Cincinnati vs Connecticut 11/27/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Cincinnati winning 52% of simulations, and Connecticut 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Cincinnati commits fewer turnovers in 27% of simulations and they go on to win 68% when they take care of the ball. Connecticut wins 59% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Zach Collaros is averaging 274 passing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average passing yards and at least a 2 to 1 TD to INT ratio (40% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Jordan Todman is averaging 121 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (35% chance) then he helps his team win 63%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UCONN -1.5

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