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brewers, have you looked into the system using the lowest dog as your #1 play and the highest dog as your last play? I was looking at some number (only from Dec. 1 on) and here are the results:

All of the below is based on a $1 unit.
High to Low Dogs (plus $17.23)
Low to High Dogs (plus $21.28)

Highest Unit Risked Each Day
High to Low Dogs - 1,2,4,8,16,32,32,64
Low to High Dogs - 1,2,4,8,8,16,2,4

I know this is only 1 week but I was wondering if you had looked into this at all. Theoretically, the lowest dog should win more often than the highest dog.

Anyone have any thoughts on this?
 

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brewers, have you looked into the system using the lowest dog as your #1 play and the highest dog as your last play? I was looking at some number (only from Dec. 1 on) and here are the results:

All of the below is based on a $1 unit.
High to Low Dogs (plus $17.23)
Low to High Dogs (plus $21.28)

Highest Unit Risked Each Day
High to Low Dogs - 1,2,4,8,16,32,32,64
Low to High Dogs - 1,2,4,8,8,16,2,4

I know this is only 1 week but I was wondering if you had looked into this at all. Theoretically, the lowest dog should win more often than the highest dog.

Anyone have any thoughts on this?

Yes, have given a lot of thought to it, just don't have the time to go back and re-track it that way right now, way too busy...The lower DOG should win a lot more frequently, of course, which would keep the risk down (and profits, but I'd rather lower the risk, for sure)...I'd also have to establish what would be the lowest DOG to play...Do I make it +105?...+110?...
 

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-------------------------------

Day 60:

#1 Clm +175 (32 units)-L
#2 Phoe +152 (8 units)-L
#3 Was +122 (4 units)-L
#4 Cal +115 (2 units)--W

1-3, -$4170
Overall: 136-209, +$104,588

$5 base bet would be up $5229.40 after 60 days...
-------------------------------

Day 61:

#1 TB +204 (64 units)-L
#2 Fla +153 (16 units)-W
#3 NYI +140 (8 units)--L
#4 Buf +138 (1 units)--W
#5 Stl +105 (1 units)--W

3-2, -$4509
Overall: 139-211, +$100,079

$5 base bet would be up $5003.95 after 61 days...
-------------------------------

Day 62:

#1 NYI +194 (128 units)-L
#2 Cal +135 (16 units)---L
#3 LA +135 (1 unit)-----L
#4 Van +105 (1 unit)----W

1-3, -$14,395
Overall: 140-214, +$85,684

$5 base bet would be up $4284.20 after 62 days...
-------------------------------

Day 63:

#1 Stl +200 (256 units)-L
#2 TB +194 (32 units)--L
#3 Cal +186 (2 units)---L
#4 Ott +140 (1 unit)----L
#5 Phoe +135 (1 unit)--W
#6 Atl +130 (1 unit)----L
#7 Pitt +110 (1 unit)----L

1-6, -$29,165
Overall: 141-220, +$56,519

$5 base bet would be up $2825.95 after 63 days...
-------------------------------

NOTES: Looks like this thing is finally going to go KABLOOIE...It was a matter of time as the biggest bet of the year will go tonight and it's Tampa Bay on a back-end of a back-to-back against rested Montreal...Wow...Not much if any chance there...No way I'd bet that...This is why the tweaks need to be added...

I could see this coming easily and for 2 reasons...

Reason #1: The biggest Dog (#1 play for this system) was scorching hot for about 3 weeks...Scorching hot...And this is ALWAYS followed by a dry spell...And one long dry spell is all that is needed to wipe you out with this system in its raw form...

Reason 1a: An addendum to Reason #1 here is this thought...I have been capping the NBA for 20+ years, although have basically taken last year and this year off due to time constraints, but if I am remembering this correctly, the big moneyline DOGs are successful the first 4 to 6 weeks of the season, and the last 4 weeks of the season, and the the high moneyline FAVs generally kick in and win in between once the season settles in and Vegas and everyone else figures out who is really good and eveyone gets a handle on all of the teams...The last 4 weeks, the high moneyline DOG makes a comeback as teams rest players and there are injuries and like any season in any sport, there's just some crazy sh*t happening the final weeks of the season...

Reason #2: Go back to Day 59...The transition from Day 59 to Day 60 is ALWAYS a BIG danger spot with this system...And this is after we just had the same thing happen from Day 58 to Day 59...BIG TROUBLE...But back to Day 59, a 32-unit play and a 16-unit play...The 32-unit play wins, which is great, but the #2 play is a 16-unit play and it lost...So it is obvious that the #1 play is in the midst of a cold streak, and instread of starting Day 60 with an 8-unit play at #1, we have another 32-unit play and that is just a no-no...Can't be doing that...Way too dangerous...Asking for trouble...And I knew it as soon as it happened, and four days later, here we are, about to see this thing finally go down in flames, and not the Calgary Flames...And the ironic thing is, on Day 59, that #2 play was the Black Hawks blowing that 2-goal lead in the 3rd period and then losing in the shoot-out, and just one tough break like that is enough to topple a system like this...That's why I made the notation there on Day 59 that they blew that game, because I had a feeling immediately when I saw the back-to-back 32-units #1 plays happening because of that blown lead, that T-R-O-U-B-L-E was coming...And if this ain't a mess now, it'll do till the mess gets here...
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Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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Day 64:

#1 TB +214 (512 units)-W
#2 NYI +204 (64 units)-L
#3 Ana +170 (4 units)--L
#4 Caro +152 (2 units)-L
#5 Fla +140 (2 units)---W
#6 Stl +140 (2 units)---L
#7 Phoe +110 (1 unit)--W
#8 Nash +105 (1 unit)--L

3-5, +$102,658
Overall: 144-225, +$159,177

$5 base bet would be up $7958.85 after 64 days...
-------------------------------

Well, TB wins (could've gotten +250 to +270 closer to game time) but another huge play immediately follows...Too much pressure on this system in its purest form...The tweaks are needed...

for Friday:

New York Rangers +1.5 -250 +121 OVER 5 -105
New Jersey Devils -1.5 +230 -131 UNDER 5 -105

Ottawa Senators +1.5 -210 +140 OVER 5.5 -112
Washington Capitals -1.5 +190 -150 UNDER 5.5 +102

Boston Bruins -1.5 +183 -160 OVER 5.5 +103
Atlanta Thrashers +1.5 -201 +150 UNDER 5.5 -113

Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 -178 +160 OVER 6 -103
Buffalo Sabres -1.5 +168 -170 UNDER 6 -107

Detroit Red Wings -1.5 +183 -160 OVER 5.5 -125
Dallas Stars +1.5 -201 +150 UNDER 5.5 +115

Chicago Blackhawks -1.5 +235 -118 OVER 5.5 -120
Colorado Avalanche +1.5 -255 +108 UNDER 5.5 +110

Florida Panthers +1.5 -164 +182 OVER 5.5 +105
Calgary Flames -1.5 +154 -195 UNDER 5.5 -115
 
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Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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Day 65:

#1 Fla +182 (128 units)-W
#2 Tor +160 (8 units)---W
#3 Dal +150 (4 units)---W
#4 Atl +150 (4 units)---L
#5 Ott +140 (2 units)---L
#6 NYR +121 (1 unit)---L
#7 Colo +108 (1 unit)---L

3-4, +$24,376
Overall: 147-229, +$183,553

$5 base bet would be up $9177.65 after 65 days...
-------------------------------


Day 66:

#1 Stl +306 (8 units)--
#2 Atl +224 (4 units)--
#3 NYI +165 (2 units)--
#4 Dal +155 (2 units)--
#5 TB +155 (1 unit)----
#6 Phoe +144 (1 unit)--
#7 Was +136 (1 unit)---
#8 Buf +127 (1 unit)----
#9 Caro +127 (1 unit)---
#10 Pitt +120 (1 unit)---
#11 LA +108 (1 unit)----
#12 Van +107 (1 unit)---
 

Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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Day 66:

#1 Stl +306 (8 units)--L
#2 Atl +224 (4 units)--L
#3 NYI +165 (2 units)--L
#4 Dal +155 (2 units)--L
#5 TB +155 (1 unit)----L
#6 Phoe +144 (1 unit)--L
#7 Was +136 (1 unit)---W
#8 Buf +127 (1 unit)----W
#9 Caro +127 (1 unit)---L
#10 Pitt +120 (1 unit)---L
#11 LA +108 (1 unit)----W
#12 Van +107 (1 unit)---L

3-9, -$1729
Overall: 150-238, +$181,824

$5 base bet would be up $9091.20 after 66 days...
-------------------------------

Day 67:

#1 Clm +191 (16 units)-L
#2 Min +159 (8 units)--L
#3 Fla +156 (4 units)---L

One 4-unit & five 2-unit plays to carry over...


0-3, -$2800
Overall: 150-241, +$179,024

$5 base bet would be up $8951.20 after 67 days...
-------------------------------

Day 68:

#1 Colo +220 (32 units)-W
#2 LA +165 (16 units)---L ----(lost in shootout)

One 8-unit, one 4-unit & five 2-unit plays to carry over...


1-1, +$5440
Overall: 151-242, +$184,464

$5 base bet would be up $9223.20 after 68 days...
-------------------------------

Day 69:

#1 Colo +178 (32 units)-L ---(COLO better record, so wins tie-breaker)
#2 Atl +178 (8 units)---W
#3 NYI +150 (4 units)--L
#4 NYR +140 (2 units)--W
#5 Stl +132 (2 units)---L
#6 Phoe +115 (2 units)-L
#7 Tor +110 (2 units)---W

One 2-unit play to carry over...

3-4, -$2076
Overall: 154-246, +$182,388

$5 base bet would be up $9119.40 after 69 days...
-------------------------------

Day 70:

#1 Clm +170 (64 units)-
#2 Edm +145 (8 units)--
#3 NJ +130 (4 units)---
#4 Cal +125 (4 units)---
#5 LA +105 (2 units)---
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Striving towards handicapping perfection...
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Day 70:

#1 Clm +170 (64 units)-W
#2 Edm +145 (8 units)--L
#3 NJ +130 (4 units)---W
#4 Cal +125 (4 units)---W
#5 LA +105 (2 units)---L


3-2, +$10,900
Overall: 157-248, +$193,288

$5 base bet would be up $9664.40 after 70 days...
-------------------------------

Day 71:

#1 Stl +210 (16 units)-
#2 Tor +200 (4 units)--
#3 Fla +147 (1 unit)---
#4 Atl +142 (1 unit)---
#5 Clm +135 (1 unit)---
#6 SJ +128 (1 unit)----
#7 Colo +107 (1 unit)--
#8 Nash +105 (1 unit)--
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I'm just waiting for it to be updated :(

Where are you brewers?!!?

(Does anyone have links to an archive of lines for days past?)
 

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