Colts (5-6) @ Jets (3-8)— Indy is 5-2 this season when scoring 24+ points, 0-4 when they do not; Colts are 2-2 in true road games, 2-1-1 as road underdogs, with losses by 14 at Denver, 3 in Houston. Jets lost last three games by 4-3-5 points; they’re 1-4 at home, 2-1 as home underdogs, with home losses by 1-10-3-5 points- they beat Baltimore 24-16 for only home win. Colts lost by 1-26-13 points in last three games with Jets, scoring only 10.7 pts/game; teams split last eight visits here. Three of last eight series meetings came in playoffs. AFC South non-divisional road teams are 7-8 vs spread, 2-1 as favorites. AFC East home teams are 7-7 vs spread, 4-2 as underdogs. Under is 3-1 in last four Indy games, 6-1 in Jets’ last seven games.
MNF - Colts at Jets
December 4, 2016
The AFC Wild Card is heating up through the first weekend in December, but the Colts and Jets are currently on the outside looking in. Indianapolis travels to Met Life Stadium on Monday night trying to reach the .500 mark with a victory and stay in the midst of the AFC South race. New York is riding out the string as the Jets look to snap a three-game losing streak and pick up their second home victory of the season.
LAST WEEK
The Colts (5-6 SU, 5-5-1 ATS) played without quarterback Andrew Luck on Thanksgiving night due to being in the concussion protocol as Indianapolis was blown out by Pittsburgh, 28-7 as eight-point home underdogs. Scott Tolzien started in place of Luck, but threw two interceptions, while Antonio Brown reached the end zone three times for Pittsburgh. The Steelers outgained the Colts, 369-310, as Indianapolis suffered its third home loss of the season.
New York (3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS) continues to sit at the bottom of the AFC East following last Sunday’s 22-17 home defeat to New England. The Jets managed to cover as nine-point underdogs in spite of blowing a 10-0 lead as New York scored only seven points in the second half. Ryan Fitzpatrick tossed two touchdown passes and compiled 269 yards through the air in the defeat, but the Jets rushed for just 64 yards.
HOME WOES
The Jets have slumped to a 1-4 record at Met Life Stadium this season with the only victory coming against the Ravens in Week 7 as 2 ½-point favorites, 24-16. Three of four home defeats have come by five points or less, but own a 1-2 ATS record as a home ‘dog.
LUCK FACTOR
The Colts will have their franchise quarterback under center on Monday after Luck missed the Pittsburgh loss. Luck has thrown for under 300 yards in each of his last three starts, while getting intercepted four times in this span. Since starting 0-3 on the road, the Colts have won two straight on the highway at Green Bay and Tennessee, as Indianapolis scored 31 and 34 points respectively in those wins.
SERIES HISTORY
These teams are meeting on Monday night for the second straight season as the Jets cruised past the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium last September, 20-7 as six-point underdogs. New York intercepted Luck three times, while Indianapolis turned the ball over five times. Fitzpatrick connected on a pair of touchdown passes, including 15-yard scoring strike to Brandon Marshall. The Jets have won three consecutive meetings against the Colts since the 2010 playoffs, as Indianapolis is facing New York at Met Life Stadium for the first time since Luck’s rookie season of 2012.
LINE MOVEMENT
The Colts opened as one-point road favorites at the Las Vegas Westgate Superbook, but that number moved up to Indianapolis -2 after Luck’s status was upgraded to probable. The total opened at 49 ½, but that has number slipped to between 48 ½ and 49 at most sports books. The weather at Met Life Stadium shouldn’t be a huge factor with kickoff temperatures in the low 40’s and partly cloudy skies.
HANDICAPPER’S CORNER
VegasInsider.com handicapper Joe Nelson says the play of Fitzpatrick has definitely been one of the main reasons for New York’s struggles this season, “Fitzpatrick has had a disappointing season with just 57 percent completions and 13 interceptions compared with 10 touchdowns. He has taken 18 sacks and he rates 31st out of 32 qualified quarterbacks in Total QBR. In fairness, nine of his 13 interceptions came in back-to-back games vs. two of the league’s best defensive teams and over his last six games he has thrown seven touchdowns with only three picks.”
On the Colts’ side, Nelson believes this team isn’t too far away from a return to the playoffs, “Indianapolis has road wins in Nashville and Green Bay this season and the Colts have three losses by four of or fewer points this season as this team isn’t far from being in a better position. Every Indianapolis win has come by a single score as laying points with a team allowing over 27 points per game certainly carries some risk. The long layoff for Indianapolis came at a great time to get Andrew Luck, Vontae Davis, Robert Mathis, and T.Y. Hilton likely back from injuries as the Colts will have few excuses if they fail in this opportunity to set up next week’s critical division showdown against Houston.”
PROPS – According to Las Vegas Westgate Superbook
Indianapolis
A. Luck – Total Gross Passing Yards
268 ½ - OVER (-110)
268 ½ - UNDER (-110)
A. Luck – Total Touchdown Passes
1 ½ - OVER (-150)
1 ½ - UNDER (+130)
Will F. Gore score a touchdown?
YES +145
NO -165
New York
R. Fitzpatrick – Total Completions
20 ½ - OVER (-110)
20 ½ - UNDER (-110)
R. Fitzpatrick – Total Touchdowns + Interceptions
2 – OVER (-110)
2 – UNDER (-110)
B. Marshall – Total Receiving Yards
68 ½ - OVER (-110)
68 ½ - UNDER (-110)
NEXT WEEK
The Colts return home to host the Texans in a crucial AFC South showdown as Indianapolis goes for the season sweep. The Las Vegas Westgate Superbook opened Indianapolis as four-point favorites, as that number is creeping up to 4 ½. The Jets travel to San Francisco next Sunday, as New York is set at one-point road underdogs.
December 4, 2016
The AFC Wild Card is heating up through the first weekend in December, but the Colts and Jets are currently on the outside looking in. Indianapolis travels to Met Life Stadium on Monday night trying to reach the .500 mark with a victory and stay in the midst of the AFC South race. New York is riding out the string as the Jets look to snap a three-game losing streak and pick up their second home victory of the season.
LAST WEEK
The Colts (5-6 SU, 5-5-1 ATS) played without quarterback Andrew Luck on Thanksgiving night due to being in the concussion protocol as Indianapolis was blown out by Pittsburgh, 28-7 as eight-point home underdogs. Scott Tolzien started in place of Luck, but threw two interceptions, while Antonio Brown reached the end zone three times for Pittsburgh. The Steelers outgained the Colts, 369-310, as Indianapolis suffered its third home loss of the season.
New York (3-8 SU, 4-7 ATS) continues to sit at the bottom of the AFC East following last Sunday’s 22-17 home defeat to New England. The Jets managed to cover as nine-point underdogs in spite of blowing a 10-0 lead as New York scored only seven points in the second half. Ryan Fitzpatrick tossed two touchdown passes and compiled 269 yards through the air in the defeat, but the Jets rushed for just 64 yards.
HOME WOES
The Jets have slumped to a 1-4 record at Met Life Stadium this season with the only victory coming against the Ravens in Week 7 as 2 ½-point favorites, 24-16. Three of four home defeats have come by five points or less, but own a 1-2 ATS record as a home ‘dog.
LUCK FACTOR
The Colts will have their franchise quarterback under center on Monday after Luck missed the Pittsburgh loss. Luck has thrown for under 300 yards in each of his last three starts, while getting intercepted four times in this span. Since starting 0-3 on the road, the Colts have won two straight on the highway at Green Bay and Tennessee, as Indianapolis scored 31 and 34 points respectively in those wins.
SERIES HISTORY
These teams are meeting on Monday night for the second straight season as the Jets cruised past the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium last September, 20-7 as six-point underdogs. New York intercepted Luck three times, while Indianapolis turned the ball over five times. Fitzpatrick connected on a pair of touchdown passes, including 15-yard scoring strike to Brandon Marshall. The Jets have won three consecutive meetings against the Colts since the 2010 playoffs, as Indianapolis is facing New York at Met Life Stadium for the first time since Luck’s rookie season of 2012.
LINE MOVEMENT
The Colts opened as one-point road favorites at the Las Vegas Westgate Superbook, but that number moved up to Indianapolis -2 after Luck’s status was upgraded to probable. The total opened at 49 ½, but that has number slipped to between 48 ½ and 49 at most sports books. The weather at Met Life Stadium shouldn’t be a huge factor with kickoff temperatures in the low 40’s and partly cloudy skies.
HANDICAPPER’S CORNER
VegasInsider.com handicapper Joe Nelson says the play of Fitzpatrick has definitely been one of the main reasons for New York’s struggles this season, “Fitzpatrick has had a disappointing season with just 57 percent completions and 13 interceptions compared with 10 touchdowns. He has taken 18 sacks and he rates 31st out of 32 qualified quarterbacks in Total QBR. In fairness, nine of his 13 interceptions came in back-to-back games vs. two of the league’s best defensive teams and over his last six games he has thrown seven touchdowns with only three picks.”
On the Colts’ side, Nelson believes this team isn’t too far away from a return to the playoffs, “Indianapolis has road wins in Nashville and Green Bay this season and the Colts have three losses by four of or fewer points this season as this team isn’t far from being in a better position. Every Indianapolis win has come by a single score as laying points with a team allowing over 27 points per game certainly carries some risk. The long layoff for Indianapolis came at a great time to get Andrew Luck, Vontae Davis, Robert Mathis, and T.Y. Hilton likely back from injuries as the Colts will have few excuses if they fail in this opportunity to set up next week’s critical division showdown against Houston.”
PROPS – According to Las Vegas Westgate Superbook
Indianapolis
A. Luck – Total Gross Passing Yards
268 ½ - OVER (-110)
268 ½ - UNDER (-110)
A. Luck – Total Touchdown Passes
1 ½ - OVER (-150)
1 ½ - UNDER (+130)
Will F. Gore score a touchdown?
YES +145
NO -165
New York
R. Fitzpatrick – Total Completions
20 ½ - OVER (-110)
20 ½ - UNDER (-110)
R. Fitzpatrick – Total Touchdowns + Interceptions
2 – OVER (-110)
2 – UNDER (-110)
B. Marshall – Total Receiving Yards
68 ½ - OVER (-110)
68 ½ - UNDER (-110)
NEXT WEEK
The Colts return home to host the Texans in a crucial AFC South showdown as Indianapolis goes for the season sweep. The Las Vegas Westgate Superbook opened Indianapolis as four-point favorites, as that number is creeping up to 4 ½. The Jets travel to San Francisco next Sunday, as New York is set at one-point road underdogs.
NFL THURS- SUNDAY RECORD AND BEST BETS:
12/01/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
12/04/2016 15-10-1 60.00% +2000
WLT PCT UNITS
ATS Picks 106-122-8 46.49% -14100
O/U Picks 104-124-6 45.61% -16200
Triple Plays:..... 51 - 56 - 4
BIG PLAYS FOR OCT/NOV 5 - 8 - 1
BIG PLAYS FOR DEC. 4 - 2
12/04 - 1 - 0 NFL DOG # 1 KANSAS CITY + 4' 29/ N. ORLEANS 28
12/04 - 1 - 0 NFL SNOW FAVORITE OF THE DAY G. BAY - 6 21 / HOUSTON 13
12/04- 1 - 0 NFL TOTAL OF THE DAY. UN 44 SAN FRAN/ CHICAGO 26 - 6
12/04 - 0 - 1 NFL DOG # 2 BUFFALO + 3 24 / OAKLAND 38
12/04 - 1 - 0 NFL DOG # 3 TAMPA + 3' 28 / SAN DIEGO 21
12/04 - 0 - 1 NFL DOG # 4 WASHINGTON + 2' 23 / ARIZONA 31
12/01/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
12/04/2016 15-10-1 60.00% +2000
WLT PCT UNITS
ATS Picks 106-122-8 46.49% -14100
O/U Picks 104-124-6 45.61% -16200
Triple Plays:..... 51 - 56 - 4
BIG PLAYS FOR OCT/NOV 5 - 8 - 1
BIG PLAYS FOR DEC. 4 - 2
12/04 - 1 - 0 NFL DOG # 1 KANSAS CITY + 4' 29/ N. ORLEANS 28
12/04 - 1 - 0 NFL SNOW FAVORITE OF THE DAY G. BAY - 6 21 / HOUSTON 13
12/04- 1 - 0 NFL TOTAL OF THE DAY. UN 44 SAN FRAN/ CHICAGO 26 - 6
12/04 - 0 - 1 NFL DOG # 2 BUFFALO + 3 24 / OAKLAND 38
12/04 - 1 - 0 NFL DOG # 3 TAMPA + 3' 28 / SAN DIEGO 21
12/04 - 0 - 1 NFL DOG # 4 WASHINGTON + 2' 23 / ARIZONA 31
Betting Recap - Week 13
December 5, 2016
Overall Notes
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE WEEK 13 RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 10-4
Against the Spread 9-5
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 9-5
Against the Spread 10-4
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 6-7-1
The largest underdogs to win straight up
Lions (+6, ML +240) at Saints, 28-13
Chiefs (+5, ML +180) at Falcons, 29-28
Buccaneers (+3.5, ML +160) at Chargers, 28-21
The largest favorite to cover
Patriots (-13) vs. Rams, 26-10
Seahawks (-8) vs. Panthers, 40-7
Steelers (-6.5) vs. Giants, 24-14
Road Warriors
-- The Kansas City Chiefs posted a 29-28 victory on the road against the Atlanta Falcons, posting their fifth consecutive road victory and cover. Overall the Chiefs are 3-1 SU/ATS in their past four games, and the 'over' has cashed in each of their past two games after a six-game 'under' run. The Chiefs will play host to the Oakland Raiders on a short week at Arrowhead Stadium Thursday. The Chiefs rolled to a 26-10 victory in Oakland back on Oct. 16. Temperatures in Kansas City Thursday night are forecast to be in the upper teens with a slight breeze.
Tampa Bay Watch
-- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers picked up another road victory against the San Diego Chargers, winning 28-21 as 3 1/2-point underdogs. That's four straight wins and covers for the Bucs overall, and they're now 5-1 SU/ATS in six games on the road this season. The Bucs will return home to face the New Orleans Saints for the first of two meetings in three weeks with their NFC South Division rivals. The Bucs have won and covered their past two home outings after opening the season 0-4 SU/ATS at home in their first four outings at the Ray Jay.
Total Recall
-- The 'under' had a slight 6-7-1 edge heading into the Monday night battle between the Indianapolis Colts-New York Jets. In three AFC games the 'under' went 2-1 (with one pending), while in four NFC games the 'over/under' split 2-2 with one pending. In seven AFC vs. NFC games the 'under' finished 2-4-1.
-- The two games with the highest totals on the board never lived up to the hype. Detroit-New Orleans (53.5) was a defensive slog, with just one quarter featuring a team scoring double-digit points.Two quarters featured nothing but field goals, and the Saints were scoreless in two of the four quarters. Not exactly the track meet everyone figured it would be. In the N.Y. Giants-Pittsburgh (50) game, not one team scored in double digits in any one quarter.
-- The Los Angeles Rams failed to keep up the 'over' trend of Pacific Time Zone teams traveling to the Eastern Time Zone. The New England Patriots posted a 26-10 win and the 'over' was never threatened. If you've been on that trend this season, there are a couple of better chances for it to cash in Week 14. The San Diego-Carolina and Arizona-Miami games could be high-scoring affairs.
-- The lowest total on the board, Denver-Jacksonville (38.5) was never really close to going 'over', and one of the scores for the Broncos was of the defensive variety. The next two lowest totals, both at 41.5, ended up going 'over'. Philadelphia-Cincinnati pushed over by the middle of the fourth quarter, while the same held true with a Ravens TD with 5:55 to go to make the score Baltimore 38, Miami 6.
-- The 'over/under' went 1-1 in two primetime games with one game left Monday between the Colts and Jets (48.5). Officially, the 'over' is 19-20 (48.7%) through 39 games under the lights. In 2015, the over finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games. In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56%) in 2013.
Injury Report
-- Broncos RB Kapri Bibbs (ankle) was forced out of Sunday's game in Jacksonville due to an ankle injury and he was unable to return.
-- The Buccaneers lost WR Adam Humphries (concussion), TE Luke Stocker (ankle) and WR Cecil Shorts III (knee) to injuries in their win in San Diego.
-- Eagles WR Dorial Green-Beckham (rib) left Sunday's loss in Cincinnati due to a rib injury. He was sent for X-rays.
-- Patriots WR Danny Amendola (foot) was spotted on crutches with a walking boot on his right foot after the team's win against Los Angeles.
-- Redskins WR Jamison Crowder (hip) suffered a hip pointer in Sunday's loss in Arizona.
Looking Ahead
-- The Chiefs have won six of the past seven meetings straight-up against the Raiders, and Kansas City is 5-2 ATS during the span. They have also won and covered three straight at Arrowhead Stadium, turning around what was an ugly trend. In the previous seven meetings in Kansas City it was the Raiders covering. The 'over' is 4-2 in the past six in this series, but the 'under' is 17-6 in the past 23 overall meetings and 8-3 in the past 11 at Arrowhead.
-- The Texans and Colts do battle in a key AFC South Division battle at Lucas Oil Stadium next Sunday. The Colts frittered away a 23-9 lead with 7:04 to go back on Oct. 16 in Houston, as the Texans forced overtime and eventually won 26-23. Indy is 6-2 SU over the past eight meetings, and 5-1-2 ATS during the span. The 'under' has cashed in eight of the past 12 meetings.
-- The Eagles host the Redskins Sunday afternoon. The Eagles dropped a 27-20 decision Oct. 16, failing to cover for the fifth straight in this series dating back to Nov. 17, 2013.
-- The Bucs host the Saints in Week 13, looking for just their second win in the series in the past 10 games. The Bucs are 4-2 ATS in the past six in this series, and the 'under' has cashed in each of the past three. The under is also 12-3 in the past 15 in this series, including 7-1 in the past eight at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa.
December 5, 2016
Overall Notes
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE WEEK 13 RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 10-4
Against the Spread 9-5
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 9-5
Against the Spread 10-4
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 6-7-1
The largest underdogs to win straight up
Lions (+6, ML +240) at Saints, 28-13
Chiefs (+5, ML +180) at Falcons, 29-28
Buccaneers (+3.5, ML +160) at Chargers, 28-21
The largest favorite to cover
Patriots (-13) vs. Rams, 26-10
Seahawks (-8) vs. Panthers, 40-7
Steelers (-6.5) vs. Giants, 24-14
Road Warriors
-- The Kansas City Chiefs posted a 29-28 victory on the road against the Atlanta Falcons, posting their fifth consecutive road victory and cover. Overall the Chiefs are 3-1 SU/ATS in their past four games, and the 'over' has cashed in each of their past two games after a six-game 'under' run. The Chiefs will play host to the Oakland Raiders on a short week at Arrowhead Stadium Thursday. The Chiefs rolled to a 26-10 victory in Oakland back on Oct. 16. Temperatures in Kansas City Thursday night are forecast to be in the upper teens with a slight breeze.
Tampa Bay Watch
-- The Tampa Bay Buccaneers picked up another road victory against the San Diego Chargers, winning 28-21 as 3 1/2-point underdogs. That's four straight wins and covers for the Bucs overall, and they're now 5-1 SU/ATS in six games on the road this season. The Bucs will return home to face the New Orleans Saints for the first of two meetings in three weeks with their NFC South Division rivals. The Bucs have won and covered their past two home outings after opening the season 0-4 SU/ATS at home in their first four outings at the Ray Jay.
Total Recall
-- The 'under' had a slight 6-7-1 edge heading into the Monday night battle between the Indianapolis Colts-New York Jets. In three AFC games the 'under' went 2-1 (with one pending), while in four NFC games the 'over/under' split 2-2 with one pending. In seven AFC vs. NFC games the 'under' finished 2-4-1.
-- The two games with the highest totals on the board never lived up to the hype. Detroit-New Orleans (53.5) was a defensive slog, with just one quarter featuring a team scoring double-digit points.Two quarters featured nothing but field goals, and the Saints were scoreless in two of the four quarters. Not exactly the track meet everyone figured it would be. In the N.Y. Giants-Pittsburgh (50) game, not one team scored in double digits in any one quarter.
-- The Los Angeles Rams failed to keep up the 'over' trend of Pacific Time Zone teams traveling to the Eastern Time Zone. The New England Patriots posted a 26-10 win and the 'over' was never threatened. If you've been on that trend this season, there are a couple of better chances for it to cash in Week 14. The San Diego-Carolina and Arizona-Miami games could be high-scoring affairs.
-- The lowest total on the board, Denver-Jacksonville (38.5) was never really close to going 'over', and one of the scores for the Broncos was of the defensive variety. The next two lowest totals, both at 41.5, ended up going 'over'. Philadelphia-Cincinnati pushed over by the middle of the fourth quarter, while the same held true with a Ravens TD with 5:55 to go to make the score Baltimore 38, Miami 6.
-- The 'over/under' went 1-1 in two primetime games with one game left Monday between the Colts and Jets (48.5). Officially, the 'over' is 19-20 (48.7%) through 39 games under the lights. In 2015, the over finished 20-28-1 (41.7%) in 49 primetime games. In 2014, the over went 33-17 (66%) in primetime games, and the over was 28-22 (56%) in 2013.
Injury Report
-- Broncos RB Kapri Bibbs (ankle) was forced out of Sunday's game in Jacksonville due to an ankle injury and he was unable to return.
-- The Buccaneers lost WR Adam Humphries (concussion), TE Luke Stocker (ankle) and WR Cecil Shorts III (knee) to injuries in their win in San Diego.
-- Eagles WR Dorial Green-Beckham (rib) left Sunday's loss in Cincinnati due to a rib injury. He was sent for X-rays.
-- Patriots WR Danny Amendola (foot) was spotted on crutches with a walking boot on his right foot after the team's win against Los Angeles.
-- Redskins WR Jamison Crowder (hip) suffered a hip pointer in Sunday's loss in Arizona.
Looking Ahead
-- The Chiefs have won six of the past seven meetings straight-up against the Raiders, and Kansas City is 5-2 ATS during the span. They have also won and covered three straight at Arrowhead Stadium, turning around what was an ugly trend. In the previous seven meetings in Kansas City it was the Raiders covering. The 'over' is 4-2 in the past six in this series, but the 'under' is 17-6 in the past 23 overall meetings and 8-3 in the past 11 at Arrowhead.
-- The Texans and Colts do battle in a key AFC South Division battle at Lucas Oil Stadium next Sunday. The Colts frittered away a 23-9 lead with 7:04 to go back on Oct. 16 in Houston, as the Texans forced overtime and eventually won 26-23. Indy is 6-2 SU over the past eight meetings, and 5-1-2 ATS during the span. The 'under' has cashed in eight of the past 12 meetings.
-- The Eagles host the Redskins Sunday afternoon. The Eagles dropped a 27-20 decision Oct. 16, failing to cover for the fifth straight in this series dating back to Nov. 17, 2013.
-- The Bucs host the Saints in Week 13, looking for just their second win in the series in the past 10 games. The Bucs are 4-2 ATS in the past six in this series, and the 'under' has cashed in each of the past three. The under is also 12-3 in the past 15 in this series, including 7-1 in the past eight at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa.
Jets embarrassed by Colts, turn to Petty for last 4 games
December 6, 2016
EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. (AP) It was ugly. And, embarrassing. And mostly downright pitiful.
The New York Jets were thoroughly outplayed and outclassed by Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts, hitting rock bottom in a season that has been spiraling for weeks with a brutal 41-10 loss in front of a national TV audience Monday night.
''I thought for the first time this year, we got our (butts) handed to us,'' coach Todd Bowles said. ''That's very disappointing.''
Luck returned after missing a game with a concussion by throwing for four touchdowns, three to Dwayne Allen. It was 24-3 at halftime, and the game was over at that point.
''I thought they kicked our (butts),'' Bowles said, repeating that often in his postgame news conference. ''It's very troubling when you get your (butt) kicked.''
An ineffective Ryan Fitzpatrick was benched in the third quarter for Bryce Petty, who will start the final four games for the Jets (3-9).
''The plan was to start him the last four games, anyway,'' Bowles said. ''So, we just started a half early.''
It was the culmination of an awful night - and the epitome of what has been a terrible year - for the Jets.
''This is a character-building season,'' wide receiver Brandon Marshall said. ''It's one of those seasons when each man has to look himself in the eye and ask himself, `What type of player do you want to be? What type of man do you want to be?' You go from there.''
The defense got booed, and then chewed out on the sideline by Bowles.
''Too many cuss words to mention,'' the coach said.
The offense was booed, too.
So was New York's special-teams unit.
The biggest cheers from a half-empty MetLife Stadium came when two shirtless fans were tackled to the turf in the second half.
''Guys have got to play harder,'' defensive end Muhammad Wilkerson said. ''But we're not going to point the finger. ... Coming out on prime-time football and playing like that, it's not up to our standards.''
So, the Jets will now look to the future because their playoff hopes are shattered. Petty, a fourth-rounder out of Baylor last year, will get his second NFL start next Sunday at San Francisco.
Fitzpatrick said he was told of that plan by some ''offensive coaches,'' but seemed unaware he would be stuck on the sideline for the rest of the season no matter how he played against the Colts.
''We could've won 45-nothing, and (Petty) was going to start the last four games,'' Bowles said. ''That's the slot we had penciled for him and it's a good time to take a look at him.''
Petty finished 11 of 25 for 135 yards with a touchdown to Robby Anderson and two interceptions.
''To be honest, I didn't feel like I played to my ability tonight,'' Petty said. ''I think I was pressing a little bit, whether I was trying to create a spark or create a big play.''
Fitzpatrick, in what could be his last appearance on the field in a Jets uniform, was 5 of 12 for 81 yards with a pick. He re-signed with New York on a one-year, $12 million deal after setting a franchise record with 31 touchdown passes last season.
''I just, I didn't get it done,'' Fitzpatrick said.
Neither has the defense, which has been subpar all season after being expected to be a strength. The Colts rolled up 421 yards of total offense and 27 first downs against the Jets, who appeared listless from the start.
''They came here to win and we're supposed to stop that from happening,'' safety Rontez Miles said. ''There was nothing positive.''
The hot seat is getting warmer by the week for Bowles, who's in his second season as coach with the Jets. They went 10-6 last year, losing in the season finale to miss the playoffs.
Questions about his in-game decisions and his ability to prepare his players have increasingly become a topic. That has led to speculation whether the Jets could look elsewhere for next season, especially if the losses continue to pile.
''I coached for my job the first day I took this job,'' Bowles said.
For now, the focus turns to the next game. And that means watching the film of this loss and then moving on to preparing for San Francisco (1-11).
''We'll come in Wednesday and we'll play the guys who want to play,'' Bowles said. ''But we got our (butts) handed to us, and we're going to see what kind of pride we've got this week.''
December 6, 2016
EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. (AP) It was ugly. And, embarrassing. And mostly downright pitiful.
The New York Jets were thoroughly outplayed and outclassed by Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts, hitting rock bottom in a season that has been spiraling for weeks with a brutal 41-10 loss in front of a national TV audience Monday night.
''I thought for the first time this year, we got our (butts) handed to us,'' coach Todd Bowles said. ''That's very disappointing.''
Luck returned after missing a game with a concussion by throwing for four touchdowns, three to Dwayne Allen. It was 24-3 at halftime, and the game was over at that point.
''I thought they kicked our (butts),'' Bowles said, repeating that often in his postgame news conference. ''It's very troubling when you get your (butt) kicked.''
An ineffective Ryan Fitzpatrick was benched in the third quarter for Bryce Petty, who will start the final four games for the Jets (3-9).
''The plan was to start him the last four games, anyway,'' Bowles said. ''So, we just started a half early.''
It was the culmination of an awful night - and the epitome of what has been a terrible year - for the Jets.
''This is a character-building season,'' wide receiver Brandon Marshall said. ''It's one of those seasons when each man has to look himself in the eye and ask himself, `What type of player do you want to be? What type of man do you want to be?' You go from there.''
The defense got booed, and then chewed out on the sideline by Bowles.
''Too many cuss words to mention,'' the coach said.
The offense was booed, too.
So was New York's special-teams unit.
The biggest cheers from a half-empty MetLife Stadium came when two shirtless fans were tackled to the turf in the second half.
''Guys have got to play harder,'' defensive end Muhammad Wilkerson said. ''But we're not going to point the finger. ... Coming out on prime-time football and playing like that, it's not up to our standards.''
So, the Jets will now look to the future because their playoff hopes are shattered. Petty, a fourth-rounder out of Baylor last year, will get his second NFL start next Sunday at San Francisco.
Fitzpatrick said he was told of that plan by some ''offensive coaches,'' but seemed unaware he would be stuck on the sideline for the rest of the season no matter how he played against the Colts.
''We could've won 45-nothing, and (Petty) was going to start the last four games,'' Bowles said. ''That's the slot we had penciled for him and it's a good time to take a look at him.''
Petty finished 11 of 25 for 135 yards with a touchdown to Robby Anderson and two interceptions.
''To be honest, I didn't feel like I played to my ability tonight,'' Petty said. ''I think I was pressing a little bit, whether I was trying to create a spark or create a big play.''
Fitzpatrick, in what could be his last appearance on the field in a Jets uniform, was 5 of 12 for 81 yards with a pick. He re-signed with New York on a one-year, $12 million deal after setting a franchise record with 31 touchdown passes last season.
''I just, I didn't get it done,'' Fitzpatrick said.
Neither has the defense, which has been subpar all season after being expected to be a strength. The Colts rolled up 421 yards of total offense and 27 first downs against the Jets, who appeared listless from the start.
''They came here to win and we're supposed to stop that from happening,'' safety Rontez Miles said. ''There was nothing positive.''
The hot seat is getting warmer by the week for Bowles, who's in his second season as coach with the Jets. They went 10-6 last year, losing in the season finale to miss the playoffs.
Questions about his in-game decisions and his ability to prepare his players have increasingly become a topic. That has led to speculation whether the Jets could look elsewhere for next season, especially if the losses continue to pile.
''I coached for my job the first day I took this job,'' Bowles said.
For now, the focus turns to the next game. And that means watching the film of this loss and then moving on to preparing for San Francisco (1-11).
''We'll come in Wednesday and we'll play the guys who want to play,'' Bowles said. ''But we got our (butts) handed to us, and we're going to see what kind of pride we've got this week.''
Tuesday’s six-pack
Baseball signings:
— Astros gave Carlos Beltran $16M for one year; they’ve got a really good lineup but who is going to pitch for them?
— Giants signed closer Mark Melancon for four years, $62M.
— Toronto signed utility guy Steve Pearce for $6M or so a year.
— Rich Hill got $48M for three years from the Dodgers
— UConn 52, Syracuse 50— No wins are ugly, but this was not a well-played game.
— St John’s 76, Cal-Northridge 70– Chris Mullein’s Red Storm is 26-46 from the arc in their last two games.
--------------------------
Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……..
13) No one seems to know the whole story but it is difficult to fathom that Cam Newton was suspended for the first series of a game just because he didn’t have a tie on when he was supposed to— there almost has to be more to the story than that, as in the QB challenging the coach’s authority (more than once), and Sunday night, the coach showed who was boss in a very public way.
12) If you care about such things, so far this season, NBA teams playing the second night of a back/back are 39-46 vs spread when facing a team that didn’t play the night before.
11) Until Donald Trump gets sworn into office, the three wealthiest Presidents were: 1) George Washington 2) John Kennedy 3) Andrew Jackson.
10) Seattle Seahawks had 25 undrafted players on their roster Sunday night and only two #1 draft picks- next week it’ll probably be 26 undrafted players, with safety Earl Thomas done for the year with a broken leg.
9) Average clubhead speed for a PGA touring pro golfer: 109 mph. Average clubhead speed for an amateur golfer: 81 mph
8) You could have a bought a ticket to the Colts-Jets game Monday night for as little as $6 online. Parking probably cost five times that.
7) In 1972, Lafayette College had a freshman QB who was pretty good, but quit football to concentrate on his baseball career. You may have heard of him; Joe Maddon, now the world champion Cubs’ manager.
6) Players in the All-Star Game will be playing the game for $20,000 per man to the winning side, zero to the losing side. Will that be enough to make all of ‘em stick around to the end?
5) Eastern Washington’s basketball team is 6-2 with five straight wins; three of their last four wins came in overtime, with two of those three in double OT.
4) Purdue hired Western Kentucky football coach Jeff Brohm, who favors a wide-open offense. Purdue is a tough place to win in football; maybe he should’ve waited for a better job (Oregon)?
3) This is what college basketball was like before the shot clock; on December 22, 1969, Pete Maravich was 30-31 from the foul line. In one game. With no shot clock, great ball handlers dominated the game as soon as their team got the lead in the second half.
There was a Duke-North Carolina game a few years before the shot clock came in that was 7-0 at halftime. A basketball game was 7-0 at halftime. No bueno.
2) Letting quarterbacks sit and watch ain’t all bad; in his rookie year in the NFL, Tom Brady threw three passes. Three.
1— Two quick Los Angeles Ram notes:
a) When Case Keenum was QB this season, they converted 37.6% of their third down plays, not bad; in three games with Jared Goff under center, LA is 5-35 (14.3%) on third down. Of course, it would be nice if Goff’s receivers would catch the ball now and then; his first INT in Foxboro was a perfect pass that hit Lance Kendricks right in the hands but was tipped to a Patriot defender.
b) Rams’ senior executive Kevin Demoff is the son of agent Marvin Demoff. One of Marvin Demoff’s clients is Jeff Fisher. Oy.
Baseball signings:
— Astros gave Carlos Beltran $16M for one year; they’ve got a really good lineup but who is going to pitch for them?
— Giants signed closer Mark Melancon for four years, $62M.
— Toronto signed utility guy Steve Pearce for $6M or so a year.
— Rich Hill got $48M for three years from the Dodgers
— UConn 52, Syracuse 50— No wins are ugly, but this was not a well-played game.
— St John’s 76, Cal-Northridge 70– Chris Mullein’s Red Storm is 26-46 from the arc in their last two games.
--------------------------
Tuesday’s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……..
13) No one seems to know the whole story but it is difficult to fathom that Cam Newton was suspended for the first series of a game just because he didn’t have a tie on when he was supposed to— there almost has to be more to the story than that, as in the QB challenging the coach’s authority (more than once), and Sunday night, the coach showed who was boss in a very public way.
12) If you care about such things, so far this season, NBA teams playing the second night of a back/back are 39-46 vs spread when facing a team that didn’t play the night before.
11) Until Donald Trump gets sworn into office, the three wealthiest Presidents were: 1) George Washington 2) John Kennedy 3) Andrew Jackson.
10) Seattle Seahawks had 25 undrafted players on their roster Sunday night and only two #1 draft picks- next week it’ll probably be 26 undrafted players, with safety Earl Thomas done for the year with a broken leg.
9) Average clubhead speed for a PGA touring pro golfer: 109 mph. Average clubhead speed for an amateur golfer: 81 mph
8) You could have a bought a ticket to the Colts-Jets game Monday night for as little as $6 online. Parking probably cost five times that.
7) In 1972, Lafayette College had a freshman QB who was pretty good, but quit football to concentrate on his baseball career. You may have heard of him; Joe Maddon, now the world champion Cubs’ manager.
6) Players in the All-Star Game will be playing the game for $20,000 per man to the winning side, zero to the losing side. Will that be enough to make all of ‘em stick around to the end?
5) Eastern Washington’s basketball team is 6-2 with five straight wins; three of their last four wins came in overtime, with two of those three in double OT.
4) Purdue hired Western Kentucky football coach Jeff Brohm, who favors a wide-open offense. Purdue is a tough place to win in football; maybe he should’ve waited for a better job (Oregon)?
3) This is what college basketball was like before the shot clock; on December 22, 1969, Pete Maravich was 30-31 from the foul line. In one game. With no shot clock, great ball handlers dominated the game as soon as their team got the lead in the second half.
There was a Duke-North Carolina game a few years before the shot clock came in that was 7-0 at halftime. A basketball game was 7-0 at halftime. No bueno.
2) Letting quarterbacks sit and watch ain’t all bad; in his rookie year in the NFL, Tom Brady threw three passes. Three.
1— Two quick Los Angeles Ram notes:
a) When Case Keenum was QB this season, they converted 37.6% of their third down plays, not bad; in three games with Jared Goff under center, LA is 5-35 (14.3%) on third down. Of course, it would be nice if Goff’s receivers would catch the ball now and then; his first INT in Foxboro was a perfect pass that hit Lance Kendricks right in the hands but was tipped to a Patriot defender.
b) Rams’ senior executive Kevin Demoff is the son of agent Marvin Demoff. One of Marvin Demoff’s clients is Jeff Fisher. Oy.
Seahawks sink sports books
December 5, 2016
The 13th week of the NFL season was laid out perfectly for the Las Vegas sports books to end their losing ways, but for the sixth time in seven weeks they found themselves break even or in the red to continue one of the worst NFL stretches the books have ever seen as favorites ended up going 9-4 against the spread. Yes, it's been a very joyful holiday season for bettors.
The NFL has been one of the most reliable sources of income for sports books over the years because the spreads are so sound, usually. It rests with each and every football player being professional with the worst teams never being as bad as their record and the rising spreads on good teams catching up with them.
Baseball is the most volatile of any sport and when July comes around with it being the only major sport in action, the books hold their breath with hopes of going unscathed until NFL preseason begins in August which lessens the interest in MLB betting. The NBA is up and down as is college basketball until March Madness starts which generally produces the most consistent win of all the months.
But as a whole, the four months of the NFL regular season is very consistent and it's a major part of the casinos making budget or not in the final quarter and year. The sports book is only a few percentage points of overall casino win, but as the bean-counters tally up all the expected win from table games and slots, the unpredictable books can come to the rescue with strong NFL win to save the day with a few extra million in win. That little bit of extra win offered by the books is sometimes the difference between the entire executive committee making annual bonuses or not.
So everyone from the within the bonus structure of a hotel and casino has a rooting interest for the books to do well and eagerly look for those big six-figure wins from the wild card of the sports books on Monday morning's flash report reviewing revenues gained Sunday. There's a ton of pressure for the books to do well from all levels of the casino.
Week 14 had all the ingredients for the books to do well. They started Thursday off with a win when the Cowboys (-3) didn't cover in a 17-15 win at Minnesota. The lowly Browns were in a bye week and the two other ugly teams -- Chicago and San Francisco -- were playing each other. The popular Patriots (-13) were also large enough favorites to make its regular bettors shy away. And unlike last week, there weren't a whole slew of game hovering around 7 to make teasers heavily bet.
But the bettors managed to find other teams to support and over the long haul of the day, they managed to come out ahead again.
"We basically traded wins and losses all day," said MGM Resorts VP of race and sports Jay Rood. " The Packers and Denver were our biggest losses and we didn't have a win close to those losses.
"And Denver was the worst. We had a lot of big money-line parlays tied into them."
It didn't matter to bettors that the Broncos were playing without starting QB Trevor Siemian, they were betting against the 2-9 Jaguars and they were correct with Denver's 20-10 win. The Broncos became even more attractive on the odds board for bettors when the number dropped from -5 to -3.5 with Paxton Lynch starting.
The Packers (-6.5) had come up with a big Monday night win in Week 12 after a four game losing streak and when bettors saw Brock Osweiler and the Texans playing on the road in snowy conditions, they opened their arms up again to the popular Packers in their wagering equation and got paid in Green Bay's 21-13 win.
Most books had beat out enough parlays from the eight morning games on the day to go into the afternoon's four games with a profit. There was mixed play in three of the late games, but one giant game of risk that almost everyone seemed to be riding.
"We had a nice cushion early," said Westgate SuperBook VP Jay Kornegay," then going into the afternoon we we're big Bills fans and that didn't work out so well. We gave back some of the morning win back. We went 3-1 in the afternoon but the Raiders loss was our biggest of the day,"
The Raiders (-3) once again showed how resilient they are coming back from a 24-9 third-quarter deficit to win 38-24 over the Bills, which at 10-2 now technically gives them the No. 1 seed in the AFC. The last time Oakland won at least 10 games was in 2002, the last time they made the playoffs. They also went to the Super Bowl.
After grinding out the first 12 games on the day, the sports book losing streak rested on the shoulders on the Panthers at Seattle in the Sunday night game.
"We need Carolina to cover (+8.5) to be a tiny winner on the day," said Station Casinossports book director Jason McCormick before kickoff.
The confidence level of the books took a quick turn south when seeing back-up QB Derek Anderson start the game for Carolina because Cam Newton defied the team dress code by not wearing a tie to the stadium. Coach Ron Rivera benched him for the first series for the infraction which lasted one play ending in an Anderson interception and leading to a 3-0 Seahawks lead. Seattle went on to roll in a 40-7 wipe out and put salt in the books wound by kicking a field goal with 3:38 remaining to go Over the total of 44.5. It was the worst possible scenario of the four combinations for the books.
It's back to the drawing board for the weary books in Week 14 and the Browns are back in play with a visit from the Bengals (-4.5) who finally came out of their in Week 13 shell with and impressive offensive showing against the Eagles.
December 5, 2016
The 13th week of the NFL season was laid out perfectly for the Las Vegas sports books to end their losing ways, but for the sixth time in seven weeks they found themselves break even or in the red to continue one of the worst NFL stretches the books have ever seen as favorites ended up going 9-4 against the spread. Yes, it's been a very joyful holiday season for bettors.
The NFL has been one of the most reliable sources of income for sports books over the years because the spreads are so sound, usually. It rests with each and every football player being professional with the worst teams never being as bad as their record and the rising spreads on good teams catching up with them.
Baseball is the most volatile of any sport and when July comes around with it being the only major sport in action, the books hold their breath with hopes of going unscathed until NFL preseason begins in August which lessens the interest in MLB betting. The NBA is up and down as is college basketball until March Madness starts which generally produces the most consistent win of all the months.
But as a whole, the four months of the NFL regular season is very consistent and it's a major part of the casinos making budget or not in the final quarter and year. The sports book is only a few percentage points of overall casino win, but as the bean-counters tally up all the expected win from table games and slots, the unpredictable books can come to the rescue with strong NFL win to save the day with a few extra million in win. That little bit of extra win offered by the books is sometimes the difference between the entire executive committee making annual bonuses or not.
So everyone from the within the bonus structure of a hotel and casino has a rooting interest for the books to do well and eagerly look for those big six-figure wins from the wild card of the sports books on Monday morning's flash report reviewing revenues gained Sunday. There's a ton of pressure for the books to do well from all levels of the casino.
Week 14 had all the ingredients for the books to do well. They started Thursday off with a win when the Cowboys (-3) didn't cover in a 17-15 win at Minnesota. The lowly Browns were in a bye week and the two other ugly teams -- Chicago and San Francisco -- were playing each other. The popular Patriots (-13) were also large enough favorites to make its regular bettors shy away. And unlike last week, there weren't a whole slew of game hovering around 7 to make teasers heavily bet.
But the bettors managed to find other teams to support and over the long haul of the day, they managed to come out ahead again.
"We basically traded wins and losses all day," said MGM Resorts VP of race and sports Jay Rood. " The Packers and Denver were our biggest losses and we didn't have a win close to those losses.
"And Denver was the worst. We had a lot of big money-line parlays tied into them."
It didn't matter to bettors that the Broncos were playing without starting QB Trevor Siemian, they were betting against the 2-9 Jaguars and they were correct with Denver's 20-10 win. The Broncos became even more attractive on the odds board for bettors when the number dropped from -5 to -3.5 with Paxton Lynch starting.
The Packers (-6.5) had come up with a big Monday night win in Week 12 after a four game losing streak and when bettors saw Brock Osweiler and the Texans playing on the road in snowy conditions, they opened their arms up again to the popular Packers in their wagering equation and got paid in Green Bay's 21-13 win.
Most books had beat out enough parlays from the eight morning games on the day to go into the afternoon's four games with a profit. There was mixed play in three of the late games, but one giant game of risk that almost everyone seemed to be riding.
"We had a nice cushion early," said Westgate SuperBook VP Jay Kornegay," then going into the afternoon we we're big Bills fans and that didn't work out so well. We gave back some of the morning win back. We went 3-1 in the afternoon but the Raiders loss was our biggest of the day,"
The Raiders (-3) once again showed how resilient they are coming back from a 24-9 third-quarter deficit to win 38-24 over the Bills, which at 10-2 now technically gives them the No. 1 seed in the AFC. The last time Oakland won at least 10 games was in 2002, the last time they made the playoffs. They also went to the Super Bowl.
After grinding out the first 12 games on the day, the sports book losing streak rested on the shoulders on the Panthers at Seattle in the Sunday night game.
"We need Carolina to cover (+8.5) to be a tiny winner on the day," said Station Casinossports book director Jason McCormick before kickoff.
The confidence level of the books took a quick turn south when seeing back-up QB Derek Anderson start the game for Carolina because Cam Newton defied the team dress code by not wearing a tie to the stadium. Coach Ron Rivera benched him for the first series for the infraction which lasted one play ending in an Anderson interception and leading to a 3-0 Seahawks lead. Seattle went on to roll in a 40-7 wipe out and put salt in the books wound by kicking a field goal with 3:38 remaining to go Over the total of 44.5. It was the worst possible scenario of the four combinations for the books.
It's back to the drawing board for the weary books in Week 14 and the Browns are back in play with a visit from the Bengals (-4.5) who finally came out of their in Week 13 shell with and impressive offensive showing against the Eagles.
NFL THURS- MONDAY RECORD AND BEST BETS:
12/01/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
12/04/2016 15-10-1 60.00% +2000
12/05/2016 0-2-0 0.00% -1100
WLT PCT UNITS
ATS Picks 106-123-8 46.29% -14650
O/U Picks 104-125-6 45.41% -16750
Triple Plays:..... 51 - 58 - 4
BIG PLAYS FOR OCT/NOV 5 - 8 - 1
BIG PLAYS FOR DEC. 4 - 2
12/04 - 1 - 0 NFL DOG # 1 KANSAS CITY + 4' 29/ N. ORLEANS 28
12/04 - 1 - 0 NFL SNOW FAVORITE OF THE DAY G. BAY - 6 21 / HOUSTON 13
12/04- 1 - 0 NFL TOTAL OF THE DAY. UN 44 SAN FRAN/ CHICAGO 26 - 6
12/04 - 0 - 1 NFL DOG # 2 BUFFALO + 3 24 / OAKLAND 38
12/04 - 1 - 0 NFL DOG # 3 TAMPA + 3' 28 / SAN DIEGO 21
12/04 - 0 - 1 NFL DOG # 4 WASHINGTON + 2' 23 / ARIZONA 31
12/01/2016 1-1-0 50.00% -50
12/04/2016 15-10-1 60.00% +2000
12/05/2016 0-2-0 0.00% -1100
WLT PCT UNITS
ATS Picks 106-123-8 46.29% -14650
O/U Picks 104-125-6 45.41% -16750
Triple Plays:..... 51 - 58 - 4
BIG PLAYS FOR OCT/NOV 5 - 8 - 1
BIG PLAYS FOR DEC. 4 - 2
12/04 - 1 - 0 NFL DOG # 1 KANSAS CITY + 4' 29/ N. ORLEANS 28
12/04 - 1 - 0 NFL SNOW FAVORITE OF THE DAY G. BAY - 6 21 / HOUSTON 13
12/04- 1 - 0 NFL TOTAL OF THE DAY. UN 44 SAN FRAN/ CHICAGO 26 - 6
12/04 - 0 - 1 NFL DOG # 2 BUFFALO + 3 24 / OAKLAND 38
12/04 - 1 - 0 NFL DOG # 3 TAMPA + 3' 28 / SAN DIEGO 21
12/04 - 0 - 1 NFL DOG # 4 WASHINGTON + 2' 23 / ARIZONA 31
I RAN THIS ARTICLE AT THE BEGINING OF THE MONTH....BUT HERE IT IS AGAIN MID WAY THRU DEC.
Trends To Watch - December
December 1, 2016
And down the stretch they come.
With December upon us, the 2016 NFL season heads in to the final quarter of the season and with it our final take on monthly teams trends, compliments of the 2016 PLAYBOOK Football Preview magazine.
Please note that all trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless noted otherwise.
Enjoy the holidays… and the team trends.
HOME TEAMS
Good: Seattle is the best December home club over the years with sterling 35-17 ATS record. In their quest to gain no lower than a No.2 seed in the NFC, the Seahawks will face Carolina (12/4) and division rivals Los Angeles (12/15) and Arizona (12/24).
Keep an eye on (Good): NFC champion Carolina is having awful season, but they have performed well in December with 17-7 ATS record and has San Diego (12/11) and Atlanta (12/24) visiting Charlotte.
Cincinnati (38-23 ATS) and Houston (17-10 ATS) have been quite profitable in the final month of the season. Bengals get two shots at improving record, against Philadelphia (12/4) and Pittsburgh (12/18), with the Bengals having back to back contests with Jacksonville (12/18) and Cincy (12/24).
Despite often facing big numbers at Lambeau Field, Green Bay has pounded out 32-19 ATS mark. The Packers will welcome three visitors to the frozen tundra in the Texans (12/4), Seattle (12/11) and Minnesota (12/24).
Lastly, Pittsburgh is 38-23 ATS at Heinz Field and says "hello" the Giants on first Sunday of the month and Baltimore on Christmas.
Keep an eye on (Bad): Cleveland is running out of chances to win a game and is only 13-22 ATS at home and has in-state rival Cincinnati (12/11) and San Diego (12/24) in town in search of a victory.
As good as New Orleans has been in the Dome during the Drew Brees era, they close the season at only 22-35 ATS in the bayou. They will see the Lions (12/4) and Tampa Bay (12/4) not too far from Bourbon Street.
Miami and Oakland have shown great improvement in 2016 and to make the playoffs will have to win this month and do better against the spread. The Dolphins are 24-39 ATS and have only Arizona in south Florida on the 11th. The Raiders are 21-36 ATS and will face Buffalo (12/4) and Indianapolis 20 days later.
AWAY TEAMS
Keep an eye on (Good): Carolina is 27-17 ATS as visitors, but given the kind of year they are having, not sure they will better record in the Great Northwest (12/4) or in D.C. on a Monday night (12/19).
Bad: Chicago has been pitiful in the road whites in the final month of the season at a sickly 16-35 ATS, but catch a break with only one assignment in the Motor City (12/11).
Keep an eye on (Bad): Dallas is having a great campaign and is a noted away squad, just not on December. The Cowboys will be out to change 23-37 ATS mark with trips to Minnesota (12/1) and in New York/Jersey against the Giants (12/11).
Tampa Bay is in the midst of improving and the next step is stepping up on the road in the final month and bettering 19-36 ATS record. The Bucs will have a trio of rugged adventures to San Diego (12/4), Dallas (12/18) and six days later in the Big Easy.
Bay Area brethren Oakland and San Francisco have been dreadful when leaving the home late in the season. The Raiders are 19-34 ATS and will be in Kansas City on the 8th and San Diego on 18th. The 49ers will play all over the place, in Chi-Town (12/4), Atlanta (12/18) and L.A. on Christmas Eve.
FAVORITES
Keep an eye on (Good): Seattle is sharp 28-18 ATS when handing out points this month and will be favored the rest of the way with possible exception in Green Bay (12/11).
Bad: Who is the least trusted favorite in December, none other than the Dolphins, who have only left coal in stockings with 22-48 ATS mark. Right now, only a game with the Cardinals on the 11th is a certainty to see them as favorites.
Keep an eye on (Bad): With no Tony Romo, Dallas is almost guaranteed to be a better favorite, as he contributed big time to 21-35 ATS record. Home games versus the Buccaneers and Lions will see the Boys as favorites.
If viewing Oakland's name for bad things is getting boring, just wait… there will be more. Da Raiders are 16-27 ATS when doling out the digits they will against the Bills (12/4) and Colts (12/24) and possibly in San Diego (12/18).
UNDERDOGS
Good: The Panthers have been a high quality moneymaking 30-14 ATS when receiving points. Ron Rivera's crew will have a couple chances to improve that record in Seattle (12/4) and at Washington (12/19).
Seattle is tremendous 40-20 ATS, but lone chance is in Packerland on the 11th and that open for discussion.
Keep an eye on (Good): Big Blue is 34-22 ATS as December dogs and might be twice in the Keystone State (Steelers for sure on the 4th, Philly iffy on the 24th).
With Philadelphia floundering, can they better 27-17 ATS mark as underdogs? We will find out, as they will catch points at Baltimore (12/18) and hard to say if they will in division home games versus the Redskins and Giants, on either side of Ravens contest.
Pittsburgh is 18-12 ATS as a pooch, but only possibilities of making record stronger is at Buffalo and Cincinnati in the middle contests of the month. Both are wait and see.
Keep an eye on (Bad): Who is unthinkable 21-40 ATS as underdogs, Da Bears! And after playing the Niners on the first Sunday, they will have chances the rest of season to do even worse.
The Raiders and Rams have something in common besides being vagabond franchises, they stink against the spread as underdogs. Oakland is 23-43 ATS and will be doggone dogs in K.C. on Thursday the 8th and maybe 10 days later where the Chargers still play. L.A. (22-38 ATS) will spend the first portion of the month receiving points before San Fran pays a visit to La-La Land.
DIVISION
Good: Carolina has torn up division foes to the tune of 28-13 ATS and will have second shot at the Falcons (12/24).
Keep an eye on (Good): Hugely disappointing season Arizona and bettering 29-19 ATS record when taking on Seattle on Christmas Eve only matters if they win the game.
Seattle posts a 30-17 ATS divisional mark and has a pair of non-Sunday affairs with the Rams (12/15) and Redbirds (12/24). One step behind is New England at 30-18 ATS and they will have one more with Gang Green (12/24).
Bad: Miami will have to overcome itself in the AFC East, with 18-36 ATS record and will have to travel to the Jets and Bills in Weeks 15 and 16.
Keep an eye on (Bad): The battling Browns are 10-18 ATS in division action and realistically, their lone remaining shot at a 'W' will be home game against the Bengals (12/11) coming of a bye.
The Rams are hardly rambunctious at 20-30 ATS and will be in Coffee Town (12/15) and the Coliseum vs. the 49ers in search of wins and covers.
Thought we would close this out the right way, with Oakland, who is 21-33 ATS in December division battles and as mentioned previously, several times, have the Chiefs and Chargers in Weeks 14 and 15.
Trends To Watch - December
December 1, 2016
And down the stretch they come.
With December upon us, the 2016 NFL season heads in to the final quarter of the season and with it our final take on monthly teams trends, compliments of the 2016 PLAYBOOK Football Preview magazine.
Please note that all trends are ATS (Against The Spread) unless noted otherwise.
Enjoy the holidays… and the team trends.
HOME TEAMS
Good: Seattle is the best December home club over the years with sterling 35-17 ATS record. In their quest to gain no lower than a No.2 seed in the NFC, the Seahawks will face Carolina (12/4) and division rivals Los Angeles (12/15) and Arizona (12/24).
Keep an eye on (Good): NFC champion Carolina is having awful season, but they have performed well in December with 17-7 ATS record and has San Diego (12/11) and Atlanta (12/24) visiting Charlotte.
Cincinnati (38-23 ATS) and Houston (17-10 ATS) have been quite profitable in the final month of the season. Bengals get two shots at improving record, against Philadelphia (12/4) and Pittsburgh (12/18), with the Bengals having back to back contests with Jacksonville (12/18) and Cincy (12/24).
Despite often facing big numbers at Lambeau Field, Green Bay has pounded out 32-19 ATS mark. The Packers will welcome three visitors to the frozen tundra in the Texans (12/4), Seattle (12/11) and Minnesota (12/24).
Lastly, Pittsburgh is 38-23 ATS at Heinz Field and says "hello" the Giants on first Sunday of the month and Baltimore on Christmas.
Keep an eye on (Bad): Cleveland is running out of chances to win a game and is only 13-22 ATS at home and has in-state rival Cincinnati (12/11) and San Diego (12/24) in town in search of a victory.
As good as New Orleans has been in the Dome during the Drew Brees era, they close the season at only 22-35 ATS in the bayou. They will see the Lions (12/4) and Tampa Bay (12/4) not too far from Bourbon Street.
Miami and Oakland have shown great improvement in 2016 and to make the playoffs will have to win this month and do better against the spread. The Dolphins are 24-39 ATS and have only Arizona in south Florida on the 11th. The Raiders are 21-36 ATS and will face Buffalo (12/4) and Indianapolis 20 days later.
AWAY TEAMS
Keep an eye on (Good): Carolina is 27-17 ATS as visitors, but given the kind of year they are having, not sure they will better record in the Great Northwest (12/4) or in D.C. on a Monday night (12/19).
Bad: Chicago has been pitiful in the road whites in the final month of the season at a sickly 16-35 ATS, but catch a break with only one assignment in the Motor City (12/11).
Keep an eye on (Bad): Dallas is having a great campaign and is a noted away squad, just not on December. The Cowboys will be out to change 23-37 ATS mark with trips to Minnesota (12/1) and in New York/Jersey against the Giants (12/11).
Tampa Bay is in the midst of improving and the next step is stepping up on the road in the final month and bettering 19-36 ATS record. The Bucs will have a trio of rugged adventures to San Diego (12/4), Dallas (12/18) and six days later in the Big Easy.
Bay Area brethren Oakland and San Francisco have been dreadful when leaving the home late in the season. The Raiders are 19-34 ATS and will be in Kansas City on the 8th and San Diego on 18th. The 49ers will play all over the place, in Chi-Town (12/4), Atlanta (12/18) and L.A. on Christmas Eve.
FAVORITES
Keep an eye on (Good): Seattle is sharp 28-18 ATS when handing out points this month and will be favored the rest of the way with possible exception in Green Bay (12/11).
Bad: Who is the least trusted favorite in December, none other than the Dolphins, who have only left coal in stockings with 22-48 ATS mark. Right now, only a game with the Cardinals on the 11th is a certainty to see them as favorites.
Keep an eye on (Bad): With no Tony Romo, Dallas is almost guaranteed to be a better favorite, as he contributed big time to 21-35 ATS record. Home games versus the Buccaneers and Lions will see the Boys as favorites.
If viewing Oakland's name for bad things is getting boring, just wait… there will be more. Da Raiders are 16-27 ATS when doling out the digits they will against the Bills (12/4) and Colts (12/24) and possibly in San Diego (12/18).
UNDERDOGS
Good: The Panthers have been a high quality moneymaking 30-14 ATS when receiving points. Ron Rivera's crew will have a couple chances to improve that record in Seattle (12/4) and at Washington (12/19).
Seattle is tremendous 40-20 ATS, but lone chance is in Packerland on the 11th and that open for discussion.
Keep an eye on (Good): Big Blue is 34-22 ATS as December dogs and might be twice in the Keystone State (Steelers for sure on the 4th, Philly iffy on the 24th).
With Philadelphia floundering, can they better 27-17 ATS mark as underdogs? We will find out, as they will catch points at Baltimore (12/18) and hard to say if they will in division home games versus the Redskins and Giants, on either side of Ravens contest.
Pittsburgh is 18-12 ATS as a pooch, but only possibilities of making record stronger is at Buffalo and Cincinnati in the middle contests of the month. Both are wait and see.
Keep an eye on (Bad): Who is unthinkable 21-40 ATS as underdogs, Da Bears! And after playing the Niners on the first Sunday, they will have chances the rest of season to do even worse.
The Raiders and Rams have something in common besides being vagabond franchises, they stink against the spread as underdogs. Oakland is 23-43 ATS and will be doggone dogs in K.C. on Thursday the 8th and maybe 10 days later where the Chargers still play. L.A. (22-38 ATS) will spend the first portion of the month receiving points before San Fran pays a visit to La-La Land.
DIVISION
Good: Carolina has torn up division foes to the tune of 28-13 ATS and will have second shot at the Falcons (12/24).
Keep an eye on (Good): Hugely disappointing season Arizona and bettering 29-19 ATS record when taking on Seattle on Christmas Eve only matters if they win the game.
Seattle posts a 30-17 ATS divisional mark and has a pair of non-Sunday affairs with the Rams (12/15) and Redbirds (12/24). One step behind is New England at 30-18 ATS and they will have one more with Gang Green (12/24).
Bad: Miami will have to overcome itself in the AFC East, with 18-36 ATS record and will have to travel to the Jets and Bills in Weeks 15 and 16.
Keep an eye on (Bad): The battling Browns are 10-18 ATS in division action and realistically, their lone remaining shot at a 'W' will be home game against the Bengals (12/11) coming of a bye.
The Rams are hardly rambunctious at 20-30 ATS and will be in Coffee Town (12/15) and the Coliseum vs. the 49ers in search of wins and covers.
Thought we would close this out the right way, with Oakland, who is 21-33 ATS in December division battles and as mentioned previously, several times, have the Chiefs and Chargers in Weeks 14 and 15.
Thursday’s six-pack
— Ian Desmond signs with Colorado for five years, $70M; he is expected to play 1B, unless the Rockies trade one of their OFs.
— White Sox traded Adam Eaton to Washington; they got four prospects in return. Eaton is overvalued by the sabermetric guys.
— Colorado 68, Xavier 66— Important win for the Pac-12.
— Grand Canyon 76, San Diego State 72— Very bad loss for the Mountain West.
— Aroldis Chapman gets $86M for five years to be the closer in the Bronx.
— Cubs replace Chapman by trading Jorge Soler to the Royals for Wade Davis.
Thursday’s List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud
13) Used to be I bought the NBA League Pass in part just to watch the Warriors play; their games were so much fun and Golden State has long played a wide-open, entertaining style.
Now that Kevin Durant stuffed the ballot box in trying to win a championship ring, Golden State isn’t fun to watch anymore; they’ve already won eight games by 23+ points. Close games are fun to watch; when it is 70-43 in the second quarter, not so much.
12) That said, Klay Thompson scored 60 points against Indiana Monday night; he made 21 baskets. On the 21 touches where he scored those hoops, he dribbled a total of 11 times. Catch-and-shoot…..get open and drill a jumper.
Kids who are interesting in learning the right way to play should watch Thompson and Steph Curry; they are so fundamentally sound in getting open and teammates give them great passes.
11) It is a good week to play basketball for Duke; they played Florida in New York City Tuesday and now they’re going to Las Vegas to play UNLV Saturday. Pretty good week for a college kid.
10) During the Jet game Monday night, Jon Gruden seemed annoyed that Baylor’s football team doesn’t have an actual playbook; he mentioned it more than once. It is a little unusual.
Speaking of Baylor and the Jets, Bryce Petty will start the Jets’ last four games, which seems like a good idea. At least they can get an idea if he’s good enough to be their QB moving forward.
9) Odd Fact of the Day: Detroit Lions and Miami Dolphins both have only one home loss this season, both to the Tennessee Titans. Wouldn’t have guessed that.
8) This is crazy; LSU defensive coordinator Dave Aranda will make $5.5M over the next three years- thats almost $2M a year, and he isn’t the head coach!!!
7) Former Alabama QB Blake Barnett, who started the Crimson Tide’s first game this year, has transferred to Arizona State
6) LA Clippers played 21 games in the first 36 days of the season; this week was the first time since October they two off days in a row.
5) Before the Lions won in New Orleans Sunday, they had lost 22 road games in row the week after Thanksgiving. Figuring Detroit usually has three extra days to prepare after playing on Thanksgiving Day, losing 22 games in a row is pretty dismal, even if they were all road games.
4) Over their last eight games, Jacksonville Jaguars are -16 (2-18) in turnovers.
3) Indiana State 72, Butler 71— Sycamore fans stormed the court after this upset, which happened on Larry Bird’s 60th birthday.
2) Supposedly, Sylvester Stallone wrote the original Rocky screenplay in 3.5 days.
1— I mentioned this a few weeks ago, but only in passing; here are the Jets’ last five coaches, with their record in their first season, and then their record the rest of their time with the Jets:
Al Groh: 9-7, left after one year
Herm Edwards: 10-6, 29-35
Eric Mangini: 10-6, 13-19
Rex Ryan: 9-7, 37-43
Todd Bowles: 10-6, 3-9
I can’t think of a reason why this is, except that there is incredible negativity involved in the New York press when it comes to the Jets, and it spreads to the fans. Once things start to go bad, it gets worse quickly.
— Ian Desmond signs with Colorado for five years, $70M; he is expected to play 1B, unless the Rockies trade one of their OFs.
— White Sox traded Adam Eaton to Washington; they got four prospects in return. Eaton is overvalued by the sabermetric guys.
— Colorado 68, Xavier 66— Important win for the Pac-12.
— Grand Canyon 76, San Diego State 72— Very bad loss for the Mountain West.
— Aroldis Chapman gets $86M for five years to be the closer in the Bronx.
— Cubs replace Chapman by trading Jorge Soler to the Royals for Wade Davis.
Thursday’s List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud
13) Used to be I bought the NBA League Pass in part just to watch the Warriors play; their games were so much fun and Golden State has long played a wide-open, entertaining style.
Now that Kevin Durant stuffed the ballot box in trying to win a championship ring, Golden State isn’t fun to watch anymore; they’ve already won eight games by 23+ points. Close games are fun to watch; when it is 70-43 in the second quarter, not so much.
12) That said, Klay Thompson scored 60 points against Indiana Monday night; he made 21 baskets. On the 21 touches where he scored those hoops, he dribbled a total of 11 times. Catch-and-shoot…..get open and drill a jumper.
Kids who are interesting in learning the right way to play should watch Thompson and Steph Curry; they are so fundamentally sound in getting open and teammates give them great passes.
11) It is a good week to play basketball for Duke; they played Florida in New York City Tuesday and now they’re going to Las Vegas to play UNLV Saturday. Pretty good week for a college kid.
10) During the Jet game Monday night, Jon Gruden seemed annoyed that Baylor’s football team doesn’t have an actual playbook; he mentioned it more than once. It is a little unusual.
Speaking of Baylor and the Jets, Bryce Petty will start the Jets’ last four games, which seems like a good idea. At least they can get an idea if he’s good enough to be their QB moving forward.
9) Odd Fact of the Day: Detroit Lions and Miami Dolphins both have only one home loss this season, both to the Tennessee Titans. Wouldn’t have guessed that.
8) This is crazy; LSU defensive coordinator Dave Aranda will make $5.5M over the next three years- thats almost $2M a year, and he isn’t the head coach!!!
7) Former Alabama QB Blake Barnett, who started the Crimson Tide’s first game this year, has transferred to Arizona State
6) LA Clippers played 21 games in the first 36 days of the season; this week was the first time since October they two off days in a row.
5) Before the Lions won in New Orleans Sunday, they had lost 22 road games in row the week after Thanksgiving. Figuring Detroit usually has three extra days to prepare after playing on Thanksgiving Day, losing 22 games in a row is pretty dismal, even if they were all road games.
4) Over their last eight games, Jacksonville Jaguars are -16 (2-18) in turnovers.
3) Indiana State 72, Butler 71— Sycamore fans stormed the court after this upset, which happened on Larry Bird’s 60th birthday.
2) Supposedly, Sylvester Stallone wrote the original Rocky screenplay in 3.5 days.
1— I mentioned this a few weeks ago, but only in passing; here are the Jets’ last five coaches, with their record in their first season, and then their record the rest of their time with the Jets:
Al Groh: 9-7, left after one year
Herm Edwards: 10-6, 29-35
Eric Mangini: 10-6, 13-19
Rex Ryan: 9-7, 37-43
Todd Bowles: 10-6, 3-9
I can’t think of a reason why this is, except that there is incredible negativity involved in the New York press when it comes to the Jets, and it spreads to the fans. Once things start to go bad, it gets worse quickly.
Tech Trends - Week 14
December 7, 2016
THURSDAY, DEC. 8
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
OAKLAND at KANSAS CITY (NBC/NFL Network, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Road-oriented series with visitor 16-5 vs. line since 2006. Raiders 6-0 SU and vs. line away in 2016, now 12-2 vs. spread on road since Del Rio arrived LY. Chiefs 1-7 vs. spread last 8 at Arrowhead.
Tech Edge: Chiefs, based on team trends.
SUNDAY, DEC. 11
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
DENVER at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Broncos 10-4 vs. spread last 14 on board. Titans “over” 9-3 TY and 12-3 last 15 since late 2015.
Tech Edge: Broncos and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
SAN DIEGO at CAROLINA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Bolts 3-2 as road dog this season, 23-10 last 33 in role since 2012. Also “over” 9-3-1 last 13 since late last season. Panthers on 3-9-1 spread skid since late 2015.
Tech Edge: Chargers and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
HOUSTON at INDIANAPOLIS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Texans 1-5 SU and vs. spread on road this season. Indy 5-2-1 last seven vs. spread and 5-1-2 last eight on board in series. Colts “over” 9-4 last 13.
Tech Edge: Colts and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
CINCINNATI at CLEVELAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Browns of course still winless SU but have now also failed to cover six straight. Bengals had also dropped four straight before last week’s win over Eagles and have not covered first seven away from Paul Brown Stadium TY (counts London game vs. Redskins). But Cincy has won and covered last four in series.
Tech Edge: Slight to Bengals, based on team and series trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
PITTSBURGH at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Bills “over” 9-3 this season though Steelers “under 9-3 in 2016. Steel has won and covered three in a row.
Tech Edge: Slight to Steelers, based on recent trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
ARIZONA at MIAMI (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Cards 1-5 SU and vs. line last six on road. Big Red also “over” 7 straight on road. Miami has won last 4 SU at home (3-1 vs. line in those), also 5-2 vs. spread last 7 TY.
Tech Edge: Dolphins and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
CHICAGO at DETROIT (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Lions have won and covered last four TY and are 6-1-1 last eight on board since Oct. 2l loss at Chicago. Bears 1-5 vs. line away TY. Detroit also “under” 8-4 TY, Bears “under” 7-4-1 TY.
Tech Edge: Lions and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
MINNESOTA at JACKSONVILLE (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Vikes have covered 2 of last 3 TY but 1-6 SU last 7 in 201. Vikes “under” 8-4 this season and 13-7 last 20 on board. Jags 2-7 vs. spread last nine as host.
Tech Edge: Slight to Vikings and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Birds no wins or covers last 3m 5 of last 6, 7 of last 9 this season. Though they are 4-1 SU and vs. spread at Linc. Jay Gruden “over” 15-2 last 17 since late 2015, and “overs” 6-2 last eight in series.
Tech Edge: Redskins and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NY JETS at SAN FRANCISCO (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Niners 0-11 SU, 2-9 vs. line last 11 since opening win over Rams. No covers last five at Levi’s Stadium, also “over” four straight at home. Jets, however only 3-7 last 10 vs. number TY.
Tech Edge: “Over” and Bucs, based on “totals” and team trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NEW ORLEANS at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Bucs hot with wins and covers last four, Bucs have also won and covered last two at home after dropping six in a row SU and vs. line at Raymond James. Saints 5-0 as dog this season and 12-3-1 last 16 in role.
Tech Edge: Slight to Saints, based on extended dog mark.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
SEATTLE at GREEN BAY (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Four SU wins in a row (3-1 vs. line) for host in this series. Seahawks only 3-4 vs. line last seven away. Pete Carroll 19-4 SU in December since 2011, but Pack 17-5 in role Pack wins and covers last two this season.
Tech Edge: Pack, based on series home trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
ATLANTA at LOS ANGELES (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Rams 1-5-2 vs. spread last seven this season. Fisher also “under” 8-4 in 2016 and 22-9-1 last 32 on board. Falcs, however “over” 10-2 this season and 5-1 SU and vs. spread on road.
Tech Edge: Falcons, based on team trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
DALLAS at NY GIANTS (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Dak no covers last two after nine Ws in a row previous. G-Men 3-0-1 vs. spread last four in series, also 5-1 SU at home this season. Series had gone “over” five straight prior to TY’s opener.
Tech Edge: Slight to Giants and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
MONDAY, DEC. 12
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
BALTIMORE at NEW ENGLAND (ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Ravens 4-1 SU and vs. line last five this season, Patriots only 2-2 vs. line last four after four straight covers. Pats “under” 9-4 last 13 since late 2015.
Tech Edge: Slight to Ravens, based on recent trends.
December 7, 2016
THURSDAY, DEC. 8
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
OAKLAND at KANSAS CITY (NBC/NFL Network, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Road-oriented series with visitor 16-5 vs. line since 2006. Raiders 6-0 SU and vs. line away in 2016, now 12-2 vs. spread on road since Del Rio arrived LY. Chiefs 1-7 vs. spread last 8 at Arrowhead.
Tech Edge: Chiefs, based on team trends.
SUNDAY, DEC. 11
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
DENVER at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Broncos 10-4 vs. spread last 14 on board. Titans “over” 9-3 TY and 12-3 last 15 since late 2015.
Tech Edge: Broncos and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
SAN DIEGO at CAROLINA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Bolts 3-2 as road dog this season, 23-10 last 33 in role since 2012. Also “over” 9-3-1 last 13 since late last season. Panthers on 3-9-1 spread skid since late 2015.
Tech Edge: Chargers and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
HOUSTON at INDIANAPOLIS (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Texans 1-5 SU and vs. spread on road this season. Indy 5-2-1 last seven vs. spread and 5-1-2 last eight on board in series. Colts “over” 9-4 last 13.
Tech Edge: Colts and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
CINCINNATI at CLEVELAND (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Browns of course still winless SU but have now also failed to cover six straight. Bengals had also dropped four straight before last week’s win over Eagles and have not covered first seven away from Paul Brown Stadium TY (counts London game vs. Redskins). But Cincy has won and covered last four in series.
Tech Edge: Slight to Bengals, based on team and series trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
PITTSBURGH at BUFFALO (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Bills “over” 9-3 this season though Steelers “under 9-3 in 2016. Steel has won and covered three in a row.
Tech Edge: Slight to Steelers, based on recent trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
ARIZONA at MIAMI (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Cards 1-5 SU and vs. line last six on road. Big Red also “over” 7 straight on road. Miami has won last 4 SU at home (3-1 vs. line in those), also 5-2 vs. spread last 7 TY.
Tech Edge: Dolphins and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
CHICAGO at DETROIT (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Lions have won and covered last four TY and are 6-1-1 last eight on board since Oct. 2l loss at Chicago. Bears 1-5 vs. line away TY. Detroit also “under” 8-4 TY, Bears “under” 7-4-1 TY.
Tech Edge: Lions and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
MINNESOTA at JACKSONVILLE (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Vikes have covered 2 of last 3 TY but 1-6 SU last 7 in 201. Vikes “under” 8-4 this season and 13-7 last 20 on board. Jags 2-7 vs. spread last nine as host.
Tech Edge: Slight to Vikings and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
WASHINGTON at PHILADELPHIA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Birds no wins or covers last 3m 5 of last 6, 7 of last 9 this season. Though they are 4-1 SU and vs. spread at Linc. Jay Gruden “over” 15-2 last 17 since late 2015, and “overs” 6-2 last eight in series.
Tech Edge: Redskins and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NY JETS at SAN FRANCISCO (CBS, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Niners 0-11 SU, 2-9 vs. line last 11 since opening win over Rams. No covers last five at Levi’s Stadium, also “over” four straight at home. Jets, however only 3-7 last 10 vs. number TY.
Tech Edge: “Over” and Bucs, based on “totals” and team trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
NEW ORLEANS at TAMPA BAY (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Bucs hot with wins and covers last four, Bucs have also won and covered last two at home after dropping six in a row SU and vs. line at Raymond James. Saints 5-0 as dog this season and 12-3-1 last 16 in role.
Tech Edge: Slight to Saints, based on extended dog mark.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
SEATTLE at GREEN BAY (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Four SU wins in a row (3-1 vs. line) for host in this series. Seahawks only 3-4 vs. line last seven away. Pete Carroll 19-4 SU in December since 2011, but Pack 17-5 in role Pack wins and covers last two this season.
Tech Edge: Pack, based on series home trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
ATLANTA at LOS ANGELES (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Rams 1-5-2 vs. spread last seven this season. Fisher also “under” 8-4 in 2016 and 22-9-1 last 32 on board. Falcs, however “over” 10-2 this season and 5-1 SU and vs. spread on road.
Tech Edge: Falcons, based on team trends.
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
DALLAS at NY GIANTS (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Dak no covers last two after nine Ws in a row previous. G-Men 3-0-1 vs. spread last four in series, also 5-1 SU at home this season. Series had gone “over” five straight prior to TY’s opener.
Tech Edge: Slight to Giants and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
MONDAY, DEC. 12
NFL Matchups NFL Matchups
BALTIMORE at NEW ENGLAND (ESPN, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Ravens 4-1 SU and vs. line last five this season, Patriots only 2-2 vs. line last four after four straight covers. Pats “under” 9-4 last 13 since late 2015.
Tech Edge: Slight to Ravens, based on recent trends.
Week 14
Raiders (10-2) @ Chiefs (9-3)— Long travel, short work week for Oakland; temps expected to be in 20’s. First place is up for grabs in AFC West; Chiefs won first meeting 26-10 (-1.5) in Oakland in Week 6- KC ran ball for 183 yards, was +2 in turnovers and shut Raiders out 13-0 in second half. Chiefs won six of last seven series games, with five of six wins by 14+ points. Oakland lost last three visits to Arrowhead by 17-18-6 points. Raiders won last six games overall (5-1 vs spread); they won/covered all five true road games this year, are 4-0 as road underdogs. Chiefs won seven of last eight games; they’re 4-1 at home, but 1-4 as home favorites, winning at Arrowhead by 6-21-6-5 points, with loss to Tampa Bay. Over is 10-2 in Raider games, 2-6 in last eight Chief games.
Broncos (8-4) @ Titans (6-6)— Denver is 7-1 in non-division games this year, with only loss in Week 5 to Atlanta; Broncos are 4-2 on road, 2-1 as road underdogs- they’re 5-29 (17.2%) on 3rd down in two games Lynch started, 57-137 (41.7%) in Siemian starts. Titans won three of last four home games, scoring 34.3 pts/game; they’re +6 in turnovers in last three games, with zero giveaways. Denver won five of last six series games in ’13; this is their first visit here in five years. Tennessee is 1-5 in last six post-bye games; they were an underdog in only two of those six games. AFC West non-divisional road teams are 15-3 vs spread, 9-3 as underdogs. AFC South home teams are 7-10, 5-4 as favorites. Four of last five Bronco road games stayed under total; eight of last nine Tennessee games went over.
Chargers (5-7) @ Panthers (4-8)— Carolina lost three of last four games, is out of playoff race after dismal 40-7 loss in Seattle where QB Newton was benched for first series- sounds like they’ve got internal issues. Visitor won four of last five series games; Carolina is 4-1 in last five games vs San Diego- teams split two meetings here. Chargers are 5-1 vs spread this year in game following a loss; they’re 2-4 on road, 3-2 as road underdogs, with wins at Atlanta and Houston (both domes). Carolina is 3-3 at home, 2-4 as a home favorite. NFC South non-divisional home favorites are 4-9 vs spread; AFC West road underdogs are 9-3. Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Charger games, 1-4 in Carolina’s last five home games. Philip Rivers started 52 games at NC State; this is first time he’s played in Charlotte since 2004.
Texans (6-6) @ Colts (6-6)— Short week for Indy after easy win Monday night in New Jersey. Colts are 1-3-1 vs spread this year in game following a win. Houston lost its last three games by 7-8-8 points, scoring 15.3 pts/game; they’re 1-5 on road, 1-4 as road underdogs, losing away games by 27-18-18-7-8 points, with win at Jacksonville- this is their 4th road game in last five weeks. Colts are 3-3 at home, 3-1 as home favorites. Texans won first meeting 26-23 in OT in Week 6, game they trailed 13-3 at half- Houston is 6-23 vs Indy, 2-6 in last eight meetings. Texans are are 1-13 in Indy, losing 16-10 here LY. Home favorites are 3-2 vs spread in AFC South divisional games. Under is 4-2 in last six Houston games, 3-0 in Colts’ last three home games.
Bengals (4-7-1) @ Browns (0-12)— Robert Griffin III is expected back at QB for Browns, who had last week off; Cleveland is 1-4-1 vs spread as a home underdog, losing home games by 5-20-3-25-15-14 points- they’re 6-5 vs spread in last 11 post-bye games. Bengals snapped 1-5-1 skid with rout of Eagles last week; they’re 1-5 in true road games, with only win 23-22 in Week 1 at the Jets. Cincy is 3-5 as a favorite this season; they won first meeting with Browns 31-17 (-9.5) in Week 7, running ball for 271 yards; total yardage was 559-352. Bengals won last four series games by average score of 32-8; they won last two visits here, 30-0/37-3. Favorites are 6-1 vs spread in AFC North games this year, 1-1 on road. Under is 3-1 in Bengals’ last four games, 4-0 in Cleveland’s last four.
Steelers (7-5) @ Bills (6-6)— Going to be a mixed crowd in Orchard Park for pivotal game in AFC playoff race. Pittsburgh won last five series games and nine of last ten, holding Buffalo to 11.2 pts/game in last five. Steelers won their last three visits here- their last loss in Buffalo was in ’99. Bills are 3-2 at home, 1-1 as home underdogs; they ran ball for 182.7 yds/game in three games since their bye, but they allowed 28+ points in four of last six games, have zero takeaways in last two games. Steelers won/covered last three games, allowing 10 pts/game; they’re 3-3 SU/ATS on road and were favored in all six games. AFC North non-divisional road teams are 5-10 vs spread, 3-4 in favored. AFC East home teams are 8-8, 4-3 as an underdog. Over is 9-2 in last 11 Buffalo games, 2-9 in Steelers’ last 11.
Cardinals (5-6-1) @ Dolphins (7-5)— Arizona is 1-4 on road this year, giving up 32.8 pts/game in losses; their only road win is at 1-11 SF. Redbirds scored five TDs on nine drives LW; they’re 4-1-1 if they don’t turn ball over, 1-5 if they do. Miami had 6-game win streak snapped LW by Ravens; Dolphins are 5-1 at home with only loss to Titans; they’re 1-3 as home favorites and needed OT to beat 0-12 Browns at home. Arizona won last three series games after an 0-8 skid vs Miami; Cardinals are 1-4 in Miami with only win in ’04. Three of last four series games were decided by 3 or less points. NFC West non-divisional road teams are 6-11 vs spread, 4-7 as underdogs. NFC East home teams are 8-8, 4-5 as favorites. Over is 4-2 in last six Arizona games, 4-1 in last five Dolphin games.
Bears (3-9) @ Lions (8-4)— Lions have a 2-game lead in NFC North; why does that make me nervous about them? Chicago (+3.5) upset Detroit 17-14 at home in Week 4, outgaining Lions 408-263; Detroit’s only TD came on a punt return. Bears’ win snapped 6-game series skid vs Lions, with last three series losses all by 6 or less points; Chicago lost its last three visits here, by 8-17-3 points. Bears are 0-6 on road this season, 1-4 as a road underdog, with losses on foreign soil by 9-14-6-16-26-6 points. Last week was first time this year; Detroit didn’t trail in 4th quarter. Lions won/covered last four games, are 5-1 at home, 3-2 as home favorite, winning by 1-3-3-7-3 points at home. NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 17-17-1 vs spread. Under is 6-0 in Lions’ last six games, 5-2 in Chicago’s last seven.
Vikings (6-6) @ Jaguars (2-10)— Coach Zimmer is back at practice this week, with patch over his eye; Minnesota lost six of last seven games after a 5-0 start- they lost last two games by a combined five points. Vikings lost their last four road games. Jax lost its last seven games (2-5 vs spread); they’re 0-5 at home, 0-4 vs spread in last four, with losses by 4-2-17-3-10 points. Jaguars are -16 in turnovers (2-18) in their last eight games- they’ve allowed four TD’s on offense/special teams in last four games. Vikings won four of five series games, winning 26-23 in OT in last meeting four years ago. Minnesota won its only visit here 30-12 in ’08. NFC North non divisional road teams are 8-10 vs spread, 1-4 as favorites. AFC South home teams are 7-10, 2-6 as underdogs. Under is 9-3 in Minnesota road games, 3-2 in Jags’ last five games.
Saints (5-7) @ Buccaneers (7-5)— New Orleans is 6-0 vs spread as an underdog this year, 4-0 on road. New Orleans is 0-5 when it scores less than 25 points. Tampa Bay has won four straight road games for first time ever, but they’re 2-4 at home. Bucs won/covered last four games overall, allowing only 14.3 pts/game the last three weeks. Tampa is 7-5 despite being favored in only two games (1-1) this season. Saints lost three of last four games, are 2-3 on road, with four of five games decided by 6 or less points. NO won eight of last nine series games, with last four decided by 7 or less points; Saints won last four visits here, by 7-2-3-7 points. Underdogs covered five of six NFC South divisional games this season. Under is 5-2 in Saints’ last seven games, 2-0-1 in Bucs’ last three.
Redskins (6-5-1) @ Eagles (5-7)— Washington won last four meetings with Philly, with average total in last five series games, 54.8; Redskins won first meeting this year 27-20 (+3) in Week 6, with only Eagle TDs scored by defense/special teams. Skins outgained Philly 493-239, ran ball for 230 yards- they’re 6-5 in last 11 visits here. Eagles lost seven of last nine games after a 3-0 start; Philly is 4-1 at home, with only loss to Packers two weeks ago- their last game with a positive turnover ratio was in Week 6. Washington allowed 31-31 points in losing its last couple games; they lost last three road games, by 3-5-8 points. Opponents are 21-39 on third down vs Washington the last three weeks. Underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in NFC East divisional games this season. Over is 10-2 in Washington games, 0-5 in Eagle home games.
Jets (3-9) @ 49ers (1-11)— Imagine losing 11 games in a row and being favored in the 12th game, and favored for second week in a row? 49ers are 2-9 vs spread in last 11 games and they were underdog in 10 of those 11. SF had 5 passing yards in snow in Chicago LW; Bears had 184 in same weather, on same field. Long trip west for Jets on short week after 41-10 beating they took from Colts Monday night. Petty gets 2nd career start at QB here; he was 19-32/163 in his first start, a 9-6 home loss to Rams. Jets are 2-4 on road, 1-4 as an underdog; their wins were in Buffalo/Cleveland. Gang Green is -7 in turnovers the last four weeks. 49ers are 10-2 in this series, winning 34-0 in last meeting in ’12; Jets are 1-4 in five visits here, with one win in 1983. Under is 6-2 in last eight Jet games, 3-1 in 49ers’ last four.
Seahawks (8-3-1) @ Packers (6-6)— Home side is 10-1 in last 11 series games; Seahawks lost last six visits here, with last win in Wisconsin in 1999. Seattle was held to 3-6-20-5 points in games they didn’t win; they scored 26+ points in their wins. Hard to envision Packer defense shutting down former Badger QB Wilson. Seahawks are 2-3-1 on road, beating Jets/Patriots. Green Bay is 4-2 at home, losing to Cowboys/Colts; they won last two weeks, holding Eagles/Texans to 13 points each. Seahawks haven’t allowed a second-half point in their last two games. NFC West non-divisional road teams are 6-11 vs spread, 2-4 as favorites. NFC North home teams are 9-7, 3-1 as underdogs. Under is 4-2 in both Seattle road games and Green Bay home games.
Falcons (7-5) @ Rams (4-8)— LA is in freefall, losing seven of last eight games, with only win 9-6 against Bryce Petty-led Jets. Second home start for Goff; it rained during his first one, when Rams blew 10-0 lead over Dolphins with 5:00 left. LA is 1-3 at home, with only win 9-3 over Seahawks. Atlanta is 4-2 on road, 1-1 as road favorite; they’ve allowed 7+ yards/pass attempt in last five games. Falcons allowed 24+ points in six of last seven games; curious to see if Goff can move chains against this defense. Atlanta won five of last six series games, winning last three by 4-17-7 points; average total in last three series games is 54.7. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 6-11 vs spread, 2-2 on road; NFC West underdogs are 4-12 vs spread, 0-5 at home. Over is 10-2 in Atlanta games, 1-4 in last five Ram games.
Cowboys (11-1) @ Giants (8-4)— Dallas won its last 11 games (9-2 vs spread) since losing to Giants 20-19 in season opener, just second loss in last seven games with New York. Cowboys won four of last six visits here; four of their last five wins against the Giants were by 5 or less points- average total in last eight series games is 51.8. Cowboys are 6-0 on road on road with three wins by 5 or less points- they’ve got only one takeaway in last five games (-2). Giants had 6-game win streak snapped LW; New York is 5-1 at home, with only loss 29-27 to Redskins. Giants are just 13-38 on third down their last three games. Underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in NFC East divisional games this season. Under is 4-0 in Giants’ last four games, 4-1 in last five Dallas road games.
Ravens (7-5) @ Patriots (10-2)— Baltimore is 4-1 since its bye week, allowing 13.6 pts/game, but the four wins were all at home; Ravens are 2-3 on road with wins at Browns/Jaguars- their road losses are by 4-8-10 points. Baltimore is only 7-5 but they’re tied for first in AFC North and is 4-0 in its divisional games. Patriots are 7-1 with Brady at QB; six of the seven wins are by 11+ points- they’re 3-2 as home favorites this year. New England is 9-3 in last 12 series games, 7-1 in regular season games (2-2 in playoff meetings); Ravens lost seven of last nine visits here. AFC North non-divisional underdogs are 2-10 vs spread, 2-6 on road. AFC East favorites are 8-5, 4-5 at home. Under is 5-1 in Ravens’ last six games, 3-0 in last three Patriot games.
Raiders (10-2) @ Chiefs (9-3)— Long travel, short work week for Oakland; temps expected to be in 20’s. First place is up for grabs in AFC West; Chiefs won first meeting 26-10 (-1.5) in Oakland in Week 6- KC ran ball for 183 yards, was +2 in turnovers and shut Raiders out 13-0 in second half. Chiefs won six of last seven series games, with five of six wins by 14+ points. Oakland lost last three visits to Arrowhead by 17-18-6 points. Raiders won last six games overall (5-1 vs spread); they won/covered all five true road games this year, are 4-0 as road underdogs. Chiefs won seven of last eight games; they’re 4-1 at home, but 1-4 as home favorites, winning at Arrowhead by 6-21-6-5 points, with loss to Tampa Bay. Over is 10-2 in Raider games, 2-6 in last eight Chief games.
Broncos (8-4) @ Titans (6-6)— Denver is 7-1 in non-division games this year, with only loss in Week 5 to Atlanta; Broncos are 4-2 on road, 2-1 as road underdogs- they’re 5-29 (17.2%) on 3rd down in two games Lynch started, 57-137 (41.7%) in Siemian starts. Titans won three of last four home games, scoring 34.3 pts/game; they’re +6 in turnovers in last three games, with zero giveaways. Denver won five of last six series games in ’13; this is their first visit here in five years. Tennessee is 1-5 in last six post-bye games; they were an underdog in only two of those six games. AFC West non-divisional road teams are 15-3 vs spread, 9-3 as underdogs. AFC South home teams are 7-10, 5-4 as favorites. Four of last five Bronco road games stayed under total; eight of last nine Tennessee games went over.
Chargers (5-7) @ Panthers (4-8)— Carolina lost three of last four games, is out of playoff race after dismal 40-7 loss in Seattle where QB Newton was benched for first series- sounds like they’ve got internal issues. Visitor won four of last five series games; Carolina is 4-1 in last five games vs San Diego- teams split two meetings here. Chargers are 5-1 vs spread this year in game following a loss; they’re 2-4 on road, 3-2 as road underdogs, with wins at Atlanta and Houston (both domes). Carolina is 3-3 at home, 2-4 as a home favorite. NFC South non-divisional home favorites are 4-9 vs spread; AFC West road underdogs are 9-3. Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Charger games, 1-4 in Carolina’s last five home games. Philip Rivers started 52 games at NC State; this is first time he’s played in Charlotte since 2004.
Texans (6-6) @ Colts (6-6)— Short week for Indy after easy win Monday night in New Jersey. Colts are 1-3-1 vs spread this year in game following a win. Houston lost its last three games by 7-8-8 points, scoring 15.3 pts/game; they’re 1-5 on road, 1-4 as road underdogs, losing away games by 27-18-18-7-8 points, with win at Jacksonville- this is their 4th road game in last five weeks. Colts are 3-3 at home, 3-1 as home favorites. Texans won first meeting 26-23 in OT in Week 6, game they trailed 13-3 at half- Houston is 6-23 vs Indy, 2-6 in last eight meetings. Texans are are 1-13 in Indy, losing 16-10 here LY. Home favorites are 3-2 vs spread in AFC South divisional games. Under is 4-2 in last six Houston games, 3-0 in Colts’ last three home games.
Bengals (4-7-1) @ Browns (0-12)— Robert Griffin III is expected back at QB for Browns, who had last week off; Cleveland is 1-4-1 vs spread as a home underdog, losing home games by 5-20-3-25-15-14 points- they’re 6-5 vs spread in last 11 post-bye games. Bengals snapped 1-5-1 skid with rout of Eagles last week; they’re 1-5 in true road games, with only win 23-22 in Week 1 at the Jets. Cincy is 3-5 as a favorite this season; they won first meeting with Browns 31-17 (-9.5) in Week 7, running ball for 271 yards; total yardage was 559-352. Bengals won last four series games by average score of 32-8; they won last two visits here, 30-0/37-3. Favorites are 6-1 vs spread in AFC North games this year, 1-1 on road. Under is 3-1 in Bengals’ last four games, 4-0 in Cleveland’s last four.
Steelers (7-5) @ Bills (6-6)— Going to be a mixed crowd in Orchard Park for pivotal game in AFC playoff race. Pittsburgh won last five series games and nine of last ten, holding Buffalo to 11.2 pts/game in last five. Steelers won their last three visits here- their last loss in Buffalo was in ’99. Bills are 3-2 at home, 1-1 as home underdogs; they ran ball for 182.7 yds/game in three games since their bye, but they allowed 28+ points in four of last six games, have zero takeaways in last two games. Steelers won/covered last three games, allowing 10 pts/game; they’re 3-3 SU/ATS on road and were favored in all six games. AFC North non-divisional road teams are 5-10 vs spread, 3-4 in favored. AFC East home teams are 8-8, 4-3 as an underdog. Over is 9-2 in last 11 Buffalo games, 2-9 in Steelers’ last 11.
Cardinals (5-6-1) @ Dolphins (7-5)— Arizona is 1-4 on road this year, giving up 32.8 pts/game in losses; their only road win is at 1-11 SF. Redbirds scored five TDs on nine drives LW; they’re 4-1-1 if they don’t turn ball over, 1-5 if they do. Miami had 6-game win streak snapped LW by Ravens; Dolphins are 5-1 at home with only loss to Titans; they’re 1-3 as home favorites and needed OT to beat 0-12 Browns at home. Arizona won last three series games after an 0-8 skid vs Miami; Cardinals are 1-4 in Miami with only win in ’04. Three of last four series games were decided by 3 or less points. NFC West non-divisional road teams are 6-11 vs spread, 4-7 as underdogs. NFC East home teams are 8-8, 4-5 as favorites. Over is 4-2 in last six Arizona games, 4-1 in last five Dolphin games.
Bears (3-9) @ Lions (8-4)— Lions have a 2-game lead in NFC North; why does that make me nervous about them? Chicago (+3.5) upset Detroit 17-14 at home in Week 4, outgaining Lions 408-263; Detroit’s only TD came on a punt return. Bears’ win snapped 6-game series skid vs Lions, with last three series losses all by 6 or less points; Chicago lost its last three visits here, by 8-17-3 points. Bears are 0-6 on road this season, 1-4 as a road underdog, with losses on foreign soil by 9-14-6-16-26-6 points. Last week was first time this year; Detroit didn’t trail in 4th quarter. Lions won/covered last four games, are 5-1 at home, 3-2 as home favorite, winning by 1-3-3-7-3 points at home. NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 17-17-1 vs spread. Under is 6-0 in Lions’ last six games, 5-2 in Chicago’s last seven.
Vikings (6-6) @ Jaguars (2-10)— Coach Zimmer is back at practice this week, with patch over his eye; Minnesota lost six of last seven games after a 5-0 start- they lost last two games by a combined five points. Vikings lost their last four road games. Jax lost its last seven games (2-5 vs spread); they’re 0-5 at home, 0-4 vs spread in last four, with losses by 4-2-17-3-10 points. Jaguars are -16 in turnovers (2-18) in their last eight games- they’ve allowed four TD’s on offense/special teams in last four games. Vikings won four of five series games, winning 26-23 in OT in last meeting four years ago. Minnesota won its only visit here 30-12 in ’08. NFC North non divisional road teams are 8-10 vs spread, 1-4 as favorites. AFC South home teams are 7-10, 2-6 as underdogs. Under is 9-3 in Minnesota road games, 3-2 in Jags’ last five games.
Saints (5-7) @ Buccaneers (7-5)— New Orleans is 6-0 vs spread as an underdog this year, 4-0 on road. New Orleans is 0-5 when it scores less than 25 points. Tampa Bay has won four straight road games for first time ever, but they’re 2-4 at home. Bucs won/covered last four games overall, allowing only 14.3 pts/game the last three weeks. Tampa is 7-5 despite being favored in only two games (1-1) this season. Saints lost three of last four games, are 2-3 on road, with four of five games decided by 6 or less points. NO won eight of last nine series games, with last four decided by 7 or less points; Saints won last four visits here, by 7-2-3-7 points. Underdogs covered five of six NFC South divisional games this season. Under is 5-2 in Saints’ last seven games, 2-0-1 in Bucs’ last three.
Redskins (6-5-1) @ Eagles (5-7)— Washington won last four meetings with Philly, with average total in last five series games, 54.8; Redskins won first meeting this year 27-20 (+3) in Week 6, with only Eagle TDs scored by defense/special teams. Skins outgained Philly 493-239, ran ball for 230 yards- they’re 6-5 in last 11 visits here. Eagles lost seven of last nine games after a 3-0 start; Philly is 4-1 at home, with only loss to Packers two weeks ago- their last game with a positive turnover ratio was in Week 6. Washington allowed 31-31 points in losing its last couple games; they lost last three road games, by 3-5-8 points. Opponents are 21-39 on third down vs Washington the last three weeks. Underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in NFC East divisional games this season. Over is 10-2 in Washington games, 0-5 in Eagle home games.
Jets (3-9) @ 49ers (1-11)— Imagine losing 11 games in a row and being favored in the 12th game, and favored for second week in a row? 49ers are 2-9 vs spread in last 11 games and they were underdog in 10 of those 11. SF had 5 passing yards in snow in Chicago LW; Bears had 184 in same weather, on same field. Long trip west for Jets on short week after 41-10 beating they took from Colts Monday night. Petty gets 2nd career start at QB here; he was 19-32/163 in his first start, a 9-6 home loss to Rams. Jets are 2-4 on road, 1-4 as an underdog; their wins were in Buffalo/Cleveland. Gang Green is -7 in turnovers the last four weeks. 49ers are 10-2 in this series, winning 34-0 in last meeting in ’12; Jets are 1-4 in five visits here, with one win in 1983. Under is 6-2 in last eight Jet games, 3-1 in 49ers’ last four.
Seahawks (8-3-1) @ Packers (6-6)— Home side is 10-1 in last 11 series games; Seahawks lost last six visits here, with last win in Wisconsin in 1999. Seattle was held to 3-6-20-5 points in games they didn’t win; they scored 26+ points in their wins. Hard to envision Packer defense shutting down former Badger QB Wilson. Seahawks are 2-3-1 on road, beating Jets/Patriots. Green Bay is 4-2 at home, losing to Cowboys/Colts; they won last two weeks, holding Eagles/Texans to 13 points each. Seahawks haven’t allowed a second-half point in their last two games. NFC West non-divisional road teams are 6-11 vs spread, 2-4 as favorites. NFC North home teams are 9-7, 3-1 as underdogs. Under is 4-2 in both Seattle road games and Green Bay home games.
Falcons (7-5) @ Rams (4-8)— LA is in freefall, losing seven of last eight games, with only win 9-6 against Bryce Petty-led Jets. Second home start for Goff; it rained during his first one, when Rams blew 10-0 lead over Dolphins with 5:00 left. LA is 1-3 at home, with only win 9-3 over Seahawks. Atlanta is 4-2 on road, 1-1 as road favorite; they’ve allowed 7+ yards/pass attempt in last five games. Falcons allowed 24+ points in six of last seven games; curious to see if Goff can move chains against this defense. Atlanta won five of last six series games, winning last three by 4-17-7 points; average total in last three series games is 54.7. NFC South non-divisional favorites are 6-11 vs spread, 2-2 on road; NFC West underdogs are 4-12 vs spread, 0-5 at home. Over is 10-2 in Atlanta games, 1-4 in last five Ram games.
Cowboys (11-1) @ Giants (8-4)— Dallas won its last 11 games (9-2 vs spread) since losing to Giants 20-19 in season opener, just second loss in last seven games with New York. Cowboys won four of last six visits here; four of their last five wins against the Giants were by 5 or less points- average total in last eight series games is 51.8. Cowboys are 6-0 on road on road with three wins by 5 or less points- they’ve got only one takeaway in last five games (-2). Giants had 6-game win streak snapped LW; New York is 5-1 at home, with only loss 29-27 to Redskins. Giants are just 13-38 on third down their last three games. Underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in NFC East divisional games this season. Under is 4-0 in Giants’ last four games, 4-1 in last five Dallas road games.
Ravens (7-5) @ Patriots (10-2)— Baltimore is 4-1 since its bye week, allowing 13.6 pts/game, but the four wins were all at home; Ravens are 2-3 on road with wins at Browns/Jaguars- their road losses are by 4-8-10 points. Baltimore is only 7-5 but they’re tied for first in AFC North and is 4-0 in its divisional games. Patriots are 7-1 with Brady at QB; six of the seven wins are by 11+ points- they’re 3-2 as home favorites this year. New England is 9-3 in last 12 series games, 7-1 in regular season games (2-2 in playoff meetings); Ravens lost seven of last nine visits here. AFC North non-divisional underdogs are 2-10 vs spread, 2-6 on road. AFC East favorites are 8-5, 4-5 at home. Under is 5-1 in Ravens’ last six games, 3-0 in last three Patriot games.
NFL opening line report: Chiefs open as faves over very public Raiders
"We weren’t at 4 very long, as all the early money and bets were on the Raiders. We immediately went to 3.5." - Peter Childs, risk management supervisor for offshore site Sportsbook.ag
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-4)
Kansas City is coming off one of the more implausible scoring plays of the season, and one that helped Andy Reid’s squad turn this week’s game into a battle for first place in the AFC West. The Chiefs (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS) gave up a touchdown with under five minutes remaining at Atlanta to fall behind 28-27. But Eric Berry intercepted the pass on the Falcons’ 2-point conversion try and returned it 99 yards for a 2-point score, which gave Kansas City a 29-28 victory as a 5-point underdog.
Oakland (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) also kept rolling Sunday, besting Buffalo 38-24 as a 3-point home favorite. The Raiders have won six in a row (5-1 ATS) since their Oct. 16 home loss to the Chiefs, 26-10 as a 1-point pup. Should Oakland lose this week, the two teams would be tied, but K.C. would hold the tiebreaker by virtue of two head-to-head wins.
“Both teams are coming off nice wins, and both cashed for their backers, so we’re not exactly sure whom bettors are going to back in this game,” Childs said. “I have the Chiefs the better team, rating them 1 point higher than the Raiders. Throw in major home-field advantage and this being a short week for the Raiders to travel, and I give the Chiefs 3.5 for those intangibles.
“But the Raiders have been getting support from the public every week, so instead of opening Chiefs -4.5 (power rating plus intangibles), we decided to open Chiefs -4. We weren’t at 4 very long, as all the early money and bets were on the Raiders. We immediately went to 3.5, which is our current number.”
Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers, no line
Green Bay has won its last two games as it scrambles to put its season back together, but will have to keep winning to have any hope of a return to the playoffs. On Sunday, the Packers (6-6 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) held off Houston 21-13 laying 6.5 points at home.
Seattle, meanwhile, appears to be coasting to the NFC West crown. The Seahawks (8-3-1 SU, 7-5 ATS) crushed defending NFC champion Carolina 40-7 on Sunday as an 8-point home chalk.
“We didn’t open this game yet, with the Seahawks playing on Sunday night,” said Childs, noting that barring any major Seahawks injuries, Sportsbook.ag would probably open at or near pick ‘em today. Seattle, though, did have one key injury, with safety Earl Thomas suffering a lower left leg fracture.
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (+3)
Dallas is the darling of the league, riding an 11-game winning streak (9-2 ATS) into New York in hopes of avenging its lone loss of the year. The Cowboys (11-1 SU, 9-3 ATS) edged Minnesota 17-15 in the Week 13 Thursday nighter, falling just short as a 3-point fave.
New York (8-4 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) had its six-game winning streak snapped Sunday at Pittsburgh, losing 24-14 as a 6.5-point pup. The Giants beat Dallas 20-19 in the season opener, cashing as a 1-point ‘dog.
“Great Sunday night game, but with the Giants losing to the Steelers, it pretty much cinches up the NFC East for the Cowboys,” Childs said. “That said, it makes this a must, must-win game for the Giants if they want to keep pace for a wild-card spot. We have the Cowboys rated significantly higher than the Giants, about 5 points in our rankings. The Giants simply haven’t beaten anybody of late; the only winning team they’ve beaten since their opening win over the Cowboys was a Ravens team playing very poorly at the time.
“Throw in the fact that this is a revenge game for the Cowboys, and we have the motivation edge very equal here. The Cowboys also come into this game having 10 days off. With that factored in, we had Cowboys -2, but knowing our bettors are going to back the Cowboys and that this is a Sunday night prime-time game, we added a full point and opened them -3.”
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots (-8)
New England kept pace with Oakland for the AFC’s top record, breezing past Los Angeles 26-10 as a hefty 13-point home chalk Sunday. The Patriots improved to 10-2 SU and are tied with Dallas for the best ATS mark at 9-3.
Baltimore has won four of its last five SU and ATS to bounce back from a four-game SU and ATS slide. On Sunday, the Ravens (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) hammered red-hot Miami – which had won six straight – 38-6 giving 3.5 at home.
“The Patriots just keep winning and keep covering for their backers,” Childs said. “We have them power-rated roughly 4 points better than the Ravens, but throw in home field and the fact that we lose money on the Patriots every week, as bettors can’t get enough of them, no matter how high their spreads are.
“So in a game where they should be a 7-point favorite, we opened them -8, hoping to attract some Ravens money. For the first time all season, we’re seeing more action against the Patriots, and we’ve lowered our number to Pats -7.5.”
"We weren’t at 4 very long, as all the early money and bets were on the Raiders. We immediately went to 3.5." - Peter Childs, risk management supervisor for offshore site Sportsbook.ag
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-4)
Kansas City is coming off one of the more implausible scoring plays of the season, and one that helped Andy Reid’s squad turn this week’s game into a battle for first place in the AFC West. The Chiefs (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS) gave up a touchdown with under five minutes remaining at Atlanta to fall behind 28-27. But Eric Berry intercepted the pass on the Falcons’ 2-point conversion try and returned it 99 yards for a 2-point score, which gave Kansas City a 29-28 victory as a 5-point underdog.
Oakland (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS) also kept rolling Sunday, besting Buffalo 38-24 as a 3-point home favorite. The Raiders have won six in a row (5-1 ATS) since their Oct. 16 home loss to the Chiefs, 26-10 as a 1-point pup. Should Oakland lose this week, the two teams would be tied, but K.C. would hold the tiebreaker by virtue of two head-to-head wins.
“Both teams are coming off nice wins, and both cashed for their backers, so we’re not exactly sure whom bettors are going to back in this game,” Childs said. “I have the Chiefs the better team, rating them 1 point higher than the Raiders. Throw in major home-field advantage and this being a short week for the Raiders to travel, and I give the Chiefs 3.5 for those intangibles.
“But the Raiders have been getting support from the public every week, so instead of opening Chiefs -4.5 (power rating plus intangibles), we decided to open Chiefs -4. We weren’t at 4 very long, as all the early money and bets were on the Raiders. We immediately went to 3.5, which is our current number.”
Seattle Seahawks at Green Bay Packers, no line
Green Bay has won its last two games as it scrambles to put its season back together, but will have to keep winning to have any hope of a return to the playoffs. On Sunday, the Packers (6-6 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) held off Houston 21-13 laying 6.5 points at home.
Seattle, meanwhile, appears to be coasting to the NFC West crown. The Seahawks (8-3-1 SU, 7-5 ATS) crushed defending NFC champion Carolina 40-7 on Sunday as an 8-point home chalk.
“We didn’t open this game yet, with the Seahawks playing on Sunday night,” said Childs, noting that barring any major Seahawks injuries, Sportsbook.ag would probably open at or near pick ‘em today. Seattle, though, did have one key injury, with safety Earl Thomas suffering a lower left leg fracture.
Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants (+3)
Dallas is the darling of the league, riding an 11-game winning streak (9-2 ATS) into New York in hopes of avenging its lone loss of the year. The Cowboys (11-1 SU, 9-3 ATS) edged Minnesota 17-15 in the Week 13 Thursday nighter, falling just short as a 3-point fave.
New York (8-4 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) had its six-game winning streak snapped Sunday at Pittsburgh, losing 24-14 as a 6.5-point pup. The Giants beat Dallas 20-19 in the season opener, cashing as a 1-point ‘dog.
“Great Sunday night game, but with the Giants losing to the Steelers, it pretty much cinches up the NFC East for the Cowboys,” Childs said. “That said, it makes this a must, must-win game for the Giants if they want to keep pace for a wild-card spot. We have the Cowboys rated significantly higher than the Giants, about 5 points in our rankings. The Giants simply haven’t beaten anybody of late; the only winning team they’ve beaten since their opening win over the Cowboys was a Ravens team playing very poorly at the time.
“Throw in the fact that this is a revenge game for the Cowboys, and we have the motivation edge very equal here. The Cowboys also come into this game having 10 days off. With that factored in, we had Cowboys -2, but knowing our bettors are going to back the Cowboys and that this is a Sunday night prime-time game, we added a full point and opened them -3.”
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots (-8)
New England kept pace with Oakland for the AFC’s top record, breezing past Los Angeles 26-10 as a hefty 13-point home chalk Sunday. The Patriots improved to 10-2 SU and are tied with Dallas for the best ATS mark at 9-3.
Baltimore has won four of its last five SU and ATS to bounce back from a four-game SU and ATS slide. On Sunday, the Ravens (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) hammered red-hot Miami – which had won six straight – 38-6 giving 3.5 at home.
“The Patriots just keep winning and keep covering for their backers,” Childs said. “We have them power-rated roughly 4 points better than the Ravens, but throw in home field and the fact that we lose money on the Patriots every week, as bettors can’t get enough of them, no matter how high their spreads are.
“So in a game where they should be a 7-point favorite, we opened them -8, hoping to attract some Ravens money. For the first time all season, we’re seeing more action against the Patriots, and we’ve lowered our number to Pats -7.5.”
NFL
Long Sheet
Week 14
Thursday, December 8
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OAKLAND (10 - 2) at KANSAS CITY (9 - 3) - 12/8/2016, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 31-57 ATS (-31.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 30-54 ATS (-29.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 this season.
OAKLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 4-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, December 11
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DENVER (8 - 4) at TENNESSEE (6 - 6) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SAN DIEGO (5 - 7) at CAROLINA (4 - 8) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 80-48 ATS (+27.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 54-28 ATS (+23.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 92-65 ATS (+20.5 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HOUSTON (6 - 6) at INDIANAPOLIS (5 - 6) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in dome games since 1992.
HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CINCINNATI (4 - 7 - 1) at CLEVELAND (0 - 12) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 69-96 ATS (-36.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) revenging a loss against opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITTSBURGH (7 - 5) at BUFFALO (6 - 6) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ARIZONA (5 - 6 - 1) at MIAMI (7 - 5) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 53-78 ATS (-32.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CHICAGO (3 - 9) at DETROIT (8 - 4) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 12-33 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
CHICAGO is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
DETROIT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in dome games this season.
DETROIT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
DETROIT is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in home games revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
DETROIT is 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 58-82 ATS (-32.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 130-165 ATS (-51.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MINNESOTA (6 - 6) at JACKSONVILLE (2 - 10) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW ORLEANS (5 - 7) at TAMPA BAY (7 - 5) - 12/11/2016, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WASHINGTON (6 - 5 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 7) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NY JETS (3 - 8) at SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 11) - 12/11/2016, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEATTLE (8 - 3 - 1) at GREEN BAY (6 - 6) - 12/11/2016, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 63-37 ATS (+22.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 67-41 ATS (+21.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 2-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-1 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ATLANTA (7 - 5) at LA RAMS (4 - 8) - 12/11/2016, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA RAMS is 175-220 ATS (-67.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 175-220 ATS (-67.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 80-113 ATS (-44.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 126-172 ATS (-63.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 137-174 ATS (-54.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 57-87 ATS (-38.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 64-93 ATS (-38.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DALLAS (11 - 1) at NY GIANTS (8 - 4) - 12/11/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
DALLAS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 4-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Monday, December 12
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BALTIMORE (7 - 5) at NEW ENGLAND (10 - 2) - 12/12/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 231-186 ATS (+26.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 231-186 ATS (+26.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 179-135 ATS (+30.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 104-76 ATS (+20.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 110-81 ATS (+20.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 76-53 ATS (+17.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Long Sheet
Week 14
Thursday, December 8
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
OAKLAND (10 - 2) at KANSAS CITY (9 - 3) - 12/8/2016, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 31-57 ATS (-31.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
OAKLAND is 30-54 ATS (-29.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
OAKLAND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 this season.
OAKLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 33-18 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS CITY is 4-1 straight up against OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sunday, December 11
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
DENVER (8 - 4) at TENNESSEE (6 - 6) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SAN DIEGO (5 - 7) at CAROLINA (4 - 8) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAROLINA is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in December games since 1992.
CAROLINA is 80-48 ATS (+27.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
CAROLINA is 54-28 ATS (+23.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 92-65 ATS (+20.5 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
SAN DIEGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
CAROLINA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
HOUSTON (6 - 6) at INDIANAPOLIS (5 - 6) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in dome games since 1992.
HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANAPOLIS is 2-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANAPOLIS is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CINCINNATI (4 - 7 - 1) at CLEVELAND (0 - 12) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 69-96 ATS (-36.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) revenging a loss against opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 4-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PITTSBURGH (7 - 5) at BUFFALO (6 - 6) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ARIZONA (5 - 6 - 1) at MIAMI (7 - 5) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 53-78 ATS (-32.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CHICAGO (3 - 9) at DETROIT (8 - 4) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
CHICAGO is 12-33 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
CHICAGO is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
DETROIT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in dome games this season.
DETROIT is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
DETROIT is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in home games revenging a loss against opponent since 1992.
DETROIT is 28-50 ATS (-27.0 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
DETROIT is 58-82 ATS (-32.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
DETROIT is 130-165 ATS (-51.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MINNESOTA (6 - 6) at JACKSONVILLE (2 - 10) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1992.
MINNESOTA is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW ORLEANS (5 - 7) at TAMPA BAY (7 - 5) - 12/11/2016, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
WASHINGTON (6 - 5 - 1) at PHILADELPHIA (5 - 7) - 12/11/2016, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-0 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NY JETS (3 - 8) at SAN FRANCISCO (1 - 11) - 12/11/2016, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NY JETS are 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) against NFC West division opponents since 1992.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SEATTLE (8 - 3 - 1) at GREEN BAY (6 - 6) - 12/11/2016, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GREEN BAY is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
GREEN BAY is 63-37 ATS (+22.3 Units) in December games since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 90-65 ATS (+18.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 67-41 ATS (+21.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
GREEN BAY is 58-35 ATS (+19.5 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
SEATTLE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
GREEN BAY is 2-1 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 2-1 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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ATLANTA (7 - 5) at LA RAMS (4 - 8) - 12/11/2016, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LA RAMS is 175-220 ATS (-67.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 175-220 ATS (-67.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 80-113 ATS (-44.3 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 126-172 ATS (-63.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
LA RAMS is 137-174 ATS (-54.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
LA RAMS is 57-87 ATS (-38.7 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.
LA RAMS is 64-93 ATS (-38.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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DALLAS (11 - 1) at NY GIANTS (8 - 4) - 12/11/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 36-57 ATS (-26.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
DALLAS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
NY GIANTS is 4-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 3-2 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Monday, December 12
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BALTIMORE (7 - 5) at NEW ENGLAND (10 - 2) - 12/12/2016, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 231-186 ATS (+26.4 Units) in all games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 231-186 ATS (+26.4 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 179-135 ATS (+30.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 104-76 ATS (+20.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 110-81 ATS (+20.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 76-53 ATS (+17.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 1-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 1-0 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NFL
Week 14
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Trend Report
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Thursday, December 8
8:25 PM
OAKLAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Oakland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Kansas City is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Oakland
Sunday, December 11
1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
1:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. DETROIT
Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
1:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
Buffalo is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
1:00 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. CAROLINA
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
San Diego is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games
Carolina is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
1:00 PM
DENVER vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
1:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. JACKSONVILLE
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Jacksonville's last 13 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
1:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Miami is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home
1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Indianapolis is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Houston
Indianapolis is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
4:05 PM
NY JETS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
NY Jets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of San Francisco's last 21 games at home
4:25 PM
SEATTLE vs. GREEN BAY
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 2-5-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Green Bay's last 12 games at home
Green Bay is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home
4:25 PM
ATLANTA vs. LOS ANGELES
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games at home
4:25 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. TAMPA BAY
New Orleans is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games at home
8:30 PM
DALLAS vs. NY GIANTS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
Dallas is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
NY Giants are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the NY Giants last 8 games when playing Dallas
Monday, December 12
8:30 PM
BALTIMORE vs. NEW ENGLAND
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing New England
Baltimore is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New England's last 10 games
Week 14
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Trend Report
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Thursday, December 8
8:25 PM
OAKLAND vs. KANSAS CITY
Oakland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Kansas City is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Oakland
Sunday, December 11
1:00 PM
CINCINNATI vs. CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games on the road
Cincinnati is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Cleveland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
1:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. DETROIT
Chicago is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
1:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. BUFFALO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home
Buffalo is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
1:00 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. CAROLINA
San Diego is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
San Diego is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games
Carolina is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego
1:00 PM
DENVER vs. TENNESSEE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 9 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Tennessee's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
1:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. JACKSONVILLE
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Minnesota's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Jacksonville's last 13 games at home
Jacksonville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
1:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 2-3-1 SU in its last 6 games ,
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
1:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Miami is 5-11-1 ATS in its last 17 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games at home
1:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. INDIANAPOLIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Indianapolis is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Houston
Indianapolis is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
4:05 PM
NY JETS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
NY Jets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Jets last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of San Francisco's last 21 games at home
4:25 PM
SEATTLE vs. GREEN BAY
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle is 2-5-2 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Green Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Green Bay's last 12 games at home
Green Bay is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home
4:25 PM
ATLANTA vs. LOS ANGELES
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games at home
4:25 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. TAMPA BAY
New Orleans is 6-2-1 ATS in its last 9 games
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games at home
8:30 PM
DALLAS vs. NY GIANTS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
Dallas is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
NY Giants are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of the NY Giants last 8 games when playing Dallas
Monday, December 12
8:30 PM
BALTIMORE vs. NEW ENGLAND
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing New England
Baltimore is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New England's last 10 games
NFL Week 14 lines that make you go hmmm...
Were sportsbooks giving the Patriots too much credit with their opening line for the Pats home date with the Baltimore Ravens in Week 14?
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (-7.5, 43.5)
I’m very surprised at the early movement so far. I give kudos to the opening number of -9.5 but for whatever reason, early money has taken this down to a very unsafe zone for bookmakers. I made this 10.5 to 11 so I’m looking at this game with a very wary eye.
Detroit does have a few injuries but its handling of New Orleans capping this current run of three wins in a row and seven of the past eight games convinced me that this game deserves double-digit consideration. Defensively, Detroit has been humming allowing less than 20 points in five of the last six games and four in a row. Their offense is doing more than enough to handle a touchdown difference.
One factor that helped the cause was Chicago’s win against San Francisco. However, this being a revenge game, plus Chicago’s record of inept play this season, there’s no way this line will remain at the current 7.5 level, and there are already some eights popping up. Grab the home favorite as quick as you can and thank the early money for handing you an easy take.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills (+2, 47.5)
We’re looking hard at the total in this game. From personal experience, as a resident of Buffalo for nine punishing winters in my youth, I would never use a total higher than 42 when a game is being played in Orchard Park in December. And it’s not the snow or rain that is the determining factor: it’s the wind. Take a look at late games in Buffalo the past few years and you’ll see they predominantly go Under.
That high-scoring game at Oakland this past weekend was in pristine playing conditions in the Bay Area. That surely has a small effect on the higher opener. But add to the fact that the Steelers are an Under monster, playing conditions will affect the style of play. Buffalo runs the ball, which will eat up a ton of time and if that doesn’t work, passes will be blown all over the field forcing shorter routes and less big-play opportunities.
Pittsburgh has gone Under in seven of its past eight games. The Steelers allowed nine and seven points in their past two road games and looked terrific versus the Giants Sunday. If you like the Under, don’t pass up the high number sitting at your sportsbook early in the week.
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (+4, 43.5)
Here’s a chance to take advantage of what I call a manufactured line. The Bengals were 11-point favorites their first time versus Cleveland in Cincinnati. So, what oddsmakers do is automatically take six points off (hence the opener -5) from the first game. The magic for us is that it was bet the wrong way. Another suspicious early move. I made this game Cincy -6.5.
The Bengals broke loose a bit with a quality win over Philadelphia this past weekend and before that, played a quality game against a powerful Baltimore team. The beat the Browns by 14 points in their first game against each other, and that won’t be hard to replicate in Week 14.
There’s not much to push with Cleveland. In the Browns’ last four games, they’ve lost by 25, 21, 15 and 14 points. Unless you like playing the “due factor”, I’m not quite sure where the lure is for betting the Browns. I’m sure the Bengals don’t want to be the first team to lose to these guys.
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots (-7.5, 45.5)
My original knee jerk reaction to seeing the original line of Patriots -8 was a bit surprising and early money has taken this opener down a notch at a few sportsbooks. But if you can still grab the +8 at your local store, that seems like good value. I made this -7 (EVEN) so anything above the key number seems pretty inviting.
Baltimore has been creeping back into the playoff picture, behind a solid defense. Breaking out 38 points against Miami this past week was hopefully not an aberration. If the Ravens can match their defense with any semblance of an offensive attack, this game should be a close call - and maybe more so for those underdog players. The Ravens defense has allowed 14, 7, 14 and six points, sandwiching their lone loss at Dallas, in the past five games and the team seems to be gelling.
You can’t really complain about New England. On their current three-game win streak since their loss to Seattle, the Patriots haven’t exactly been playing the cream of the crop. Wins against San Francisco, the N.Y. Jets, and Los Angeles won’t rattle any bones, so Baltimore at this point could prove to be a challenge. Toss in the chance of weather issues, and this game looks to be close from the start.
Were sportsbooks giving the Patriots too much credit with their opening line for the Pats home date with the Baltimore Ravens in Week 14?
Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions (-7.5, 43.5)
I’m very surprised at the early movement so far. I give kudos to the opening number of -9.5 but for whatever reason, early money has taken this down to a very unsafe zone for bookmakers. I made this 10.5 to 11 so I’m looking at this game with a very wary eye.
Detroit does have a few injuries but its handling of New Orleans capping this current run of three wins in a row and seven of the past eight games convinced me that this game deserves double-digit consideration. Defensively, Detroit has been humming allowing less than 20 points in five of the last six games and four in a row. Their offense is doing more than enough to handle a touchdown difference.
One factor that helped the cause was Chicago’s win against San Francisco. However, this being a revenge game, plus Chicago’s record of inept play this season, there’s no way this line will remain at the current 7.5 level, and there are already some eights popping up. Grab the home favorite as quick as you can and thank the early money for handing you an easy take.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Buffalo Bills (+2, 47.5)
We’re looking hard at the total in this game. From personal experience, as a resident of Buffalo for nine punishing winters in my youth, I would never use a total higher than 42 when a game is being played in Orchard Park in December. And it’s not the snow or rain that is the determining factor: it’s the wind. Take a look at late games in Buffalo the past few years and you’ll see they predominantly go Under.
That high-scoring game at Oakland this past weekend was in pristine playing conditions in the Bay Area. That surely has a small effect on the higher opener. But add to the fact that the Steelers are an Under monster, playing conditions will affect the style of play. Buffalo runs the ball, which will eat up a ton of time and if that doesn’t work, passes will be blown all over the field forcing shorter routes and less big-play opportunities.
Pittsburgh has gone Under in seven of its past eight games. The Steelers allowed nine and seven points in their past two road games and looked terrific versus the Giants Sunday. If you like the Under, don’t pass up the high number sitting at your sportsbook early in the week.
Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns (+4, 43.5)
Here’s a chance to take advantage of what I call a manufactured line. The Bengals were 11-point favorites their first time versus Cleveland in Cincinnati. So, what oddsmakers do is automatically take six points off (hence the opener -5) from the first game. The magic for us is that it was bet the wrong way. Another suspicious early move. I made this game Cincy -6.5.
The Bengals broke loose a bit with a quality win over Philadelphia this past weekend and before that, played a quality game against a powerful Baltimore team. The beat the Browns by 14 points in their first game against each other, and that won’t be hard to replicate in Week 14.
There’s not much to push with Cleveland. In the Browns’ last four games, they’ve lost by 25, 21, 15 and 14 points. Unless you like playing the “due factor”, I’m not quite sure where the lure is for betting the Browns. I’m sure the Bengals don’t want to be the first team to lose to these guys.
Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots (-7.5, 45.5)
My original knee jerk reaction to seeing the original line of Patriots -8 was a bit surprising and early money has taken this opener down a notch at a few sportsbooks. But if you can still grab the +8 at your local store, that seems like good value. I made this -7 (EVEN) so anything above the key number seems pretty inviting.
Baltimore has been creeping back into the playoff picture, behind a solid defense. Breaking out 38 points against Miami this past week was hopefully not an aberration. If the Ravens can match their defense with any semblance of an offensive attack, this game should be a close call - and maybe more so for those underdog players. The Ravens defense has allowed 14, 7, 14 and six points, sandwiching their lone loss at Dallas, in the past five games and the team seems to be gelling.
You can’t really complain about New England. On their current three-game win streak since their loss to Seattle, the Patriots haven’t exactly been playing the cream of the crop. Wins against San Francisco, the N.Y. Jets, and Los Angeles won’t rattle any bones, so Baltimore at this point could prove to be a challenge. Toss in the chance of weather issues, and this game looks to be close from the start.
Wiseguys are advising that these Week 14 NFL lines are going to move
This line has already moved from NE -8 to -7 and the Ravens seem to be one of the few teams that is not intimidated when they play the Patriots in Foxboro.
Game to bet now
Chicago at Detroit (-8)
How good is it to be the Lions these days? Four straight wins – including a dominating 15-point victory at New Orleans last week – has Detroit in prime position in the NFC North at 8-4. Eight years after their groundbreaking 0-16 season, the Lions look like they’re ready to finally break the Green Bay/Minnesota stranglehold on the division. Detroit fans still have nightmares about the bad calls which cost them in a wild card playoff loss to the Cowboys two years ago, but this Lions team looks more than capable of making amends. QB Matthew Stafford actually looks better with Calvin Johnson and is the 5th-rated QB in the league. And on top of everything, they get the Bears this week. At home. If you like the line, jump now because there could be some volatility here.
Game to wait on
Baltimore at New England (-7) (Monday)
This line has already moved from NE -8 to -7, possibly on the news that the Patriots have suffered yet another injury to a receiver (Danny Amendola, out for the rest of the regular season). And the Ravens seem to be one of the few teams that is not intimidated when they play the Patriots in Foxboro. They took apart NE in a playoff game in 2013, and two years after that had the Patriots on the ropes but dropped a TD pass in the end zone and also missed a chip-shot field goal (two weeks before NE defeated Seattle in the Super Bowl). The Ravens are coming off quality home wins over Miami and Cincinnati, but haven’t beaten a decent team on the road. Game is Monday night, so there is plenty of time to see if weekend betting moves the line a half-point either way.
Total to watch
Dallas at New York Giants (47.5)
Under players betting only these two teams all season would have cashed two games out of every three, and with the number in the high 40s this week, you might think that more of the same is on the way. But there are plenty of moving parts here, not the least of which is the Cowboys’ vulnerability (31st in the league) against the pass. Eli Manning is who he is at this point, but he does play well late in the season. Interestingly, this game does not mean all that much – Dallas looks like the No. 1 NFC playoff seed, and the Giants can afford a loss and still be the top wild card team heading into the final three weeks.
This line has already moved from NE -8 to -7 and the Ravens seem to be one of the few teams that is not intimidated when they play the Patriots in Foxboro.
Game to bet now
Chicago at Detroit (-8)
How good is it to be the Lions these days? Four straight wins – including a dominating 15-point victory at New Orleans last week – has Detroit in prime position in the NFC North at 8-4. Eight years after their groundbreaking 0-16 season, the Lions look like they’re ready to finally break the Green Bay/Minnesota stranglehold on the division. Detroit fans still have nightmares about the bad calls which cost them in a wild card playoff loss to the Cowboys two years ago, but this Lions team looks more than capable of making amends. QB Matthew Stafford actually looks better with Calvin Johnson and is the 5th-rated QB in the league. And on top of everything, they get the Bears this week. At home. If you like the line, jump now because there could be some volatility here.
Game to wait on
Baltimore at New England (-7) (Monday)
This line has already moved from NE -8 to -7, possibly on the news that the Patriots have suffered yet another injury to a receiver (Danny Amendola, out for the rest of the regular season). And the Ravens seem to be one of the few teams that is not intimidated when they play the Patriots in Foxboro. They took apart NE in a playoff game in 2013, and two years after that had the Patriots on the ropes but dropped a TD pass in the end zone and also missed a chip-shot field goal (two weeks before NE defeated Seattle in the Super Bowl). The Ravens are coming off quality home wins over Miami and Cincinnati, but haven’t beaten a decent team on the road. Game is Monday night, so there is plenty of time to see if weekend betting moves the line a half-point either way.
Total to watch
Dallas at New York Giants (47.5)
Under players betting only these two teams all season would have cashed two games out of every three, and with the number in the high 40s this week, you might think that more of the same is on the way. But there are plenty of moving parts here, not the least of which is the Cowboys’ vulnerability (31st in the league) against the pass. Eli Manning is who he is at this point, but he does play well late in the season. Interestingly, this game does not mean all that much – Dallas looks like the No. 1 NFC playoff seed, and the Giants can afford a loss and still be the top wild card team heading into the final three weeks.
NFL
Thursday, December 8
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Thursday Night Football betting preview: Raiders at Chiefs
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Derek Carr's spirited play during the Oakland Raiders' six-game winning streak has placed the third-year quarterback in the discussion for NFL MVP honors.
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-3, 46)
Derek Carr's spirited play during the Oakland Raiders' six-game winning streak has placed the third-year quarterback in the lively discussion for NFL MVP honors. Carr has thrown seven touchdown passes over his last three games and 12 during the winning streak as the first-place Raiders head into an AFC West showdown with the host Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday night.
Carr rallied Oakland from a 15-point halftime deficit in Sunday's 38-24 victory over Buffalo, all while working exclusively out of the shotgun/pistol to protect his injured right pinkie finger. "It brought me back to my Fresno (State) days a little bit, so that was nice with the tempo and those kind of things," said the 25-year-old Carr, who will look to avenge a far less effective performance in Week 6 when he threw for 225 yards in a 26-10 loss to Kansas City. The Chiefs kept Carr in park with a successful ground game, highlighted by Spencer Ware rolling up a career-high 131 yards and a touchdown. The 25-year-old Ware, who will look to light up the 29th-ranked Raiders' run defense that is yielding 124.8 yards per contest, also found the end zone in Sunday's 29-28 victory at Atlanta.
TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NBC, NFL Network.
POWER RANKINGS: Raiders (-4) - Chiefs (-3) + home field (-3) = Chiefs -2
LINE HISTORY: The Chiefs opened as 3-point home favorites and the line has yet to move as of Wednesday evening. The total hit the board at 46.5 and has dropped down to 46. Check out the complete history here.
WEATHER REPORT: Cold temperatures (low 20's), clear skies and moderate winds (10 mph) are in the forecast for Thursday night in Kansas City. Football weather!
INJURY REPORT:
Raiders - DT D. Latham (Questionable, ankle), LB C. James (Questionable, shoulder), OL K. Osemele (Questionable, knee), LB S. Calhoun (Out, knee), DT S. McGee (Out, ankle), S K. Joseph (Out, toe), LB A. Smith (Out INdefinitely, suspension), DE M. Edwards (Out, hip), CB D. Hayden (I-R, hamstring), TE L. Smith (I-R, leg), LB B. Heeney (I-R, ankle), LB N. Ball (I-R, undisclosed), TE G. Holmes (I-R, ankle).
Chiefs - LB T. Hali (Probable, knee), WR J. Maclin (Probable, groin), DB P. Gaines (Probable, knee), DL D. Poe (Probable, back), DL K. Reyes (Probable, knee), QB T. Bray (Out Indefinitely, back), DL J. Howard (I-R, hip), RB J. Charles (I-R, knee), OL P. Ehinger (I-R, knee), DL A. Bailey (I-R, shoulder), LB J. March (I-R, undisclosed), FB T. Millard (I-R, knee), LB J. Mauga (I-R, shoulder).
ABOUT THE RAIDERS (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS, 10-2 O/U): While Carr is being mentioned in NFL MVP discussion, defensive end Khalil Mack is hearing his name bandied about for NFL Defensive Player of the Year honors. Mack has registered at least one of his team-leading 10 sacks in each of the last seven games, while also recording four forced fumbles, three fumble recoveries and an interception in that span. Latavius Murray, who has three touchdowns in his last four encounters with Kansas City, scored twice last week to increase his rushing touchdown total to 11 - good enough for a tie for third in the league. Second-year wideout Amari Cooper collected 10 receptions for 129 yards in the first meeting with the Chiefs, but was limited to just two catches on Sunday versus the Bills.
ABOUT THE CHIEFS (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS, 4-8 O/U): Alex Smith, who has thrown 18 touchdowns against three interceptions in his last nine starts versus the Raiders, is expected to see the return of trusted target Jeremy Maclin on Thursday. Maclin was a full participant in practice on Tuesday and is in line to end a four-game absence due to a groin injury. Tight end Travis Kelce recorded his third straight 100-plus-yard performance after reeling in eight receptions for 140 yards versus the Falcons, but was limited to three catches for 32 yards in the Week 6 win over Oakland.
TRENDS:
* Raiders are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.
* Chiefs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
* Over is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Kansas City.
CONSENSUS: The picking public is siding with the home favorite Chiefs and Over is grabbing 63 percent of the totals wagers.
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 14
Thursday's game
Raiders (10-2) @ Chiefs (9-3)— Long travel, short work week for Oakland; temps expected to be in 20’s. First place is up for grabs in AFC West; Chiefs won first meeting 26-10 (-1.5) in Oakland in Week 6- KC ran ball for 183 yards, was +2 in turnovers and shut Raiders out 13-0 in second half. Chiefs won six of last seven series games, with five of six wins by 14+ points. Oakland lost last three visits to Arrowhead by 17-18-6 points. Raiders won last six games overall (5-1 vs spread); they won/covered all five true road games this year, are 4-0 as road underdogs. Chiefs won seven of last eight games; they’re 4-1 at home, but 1-4 as home favorites, winning at Arrowhead by 6-21-6-5 points, with loss to Tampa Bay. Over is 10-2 in Raider games, 2-6 in last eight Chief games.
Thursday, December 8
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Thursday Night Football betting preview: Raiders at Chiefs
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Derek Carr's spirited play during the Oakland Raiders' six-game winning streak has placed the third-year quarterback in the discussion for NFL MVP honors.
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs (-3, 46)
Derek Carr's spirited play during the Oakland Raiders' six-game winning streak has placed the third-year quarterback in the lively discussion for NFL MVP honors. Carr has thrown seven touchdown passes over his last three games and 12 during the winning streak as the first-place Raiders head into an AFC West showdown with the host Kansas City Chiefs on Thursday night.
Carr rallied Oakland from a 15-point halftime deficit in Sunday's 38-24 victory over Buffalo, all while working exclusively out of the shotgun/pistol to protect his injured right pinkie finger. "It brought me back to my Fresno (State) days a little bit, so that was nice with the tempo and those kind of things," said the 25-year-old Carr, who will look to avenge a far less effective performance in Week 6 when he threw for 225 yards in a 26-10 loss to Kansas City. The Chiefs kept Carr in park with a successful ground game, highlighted by Spencer Ware rolling up a career-high 131 yards and a touchdown. The 25-year-old Ware, who will look to light up the 29th-ranked Raiders' run defense that is yielding 124.8 yards per contest, also found the end zone in Sunday's 29-28 victory at Atlanta.
TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NBC, NFL Network.
POWER RANKINGS: Raiders (-4) - Chiefs (-3) + home field (-3) = Chiefs -2
LINE HISTORY: The Chiefs opened as 3-point home favorites and the line has yet to move as of Wednesday evening. The total hit the board at 46.5 and has dropped down to 46. Check out the complete history here.
WEATHER REPORT: Cold temperatures (low 20's), clear skies and moderate winds (10 mph) are in the forecast for Thursday night in Kansas City. Football weather!
INJURY REPORT:
Raiders - DT D. Latham (Questionable, ankle), LB C. James (Questionable, shoulder), OL K. Osemele (Questionable, knee), LB S. Calhoun (Out, knee), DT S. McGee (Out, ankle), S K. Joseph (Out, toe), LB A. Smith (Out INdefinitely, suspension), DE M. Edwards (Out, hip), CB D. Hayden (I-R, hamstring), TE L. Smith (I-R, leg), LB B. Heeney (I-R, ankle), LB N. Ball (I-R, undisclosed), TE G. Holmes (I-R, ankle).
Chiefs - LB T. Hali (Probable, knee), WR J. Maclin (Probable, groin), DB P. Gaines (Probable, knee), DL D. Poe (Probable, back), DL K. Reyes (Probable, knee), QB T. Bray (Out Indefinitely, back), DL J. Howard (I-R, hip), RB J. Charles (I-R, knee), OL P. Ehinger (I-R, knee), DL A. Bailey (I-R, shoulder), LB J. March (I-R, undisclosed), FB T. Millard (I-R, knee), LB J. Mauga (I-R, shoulder).
ABOUT THE RAIDERS (10-2 SU, 8-4 ATS, 10-2 O/U): While Carr is being mentioned in NFL MVP discussion, defensive end Khalil Mack is hearing his name bandied about for NFL Defensive Player of the Year honors. Mack has registered at least one of his team-leading 10 sacks in each of the last seven games, while also recording four forced fumbles, three fumble recoveries and an interception in that span. Latavius Murray, who has three touchdowns in his last four encounters with Kansas City, scored twice last week to increase his rushing touchdown total to 11 - good enough for a tie for third in the league. Second-year wideout Amari Cooper collected 10 receptions for 129 yards in the first meeting with the Chiefs, but was limited to just two catches on Sunday versus the Bills.
ABOUT THE CHIEFS (9-3 SU, 6-6 ATS, 4-8 O/U): Alex Smith, who has thrown 18 touchdowns against three interceptions in his last nine starts versus the Raiders, is expected to see the return of trusted target Jeremy Maclin on Thursday. Maclin was a full participant in practice on Tuesday and is in line to end a four-game absence due to a groin injury. Tight end Travis Kelce recorded his third straight 100-plus-yard performance after reeling in eight receptions for 140 yards versus the Falcons, but was limited to three catches for 32 yards in the Week 6 win over Oakland.
TRENDS:
* Raiders are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.
* Chiefs are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
* Over is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 6-1 in Chiefs last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Kansas City.
CONSENSUS: The picking public is siding with the home favorite Chiefs and Over is grabbing 63 percent of the totals wagers.
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 14
Thursday's game
Raiders (10-2) @ Chiefs (9-3)— Long travel, short work week for Oakland; temps expected to be in 20’s. First place is up for grabs in AFC West; Chiefs won first meeting 26-10 (-1.5) in Oakland in Week 6- KC ran ball for 183 yards, was +2 in turnovers and shut Raiders out 13-0 in second half. Chiefs won six of last seven series games, with five of six wins by 14+ points. Oakland lost last three visits to Arrowhead by 17-18-6 points. Raiders won last six games overall (5-1 vs spread); they won/covered all five true road games this year, are 4-0 as road underdogs. Chiefs won seven of last eight games; they’re 4-1 at home, but 1-4 as home favorites, winning at Arrowhead by 6-21-6-5 points, with loss to Tampa Bay. Over is 10-2 in Raider games, 2-6 in last eight Chief games.
NFL TRENDS
Money Line
8:30 pm 12/12/2016
(133) BALTIMORE @(134) NEW ENGLAND
Play ON NEW ENGLAND using the money line in All games in games played on turf.
The record is 32 Wins and 5 Losses for the last three seasons (+22.7 units)
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8:30 pm 12/12/2016
(133) BALTIMORE @(134) NEW ENGLAND
Play ON NEW ENGLAND using the money line in Home games against conference opponents.
The record is 17 Wins and 2 Losses for the last three seasons (+14.2 units)
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8:30 pm 12/11/2016
(131) DALLAS @(132) NY GIANTS
Play ON DALLAS using the money line in All games in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
The record is 9 Wins and 1 Losses this season (+9.05 units)
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4:25 pm 12/11/2016
(127) SEATTLE @(128) GREEN BAY
Play ON GREEN BAY using the money line in Home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season.
The record is 42 Wins and 7 Losses since 1992 (+30.15 units)
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4:25 pm 12/11/2016
(127) SEATTLE @(128) GREEN BAY
Play ON GREEN BAY using the money line in Home games in December games.
The record is 46 Wins and 7 Losses since 1992 (+33.3 units)
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1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(113) PITTSBURGH @(114) BUFFALO
Play AGAINST PITTSBURGH using the money line in All games after 2 or more consecutive wins.
The record is 2 Wins and 7 Losses for the last two seasons (-11.9 units)
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1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(117) CHICAGO @(118) DETROIT
Play ON DETROIT using the money line in All games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season.
The record is 11 Wins and 1 Losses for the last three seasons (+10.5 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(113) PITTSBURGH @(114) BUFFALO
Play AGAINST PITTSBURGH using the money line in Road games after 2 or more consecutive wins.
The record is 0 Wins and 7 Losses for the last three seasons (-14.6 units)
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1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(111) CINCINNATI @(112) CLEVELAND
Play AGAINST CLEVELAND using the money line in All games in all games.
The record is 3 Wins and 25 Losses for the last two seasons (-22.7 units)
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1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(111) CINCINNATI @(112) CLEVELAND
Play AGAINST CLEVELAND using the money line in All games in all lined games.
The record is 3 Wins and 25 Losses for the last two seasons (-22.7 units)
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-----------------------------------
NFL TRENDS
ATS
4:25 pm 12/11/2016
(127) SEATTLE @(128) GREEN BAY
Play ON GREEN BAY against the spread in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season.
The record is 34 Wins and 13 Losses since 1992 (+19.7 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(117) CHICAGO @(118) DETROIT
Play AGAINST CHICAGO against the spread in Road games in December games.
The record is 12 Wins and 33 Losses since 1992 (-24.3 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(111) CINCINNATI @(112) CLEVELAND
Play AGAINST CLEVELAND against the spread in All games as an underdog.
The record is 5 Wins and 18 Losses for the last two seasons (-14.8 units)
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1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(105) DENVER @(106) TENNESSEE
Play AGAINST TENNESSEE against the spread in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 3 Wins and 16 Losses for the last two seasons (-14.6 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(115) ARIZONA @(116) MIAMI
Play AGAINST MIAMI against the spread in All games in December games.
The record is 0 Wins and 10 Losses for the last three seasons (-11 units)
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1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(105) DENVER @(106) TENNESSEE
Play AGAINST TENNESSEE against the spread in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 5 Wins and 25 Losses for the last three seasons (-22.5 units)
BET NOW!
8:25 pm 12/8/2016
(101) OAKLAND @(102) KANSAS CITY
Play ON OAKLAND against the spread in Road games against conference opponents.
The record is 10 Wins and 0 Losses for the last two seasons (+10 units)
BET NOW!
Money Line
8:30 pm 12/12/2016
(133) BALTIMORE @(134) NEW ENGLAND
Play ON NEW ENGLAND using the money line in All games in games played on turf.
The record is 32 Wins and 5 Losses for the last three seasons (+22.7 units)
BET NOW!
8:30 pm 12/12/2016
(133) BALTIMORE @(134) NEW ENGLAND
Play ON NEW ENGLAND using the money line in Home games against conference opponents.
The record is 17 Wins and 2 Losses for the last three seasons (+14.2 units)
BET NOW!
8:30 pm 12/11/2016
(131) DALLAS @(132) NY GIANTS
Play ON DALLAS using the money line in All games in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points.
The record is 9 Wins and 1 Losses this season (+9.05 units)
BET NOW!
4:25 pm 12/11/2016
(127) SEATTLE @(128) GREEN BAY
Play ON GREEN BAY using the money line in Home games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season.
The record is 42 Wins and 7 Losses since 1992 (+30.15 units)
BET NOW!
4:25 pm 12/11/2016
(127) SEATTLE @(128) GREEN BAY
Play ON GREEN BAY using the money line in Home games in December games.
The record is 46 Wins and 7 Losses since 1992 (+33.3 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(113) PITTSBURGH @(114) BUFFALO
Play AGAINST PITTSBURGH using the money line in All games after 2 or more consecutive wins.
The record is 2 Wins and 7 Losses for the last two seasons (-11.9 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(117) CHICAGO @(118) DETROIT
Play ON DETROIT using the money line in All games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season.
The record is 11 Wins and 1 Losses for the last three seasons (+10.5 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(113) PITTSBURGH @(114) BUFFALO
Play AGAINST PITTSBURGH using the money line in Road games after 2 or more consecutive wins.
The record is 0 Wins and 7 Losses for the last three seasons (-14.6 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(111) CINCINNATI @(112) CLEVELAND
Play AGAINST CLEVELAND using the money line in All games in all games.
The record is 3 Wins and 25 Losses for the last two seasons (-22.7 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(111) CINCINNATI @(112) CLEVELAND
Play AGAINST CLEVELAND using the money line in All games in all lined games.
The record is 3 Wins and 25 Losses for the last two seasons (-22.7 units)
BET NOW!
-----------------------------------
NFL TRENDS
ATS
4:25 pm 12/11/2016
(127) SEATTLE @(128) GREEN BAY
Play ON GREEN BAY against the spread in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season.
The record is 34 Wins and 13 Losses since 1992 (+19.7 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(117) CHICAGO @(118) DETROIT
Play AGAINST CHICAGO against the spread in Road games in December games.
The record is 12 Wins and 33 Losses since 1992 (-24.3 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(111) CINCINNATI @(112) CLEVELAND
Play AGAINST CLEVELAND against the spread in All games as an underdog.
The record is 5 Wins and 18 Losses for the last two seasons (-14.8 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(105) DENVER @(106) TENNESSEE
Play AGAINST TENNESSEE against the spread in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 3 Wins and 16 Losses for the last two seasons (-14.6 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(115) ARIZONA @(116) MIAMI
Play AGAINST MIAMI against the spread in All games in December games.
The record is 0 Wins and 10 Losses for the last three seasons (-11 units)
BET NOW!
1:00 pm 12/11/2016
(105) DENVER @(106) TENNESSEE
Play AGAINST TENNESSEE against the spread in All games against conference opponents.
The record is 5 Wins and 25 Losses for the last three seasons (-22.5 units)
BET NOW!
8:25 pm 12/8/2016
(101) OAKLAND @(102) KANSAS CITY
Play ON OAKLAND against the spread in Road games against conference opponents.
The record is 10 Wins and 0 Losses for the last two seasons (+10 units)
BET NOW!
