2 max plays, possible parlay...
Cincy -2.5 (-105), 3 point move since open. Suspect/hope this will go back down closer to Sunday. With the reported money and bets pouring in on Cincy I think they had to move the line to entice KC money, Chiefs getting points at home will no doubt entice casuals.
This matchup has been dissected at length, Cincy 3-0 vs KC recently, all games 1 possession (3 points to be specific). I am handicapping this game like Mahomes will be 100%, imo you have to cap it this way. He will be heavily taped and shot up at game time. I like many others have been riding Cincy the entire year, of course for Burrow and the offense but mostly the defense which is finally getting it's due. Anarumo is a phenomenal DC but they have players on this side of the ball as well (Reader, Hendrickson, Pratt, Wilson, Bates, Hubbard, Hilton). I suspect more of the same from them as far as scheme vs KC. I'm not sure what more KC can do to throw some wrinkles in, their offense is what it is. On offense CIN matches up very well w/ KC. They don't have the personnel to slow down Chase, Higgins, Boyd, Hurst with some Irwin sprinkled in. My only pause is KC's pass rush. Buffalo wasn't able to capitalize on the OL issues but KC has the best DT in the league and pass rushers Clark and Dunlap. I still think they'll be able to scheme it up fine but it is a small concern. Cincy covers up to -3.5
Birds -2.5 (-115). This one seems easy, a little too easy. I had it at Eagles -3.5, is this a trick to lure SF money by making it seem closer than it is or is it the other way to entice Philly money with the 1/2 pt cushion for what most see as a 3 pt game? I don't think it will be close. Dallas was in that game, they literally gave it away. You can give the defenses a wash although I give a slight nod to Philly due to their secondary, however SF safeties are very good. I see it as I trust Hurts at home w/ a 4 headed monster at RB (including Hurts), a solid TE and 2 very good WRs against that SF defense. I think they will get to Purdy and really stall out the offense. If Purdy can prove me wrong and keep his team in it and let the skill players do their thing than I will be paying handsomely to see it.
Non posted plays from last week that I know no one cares about but I feel the need to post lol:
Jax +9.5
Eagles -7.5 (Large)
Cincy +6 (Large and ML)
SF -3.5
Went 3-1 bc at game time I stupidly bet KC.
Cincy -2.5 (-105), 3 point move since open. Suspect/hope this will go back down closer to Sunday. With the reported money and bets pouring in on Cincy I think they had to move the line to entice KC money, Chiefs getting points at home will no doubt entice casuals.
This matchup has been dissected at length, Cincy 3-0 vs KC recently, all games 1 possession (3 points to be specific). I am handicapping this game like Mahomes will be 100%, imo you have to cap it this way. He will be heavily taped and shot up at game time. I like many others have been riding Cincy the entire year, of course for Burrow and the offense but mostly the defense which is finally getting it's due. Anarumo is a phenomenal DC but they have players on this side of the ball as well (Reader, Hendrickson, Pratt, Wilson, Bates, Hubbard, Hilton). I suspect more of the same from them as far as scheme vs KC. I'm not sure what more KC can do to throw some wrinkles in, their offense is what it is. On offense CIN matches up very well w/ KC. They don't have the personnel to slow down Chase, Higgins, Boyd, Hurst with some Irwin sprinkled in. My only pause is KC's pass rush. Buffalo wasn't able to capitalize on the OL issues but KC has the best DT in the league and pass rushers Clark and Dunlap. I still think they'll be able to scheme it up fine but it is a small concern. Cincy covers up to -3.5
Birds -2.5 (-115). This one seems easy, a little too easy. I had it at Eagles -3.5, is this a trick to lure SF money by making it seem closer than it is or is it the other way to entice Philly money with the 1/2 pt cushion for what most see as a 3 pt game? I don't think it will be close. Dallas was in that game, they literally gave it away. You can give the defenses a wash although I give a slight nod to Philly due to their secondary, however SF safeties are very good. I see it as I trust Hurts at home w/ a 4 headed monster at RB (including Hurts), a solid TE and 2 very good WRs against that SF defense. I think they will get to Purdy and really stall out the offense. If Purdy can prove me wrong and keep his team in it and let the skill players do their thing than I will be paying handsomely to see it.
Non posted plays from last week that I know no one cares about but I feel the need to post lol:
Jax +9.5
Eagles -7.5 (Large)
Cincy +6 (Large and ML)
SF -3.5
Went 3-1 bc at game time I stupidly bet KC.
