorado.
-- Flyers are 8-5 in their last thirteen games with Florida.
-- Ducks won five of last seven games with Montreal.
-- Kings won seven of last nine games with St Louis.
-- Sharks won eight of last ten games with Edmonton.

Totals
-- Four of last five Columbus road games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Toronto road games went over; seven of last eight Carolina games stayed under. .
-- Six of last seven Colorado road games went over; four of last five Penguin home tilts stayed under.
-- Four of last five Philly games stayed under total.
-- Last seven Anaheim road games went over total.
-- Last four Los Angeles games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Edmonton road games.

Back-to-back
-- None
 

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Thursday, December 18

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
COLORADO vs. PITTSBURGH
Colorado10-3-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Colorado
Pittsburgh is 7-15-3 SU in its last 25 games ,when playing Colorado

7:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. PHILADELPHIA
Florida is 6-15 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games

7:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. COLUMBUS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games when playing on the road against Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Columbus's last 9 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing Washington

7:30 PM
ANAHEIM vs. MONTREAL
Anaheim is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Anaheim's last 6 games when playing Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 6 games when playing Anaheim
Montreal is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing at home against Anaheim

10:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. SAN JOSE
Edmonton is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Jose
Edmonton is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Jose
San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Edmonton
San Jose is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Edmonton

10:30 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. LOS ANGELES
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
St. Louis is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games
Los Angeles is 17-6 SU in its last 23 games at home

 

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Thursday, December 18

Washington at Columbus, 7:05 ET
Washington: 9-2 SU revenging a loss versus opponent
Columbus: 7-0 SU in December games

Toronto at Carolina, 7:05 ET
Toronto: 12-4 SU when playing their 3rd game in 5 days
Carolina: 8-22 SU in all games

Colorado at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET
Colorado: N/A
Pittsburgh: N/A

Florida at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Florida: 5-17 SU off a home win
Philadelphia: 7-5 SU as a home favorite

Anaheim at Montreal, 7:35 ET
Anaheim: 18-3 SU in December games
Montreal: 25-33 SU in home games after 2 straight wins by 2 goals or more

St Louis at Los Angeles, 10:35 ET
St Louis: 48-22 SU first half of the season
Los Angeles: 13-22 SU off a road loss

Edmonton at San Jose, 10:35 ET
Edmonton: 0-14 SU as a road underdog of +200 to +300
San Jose: 29-9 SU off a home win
 

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Thursday, December 18


Penguins' G Marc-Andre Fleury, doubtful Thursday

Fleury will undergo tests for the mumps after missing Wednesday's practice with an illness.


T.J. Oshie, St. Louis - Prob Thurs

Oshie did not play Tuesday due to a personal matter but will rejoin the team for Thursday's game against the Kings.
 

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Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Some NFL trends to ponder, with Week 16 upon us........

-- Patriots covered once in last eight games as a double digit favorite.

-- Bucs covered eight of last 29 non-divisional home games.

-- Oakland is 3-7 in last ten games as a home underdog.

-- Chiefs covered 12 of last 17 non-divisional games.

-- Cowboys are 7-24 as home favorites in Garrett era.

-- Chicago is 2-10 in last dozen games as a divisional underdog.

**********


Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here........

13) Russell Wilson still only makes $667,000 from the Seahawks; haven’t heard much about this, but they have to have tried to sign him up to a long-term contract, right? He’s going to break the bank when his contract is up, one way or the other. Hard to believe they’d let him walk.

12) Too bad about Bucks’ rookie Jabari Parker, who messed up his leg and is done for the year. Milwaukee is a fun team to watch with a good core of young players; this injury really hurts.

11) Bears benched Jay Cutler for Jimmy Clausen? Really? Wonder what Packers think about that, since they’re tied for first place with Detroit, could use a Bears win. Inserting a new QB on a short work week usually doesn’t wind up going very well.

10) Guy on ESPN the other night made a good point about how since the NCAA went with a softer, composite basketball, rather than a leather ball, now and then you see shots take odd bounces off the rim, especially the back rim and go in.

9) Michigan offered Jim Harbaugh six years, $49M; they play 12 games a year, plus a bowl game. That’s a lot of cabbage to coach 13 games, but that must be how much money the Wolverines’ program generates when they’ve got it rolling. Been a while since they had it rolling.

8) Islanders are 9-0 in overtime/shootouts this year, first team ever to win their first nine such games in a season; Blackhawks are 5-1, Edmonton is sadly 0-6, which helped cost their coach his job.

7) Going to see Mark Wahlberg’s new movie The Gambler next week; I’m assuming this is a remake of James Caan’s 1974 movie, which was very good. One advantage of being retired from my day job will be matinee movies. Popcorn tastes better in the afternoon, although it is still ridiculously expensive.

6) Angels still owe Josh Hamilton $83M over the next three years; ha!!!! Hamilton knocked in 128 runs in 2012, then knocked in a total of 123 the last two seasons, while missing 84 (25.9%) out of 324 Halo games.

5) Of the 26 basketball teams in the AAC and ACC, only seven of them are in the top 200 in strength of schedule; they schedule stiffs in December because they know their conference schedule will be enough to raise their power ratings to acceptable levels. AAC is in danger of having one team in the NCAAs this season.

4) Bo Pelini is an adult; therefore, he has to know that in this day and age, there is no such thing as a truly “private” meeting. What he said on his way out the door in Nebraska will hurt his chances of getting another D-I head coaching job and it could hurt him wherever he recruits.

3) There is a new movie out called Wedding Ringer; the father-in-law in the movie is Ken Howard, who played Coach Reeves in The White Shadow, one of the all-time great TV shows. Haven’t seen him on TV much lately, but he is an excellent actor who nailed the part of a former NBA player who became a high school basketball coach in LA in the early 80’s.

2) Listening to Hubie Brown on NBA telecasts is like taking an online course in basketball coaching; highly educational, he is still sharp as a tack and a pleasure to listen to. Learn a lot every game.

1) When your football team is going to have its fifth coach in six years next season, the man who hired all those coaches comes under scrutiny, which is why Pitt fired AD Steve Pederson this week, after Paul Chryst bolted for Wisconsin (his alma mater).

Pitt expects better than 6-6 from its once-storied football program, they’re going to have to hire the new AD before they hire a new coach which is going to cripple this year’s recruiting, unless they move very quickly.

How odd is life? Pederson basically got fired because Gary Andersen surprisingly bolted Wisconsin for Oregon State. Chryst wouldn’t have left Pitt for any other job.
 

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NY Islanders at Detroit
The Detroit plays host to an Islanders team that is 6-1 in the last 7 contests versus the Red Wings. New York is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Islanders favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+115). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 19

Game 1-2: Tampa Bay at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.783; New Jersey 11.209
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 3-4: NY Islanders at Detroit (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.433; Detroit 11.075
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+115); Over

Game 5-6: Anaheim at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.868; Ottawa 10.408
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 7-8: Boston at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.492; Winnipeg 11.871
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-115); 5
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-105); Over

Game 9-10: Dallas at Calgary (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.873; Calgary 10.409
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+105); Under
 

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Friday, December 19

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TAMPA BAY (20-10-0-3, 43 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (11-16-0-6, 28 pts.) - 12/19/2014, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 4-3 (+0.7 Units) against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 4-3-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY ISLANDERS (21-10-0-0, 42 pts.) at DETROIT (17-7-0-8, 42 pts.) - 12/19/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 15-3 ATS (+11.1 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.
NY ISLANDERS are 21-10 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 21-10 ATS (+9.8 Units) first half of the season this season.
NY ISLANDERS are 10-5 ATS (+16.8 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-14 ATS (-10.9 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 17-24 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 3-8 ATS (-7.6 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 2-1 (+1.4 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
NY ISLANDERS is 2-1-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

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ANAHEIM (22-7-0-5, 49 pts.) at OTTAWA (13-12-0-6, 32 pts.) - 12/19/2014, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 2-0 (+2.4 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 2-0-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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BOSTON (16-13-0-3, 35 pts.) at WINNIPEG (16-10-0-6, 38 pts.) - 12/19/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 28-24 ATS (+52.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 6-17 ATS (+26.3 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-2 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-2-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+5.0 Units)

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DALLAS (12-13-0-5, 29 pts.) at CALGARY (17-14-0-2, 36 pts.) - 12/19/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 28-22 ATS (+59.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 171-140 ATS (+25.6 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-3 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-3-0 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.4 Units)
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 19

Hot teams
-- Anaheim won eight of its last nine games.
-- Islanders won 15 of their last 20 games.
-- Dallas Stars won three of their last four games.

Cold teams
-- New Jersey lost five in row, 11 of last 13 games. Lightning lost six of their last eight road games.
-- Senators lost seven of last ten games; they're 1-8 in game after their last nine wins.
-- Red Wings lost last four games, scoring four goals.
-- Boston lost six of its last eight games. Winnipeg lost three of last five.
-- Calgary lost last six games, scoring ten goals.

Series records
-- Devils won three of last four games with Tampa Bay.
-- Ducks won seven of last eight games with Ottawa.
-- Islanders won six of last seven games with Detroit.
-- Bruins lost four of last five visits to Winnipeg.
-- Dallas Stars won three of last four games with Calgary.

Totals
-- Eight of last nine New Jersey home games stayed under .
-- Seven of last eight Anaheim road games went over.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six Detroit games.
-- Five of last six Winnipeg home games went over.
-- Nine of last ten Calgary home games went over.

Back-to-back
-- Anaheim is 3-1 if it played the night before.
 

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Friday, December 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. NEW JERSEY
Tampa Bay is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Jersey's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Jersey's last 10 games at home

7:30 PM
ANAHEIM vs. OTTAWA
Anaheim is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Anaheim

7:30 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. DETROIT
NY Islanders are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Islanders last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. WINNIPEG
Boston is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Winnipeg's last 8 games when playing at home against Boston

9:00 PM
DALLAS vs. CALGARY
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Calgary
Calgary is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Dallas
 

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Friday, December 19

Tampa Bay at New Jersey, 7:05 ET
Tampa Bay: N/A
New Jersey: N/A

New York at Detroit, 7:35 ET
New York: 21-10 SU in all games
Detroit: 17-24 SU as a home favorite of -200 or less

Anaheim at Ottawa, 7:35 ET
Anaheim: N/A
Ottawa: N/A

Boston at Winnipeg, 8:05 ET
Boston: 193-186 SU in road games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days
Winnipeg: 6-17 SU after a win by 2 goals or more

Dallas at Calgary, 9:05 ET
Dallas: 6-1 SU in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days
Calgary: 0-7 SU in home games off a home loss by 2 goals or more
 

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Friday, December 19


Lightning G Ben Bishop, doubtful Friday

Bishop has a lower-body injury and was not available Tuesday. He will likely miss Friday's game against the Devils.


Islanders offensively consistent this season

The New York Islanders are 15-5 in their past 20 games, which has a lot to do with the offensive consistency. Through 20 games, the Islanders have only been held to one goal twice in those 20 games, while averaging over three goals per game.

The defense has been no slouch though, only allowing 2.5 gpg with two shutouts.

New York travels to Detroit Friday.


The worst home record belongs to the Devils

The New Jersey Devils are 3-5-1-3 at home this season, which gives them the fewest home wins in the NHL. The Devils have lost their past five in the Prudential Center, being outscored 17-9.

New Jersey will host Tampa Bay Friday.


Offense has disappeared for the Flames

The Calgary Flames rank in the top 10 in offense in the NHL, but over the past six games the team has only netted 10 goals. It's not a surprise then, that Calgary has lost their past six contests.

The Flames are also allowing more than three goals per contest during that span.

Calgary hosts the Dallas Stars Friday.
 

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Is Dunkel a service, or are his picks public? I'd like to know his thoughts on today's card
Thanks in advance
 

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Big Hurt...its a public site.....glad this site has helped you.....it has me also...........dbanana0-9
 

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Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks in the Westgate Hotel handicapping contest, where some of the best handicappers in America put up $1,500 apiece, pick 5 games a week:

T6) Rams -4.5/Ravens -5.5-- Houston's starting QB was on Rams' practice squad six days ago; Ravens need the win.

5) Cardinals +8-- Arizona is undefeated at home.

4) Broncos, -3-- Cincinnati has struggled in primetime games.

3) Panthers +1.5-- Manziel making first NFL road start.

2) Vikings, +6.5-- Minnesota seems to play a close game every week.

1) Lions -6.5-- Clausen has a 1-9 record as an NFL starter.

Season record of six most popular picks each week: 51-29-1

2013 season record of six most popular picks each week: 42-57-4

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday........

13) Kentucky 83, UCLA 44-- Wildcats led 24-0; it was 41-7 at the half. This is same team that trailed Columbia and Buffalo at halftime. Kentucky has played much better against the bigger-name opponents.

12) Get well soon, Cincinnati coach Mick Cronin, who was found to have a problem with an unruptured aneurysm. He's a lucky man; those things can be fatal. There is no word when Cronin can resume coaching.

11) Villanova 82, Syracuse 77 OT--- Wildcats trailed by 15 in the first half, rallied to win a game Syracuse might need on Selection Sunday.

10) Big East/FOX Sports1 have a great idea, starting league play with five consecutive games on New Year's Eve; they did it last year too. Get to see the whole league in one day without switching the channel.

9) Texas Southern 71, Michigan State 64 OT-- Huh? Tigers are 2-8, losing by 40 at Gonzaga, 26 at Eastern Washington and Baylor. Terrible loss for the Spartans.

8) Gotham Classic was an odd twinbill at Madison Square Garden; first game was Pepperdine-Richmond, nightcap was West Virginia-NC State. They had a crowd of 8,088 in the supposed "....Mecca of college basketball". They draw 10,000+ for the play-in games in Dayton. New York City is more of an NBA city.

7) Gas is $1.99 a gallon in San Antonio; it is $2.89 here in upstate New York; we must be getting much higher quality gasoline, huh? Nah, probably not.

6) Former Texas football coach Mack Brown is very good on TV; listened to him on the New Orleans Bowl Saturday. Former coaches generally make better analysts.

5) Big day for some mid or low-majors Saturday: check out these upsets:
-- Texas Southern 71, Michigan State 64 OT
-- SC-Upstate 53, Mississippi State 51
-- St Francis 73, Rutgers 68
-- South Carolina State 71, Houston 63
-- Lehigh 84, Arizona State 81, 3OT
-- South Dakota State 68, Utah State 65 OT

4) I missed the whole nine-year Stephen Colbert run; supposedly he is a funny guy who takes his talents to CBS now. Colbert was once an understudy for Steve Carell at Second City Chicago- he is the youngest of 11 children, two of whom died in a plane crash with their father. Lot of comics have sadness inside them.

3) Roger Goodell announced there won't be an NFL team in Los Angeles next year, so that soap opera will continue next season. Supposedly for a new stadium to get built, two teams have to move, so they'll share the new stadium like Jets/Giants do in the New Jersey swamp.

2) Redskins 27, Eagles 24-- Philly ran 30 more plays, gained 190 more yards, but had 13 penalties, while Washington had three. Sanchez has turned the ball over 13 times in seven games-- you cannot win that way. Eagles aren't dead yet, but they're close.

1) Chargers 38, 49ers 35 OT-- Niners ran for 355 yards, led 28-7 at the half but lost with Rivers throwing ball for 356 yards. Gutty performance by the Chargers to stay alive in the playoff hunt. 49ers have fallen apart, losing last four games.
 

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Buffalo at Boston
The Sabres head to Boston tonight to face a Bruins team that is coming off a against and is 1-6 in its last 7 games after allowing 2 goals or less in the previous game. Buffalo is the pick (+250) according to Dunkel, which has the Sabres favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+250). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

SUNDAY, DECEMBER 21

Game 1-2: Dallas at Edmonton (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.335; Edmonton 9.721
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-145); Under

Game 3-4: Colorado at Detroit (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.814; Detroit 10.993
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 5-6: Carolina at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 10.287; NY Rangers 11.772
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-210); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-210); Over

Game 7-8: Toronto at Chicago (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 12.331; Chicago 11.476
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-200); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+170); Under

Game 9-10: Buffalo at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.331; Boston 10.409
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-300); 5
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+250); Over

Game 11-12: Philadelphia at Winnipeg (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.009; Winnipeg 12.664
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (-155); Under
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, December 21

Hot teams
-- Dallas Stars won four of their last five games.
-- Rangers won last five games, allowing eight goals.
-- Blackhawks won ten of their last twelve games.
-- Winnipeg won seven of its last eleven games.

Cold teams
-- Edmonton lost its last six games, outscored 19-9.
-- Detroit lost last five games, outscored 12-5. Avalanche lost six of their last eight games.
-- Hurricanes lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Toronto lost last two games after winning 10 of previous 12 games.
-- Boston lost nine of its last twelve games. Buffalo lost last three road games, outscored 13-3.
-- Flyers lost ten of their last twelve road games.

Series records
-- Dallas Stars won nine of last eleven games with Edmonton.
-- Red Wings won four of last five games with Colorado.
-- Rangers won 13 of last 14 games with Carolina.
-- Toronto won last two games with Chicago, after losing previous six.
-- Bruins won four of last five games with Buffalo.
-- Flyers won four of their last six games with Winnipeg.

Totals
-- Four of last five Dallas road games went over total; six of last eight Oiler games stayed under.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Detroit home games; four of last five Colorado road games went over.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in Rangers' last seven home games; under is 9-1 in last ten Carolina games.
-- 10 of last 14 Chicago home games stayed under.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Boston home games; last five Buffalo games went over.
-- Five of last seven Winnipeg home games went over.

Back-to-back
-- Colorado is 0-4 if it played the night before.
-- Carolina is 1-6 if it played the night before; Rangers are 2-2.
-- Maple Leafs are 5-2 if they played night before; Chicago is 4-2.
-- Buffalo is 3-4 if it played the night before.
-- Flyers are 1-5 if they play the night before.
 

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NHL

Sunday, December 21

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Trend Report
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6:00 PM
COLORADO vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

6:00 PM
DALLAS vs. EDMONTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing Edmonton
Edmonton is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas

7:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. BOSTON
Buffalo is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
Boston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

7:00 PM
CAROLINA vs. NY RANGERS
Carolina is 1-13 SU in their last 14 games when playing NY Rangers
Carolina is 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of the NY Rangers last 7 games at home
NY Rangers are 13-1 SU in their last 14 games when playing Carolina

7:00 PM
TORONTO vs. CHICAGO
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Toronto is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

9:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
Philadelphia is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

 

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Long Sheet

Sunday, December 21

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DALLAS (13-13-0-5, 31 pts.) at EDMONTON (7-20-0-6, 20 pts.) - 12/21/2014, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 0-6 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 172-140 ATS (+26.8 Units) in road games first half of the season since 1996.
EDMONTON is 7-26 ATS (-30.2 Units) in all games this season.
EDMONTON is 45-62 ATS (-34.2 Units) in home games in December games since 1996.
EDMONTON is 7-26 ATS (+48.3 Units) first half of the season this season.
EDMONTON is 1-13 ATS (+18.0 Units) after a division game this season.
EDMONTON is 4-19 ATS (+34.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
EDMONTON is 1-13 ATS (+20.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more this season.
EDMONTON is 149-149 ATS (+302.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
EDMONTON is 68-78 ATS (-61.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-2 (+2.1 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-2-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)

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COLORADO (11-13-0-8, 30 pts.) at DETROIT (17-8-0-8, 42 pts.) - 12/21/2014, 6:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 (+3.1 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.7 Units)

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CAROLINA (9-19-0-4, 22 pts.) at NY RANGERS (16-10-0-4, 36 pts.) - 12/21/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 9-23 ATS (+38.8 Units) in all games this season.
CAROLINA is 3-16 ATS (+25.9 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 9-23 ATS (+38.8 Units) first half of the season this season.
CAROLINA is 3-14 ATS (+22.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
NY RANGERS are 163-159 ATS (-82.2 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 113-113 ATS (-57.8 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 118-122 ATS (-65.0 Units) in home games after a division game since 1996.
NY RANGERS are 71-85 ATS (-31.1 Units) after a 3 game unbeaten streak since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 7-1 (+5.5 Units) against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 7-1-0 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.4 Units)

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TORONTO (19-11-0-3, 41 pts.) at CHICAGO (22-9-0-2, 46 pts.) - 12/21/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 18-3 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO is 15-4 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 11-5 ATS (+6.0 Units) after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game this season.
TORONTO is 11-4 ATS (+15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 11-4 ATS (+15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season this season.
CHICAGO is 19-26 ATS (-22.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 2-1-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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BUFFALO (13-18-0-2, 28 pts.) at BOSTON (16-14-0-3, 35 pts.) - 12/21/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 13-39 ATS (+70.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 250-198 ATS (+32.6 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
BUFFALO is 93-90 ATS (+201.6 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
BOSTON is 36-48 ATS (-37.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
BOSTON is 174-145 ATS (-40.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-4-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.2 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (12-14-0-6, 30 pts.) at WINNIPEG (17-10-0-6, 40 pts.) - 12/21/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 222-223 ATS (-78.0 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 70-49 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 72-66 ATS (+150.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.3 Units)
 

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Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

-- Virginia 76, Harvard 27-- Game was 39-8 at the half and Harvard is pretty good.

-- North Texas 62, Creighton 58-- Not a great result for the Big East.

-- Georgia 65, Seton Hall 47-- Not a great result for the Big East.

-- USC 74, Boston College 71-- Second year in row Trojans beat BC.

-- Toronto 115, New York 105-- Knicks are only two games ahead of the 76ers.

-- Six most popular picks in the Westgate Hotel handicapping contest, where some of best handicappers in America put up $1,500 apiece, are 3-3 this week, pending the Denver play tonight. They are now 54-32-1 this season.


**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday......

Dolphins 37, Vikings 35-- Weird game with 41 points scored in 4th quarter; Miami won game by blocking punt for a safety with score tied in last 0:41, after they had tied game 30 seconds earlier. After game, Miami owner Ross announced that Joe Philbin will be back next season as Dolphins' coach, so good for him.

Packers 20, Buccaneers 3-- Green Bay just isn't the same offense away from home; they clinched playoff berth today, play Detroit for division title next week. Bucs had six first downs, gained 109 total yards- they've played this year without an NFL-level offensive coordinator. Lovie Smith needs to hire a good one this winter.

Lions 20, Bears 14-- Detroit is in playoffs; they play Packers next week for NFC North title and a first round bye. Bears were outgained by 133 yards; Clausen is now 1-10 as an NFL starter; this was his first start since 2010. Detroit had two TDs and a FG in six red zone drives. Jim Harbaugh-to-Bears rumors are getting stronger.

Falcons 30, Saints 14-- What were the odds of New Orleans losing five home games in a row? Saints were 36-11 SU at home from 2008-13, now they're out of playoffs and Drew Brees isn't getting any younger. Salary cap for next year will be $140M or so; Saints already have $160M in salary commitments for next year. Not good.

Patriots 17, Jets 16-- Gang Green is 3-12 and looking at sweeping changes, but they lost two games to Patriots this year by a combined three points. Edelman didn't make trip for this game; NE's only two TD drives were 36-38 yards; six of their last eight TD drives were less than 50 yards- their offense hasn't done much lately.

Steelers 20, Chiefs 12-- Pittsburgh is in playoffs for first time since 2011; they play Bengals next week for AFC North title. Chiefs have now lost four of last five games; they had three FGs on four red zone drives, even after a successful fake FG near goal line. KC needs to beat Chargers next week and get help to make playoffs.

Panthers 17, Browns 13-- Carolina is 6-8-1.......and in first place; they play Falcons next week in winner-take-all battle for NFC South title, but NFL didn't want game in primetime, so they put Bengals-Steelers on NBC instead. Johnny Manziel hurt his hamstring and left early; his rookie season didn't go too well.

Texans 25, Ravens 13-- Putrid exhibition by Baltimore team that needed a win, with 25 yards on 28 plays in first half. Ravens lost to team using its 4th-string QB who was sitting in a tree bow-hunting deer last Sunday. Houston had one TD on seven red zone drives; their only TD was thrown by RB Foster. Baltimore needs help to make playoffs now.

Giants 37, Rams 27-- St Louis needs a QB who can stay healthy and they need to grow up; too many times, they shoot themselves in foot with stupid, immature stuff that has given them a bad reputation with NFL refs, which is why they get penalized so much. They were down 10-0 in this game before offense took the field.

Raiders 26, Bills 24-- Major gag job by Buffalo team that wasted upset of Packers by losing to a 3-12 team. Bills' last winning season was ten years ago; they can still get to 9-7 next week, but they'll have to beat Patriot team that will need win for home edge in playoffs if the Broncos win in Cincinnati tonight.

Cowboys 42, Colts 7-- Indy had great fake punt dialed up when down 7-0; recevier dropped pass while wide open. Dallas wins NFC East, holding Indy team to one yard rushing and owning a 20-yard edge in field position. Teams that win field position by 10+ yards are now 84-4 this season; Vikings were 4th loser in Miami today.

Seahawks 35, Cardinals 6-- Coach Arians has kept Arizona's season pasted together despite a rash of injuries but there's only so much he can do; you can't beat good teams without a good QB. Total yardage was 596-216; Seattle can win NFC West by beating Rams last week; they lost first meeting this seaosn with St Louis. .

-- If the playoffs started this morning, they would look like this:
AFC-- 1) Patriots 2) Broncos 3) Bengals 4) Colts 5) Steelers 6) Chargers
NFC-- 1) Seahawks 2) Lions 3) Cowboys 4) Panthers 5) Cardinals 6) Packers
 

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