Champion's League Tuesday and Write-Ups

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Tuesday’s Champion’s League Plays and Write-up<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>

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Real <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:State><st1:place>Madrid</st1:place></st1:State> vs. Dynamo <st1:City><st1:place>Kiev</st1:place></st1:City><o:p></o:p>



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Real <st1:State><st1:place>Madrid</st1:place></st1:State> are coming off a 1-0 victory against Real Betis in the Spanish Primera League. In the Champion’s League, they cost myself and a lot of punters some money when they didn’t produce a positive result at <st1:place>Lyon</st1:place>. Real Boss Fabio Capello was satisfied with the victory this past weekend and reaffirms that his team is in solid form for the fixture against <st1:City><st1:place>Kiev</st1:place></st1:City>.
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Dynamo <st1:City><st1:place>Kiev</st1:place></st1:City> is struggling mightily with their form in their home league with a draw and a 1-goal victory against a cellar dwelling team. In the Champion’s league, <st1:City><st1:place>Kiev</st1:place></st1:City> was pummeled by Steau Bucharesti 4-1 in their own stadium and it was their worst loss in 12 years. The coach has openly stated that his team is in horrible form and that their opponents seem to want it more. On top of that, one of their top strikersSerhiyRebrovwill be missing the match.
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Things don’t look good at all for Dynamo when they go into a stadium where they only won once in 10 attempts. I am betting on Real <st1:State><st1:place>Madrid</st1:place></st1:State> -1.5 -143 @Bet365 to win 2 units as I expect a strong home performance from Real in order to bolster their form and position in the Champion’s league. I don’t normally want teams to win by 2 goals, but with the abysmal form of Dynamo, I think it’s very feasible.
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Steau Bucharesti vs. Olympique Lyon<o:p></o:p>

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Steau Bucharesti has regarded <st1:place>Lyon</st1:place> as the well-tuned engines in football. However, the coach is confident that his side can produce a positive result against the French heavyweights. With a great chance to advance in the division, the Romanian side will be playing without any weight on their shoulders. The team is coming off a 4-1 away victory against a weak Dynamo Kiev side in their last Champion’s league fixture. At their home league, they haven’t fared well with losing 5 points in their last 3 games. In their recent loss to Dinamo Bucharest, police actually tear-gassed the fans because of their unruly behavior. Despite their slump, Steau has only conceded 2 goals in their last 8 games at home.
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<st1:place>Lyon</st1:place> is coming off a impressive 4-1 victory over <st1:City><st1:place>Lille</st1:place></st1:City> on Saturday. They are in good away form during the Champion’s league, only losing 2 of their last 10 away fixtures. Playing in Steau will be a tough task but the French side should be able to take advantage of Steau’s surprising poor form. <st1:place>Lyon</st1:place> don’t have any major injury concerns for the match as the tight-lipped group always produces results without much publicity.
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However, Steau has been always difficult to crack at home and the French side have a very stingy defense of their own. I am betting on the under 2.5 goals -125 @Bet365 for 2 units and am looking at a very close contest where one goal may decide the winner. From a spread poing of view, I would choose <st1:place>Lyon</st1:place> but am cautious of Steau’s excellent defense at home.

Good Luck on your plays. Wednesday’s fixtures will be posted tomorrow. Record will be updated after the Portsmouth game.
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10-11-5 -7.83 units

English Premiership: 5-4-4 -1.85 units.
Champion's League: 0-1 -4.00 units.
English Championship: 2-3 -3.02 units.
UEFA Cup: 1-1 +0.81 units
Italy Serie A: 2-0-1 +6.27 units
Scottish Premier: 0-1 -3.09 units.
Holland Eredivisie: 0-1 -3.00 units.

Hopefully these two games cash. A lot of variables in these games which makes it very difficult to cap. If you guys have any input on the other games on the card, I'd like to hear it.

I think the Celtic/Kobenhaven game is much more difficult than it seems. Celtic are playing well but the Kobenhaven team is in decent form. The 1 goal handicap seems a bit much for them.

I basically made it a rule to not bet Porto games. The only times I get a porto bet right is when it's on the total. Other than that, I find them to be the most unpredictable football team who can win at emirates or lose 2-0.

Milan should beat lille since the french club has lost form in their league. AEK and Anderlecht could go 50/50. Manchester United should beat Benefica but we all know too well how English teams perform once they leave their country.
 

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I really like Inter -.5 over Bayern, Inter really needs a win here, coach under fire, after loss in portugol.

Lyon -.5, I agree with what you said about the Romanian side but I feel there is a serious difference in talent, maybe under as well.

good luck
 

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I haven't capped wednesday's games yet. That Inter match definitely has my attention. They looked good against Roma but that defense had some holes against a not so great Chievo side. I think the over might be a good bet there but I'll cap those games tomorrow afternoon. Liverpool and Galtasaaray may aslo be an over. We'll see, need to do more research.
 

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I read somewhere that the coach blamed himself for the 3 goals conceded against Chievo. He said that it was the tactical changes that allowed Chievo to come back, his reason for the changes being the need to rotate players to keep them fresh.

That is roughly what i remembered. If so then the Inter defence wouldn't be as generous as it seems. Just my 2c.
 

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