If I see one more baconator add I am going to throw up....
Heavy trends point towards the under (2-8 O-U last 3 seasons h2h) in this game but those are from the days when the argos use to have one of the best defenses in the league. Now they are missing 4 starters on defense from the last time they played each other. The blue bombers continue to get better on offense, Their YPPT stats have gone from 19.1 (league worst) to 17.5, 17.5, 16.6 since Kevin Glenn started calling his own plays from scrimmage. The argos allow on avg 32 points per game on defense. winnipeg looked good running the ball last week with 2 a back system and I can see them having success moving the ball again tonight.
On the flip side new HC don mathews has stated changes will be made in toronto if player performance does not improve, IMO he is speaking to the offence here. Mathews is a defensive coach and he knows he will be able to help the defensive and he is also aware of their injury situation. So knowing that his defense is going to give up points he needs the offense to score more. The Winnipeg defense is no hell on wheels either giving up an avg of 30 points a game this season. This week they traded for MLB Zeke Moreno from Hamilton to help shore up their LB ranks. But this is addition through subtraction b/c they loose Tom Canada (initially part of the trade) to an enlarged Spleen. Moreno will definately help spy on Joseph and ensure he does not beat them with his legs but Joseph may have more time in the pocket without Canada crushing down on his blind side.
Looking back at those past season trends the two have hooked up for one over each year. Both times late in the season I can see this happening again tonight as the line has inched up half point from opening and now sits at 51. Heres a nice trend for you the betting public is correct 70% of the time when they move an argos total. I gotta think that has been betting mostly unders, but the fact that the game went up half point is talking to me.
i would also give the argos the edge on special teams as the Blue bombers kicking teams are terrible. Toronto has good returners and Vanderjerk is having a good season.
OVER 51 3*
In the night cap I think Calgary is going to skate past the Als. Montreal will be without Coburne again tonight and that will mean Mike Imoh will see the bulk of the carries. Imoh only managed 75 yards vs the argos weak rush defense last week. Early in the year Calgary was supporting a pretty solid rush defense in fact they were leading the league. Last week they effectively shut down the eskimo run game and then in turn pass defended well against potent ricky ray. I can see a similiar game plan here tonight.
The calgary offense is banged up but still managed to hang 38 points on the eskimos last week. Montreal stats look impressive this year but that is because they have been beating up on their weak sister teams in the east. Vs the west montreal is only 1-3 Su this year their lone win coming at home as 4.5 chalk vs BC, a game they were losing until the final 2 minutes and then had to survive a 1st goal situation 3X at the end of the game.
Lots of talk from Calgary this week about re-establishing home feild advantage, I see then winning this game by 9-10 points.
CALGARY -3 3*
gl powers
Heavy trends point towards the under (2-8 O-U last 3 seasons h2h) in this game but those are from the days when the argos use to have one of the best defenses in the league. Now they are missing 4 starters on defense from the last time they played each other. The blue bombers continue to get better on offense, Their YPPT stats have gone from 19.1 (league worst) to 17.5, 17.5, 16.6 since Kevin Glenn started calling his own plays from scrimmage. The argos allow on avg 32 points per game on defense. winnipeg looked good running the ball last week with 2 a back system and I can see them having success moving the ball again tonight.
On the flip side new HC don mathews has stated changes will be made in toronto if player performance does not improve, IMO he is speaking to the offence here. Mathews is a defensive coach and he knows he will be able to help the defensive and he is also aware of their injury situation. So knowing that his defense is going to give up points he needs the offense to score more. The Winnipeg defense is no hell on wheels either giving up an avg of 30 points a game this season. This week they traded for MLB Zeke Moreno from Hamilton to help shore up their LB ranks. But this is addition through subtraction b/c they loose Tom Canada (initially part of the trade) to an enlarged Spleen. Moreno will definately help spy on Joseph and ensure he does not beat them with his legs but Joseph may have more time in the pocket without Canada crushing down on his blind side.
Looking back at those past season trends the two have hooked up for one over each year. Both times late in the season I can see this happening again tonight as the line has inched up half point from opening and now sits at 51. Heres a nice trend for you the betting public is correct 70% of the time when they move an argos total. I gotta think that has been betting mostly unders, but the fact that the game went up half point is talking to me.
i would also give the argos the edge on special teams as the Blue bombers kicking teams are terrible. Toronto has good returners and Vanderjerk is having a good season.
OVER 51 3*
In the night cap I think Calgary is going to skate past the Als. Montreal will be without Coburne again tonight and that will mean Mike Imoh will see the bulk of the carries. Imoh only managed 75 yards vs the argos weak rush defense last week. Early in the year Calgary was supporting a pretty solid rush defense in fact they were leading the league. Last week they effectively shut down the eskimo run game and then in turn pass defended well against potent ricky ray. I can see a similiar game plan here tonight.
The calgary offense is banged up but still managed to hang 38 points on the eskimos last week. Montreal stats look impressive this year but that is because they have been beating up on their weak sister teams in the east. Vs the west montreal is only 1-3 Su this year their lone win coming at home as 4.5 chalk vs BC, a game they were losing until the final 2 minutes and then had to survive a 1st goal situation 3X at the end of the game.
Lots of talk from Calgary this week about re-establishing home feild advantage, I see then winning this game by 9-10 points.
CALGARY -3 3*
gl powers
