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Thursday, December 19


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Trend Report
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New Jersey vs Columbus
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games
New Jersey is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Columbus's last 9 games at home
Columbus is 18-7 ATS in its last 25 games at home

St. Louis vs Tampa Bay
St. Louis is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Los Angeles vs Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

Pittsburgh vs Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games when playing Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Nashville
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nashville's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh

Seattle vs Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Chicago
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games at home

Ottawa vs Calgary
Ottawa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Ottawa's last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Calgary's last 6 games
Calgary is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Boston vs Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Edmonton's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
Edmonton is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Vancouver vs Vegas
Vancouver is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Vancouver is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vegas's last 7 games
Vegas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Colorado vs San Jose
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Jose
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Jose
San Jose is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 5 games at home


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THURSDAY, DECEMBER 19

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NJ at CLB07:00 PMNJ -215
O 6.5
+500 +500
STL at TB07:00 PMTB -211
O 6.0
+500 +500
LA at PHI07:30 PMPHI +139
U 5.5
+500 +500
PIT at NAS08:00 PMNAS -154
U 6.0
+500 +500
SEA at CHI08:30 PMSEA -133
O 5.5
+500 +500
BOS at EDM09:00 PMEDM -176
U 6.0
+500 +500
OTT at CAL09:00 PMOTT -125
O 5.5
+500 +500
VAN at VEG10:00 PMVAN +153
U 5.5
+500 +500
COL at SJ10:30 PMSJ +219
O 6.5
+500 +500
 

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NHL BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !!

12/19/2024..................... 2 - 11 - 0.....................15.38%....................- 53.75
12/18/2024........................5 - 2 - 0......................71.42%...................+ 17.05
12/17/2024........................7 - 9 - 0......................43.75%....................- 11.55
12/16/2024........................3 - 3 - 0......................50.00%....................- 4.10
12/15/2024........................2 - 5 - 0......................28.57%....................- 21.20
12/14/2024........................7 - 9 - 4.......................43.75%.....................- 20.00
12/13/2024........................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%.....................- 5.05
12/12/2024.......................9 - 13 - 0.......................40.90%....................- 19.70
12/11/2024........................1 - 2 - 1........................33.33%....................- 5.00
12/10/2024......................6 - 11 - 0........................35.29%.....................- 25.20
12/09/2024........................2 - 1 - 0........................66.66%....................+ 4.50
12/08/2024........................3 - 4 - 3........................42.85%.....................- 6.25
12/07/2024.........................5 - 9 - 0.......................35.71%.....................- 20.70
12/06/2024.........................3 - 5 - 0.......................37.50%......................- 11.50
12/05/2024..........................5- 9 - 0.......................35.71%......................- 21.65
12/04/2024.........................4 - 1 - 0.......................80.00%......................+ 14.50
12/03/2024.........................4 - 6 - 0.......................40.00%.......................- 6.35
12/02/2024.........................2 - 3 - 0.......................40.00%.......................- 5.50
12/01/2024.........................5 - 2 - 0.......................71.42%.......................+ 16.55

TOTALS.:........................76 - 106 - 8.......................41.75%....................... - 184.65


*****************************************************

NOVEMBER TOTALS:.........154 - 151 - 5......................50.49%........................- 3.00
 

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Friday’s 6-pack:
College basketball teams with the best eFG% defense in country:
40.0%— Tennessee
41.0%— Houston
41.2%— Duke
41.4%— Illinois
42.2%— George Mason
42.2%— Cincinnati

Quote of the Day
“Great football game. Let’s talk about Cam Dicker and the free kick. It’s my favorite rule in football. I have been trying to get one in every game. When Cameron Dicker made it, it got the momentum back. This was our chance. This was our moment [to try it].”
Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh, talking about the 57-yard FG on a free kick

Friday’s quiz
What city is the Liberty Bowl football game played in every year?

Thursday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes, Jared Goff are the two starting QB’s in the NFL who have fathers that played major league baseball.

Wednesday’s quiz
Washington Redskins drafted Kirk Cousins in the 4th round of the 2012 NFL Draft.

*******************************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

Chargers 34, Broncos 27
Broncos’ first three drives: 28 plays, 212 yards, 21 points.
Denver led 21-13 at halftime.
Broncos last seven drives: 37 plays, 124 yards, 3 points.
Broncos are 1-5 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
Denver’s team total: over 10-4-1
QB Herbert threw for 284 yards and two TD’s.
Chargers are 6-0 scoring 24+ points, 3-6 scoring 23 or fewer points.
Over is 5-0 in their last five home games.
Chargers are 5-1 ATS this season as home favorites.
Bolts are 8-4 ATS in last 12 AFC West home games.
Chargers got a 57-yard field goal at the end of the first half on a free kick after a fair catch by the punt returner; the last time that happened in the NFL was 1976.

— Sam Houston 31, Georgia Southern 26
Sam Houston scored on a pick-6 2:58 into the game.
Georgia Southern ran for 181 yards, outgained Bearkats 393-267.
Problem is, Sam Houston was +4 in turnovers (5-1)
Bearkats win their first-ever I-A bowl game.
Sam Houston still has 10 guys who were on 2021 team that won the 2021 national title at the I-AA level.

— When the Detroit Lions play in Chicago Sunday, it’ll be their second outdoor game this year, on freakin’ December 22. Very unusual.
Lions won their first outdoor game 24-14 at Green Bay in Week 9, but they were outgained 411-261. Detroit scored 34-42 points in their last two games, but those were both at home.

— Cardinals’ 3B Nolan Arenado vetoed a trade to Houston; at this point, the best St Louis can probably get for Arenado is most likely a mid-level prospect and for the other team to take on some of his salary (he will make $59M the next two years).
Does this mean Alex Bregman is leaving the Astros? Boston is rumored to be interested in him, as well as the Tigers.

— Sacramento A’s signed 33-year old IF Gio Urshela Thursday; he hit .250 last year, with nine homers, 52 RBI in a season split between Detroit/Atlanta.

— 31-year old Max Kepler signed a one-year, $10M deal with the Phillies; he’s played for the Twins the last 10 years, and was hampered by injuries LY, playing in only 105 games. Kepler is expected to play left field for Philadelphia.

— Washington Nationals signed P Mike Soroka for one year, $9M; Soroka was 17-8, 3.32 in 43 starts for Atlanta from 2018-23, but was 0-10, 4.74 in 25 games (nine starts) for a dreadful White Sox team last year. He is expected to be a starter again for Washington.

Famous birthdays, December 20th:
Dick Wolf, 78 (executive producer, Law and Order)
Cecil Cooper, 75
Jenny Agutter, 72
Trent Tucker, 65
Tom Newberry, 62
Rich Gannon, 59
David DeJesus, 45
James Shields, 43
Jonah Hill, 41
Calvin Ridley, 30
Bryce Perkins, 28
De’Aaron Fox, 27
Friday would’ve been John Hillerman’s 92nd birthday.

— Cal-Irvine 92, Belmont 84
Anteaters were down 13 with 12:20 left to play.
Irvine scored 40 points in the last 10:00 of the game.
Anteaters were 24-26 on foul line, Belmont 5-8; game was at Belmont.
It is December 20; Irvine already has four true road wins. Impressive.

— How much does Patrick Mahomes’ status effect the pointspread?
When it was thought he was sitting Saturday’s game out, Houston was favored by 2.5 points.
Now that Mahomes is going to play, Kansas City is favored by 3.5 points.

— Duke QB Maalik Murphy bolted to Oregon State, which probably means the Beavers gave him a lot more $$$$ than Duke was. On the surface, bolting from the ACC to the Mountain West isn’t a brilliant move. Duke is 9-3 this year; Murphy threw 26 TD’s, 12 INTs before he bolted.
Washington State QB John Mateer is bolting to Oklahoma, where he will reunite with his old offensive coordinator, Ben Arbuckle, and quarterbacks coach John Kuceyesk from Wazzu.
Coogs are 8-4 this year, losing their last three games; Mateer threw 29 TD’s, 7 INT’s. It is safe to assume that Oklahoma gave him a boatload of $$$, too.

— NBA franchises that are worth the most $$$$:
Golden State $9.14B
NY Knicks $8.3B
LA Lakers $8.07B
Brooklyn $5.7B
LA Clippers $5.68B

— Steph Curry is getting paid $55,761,216 this season: he is expected to make another $90M or so off the floor, in endorsements. Same thing for Lebron James, who the Lakers are paying $48,728,845 this year (plus another $2M or so to his son).
Basketball is big business, but if the TV ratings keep tanking, will be interesting to see where the salary cap winds up the next few years.

— JJ Redick gave up the TV booth this year to coach Lebron and the Lakers, who are 15-12 as we speak, the #7-seed in the West. Redick had never coached before; they fired last year’s coach Darvin Ham even after the Lakers won the in-season tournament, which is probably an indictment of that event.
Would seem that coaching a big-market team with two big stars wouldn’t be an entry-level position, but this year, it is.

— Random stat: Los Angeles Chargers have lost their last 11 games that were decided by 3 or fewer points; the longest losing streak ever in that category is 13 (Buffalo, from 2001-06).

— Looks like Georgia Bulldogs QB Carson Beck is exploring surgery options on his injured throwing elbow; he isn’t expected to play in Georgia’s playoff games. Sophomore Gunner Stockton is expected to take his place- he was 12-16 for 71 yards in the SEC title game against Texas, which the Dawgs won 22-19 in overtime.
 

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Friday, December 20


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Trend Report
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Toronto vs Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto
Buffalo is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Toronto

Montreal vs Detroit
Montreal is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
Montreal is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games

St. Louis vs Florida
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Florida
St. Louis is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida's last 7 games when playing at home against St. Louis

Carolina vs Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Carolina's last 5 games
Carolina is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Washington
Washington is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games

NY Rangers vs Dallas
NY Rangers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Rangers's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against NY Rangers
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games

Utah vs Minnesota
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Utah
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah

Colorado vs Anaheim
Colorado is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Anaheim
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Anaheim
Anaheim is 14-3 ATS in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Anaheim's last 10 games when playing at home against Colorado


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FRIDAY, DECEMBER 20

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
TOR at BUF07:00 PMTOR -152
U 6.0
+500 +500
MON at DET07:00 PMMON +134
U 6.0
+500 +500
STL at FLA07:00 PMFLA -298
O 5.5
+500 +500
CAR at WAS07:00 PMWAS +123
O 6.0
+500 +500
UTAH at MIN08:00 PMMIN -122
U 6.0
+500 +500
NYR at DAL08:00 PMDAL -183
U 6.0
+500 +500
COL at ANA10:00 PMANA +196
U 6.5
+500 +500
 

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NHL BEST BETS FOR DECEMBER !!

12/20/2024........................6 - 5 - 0....................54.54%.....................+ 2.20
12/19/2024..................... 2 - 11 - 0.....................15.38%....................- 53.75
12/18/2024........................5 - 2 - 0......................71.42%...................+ 17.05
12/17/2024........................7 - 9 - 0......................43.75%....................- 11.55
12/16/2024........................3 - 3 - 0......................50.00%....................- 4.10
12/15/2024........................2 - 5 - 0......................28.57%....................- 21.20
12/14/2024........................7 - 9 - 4.......................43.75%.....................- 20.00
12/13/2024........................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%.....................- 5.05
12/12/2024.......................9 - 13 - 0.......................40.90%....................- 19.70
12/11/2024........................1 - 2 - 1........................33.33%....................- 5.00
12/10/2024......................6 - 11 - 0........................35.29%.....................- 25.20
12/09/2024........................2 - 1 - 0........................66.66%....................+ 4.50
12/08/2024........................3 - 4 - 3........................42.85%.....................- 6.25
12/07/2024.........................5 - 9 - 0.......................35.71%.....................- 20.70
12/06/2024.........................3 - 5 - 0.......................37.50%......................- 11.50
12/05/2024..........................5- 9 - 0.......................35.71%......................- 21.65
12/04/2024.........................4 - 1 - 0.......................80.00%......................+ 14.50
12/03/2024.........................4 - 6 - 0.......................40.00%.......................- 6.35
12/02/2024.........................2 - 3 - 0.......................40.00%.......................- 5.50
12/01/2024.........................5 - 2 - 0.......................71.42%.......................+ 16.55

TOTALS.:........................82 - 111 - 8.......................42.48%...................... - 182.45
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
Some college basketball teams with a bad eFG% defense:
#361- VMI
#359- Stony Brook
#355- Seattle
#352- Oral Roberts
#350- Canisius
#348- Kansas City

Quote of the Day
“Joe does a great job at buying gifts that are extremely meaningful. The fact that he bought me a sword, it’s the most ancient form of respect.”
Bengals left tackle Orlando Brown, talking about the Christmas gifts QB Joe Burrow gave to his offensive linemen this week

Saturday’s quiz
Where did Patrick Mahomes play his college football?

Friday’s quiz
The Liberty Bowl football game played in Memphis.

Thursday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes, Jared Goff are the two starting QB’s in the NFL who have fathers that played major league baseball.

************************************

Saturday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

— Notre Dame 27, Indiana 17
Indiana scored two TD’s in last 2:00; final score is misleading.
Notre Dame scored on a 98-yard TD run on their second series.
Notre Dame was 7-13 on third down, Indiana 4-12
Notre Dame plays Georgia in the Elite 8 next week.

— Florida 33, Tulane 8
Tulane’s QB bolted to Duke; his backup didn’t play well.
Florida’s lead was only 6-0 at halftime.
Gators ran for 224 yards; they outgained Tulane, 529-194

— Ohio 30, Jacksonville State 27
Ohio U led this game 27-7 at halftime.
Ohio QB Navarro ran for 3 TDs, threw a 4th TD, all in first half.
Both head coaches in this game have bolted to bigger $$$ jobs.

— Indiana had 13 players who played for James Madison last year; despite that, JMU went 9-4 this year and won their bowl game. Lot of talent out there.

Conference bowl records (SU/ATS)
AAC 1-1 SU/1-1 ATS

ACC 0-1 SU/0-1 ATS

Big 18 0-1 SU/0-1 ATS

Big X 0-1 SU/0-1 ATS

C-USA 1-2 SU/1-2 ATS

MAC 1-1 SU/1-0-1 ATS

M West 1-0 SU/1-0 ATS

SEC 1-0 SU/1-0 ATS

Sun Belt 2-1 SU/1-1-1 ATS

Favorites: 4-3-1 ATS
Totals: under 5-3

— St John’s 72, Providence 70
Friars led 42-29 at halftime.
Red Storm survived going 11-26 on the foul line.
Providence lost six of its last eight games.

— Cincinnati 66, Dayton 59
Bearcats never trailed, led 16-4 midway thru first half.
Dayton shot 39.2% from floor.
9-1 Cincinnati has #6 eFG% defense in country.

Famous birthdays, December 21st:
Dave Kingman, 76
Samuel L Jackson, 76
Ray Romano, 67
Andy Van Slyke, 64
Kiefer Sutherland, 58
LaTroy Hawkins, 52
Mike Alstott, 51
Chris Davis, 37
Kendall Graveman, 34
Mike Clevinger, 34

— Houston Astros signed 1B Christian Walker to a 3-year, $60M contract; 33-year old Walker hit 26 homers for Arizona last year, with an .803 OPS.

— A record nine MLB teams were over the luxury tax threshold for 2024, which resulted in $311M in penalties, with the Dodgers ($103,016,896), Mets ($97,115,609) and Bronx ($62,512,111) paying the biggest penalties.
Some questions for this week’s NFL games:

— Steelers lead the Ravens by a game in AFC North; they visit Baltimore Sunday. Pittsburgh has won eight of its last nine games against the Ravens, including an 18-16 win in Week 11..

— Lions @ Bears- December 22 and this is Detroit’s 2nd game outdoors all season; should be a bit nippy in Chicago for this one. Lions won their first outdoor game 24-14 in Green Bay.

— Giants @ Atlanta- Falcons are favored by 8.5 points; they’re playing a QB making his first-ever NFL start. Atlanta lost four of its last five games; Giants have lost nine in a row.

— Jaguars @ Raiders
Jacksonville lost six of its last seven games.
Las Vegas lost its last 10 games; their last win was September 29.
Please don’t bet on this game, but if you do, play the total.

— Patriots @ Bills- Weird scheduling— it is Week 16 and these division rivals haven’t met yet this season- they play again in two weeks.

— Vikings @ Seahawks- Both teams are scrambling for playoff position; Vikings have a short week after their win against the Bears Monday night. Minnesota is 7-1 this year in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
 

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Saturday, December 21


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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Los Angeles vs Nashville
Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Los Angeles is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nashville's last 8 games at home

Chicago vs Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chicago's last 10 games on the road
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Calgary
Calgary is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Calgary is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home

San Jose vs Edmonton
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Jose's last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
San Jose is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Edmonton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against San Jose
Edmonton is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Jose

Minnesota vs Winnipeg
Minnesota is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 12 games on the road
Winnipeg is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Winnipeg is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Buffalo vs Boston
Buffalo is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games

Detroit vs Montreal
Detroit is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Montreal
Montreal is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Montreal is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

Pittsburgh vs New Jersey
Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing New Jersey
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Jersey's last 5 games

Columbus vs Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Columbus's last 9 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Columbus's last 23 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games when playing Columbus
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Philadelphia's last 23 games when playing at home against Columbus

NY Islanders vs Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
NY Islanders is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games at home

Ottawa vs Vancouver
Ottawa is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing Vancouver
Vancouver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Vancouver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa

Seattle vs Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Vegas
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Vegas's last 8 games
Vegas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 21

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
LA at NAS01:30 PMLA -115
U 5.5
+500 +500
CHI at CAL04:00 PMCAL -156
U 5.5
+500 +500
SJ at EDM04:00 PMSJ +378
O 6.5
+500 +500
CLB at PHI07:00 PMPHI -144
O 6.5
+500 +500
MIN at WIN07:00 PMWIN -171
O 5.5
+500 +500
BUF at BOS07:00 PMBOS -172
O 6.0
+500 +500
NYI at TOR07:00 PMNYI +143
U 6.0
+500 +500
PIT at NJ07:00 PMPIT +211
U 6.5
+500 +500
DET at MON07:00 PMMON +105
O 6.0
+500 +500
OTT at VAN10:00 PMVAN -125
O 5.5
+500 +500
SEA at VEG10:00 PMVEG -185
U 5.5
+500 +500
 

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