CL Tues/Wed

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I am coming up witha lot of plays for today, but i like some of the ideas. maybe it helps.

Chelsea +0.5 @ 1.87 and under 2,2.5 @ 1.80

I like chelsea here as i have more confidence in them than barca. Chelsea has produced results this season, when they need them. after a slow start they have closed the gap in EPL to ManU. IN CL they won in a tough one vs. Bremen AND vs. Barca. Doesnt matter who was the better team as these two are on the same level, but they have won. that s fact.
If you look at the big matches from Barca i ve in mind from the recent past: a last minute draw at Bremen, a loss at Chelsea and a loss at Real in la liga.
That s not producing results against top teams IMO.
The situation in the standings is that Chelsea basically needs a draw, which means they are almost certain thru, while barca and Bremen can fight for the remaining spot. Barca has to win. they are in a really dangerous situation vs. Bremen not even to make it out of the group.
So i expect them to attack. That plays perfectly in the hands of chelsea, who will sit back on strong defense(which they have, whoever is in goal) and wait fo the chance.
it looks like a draw to me and probably low scoring as most of the times between those two.

Bremen -1,1.5 @ 1.85

Enough is written in other threads about it. Just a word of caution..this is CL.it s not Mainz and it is not Bochum. DOnt expect a blow out. it s european level and an away game. Really important is a win for them not more.But certainly a great chance for a win as you have to beat Sofia twice to amke it out of the group and everybody knows that. I just have the feeling we will all be sweating for the cover.

Liverpool -1 @ 1.80 and over 2 @ 1.80

I like them to get the home win as they have played better recently especially at home. Hopefully by 2 goals but not sure. i like the over even more. If liverpool covers the -1, they probably cover the total themselves. if they struggle it will be because the French somehow score.

PSV -1 @ 1.80
Enough is written about that game too and i agree with everything.

Valencia pk,-0.5 @ 1.83 and over 2 @ 1.76

Valencia is the better team here. Only problem which scares me is that a draw is enough for them to advance. But if it is a draw, it will probably not be a 0-0. more a 1-1 or something as Donecz will come to play at home. So by playing both i should be on positive in this match

Roma -1,-1.5 @ 1.90 and over 2.5 @ 1.90

Both are very strong for me. Roma is the better team here and they need the home win here to secure next round. Piräus is not a good away team without heir crazy home support, but they have shown already that they usually score even in away matches. should be entertaining and hopefully something like 3-1.

Bayern: no play

the hdc. is probably right. i believe they are winning, as tehy are the better team and i think they want to finish first in group from what i am hearing, but for that they just have to win. and knowing bayern they probably dont care by how much. Lisboa has a solid defense and will not go down without a fight..if i had to play something i would go withthe under.

BOL to all
 

Cosa Nostra
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Gl !!!
 

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6-4 damn Roma...i would play the over and Roma again if it was tomorrow, but they couldnt score :cryingcry
 

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I'm sorry about Roma. They cost me a big parlay win too. They've cost me a bit of money these past few weeks. So, I'm going to lay off betting on them for a while until I regain some confidence in them. Great picks though.
 

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not much for today:

ManU -1 @ 1.79

ManU th ebetter tea here and they need to get a win. should at least be a push.

Hamburg pk @ 1.80 and over 2 @1.80

Hamburg is focussing now on the Uefa-cup. For that they have to start today with a win. Porto will play for a draw, which is dangerous for them. Their star midfield is outinjured (happend last sunday). Even with 3 losses so far. Hamburg, especially, at home is still another class than Sofia or Kiev, where you can bet against without looking. dont think that Porto is anybetter on neutral ground.

All other matches are a pass for me.
Like everybody i like Real and Lyon to win. But to make money they have to win by 3. i dont like betting on football-teams to win by that much if they dont have to. Look what happend to Bremen. in their crazy 5 min they scored easily 3 goals and they had the potential to score even more but it stayed at the score..i dont see a reason, why real or lyon should press for 3 goals..it might happen, but not wit all efford.

BOL to all
 

Cosa Nostra
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How about Lyon, Real Parlayed on the Moneyline with Man U. That would be a safer bet instead of the -2.
 

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Soprano said:
How about Lyon, Real Parlayed on the Moneyline with Man U. That would be a safer bet instead of the -2.
that has much better chances IMO
 

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