CFL Week 3

PassTheBuck · Jul 14, 2010

Calgary Stampeders TT OVER 27 (-115) -- 0.5 units: I don't want anything to do with Cleo Lemon's potential, and in what way Hufnagel's words have motivated his defence this week. Furthermore, the Calgary d has not let a single rusher gain more than 37 yards this year, which worries me because Cleo Lemon is in trouble if the run can't at least take some of the pressure off him. I'll deal with the Calgary offence vs. Toronto defence matchup, and the deceptively crappy Argos defence. I say deceptive, because this defence has a reputation of keeping the team in games, and has been getting props from analysts in the first two weeks of the season, despite playing quite poorly. Game one in Calgary, they gave up 324 yards in the air, and 176 yards on the ground (total = 500). Game two in Winnipeg they gave up 366 passing and 147 rushing (total = 513). Toronto is last in total net yards, last in net passing yards, and 6th in net rushing yards. It's true that Calgary could have had more points in week one, and with another lackluster performance last week, the heat might actually be on this 2-0 team to finally put up a dominant showing.

GL

YTD: 3-2, +2.28 units

ANOTHERDAY · Jul 14, 2010

PassTheBuck said:
Calgary Stampeders TT OVER 27 (-115) -- 0.5 units: I don't want anything to do with Cleo Lemon's potential, and in what way Hufnagel's words have motivated his defence this week. Furthermore, the Calgary d has not let a single rusher gain more than 37 yards this year, which worries me because Cleo Lemon is in trouble if the run can't at least take some of the pressure off him. I'll deal with the Calgary offence vs. Toronto defence matchup, and the deceptively crappy Argos defence. I say deceptive, because this defence has a reputation of keeping the team in games, and has been getting props from analysts in the first two weeks of the season, despite playing quite poorly. Game one in Calgary, they gave up 324 yards in the air, and 176 yards on the ground (total = 500). Game two in Winnipeg they gave up 366 passing and 147 rushing (total = 513). Toronto is last in total net yards, last in net passing yards, and 6th in net rushing yards. It's true that Calgary could have had more points in week one, and with another lackluster performance last week, the heat might actually be on this 2-0 team to finally put up a dominant showing.

GL

YTD: 3-2, +2.28 units

Cals QB can can go to H*LL^<<^

PassTheBuck · Jul 16, 2010

Montreal Alouettes TT OVER 29.5 (-115) -- 2.5 units: If everyone was healthy, I'd still like this bet. It's clear from the preseason and Week 1, BC has lost the home field advantage they previously held in BC Place. People might look at Montreal's history in BC, posting over 20 points only once in their last 5 trips to BC. You could say the time zone has a big effect on the far east teams... however, Montreal's been in Edmonton most of the week, from what I know (I might be wrong). Empire Stadium has a look similar to McGill University's stadium. Oh yah, and BC is missing two of its best players on defence, Keron Williams (again) and Anton McKenzie. Montreal has posted totals of 33 and 51 this year, and are showing no signs of slowing down on offence. I would argue that in its current state, the BC defence is worse than both Saskatchewan's and Edmonton's. Montreal is really relying on the pass game, which is good for quick scores and eating up minimal clock time. Again, I'll stick with the TT because I just don't know what I'm going to get with Casey Printers. Was kinda burned with Calgary, but 24 points with 18 minutes remaining will equal an over/push of 27 nine times out of ten, especially in the CFL.

Hamilton Tiger Cats vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers OVER 54 (-110) -- 1 unit: Another square play by me, but honestly, I can't justify betting any unders right now in the CFL. These defences are weak, and these offences are dynamic. Until he is knocked out (which may be soon), Buck Pierce is proving to be a double threat for the Bombers... one that Hamilton won't be able to stop. He's going to put up points, either by running the ball or passing. He's still got Fred Reid, and with his own running ability he may force the Tabbies to use a spy. This should open up the passing game. I mean, all things considered, Winnipeg probably deserved that game last week, as several key turnovers and a 117 yard missed FG return led to their demise. But the point should be made, their defence has a lot to be desired. Hamilton picked it up last week, and despite a measly 22 points, had 356 net yards passing. Hamilton also should be feeling a bit of urgency, as a loss this week could potentially lead to an 0-5 start, with two games in Sasky and Montreal coming up. I expect this to be a shootout, with both teams trading chances all game.

GL

YTD: 3-3, +1.71 units