Cincinnati vs Syracuse 11/26/2011

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Cincinnati winning 52% of simulations, and Syracuse 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Cincinnati commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 65% when they take care of the ball. Syracuse wins 60% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Isaiah Pead is averaging 106 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (37% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. Antwon Bailey is averaging 86 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is SYR +4

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