Clemson vs Duke 11/3/2012

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Clemson is a solid favorite with a 72% chance to beat Duke. Andre Ellington is projected for 83 rushing yards and a 53% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 28% of simulations where Duke wins, Sean Renfree averages 2.46 TD passes vs 1.05 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.35 TDs to 1.29 interceptions. Jela Duncan averages 52 rushing yards and 0.59 rushing TDs when Duke wins and 47 yards and 0.37 TDs in losses. Clemson has a 47% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 79% of the time.
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