Pat- brand new here- and I love the seperate American views on this forum. I happen to agree with yours 100%.
There are remarkable few separate views here, American or otherwise. There are the wing nuts, the whack jobs, the kooks, the crazies, the fundies, and the Democrats & progressives.
You see the lower capital tax laws allowed this lawyer (who came from a single parent - close to poor family- who worked his way through college and borrowed money to go to law school) to begin a business. With higher capital gains it may never had occured. (With high taxes and high capital tax laws he may have decided to not invest his money- he may have just sat back and decided it was not worth the risk)
You're saying you can read minds and your mistaking an independent variable (capital tax rate at the time of investment) for the
only variable.
I believe every time there has been a reduction in capital gains there has been an increase in the economic growth. So why should I bust my ass and invest in risk if there is no payoff. Why should I give it someone that has not worked hard -to get my money.
You can do better than believe. You can find out. The internets are great for that. There are people who spend their whole lives collecting and collating data so that instead of merely "believing" something to be true you can actually find out. (More on that below)
is not.
- everyone have a great day--
- except, apparently, "someone that has not worked hard?"
Capital gains tax cuts are great if you believe the fallacy of supply side economics. As it turns out, however, the data show that supply side practice doesn't lead to trickle down wealth. In fact, it leads to the greater concentration of wealth in fewer and fewer hands. The data are available. Here's a brief sum, expressed more coherently and cogently than I have the time or wits for:
In 1980, Lawrence Summers (one of the nation's top economists, and then a conservative) conducted a definitive study that found that eliminating the capital gains tax
completely would raise U.S. output by only 1 percent over the next 10 years.
The historical evidence bears out the ineffectualness of these tax cuts as well. In November 1978, the top rate for capital gains was cut from 39 to 28 percent. In the prior 12 months, the economy had grown 5.8 percent; in the next year and a half, it fell one percentage point.
In August 1981, the top rate was again cut, this time from 28 to 20 percent. In the prior 12 months, the economy had grown by 3.5 percent; in the following 12 months, it fell by 2.8 percent. Of course, these tax cuts may have suffered from accidentally bad timing in the business cycle, but many conservatives reject business cycle theory, claiming that tax cuts are more responsible for economic performance. In that case, they have a major refutation to explain.
By contrast, capital gains were raised in 1976, and economic growth jumped up from 3.6 percent in the previous two years to 5.2 percent in the next two years. Capital gains were again raised in 1986, from 20 to 28 percent, and economic growth rose from 2.2% in the previous year to 3.8% over the next two years.
The effect of capital gains tax changes on unemployment is even more striking. The unemployment rate rose sharply after both the 1978 and 1981 capital gains tax cuts. By contrast, the jobless rate fell significantly after the 1976 and 1986 capital gains tax hikes were passed.
Taxes on capital gains were significantly lower in the 80s than in the 70s, but savings and investment did not rise, as conservatives had advertised. In fact, they fell:
Disposable personal savings
1980 7.9%
1984 8.0
1985 6.4
1986 6.0
1987 4.3
1988 4.4
1989 4.0
1990 4.2
National Savings, public plus private
1970 - 1979 7.7%
1988 - 1990 3.0
Private investment
1970 - 1979 18.6%
1980 - 1992 17.4 By the end of the 80s, it had become clear that the rich were not investing their liberated tax dollars on "good" forms of investment, like jobs and productive tools and technology. Instead, the money went towards consumption, the good life, and economically meaningless investments like antiques and sport cars. The lack of investment in the national interest became so obvious that Democrats in congress actually proposed guidelines to encourage it. During the 1992 campaign, Bill Clinton proposed a massive infusion of
public investment into the nation's aging infrastructure to compensate for the failure of the private sector to do so.
Proponents of a capital gains tax cut have no historical evidence to point to when trying to prove the benefits of these cuts. Given their track record of failure, any future proposals should be rejected out of hand.