Central Michigan vs Toledo 10/6/2012

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Toledo is a heavy favorite winning 81% of simulations over Central Michigan. Terrance Owens is averaging 276 passing yards and 2.5 TDs per simulation and David Fluellen is projected for 115 rushing yards and a 81% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 19% of simulations where Central Michigan wins, Ryan Radcliff averages 2.34 TD passes vs 0.75 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.09 TDs to 1.09 interceptions. Zurlon Tipton averages 66 rushing yards and 0.61 rushing TDs when Central Michigan wins and 58 yards and 0.31 TDs in losses. Toledo has a 62% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 87% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is TOL -12.5

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