CFB Week 6

logan1981 · Sep 30, 2024

Week 6 just doesn't sound right but it is... Plus a little last week. Hit my top play in Notre Dame thankfully. Split the rest. I am playing this one now as I do not trust the line to hold.

Marshall -ml 6*

Marshall has a net expected yardage of +60, and have played a bit of a tougher schedule. Marshall has protected the ball where as App State has not. I have the number at Marshall -6.5, so a top play for me.

good luck

logan1981 · Oct 1, 2024

The Rest

Stanford +9 5*

Stanford ml +260 1*

I just do not get this one. I know preseason VT was projected to be good as they returned 21 starters where as Stanford was supposed to be bad. I had Brent Pry on the hot seat last season. I have a lot of friends that live there and they are just losing their minds. And the line is going up. Taking the Home Dog and sprinkling a bit on the ml.

Vandy 1st half +13 4*

A flat spot for Bama. Everyone gets up to play Bama but can Bama get up for lowly Vandy after their emotional win vs Georgia. They certainly have the depth to kill them but I think that is more likely to happen late instead of early. Vandy is a bit better than expected this year. 1st half only for me.

Tenn/Arkansas Over 60 4*

Tennessee has the 3rd ranked offense and has a balanced attack, so they can move the ball no matter what defense they are facing. Arkansas has a good run defense but is ranked 89th vs the pass. Arkansas has the 13th ranked offense and are at home. Tennessee has the top ranked defense so far but have not faced a single team with an offensive pulse.

Arizona State -2.5 3*

Taking the home team short favorite in this one. I have it capped at -7.5 so I see some value. Kansas has been over valued all year as they are just 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS.

Washington -2.5 3*

Another short home favorite for me. I have this one capped at 9 so I see value in this one also. Michigan is playing in their 1st road game of the year. I just do not see how Michigan scores much. Washing has won 20 of their last 21 home games so I am laying it.

good luck