Champions League August 21/22 2012

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When U Win Say Nothing. When U Lose Say Even L
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August 21, 2012
12:00pm ET

Spartak Moscow vs. Fenerbahce

Spartak Moscow began their 2012/13 campaign in good style and secured 12 points from 5 games. They have a solid team with a decent manager. They prefer an attacking style of play this year evidenced by the fact that all 5 league matches to date have exceeded 2.5 goals per match.
In their 5 matches they scored 10 and conceded 8 goals. So what can we say about Spartak…….They have a great attack and a porous defense.

Their opponent Fenerbahce began their season poorly. They lost in the Supercup 3-2 and in the Turkish League they are 1-1 scoring 7 and conceding 5 goals in two matches. They have the attackers that can take advantage of an unstable Spartak defense; but, defensively Fenerbahce have some problems of their own giving up 5 goals in 3 matches.

I fully expect Spartak Moscow to win today but I clearly expect there to be more than 2.5 goals scored and I like this option just a little more. They will be playing on artificial turf (not sure if anyone cares) but it appears that straight-ahead sprint speed is similar between field turf and natural grass, but change-of-direction speed may be significantly faster on field turf. So advantage Strikers and advantage Spartak because Fenerbahce has had a very tight schedule leading up to this match and may lack fitness in the last 30 minutes of the match where artificial turf begins to heat up your boots/feet and cause cramps in weak legs.

My conclusion is a good performance by Spartak, a weak one by Fenerbachce down the stretch (but they should get a goal in the first 60 min. on a suspect Spartak defense) and a home field win by Spartak Moscow.

Spartak Moscow vs. Fenerbahce Over 2.5 (-120) 2 Units

Spartak Moscow -0.5 (-110) 1 Units

!~))!
 

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Quick question. If I'm getting S. Moscow -0.5 (-113) vs S. Moscow ML (-106).....it would make sense for me to take the ML for the cheaper price,right? I got the over 2.5 @ +118 on 5dimes. Good luck man!
 

When U Win Say Nothing. When U Lose Say Even L
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Varkey the ML makes sense at -106. The -0.5 you have is PK-0.5 but sights like the Greek for example don't offer that but their odds reflect it i.e, Pinnacle does.

I took a early line on both the over and spread.

My over 2.5 was actually 2.0-2.5 so its at 2.25 and if they only score 2 goals I will lose half my wager. But I expect scoring today.

I just kept it simple and posted as 2.5. I may add another unit to the over as we get closer to match time.
 

When U Win Say Nothing. When U Lose Say Even L
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Adding...........

Spartak Moscow vs. Fenerbahce Over 2.5 (+102) 1 more Unit
 

When U Win Say Nothing. When U Lose Say Even L
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The over hit. Im very pleased.

The 60 min mark was key. The Turks have had a tough sked leading up to this and fitness is the main Achilles Heal for them. Spartak should finish them off in the last 30.
 

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The over hit. Im very pleased.

The 60 min mark was key. The Turks have had a tough sked leading up to this and fitness is the main Achilles Heal for them. Spartak should finish them off in the last 30.

Wooooo!! My halftime prayers were answered. Thank u for the BIG afternoon winner. Now let's close this bad boy off with a Spartak victory!!!
 

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What book do u use??

By the way, mad props and much thanks for posting your plays EARLY!
 

When U Win Say Nothing. When U Lose Say Even L
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I'm happy we won but there will be losses......very few I hope.

I use 3 books.

Greek, Pinny, Bet 365

The Greek is my fav it's simple and low tech. Like me.

I have my play for tomorrow already it's another total but I haven't finished my capping.

I will post it tonight in this thread. I have a busy morning.

Have a great day.
 

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I have a retarded local with ML at -140 which is pretty much -.5 at -140
 

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I'm happy we won but there will be losses......very few I hope.

I use 3 books.

Greek, Pinny, Bet 365

The Greek is my fav it's simple and low tech. Like me.

I have my play for tomorrow already it's another total but I haven't finished my capping.

I will post it tonight in this thread. I have a busy morning.

Have a great day.

I appreciate u answering all of my questions even though you have a super busy morning. Do u have an updated record? I know there will be losses, but its always nice to win +4.00 units in the morning after winning +4.00 units in the NFL last night.

Looking fwd to your Wed totals selection! Have a great day and thanks again.
 

When U Win Say Nothing. When U Lose Say Even L
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That's a good question. Units +17 roughly since the start of the season.

EPL 6-0
La Liga 1-0
Champ League 2-0
Turkish Superlig 1 Push but rarely play this.

It's a great start for me so I hope I don't become fade material some day soon. LOL.
Everything adjusts to the mean. But I am happy to do the Chicken Dance.
 

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That's a good question. Units +17 roughly since the start of the season.

EPL 6-0
La Liga 1-0
Champ League 2-0
Turkish Superlig 1 Push but rarely play this.

It's a great start for me so I hope I don't become fade material some day soon. LOL.
Everything adjusts to the mean. But I am happy to do the Chicken Dance.

Keep on dancin!!! Thanks for the winners and keep it up...:massage:
 

When U Win Say Nothing. When U Lose Say Even L
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August 22, 2012
2:45pm ET

Dinamo Zagreb vs. Maribor

The home side Dinamo Zagreb is favored to win at home and they should win at home, but I think we are dealing with another match where goals will be scored. I am looking forward to watching this one.

DZ have displayed some wonderful results on the attacking side of the ball. In CL play and in their home league they have had favorable results. A win is key and they need to score goals as well in order to give them a strong chance of advancement when they meet for the return match.

The challenger Maribor is a team which in my books screams OVER. They are a one dimensional team and that is attack, attack, attack. They can score easily and must score due to a weak and suspect defense. They will do their best to hold the line but if they get scored on early they will abandon the D for offense.

Dinamo Zagreb can boast that only 2 of their last 12 Wins were under 3 goals and they are undefeated in their last 19 competitive matches.

Maribor has 9 Wins and 3 draws, undefeated in their last 12 competitive matches.

Neither team is accustom to losing and both teams love to score and play a wide open game.

I definitely expect at least 3 goals in this match up. So why is there a low total of 2 to 2.5 posted by the bookmakers? Well I think they feel Maribor has a tendency to play poorly offensively on the road and with the pressure of a CL berth it may affect the goal scoring on hostile grounds.

But Dinamo at home in CL qualifying this year has scored 7 and allowed 2. 4-0 and 3-2 respectively. It will be 80 degrees at first whistle, a clear sky and low humidity. Perfect for scoring goals. No reason for DZ to fix what ain't broken!!!

Dinamo Zagreb vs. Maribor Over 2.5 (+110) 3 Units


!~))!
 

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