SATURDAY, NOV. 5
Matchup Skinny Edge
NAVY vs. NOTRE DAME (at Jacksonville, FL)...Irish 4-8 last 12 on board. Brian Kelly 3-9 last 12 as chalk away from home. Mids 14-5-1 vs. points last 20 since late 2014 and have covered 4 of last 7 in series.
Navy, based on team trends.
TEXAS STATE at APP STATE...No covers last three or 10 of last 1 at Boone for App, though Mounties 5-3 vs. line TY after Ga So win. Bobcats 2-8 vs. line last ten away (2-2 TY for Withers).
Slight to App State, based on team trends.
BYU at CINCINNATI...Cougs 5-0 vs. line away from Provo TY, and Sitake 6-1-1 vs. line. Tuberville on 3-9 spread skid since mid 2015 and only 1-5 last six vs. line at Nippert. Bearcats no covers last 3 as dog.
BYU, based on team trends.
AIR FORCE at ARMY...Falcs 15-4 vs. line in series since '97 and 8-1 vs. spread last nine at West Point. Though Falcs have cooled with 4 spread losses in a row TY.
Air Force, based on series trends.
LOUISVILLE at BOSTON COLLEGE... Road team has covered last two meetings, BC almost got Cards at Papa John's LY. Petrino on 7-3 spread run since last LY and 6-3 as chalk away from home since 2014. Eagles 0-4 as home dog since LY.
Louisville, based on team trends.
PURDUE at MINNESOTA...Purdue 2-1 as road dog TY and now 9-3 in role since 2014. Gophers just 1-5 vs. spread last six at TCF Bank Stadium. Road team has covered last two years in series.
Purdue, based on team trends.
VIRGINIA TECH at DUKE...Cutcliffe 15-5 last 20 as dog, 5-3 vs. line against VT. Last three decided by six points total! /div>
Duke, based on team and series trends.
SYRACUSE at CLEMSON...Cuse has covered last two meetings, and Babers beginning to make impact with covers last two TY. Dabo just 2-5-1 last 8 as Death Valley chalk.
Syracuse, based on team and recent series trends.
KANSAS at WEST VIRGINIA...Beaty 1-7 vs. points last eight as road dog, 5-15 overall vs. spread since taking over KU last year. Holgorsen 7-3 last ten as DD chalk.
West Virginia, based on team trends.
INDIANA at RUTGERS...Rutgers 1-5 vs. line last six Big Ten home games. Scarlet Knights 7-13 overall vs. spread since LY (3-5 for Ash).
Slight to Indiana, based on Rutgers negatives.
MICHIGAN STATE at ILLINOIS...Spartans no covers last five as visiting chalk. Lovie 2-1 last 3 as dog TY though Illini no covers last four as host.
Slight to Illini, based on recent MSU woes.
FLORIDA STATE at NC STATE... NCS 1-1 as dog TY but 1-6 last seven getting points since LY. Pack has covered first four at home TY and 3 of last 4 vs. Jimbo.
Slight to NC State, based on team and series trends.
MARYLAND at MICHIGAN... Harbaugh only 4-4 vs. line TY and 6-8 last 14 reg.-season games on board. Wolves no covers 3 of last 4 in Ann Arbor TY.
Slight to Maryland, based on team trends.
VIRGINIA at WAKE FOREST...Cavs now 17-6 their last 23 as dog after 'Ville cover. Deacs just 2-6 as home chalk since 2013.
Virginia, based on team trends.
OKLAHOMA STATE at KANSAS STATE...Snyder has covered five straight vs. Gundy and is 8-4 vs. line last 12 as Big 12 host. OSU only 6-6 as dog since 2014.
Kansas State, based on team and series trends.
EAST CAROLINA at TULSA...Pirates 0-3-1 vs. line away TY. Tulsa 3-1 vs. line at home TY after 1-5 mark as host LY.
Tulsa, based on recent trends.
UTSA at MIDDLE TENNESSEE...UTSA 0-5-1 last six vs. line on road. Stockstill 7-4-2 last 13 as chalk.
MTSU, based on team trends.
CHARLOTTE at SOUTHERN MISS...Improving 49ers 2-1 SU, 3-0 last three vs. line TY. USM 1-6 vs. spread last seven TY and 0-4 vs. points as host.
Charlotte, based on recent trends.
TCU at BAYLOR...Frogs just 1-7 vs. spread TY and 4-7 vs. line last 11 as visitor. Bears however just 3-10 last 12 vs. spread in reg season (2-5 TY).
Slight to Baylor, based on recent TCU negatives.
PITT at MIAMI-FLA...Reeling Canes 0-4 SU and vs. line last four TY. Road team has covered last three in series. Pitt 4-2 vs. spread last six away, Narduzzi 6-4 as dog since LY.
Slight to Pittsburgh, based on team trends.
GEORGIA TECH at NORTH CAROLINA...Paul Johnson just 8-9 as dog since 2013. Tech 1-7 vs. line last 8 away from Atlanta. Heels 6-3 last nine as Chapel Hill chalk.
UNC, based on team trends.
VANDERBILT at AUBURN...Malzahn on another of his runs, covers last five and 7 of 8 this season. Derek Mason 6-4 as SEC road dog since 2014, 14-9 overall as dog.
Auburn, based on recent trends.
GEORGIA at KENTUCKY...Stoops was ripped by Richt the past three years, but note that UK covered 4 of previous 5 meetings. Cats have covered last five TY. Kirby Smart 2-5 last seven vs. line TY.
Kentucky, based on recent trends.
FLORIDA at ARKANSAS...Bielema 1-4 vs. line last five TY, only 1-3 last four at home. Bielema had covered 10 of 12 as dog before dropping 3 of last 4 in role TY.
Slight to Florida, based on recent trends.
FRESNO STATE at COLORADO STATE...Fresno 5-1 last six vs. line TY after AFA cover. But Bulldogs 3-9 vs. spread last 12 away from home. Bobo 5-1-1 vs. line last seven TY and 4-2-1 vs. spread last seven at Ft. Collins.
Colorado State, based on team trends.
GEORGIA SOUTHERN at OLE MISS...Ga Southern downgraded, no covers last six TY after App State loss. Rebs 4-1-1 vs. line last six at Oxford vs. non-SEC foes, and 8-2 last ten as home chalk.
Ole Miss, based on team trends.
UMASS at TROY... Mass 2-1 vs. line away TY, though was only 1-4 as road dog LY. Troy 4-2-1 vs. line TY, 3-1 laying DD.
Troy, based on team trends.
FAU at RICE...Rice 0-2 as home chalk TY, though Bailiff was were 6-1-1 as home chalk previous two years. FAU 1-7 vs. line TY, and Boca Raton 4-14-1 last 19 on board.
Rice, based on team trends.
UTAH STATE at WYOMING...Utags 3-10 last 13 on board after SDSU loss and 3-7 vs. spread last ten away from Logan. Wyo covers last 4 TY, and Bohl 10-5-1 last 16 on board. Bohl 3-0-1 vs. line last four at Laramie.
Wyoming, based on recent trends.
MISSOURI at SOUTH CAROLINA...Tigers have lost last 10 SEC games SU, and just 5-14 vs. spread since 2015 (2-5 TY). Though they have covered last two vs. SC. Muschamp 9-16 as chalk since 2012 at Florida.
South Carolina, based on Mizzou negatives.
SOUTH ALABAMA at ULM...Jags no covers last five Sun Belt road games. ULM, however, on 5-game spread skid, and Warhawks 5-12 vs. points last 17 as host.
Slight to South Alabama, based on ULM woes.
IDAHO at UL-LAFAYETTE... Idaho has covered 10 straight at Sun Belt visiting dog! ULL just 6-12 last 12 vs. line at Cajun Field.
Idaho, based on team trends.
FIU at WKU...Golden Panthers 2-4-1 last seven away since LY. FIU no covers last five as DD dog.
Western Kentucky, based on team trends.
LA TECH at NORTH TEXAS...Mean Green 5-1-1 last 7 vs. line TU, but LT has won and covered last 2 in series. Skip 4-1 vs. line away TY, 15-6 last 21 vs. line away from Ruston.
Slight to La Tech, based on extended trends.
WASHINGTON at CAL...Huskies 7-4 last 11 on board. Cal 2-0-1 vs. line at home TY but only 3-6 last 9 as dog (2-2 TY).
Slight to Washington, based on series trends.
OREGON at SOUTHERN CAL...Ducks 1-6-1 vs. line TY, 1-8-1 last ten since late 2015! Oregon 4-1 SU and vs. line last five vs. Trojans. SC 4-1 vs. line last five at Coliseum.
Slight to USC, based on recent Oregon woes.
MARSHALL at ODU...Herd 2-5 vs. line last seven TY. ODU on 8-4 spread uptick since late 2015, and covers last five at Norfolk.
ODU, based on team trends.
HAWAII at SAN DIEGO STATE...Aztecs now 13-2 vs. spread last 15 MW reg season games after rout of Utags. Rocky Long 8-2 vs. line last 10 vs. MW at Qualcomm. SDSU has won and covered all four vs. UH since Bows joined MW in 2012. Rolovich, however, has covered 4 of 5 away from Honolulu TY.
San Diego State, based on extended trends.
TEXAS at TEXAS TECH...Horns 6-1 SU last seven and 5-2 vs. line last five in series. Red Raiders 9-3 vs. spread at Lubbock. Horns 1-7 vs. line last 8 as visitor for Charlie Strong.
Texas Tech, based on team trends.
MEMPHIS at SMU...SMU in payback mode after Memphis obliterated Mustangs past two seasons by 111-10 total score. SMU however 6-2 vs. line TY. Memphis no covers last five away from Liberty Bowl.
SMU, based on recent trends.
IOWA at PENN STATE...Hawkeyes 8-1 vs. line last nine as visitor.
Iowa, based on team trends.
OREGON STATE at STANFORD...Beavs rallying with covers in last four TY, though OSU was 6-21-1 vs. line previous 28 on line. Tree just 1-4 vs. line last five on Farm.
Slight to Oregon State, based on recent trends.
ARIZONA at WASHINGTON STATE...Road team won and covered last three meetings. Leach 6-4 vs. spread last ten at home and still 13-5 last 18 vs. number overall. Cats no covers last four TY and 1-9 last ten on board.
Washington State, based on team trends.
ALABAMA at LSU...Orgeron now 9-3 vs. spread as interim HC with SC (2013) and LSU. Tide has beaten Tigers five straight covering four of those but has been all-out to win nail-biters last two at Baton Rouge. Tide 9-3 vs. spread last 12 away from Tuscaloosa, LSU 11-5-1 vs. spread last 17 at Baton Rouge, though only 1-4 last five as dog.
Slight to Alabama, based on team trends.
WISCONSIN at NORTHWESTERN...NU has rolled Wiscy last two seasons and is 12-7 as dog since 2014 (3-1 TY). Fitz has covered last 4 and 5 of last 6 TY, and 16-9 last 24 vs. line overall. Badgers 6-1 vs. line TY and 8-1 last 9 on board. Wiscy has also covered last six away from Madison.
Northwestern, based on team trends.
NEBRASKA at OHIO STATE...Bucks no covers last 5 TY after opening 4-0 vs. line. Riley 8-3-1 last 12 vs. line since late LY and 4-1-1 as dog since taking over Huskers. Nebraska 8-1-1 as dog away from home since 2013.
Nebraska, based on recent trends.
NEVADA at NEW MEXICO...Pack no covers four away from Reno TY after 6-1 mark on road in 2015. Polian 1-7 vs. line TY.
New Mexico, based on recent trends.
TULANE at UCF (moved from Oct. 7)...UCF continues recovery under new HC Frost, now 6-2 vs. line TY.
UCF, based on recent trends.