Central Michigan vs Massachusetts 11/23/2012

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Central Michigan is a heavy favorite winning 79% of simulations over Massachusetts. Ryan Radcliff is averaging 326 passing yards and 2.84 TDs per simulation and Zurlon Tipton is projected for 96 rushing yards and a 70% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 21% of simulations where Massachusetts wins, Mike Wegzyn averages 1.9 TD passes vs 0.99 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 1.01 TDs to 1.26 interceptions. Michael Cox averages 85 rushing yards and 1 rushing TDs when Massachusetts wins and 74 yards and 0.54 TDs in losses. Central Michigan has a 54% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 85% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is UMASS +11
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