CBRADLEY STAKES FAIRGROUNDS RACE 12

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sImulator ( true odds) odds for tomorrows
Cbradley stakes ( from my real odds line )
Assuming it remains on turf and there are no scratches
Gl

I demonstrate this race to show you how difficult it really is to find overlays on any given day .
The odds on the left are the my real simulator odds given the algorythims over 1 million races ,
so they are extremely accurate .
THe odds on the right are the ones you need at post time to make an actual wager on the horse for it to be profitable .
In a nutshell even the second highest rated #3 will win at approx 12 percent of the time , so
the race in question is extremely competive

gl guys on whichever way you go
yes

1 Logical Myth 6 G L o 118 Beschizza Adam Sharp Joe 18-1 ----- ----36-1
2 Halo Again 5 H L 122 Rosario Joel Asmussen Steven M. 8-1 --------- 16-1
3 Cavalry Charge 5 G L 118 Hernandez, Jr. Brian Joseph Stewart Dallas 5-1 ------- ---10-1
4 Own Agenda 7 G L 118 Hernandez Colby J. DeVaux Cherie 8-1 --------- 16-1
5 Major Fed 5 H L 118 Geroux Florent Foley Gregory D. 15-1 ------- -- 30-1
6 Two Emmys 6 G L 124 Graham James Robertson Hugh H. 9-5 -------- -7-2
7 Excess Magic 4 C L 122 Gutierrez Reylu Calhoun W. Bret 12-1 ------ ----- 24-1
8 Monarchs Glen (GB) 8 G L 118 Bravo Joe Maker Michael J. 9-1 ------- ----18-1
9 Bodecream 5 G L 118 Parker Deshawn L. Englehart Jeffrey S. 8-1---------- 16-1
10 Lucky Curlin 5 G L 118 Pedroza, Jr. Marcelino Casse Mark E. 29-1 ------- --- 58-1
11 Dyn O Mite 4 C L 118 Lanerie Corey J. Desormeaux J. Keith 30-1 ------- --- 60-1
12 Forty Under 6 G L 118 Murrill Mitchell Maker Michael J. 11-1 -------- -- 22-1
 

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I will also list the simm odds in order of strength so its easier to see the percentages
This is with the ( take) in effect (all in )

Two emmys 9-5 ---------- 25.6 %
Cavalry Charge 5-1 --------- 12.5%
Bodycream 8-1 --------- 8 .6 %
Own agenda 8-1 --------- 8 .7%
Halo again 8-1 --------- 8. 4%
Monarchs glen 9-1 --------- 7.6%
Forty under 11-1 --------- 6.9%
Excess magic 12-1 --------- 6.0%
Major fed 15-1 ---------- 4.9%
Logical Myth 18-1 ---------- 4.5%
Lucky curlin 29-1 ---------- 2.9 %
Dyn omite 30-1 --------- 2.6%
 
Joined
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I will also list the simm odds in order of strength so its easier to see the percentages
This is with the ( take) in effect (all in )

Two emmys 9-5 ---------- 25.6 %
Cavalry Charge 5-1 --------- 12.5%
Bodycream 8-1 --------- 8 .6 %
Own agenda 8-1 --------- 8 .7%
Halo again 8-1 --------- 8. 4%
Monarchs glen 9-1 --------- 7.6%
Forty under 11-1 --------- 6.9%
Excess magic 12-1 --------- 6.0%
Major fed 15-1 ---------- 4.9%
Logical Myth 18-1 ---------- 4.5%
Lucky curlin 29-1 ---------- 2.9 %
Dyn omite 30-1 --------- 2.6%
Hi yes, To make this picture complete it would be nice if you added the book odds set by the track handicapper.

Good luck today.
 

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If I can get double digits on Monarch's Glen, I'll hammer it. Thanks for posting this YY.
 

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