Celtics ML in game two is almost free money.. No way they lose two in a row at home...

[D2bets]

Sportsbettors just love to deny reality and cling to old notions. The line here should be about 5 and ML about -220. If anyone taking Boston ML is a winning bettor I want an investigation.

Ray Allen is going to play better, but what if Ben Gordon and/or John Salmons get hot? They were 12-33 and 1-10 from 3 pt range in Game 1. What if Brad Miller hit the jumpers he usually does? What if Boston doesn't get every call like they did in Game 1? What if the Bulls, a 38.1% 3-point shooting team, shoot better than 3-17 from behind the arc?

These teams are extraordinarily even right now on paper which means you give Boston the edge at home and needing it more. But regardless, the Bulls are more than capable of winning and of playing better and you don't want to be laying -400 or more in this matchup period. Just a bad bet.

I'll be looking to get the Bulls and 9 points today.

 

[JohnLocke]

good point D2bets

 

[OJS#32buff]

I think the Bulls have a good shot to win SU. They have a lot of confidence after beating these guys on Saturday.

I agree and have seen much bigger upsets-there are no locks-agree bulls should keep it close and confident after proving they can play when they have to. GL paddy

 

[the1yankee]

bulls +8'

bulls should hang in there maybe lose by 7-8

 

[the1yankee]

celts

gl on the celts m/L parley it with the CAPS n ovechkin

 

[VoiceofReason101]

At -380 you need to win over 79% to make profit, but I feel that the Celtics would win this game 93-94 times out of 100...

completely disagree with this statement, I think your biased in your judgment and 93-94% success is way off. 80% yes, I see them winning this game 8 out 10 times not 9 out of 10 times. I actually think its a better chance of Chicago winning 3 than only 1. I personally believe laying the points (game or half) is the better play. GL

 

[moneymike+]

theres no value in anything around -375, if you like it play the spread, noone though the celtics were going to lose game 1 and look what happened.

 

[JDeuce]

Ray Allen isn't a clutch playoff shooter. Not sure why this is news to everyone. He started last year's playoffs miserably, but improved a little near the end. Still, I don't expect him to go off at any time this post season.

I learned my lesson about playing big money line favorites a long time ago. My usual play is $200-$400 on most games, and I always try to look at money line situations like this: if the celtics are -400 tonight, then I ask myself how often I'd risk $40 to win $10 on any bet. Probably not very often...it's really too much risk for too little reward. I'd to need to bet a hell of a lot in order for a win to really make a decent difference in my bankroll...so why the hell would I want to increase my risk and put up $800 to win $200, or $1,200 to win $300? If Boston lost, it would take a pretty good winning streak of normal sized bets to recoup it...and for whatever reason, every time I've lost one of these large money line favorites in the past, it seemed to kick-start a tailspin of bad results.

I'm actually expecting a pretty close game tonight. The Celtics looked vulnerable on Saturday, and I don't know what will have changed in 48 hours. I think Boston will pull away at the end, but maybe only win by 5 or 6 after the Bulls miss a late game-tying shot and foul at the end. The only thing which is really preventing me from making a big play on Chicago +8 tonight is I'm worried they'll go into the game with a "well, our goal was a split in the first two games of this series" attitude, so they may not try as hard, etc. If I'm Vinny Del Negro, I say fuck that..go for the kill.

 

[gynecologist]

. If anyone taking Boston ML is a winning bettor I want an investigation.

I have no idea who you are, but this is an asinine statement..

 

[gynecologist]

Well we all made our points, now lets see what happens tonight..

Rose played out of his mind and Allen had the worst game of his career and the Bulls were still life or death to beat the Celtics in game one.. Can the Bulls win two in a row on the road in a hostile enviroment, yeah of course anything is possible..

But is this likely? I doubt it.

 

[gynecologist]

BTW look at the fucking line on this game, up to -450 or more everywhere now..

All I got is a couple of little parlays ending to them from the RED SOX earlier today, dont know if I'm willing to lay this juice. Much more than I expected to lay..


Blindly saying betting -400 ML's is a bad proposition is a really stupid thing to say.. Its not smart or profitable to bet them all the time, but when the right situation presents itself its not bad at all..

 

[mjm11309]

celts need scal. i'm not touching them until he suits up.

 

[D2bets]

How does your -400 ML feel about now?

 

[eoghater]

celts need scal. i'm not touching them until he suits up.

brian, nice to see you on the forums.

 

[mjm11309]

brian, nice to see you on the forums.

eh...lol. man i was hoping i would get more responses. oh well.

LOVE SCAL!

 

[moneymike+]

saying free money=loss and jinx

 

[Schmengs]

Gold!!

 

[D2bets]

Congrats. Easy money. Great play. Good call. :toast:

 

[Schmengs]

$600 to win $130
now that's value!

 

[Coldweather]

Difficult game. hno: Happy you won. Good job.

:toast: